Thank you for great content. This is the kind of genuine intellectual dialogue I miss dearly, no sides taken, open minds listening and examining ideas. Really great stuff.
Thank you for this interview. JHK is such a great mind. His book Too Much Magic was on sale here in Ljubljana, EU and I grabbed it straight away and put it on front of my shelf just for the title. My favourite critic ever since I found his talks here on YT.
Living in the long emergency is a very interesting book which offers almost 10 individual examples of people adapting to a lower energy world. I also greatly appreciate Jim's writing style. Speaking of being Ironic I bought this latest of Jim's energy/peak oil related books only a day before my Country entered it's first Lockdown. Great Interview.
The fall of the working class has been evident, and I agree with your description. As a matter of fact, I just wrote something similar on a Facebook post today. Tattooed, uneducated, addicted and angry.
Saw kunstler on TED when it was still good. How James if you're listening - consider growing Daikon radishes if you're not. Some people call them tillage radishes. Good for all sorts of reasons, look into it.
@@randomboy758 you could watch this, its 1.5 hours but covers daikons and lots of other so called 'cover crops' czcams.com/video/ZOuJ2bUGcTc/video.html Or you could just search daikon cover crops or tillage radish (same thing) on youtube and find various videos. I have personally found they work best as part of a multi species mix rather than monoculture.
Around 1985, I figured there would be a collapse within 10 years... we've propped up the economy in one way or another over the years. I'm convinced we're facing a collapse within a few years. I see food prices sky rocketing as well as apartment rents. I'm going to be 62 in August of 2022 and I'm very fearful of how I'm going to keep afloat.
Prescient especially about fossil fuels which have been hoisted to nearly unaffordable levels. Europe is paying top dollar for electricity and natural gas. Mexico has stopped exporting oil, once one of the largest producers until their supergiant oil fields have depleted. $7 gasoline in California currently. Anyone who says these rises are temporary are fooling themselves because the world is rapidly running out of cheap oil. They call it a supply issue but it's a wake-up call to impending energy shortages. JHK also warned about the urban collapse of skyscrapers, both from an energy perspective and an unsupportable building model. Post-covid proves that the glut of office space will never be filled. The quicker we convert these buildings into housing the better, but that will be very expensive.
Still convinced the spike in oil prices and general rise in price of resources in the onset, was one major trigger behind the subprime mortgage crisis that precipitated the 2008 banking crisis. Oil price hiked up to $150 a barrel (around 50 now) pushing those low income households over the edge, while house prices already took a dive, endangering their mortgage. Choose : heat your house, drive a car and buy food with whatever you've left, or pay off a loan you couldn't afford in the first place. Baaamm !!
The current covid-induced recession is only the second out of the last 12 recessions that was not preceded by a sharp spike in oil prices, so yes, the sharp rise in energy prices probably triggered the Great Financial Crisis.
Michael Ruppert called it "the Bumpy Plateau". Oil prices will rise until nobody can afford it and then crash the market, prices drop, and then when the economy picks back up it repeats. It'll continue until the spike hits for one last time and nobody can afford to buy the oil anymore even when it crashes.
Some say the repeal of key provisions in the glass/steagle act,led to the subprime mortgage crisis.I hear there is now a subprime auto loan bubble,and it's bigger than the 2008 mortgage bubble.
Oil companies don't make money pumping oil but from products they own like whatever else oil makes to produce money. The thing is energy in energy out.
I know Jim personally, he’s a very vigorous man, he is active in his yard, walks the outdoors, is a very social animal with lots of local and distant friends. I admire him very much and consider him as a father figure
A slice of the civilization collapse picture brought on by living beyond ecological sustainability. Michael Dowd's interviews introduces different perspectives on this larger existential crisis.
Since 2007 Humanity has had the means to not to collapse, Oh Obama went methane spike instead of gravity engines using water. NOW we must make ice in circle to thicken ice cap. This winter before it is to late. Operation opps we lowered sea level......We must attack the circle for more land! To be successful, make ice lower sea level industry, does this deserve to exists? Frankly, yes.Frank.
Oil is cheap and the economy is weak BECAUSE the weak economy is causing oil to be cheap because of reduced demand. However, oil will not remain cheap. It will be a roller coaster over time. I predicted this phenomenon (the roller coaster) on a peak oil discussion group before conventional oil peaked. In a sense, the relationship between oil prices and the economy is similar to the predator-prey model. The economy consumes too much oil, the supply becomes scarce pushing prices higher, the economy (the predator) crashes, then oil supply (the prey) rebounds, causing prices to fall, letting the economy recover, at least to a degree. However, oil becomes absolutely and not just relatively scarcer over time, so even the low prices will tend to become "higher lows" over time.
Cars and roads in and of themselves are just total insanity if you stop to think about it. We should’ve designed ultralight vehicles which are hovercraft that can navigate grass roads requiring absolutely no pavement not to mention waterways. Instead we have these overbuilt behemoths which destroy the roads the are totally dependent upon to get anywhere. And then of course any normal person who’s driving anything he couldn’t afford to buy with cash on the barrelhead is probably insane on some level. Considering how dependent we are on cars auto mechanics should be the number one subject taught in American high schools. Instead all of the shop class offerings were removed to joint vocational schools and everyone’s taking computer lab instead, which incidentally has also done in secretarial science. To be a secretary now you need some ridiculous bachelor’s degree which has taught you how to do virtually nothing.
@@arminkuburas1696 I actually don't most of the time, but some tart fruits I use a bit of honey. No measurement I add a little and taste until the tartness is balanced. Like most people once addicted to sugar the bacteria in your stomach demands evermore. People can't even imagine a life without sugar!
@@michaels4255 It could be argued that JHK is perhaps way *more* radical in proposing a complete transition into a low energy world, which is going to happen wether we are active in making it happen or wether it is forced upon us by environmental, economic and energy factors. And the Dems aren't even slightly radical, its all performance theatre for TV, look at their voting records compared to what they say. If they said what they did even half of what they said America would actually know about it. You're painting politicians to be far more competent than they actually are.
Conventional Oil Production peaked around 2006 and has been mostly at a platue in years afterwards. Also Oil Production if you delete America, Russia, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and UAE has declined by more than 5 million barrels a day since.
Statisticly even Liquified Natural Gas(LNG) has been added to Total Oil Production statistics since around 2010. This may be a source of Energy but doesn't quite have all the advantages of Conventional Crude Oil, Shale and Tar Sands Oil also don't have the advantages of Conventional Oil. Whatever the Energy types Energy Company's prioritize in the now and near future were facing an Energy poorer world in most Countrys.
He means well, however he never questions settler colonialism, where all the real wealth of america came and comes from and worse he thinks there is a real difference between the two political sides of Left and Right... For he too shares the same devotion seen across Intelligentsia, to empire and to top-down power...
It is incredible how long Jim has kept his blog going and how he never misses a post! I've been reading for twenty years. Thank you Jim!
Thank you for great content. This is the kind of genuine intellectual dialogue I miss dearly, no sides taken, open minds listening and examining ideas. Really great stuff.
This is a great interview. Kunstler is always interesting to listen to.
Nice to see the shout out to Joseph Tainter. He is under appreciated, largely because his message is not popular.
Thank you for this interview. JHK is such a great mind. His book Too Much Magic was on sale here in Ljubljana, EU and I grabbed it straight away and put it on front of my shelf just for the title. My favourite critic ever since I found his talks here on YT.
Prepozno je a vseeno - v kateri knjigarni ste jo našli???
@@rexhrcek1802 Zdravo. V Mladinski Knjigi, enota Konzorcij. Največja knjigarna pri nas.
Living in the long emergency is a very interesting book which offers almost 10 individual examples of people adapting to a lower energy world. I also greatly appreciate Jim's writing style. Speaking of being Ironic I bought this latest of Jim's energy/peak oil related books only a day before my Country entered it's first Lockdown. Great Interview.
"almost 10 people?"
Good to see you Jim, peace
The fall of the working class has been evident, and I agree with your description. As a matter of fact, I just wrote something similar on a Facebook post today. Tattooed, uneducated, addicted and angry.
Read Charles Murray, "Coming Apart."
@@michaels4255 thank you for the recommendation will do
World made by hand has arived in 2020...... Love JIms books
Saw kunstler on TED when it was still good.
How James if you're listening - consider growing Daikon radishes if you're not. Some people call them tillage radishes. Good for all sorts of reasons, look into it.
Link on daikon? Curious
@@randomboy758 you could watch this, its 1.5 hours but covers daikons and lots of other so called 'cover crops'
czcams.com/video/ZOuJ2bUGcTc/video.html
Or you could just search daikon cover crops or tillage radish (same thing) on youtube and find various videos.
I have personally found they work best as part of a multi species mix rather than monoculture.
AKA, "Japanese" radishes.
my brother-the-bankruptcy-attorney has done fine through every recession.
Aug 5th 2005 - most excellent inteview with Art Bell program- one of Art's best interviews
Thanks Jim!
Around 1985, I figured there would be a collapse within 10 years... we've propped up the economy in one way or another over the years. I'm convinced we're facing a collapse within a few years. I see food prices sky rocketing as well as apartment rents. I'm going to be 62 in August of 2022 and I'm very fearful of how I'm going to keep afloat.
Prescient especially about fossil fuels which have been hoisted to nearly unaffordable levels. Europe is paying top dollar for electricity and natural gas. Mexico has stopped exporting oil, once one of the largest producers until their supergiant oil fields have depleted. $7 gasoline in California currently. Anyone who says these rises are temporary are fooling themselves because the world is rapidly running out of cheap oil. They call it a supply issue but it's a wake-up call to impending energy shortages. JHK also warned about the urban collapse of skyscrapers, both from an energy perspective and an unsupportable building model. Post-covid proves that the glut of office space will never be filled. The quicker we convert these buildings into housing the better, but that will be very expensive.
Really great interview! Thanks.
The Emergency is Similarly Lengthy here in Coronaville UK...
Still convinced the spike in oil prices and general rise in price of resources in the onset, was one major trigger behind the subprime mortgage crisis that precipitated the 2008 banking crisis. Oil price hiked up to $150 a barrel (around 50 now) pushing those low income households over the edge, while house prices already took a dive, endangering their mortgage. Choose : heat your house, drive a car and buy food with whatever you've left, or pay off a loan you couldn't afford in the first place. Baaamm !!
The current covid-induced recession is only the second out of the last 12 recessions that was not preceded by a sharp spike in oil prices, so yes, the sharp rise in energy prices probably triggered the Great Financial Crisis.
Michael Ruppert called it "the Bumpy Plateau". Oil prices will rise until nobody can afford it and then crash the market, prices drop, and then when the economy picks back up it repeats. It'll continue until the spike hits for one last time and nobody can afford to buy the oil anymore even when it crashes.
Some say the repeal of key provisions in the glass/steagle act,led to the subprime mortgage crisis.I hear there is now a subprime auto loan bubble,and it's bigger than the 2008 mortgage bubble.
Great interview!
Where's that epic mustache?
Oil companies don't make money pumping oil but from products they own like whatever else oil makes to produce money. The thing is energy in energy out.
Wow James looks A lot different from the time I was in college. Perhaps I look a little different to but wow it's very noticeable on him.
It's called old age. You'll get there some day if you're lucky.
@@michaels4255 Well said. my dad would say the same thing.
I know Jim personally, he’s a very vigorous man, he is active in his yard, walks the outdoors, is a very social animal with lots of local and distant friends. I admire him very much and consider him as a father figure
Convert those Plums into wine or brandy :-D
A slice of the civilization collapse picture brought on by living beyond ecological sustainability. Michael Dowd's interviews introduces different perspectives on this larger existential crisis.
Apart from being an economic failure, has anyone considered the environmental damage done by the shale oil industry?
Wow, you might be the first person to EVER think of that!
Since 2007 Humanity has had the means to not to collapse, Oh Obama went methane spike instead of gravity engines using water. NOW we must make ice in circle to thicken ice cap. This winter before it is to late. Operation opps we lowered sea level......We must attack the circle for more land!
To be successful, make ice lower sea level industry, does this deserve to exists?
Frankly, yes.Frank.
Oil is cheap and the economy is weak BECAUSE the weak economy is causing oil to be cheap because of reduced demand. However, oil will not remain cheap. It will be a roller coaster over time. I predicted this phenomenon (the roller coaster) on a peak oil discussion group before conventional oil peaked. In a sense, the relationship between oil prices and the economy is similar to the predator-prey model. The economy consumes too much oil, the supply becomes scarce pushing prices higher, the economy (the predator) crashes, then oil supply (the prey) rebounds, causing prices to fall, letting the economy recover, at least to a degree. However, oil becomes absolutely and not just relatively scarcer over time, so even the low prices will tend to become "higher lows" over time.
Cars and roads in and of themselves are just total insanity if you stop to think about it. We should’ve designed ultralight vehicles which are hovercraft that can navigate grass roads requiring absolutely no pavement not to mention waterways. Instead we have these overbuilt behemoths which destroy the roads the are totally dependent upon to get anywhere. And then of course any normal person who’s driving anything he couldn’t afford to buy with cash on the barrelhead is probably insane on some level. Considering how dependent we are on cars auto mechanics should be the number one subject taught in American high schools. Instead all of the shop class offerings were removed to joint vocational schools and everyone’s taking computer lab instead, which incidentally has also done in secretarial science. To be a secretary now you need some ridiculous bachelor’s degree which has taught you how to do virtually nothing.
You don't need sugar to make jam. You just want sugar.
Interesting interview otherwise. Ha!
@@RickLarsonPermacultureDesigner Who doesn't want a bit of sugar with their jam ey?
This should be the top comment
@@faststick2021 I like Kunstler he is trying to provide for himself! I have a channel filled with growing food ideas by the way.
@@arminkuburas1696 I actually don't most of the time, but some tart fruits I use a bit of honey. No measurement I add a little and taste until the tartness is balanced. Like most people once addicted to sugar the bacteria in your stomach demands evermore. People can't even imagine a life without sugar!
12:50 lol yep its true
Research. Richard Kellogg Jolly Tucson Arizona .
Your Mall - Aka Amazon fulfillment distribution depot for drones
Got an email address for book house?
the poor have been living in a low energy world forever.
JHK has become a Republican apologist.
I don't think he has changed much. Just that the Dems have become incredibly radical.
@@michaels4255 It could be argued that JHK is perhaps way *more* radical in proposing a complete transition into a low energy world, which is going to happen wether we are active in making it happen or wether it is forced upon us by environmental, economic and energy factors. And the Dems aren't even slightly radical, its all performance theatre for TV, look at their voting records compared to what they say. If they said what they did even half of what they said America would actually know about it. You're painting politicians to be far more competent than they actually are.
@@darrens3 PS - I meant to add, there is nothing a radical about proposing something that is inevitable anyway.
There's a lot of perks in being a republican apologist.
Wrong again, we have not hit peak oil.
But don’t we have to share now with China and emerging markets, where the future of capital markets lie for the 1%?
@@bcaominh the world is finished as we know it!
Conventional Oil Production peaked around 2006 and has been mostly at a platue in years afterwards. Also Oil Production if you delete America, Russia, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and UAE has declined by more than 5 million barrels a day since.
@@davidorourke4311 conventional now fracing globally can pick up
Statisticly even Liquified Natural Gas(LNG) has been added to Total Oil Production statistics since around 2010. This may be a source of Energy but doesn't quite have all the advantages of Conventional Crude Oil, Shale and Tar Sands Oil also don't have the advantages of Conventional Oil. Whatever the Energy types Energy Company's prioritize in the now and near future were facing an Energy poorer world in most Countrys.
He means well, however he never questions settler colonialism, where all the real wealth of america came and comes from
and worse he thinks there is a real difference between the two political sides of Left and Right... For he too shares the same devotion seen across
Intelligentsia, to empire and to top-down power...