Iceland Volcano Update; Which Volcano Will Erupt Next?
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- čas přidán 22. 05. 2024
- Iceland has experienced 7 volcanic eruptions in only 3 years, and may soon eventually face an 8th eruption. However, this might not neccessarily occur on the Reykjanes peninsula, with 4 volcanoes showing what could best be described as primed for a future eruption. This video will discuss the 4 of Iceland's 34 volcanoes that the author of this video thinks are most likely to produce Iceland's next volcanic eruption if we ignore the Reykjanes and Fagradalsfjall volcanoes. So, what do you think? Be sure to let me know in the comments section below.
Thumbnail Photo Credit: Boston Heath, BostonHeath.com, Used with Permission
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Sources/Citations:
[1] Vedur.is / Iceland Met Office
[2] Catalogue of Icelandic Volcanoes, icelandicvolcanoes.is
0:00 Which Volcano Will Erupt Next?
1:00 Krysuvik
2:11 Eldey
2:56 Grimsvotn
3:50 Hekla
5:02 Conclusion
I vote for Askja. Lots of deformation and "melting road" nearby.
What I was thinking. But who knows?
Is there really a melting road? I thought that was on the Reykjanes peninsula next to Route 1
@@IXSEVEN9 Oh sorry, my mistake. The melting road is actually near the Hengill volcano, south east of Reykjavik. Just Icelandic has posted a few videos about that.
@@soly-dp-colo6388 yeah that’s right. But yeah Askja is definitely reloading, the uplift in recent years has at times been very significant
@@IXSEVEN9 I'm not even sure there are paved roads in the area. I don't think there are.
In addition to the names you mentioned, I would put Bárdarbunga and Askja in my guesses, both have shown a lot of seismic activity and ground deformation.
That's exactly my stance too, whilst I agree with the video's suggested volcanoes. These 2 are really showing signs that something is going on under them
Aksja is my top pick, inflation is steadily ongoing there. Other is Katla, as it is another of overdue volcanoes, it erupts around once every 100 years and it has been 106 years already
Askja. There has been multiple long periods of unrest at that volcano in the last few years which signals to me that something has been trying to happen there for awhile. If it was just one period of unrest that’d be an anomaly, but the fact there has been serval makes me think that there is a long term magmatic intrusion that is persistently forcing its way upwards and unless it all of a sudden stops completely, it will make its way to the surface. It may not be soon, and it might not be the next volcanic eruption in Iceland, but I would be surprised if nothing happens by the end of the decade.
Pretty spot on - if I were to add any, I would add Bardarbunga (close in on Grimsvotn) and Askja, of course.
Askja and Bárðarbunga are both high up on the list, but as you said, Hekla is well overdue...
The Reykjanes system is the obvious choice, and given the current influx of magma I would expect either a boost to the current or a new eruption to occur soon. If we take Reykjanes out of the running, I think Askja is a good candidate; though another system on the Retkjanes peninsula is also a good pick.
Thanks for all of your hard work man!
Thanks as always, Geology Hub.
I think it will be the Grimsvotn volcano. Your videos are so informative! I used to watch other channels, like the USGS. But they can nit compare to your level of information! Thank you.
Thanks for the continued updates on this subject. Greg. 😊
What an excellent idea for a video, GH.
I will go for Laki, simply because I like the occasional wild card and it gets boring simply adding my name to the most logical candidates.
Great video 🌋
Hekla has been less than quiet lately
What about Askja? hasn't that one been showing uplift recently as well?
Between This comment, and when GeologyHub posted this, it is still inside Hekla's typical warning window. Seeing how my comment happened too, I'm voting for Hekla.
If I had to chose it would be Grimsvotn...although, Hekla is also overdue...and the there is also Askja
Wow! That is a boatload of volcanoes in one little country!
The entire island is there due to geologically recent volcanic activity, similar to Hawaii. All the volcanic activity in modern times was very minor, compared to eruptions of Hekla or Laki in historic times.
That's Iceland for you!
Ever look at New Mexico? Has a 1300 square mile, not km but miles magma body under Socorro. Look up G-Hub's Socorro Magma Body. I live 20 miles from a maar that blew up bigger than Mt. St. Helen' 1980 eruption' worth of tephra as part of the Potrillo Volcanic Field, called Kilbourne Hole. Then of course the 2nd largest Caldera in the US called the Valles Caldera. Much much more and it's not finished. Only the Cascades have more activity than NM.
@@donaldduck830 Yeah its a volcano on top of a volcano in essence with the ridge extension/rifting episodes giving it a fairly unique character.
For example the Laki fissure eruption from Grímsvötn 1783-1784) much like Eldgjá(939) was for Katla as it represented the most recent Mid Ocean Ridge rifting episode along the recurrent fissure lineaments where one of magma chambers of Iceland's major stratovolcanoes fed by the hot spot resides.
Bárdarbunga Katla and Grímsvötn are the 3 which generally produce the most extreme such eruptions with the combination generally leading to highly voluminous eruptions with a major explosive component.
Other major volcanoes along the ridge produce similar episodes but of smaller magnitudes though smaller being relative as Askja's 1875 Plinian eruption occurred due to one such cycle allowing rhyolitic and basaltic magmas to mix with explosive results.
Bárdarbunga doesn't have a clear recent comparable scale explosive but primarily voluminous scale effusive eruption though furtehr back in time the Þjórsá Lavas (6650 BCE ± 50 BC) as the largest effusive eruption on Earth during the Holocene stand out though their volume is suspected to have been amplified by deglaciation. Though the 1477 Veiðivötn explosive VEI 6 eruption may have been one of these eruptions from Bárdarbunga turned explosive due to phreatomagmatic character.
I don't know much about if this cycle applies to Öræfajökull which Geology Hub had covered fairly recently or really a whole bunch of the too many to name Icelandic volcanoes as its hard to know what all areas were effected by this process
Nice Photos
I think it's going to be Askja, great deformation and moderate seismic activity, Bardarbunga and Katla are also concerning volcanos, but inly time knows the answer
Scary about Hekla.
i am going with the super wild card.... an unknown volcano
Askja, bardabounga, and katla, on top of the ones geology hub mentioned. Katla I think is like hekla. The story goes when Eyjafjallajökull erupts, katla will erupt soon after. That was in 2010, 14 years ago and katla hasn’t erupted yet.
Hekla
Katla
Grimvötn
Barðabounga
Askja
Edly
Rykjanes
Fagrdaultskull
Are all volcanoes poised to erupt. But we might not get an eruption out of fagradualtskull this year because the magma chamber under it might be drained too much or be directed to rkjanes. Barðabunga erupts every 10 years last eruption 2014. Grimavötn is every 5-10 years too I believe. Askja is an unknown. And Hekla and katla are wildcards
Thank you once again! I vota Hekla and Askja.
I’m predicting katla
I vote Eldey. It's been active even when the peninsula is quiet. Now that the peninsula has woken up, I think it will definitely be joining the party at some point.
I would put Askja on this List, she made a few signs of unrest in the last few years, and if i‘m not mistaken is due to make an eruption. 🌋 Great Video as always.
After the Reykjanes sistem, I would go for Grimsvötn, then Askja, Barðarbunga, Katla and finally Hekla.
32 volcanoes!! That’s a touch greedy. Thanks for your vid.
I vote Katla: the most overdue for the eruption is Katla (4th most active volcano in Iceland, has been resting for a long time) resting for over 100 years and 24 eruptions in 1000 years?? Let's count!!
Yes and there has been concern recently regarding Katia with earthquakes in the area
Askja i think will be the next one to erupt great video thanks again
I hella pick heckla 🤘🏼😉🤘🏼
So neat!
Have you done one on the The Socorro Caldera is a large volcanic collapse structure, 12 miles in diameter, that is partly exposed in the mountains southwest of Socorro. Following its collapse, the Socorro caldera was then quiescent for 1.5 million years, which suggests that the underlying magma system “froze up” (crystallized to granite) shortly after the large volume eruption at 32.5 Ma.
Any one of the major volcano's located under Iceland's largest glacier, which there are several. Hekla also stands a good chance of erupting soon.
Mine is snæfellsjökull. It’s a wild guess, but if the last couple of years of following this channel, I feel it’s as legitimate as grimsvotn or hengill
Iceland names volcanoes like Hekla, and also with names that use every letter in the alphabet three times.
They do happen to speak a completely different language. Quite normal for that language.
Grimsvotn, but I considered Bardarbunga too.
Hekla. This is a ferocious little volcano.
What makes it unique is the chemically stratified magma chamber underneath.
This system fractionates magma at a very high rate into a silicic trachyte upper layer, a median andesite layer and basalt at the bottom.
During every last eruption, the trachyte layer gets erupted first and activity starts as plinian or vulcanian, then the main phase of the eruption is a violent Strombolian activity with abundant andesite lava flows.
At the end there is a short Hawaiian phase where the last drops of the chamber are squeezed out, and sometimes a reversal to trachyte lava dome growth.
Little? It's almost 1500 meters high. Sure, not the highest but I wouldn't call anything over 1000 meters little 😊
My pick would be Asjka
Cool!
any news on Torfajokull? several small series of earthquakes there + some ground deformation. its a wildcard because it has not erupted in the history of human settlement in Iceland...
Hekla to me is one of the craziest volcanoes on Earth for several reasons:
- Unique geological setting and near-unique form. It's almost its own class of volcano.
- Lack of warning signs before eruptions. I'd wager this stems from the underlying geological setting.
- Eruptions opening a fissure across the entire volcano, with a line of lava fountains 5 km long or more.
- Ability to produce VEI 3-5 eruptions, with lingering effects beyond their VEI due to Hekla's high flourine content poisoning the landscape.
The Socorro caldera erupted over 250 cubic miles of mushy rhyolitic (granitic) magma as explosive crystal-rich pryoclastic flows, probably in a few weeks or months.
VIDEO SUGGESTION: Can you do a video on China’s three (or more) inland faults? I’m watching a PBS/Nova video on The Forbidden City which focuses on its architecture’s evolution due to earthquakes. Always found their no-fastener architecture fascinating, but now I understand a bit more how it came to be.
I think the next will be Eyjafjallajokull just because it is hard to pronounce. You must be a Viking to do it.
My vote is for Askja too. Simply due to high ground deformation and another reason I won't get into detail about.
from Iceland, my votes are Askja, Grímsvötn and Katla
Just 54 minutes ago, nice video, askja is also an important candidate
What a place. I can't even begin to fathom what it must be like to live there. I'm left to wonder if people keep their parties quiet for fear of stimulating seismic activity and awakening a volcano under their house.
Askja got my vote
Thinking Hekla could be next, but Bardarbunga is going to wake up with no warning. I am leery of that one sitting under that thick ice.
That was my second pick Bardarbunga
Could you discuss about Wilis Volcanic Complex that located on west of Kelud Volcano?
I would suggest Bardarbunga to be one of the next erupting.
I going with Hekla, and soon (within 3-6 months). Just cause 🙂
Considering the Magma store under and to the west of the current erruption another rift erruption is more likely, including under
Grindavik
and to the north of the current vent.
Askja is a monster. Ir would likely be spectacular if Askja erupted, but my bet is that Grímsvötn is next. My guess isn't based on a scientific evaluation (I'm not qualified), but on reports and comments made over the years by others about a possible eruption there. Iceland sure is an active place!
Laki Fissure.
It's either going to be Katla Grims
Askja, Bardarbunga or Grimsvötn. Oerafajökul, Hekla and Katla are probably going to awake at some point this decade, but probably not anytime soon.
imo fagradalsfall and grindavik system are connected ..
deep underground they are one magma plume
and perhaps katla draws from there also
Katla or Barabunga
Grimsvotn was my choice at the first place
The askja volcano is still producing earthquakes and has some uplift still ongoing. It might be slow, but most of Askjas past eruptions were slowly moving towards the surface. However femoral temperatures did slightly increase in the past week, potentially indicating the movement of magma.
I'm going with Askja. The recent uplift there might be nothing, or not.
I'm going chalk and picking Krysuvick to go next.
What about Katla
Askja has had other volcano enthusiasts from Iceland wondering if maybe it will happen soon as well. My guess is Hekla.
Askja or Katla
I wonder...if the blue Lagoon starts to boil then the ground falls in and a epic explosive eruption follows. Can that happen? 🤔🙂
Definitely Hekla!
I pick Hekla only cuz you would have up to a hour and a half of warning
The Icelandic gate way to hell
@@Vesuviusisking yep
Maybe the Grimsvotn volcano will erupt within the next few years going off past behaviour. Thanks for your content.
All of them.
Ignoring the two most likely, I also think Eldey and expect you to show us satellite photos of discolored water by years end.
I suspect Vestmannaeyjar, Eldey, Askja, Krafla, and Eyjafjallajökull to erupt maybe in this century or next century.
Imma guess Askja, it's shown some signs not too long ago. but I'm an amateur lava nerd, so might be full of it...
Only if we review how in the past there were real or imagined patterns around eruptions on Iceland. In the 13th century we see the same pattern of almost yearly eruptions as today. The pattern shows that Reykjaness has a lot of eruptions, although these were small eruptions as there is no mentioning of details. The eruptions progress from Eldey in 1210, to Reykjaness, to Katla and Hekla and eventually progress towards the volcanoes of Vatnajokull. This cycle ends in 1362 with the biggest eruption ever on Iceland, the eruption of Oreifajokull, that also produced the tsnunami that reached the town of Nijenstede (where I am living) in the Netherlands that was destroyed by it. That eruption produced the Second Marcellus flood and changed the map of the Netherlands when all bogs were removed by the Second Marcellus flood, created 'de Wadden', 'de Zuiderzee (now IJselmeer) and 'de Dollard'. To answer your question, I see the same 200 year progression from West to East, first with small eruptions on Reykjaness. First some more Reykjaness eruptions, then Hekla and Katla and then the Vatnajokull volcanoes erupting. The 1362 eruption produced the biggest landchanging tsunami and subsequent Volcanic winter that I found recorded in yearly weather reports in 'de Betuwe', which mentions acceptionally cold winters and rainy summers from 1362 till about 1372. Why this pattern? Hreppar microplate is responsible for this. This microplate is defined by the volcanoes that are situated at its edge. Hreppar microplate seems to be the result of a meteor slipstrike, creating a weakpoint that was filled in with upwelling magma and thus creating Iceland in the process. Also the seafloor close to Katla volcano gives me reason to believe that a meteor strike may have struck here. I see cenote holes on the seafloor, similar to the meteor strike that wiped out the dinosaurs. My guess is that Krysuvik, Katla or Hekla may be the next to erupt. coachfmvos@gmail.com
The majority of references to the 1362 flood, at least in English, seem to put it down to a storm surge rather than a tsunami and there does seem to be some evidence to support that in the form of references to storms at the time.
Not that that affects your argument for the next Icelandic eruption of course!
I am a Hekla fan.
First choice Reykjanes and then second Hekla. I like wild cards.
Krafla- just because!
I vote for Eldey.
Something west from now. It seems to keep moving in that direction.
Katla? 😀
Eldey but no measuring devices are there is measure
I'd say bardabunga. Heckla close second.
Id say Hekla!!
I like Eyjafjallajökull just because of how hard it is to pronounce haha
It's easy - Mount Un-pro-nounce-able.
Absolutely no offence intended of course.
But there is a right answer! We just don't know it -- yet.
I vote Bárdarbunga
There's definitely a right answer, we just won't know till it happens. 😏
askja, because i like the name
Yes. I like the ‘easy’ names 😂
I would vote for Bardabunga
Hekla I think
Add another vote for Hekla
Would an eruption at Grimsvotn release any pressure from the system that has erupted most recently? If it could, then I vote for Grimsvotn. If it’s independent from the magma chambers and sills that have been active recently, then not. In that case, I would vote for more from the local vents that have produced recently. I hope it’s not Hekla. That’s one scary volcano.
Katla
I agree Katla.
I need to hire you for a voice intro on my channel. Cameo or etc
Hosjkoll, 100% :)
Katla?
I predict katla