Runescape's Biggest Conspiracy Theory (6.6B Risk)
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- čas přidán 18. 01. 2023
- Do you think Jagex are hiding this?
Giveaway of the full loot! / discord
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Next video - YOU WON'T BELIEVE HOW MUCH THESE REV PVMERS RISK :DDDD!!
LOOOL ffs, I always put a cheeky disclaimer
Making max cash from rev pk'ing. Just a 10 sec video of you deleting him and showing the loot key.
💪🏾💯
LOOOL
Learnt from the best
Now do 2500 kills with barely any risk, and let's compare numbers
🎉
Exactly, funny that he didn't like or reply to your comment. He's a blah blah guy.
@@Westsidegangnation You okay? Need a hug? Or a glass or milk? Little man child... lmao
@@TheSkidds Chill kid
@@Westsidegangnation Oof... So scared you deleted your comments. What a puss.
The wiki says a rev dragon is worth 41k per kill skulled, so you'd expect to get around 100m in drops if you killed 2500. Seems more likely that this isn't a thing based on that.
Also lines up with his other 3k rev kill video, with only a 1.2b risk
You didn't take into account drop rates at all, He got a chainmace, multiple emblems etc all super rare, sure could be coincidence etc and probably is, but if he did a recap showing what he actually got according to drop rate it would be very interesting. a lot of 1/4k's despite only 2.5k kills is weird
@@r8gg just because it's rare dont mean its gonna take that long lol
@@RsChrisG exactly. Something could be 1/1,000,000,000 chance and you could literally get it on the first kill.
You are right on drop rate for the bracelets. The expected value for 2500 kc would be 377 bracelets, and you have 372. That being said perhaps there is only an increased drop rate (due to high risk) for the high value/totem/emblem drops. In order to analyze that I would calculate the probability of getting ANY totem/emblem, and from that calculate the expected number of any type of totem/emblem you’d get. I’ve done that for you (when you want to know probability of “A or B”, you calculate by doing P(A)+P(B)=P(A or B). Then to calculate expected value you multiply probability by kc), roughly, here it is: 2500((1/1333)+(1/2000)+(1/4000)+3(1/8000))=4.68, i.e. you expect about 5 totems/emblems of some sort at the end of 2500 kc. You got 8, which is 3 more than the expectation, is that significant? I don’t know for sure.
It’s not
Do people remember when you had “earned potential” by standing in the Wiley for a certain amount of time with “X” amount of risk? The higher your EP the better chance you had for getting better loot
omg core memory
Pepperidge farm remembers
Bro, you teleported me back to 2010, stop
Yeah that was just after the bounty hunter volcano was removed, you had to risk atleast 75k this was also when “sparc mac ninja turtled a green dragon bot for a dragon full helm”
wasnt this heavily abused in "hotspots" and people would farm dfull helms etc?
You should have calculated your drop rate of emblems/wildy weapons and compared it to the stated drop rates. Can't really tell how lucky you got on the drops. But your theory does sound pretty probable.
I always enjoy these videos thanks for taking the time to risk that much but put out this type of content cause not many people do
Pretty conclusive proof that p n m is using that bot. Should send it to jagex tipoff
Yea they won’t do shit generally, maybe if Rhys sent it in id be different. But normally they legit wont do a thing.
They should legit add that to the game, risk more, better loots
3:03 "the ol dds aint hitting that" lmao
"The ol dds aint hittin that" 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Extremely entertaining to watch! Keep up the good work man :)
How haven't I seen this RS YT account before? You're videos make afk training so enjoyable. Thank you!
You’re so close to completing that collection log!! Keep going!
As if risking FULL MAX in rev caves wasn't enough, Rhys finds a way to risk even more lmao
Actual gigachad, you're actually insanely underrated brother
Mate your mad, loving the content :D think i needa practice escaping pk'rs as i always seem to die before i get to chaos altar 😂
Do this with 20b risk to see if you get 4x the drops and bring in Dino and Solo as body guards to hit you in case someone logs in
Bro you last vid in the wildy when you was killing it the thought went through my head loool
Awesome vid man, you'll have to retry this if they make wildy weapons more common
This is a crazy video! Keep up the great work!
nice vid ur insanely confident lol i feel like that mod wouldnt have held out on mechanics when he told ROT about the skulled revs thing.
Your confidence in these rev vids astounds me. Top tier content as always bro. Love these rev vids
Subbed. Rhys content starting to get very good.
You're a beast my dude! Thanks for the content!!!
dino saying "fuck" was so damn funny
Love the vid rhys keep up the great work g
Rhys is literally the definition of “never let them know you’re next move”. 🤣
you are next move
Are you next move?
loooool
Yeah I reckon you should do a 0gp -1b or even 10b from rev loot alone. Or a 100,000 rev kc series
New drinking game: take a shot every time Rhys gets an emblem. We’d be waking up with quite the headache the next day
A lot of people are talking about drop rate but don't seem to understand how it works. Every single drop you have the exact same chance to get any of the drops on the table. Just because you get something more often doesn't mean it's more of a chance to get it. They just added more of that item to the table then the higher valued ones. ( You have 100 chances of basic loot each, but only 1 chance of the high end loot) it's all still 1 chance
I was in Dino’s stream when you traded him that makes it even more hilarious 😂
I love seeing maxed out RS content
enjoyed it rhys hopin you cover the reworked wildy boss stuff next week
Yeah I'm massively looking forward to it!
Dino just wheeze laughing in disbelief was hilarious
Fully expecting someone to die for their whole banks after watching this lol
Hope not, disclaimers n dat
Best conspiracy theory on the internet.
Well put together.👏
I can smell a venny's mouth watering from here.
ive noticed this a while ago, when i do wilderness slayer in rag i get shit loot, if i bring a good +1, it rains larrans keys
hypothesis testing from statistics can be used to answer this question
If it were a secret mechanic it might not work above max value risk of 2.1b
M8 a bit nerve racking is the biggest underestimate I've heard so far in 2023. If that were me my computer chair would have chunks out of the seat just from the pucker factor
Love the vids keep up the good work
“Risk” as in catch a freeze and log.
These vids are why I'm glad I Subbed. I'd like to say deeper wildy lv = more loot but I already asked Mod Ash and he said no :(
The mission is simple, skull, bring a 2b+ item. 3a pic etc, bring trash gear with no food only ppots to prevent you from getting smited. Prot item off unless ur being attacked by players.
you should kill 2.5k drags in venny gear now to compare.
Insane bro keep up the awesome vids 🙂
I thought you were gonna do this AND not bank like last vid lol, that'd be truly insane
I’ve got Sceptre and Mace from Goblins unskulled on my iron in 7k kills naked with D scim I doubt risk is involved.
the true king of the caves revenant
Rhys: "1 thing I did want to mention is I probably won't be doing this for a long time". Inbefore the next vid titled: My theory is correct: Rev caves PvM with 20B risk!
"shitbag made me pause gielinor games" lmfao
I fucking love your content man, always going big and your switches are great! Hahah, can't blame Dino for trying, xD
even if this theory is actually true, i imagine there is some sort of cap to how much you can improve your chances with risk. probably anything above 1B risk would not add anything, though this is just my guess.
Yeah no clue what these figures would be if it was true
wildy risking NEVER gets old, especially with good pkers lol
You've gotta include the time spent & gp/hour in max gear b/c no one else does this xD Also do a comparison to the avg loot from last vid where you used max gear minus the plats ;) good video though.
Awesome video! Do you think using a divine rune pouch with blood and ice spells would be better than just ice sacks?
Yeah i'd say so if you don't mind risking the parchment, I don't have the thread though haha
Not too tough to get, even running entry modes.. Just thought it might be added food/health in case of any emergencies
@@bammillerr yeah honestly might be a shout to just do some entry modes to grab one
@@RhysOSRS I will carry you through toa for free
@@RhysOSRS come on Rhys even dino has been ToA 🤣
I actually have pretty insane luck at revs and I risk a decent amount with an insane log. However, I'm not risking Torva haha. I have like all 3 rev weapons in 2k rev dragons. Just missing the top 3 ancient totems.
You are a machine! Freaking cool video 🔥
Absolutely nutty... but I do love a good conspiracy theory
your mad mate ,that is a huge risk
That should be enough evidence to ban that P n M guy for botting.
Wiki numbers have always been wrong in my opinion.
The Dino clip ahahaha
I think it’s definitely possible. There’s also all of the clips of pkers killing the imps and getting emblems/rev weapons. The drop rate of emblems is 1/12k to 1/24k, and the drop rate for a weapon is 1/121k. Yet I know multiple people who have gotten it. The pkers would be risking 100m+ at the time. Very good chance you’re right about this.
Side note, Back in bounty hunter days risk was determined without accounting for protect item so I don’t think that would matter
Confirmation bias. You ever see 10 000 clips of people killing imps and not getting anything?
Or people you know complaining they went tens of thousands dry for no weapon?
you heard em boys! make sure to bring your bank to revs.
Pretty sure if the game had such a mechanic it wouldnt count risk over the max cash stack but nice vid ty
Insane risk man, respect :D
Lol nice job outing the scout nooble
if i remember correctly when revs were multi, being skulled had a better drop rate nevertheless sick video
yeah, but for a long time it wasn't public and only made public after Jed leaked it to his mates for a while.
Dino is actually so hilarious
I love a good conspiracy theory, nice vid giga chad, chadius maximus
I wasn't pking but 2 weeks ago I entered the rev caves, and I got an ancient relic after my 14th Demon kill....I was SHOOK. Literaly 5 minutes turned into 15.5 mil lol
100% agree, my log is insane too but i go in like 100k risk lol.
definitely doesn't matter how much you're risking
Now to really assess if the drop rate is altered with risk.... risk 6.6b and kill nothing but rev imps.
Would never trust my internet connection trying this 🤣
I did hear if you drop 500m in front of a guy called “nobrainer” in the revenant cave you get insane luck
I green logged revs @ 3k kc with 90% of the kills being dragons. The dragon is cracked for sure
Best video intro I’ve ever seen
After watching your rev vids I started gearing up in 40m risk to kill rev dragons. It a pretty fun way to make some gp while risking and practicing pvp
Remember to only risk what you're willing to lose though! Glad you're having fun in the wilderness though.
@@RhysOSRS For sure. I mainly just enjoy the challenge of escaping, but I also want to lower the risk and get better at anti pking
I heard th Starr and though easy just take 2 inv slots and fill with max cash and noted items.
Now try with 13.2b risk and see if you get twice as much loot
Surprised you couldn't have tried this in a beta server
Makes sense cause all the bots are in low risk shitty gear and they cant get control of them
My conspiracy is that revs get boosted defense at low health.
how much was expected to be made?
based on expected and actual, how likely was it that the claimed drop rates are untrue?
U got more stats in 2k mills then I did in 8k
Insane to see how calm you remain when risking 5B I'd be shaking like a leaf lmfao
Keep up the sick videos, man!
Risky, risky!
Your luck is based off loss. If you die to a player for risk you will have better luck across the board.
I went into the rev caves for the first time the other day and I was having a heart attack trying to fend off a pker when I was only risking 200k
I think I would have died of a brain aneurysm if I was risking that much money.
haha keep going you'll keep improving and get used to the rush you get!
@@RhysOSRS It was definitely a rush mate hahahahaha
Mark my words: this guy is about to become the new Torvesta
No he won't. His stuff is closer to what A Friend used to pump. 10 hours of doing X.
I don't get how using scout bots isn't bannable.
I will say I was killing revs on my lvl 79 maxed g maul pure with bowfa unskulled risking probably a glory and d hide chaps and in 8 kills at lvl 98 demons I got a ancient relic and chainmace
Seems like they were right about skull
another great video thanks
u gotta do the same with lower risk
Someone needs to point this out: to get somewhat accurate results to test statistical averages, your sample size should be at least 10x the "droprate", in this case - to test it properly you should do at least 22-25k kills with risk and same without to compare the results. Otherwise - insane risk and good vid brother!
'#
Dude your luck is unreal I have over 4k rev kills and nothing to show for it I got the worst rng. It great video keep them coming :)