Rachel Bitecofer: Election Whisperer | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)
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- čas přidán 11. 09. 2024
- Election forecaster and analyst Rachel Bitecofer joins Bill to discuss how hyper-polarization and extreme partisanship has changed electoral behavior.
This woman seems to be a little too convinced of her own infallibility. Don’t get me wrong, I’m sure she’s very good at what she does and I generally like what she’s saying, I’m just not so certain her projections are as iron clad as she is making them sound.
Yeah, of course she knew everything after the fact lol
Adam White
She operates under the assumption that we’re all going to come out and support the Democratic Party in November despite the fact that the Democratic establishment (and the media) have alienated about one-third of the party in the last two months.
Adam White Found the Bernie Bro
@poe's ReLiC some car crashes can be funny, but when you see the aftermath of bloody bodies, it’s kind of a buzz kill.
@@barkYdarkATFB....bloody bodies? You talkin volunteers?
All this moaning about socialism when it already exists through Social Security, Medicare, and corporate socialism.
Not to mention public schools, public utilities, and public service careers.
@@randyjax09 Americans dont know labels at all
Tiresome isn’t it...especially the corporate socialism !!!
I remember when FICA was the biggest deduction from my paycheck! self funded.
Nick Moody maybe or maybe they are a bunch of Budweiser drinking dummies
Rachel is in love with Rachel’s opinions
If a man were to say what she said would be as critical of her delivery? She is paid to have opinions based on studying past elections. Maher is hanging on her every word (if you didn't notice).
@Vote him Out She "loves " food.
this is her job and she studies alot about the voter. what so bad about that
Well
Her “prediction model” overlooks one major factor in this election. In their own paranoia at the prospect of a Sanders nomination, the Democratic Party establishment & liberal media have relentlessly alienated roughly 1/3 of their party, which happens to be the most energized faction. It’s one thing to go after a candidate, but it’s another thing to go after the voters. It’s something you NEVER do if you’re expecting their support in the General Election. This may not end the way they’re expecting in November.
Exactly. After seeing assholes like Don Lemon laughing while Rick Wilson mocking Trump supporters and David Frum calling Sanders supporters poor and stupid i only want to vote for candidates who aren’t apart of this elitist, corrupt group of people.
@@JamesG314 well said
....it's crazy that you even know about of this nonsense we call a political system, I find it strange people take this serious enough to actually think amy of this matters
@@BillyTheKidAudit we're hoping to try to make it matter. Watch out for the riots in Milwaukee at the Democratic convention. It's gonna be lit
@@Bc232klm .....the only change that could make a difference is massive revolution, the kind that has the power of a natzi Germany, but without the killing of innocent people....everything else is a drop in the bucket
It's a weird day for Real Time uploads lol
@Truth Willout I don't think so, all the other clips made it up.
I take it
I hear u.. very Odd... but welcome..
Michigan coming, got to try a last minute ploy. Any spin will do just don't let people decide on thier own. They'll vote Bernie and we can't have that.😑
@@docmoto6477 Biden is beating Bernie by 20% in the polls. Try again.
She predicted the Dems would pick up seats the last mid term? Everyone did!
Her prediction was much more precise than any of the others. She predicted 2018 almost to the last seat.
60zeller, not everyone, after Trump won, I haven't predicted anything. I haven't said who I think is going to win, or not, I'd rather keep quite and pray silently in order to not disturb the status quo, and I receive anymore unwanted surprises lol.
She also did it before anyone else
Can somebody bring back the old Bill M ??
Not sure why he is so anti Bernie now
Trump Derangement Syndrome started as facetious term peddled on the right against the left. Hilariously, thanks to people like Bill Maher and Sam Harris, the sane left has been forced to adopt the term to describe those in their own party so utterly blinded by their hatred for Trump that they sound deranged when speaking about politics.
I don't know about you, but I refuse to compromise on another do-nothing corporate war mongering centrist just to beat the Republicans, because I cannot foresee a day in which the left likes a Republican enough to give a real change candidate a try.
sandray because Bernie will lose
I can’t believe she is saying to focus less on policies, I think the debates already severely lack substance.
Exactly what "policies" are important to focus on once we have a candidate running against Trump?
Actually focusing too much on policy could be as bad if not worse than focusing too much on character.
Think about it this way, somebody can promise everything under the sun to people. Healthcare for everyone, low taxes, an incredible economy, but if that person is also a frequent liar and thief, it’s probably a bad idea to elect them to the presidency.
Like our current president for example.
policy is why trump won . policy is why a chicano man like me voted for trump . i dont need wealthy white liberals who know nothing about the real world tell a poor brown person like me i need big government .
Name a political debate that has substance.
hans mueller yes, a man named Hans Muller is totally Chicano.
Either way “big government” isn’t what this debate is about.
I agree, but the crazy thing is that Bernie isn't really that much of a socialist. Universal healthcare isn't radical. The government jobs garuntee is ridiculous but I doubt it would pass anyway. If he didn't brand himself socialist he'd have far more electabilty. Warren's plan was similar to Bernies and she wouldn't have receive the commie shtick.
Universal healthcare is radical in my opinion as it further destroys your right to private property through taxation(theft) to fund it.
It gives the government a monopoly.
If monopolies are so bad in the free market then shouldn’t they equally be rejected when the state has one?
Look at the NHS in the UK for 70+ years of evidence in how terrible it will be.
Waiting lists, late diagnoses, inferior drugs available when compared U.S. the list is endless.
Ryan McLaughlin too bad everyone rejects your claim that taxation is theft. Pretty much wasted keystrokes after that.
@@ryanmclaughlin587 I'm from the UK and the NHS is one of the things my country is most proud of. It is consistently supported by the public, the mere suggestion of privatisation is seen as negative among the vast majority of voters. Going against the NHS is a line politicians do not cross.
And you can get private health care in the UK if you want it, the NHS covers everyone who needs it.
What are wait times compared to health care costs being the number 1 reason for bankruptcy.
Inferior drugs? Your private drugs companies push drugs that do not work and opiates that are highly addictive for profit. (And again you can go private in the UK).
You claim late diagnosis, but in the US there are millions who leave their injuries and illnesses for extended periods of time not wanting to claim on their insurance.
As for the business aspect, IMO and the opion of my country, you should not profit off peoples health. Here health care is a human right.
The difference between them being that Bernie won’t hand America over to the corporations to do with as they please and as her record shows her to have done. Of course then also, Bernie isn’t one who would appropriate another ethnicity to explicitly steal their benefits either. I don’t think he would support everything Trump does either in the way that Warren does. In fact I’m beginning to think she may not be anything like Bernie as I haven’t seen any sociopathic tendencies in Bernie at all.
@@davidbriggs8863 I'm not saying that I'm in favour of Warren. I'm saying she has similar policies to Bernie and yet her opponents would not brand her a communist. Because Warren doesn't market herself that way. It would be to Bernie's advantage, so low information voters won't hear roosky, red, commie and not vote for him. It's like that low IQ crap with Hillary's e-mails.
Let's just say I HOPE she is right. Sadly I don't think it matters who the nominee ends up being, the authoritarian monster is going to get 4 more years to finish us off. I had the same feeling about the level of stupidy & gullibility in 2016 as I do now. I've never wanted to be wrong so badly.
0 chance Biden beats Trump.
@@jdavis7993 Here's the thing J Davis...#45 may get reelected, but his health is going to take a turn whereby he will have to make a decision. The human body can't live on the diet that he has had for decades. Also, the strain of getting beat up for 4 years will take its toll mentally making him more shallow and confused than he already is. Melania will also have a say in the matter. She's tired of this circus.
@@jdavis7993 well?
@@jdavis7993 did this guy ever do a new culpa?
Analysts who only sell "confidence" are a curse. She doesn't know anything beyond the casual viewer - but makes money from acting like she does.
Rage of the Turnip just like espn commentators
@@Jay-om8gr - indeed... Everyone's got a view... Some may have wisdom... But saying "this is how it's going down" is nothing but an articulated guess... They shouldn't be paid for such rubbish
No - she clearly knows a LOT more than the casual viewer! It doesn't mean she is definitely right. Some people get results, others don't. And making some money off that is not a crime.
Rage of the Turnip well thankfully no-one give a crap about your view.
Rage of the Turnip so wha chu gon do if ya boy Bernie doesn’t get the nomination
She well knows that Democratic Socialism is not the same as Communism, but she won't say it.
@@sonnyankau9239 I live in a democratic socialist country, are you saying that my entire country is a fantacy, that most of Europe is a figment of Bernies imagination?
@@sonnyankau9239 I also live in a Democratic Socialist country half the year. Are they really the U.S.S.R. in disguise? Quit being a prototypical American you narrow minded ninny.
@@sonnyankau9239 Oh, I'll respond dumbass, you don't get to spout nonscence without getting called out. Understanding comes with knowledge, of which you have none, so please crawl back under whatever uneducated rock you crawled out from.
Oh sure, Bernie is a “democratic socialist” but he was in love with every communist dictator in history. Him complimenting Fidel Castro and refusing to take it back, and the he was so mad when the audience booed him... that showed his true colours... he was so angry that he couldn’t fake the “democratic socialist” cover and his true ideology was revealed.
@Tony C I refuse to be corrected by someone who is a novice in such a minefield that the topic of political ideology is globally, but atleast you admit it, and for that you get credit. The majority of Norways parlament is right wing leaning, and democratic socialist, the two are not mutually exclusive. To the left we have actual socialists, skipping the center and labour party ofcourse. And waaay out on the far left we have actual communists in the party "Red", the one thing we're missing is anything to the right of far right, like the GOP and their wierd christian Taliban theocracy insanity.
Yes, I know what a mixed economy is, it's democratic socialism, depending on who you ask. When you ask a European, that's most likely our definition of our own countries. Americans don't understand politics, because you don't really have any experience of it. All you have is a right wing party, and some insane GOP that left the political spectrum some time in the late 70's or early 80's. And Bernie, a democratic socialist I as a right winger in Norway would be proud to vote for.
This woman would make me want to vote Republican
Stevon Robb she’s Married to a man
Chris Sullivan 🤣 Oh snap!!
Excellent!
The main problem with the US election in 2020 is that the age of making intelligent decisions based on facts are gone.
It never existed for Republicans
Republicans don’t abide by this: “god did it” is there motto.
Promote this woman panel! Very entertaining and insightful!
She said a lot without saying anything. What is her actual forecast again?
@Yorky Gonzalez you mean her forecast is bullshit? Or what I said is bullshit? LOL Probably true on both accounts.
Trump loses hard is her forecast.
@@PuadafaProductions Oh...OK, well that is the forecast of many, and many disagree with that forecast. Not sure how her statement is considered profound or a revelation. Anyway...a million things have happened since then so-yea.
❤get her book❤
Electability has never gotten a Democrat elected.
It did with JFK
Rachel is a delight!! Smart to the core! Glad to know her!!
This is a woman who REALLY loves what she does and wants people to understand it.
Too confident in a model that was only right once.
thrice. the 2017 pilot and the 2018 midterm elections, and the 2020 primaries. and now the 2020 general election. trump's down right now!
Husband at home, 'Oh, thanks hun.' 😒
That arrogance is what will get Trump reelected
This is the least impressive political hack I've ever heard or seen
czcams.com/video/4DiZpmEAfVg/video.html
"self proclaimed"...
why do all dem women cackle?
I think Carville’s response to her would be, “It is always about the economy.” She got the mid-terms right. Great. There are too many unknowns to be as certain as she is. If I had a nickel for every time an “expert” got something that was more predictable than the American electorate totally wrong, I would be retired.
I think she's right. She's the only one who gets it.
Yeah and If I had a nickel for every time a non-expert presumed an expert was dumb because they said something they don't I understand, I'd own a space shuttle made of gold.
#Bernie2020 is a Moderate! M4A! 💙💙💙
Hard to take someone who is literally dying seriously
Just rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic
Very well said.
I love that she thinks all the people that are for Bernie will just switch boats and row row row over a cliff with Biden. It's the same arrogance that got Hilary the L. She's talking about the never Trump conservatives and she's ignoring the massive gaffe sorry I mean gap between Bernie supporters and people who just want the Status Quo and think that returning to an atmosphere that was ripe for Trump is a winning strategy.
Maybe you folks need to pay attention to what is going on in just the last week or two. We are heading for some bad times. There is not going to be any money 💰 for all the dreams you socialists are dreaming of . 🙄
Future Landfill what are you gonna do in November if it’s trump v Biden
@@anjie8570 maybe 4 more years of shit will be what this country needs to realize Bernie was right and that we already have socialism right this second with roads schools parks fire police military etc. If we need 4 more years of Trump to make people realize they want healthcare more than they want to demonize the word socialism. Bernie's an FDR Democrat, by the way. Was FDR a socialist to you? What about JFK? Both of them wanted single payer healthcare
@@Bc232klm I wonder what they would call Eisenhower. I would be afraid to hear. LOL
Very funny. Have not laughed this hard in a week. Expert...haha
Easily amused.
On Fox Trump went on to make fun of Biden's mental incapacity..curious that that bit was omitted.
Please see: czcams.com/video/AKgq0rnIR7g/video.html
I'm old enough to remember when Bill Maher was "Must See TV". Sadly, those days are long over. Personally, I think ABC firing him and cancelling his show, "Politically Incorrect" broke his mind.... 🙄
This woman is the reason Democrats will re-nominate Trump.
What sophisticated analysis
Yeah you gotta love how she trashes and treats progressives as the opposition (see her Overtime response) and expects them to fall in line behind Biden. She's in for a rude surprise in November.
We nominated a Republican? I think you should google nominate.
Rupert Floyd Stop trying to act smart, people know what I mean. Democrats like her will be the reason Trump will get re-nominated.
Karpify What a sophisticated analysis of my analysis
Bernie is the only person to beat Trump. Biden does not have a chance.
In what real world head to head election that actually took place did Bernie beat Trump?
Let’s see how well this video ages ...
Pretty well lol
Bernie Bro’s turning up to troll everyone who’s not a Bernie Bro. When will you realize that your nastiness will lose Bernie the nomination along with his refusal to call you out for it. It ain’t the 60s anymore people.
Martin Leach Absolutely!!
Marxist worshippers don’t have a sense of self reflection. Which is why they still exist in the current political climate. They still haven’t realized Marxism- Socialism is not going to work in this country and never will
These are Russian bots and you idiots fall for it!
just wait til Biden shows his mental decline on the debate stage and the GOP goes after Hunter like a dog on a bitch. It won't be pretty.
Sarah Flanagan Except the only ones interested in Hunter Biden are far right Trump supporters
Calling '18 was not that hard and her example didn't separate her from the crowd. Did she call '16 correct is the better question.
In other words, we will see no progression as a nation. We will remain stagnant, and we will have once again the choices of bad or worse come election.
Yup. This is how it always goes. Take the "safe" candidate (aka a Hillary 2.0 with a heavy dose of senility) just to beat the republican. So we compromise on status quo for fear of things getting worse, when in reality both parties continue bending the knee to moneyed interests whether we compromise or not. BERN OR BUST
And here we are, 5 years later again…her prediction is ringing true again.
A House divided against itself cannot Party Rock
Sorry
Rachel you are my newest favorite person
She basically affirmed that the Democrats' only message is Orange Man Bad.
17,000 lies and counting is kinda bad. But ya that seems to basically be her message. The way the economy is going could be the issue where trump is vulnerable, but I don’t see a den candidate that show any kind of strength over trump in that category. Regardless, I think her model is weak if it doesn’t even include The Vlad factor.
WD Dub I guess greatest economy in history isn’t going to help
Still no idea that we need a competitor to FOX with equal broadcast capacity.
And because the establishment of the Democratic Party coordinated against Bernie makes me vote for him even more. So I will vote for Bernie no matter what, even if it means writing him in in the general elections. And from now on I will only vote for someone who supports his ideas. I will never vote for boring moderate like Biden.
Essentially, then you'll be voting for #45.
@@lindamccarrin3114 no I won't.
It strikes me that the issue she seems to have with Sanders is not on his policies, or even on his strategy exactly, but on the idea that Democrats would be tricked into running against him and his (popular) policies.
It is such a pleasure to listen to an intellectual dissecting Trump. I prey he is elected out of office before his damage becomes the norm in political elections for the foreseeable future. It is a very sad state.
prey? gave me a laugh
What damage?
Intellectual? 🤣
Get the guy who had the perfect March Madness bracket last year. Him I trust!
Because of Corona outbreak the video uploader had been in quarantine for 3 days
Rachel Bitecofer for president
This is an interesting interview
She get's one midterm done in half of a state in the US and is now the party whisperer for all of it eh...ok.
False narrative.....It's not moderates vs progressives. It's the people vs corporate america. Bernie represents the majority of Americans, Biden is representing corporate america and it's interests.
Bingo!
If the coronavirus is more catchy for people who are ignorant we are all set
Virginia is blue because Northern Virginia (Fairfax County) is nothing more than a suburb of Washington DC. Big government has gotten much bigger and Fairfax County has grown exponentially. Government employees will always vote for bigger government. As a result, Virginia is now and forever will be a blue state.
J.N.Martinez just make fairfax county officially part of dc. Kick them out the state. Go ahead and lead a coalition to get it done.
Corey Mondello 🤣🤣🤣🤣 false af
@@cpmondello I would say we were pre1970's. Just read/listen to "Listen Liberal"
J.N.Martinez all this happened under Trumps watch so there you go
Dessert whisperer?
Hearing Rachel Bitecofer telling about the electorate and it's data, I am inclined to agree with her.
Agree that her model works best with Biden because Dems will spend the entire elections attacking Bernie? That Biden is ahead due to strategising by the Party? That’s literally what she said.
I'm a single issue voter.
I'd crawl over broken glass to vote against Trump...
So these people think that half-senile JOE33030 will beat Donald Trump ? LOL
Yes the voters think so. Have you seen what’s happening with the stock market and all ?
30330*
czcams.com/video/AKgq0rnIR7g/video.html
@@lindamccarrin3114 Not sure how that clip relates?
If Bernie is not on the ticket or a progressive VP, than Im voting 3rd party or staying home..fuck it. What would actually be the difference? No $15 an hour, no healthcare for all, no affordable or universal college, no new taxes on the 1%.. 4 more years of blaaaah.
Select Stacy Abrams as V.P. I don't like Biden, but if he does this, he will beat Trump.
Stacy Abrams erased all confidence in her views a few days ago when she bumbled through a defense of Joe Biden's sexual assault allegations. All she needed to say was 'I wasn't there, it's Joe's issue to address.' Instead we saw a lot of hemming and hawing. Not a good look.
Didn't Virginia try to join west Virginia, that's not muscle, that's a mutiny.
This woman is objectively horrible
Lmfao, she thinks the senate is flipping, so is alabama going blue still? lol
That's a repulsive person. So biased she has no right analyzing anything. Absolutely grating.
Still no consideration of increasing the fines for hiring illegally.
I learned nothing new here. Bernie 2020
She’s right. I talk to people and, inevitably, their political thinking goes no further than contempt and hatred for Donald Trump.
I adore this man blunt and blatantly honesty, its soooo refreshing... say and tell it like it is..
England adores u Bill Maher.....
🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧💜🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
Mrs. Bitecofer is simply lucky, and there are now two splits in the DNC camp #BernieOrBust2020 , and the #WalkAway groups. Personally I think my old party the DNC/ the left/ far left /DSA Antifa ect have lost their minds. I am also a #WalkAway voter...
Isn't that what happened last time? Voters walked away from their responsibility and elected Trump? How does walking away help anything.
@@hx8mx I voted for trump in 2016 because I was a Bernie or bust voter. And after the insanity/ ceaseless "Orange Man Bad" narrative I joined the #WalkAway movement this year. I live in El Paso Texas, and in early 2019 we were literally being over run at the border down here, you know when Pelosi/ and Schumer said it was a hoax. The DNC/left/ far left/ DSA/ antifa psychopaths have lost their collective minds, and as a moderate I can not even relate to my old party. Intersection al feminism, SJW, and the cancel culture, just to name a few...I will be voting to re-elect our current President, win or lose...See you at the polls in November 2020.
Dang... I think I outgrew you Bill. Your part of the problem now. What happened??
Now...2021...Virginia better be a warning to her.
This interview gave me hope.
Yeah, me too ! JOE33030 !
Alright, chuck!
And my 180 billionth question would be, why don't you want to answer any of my questions?
These people don’t realize just how much support Trump is going to have come November, he’s not going down easy!
They fucked up impeachment and ignored the outcome of rising popularity after acquittal. Embarrassing on every level. They should have just never sent it to the senate at all knowing the outcome beforehand.
Sophist. And the fact you can't or don't call that out... Bill...
Melissa McCarthy really isn’t that funny anymore.
it hasnt been normal for decades for people who earn a month what bill earns a minute
Rachel is wonderful….bought her book🩵
Haha. These guys still don’t get it why trump got elected. Ah.
Yes they do. They totally get it. Because they know, as we all know, that tRump's supporters are the dumbest mother fuckers on the planet.
Rachael is right, it's always about the messaging! A good slogan is more valuable then a book full of plans, and if you can paint your opponent in just one or two words, you've got half the battle won. Americans don't have time to listen to policy, they are too busy earning a living, paying the bills and getting their kids off to school. They listen to the tone of voice, rather then the policy details, and because they don't do research on their own, they'll believe the loudest voice in the room. Now, if only comedians like Bill will just stop making making fun of Joe Biden, maybe we'll win!
Takes so bad, they had to wait three days before uploading 😂
#BERNIE2020
Right on time Bill!😂
Magic eight ball is more reliable than her
So sorry to see Bill soften up like this.
Really Bill, Bitecofer now? That's how desperate you are?
I don’t believe this woman had a side...I think she would vote non-partisan and just do what’s best for the country. She doesn’t seem like she leans left at all. LMFAO
The lady somehow manages to be more irritating and whiny than Bill.
HUMMM, VERY INTERESTING WOMAN, SPEAKS VERY WELL ON THIS SUBJECT, MAXXAUS.
more like "The Cupcake Whisperer"
Whisperer? No way she's a quiet eater.
Pundits: People hate Trump
Bernie: No. People want Change. Populism works
This man's prediction model is bias.
Man ?
@@anjie8570 Joke?
Rachel's got the no-bull perspective, and she is not shy about it.
"IYI" Intellectual Yet Idiot. - Nassim Taleb.
A broken clock is still right twice a day...
This seems like the kind of cat lady whose existence double-dares you to call her "broad" on twitter.
"They were fat an happy".... well, they are not the only ones.
🤣
“Her model”?
Does she include Putin influence in her model? If not it’s inaccurate at best. She strikes me as the 2020 version of Nate Silver, interesting, flashing, tells dems it’s in the sac.
So confident of her model.