Making sense of the Global & Indian Economy
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- čas přidán 6. 05. 2024
- Making sense of the Global (USA, UK, Japan, Europe, Germany, Canada, Australia) & Indian Economy. All the major economies are printing money to support their economies. Indian is not doing it. How will it affect India in the future, we will break it down in this video.
/ amitsengupta01
1. India's national debt has doubled between 2013-2019 , so definatly govt is borrowing.
2. Govt earned profit of 12 lakh crore from crude during 2014-2019.
3. Stake sale in LIC, BPCL, ONGC etc, will bring both liquidity and also cost cutting to govt.
4. Bond issues have increased over last few years.
5. 20 lakh crore package is not actually 20 lakh crore it is not even half if properly analyzed, because most of the announcement in stimulus is loans and free grains to 80 crore people ( over estimated. )
Why govt is not printing money?
1. India's credit rating will fall and FDI would flee market ( FDI is key political agenda now )
2. To control inflation.
3. Mindset of govt to not provide direct cash assistance or free money, like the previous govt.
4. Not accepting the truth that economy is in terrible shape, and believing things would go back to normal post covid easily.
Why govt should print money?
1. India is witnessing low inflation from past 4 years , now low inflation has resulted in lack of growth in income of farmers and hence there is a liquidity crunch in the market. So printing money won't raise inflation much.
2. Current problem is liquidity, and printing cash is the only way out.
3. Unorganized sector badly affected post DEMO, GST and covid, and for its revival money has to be given in hands of people in the lower ladder of the economy so that the flow of money once again return from rural to urban to govt(taxes).
4. Low GST collection, and low income tax collection coupled with covid expenditure has drained govt Treasury. So revive GDP govt should increase it's spending, which is only possible by printing money.
Good explanation
Agreed, and print money is rarely ever a good solution, so I'm afraid the government is making the right decision by checking monetary policy in this regard.
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Its simple printing more money is anytime better better than external borrowing.
nikhil gupta same was the thinking of Zimbabwe and Venezuela.
Printing money could be better option when your currency is as strong as dollar or EURO because of their demand in international market.
Because printed money will increase cause inflation and thereby lowering value of the currency. And hence it becomes difficult to repay the loan.
During this pandemic US have printed 5 trillion$ almost double the size of Indian economy and yet dollar is strong.
Hence govt borrows maximum and prints minimum in order to control inflation.
If inflation increases it will be disastrous as India imports are higher and it will hit its BOP.
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