Reacting to your EV versus ICE criticisms & feedback (contains nuts) | Auto Expert John Cadogan

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  • čas přidán 12. 08. 2023
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  • Auta a dopravní prostředky

Komentáře • 1,1K

  • @darrenharvey6084
    @darrenharvey6084 Před 10 měsíci +122

    I was a MITSUBISHI mechanic and when the I MEV came out I was sent to Adelaide head office for training on the car . We were told that in a few years you would be able to get a new larger capacity battery that you could fit to your existing car to be able to increase the range. That was in 2013 , still waiting for that one .

    • @yggdrasil9039
      @yggdrasil9039 Před 10 měsíci +2

      Yes, that would be good, very good. But that means that car makers wouldn't be able to sell more cars. I have a feeling that the structural battery pack in Teslas has that goal in mind too. It's a pity because you should be able to swap HV traction batteries as easily as you do your 12V. Whether the batteries wear out first or the car wears out, at least you get to keep one going.

    • @vk3fbab
      @vk3fbab Před 10 měsíci +3

      A standardised battery format would be great on so many levels. Swap and go to remove the need for charging. It would also allow users to effectively rent cycles on battery packs. However manufacturers would see this as stifling their creativity with respect to designs. Recycling batteries is going to be an important thing. From what I've heard lithium chemistry is able to take reasonable advantage of this but we're not thinking forward enough and learning from the past. We need to be designing recycling in at the front end and not as an afterthought once the horse has bolted. Standardisation helps with all of this. Look at what the standard 18650 lithium cell has done. Just scale it up. Recent changes in EU with minimum levels of recycling should help but it would be better if the makers could take a leadership position and not rely on government directives. Like that's going to happen.

    • @marktanska6331
      @marktanska6331 Před 10 měsíci +8

      @@vk3fbab So, as John informed us, we are 50% short on demand of lithium, you want us to make two batteries for every vehicle. And recycling only works if it pays for itself and makes little profit. No one will do it for nothing.

    • @xerr0n
      @xerr0n Před 10 měsíci +4

      @@vk3fbab from a study i read, by 2030 recycled lithium is going to make 1-2% of the demand/market.
      whether its bull time will only tell.

    • @matsv201
      @matsv201 Před 10 měsíci +3

      I-Miev had a LTO battery. Thsoe are great in regards of having a very very long lifespan. About 30 years or 10 000 full charges. The main drawback is that they have very high volume, so its hard to fit anything more than a fairly short range in a small car like the I-Miev. Also LTO was a very new technology back in 2013. I-Miev was the first product to use it.
      There is a sort of backwards drawback with this kind of battery. When the car is waste, the battery still have 15-18 years to go. This is probobly why most car manufactures have abounded LTO. Its cheaper to just use LFP or NCA batteries and just scrap the batteries with the car. With that LTO is very good for industrial applications.

  • @Cruelaid
    @Cruelaid Před 10 měsíci +114

    The bullshit atoms flowing freely around this world is mind boggling.
    Keep up the great work JC 🙌

    • @thefly373
      @thefly373 Před 10 měsíci

      You fail to see the source of all bullshit, which includes JC.

    • @timhicks2154
      @timhicks2154 Před 10 měsíci +7

      Astonishing levels

    • @ctdieselnut
      @ctdieselnut Před 9 měsíci +1

      Not atoms, more like chunks.

  • @grahamcampbell9261
    @grahamcampbell9261 Před 10 měsíci +58

    Kenworth used to have exactly the same body for over 20 years (OK, I'm old, this was 30 years ago when I owned a K125). They also sold 'Glider kits' - a new motor, gearbox, suspension, brakes to replace the old ones (Some trucks managed 7 million Km before being scrapped).

    • @grantleyhughes
      @grantleyhughes Před 10 měsíci +11

      CAT are offering complete reconditioning of their plant equipment back to new. Smart move.

    • @labourlawact7826
      @labourlawact7826 Před 10 měsíci +7

      ​@@grantleyhughesthat's impossible after the blacks in Africa have operated that machine😂😂😂

    • @labourlawact7826
      @labourlawact7826 Před 10 měsíci +8

      They can destroy a square block of titanium

    • @Low760
      @Low760 Před 10 měsíci +1

      Used too, and they weren't very nice trucks from start to finish unlike a Volvo FM or FH. But with time and realization of chain of responsibility by truck owners, it's more economical to replace a 10 year old 1.5m km truck with 35,000hrs on it's second engine, if it's a volvo or Scania, probably only on it's first diffs and gearboxes. They are just worn out in the chassis now.

    • @geraldscott4302
      @geraldscott4302 Před 10 měsíci +7

      I'm a Peterbilt guy myself, but I definitely believe in keeping things going for as long as possible. I don't own one (yet) but I am an honorary member of a Ford Model T club. Most of these cars are over 100 years old, and have been restored to like new condition. I also have a friend who has a 1947 Beechcraft V35 Bonanza. It's 76 years old, and looks and flies like brand new. Any new vehicle should last at least 50 years. Considering what they cost today, it takes at least that long to get your moneys worth out of them.

  • @ThisFinalHandle
    @ThisFinalHandle Před 10 měsíci +79

    Been hearing about the next great thing in battery energy density for 15+ years, yet nothing materialises. But people love their sci-fi dreams.

    • @xerr0n
      @xerr0n Před 10 měsíci +9

      yeah, when the "in the next five years" part came i yelled "it may as well be 50 years then", it isnt Here, stop dreaming.

    • @Dionysus_Athena
      @Dionysus_Athena Před 10 měsíci +2

      Really well clearly you don’t do enough research battery technology is getting better every year. For homes Liquid Metal batteries then there’s depleted uranium technology which is only gaining traction.

    • @markh.6687
      @markh.6687 Před 10 měsíci +11

      Making it work in a laboratory is one thing; making a commercial product is yet another. The first is science; the latter is technology. Sadly it can be quite a journey to making a viable commercial product.

    • @Tschacki_Quacki
      @Tschacki_Quacki Před 10 měsíci

      Because it's not needed. The investments to get that tech into consumer cars wouldn't justify the little advantage it might bring.
      An EV is the best selling car in the world because it's current tech already works for plenty of people.

    • @Crosshair84
      @Crosshair84 Před 10 měsíci

      Much like "Manmade Climate Change". The predictions from 5-10 years ago never come true, yet we're all supposed to continue to expect them to come true "In another 5-10 years" and pretend the previous predictions never happened.

  • @andrewallen9993
    @andrewallen9993 Před 10 měsíci +49

    Australia cannot even adequately supply its present demand for electricity at the moment, how on earth are they going to burn enough coal to charge additional EVs?

    • @nigelliam153
      @nigelliam153 Před 10 měsíci +10

      Plus the grid won't handle a street full of people all plugging in their ev's when they get home .

    • @retrozmachine1189
      @retrozmachine1189 Před 10 měsíci +6

      @@nigelliam153It will. Entirely by co-incidence I was looking at an available supply map in Queensland this morning. Most residential distribution areas areas have > 1MVA additional capacity available even at the small scale maps. In non-metro areas of Queensland transformers are sized on the basis of each premises getting allocated 5kVA, I think. That should be sufficient to get a useful amount of charge into everyone's vehicle overnight. Remember the case of a person having to take their vehicle from '0% to 100%' each night is rare. Most people's vehicle use is a lot lower than that.
      What we do need to address though is fine grained control of vehicle charging to ensure worst case, lights go out, are always avoided. Queensland has the blunt 'turn it off completely' approach but we need a better integrated common protocol system where the vehicle owner can simply say 'I want at least 25% charge when I get up tomorrow' and let the car and network sort out how that is achieved.

    • @redbomberr4594
      @redbomberr4594 Před 10 měsíci

      @@retrozmachine1189 There are more states in Australia than Queensland, andrewallen9993 was talking about all of the country.

    • @nigelliam153
      @nigelliam153 Před 10 měsíci +1

      @@retrozmachine1189 try looking at the pole fuses or how many houses have 200A supply fuses which would allow them to charge 2 EVs on fast chargers? Or just look at LA were residents are now given a choice of running their AC or charging their car but not both at the same time.

    • @retrozmachine1189
      @retrozmachine1189 Před 10 měsíci +1

      @@redbomberr4594Thanks Captain Obvious. I never would have know that without your insight. Now how about you go and look at the availability of capacity in other parts of the country? I'll give you a tip just in case this is beyond your abilities; the same situation is seen across the country. There is over MVA capacity available all over the place, that's the network can carry MVA more than is currently used. All areas also have existing peak time capacity averages which they are all meeting. That means one way or the other the capacity to supply power for EV charging outside of peak hours (the 6pm etc hours) is there. Right now. With no additional work. At All. This might change in the future, depends on how flatly the greenification falls on its face, or not.

  • @mostlyinterested1016
    @mostlyinterested1016 Před 10 měsíci +40

    This is an enormously divisive issue. Quite honestly, I'd like to have an electric vehicle but it has to be a practical exchange that does what I do now. Anytime the Government gives me an incentive, or a mandate, to do something, I have an immediate negative reaction to adopting that product. I have many friends, here in Florida, who have solar panels on the roof. They were bugged , and incentivized, to adopt solar panels - so they did. Once they had them installed, the emphasis then immediately changed to "upgrading" their panels since solar panels are in a continuous upgrade cycle as the technology does indeed improve as we progress. So the "one and done" statements from the sales people was yet another myth where the "rebates" didn't actually go to the resident, they went directly to the installer. Then the "new and improved" panels arrived and it's "rinse and repeat".
    As I said, I'd love to have an electric car but, at the moment, the technology just isn't there to completely replace the functionality of an ICE. This, IMHO, is quite simply another Government scam backed by population that has been indoctrinated without knowing the benefits/drawbacks of EVs vs. ICEs. When it makes sense to switch to an EV, I'll do it with a smile on my face and I'll do it when it is to my advantage and not to other people's.

    • @frederickburns1739
      @frederickburns1739 Před 10 měsíci +3

      You took the words right out of my mouth!

    • @xerr0n
      @xerr0n Před 10 měsíci +2

      Right on man!

    • @RickL_was_here
      @RickL_was_here Před 10 měsíci

      My sentiments as well. I'm in Canada and no matter the state of the global economy, our illustrious idiot in charge keeps pushing through a higher carbon tax (useless as it is and only one of his numerous insane, dictator policies). People that can afford all this stuff, can. People who can't, suffer through insane policy. Carbon tax is a cash grab scam and there's not a soul on the planet that can convince me otherwise.

    • @Tschacki_Quacki
      @Tschacki_Quacki Před 10 měsíci

      The sales people didn't force your friends to upgrade their solar installation???
      Only rich early adopters could even afford this in the first place. The solar panels on my mom's house are 12 years old and she (like most owners) hasn't upgraded anything and has not planned to do so.
      I own an EV from 2019 and have no plans on "upgrading" either. Works just fine.

    • @aussieideasman8498
      @aussieideasman8498 Před 10 měsíci +3

      I understand your point, but watch for change. I made a video two years ago that said ICE was still more economical overall. Three months back I wanted to replace my wife's 2018 VW and took another look at EVs, just in case of change. Well, the $6,000 rebate was new, and BYD had arrived with an EV that was about $15,000 cheaper than a Model3, so I crunched the numbers against comparable cars, mainly the Nissan Qashqai TI and had to eat crow; the day of the EV had arrived sooner than expected. I bought the Atto3, and it goes well with my roof solar in sunny Brisbane, not to mention it drives so well. Now, this only means it's good for here, and if circumstances are favourable. The EV decision is always relative to location and circumstances, so you may have some waiting to do - just saying to keep an eye out for change wherever it is a poor choice at present.

  • @phantomguard71
    @phantomguard71 Před 10 měsíci +31

    Not to mention that Akio Toyoda, ex-CEO and now Chairman of Toyota, the world's largest car maker, is on the record saying that "EVs are not the answer", "BEVs are just going to take longer than the media would like us to believe" and that "the company's goal remains the same: pleasing the widest possible range of customers with the widest possible range of powertrains". Straight from the horse's mouth.

    • @orbitalair2103
      @orbitalair2103 Před 10 měsíci +2

      The WEF also said EVs are not the answer. It never was. the idea was to pass laws banning gasoline/diesel cars. people think they are going to get an ev to replace their gas car. they will not.

    • @Tschacki_Quacki
      @Tschacki_Quacki Před 10 měsíci

      Look up what Toyota engineers had to say after they took apart a Tesla Model Y.

    • @mikereinhardt1244
      @mikereinhardt1244 Před 10 měsíci

      Toyota is incentivized to minimize the impact of EVs and maximize the clearly inevitable transition time since they don't really have any good ones, and their government doesn't want EVs. That is of course, unless orbtalair2013 is correct and the WEF will be killing democracy and we will all be slaves in communism 2.0. In that case we will all be taking public transportation or biking/walking.

    • @peejayem4700
      @peejayem4700 Před 10 měsíci

      Toyota are salty because they sold their stake in Tesla years ago for a pittance

    • @solentbum
      @solentbum Před 10 měsíci

      And yet Toyota have just started to sell BEVs in the UK.

  • @williamgeorgefraser
    @williamgeorgefraser Před 10 měsíci +151

    Perhaps the future of EVs is to stick a tank of water in the boot and buy yourself a few dozen electric eels. All you then need to do is buy food for them once a week. 😂

    • @AutoExpertJC
      @AutoExpertJC  Před 10 měsíci +54

      I like it. i-eel-TRONIC MAX...

    • @dontpresstheredbutton9962
      @dontpresstheredbutton9962 Před 10 měsíci +18

      Do eels eat crab shells I wonder? And if they do, what would we do with all the naked crabs?

    • @tomparker5000
      @tomparker5000 Před 10 měsíci +5

      ​@@AutoExpertJC could we feed the crab meat to William's eels?

    • @stephenward2963
      @stephenward2963 Před 10 měsíci +18

      Nah feed the eels on vegan EV owners...

    • @andrewslagle1974
      @andrewslagle1974 Před 10 měsíci

      Get ride of the marxist politicians and the climate hoax pushers & fix the worlds problems

  • @byronservies4043
    @byronservies4043 Před 10 měsíci +84

    I mean, I am a Silicon Valley engineer. Driving to my favorite resort, about 3 hours east, there is no cell service for the last hour and no chargers to be found. I'll happily keep my ICE vehicle for the foreseeable future.
    Edit: I admit I was suckered in to the VW TDI program. The Golf was a great driver, but most of the appeal was green mileage. When that proved a lie, I just went ICE Subaru. It's been great.
    RORO car carrier fires have also been amazing, yeah?

    • @AutoExpertJC
      @AutoExpertJC  Před 10 měsíci +18

      You are not alone.

    • @TheBandit7613
      @TheBandit7613 Před 10 měsíci +16

      Between Death Valley and Vegas, there's always an EV that needs a tow to a charger somewhere.

    • @sandystanley1237
      @sandystanley1237 Před 10 měsíci +6

      In the North were I live by 35 below 95% are still on the road. The rest made it to destination.

    • @labourlawact7826
      @labourlawact7826 Před 10 měsíci +11

      ​​​​@@TheBandit7613yeah I found one with a little Honda petrol generator charging himself on that stretch of Road😂😂😂😂

    • @TheBandit7613
      @TheBandit7613 Před 10 měsíci +9

      @@labourlawact7826 That made me laugh for real. I could picture it.

  • @gerrycooper56
    @gerrycooper56 Před 10 měsíci +16

    If the shortage of lithium required to build new EV batteries is going to inhibit the building and sales of EVs then looking at repowering an older EV is also going to be very expensive.

    • @maxtorque2277
      @maxtorque2277 Před 10 měsíci

      If there is a "shortage" of lithium, then clearly the price will go up (HINT: think about why GOLD is more expensive than iron for example) And if the price goes up, then clearly recycling and reusing the lithium in old battery packs will be viable. Today, the lead in the lead acid battery in your car is almost 100% recycled, and there is no reason we won't do the same for the elements in a BEV battery. I work with companies already that are using BEV batteries for second life storage and repower. Today the single biggest issue is that there are simply not many batteries available for their schemes because BEV batteries last a lot longer than the average man on the street thinks. Recycling with very good recover rates has already been demonstrated and proven by numerous pilot plants and studies to be both viable (cost effective) and scalable (really important that bit) but today other than the odd small volume plant, there simply aren't any batteries to recycle yet.......

  • @harryzinemann734
    @harryzinemann734 Před 10 měsíci +5

    Thank you for your clear-sighted assessment of the EV Utopia that is being championed by various sectors of society, Mr Cadogan. There is indeed an environmental imperative to use EVs at scale; pointing out the engineering and marketing voodoo currently being invoked in the name of EVs is an essential activity. Keep up the rather splendid work on that front.

  • @johnnankivell5501
    @johnnankivell5501 Před 10 měsíci +8

    The best E.V is a Diesel combustion engine 😅

  • @chriswalker499
    @chriswalker499 Před 10 měsíci +16

    The best thing we have done for the environment is to work from home.

    • @cameronjohnston5748
      @cameronjohnston5748 Před 10 měsíci +1

      yeah, but if you are a builder?

    • @karmaandkerosene2885
      @karmaandkerosene2885 Před 10 měsíci +2

      I suspect you are correct. Imagine how much carbon we'll save when we're not allowed to leave the pods. Through the "hyperloop to the moon" into the equation and it'll be like heaven!

    • @davideyres955
      @davideyres955 Před 10 měsíci +3

      @@cameronjohnston5748technically you’re working from home just not yours! 😂

    • @chriswalker499
      @chriswalker499 Před 10 měsíci

      wouldn't it help the builder@@cameronjohnston5748

    • @partymanau
      @partymanau Před 10 měsíci +1

      What if u arent a paper shuffler?

  • @MeStevely
    @MeStevely Před 10 měsíci +7

    I like this bloke, true Aussie. He's telling it as it is. And I'm a pom as he would no doubt describe me, but he's right on every topic he covers.

  • @user-jh3yx4st9l
    @user-jh3yx4st9l Před 10 měsíci +20

    Hi John, thank you for your great videos. Always informative, thought provoking, educational and humourous. Love your work, keep it up. Regards, Andy

    • @mb-3faze
      @mb-3faze Před 9 měsíci

      Do yourself a favor, Andy. Bugger all of what John says is educational. Most of it is just falsehoods when it comes to his relentless waffling against EVs. Anyone would think he was paid by Murdoch.

  • @tomparker5000
    @tomparker5000 Před 10 měsíci +20

    I agree with Yawangle90, many EV evangelists recruit their flock on a bell-end curve trajectory. The bellier the end, the steeper the curve.

    • @timhicks2154
      @timhicks2154 Před 10 měsíci +4

      I was just about to say similar about a ‘bell-end curve’. You beat me to it. Excellent comment! 😂😂

    • @krissteel4074
      @krissteel4074 Před 10 měsíci

      That's the fun thing about evangelical beliefs though, no evidence needed! Just believe and it'll all be right on the night with your bell end at hand.
      The amount of 'Magical Thinking' and what I can only really call 'Divination' from some people believing that there will only be a good end to the technological innovation is kind of remarkable. It's gotten so sorcerous they may as well drag out the cock, sacrifice it and read his organs on a full moon or something. It'd be about as accurate

    • @tomparker5000
      @tomparker5000 Před 10 měsíci +6

      @@timhicks2154 "nurse, help - my bell-curve has become parabolic!"

    • @timhicks2154
      @timhicks2154 Před 10 měsíci

      @@tomparker5000 - a pairobollox?

    • @maifantasia3650
      @maifantasia3650 Před 10 měsíci +4

      Don't know about the curve, however, the bell-end descriptor does seem somewhat apt.

  • @nbrown5907
    @nbrown5907 Před 10 měsíci +10

    We had electric cars in the beginning! They failed then and they may just fail now.

  • @sprendergast351
    @sprendergast351 Před 10 měsíci +27

    Interesting people have not thought about how long a change can take place.
    Combustion engines were invented and being used from the early 1900's.
    60 years later steam trains were still in operation.
    The two worked alongside each other.
    My Grandfather in his Rambler car waiting for us to disembark the steam train.

    • @harrywalker968
      @harrywalker968 Před 10 měsíci +1

      steam is more powerfull,,it doesnt get effected by altitude, as diesel , petrol, do.. steam was banned in favour of diesel, something to do with oil co,s,,maybe,,,??...

    • @marosslovak7308
      @marosslovak7308 Před 10 měsíci +1

      @@harrywalker968 boiling point of water IS affected by altitude, the higher you go the lower the temperature or the less energy needed and the less energy the steam has. ICE was simply better than steam engine,

    • @redbomberr4594
      @redbomberr4594 Před 10 měsíci

      Funny that the Muppets are talking about going back to steam engines (of sorts) in EVs. They conveniently forget where the electricity comes from to charge their EV batteries, which here in Australia is mainly coal fired powers stations used to drive steam turbines.

    • @maxtorque2277
      @maxtorque2277 Před 10 měsíci

      @@harrywalker968 Steam died because it was impracticable and in-efficient. People look back at steam railway engines with rose tinted specs and say "aren't they wonderful" but ask someone who actually had to use them for their work each and every day and they were incredibly pleased to move to a deisel loco! They could simply get to work 5 min before they were due to leave, start and drive off. unlike spending several hours getting filthy shovely coal, watering, lighting the fire, stoking and building steam required by an old external combustion steam engine.
      As the employers saw massively better reliability and hugely lower running costs, the change came quickly. Keeping an old steam engine was mostly comercial suicide, and once diesel locos became available in volume, pretty much every operator in the world swapped over as quickly as they could.
      Funnily enough, pretty much exactly the same thing is happening with the global electrification of our transport systems today..... ;-)

    • @eddewhurst7662
      @eddewhurst7662 Před 9 měsíci

      Like flat screen TVs and smartphones!

  • @nemlol
    @nemlol Před 10 měsíci +9

    2 years with my Stinger GT, love your work John & co.

  • @rustykilt
    @rustykilt Před 10 měsíci +5

    Right or wrong, whatever your view on this subject, your Channel gives us all a voice on EV and ICE and the Politics there in. Thanks John for this platform which has become so informative regardless of a persons personal Religion.

  • @gregdean8441
    @gregdean8441 Před 10 měsíci +8

    Would absolutely like you and the electric Viking to have an interview live and compare reality with his dreams !

  • @donindusted
    @donindusted Před 10 měsíci +7

    Horse cemetery? I doubt they'd waste the resources a horse carcass represents, leather, fertilizer, cordage come immediately to mind

    • @robertmoffett3486
      @robertmoffett3486 Před 10 měsíci +2

      Absolutely. Here in NYC, contractors competed for the right to collect them from the streets. They were barged to several plants in the area for processing. You left out tallow, horsehair, mucilage, and animal feed. Nothing went to waste. There was never a horse cemetery, that's for sure

  • @FreerunMediaService
    @FreerunMediaService Před 10 měsíci +11

    Sir, i love your logics! The fun part is that when you tell exactly this to some people, they don't get it at all and stick to the dreams ;-) Sharing this one

    • @Dionysus_Athena
      @Dionysus_Athena Před 10 měsíci

      No wonder why countries like Australia suck if think he has any logic.

  • @groovyshoos5200
    @groovyshoos5200 Před 10 měsíci +8

    Love your work, I like the walk vid, and thanks for the camera insight. Don't ever change!

    • @maifantasia3650
      @maifantasia3650 Před 10 měsíci +2

      Don't ever change? I can confidently state that this comment was not written by one of John's ex-wives.

  • @Jakeemon
    @Jakeemon Před 10 měsíci +16

    What gets me is most households have more than one car. How are we supposed to charge dad's work truck, mums round town runabout and the teenagers wheels all at the same time and overnight? 😂

    • @maifantasia3650
      @maifantasia3650 Před 10 měsíci +5

      They'll have to take out a second mortgage (on both the family home and beach front holiday unit) just to pay their power bills.

    • @SeersantLoom
      @SeersantLoom Před 10 měsíci +3

      That is on smaller scale. What would happen if all people come from work and start charging their EV-s? I imagine how power graphs start to look much like roller coaster ride.

    • @theairstig9164
      @theairstig9164 Před 10 měsíci +5

      You’re not. I know someone who does this with a Tesla model
      3 and a Leaf. It’s nearly impossible for that family to keep both cars charged at home with three adult drivers. Doesn’t work. They don’t have a solution other than to fast charge the TM3 once a weekend before heading home from the shops

    • @xerr0n
      @xerr0n Před 10 měsíci +3

      well, like the 80%+ EV efficiency tells us, they really are dumdums.
      why do i snag on the 80%+ efficiency claim?
      80% of WHAT?
      they think that by merely removing the powerplant from the vehicle it makes it magically more green and forget all about the chugging coal powerplant miles away that itself is about 34% efficient.
      Suddenly that EV is using fuel that itself is only using 80% of efficiently, dont get me started on the charging, adding that ev ranges drop by 30% in the winter, add another 50% off for cabin heat.
      Headwind, a trailer or other load adding, like driving uptilt, and the motors start guzzling those delicious electrons, again cutting the purported range in half.
      there a reason we dont have BEV trucks, the range is dismal
      if you dont have solar (ie another 50K + the car) and are charging at charge points cos you live in an apartment complex where you dont have room to park your regular ice car, not to mention an EV with a charge point, the recharge cost will be near the same when just tanking petrol.
      It matters where you live and how rich you are, but to make an ev truly green it will take a lot more money than to just buy the damn thing, you'll need a house and some land, a solar system, a battery system(solar doesn't work at night) and a charging system and of course the car.
      so say 70K car, 50K solar, 10K batteries and charging, 200K for the house and land, totaling 330K for a "green" car that you can use to not haul your trailer.

    • @markh.6687
      @markh.6687 Před 10 měsíci +2

      Nobody has thought of that (no surprise there, really), but mandatory 1-vehicle per household limits will be imposed by unthinking legislative bodies and signed into law by unthinking presidents and prime ministers.

  • @leepower2717
    @leepower2717 Před 10 měsíci +5

    Really impressed with the Go Pro set up 👍

  • @brendanpells912
    @brendanpells912 Před 10 měsíci +2

    Car fire in UK is at an auction place in Rochford Essex. Estimated 200 cars destroyed and counting.

    • @mathewrussell1533
      @mathewrussell1533 Před 10 měsíci

      The rochford copart which has photos and videos of their ice engine area currently on fire. Copart isolates EVs from ice cars for this reason. And it wasn’t the ev side that went up.

    • @brendanpells912
      @brendanpells912 Před 10 měsíci

      @@mathewrussell1533 I didn't say it was EVs that caught fire, I just replied to a comment asking where it was.

  • @scugniz
    @scugniz Před 10 měsíci +3

    Once again a really funny but honest video. Love your work, in particular these videos about electric vehicles.

  • @desertdan100
    @desertdan100 Před 10 měsíci +3

    I think hybrids make the most sense paired up with ICE power trains. I am a big proponent of CNG. It is clean, cheap and plentiful. It can sit in a tank literally forever just waiting to be used. I have run dual fuel big trucks in the Midwest. We ran gasoline and CNG with just a changeover button on the Dash. It refueled just as quick as gas and burned way cleaner in the engines. I got 1mpg better fuel mileage in the same vehicle when I changed over to it and had just as much if not more power out of it.
    I could see moving to a 100% CNG engine with a plug in Hybrid set up. You could get the best of both worlds. The hybrid system can take advantage of regen braking to both capture energy to reuse and help with controlling heavy loads. It has great benefits. Also it would allow you to have some portable AC power to run jobsites, campsites or emergency power for your home.
    A guy I know has been driving a CNG Honda car for 15 years and has over 350,000 miles on it.
    He fills it in the city or off of his home incoming NG system. He has something similar to a scuba compressor that he uses to fill it off of. He commutes 70 miles 1 way to work in it.
    He has 275 miles of range at full pressure or about 180 from his home system that can't compress as high. The fuel point get's him 275 miles at interstate speeds.
    put a 5 KW battery in a light to heavy truck that you can plug in to charge and put regen energy into or 2 KW in a car. The battery from 1 Tesla could be used to build 30 to 40 hybrid vehicles instead.
    I invested in Hyliion in the trucking industry because they have bolt on systems right now that can be used on class 8 trucks.
    It is better for the Environment to burn or convert Methane gas then to just let it enter the atmosphere.
    Hydrogen has it's uses but should be for only certain uses not cars.

  • @eifionhowells
    @eifionhowells Před 10 měsíci +8

    Thanks John. Keep up the good work even if it is difficult fighting all this greenwashing and EVangelism...

  • @retrozmachine1189
    @retrozmachine1189 Před 10 měsíci +2

    I think the most important part people missed in the EV v ICE vid was just how well Tiffany is going. She's got her own business and it looks pretty impressive too. Good to see Tiff and the girls doing so well.

  • @davegoldspink5354
    @davegoldspink5354 Před 10 měsíci +3

    Absolutely brilliant video John thanks for sharing. Although I’m not an EV fan watching videos like this I often feel like I understand the challenges we face in transitioning away from fossil fuels a lot more. Have given up discussing with family that it’s going to take more than 5 to 10 years before we see the end of ICE as you pointed out as they listen to the deadlines made by the federal government and the likes of Blackout Bowen and obviously watch to much sci-fi while thinking of our new lives in Utopia. Excellent job once again.

  • @clivekay950
    @clivekay950 Před 10 měsíci +13

    Hi John, always a pleasure listening to your channel. Your command of the English language is excellent, especially for an engineer 😊. Would love to hear your thoughts on China's EV graveyards. Just do a quick search on CZcams and you see what I mean. Brand new EVs (cars, bikes, scooters) parked up and left to rot. How does this help the planet or resource scarcity?

    • @peterblenkinsop2985
      @peterblenkinsop2985 Před 10 měsíci +2

      Just do more checking and you will find they are cars from car sharing companies that went bankrupt. Not what the click bait video pretend.

    • @ukusanz
      @ukusanz Před 10 měsíci +1

      @@peterblenkinsop2985but they are still rotting away. I can’t see them being loaded onto a boat snd being shipped out anywhere

    • @peterblenkinsop2985
      @peterblenkinsop2985 Před 10 měsíci

      @@ukusanz I don't doubt that but they are not EV's being left to rot so China can claim lots of folk are buying EV's.

    • @markh.6687
      @markh.6687 Před 10 měsíci +1

      It also demonstrates the CCP's commitment to a healthy environment for its citizens, no??

    • @peterblenkinsop2985
      @peterblenkinsop2985 Před 10 měsíci

      @@markh.6687 In th eUK. What is the CCP?

  • @PSY7HON
    @PSY7HON Před 10 měsíci +8

    I think we need to look at EVs as only a part of a diverse group of technologies to get away from fossil fuels, not the be-all and end-all.

    • @Ozgrade3
      @Ozgrade3 Před 10 měsíci +4

      fossil fuels will one day be replaced completely by electrofuels (man made gasoline), but that won;t happen in our lifetime. Problem is, there is so much fossil fuels that are easily accessable for mining.

    • @monkeyonarock
      @monkeyonarock Před 10 měsíci

      ​@@Ozgrade3Hydrogen 🐵

    • @Ozgrade3
      @Ozgrade3 Před 10 měsíci

      @@monkeyonarock Hydrogen, well yes, it's a wonderful and viable fuel, just getting it is a problem. As John pointed out, obtaining Hydrogen the traditional way is a very dirty process. We need nuclear power for green hydrogen.

    • @tomnewham1269
      @tomnewham1269 Před 10 měsíci

      But that thinking is too complex for the lawmakers ie politicians.

  • @solmanJapan
    @solmanJapan Před 9 měsíci +1

    Actually one huge issue which barely gets looked at is the expectation that people will charge their vehicle overnight. Well what if (like me) you rent and arent able to install a charger at home or you live in an apartment which doesn't have nearby EV charging? It means finding an EV charging station and charging your car up but that does cost money in most cases and its more than what i pay for electricity at home. I have to be considerate of others as well so i cant always just plug in and go do the shopping... Sometimes i have to come back and move my car. As nice as it is... Charging leaves a lot to be desired and if they want more uptake, they need to fix this.

  • @paulrapp613
    @paulrapp613 Před 10 měsíci +5

    John,
    Great analyses. Most excellent t-shirt 😜.
    Keep the aspidistra flying!

  • @richardardern171
    @richardardern171 Před 10 měsíci +8

    John, thanks for your commitment to facts, and to gathering them! I learnt quite a bit from the original session on EV vs. ICE, and today's. Keep up the good work!

    • @guser7137
      @guser7137 Před 10 měsíci

      To many, facts are irrelevant. Unfortunately those types are dooming us all.

    • @mb-3faze
      @mb-3faze Před 9 měsíci

      John is a prodigious prognosticator promulgating mistruths, poor information and outright made-up falsifications. His *endless* twaddle should just be ignored.

  • @shifterzx
    @shifterzx Před 10 měsíci +7

    Love your voice overs! 😂

    • @AutoExpertJC
      @AutoExpertJC  Před 10 měsíci +6

      ...said nobody who was ever featured in them.

    • @labourlawact7826
      @labourlawact7826 Před 10 měsíci +1

      They're hilarious, so I couldn't stop laughing

  • @philipwoodgate9555
    @philipwoodgate9555 Před 10 měsíci +2

    To be honest I am a bit confused about Sodium ion batteries. Chinese companies have claimed they have implemented new technology that have significantly improved these batteries. BYD have claimed their Seagull model will have a 30 KW/H battery. In the end time will tell and they are yet to yet to actually manufacture this vehicle, would not be the first time claims like this have been " vapor ware ".

  • @stephenfox8922
    @stephenfox8922 Před 10 měsíci

    Fantastic as always there’s a great piece on TED talks about EV perhaps you could link it to your next post.

  • @DogsBAwesome
    @DogsBAwesome Před 10 měsíci +4

    Like you said, the recycling of batteries will have to be greatly increased, if there is a lithium shortage I expect there will be money in it, regardless of how complicated it is.

    • @partymanau
      @partymanau Před 10 měsíci

      Yeah, like recycling flour out of unused bread.

    • @maxtorque2277
      @maxtorque2277 Před 10 měsíci

      It's not particularly complicated and people already doing it. Today, the biggest problem is actually getting end-of-life BEV batteries in any volume as those batteries are not yet anywhere near end-of-life. I am working with several UK companies that are already buying all the available used batteries for second life storage projects (ie static electricity storage with ISO containers full of used BEV battery packs). These packs even at EOL for a pass car (typically 80% SoH) are massively valuable comodity!

    • @SolAce-nw2hf
      @SolAce-nw2hf Před 9 měsíci +1

      @@maxtorque2277it is very complicated and dangerous. With demand almost doubling every year, recycling is not going to make the difference, unless they enlist the biblical JC for some miracle.

  • @sabrekat7904
    @sabrekat7904 Před 10 měsíci +6

    SYdney must be such a beautiful, friendly, respectful, crime free utopia. You try walking down the street in any UK city holding a camera set up like that and you will receive a "gentle" tap on the head and find your recently liberated equipment on sale in the closest pub to be exchanged for some, shall we say, 'white powder'.

    • @dwindeyer
      @dwindeyer Před 10 měsíci +1

      It's surprisingly docile compared to a lot of other places. For example I have a habit of leaving my wallet and phone on outdoor tables at cafes when I sit down, and when I went to Paris quite a few years ago I was constantly being reminded by the staff to not do that because it will get stolen.

    • @labourlawact7826
      @labourlawact7826 Před 10 měsíci +3

      That's nothing try do that in South Africa and you will end up dead in hospital

    • @jackmorganfiftyfive
      @jackmorganfiftyfive Před 10 měsíci +2

      It helps when you're an island with a real border force. You can thank the Liberals and Tony Abbott for that.

    • @suad01
      @suad01 Před 10 měsíci +2

      The invaders come in by 747 jumbos these days

    • @TheKnobCalledTone.
      @TheKnobCalledTone. Před 10 měsíci +1

      @@jackmorganfiftyfive I thought it was ScoMo who stopped the boats. He had the trophy in his office and everything.

  • @stevenkraft8070
    @stevenkraft8070 Před 9 měsíci

    In the late 90s, I was doing market research on utility-scale battery energy storage systems for the U.S. Department of Energy. At the time, lead-acid batteries (like your car battery) were being used for utility BES demonstration projects. The research indicated that we needed higher energy density battery technologies like lithium-ion (which was just starting to be available in significant amounts) to make this concept approach commercial feasibility. An alternative advanced battery chemistry that was identified as a possibility involved sodium chemistries. So here we are, a quarter of a century later, and sodium-chemistry batteries are ready...for more laboratory research.
    As John says, Li-ion batteries first became available in the early 90s. I was working at Sony North America when their Li-ion battery team for portable electronics was just starting to hit its stride, and that was in 1994-1995. It has taken Li-ion batteries over 30 years from commercial introduction to get to where we are now, which as John says is an order of magnitude from where we need to be. Right now, sodium batteries seem to be best for electrical loads that are fairly steady, and do not require rapid energy output increases you would need when you do something like step on the accelerator pedal in your car. Maybe sodium-ion batteries will be improved, so they have a longer life and improved energy ramping, and maybe that can be done at an economically feasible price. But IF that happens, don't be surprised if it takes 30 years to be available in the amounts required for the green technology future everyone speaks of.

  • @augustusomega4708
    @augustusomega4708 Před 10 měsíci +1

    All the pedestrians thought they spotted Angry Anderson in camo

  • @crazy88s
    @crazy88s Před 10 měsíci +3

    I was watching this doco the other night. Had a dude named "Kirk" in it, he had this matter beam thing. Looks the goods to me, our problems all solved with a simple call to "beam me up". 😁

  • @peterjulianphotos4659
    @peterjulianphotos4659 Před 10 měsíci +4

    Hi John, I think you're on the money or close to it with EV uptake (unless Australia collectively wins a Norway Jackpot), and I agree we really need to think laterally about battery end of life options - I'd encourage you to look at a video by Matt Ferrell on repurposing EV battery for Solar storage as he provides a good insight into opportunities less explored - Imagine being able to take your old Leaf battery (with 70% capacity left) and plugging it into your home microgrid, who needs a Powerwall. Also I think we need to look at bang for buck and realistically EV Cars are B/S in terms of improving environmental polution. What would be far better would be mandating removal of traditional hot water systems (& replacement with solar or heat pump technology) and implementing real energy star efficient homes along with mass transport systems which work for our cities and disincentivising individual car ownership. A good start would be to remove the Collins Street / Pyremont / Queen street tractors from the school runs and make the little shits walk or ride bikes like we used to.
    Cheers Peter

    • @guser7137
      @guser7137 Před 10 měsíci

      What would be better is NO MANDATING. Government needs to get the hell out of our lives. Nothing they push works. All they do is create 'new industries' engineered to extract more of our taxes. This is all just more wealth transfer. The whole premise is a lie to start with. Repeat a lie often enough, and sure enough a lot of semi-literate people believe it.

    • @maxtorque2277
      @maxtorque2277 Před 10 měsíci

      I am typing this reply on a PC that is powered by yesterdays sunshine (raining and cold here today in the uk ;-) ) and that energy was stored overnight in my garage by a second hand nissan leaf battery! I designed and built the system myself. Not very difficult or particularly expensive other than the battery cells themselves, which are in such high demand that a driven-into-a-lamppost-and-written-off Leaf is worth pretty much the same as one that you can actually use as a car......

  • @mironkorzalko7761
    @mironkorzalko7761 Před 10 měsíci +1

    Here in Merica, back in 2017 we had an epiphany. Science and facts are not part of the reality that makes the world go round. Half the population, many of whom slept through science class, subscribed to the notion that there are "alternative facts". Aahh, the witty banter I had over social distancing, masks and airborne diseases. It still feels surreal.

  • @robpinter5431
    @robpinter5431 Před 10 měsíci +2

    Great work John, I am sure that the calculations have been made for comparison of energy availability to push the wheels of a vehicle along the road, between ICE and EV, such as the space required to hold the fuel being petrol/diesel or battery, weight of the fuel/battery and comparable distance. Asking as I am sure that a small car with a 50 lt fuel tank can go further than the same car as a EV? I know for sure that refuelling is way much quicker than a EV.

    • @maxtorque2277
      @maxtorque2277 Před 10 měsíci +1

      er, yup, those calcs have been done, years ago. I started working on the elctricfication of passenger cars in 2003. Back then, i had to stand up and justify my reports to people like the head of reseach at BMW, not someone who takes fools easily. The maths and physics is quite clear and has been for at least 15 years!
      50 litres of petrol holds 445 kWh of energy
      The largest mass produced passenger car battery is roughly 100kWh, ie 4 times smaller total energy storage.
      A Tesla model X is one of the most consumptive BEVs, by dint of it's large size (BTW, the mass of a BEV is largely irrelevant because the powertrain of a BEV is fundamentally bi-directional ,ie it can recover energy from that mass, whereas the mass of an ICE really matters because it cannot recover KE and refil it's fuel tank as you slow down!) returns over 100 miles per gallon equivalent energy consumption because it's powertrain is so efficient in comparison to that of an ICE powertrain.
      A typical BEV passenger car has MORE occupant and cabin space than an equivalent ICE model of comparable exterior dimensions because even with the poor (currently) energy density of existing battery energy storage systems, the huge power density of an electric motor, lack of requirement for a large and complex multi-speed transmission, and the lack of requirement for large and complex exhaust system (including emissions aftertreatment systems ie catalyst DPF, GPF etc) and much reduced cooling system requirement. Add in the package optimisation benefits brought by battery energy storage systems being solid state (no moving parts) and this is why a BEV makes better use of the available volume for a passenger car application

    • @robpinter5431
      @robpinter5431 Před 9 měsíci

      @@maxtorque2277 If the BEV is more efficient then why can't a BEV do 1000km on a full charge? Sounds like BS marketing that BEV's are more efficient, and after 1000km, how ling does it take to charge so I can finish my drive into the night? A ICE fills up in under 10 minutes that includes a pee stop at the service station.

    • @maxtorque2277
      @maxtorque2277 Před 9 měsíci +1

      @@robpinter5431 For the simple reason that current batteries are not nearly as energy dense as petrol.
      1kg of petrol (roughly 1.4 litres) holds 13 kWh of energy
      1kg of current tech batteries holds just 0.4 Wh
      A tesla model x with a 100kWh battery (one of the biggest batteries available in a bev car) holds the equivalent of just 14 litres of petrol!
      Put 14 litres of petrol in your car and see how far you can drive! At 40mpg, you'd get just 120 miles, and yet a Tesla Model X can do over 200 miles on the same amount of energy
      So BEVs are massively more efficient (over 3 times more efficient in the real world) but they currently can't go quite as far as a vehicle with an engine because current batteries are not (yet) as energy dense
      However, the fundamental maximum energy density for a battery is approximately 9 times greater than we can currently do with mass produced batteries.
      There are a lot of new batteries that have demonstrated they can realise much greater energy desity, but these are not yet commerically available. These new tech batteries are set to revolutionise battery energy storage in the future!

  • @aussietaipan8700
    @aussietaipan8700 Před 10 měsíci +7

    I watched a very good video from Asianometry on China's lithium battery recycling and how the CCP sort of mandated the car industries are soley responsible for recyling the batteries when they reach 80% useable range. The first mandate was in 2016 which was fairly broad and in 2018 a more detailed mandate was produced. Even in 2022 when the video was produced, China was still struggling to get EV batteries recycled anywhere near the mandated levels. If they cannot do it, we have no hope.

    • @robertmoffett3486
      @robertmoffett3486 Před 10 měsíci

      That's because Chinese laws are for political purposes only. Foreigners (YOU) are impressed by the law, while their citizens live in a poisoned environment. Laws are only enforced when officials don't like you

    • @Tschacki_Quacki
      @Tschacki_Quacki Před 10 měsíci

      Check out what western companies achieve with battery recycling since decades.

    • @guser7137
      @guser7137 Před 10 měsíci +1

      You're suggesting a totalitarian government is the model we should adopt? These programs do one thing, they end up with stockpiling of dangerous materials rather than recycling. Just look at the Australian recycling schemes. We though we were recycling, until China publicly said no to accepting other countries' waste. They had enough of piling up other people's crap. Now what's happening with it? Go on, have a guess.

    • @retrozmachine1189
      @retrozmachine1189 Před 10 měsíci

      China has all sorts of laws. They only get applied if you upset someone that matters. Sure they will, seemingly randomly, clamp down on things when a bigwig comes to town but apart from that it's largely Rafferty's rules. Any law that requires their car industry must do something will be treated in the same way.

    • @nigelliam153
      @nigelliam153 Před 10 měsíci

      You obviously haven't followed the news about the Chines EV graveyard s where thousands of brand new ev's are just registered and dumped just so the company's can meet their government quotas.

  • @SunRise-ul7ko
    @SunRise-ul7ko Před 10 měsíci +3

    My 2016 6.2 litre VFll Commodore is holding it's value very well. My second car is a 2017 Mazda 3 bought new on John's recommendation.

    • @wizzyno1566
      @wizzyno1566 Před 10 měsíci +1

      7 years old. Wow!! Please inform the Guiness Book Of Records

    • @SunRise-ul7ko
      @SunRise-ul7ko Před 10 měsíci +5

      @@wizzyno1566 When a 7 year old car, is worth more than I paid for it new. That makes it very economical, as depreciation is the biggest cost when buying a new car.

    • @labourlawact7826
      @labourlawact7826 Před 10 měsíci +3

      ​@@wizzyno1566my little Japanese Nissan Sunny is 23 years old and running like new

    • @wizzyno1566
      @wizzyno1566 Před 9 měsíci +1

      ​@@labourlawact782623 years old is impressive. 7 years isnt.

    • @wizzyno1566
      @wizzyno1566 Před 9 měsíci

      ​​@@SunRise-ul7koyou've edited your post to make it seem sensible. Well done.
      You never mentioned "holding its value" before. Bit of a dicks trick really.

  • @robertmoffett3486
    @robertmoffett3486 Před 10 měsíci +1

    I actually enjoyed the scenery, even though it could be Midtown Manhattan, except for that nice tram. I wish I could afford a visit.

  • @fredleonard1547
    @fredleonard1547 Před 10 měsíci

    Love your comments mate, so hard to get so many ppl to ACTUALLY THINK SENSIBLE.

  • @z3160200
    @z3160200 Před 10 měsíci +3

    I am really surprised by some of the comments, most of what you said can be independently verified if you read any decent book about internal combustion engine and electric vehicles.

  • @richardkaz2336
    @richardkaz2336 Před 10 měsíci +3

    The problem I see for ICE's or EV's sold now and the next ten years and maybe more is replacement parts and the cost of those parts. Right now new cars sold in the last couple of years are already facing long, long delays right now.
    On the story of electric conversions. I looked into converting my MX5 to an EV. When I regained consciousness after seeing the quote for the kit that excluded installation cost and certification. I rapidly gave that idea to where it belonged, the bin. I'd hate to think what the insurance cost would be if they would insure it and what replacement value would they payout if it became a write off.

    • @Low760
      @Low760 Před 10 měsíci +1

      Holdens are an issue thanks to Gm pulling the pin and selling off all their stock. It's great to get parts on 7 year old cars from ebay only.

    • @SeersantLoom
      @SeersantLoom Před 10 měsíci +1

      I see the power grid as limiting factor. Plugging in (tens/hundreds of) thousands of EV-s to charge overnight should create large power spikes.

    • @Tschacki_Quacki
      @Tschacki_Quacki Před 10 měsíci

      ​@@SeersantLoom Besides the fact that the expansion of the power grid is happening since the first power pole what you are describing is already happening in many places and the grid doesn't care. You think the power providers would have a problem with selling more of their product? They are happy to provide everything to the grid to sell more electricity.
      We even have a proof for this. The Cryptomining hype from 2019 to 2021 consumed FAR MORE electricity than millions of EVs ever could. Don't know about your grid but my grid handled it perfectly. The power providers were selling all that electricity with a happy grin on their faces. Obviously... that's their business.

    • @xerr0n
      @xerr0n Před 10 měsíci

      @@SeersantLoom not if they turn your ev charging off 😋

    • @maxtorque2277
      @maxtorque2277 Před 10 měsíci +1

      I've driven a BEV now for 9 years. Nothing at all has gone wrong with it, let alone with any of the BEV specific parts. No clutch to wear out, no gears to crunch, no exhaust to rattle or corrode, no water pump to leak, no fuel pipes to degrade, no cooling system to drip, no oil system to weap. The only significant wearing part (the battery) is covered by a longer warranty than that of an ICE powertrain and in fact, is pretty easy to remove and refurbish. In the UK, if you have an early model nissan leaf (famed for signifcantly worse battery degredation due to a lack of a battery conditioner system) you can today drive into a few specialists who in just two hours can diagnose (leafspy) remove, repair/replace, and refit that battery pack. The very simplicity of the powertrain makes that possible (take a look at the steps required to remove, refurbish and replace a hguely complex modern engine and the difference is obvious and stark.
      czcams.com/video/-ySOspbt0BM/video.html

  • @frasercrone3838
    @frasercrone3838 Před 9 měsíci +1

    I started out as an EV convert a few years ago but like you when I started doing more reading in areas other than "fully charged" and the like many holes started to appear. I still love electric propulsion for its simplicity and efficiency but until the right battery presents itself it will be limited. That is a shame because its greatest potential in transport is pollution reduction in cities. As for ICE vehicles, I still love the old ones [pre 1980] from a nostalgia point of view and I am impressed with the newer ones due to the performance gained from smaller engine sizes and the improvements in safety systems as well as comfort and road holding but the penalty has been a massive increase in component complexity and therefore repair costs. In the second hand vehicle market I am seeing many more cars that would have thousands more kilometers left in the majority of their makeup being written off because of the failure of a few very expensive parts or because a certain part is not available anymore. Those who can afford to buy new on a regular basis do not feel the pain as much as those who have to pick their ride from the used vehicle sector.

  • @scottcox8559
    @scottcox8559 Před 10 měsíci +2

    There will never be a battery powered heavy haulage truck, that can cart stuff to places like Cape York or Kalumburu.

  • @SpencerHHO
    @SpencerHHO Před 10 měsíci +3

    As a DIY nut waiting to win my darwin award, I've been playing with and following the lithium battery market for years.
    The price was already stable in 2019 and are now slowly trending up not down. Lithium batteries are getting MORE expensive. Production can only scale up if the raw materials can keep up. People confuse lithium batteries with finished goods. With finished goods the tooling cost is the initial main component of price then the cost of materials take over as the main cost component. Lithium battery production has passed the point where the equipment was a limiting factor and the supply of the raw materials is now the main constraint and as you point out: it's getting worse.

    • @maxtorque2277
      @maxtorque2277 Před 10 měsíci

      Do you know what must fundamentally lead volume in a capitalist society? yup, demand. High demand drives higher prices that drive investment in production volumes. Today lithium is in demand (worth noting that this element is being phased out of newer battery chemistries btw), the costs is climbing but right now there is HUGE investment in increased production.
      The reason a litre of petrol is cheap is because society has spent the last 100 odd years and investing billions in the extraction, refining, and logistics chain for this material......

    • @SpencerHHO
      @SpencerHHO Před 10 měsíci

      @@maxtorque2277 and it's price is rising because new reserves require much more work to extract. It doesn't matter how much oil demand rises production can only grow so much.
      The same is true for lithium only that existing supplies are already close to maxxed out and all mines that are in development won't be able to meet the demand. BEV and lithium production will increase but the increase won't keep pace with demand and battery prices will trend higher.
      Like oil, when lithium carbonate prices reach a certain level more expensive extraction will become viable but these technologies aren't even scalable yet so barring a miracle will take at least an additional decade to come online and will take years still to start to meaningfully impact supply and price. Other battery technology that is suitable for stationary batteries may reduce demand somewhat and mitigate the issue but the projected demand is so far beyond projected possible supply that this won't fundamentally change the situation.
      Other metals are also facing supply constraints copper alone is also rising in price and the new mines coming online use a lower grade ore that is more expensive to refine which also pushes up prices.
      Economics works both ways, if supply physically cannot keep up, prices will rise. This is the case for lithium as well as other elements needed. The transition period will take a lot longer than many believe. It will happen but will take decades. True exponential growth can't happen beyond the point where a hard limit is reached and we're already approaching that limit.

    • @SpencerHHO
      @SpencerHHO Před 10 měsíci

      @@maxtorque2277 also there is no viable replacement for lithium in vehicles. It's a basic fact of chemistry. Sodium batteries will always be heavier for the same capacity. Sodium is lower on the electrochemical series so it's maximum potential cell voltage is lower and it's heavier per Mol than lithium. Assuming they fix all the other current issues a Sodium BEV will be heavier with less range than a lithium BEV. Sodium, zinc bromide, redox and flow batteries may and likely will play a major role in stationary power in power walls, UPS systems and grid scale batteries but it's a fundamental limitation of chemistry that lithium based chemistries will always have an inherent advantage.

  • @confuzsays7196
    @confuzsays7196 Před 10 měsíci +2

    Just made my week, I don't get out much lol.

  • @markstephens5118
    @markstephens5118 Před 10 měsíci +2

    It might also be nice to think about all the other minerals and metals ( besides lithium)that are needed not only directly for EVs but also for huge electrical grid improvements. Peter Zeihan(geopolitical analyst and and private sector adviser)has said that it takes at least 10 years to double any mining based products production, and there are more products that are used in making EVs that will need between 8 to 10 time increase for the projected requirements of the EV industry and the amount of copper to connect all these STUPID wind and solar farm will make Reo tinto blush.

    • @Apjooz
      @Apjooz Před 10 měsíci

      If you like numbers check out how much global lithium production grew from 2016 to 2018.

  • @ManuelPerez-ip4bb
    @ManuelPerez-ip4bb Před 10 měsíci

    Always happy with your anylisis John, keep up the good work mate.😊

  • @garytelling397
    @garytelling397 Před 10 měsíci +3

    Nice work John. In this age where credible information is at your fingertips most people appear to be totally ignorant when it comes to the reality of the actual cost in human lives and the environmental damage that is created by the mining of these minerals in third world countries. On another note, I see the Dutch oven has made port and the CEO of the salvage company has said that the ship will have to be scraped as the EV's are fused to the decks and that there are over 1000 cars on the lower deck's that are in reasonable condition, but the risk of the upper deck's collapsing makes it too dangerous to of load these cars. The Dutch have said it can only stay in their port for a short period of time. I wonder how toxic the contents of the ship are now and what lucky third world country will get to off load the cars and scrap the ship.

    • @maifantasia3650
      @maifantasia3650 Před 10 měsíci +1

      Why would the _participation trophy winners_ want to get their feelings hurt by looking up facts that contradict their beliefs? So much safer for them to look at websites that agree with and confirm their preconceived notions.

  • @ronfromoz1835
    @ronfromoz1835 Před 10 měsíci +5

    Too many people can not look past their current agenda on petroleum fuel, how do you replace a fleet of 500Hp tractors on a farm in rural Australia with an EV substitute.

    • @xerr0n
      @xerr0n Před 10 měsíci +1

      or a dump truck,or trucks in general or the asphalt or medicine etc etc.
      there comes a line where you realize that these people are against humanity as a whole.

    • @AutoExpertJC
      @AutoExpertJC  Před 10 měsíci +2

      "Current" agenda. LOL.

    • @lachlanp3365
      @lachlanp3365 Před 10 měsíci

      The electric options for tractors are pretty limited above 100HP, hell even under 100 HP the options are limited.
      It will be a few years before the average machinery dealer ship has a normal sized electric tractor in stock. (Kubota and John Deere are the only mainstream brands playing with larger electric tractors. Still sub 300 HP equivalent from memory I think closer to 100 HP)
      If they can move mine dump trucks to electric, tractors should be feasible. (But that is a guess the cost of the needed batteries to run a large tractor are going to be pretty substantial)
      On top of this I doubt most farms are going to be able to draw massive amounts of power from the grid on top of existing needs.
      So yes it will be a lot of work to do (If it is feasible)

    • @Tschacki_Quacki
      @Tschacki_Quacki Před 10 měsíci

      Maybe... you don't replace them? So what?
      Why does my washing machine at home work with an electric motor and not with a diesel combustion engine?

    • @xerr0n
      @xerr0n Před 10 měsíci

      @@Tschacki_Quacki
      "Maybe... you don't replace them? So what?
      Why does my washing machine at home work with an electric motor and not with a diesel combustion engine?"
      what a truly brain dead answer.
      i reiterate, with this last comment as an example:
      there comes a line where you realize that these people are against humanity as a whole.
      and ill tell you "So what"- no food, no heat, no electricity, no EV-s- No Nothing you deranged mongrel barbarian
      you are sawing off the tree branch you yourself are standing on and are asking "So what" at the same time
      ffs
      Milk, meat, eggs and other good stuff come from the supermarket with guys like these.
      and electricity from the socket, tis Magic dontcha know.
      id tell You, buddy, to go to school, like you told me in another thread here instead of pointing out something wrong with the argument.
      But its way too late for you, you cannot go back to kindergarten, you are too old.

  • @DDD-us6uu
    @DDD-us6uu Před 10 měsíci

    That was a fantastic show, thank you John, I completely agree with you.

  • @thetoymanator7723
    @thetoymanator7723 Před 10 měsíci +1

    As to all the bell curves and parabola's, they might be better spinning in ever decreasing circles until they disappear up their own clacker.

  • @mnkybndit
    @mnkybndit Před 10 měsíci +3

    With the volume of Muppets invading your comment section, we're going to have to start calling you Jim Henson

  • @JamesKuffner-cg2pv
    @JamesKuffner-cg2pv Před 10 měsíci +9

    Until battery technology improves substantially EVs kind of don't make much sense, especially in aus. Not very enviro friendly but fun to drive in a city. Cheers to the great content. 👍

    • @guringai
      @guringai Před 10 měsíci +2

      Mate, I, like many, drive our EVs all over the country.

    • @isaac827
      @isaac827 Před 10 měsíci

      Electric vehicles actually do make a lot of sense, the technology is currently sufficient but it is a valid point that we are nowhere near ready for them to be the only option. Our infrastructure was not designed for it and the lithium shortage is going to be a major roadblock.

    • @alanakafang6143
      @alanakafang6143 Před 10 měsíci +2

      ​@@guringaihow many days does it take you to drive to Melbourne?

    • @guringai
      @guringai Před 10 měsíci +1

      @@alanakafang6143 Could easily do it in one, but we normally stay overnight on the way when holidaying.
      Plenty of superchargers which are always working

  • @M_MTsc
    @M_MTsc Před 10 měsíci

    Great channel. Appreciate you're evidence approach. Nice watch 😊

  • @kaya051285
    @kaya051285 Před 10 měsíci +1

    It would be nice if people realised how relatively little energy passanger cars use
    My home uses typically 30,000 KWh of gas for heating while my car uses only ~5,000 KWh of petrol per year
    A heat pump or insulating my home would do FAR more to lower my emmissions than switching to an EV

  • @Aiken47
    @Aiken47 Před 10 měsíci +31

    They still haven’t shown environmental benefits of EVs for the full life cycle of the vehicle. I can’t even absorb the level of hypocrisy to get cadmium and lithium.

    • @AutoExpertJC
      @AutoExpertJC  Před 10 měsíci +13

      And cobalt. And manganese.

    • @peterrech2307
      @peterrech2307 Před 10 měsíci

      @@AutoExpertJC

    • @CarbonEternity
      @CarbonEternity Před 10 měsíci +9

      I've watched some videos about the cobalt mines in Africa, its pretty nuts how dreadful the conditions are.

    • @hectorshouse7348
      @hectorshouse7348 Před 10 měsíci

      Virtuous tax dodgers don’t give a sh1t about that@@CarbonEternity

    • @guringai
      @guringai Před 10 měsíci +6

      ​@@CarbonEternity. Fortunately 1/2 the world's EVs have no cobalt or manganese.
      Increasingly they're moving away from these.

  • @tgb-nm8yd
    @tgb-nm8yd Před 10 měsíci +3

    Greetings from the Netherlands, the land of burning car ferries. Do you think that we, as a species, are going tp solve global warming at all? Or do you think we are screwed?

    • @patricksee10
      @patricksee10 Před 10 měsíci

      Not screwed, the high cost of energy will bring forward a proper economic response such as nukes, hydrogen and far better utility of existing energy sources. German industry and the people will discover reality, perhaps as earth as next northern winter

  • @davidrandall2742
    @davidrandall2742 Před 9 měsíci

    According to the chief of the salvage company dealing with the Fremantle has said that not only did the fire not start with an EV, but it looks like none of the EVs on the ship even burned.
    "However, between 900 and 1000 cars including the EVs appeared to be in good condition, the chief of salvage company Royal Boskalis Westminster NV, Peter Berdowski, told media last week."
    The Driven, Aug 14th 2023.

  • @Matt-Jones
    @Matt-Jones Před 10 měsíci +3

    Love your videos mate. Can I what do you think will replace ICE do you think this might be Hydrogen? or something else?

    • @AutoExpertJC
      @AutoExpertJC  Před 10 měsíci +6

      There's nothing on the horizon as practical as ICE.

    • @hobo1704
      @hobo1704 Před 10 měsíci +1

      Why replace something that works?

    • @trevornewman1462
      @trevornewman1462 Před 10 měsíci +1

      Obviously, hover boards. The cold fusion powered ones.

    • @Knowbody42
      @Knowbody42 Před 10 měsíci

      We don't know what technological advancements might happen in the future. And the majority of predictions people try to make end up being wrong.
      Maybe someone will come up with new battery technology that enables EVs to take over.
      Maybe someone will figure out how to make ICE cars 2 or 3 times more efficient, and make it even harder for something else to replace them.
      Maybe someone will invent a completely new technology altogether.
      We won't really know unless/until it happens.
      Then all the armchair experts will show up to tell us they knew it would happen all along.

    • @hobo1704
      @hobo1704 Před 10 měsíci

      @@Knowbody42 why? Car emissions are not the problem..

  • @andoletube
    @andoletube Před 10 měsíci +4

    The amount of stupidity on offer here is both shocking and inspiring. Plus it gives JC something to do on a Sunday.

  • @alansellen4561
    @alansellen4561 Před 10 měsíci

    John how do you see the 2nd hand market for evs

  • @nerdy_dav
    @nerdy_dav Před 10 měsíci +1

    Here is an idea for saving the environment.
    1. Cities should become carless.
    2. Public investment into public transport
    3. Re-engineering cities for bicycle, ebikes, scooters and walking.
    4. High speed intercity transport, (planes, trains)
    5. ICE cars used for country and extended suburbia.
    Obviously, there are 100's of ways that the above could be cut. However, absolutely none of them are conducive to increasing profits. So, they have shit all chance of becoming a reality unless capitalism is given the old shot in the back of the head.
    We also need to become a lot better at recycling and building products that last longer. But again. No one builds long-lasting products anymore because, long-lasting products don't keep those lovely profits high.

  • @grantleyhughes
    @grantleyhughes Před 10 měsíci +4

    I daily drive a 2000 ML320 with 294,000kms I picked up for 1500 bills. It takes about two minutes to recharge to 100% and tows a 16ft powerboat. Range anxiety just isn't an issue. Let me know when an EV is up to this and I'll buy it. Used after depreciation.

    • @williammillard687
      @williammillard687 Před 10 měsíci +1

      ..computer says "no"...

    • @Tschacki_Quacki
      @Tschacki_Quacki Před 10 měsíci

      It never will. Just like no smartphone ever had a battery run time like your old Nokia.
      But that doesn't matter. You simply stick with your Benz just like you still use your Nokia too. No problem.

    • @grantleyhughes
      @grantleyhughes Před 10 měsíci

      @@Tschacki_Quacki A stupid comparison. They've gone from just a phone to a all encompassing device you use for all sorts of tasks. The EV only does what any other car will do. Just not as well. And you assume I only have one car. The ML gets to sit outside in the elements and go to carparks. The newer one not so. And I get four days from my Pro Max. So there's that too.

    • @Tschacki_Quacki
      @Tschacki_Quacki Před 10 měsíci

      @@grantleyhughes Any other car can't drive gearless. Any other car can't give you instant torque. Any other car doesn't have a remote controlled HVAC system you can turn on anywhere, anytime. Any other car cannot be fueled with power from the roof. Any other car cannot be fueled with 10€ for 400km. Any other car cannot be fueled for free as a customer incentive. Any other car does not have brakes lasting for 150.000km. Any other car doesn't make it 100.000km without any major maintenance.
      Any other car does definitely not what EVs can do.
      The comparison is just as bad as EV vs. ICE cause EVs can do so much more that they are the overall better product, exactly like a modern mobile phone compared to a corded phone, despite having one or two disadvantages.
      That's exactly the point.

  • @TheBandit7613
    @TheBandit7613 Před 10 měsíci +4

    To replace ICE cars, EV's need to be better. I don't think they are. I don't want an EV, even at a low price. I'm happy with my ICE vehicles.

    • @guringai
      @guringai Před 10 měsíci +1

      They are mate, except for a few teething problems with just a few examples getting way more than the fair share of attention, due to novelty.

    • @TheBandit7613
      @TheBandit7613 Před 10 měsíci +1

      @@guringai What happens when 150,000,000 people get off work and go home, plugging their 240 volt,, 50 amp car charger in? (USA)
      The US doesn't have enough power in the grid for 10% of that. Where will it come from?
      The "switch" from ICE to EV's is being done by activists instead of engineers.

    • @wandpj
      @wandpj Před 10 měsíci

      @@TheBandit7613 Then the available energy supply is rationed.

    • @guringai
      @guringai Před 10 měsíci

      @TheBandit7613
      The electricity networks & retailers are working on incentives for consuming power in the middle of the day when there is too much electricity in the market & generators are switched off.
      Our retailer allows this & we normally charge for the weeks ~350ks for under $4.
      This is normal in the UK too, & no doubt in many other parts of the world.
      I work in the energy industry & also study the engineers work - of those who actually operate the grid in Australia & they don't give a hoot what the activists reckon. They are just getting on with the grid upgrades.

    • @dwindeyer
      @dwindeyer Před 10 měsíci

      @@TheBandit7613 The only realistic way to deal with that is to tank energy at the charging location which is trickle charged from the grid. But that is quite an expense to add on top of the car.

  • @50yobeast
    @50yobeast Před 10 měsíci +2

    Thank you for stating the obvious re the ev question, it is extremely concerning to hear the level of lack of understanding reality in some of the comments you have raised probably not as concerning as policy makers who make decisions with the same level of lack of understanding. Keep up the good work..

  • @ronlokk
    @ronlokk Před 9 měsíci +1

    I am so glad that John does not curse or use foul words.. Too much. Paradigm what? Was it shift or sh... never mind. All the best.

  • @mawsoncasey7347
    @mawsoncasey7347 Před 10 měsíci +5

    Problem is when dealing with EV fans , if you don’t agree with their narrative they have a tantrum and just share with you their delusions.

  • @Knowbody42
    @Knowbody42 Před 10 měsíci +7

    Unless someone comes up with a new battery technology that enables batteries to be built with cheap, abundant materials, and hopefully without the kinds of dangers that lithium batteries have, I don't see electric cars taking over. Even on a 50 year time span.
    Batteries are *the* sticking point.

    • @GadgetMart
      @GadgetMart Před 10 měsíci +2

      We already have that.
      It’s called lead/acid worked great on the milk floats of the 1970s.
      (That’s all EVs are good for, local trips)

    • @csjrogerson2377
      @csjrogerson2377 Před 10 měsíci

      @@GadgetMart How fast did your milk float go and how far??? Fred Flintstone had lead-acid batteries. Li-Ion batteries were introduced for a reason, any idea why???? Duh.

    • @Knowbody42
      @Knowbody42 Před 10 měsíci

      @@GadgetMart lead acid doesn't compare in energy density per volume or per weight.

    • @GadgetMart
      @GadgetMart Před 10 měsíci +1

      @@csjrogerson2377 plenty fast enough.
      You do realise 20mph speed limits are next?

    • @GadgetMart
      @GadgetMart Před 10 měsíci +2

      @@Knowbody42 Yes I know.
      I’m taking the piss - however the smaller lighter and more energy dense you go. The nearer you get to a bomb. Fact

  • @southerncross1941
    @southerncross1941 Před 10 měsíci +2

    John, could you comment on what the results of an EV fire inside of the M5 and or M8 tunnels.

    • @mathewrussell1533
      @mathewrussell1533 Před 10 měsíci +2

      Doesn’t matter what the fuel source is. A fire is going to be a problem. The Mont Blanc Tunnel fire is a perfect example of how fires in a tunnel are a bad thing especially if managed badly. 39 people died in 1999.

  • @misterbacon4933
    @misterbacon4933 Před 10 měsíci +1

    This comments are making my day! Perfect! 😂

  • @johnt7696
    @johnt7696 Před 10 měsíci +3

    To build a EV vehicle it takes about nearly twice the amount of carbon dioxide than to build a ICE vehicle. A percentage of those vehicles will not last until the cost of the carbon dioxide is recouped .So these vehicles are a carbon dioxide loss. So how many EVS will not make it past 4 years or 60000 klm due to accidents or fires and then its if its a fire how many other vehicles can they damage or destroy. So is this really the way to reduce emissions.

    • @davidbuderim2395
      @davidbuderim2395 Před 10 měsíci

      And that assumes 100% of electricity comes from solar or wind. Where I live it's 90% coal in the evening and night when most people charge their vehicles. So if you are really disciplined and have solar panels you can break even at 60,000 km, but for most people it's heading towards 600,000 km.

  • @paulhenner8914
    @paulhenner8914 Před 10 měsíci +3

    EV is old hat Hydrogen is the future ! !

    • @AutoExpertJC
      @AutoExpertJC  Před 10 měsíci +3

      Not really.

    • @wizzyno1566
      @wizzyno1566 Před 10 měsíci

      No its not.

    • @TheBandit7613
      @TheBandit7613 Před 10 měsíci

      Gas powered ICE is still easier and better.

    • @TheInvoice123
      @TheInvoice123 Před 10 měsíci

      Hydrogen is generated from electricity and is inefficient

    • @mathewrussell1533
      @mathewrussell1533 Před 10 měsíci

      They have been trying hydrogen for over 30 years and can’t get it right and cost effective. It’s what car companies keep dangling and have been dangling so they have to do the least amount possible

  • @jaqjaq101
    @jaqjaq101 Před 8 měsíci

    I definitely agree with you john
    I have put my estimate for EVs to become more wide spread (especially in the transport industry) to between 70-100 years UNLESS there is a major breakthrough in materials engineering
    This is purely based upon the trend of improvment of energy density in lithium ion batteries over the last few decades
    For local work, where the vehicles can park up and charge over night, i give that closer to 30 years
    Sure you could have pure electric trucks now, the problem is trucks are basically paid by how much weight they can carry
    The weight that you lose by the extra weight of the batteries is not small about $200-$500 per T of cargo lost depending on the cargo type
    With thin margins that transport operate under
    The expensive upgrade to EVs is alot to expect
    This estimate isnt even including supply,
    Or even the level of power grid needed to charge all these EVs

  • @sirstevo
    @sirstevo Před 10 měsíci

    Dude, that loop-the-loop, 360, camera stuff was awesome! Might have to get one. Is that the kind of camera you would use if filming in a car?

  • @FredPilcher
    @FredPilcher Před 10 měsíci

    "Hoping that the free market will step in and get it right once again." Gold. 🤣
    Wow! That GoPro's amazing! Nice setup!

  • @davidmclauchlan8261
    @davidmclauchlan8261 Před 10 měsíci +2

    Great information as usual JC we need more people like you that present the facts backed by your training , intelect and research .Pity our politicians aren't capable of the same if they were we would not be headed for such potential disarters that I can see coming !

    • @fwqkaw
      @fwqkaw Před 10 měsíci

      I reckon pollypottydisarseters is better if you like word invention.

    • @maxtorque2277
      @maxtorque2277 Před 10 měsíci

      "Training, intekect and reseach"? hmm, what actual qualiifiaction does he have on this subject? I mean, i've watched some you-tube videos and i've googled "how to fly an airliner" so you'd be happy for me to be sat upfront in the pointy bit doing the flying next time you jet off on hols with your family right??? ;-)

  • @iansalgado8710
    @iansalgado8710 Před 10 měsíci

    love the t-shirt John 👍👍👍👍

  • @markh.6687
    @markh.6687 Před 10 měsíci +2

    ...and they still sell corded phones. :) Great work, Sir John! The fight against humanity's stupidity continues! As they said in Starship Troopers: "I'm doing my part!"

  • @tkhiem
    @tkhiem Před 10 měsíci

    The analogy of crab/lobster cracks me up every time 😂 .

    • @AutoExpertJC
      @AutoExpertJC  Před 10 měsíci

      Imagine the same story, but dogs and cats instead of lobsters and crabs...

  • @gerrymccarthy9568
    @gerrymccarthy9568 Před 10 měsíci

    Love it John! Great show.

  • @user-iy6de7qi1r
    @user-iy6de7qi1r Před 7 měsíci

    John, I was reading about electric cars back in the late sixties, when the first emergency cycle started in my young life. Electric cars preceded gas cars. My daughter chides me for wearing my green or brown T shirts from the gulf war. Thanks for an interesting walk about through Sydney.

  • @jefftheaussie2225
    @jefftheaussie2225 Před 10 měsíci

    In the old days that wonderful metropolis you refer to was known, west of the sandstone curtain, as Shitney. I suppose it has grown up to become Shitsville. Jeff.

  • @kimazbell460
    @kimazbell460 Před 9 měsíci

    Absolutely brilliant commentary! As a farmer from the middle of the US, there is no way possible for the ICE to be replaced. During harvest it is not uncommon for a combine to spend weeks away from the nearest "charging station"! LOL. What idiots!

  • @walterfurian8806
    @walterfurian8806 Před 10 měsíci +1

    Thanks John in providing some fact and commonsense to these Nuff nuffs.

  • @paulputnam2305
    @paulputnam2305 Před 10 měsíci

    I’m dying here with coffee running through my sinuses and dripping from my nose…
    You are Absolutely Positively Awesomeness Extreme. Thank You!
    Much Love

  • @rhinogooner
    @rhinogooner Před 10 měsíci +2

    Watching Outback Truckers here in the UK and the 1000’s of miles they do in the barren parts of Australia, electric trucks could never work.

  • @z06doc86
    @z06doc86 Před 10 měsíci

    Nice GoPro setup!