2025 Best Picture Oscar Predictions | Post Cannes (ANORA Wins Palme d'Or)
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- čas přidán 11. 09. 2024
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shoutout to anora and all we imagine as light and the seed of the sacred fig
So excited for Anora.
Bjork should drop a remix of aurora renamed 'Anora'
You totally should be, it’s great
As always, expect at least 1 non-English language film to pop up in the Best Picture lineup. Some possible contenders I think include ALL WE IMAGINE IS LIGHT (which won the same category in Cannes as THE ZONE OF INTEREST last year), EMILIA PEREZ etc. What do you think?
The Seed of the Sacred Fig
Emilia Perez has a great shot being backed by Netflix
@@purekinema international for sacred fig
Emilia is more than locked for that category too
Sacred Fig is gonna have to be backed by a different country because Iran is not going to submit that.
@@Sharpe1502 We're talking about Best Picture. The country doesn't have to submit it for Best Picture
As an Indian, I pray that the selection committee this year doesn't fuck up like usual and send in All We Imagine As Light. The kind of reviews we're hearing about the film, with the right marketing it could just make it to the Oscars.
But 'Poor Things' is about a sex worker. She does other things, but for a long section of the movie, she's a sex worker.
but it was directed by yorgos lanthimos, and had a ton of oscar-worthy techs
but, as a counter-counter argument, the academy nominated the florida project, which means they’re at least familiar with sean baker’s work to some extent and are willing to watch his films
For like 25 minutes
And Poor things is a fantasy film so the sex working has something funny and easy. I could imagine some voters don't want to see a movie about sex workers. Not a nice topic to spend a nice eavening in theater.
Top 5 feels solid... the rest? Well, it's a dart throw year... especially with the lukewarm international slate at Cannes (so much for capitalizing on the strikes... hopefully Venice/TIFF brings some more noteworthy stalwarts to the table).
SEAN BAKER BABY!
Sean Baker for best director, let’s make it happen
A Real Pain is being distributed by Searchlight, not Focus Features. Searchlight might campaign hard for it if Nightbitch and Kinds of Kindness turn out too polarizing for the public, although I’m still rooting for an Amy Adams and Jesse Plemons nom this year.
Emilia Pérez and All We Imagine is Light should be above Sacred Fig and Apprentice. Those were the runner ups for the Palme and have way more positive buzz around them.
Disagree.
i don't think emilia perez has a shot at all
When seed of the sacred fig is released, we will be very upset with the Cannes jury for giving it a lowly constellation prize.
No
As someone who’s seen it, I think you might be sleeping HARD on Emilia Perez. I thought it was a total knockout in terms of being an Oscar worthy film with its relevant social commentary being done in such a unique way. But I could be completely wrong and biased cause it was my favorite film at Cannes
I love musicals and I’m really excited about this. Do you think the actresses are gonna be competitive at the Oscar’s?
@@Sharpe1502 it’s a very ensemble based film so that’s the hardest part of it for me. It kind of alternates between Saldana and Gascon for who’s the true lead. But I kind of see Gascon as a Lily Gladstone type candidate. Just as impressive of a performance but she doesn’t have a prolific director like Scorcese backing her. Saldana and Gomez could also both make a run at supporting actress for sure.
I would have Emilia Perez in my top 10.
I've seen The Seed of the Sacred Fig, and while it definitely has that vibe of an important and urgent movie, I think it might turn out to be more respected than loved. There's a shift in the last act that I don't think will work for everyone.
Sean Baker hive RISE UP
A big year for blockbusters to be nominated between Dune: Part Two and Joker and potentially Gladiator 2
Perhaps no one of it get a nomination 😂 I cannot imagine Joker 2 and Gladiator 2 get in.
I'm sorry, but what are your thoughts on the will smith return with bad boys 4? can it do better than its projected 30-50 mil opening weekend? i really want to see a redemption for smith. please talk about it. ty
2:52 All Quiet on the Western Front was Edward Berger’s fifth film, not his first.
i'm skeptical of sing sing because of that release date. I think it ended up hurting past lives. while obviously eeaao and oppenheimer came out earlier in the year, they both made a big cultural splash so sing sing would have to do that.
THE HURT LOCKER is the opposite case. It quietly released in June 2009 and won in large part thanks to huge push from the critics (with David vs Goliath aspect with respect to AVATAR also playing a role, but still).
@@axr7149true! That was a while ago so we'll see if it can happen again
I still don't get why everyone is predicting Sing Sing to win picture. It premiered last year at TIFF and didn't even win any awards. I don't get it. Can someone explain?
I think it’s literally only because of A24. But I doubt it’s winning picture and I wouldn’t be so confident that it’s getting nominated either.
@@yellowgal06🤦🏽♀️
what about Furiosa for picture or if not picture definitely getting nominated for visual effects
Kinda surprised Kinds of Kindness didnt crack your top 25
you’re overestimating the apprentice, and underestimating emilia perez. look at the award(s) , look who got acquired
ALL WE IMAGINE AS LIGHT.
Anora is modern Billy Wilder from as far as I can tell
"Isn't it delicious?"
Joker 2 not sure about that buddy
says you 🤣🤣
huh? Have you seen the trailer? It’s def getting a best picture nomination at least
so excited for emilia perez
Nice to see some joker love
what about Emilia Perez?
I’m rooting for Anora. Sean Baker needs to be recognized.
I’ll go ahead and predict:
1. Anora
2. Sing Sing
3. Emilía Perez
4. Blitz
5. Juror No. 2 (I believe in Toni Collette and Nicholas Hoult)
6. The Seed of the Sacred Fig
7. Nosferatu (I’m manifesting this)
8. Dune: Part 2
9. Queer
10. Nightbitch
I don’t see The Apprentice getting more than acting nominations and I kind of feel like the sheer amount of musicals being released this year, The Joker, The End, and Wicked might cancel each other out. I think Emilia Perez is the current international film front runner and it got picked up by Netflix, so that might be the sole musical getting a best pic nom.
Edit: I’m also secretly hoping The Substance miraculously sneaks in but I have zero faith in Mubi’s campaign skills.
Emilia Pérez in number 3? Lol
🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
*If I Nominated for Best Picture 2024 Today Without Giving an F:*
(ordered alphabetically out of 50+ new releases seen as of comment)
-
_Abigail_
_Cabrini_
_Challengers_
_Civil War_
_Dune: Part Two_
_Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire_
_Hit Man_
_Mars Express_
_Miller’s Girl_
_Sasquatch Sunset_
absolutely horrible list
What about the bikeriders
Poor things is about a sex worker tho😂
Why not 2 NEONs? As if the voters think: 'oh I voted for one NEON film now I cannot vote for another '😂
It's more about Neon focusing it's resources on pushing more than one film.
Watch A Real Pain win Best Picture.
Joker and Dune aint gonna get Best Picture noms, Challengers is deftinitely a top 25 contender.
Joker Folie Á Deux at number 2 chill man, get that away from me.
I’m predicting
1. Sing Sing - which I saw at Miami Film Festival
2. Dune Part 2
3. Gladiator II
4. Blitz
5. The Piano Lesson
6. The Nickel Boys
7. Conclave
8. A Real Pain - which I believe is Searchlight not Focus
9. Anora
10. Here - I’m putting my faith in Eric Roth
I don’t have Joker 2 because I don’t know if the academy will go for three sequels in best picture. Two from Warner Bros.
I don’t like that I don’t have any female directed films in here but I couldn’t find one to back. I’m not sure about Nightbitch. It gives me Girl on the Train vibes.
Personally I would love if no films from international feature are in this year’s 10. That way all 5 films in that category have a chance to win.
The director is more well respected and the book isn’t a mystery/thriller. It’s a body horror/feminist dark comedy about a woman learning to be a better mother by not repressing her urges or instincts. The ending was the most pretentious shit ever but I could see an adaptation fixing it and having it land.
Megalopolis?
Unlikely to be getting any award nominations, going by the reactions and reviews.
Poor Things is more than sex! Plus, the sex scenes are very brief. Interesting picks.
This year in films is week
nahh
Try next week. Maybe it will get better.
sacred fig isn't gonna happen. its entire gimmick is based on the director fleeing his country where he's wanted by the law & escaping to show it at Cannes. The movie itself is said to just be good and not great. Plus NEON will be busy pushing Anora and bury it like they buried La chimera.
A lot of reviews called Sacred Fig a masterpiece and it has a higher rating on Letterboxd than the other films you mentioned. Plus the themes are much more in line with the Academy's taste than the other two films, based on how they've been described.
Strongly disagree with this. The film actually probably didn’t win Palm bc this fear. But it is truly a masterpiece and deserves much more recognition for the film itself.
Said by whom? It has 100% on Rotten Tomatoes and had the highest Screen Jury Grid score at Cannes.
I saw The Seed of the Sacred Fig and think that it was the best film in competition. Really good!