If U are new to betting sports, and are just doing it for a fun hobby, that is awesome. Have fun! If U are doing it to actually make money and build a bankroll, listen to this guy.
@@ggitslificious Not at ALL. I know a ton of ppl that bet for fun, as well as some that are far more serious about doing it to make $. If the latter is the case, Jack is a great way to start. No 'buy my picks' BS. Just straight, to the point, numbers.
Yeah, tried this on Roulette when I was 21. Was chugging right along until red came up 6 times in a row and suddenly betting $320 to win $5 seemed like the dumbest idea I ever had. So I lost the $95 I was up, another $65 and learned a valuable lesson.
Two sports i thought Martingale would work on is an evenly matched last set in darts where one player must break the throw of their opponent to win the set, and in tennis, also where breaking an opponent's serve will pay over +100. Particularly for women's tennis where breaking serve is more common. I don't have the resources (or inclination to watch darts or tennis) to try but all the best to anyone who's game
The trick is to have a massive bankroll and play micro stakes like .10 cents to .25 cents per hand as long as you need to hit a goal without getting greedy. Even playing $1 hand starting bet on a martingale is getting greedy. It all should be used to grow levels in VIP bonuses while making consistent small profits.
I don't think this works for most people. Why bet 100? When you can bet 25 on odds 4.0+. If you lose you have 4 chances to win 1/4 and get 100 back. I always play accumulated 2-4 games odds 4-20+ lower stakes
Betting less at longer odds doesn't change the probability or even make it any less risky. You're betting 1/4 at 4x longer odds. The end result will be the same if you Martingale starting smaller at longer odds.
If your betting -250 games in mlb to win $100 your chances of losing 6 games in a row is 1 and 800 ish and in 162 games this system should only lose once every 5ish years. One year i bet the nats all year. I started my martingale with max scherzer starts and went thru the whole rotation and back to max. it didn't lose all year. it was max, strausburg, corbin, sanchez, fedde, max. Starting the martingale with max and ending with max it didn't lose. Just my case study.
Martingale for sports betting should work a bit better than on table games for various reasons since we're working with singular real world outcomes that we can potentially attempt to predict and not just subject to pure randomness/RNG, you are right that our losing streak should be less, however having to consistently find a 2.00 odds payout means you'll still be at risk unless you are multiplying your stake even higher to cover if betting on a favorite at 1.50 to 1 70 (something that could be quite interesting but potentially get out of control)
im at the point where winning is a relief and not celebration...but ive lost enough locks that i know bankroll management is the most important whether on a great run or the worst one
The Plaintiff used to play 21 using the Martingale strategy. She would run up against the table limits occasionally, but lost her buy in more often than not. She didn’t know the name, so, thanks for the informative vlog.
Problem with Martingale is people don't know when to quit. Like you said, if you flipped that coin 1,000 times and it only went over 12 times, that leaves 928 other flips you could have made money on. If the highest is was 11 and that happened once then you have plenty more chances. Take Roulette, I wait for 4-5 in a row of one 50/50 event (high/low/red/black) and bet the opposite for 6 spins - do I understand that a streak of 11-12 can happen, sure, but the chances are lower than if I started at the start. Same with Baccarat, wait for two in a row then bet the opposite hoping it doesn't go 8.
What you're describing here is known as Gamblers Fallacy. It's the belief that just because some random event happened immediately before makes it more/less likely to happen immediately again. In reality, the probability hasn't changed. The roulette ball doesn't remember it just landed red 5 times and needs to balance out the universe - no more than it purposely sought out red each time before right now.
@@Unabated yeah I agree and understand that but what I'm taking advantage of is 'strings' in the theoretical RTP. Any 50/50 event happening 10 times in a row is roughly a 1% chance. The roulette ball spins thousands of times a day so whilst 1% is low, it's actually a few times you'll see it happen, maybe once or twice an hour. Same with Baccarat, I've known the game for awhile and studied every shoe I've played from start to end and found that 6 hands in a row happens, so does 10. However the probability of it happening twice or three times in one shoe, I've never seen.....yet.
@@SamSam-df8qd There are no "strings" to take advantage of. Just because something happened doesn't make it any less probable to happen again. Even if that event was 0.1% to happen (which is what ten 50/50 results would be), it's still the same probability to happen again. If it should happen 9 straight times, the probability it'll hit for the 10th straight time is still 50/50. Look at this way, you weren't able to predict when it would happen the first time, how can you predict when it won't happen the next time?
I don't mind the occasion martingale if it's an outcome that's likely to happen say in the next few games.. no team in the nfl - and I'm pretty sure this goes for any sport - has ever lost every game ATS.. so once the wins rack up I'll bet the bad team to cover
Even 50% coin flips always lose. In the video, 11x streak of heads in just 1000 tries. To beat this, starting with a 10$ bet, you'd need a bankroll of 20480$. Oh boy betting 20k$ to win 10$ mustn't feel good. Now make this a sport's bet with 10% vig. You bet 11$, to win 10, to beat a 11x loss streak you'd have to bet 38530$.
Martingale Works and the evidence is because the casino will stop players who use it and just stop playing as soon as they are up..... Might take some time but it tends to happen!!
I was letting it autobet with martingale setup on Stake for fun (starting bet at 0.00001$), 48.5% win chance for a 2x, lost 21 times in a row and it drained the 15$ I had, had some left roll to see and they were 2 more loss after that then a win so 23 lost in a row!
Nobody knows why or when Martindale became Martingale. It was likely "lost in translation" from English to French and back to English in popular culture of the time. It's one of the great mysteries of the universe.
I have seen red come up 10 times in a row on a casino roulette wheel. After the fifth spin most players were piling money into black and losing, spin after spin. Here's the secret to winning at gambling: Don't start.
As an uppity phony that calls out everyone in the industry constantly, don’t you think it’s disingenuous to buy fake followers and fake views on CZcams??
Whether you think I'm uppity or a phony is on you - but we can both agree it IS disingenuous to buy fake followers and fake views. I've never done that on any of my channels. Never will. Quite frankly, never needed to.
If U are new to betting sports, and are just doing it for a fun hobby, that is awesome. Have fun! If U are doing it to actually make money and build a bankroll, listen to this guy.
sports betting is not gambling
@@froggy_days is this a troll comment?
@@ggitslificious Not at ALL. I know a ton of ppl that bet for fun, as well as some that are far more serious about doing it to make $. If the latter is the case, Jack is a great way to start. No 'buy my picks' BS. Just straight, to the point, numbers.
@@dtplusthepoints3409 they was replying to the other person
Yeah, tried this on Roulette when I was 21. Was chugging right along until red came up 6 times in a row and suddenly betting $320 to win $5 seemed like the dumbest idea I ever had. So I lost the $95 I was up, another $65 and learned a valuable lesson.
Doesn't work in Ruollette
it will be like arguing with a wall, but it's nice to have this video to share every time this topic comes up on reddit
love to see a video explaining different systems to use for profitable betting. thanks for the knowledge!
Two sports i thought Martingale would work on is an evenly matched last set in darts where one player must break the throw of their opponent to win the set, and in tennis, also where breaking an opponent's serve will pay over +100. Particularly for women's tennis where breaking serve is more common. I don't have the resources (or inclination to watch darts or tennis) to try but all the best to anyone who's game
The trick is to have a massive bankroll and play micro stakes like .10 cents to .25 cents per hand as long as you need to hit a goal without getting greedy. Even playing $1 hand starting bet on a martingale is getting greedy. It all should be used to grow levels in VIP bonuses while making consistent small profits.
You will eventually be betting $100 to win a net 10 cents. Exciting eh?
BRILLIANT point on dopamine & gambling
Great job with the video Jack! You actually could make the martingale system interesting to hear about :)
Vegas Dave in shambles right now
With 30 loss in a row, starting your bet at 1$, you end up with a wager exceeding 1 BILLIONS $ to end up making 1$. Improbable, but very possible.
And that's assuming you're getting +100 odds
There's no method in the world to help you profit over the long term if you don't have an edge.
so, have an edge.
I don't think this works for most people. Why bet 100? When you can bet 25 on odds 4.0+. If you lose you have 4 chances to win 1/4 and get 100 back. I always play accumulated 2-4 games odds 4-20+ lower stakes
Betting less at longer odds doesn't change the probability or even make it any less risky. You're betting 1/4 at 4x longer odds. The end result will be the same if you Martingale starting smaller at longer odds.
If your betting -250 games in mlb to win $100 your chances of losing 6 games in a row is 1 and 800 ish and in 162 games this system should only lose once every 5ish years. One year i bet the nats all year. I started my martingale with max scherzer starts and went thru the whole rotation and back to max. it didn't lose all year. it was max, strausburg, corbin, sanchez, fedde, max. Starting the martingale with max and ending with max it didn't lose. Just my case study.
Martingale for sports betting should work a bit better than on table games for various reasons since we're working with singular real world outcomes that we can potentially attempt to predict and not just subject to pure randomness/RNG, you are right that our losing streak should be less, however having to consistently find a 2.00 odds payout means you'll still be at risk unless you are multiplying your stake even higher to cover if betting on a favorite at 1.50 to 1 70 (something that could be quite interesting but potentially get out of control)
9k that's heavy money
im at the point where winning is a relief and not celebration...but ive lost enough locks that i know bankroll management is the most important whether on a great run or the worst one
The Plaintiff used to play 21 using the Martingale strategy. She would run up against the table limits occasionally, but lost her buy in more often than not. She didn’t know the name, so, thanks for the informative vlog.
Martingale system works if you have an unlimited bankroll and there are no table limits.
This is true. Which also means it can never work.
Interesting video!
Problem with Martingale is people don't know when to quit. Like you said, if you flipped that coin 1,000 times and it only went over 12 times, that leaves 928 other flips you could have made money on. If the highest is was 11 and that happened once then you have plenty more chances.
Take Roulette, I wait for 4-5 in a row of one 50/50 event (high/low/red/black) and bet the opposite for 6 spins - do I understand that a streak of 11-12 can happen, sure, but the chances are lower than if I started at the start. Same with Baccarat, wait for two in a row then bet the opposite hoping it doesn't go 8.
What you're describing here is known as Gamblers Fallacy. It's the belief that just because some random event happened immediately before makes it more/less likely to happen immediately again. In reality, the probability hasn't changed. The roulette ball doesn't remember it just landed red 5 times and needs to balance out the universe - no more than it purposely sought out red each time before right now.
@@Unabated yeah I agree and understand that but what I'm taking advantage of is 'strings' in the theoretical RTP. Any 50/50 event happening 10 times in a row is roughly a 1% chance. The roulette ball spins thousands of times a day so whilst 1% is low, it's actually a few times you'll see it happen, maybe once or twice an hour.
Same with Baccarat, I've known the game for awhile and studied every shoe I've played from start to end and found that 6 hands in a row happens, so does 10. However the probability of it happening twice or three times in one shoe, I've never seen.....yet.
@@SamSam-df8qd There are no "strings" to take advantage of. Just because something happened doesn't make it any less probable to happen again. Even if that event was 0.1% to happen (which is what ten 50/50 results would be), it's still the same probability to happen again. If it should happen 9 straight times, the probability it'll hit for the 10th straight time is still 50/50.
Look at this way, you weren't able to predict when it would happen the first time, how can you predict when it won't happen the next time?
What if I only have 1 sports book to bet with. I live in Oregon and its only draft kings
Don't do it.
Love your videos
I don't mind the occasion martingale if it's an outcome that's likely to happen say in the next few games..
no team in the nfl - and I'm pretty sure this goes for any sport - has ever lost every game ATS.. so once the wins rack up I'll bet the bad team to cover
Martingale works if you play intil you win 10 dollars and spend it on a cool drink and then do it again next weekend
Gotta double, plus a little more. Ore even triple the bet instead
Even 50% coin flips always lose. In the video, 11x streak of heads in just 1000 tries. To beat this, starting with a 10$ bet, you'd need a bankroll of 20480$. Oh boy betting 20k$ to win 10$ mustn't feel good.
Now make this a sport's bet with 10% vig. You bet 11$, to win 10, to beat a 11x loss streak you'd have to bet 38530$.
What I like to do in baseball is find near .500 teams that have won or lost at least 4 in a row and then bet the other way.
I lost 6 bets in a row after winning 10k ...I haven't gambled in 6 days ...lol 😂
I've seen 17 red in a row in Roulette while betting on black ...
If there is no max bet it can work, But you need an unlimited amount of money.
If you had an unlimited amount of money, why would you need to bet?
@@aFREEsportsbettingSYSTEMbecause my greed is insatiable and I want more than unlimited
Noone "needs" to bet. Its supposed to be for fun@@aFREEsportsbettingSYSTEM
@@aFREEsportsbettingSYSTEM bros gambling brain couldnt function that
Martingale Works and the evidence is because the casino will stop players who use it and just stop playing as soon as they are up..... Might take some time but it tends to happen!!
it works if your bankroll is 1mil or higher easy
You first. 😉
I was letting it autobet with martingale setup on Stake for fun (starting bet at 0.00001$), 48.5% win chance for a 2x, lost 21 times in a row and it drained the 15$ I had, had some left roll to see and they were 2 more loss after that then a win so 23 lost in a row!
D everyone, with a d martindale. were you even watching?
says dale under the photo, but gale all over the place in the title/description.
Nobody knows why or when Martindale became Martingale. It was likely "lost in translation" from English to French and back to English in popular culture of the time. It's one of the great mysteries of the universe.
Ive Lost a lot of money doing this, worked for a while. I knew it would turn out bad. Well... lesson learned. Fuck the Casinos
I have seen red come up 10 times in a row on a casino roulette wheel. After the fifth spin most players were piling money into black and losing, spin after spin.
Here's the secret to winning at gambling: Don't start.
Smh
As an uppity phony that calls out everyone in the industry constantly, don’t you think it’s disingenuous to buy fake followers and fake views on CZcams??
Whether you think I'm uppity or a phony is on you - but we can both agree it IS disingenuous to buy fake followers and fake views. I've never done that on any of my channels. Never will. Quite frankly, never needed to.
@@Unabated umm no, the fact that you’re a complete phony is not on me…it’s on you…anyway I thought they ran you off for not being PC and woke enough?
1st
Some strategies work better than others, that's for sure.