Acheron Is Here, My Sanity Is Not... (Honkai Star Rail)
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- čas přidán 24. 07. 2024
- Today in Honkai Star Rail we're summoning for the newest 5-star Acheron! Will our luck EVER BE GOOD FOR ONCE FOR THE LOVE OF ALL THA
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#acheron #honkaistarrail #hoyocreators #hsrcharacters
0:00 Intro, History
0:21 Summon Start
1:49 Light Cone?
2:34 Light Cone Pulls
3:08 Temps Pulls, Whale Time
4:03 LC Continues
6:29 Should We Try and Get Eidolons?
7:38 Quick Test Run Before Deciding
8:15 Yep, let's try...
9:46 Gacha Rant Part 1
10:15 Trying some more...
10:42 Gacha Rant Part 2
12:58 One...More...Pull...
13:27 Summon Summary - Hry
🤌
Hi marga
🤌
temps pulls were 🤌 (they got 3 acherons in 80 pulls, along with lc and bailu)
🤌
👌
1:15 ... as I stare at my E3 Welt right now, crying... Acheron, why you do this to me?
Gambler's Fallacy is a the (incorrect) belief that a string of probability-based events will affect the next. As an example, in the event of flipping a coin, you flip two heads in a row, and say "Okay, two heads in a row, that means tails is next." Each coin flip is a 50/50 and the previous flip has no impact on the next. The law of averages means that given enough coin flips, you should see an even distribution of heads and tails, but each individual event is an entirely separate event with it's own probability.
That said, Gambler's Fallacy as applied to Honkai SR's gatcha gets difficult specifically because of the 'pity' and 'guarantee' systems. Given enough pulls, you WILL get your desired outcome, but in the base probability tables, there is no 'coming due', etc (tinfoil hat comes out...) unless that's what Hoyo WANTS you to think....
From Wikipedia: In statistics, regression toward the mean is the phenomenon where if one sample of a random variable is extreme, the next sampling of the same random variable is likely to be closer to its mean.
At some point the randomness has to be fair, to 'come due', from a legal standpoint, also for good game design.
I fact, in statistics, hypothesis tests can be conducted where traditionally a threshold for statistical significance is a p-value of 5% or less and the null hypothesis can be rejected that the game was fair in the first place.
Also, from a programming standpoint, randomness is typically achieved thru a random sequence which is sometimes seeded. It is a sequence that achieves a desired probability distribution over a reasonably short run, making it not truly random, and your point irrelevant.
@@blastyblast1010 The difference there is that the statistical analysis is discussing outcomes as a collection of the series, so regardless of any individual outcome, as you add more samples the the likelihood is that it will draw closer to its mean.
Gambler's Fallacy is specific the idea that a specific outcome will directly affect the following, which is incorrect. Each individual event has it's own probability. Of course, given a specific probability of an outcome, the likelihood of that outcome 'increases' over a series, when you consider many results as a series, but the Gambler's Fallacy is specifically about specific outcomes affecting the next.
So no, point is not irrelevant. Sorry. Also, spend some time on the wiki page for the Gambler's Fallacy if you're interested in a better explanation.
That's not necessarily true. There are instances in which the outcome of an event will, in fact, affect the outcome of the next e.g. through increasing or decreasing the probability that an event will occur.
I'm not saying that the fallacy isn't applicable in this game, just that the fallacy doesn't always hold true.
i just lost my first 5050 today getting my first bailu after playing for a year
I stare at my E3 Bronya, not mad, just... disappointed.
I lost Luocha to Bronya in both his banners...
I got Acheron on early pity, for both her light cone, and herself. Have some of my luck, your wallet needs it, especially from the chiori incident
Can I have some of that luck also? I got grandpa instead of Mommy😢
I got the red haired mommy😢
@@minerska3395 it is okay, I believe in you, you can do it
@@blazelazin5752 don't worry, he is great too, but here, just in case. *hands you physical luck*
i never loss in 5050 on both character and LC but acheron took time to come home. 80+ pity
Ngl her lightcone is Stupidly insane
1:20 “There’s such an astronomically high chance it could be that character” I got Bailu when I pulled for Huohuo, and then I ended up quitting due to how upset I was 😭 (I still haven’t come back since HSR isn’t the game for me and I’m way too behind in the meta)
This happened to me when I wanted to get lynx. 3 5* before a lynx
I love when garbage genshin players quit instead of trying to get hoyoverse to make the game easier. Go play in your little teapot, you won't get any excessive anxiety
@@vanitasastra wow calm down buddy its alright to quit doing something you dont like instead of forcing the creator to change it
@@vanitasastra thats to much for someone who quit because it wasnt for them bro, not everyone like turn based games, no need to be upset they dislike it
I got Acheron early pity and Welt in the same 10 pull. So now I'm guauranteed the next 5-star :D
I remember summoning for kafka, saw the nihility, it was welt… ive been scared to summon for a nihility since
7:04 you read it wrong originally before you get E2 you needed 2 Nihility character in the party for Acheron to get the bonus with E2 you only need to run 1 Nihility unit with Acheron to get the full bonus which means you free up a spot for a Harmony unit.
so basically her E2 is like screw every nihility unit i will do it myself then
no at e0 her team is like.
acheron - nihility - nihility - healer
with e2.
acheron - nihility - harmony - healer @@ehalemusic6246
This E2 is definitely very strong now but it's susceptible to losing value in the future. They will release strong Nihility debuffers in the future that can compete with Harmony. Question is how long it'll take.
@@ehalemusic6246 kinda but not really you will still run 1 other nihility with her which will be Silver Wolf she's a strong support for Acheron ofc of you don't have SW then Pela is the next runner up followed by Galleger who is an abundance healer that can help with Acheron stackd then Guinafen.
Acherons E2 will only lose value if you dont run Nihilty units with her. Even if strong Nihilty debuffers come it won't devalue her E2 because you will always have a Nihility with her. Case in point her E2 will always have value die to how she and her kit works.
@@templeknightsgallagher is not nihility
Bronya at 80 pity.
Acheron at 84 pity.
Cost me all my Star Rail Special Passes, Stellar Jade and Undying Starlight...Now it's time to rebuild my reserves for Jingliu...
1:33 i have 3 seperate launch day accounts have a total of 20 5 stars between them, and not ONCE have a won EVEN A SINGLE 50/50. So yeh your lucky by comparison
It’s nice seeing moga Chan, feels like it’s been forever
Bless. A new vid
always looking forward for your videos
I never got an early pull in hsr since launch. Always 75+
Update: i lost the 50/50 got my E2 himiko.
Could not be me hoyo loves me its a 50% that its early
This banner I lost the 50/50 10 pulls in and then won 20 more pulls in :)
@kushj9568 i told myself if i get the weapon i will pull for her. Lost the weapon 75/25 then went to pull her anyway and lost the 50/50.
Never won a 50/50 never got a 5* before 80 pity, u're not alone
I'm on my 8th win streak on Sparkle, I didn't expect another win from the best dps currently in the game. 9th win streak, Acheronnnnn!!! 🎉 Blessing everyone massive luck!!! 🍀
Thank you so much!! Hope I get Luocha now…
GREAT i lost all 50 50 on acheron after 20h+ farming and the best i lost to welt E1 :) im about to kms if i dont get her
1:33
I got Welt when I pulled for Black Swan
I hated that day
That happened to me too… and it happened again on acherons banner…
Just happened to me. Shes at e1 already, I WAS SO CLOSE
I lost my 50-50 for Acheron too and I would have been fine with literally anyone but I got that stupid Yanqing, he's gonna stay lvl1 with ratio forever.
@@FantasyBreakerYanqing being lvl 1 I understand but Ratio is really good in imaginary team comps paired with Topaz
1:16 yeah got welt when i was pulling for kafka on her first banner i think
kinda funny did reminds me since you did mention Welt since back then I was get spooked by him earlier in Sparkle then got Acheron in next.
Hopefully I can get Acheron's LC as well.
I thought I won the 75/25 on her LC but I was jebaited by Welts LC….however I did get her LC on early pity right after lol
On black swan banner I got a nihility and got welt then pulled again right after and got her
God that pain... I feel so bad. I got E6S1 Acheron and E6 Gallagher in 363 pulls. I had been saving since the losing the 50/50 on Kafka's rerun.
I got 6 5 stars including her and her lightcone both once, across all banners all at extremely low pity i was livin happy
*Rubbing hands together deviously*
Heheh a new Moga video
Mine went really well!!! I got e3s1 acheron in abt 300 pulls and im gonna keep pulling untill the patch ends
haha that welt acheron thing happened to me... thankfully ran it back and got acheron day 1 of the banner still, got lucky on the pity got her off of the story jades pulls
I got Welt baited in my own summons XD. I didn't have him though so it was fine - and then Acheron came home 20 pulls later
Luckyyy I'm still 50 pulls in after seeing welt
Lucky I lost to welt and I m at like 17 pity
I got 3 black swans and her lightcone before a misha and i wasted like 90 pulls and i had like 60 pity in character one and idk in loghtcone because my history reset
istg Raiden mei in this universe is crazy, i'm not criting half of the time yet still manage to get 300k lmao
out of all the 5 stars I’ve pulled I never lost a 50/50 I love my luck
I got Welt-baited on Acheron’s lc pulls
Lost my 75/25 to his lightcone, was so happy to see Nihility icon
When u were puling i got a hsr black swan ad and i was so confused i thought u got double
i dont play hsr a lot, but she looks badass.
I hit a crazy lucky patch where I got Himeko, Kafka, 2! Dhils , Fu Xuan and topaz in like less then 90 pulls ! Although that was a while ago and my luck has been complete trash as of late (missed out on ruin mei and sparkle and all my 5 stars now have been at like 80 plus pulls ) so yeah there are def highs and lows lol
i feel so good getting e0s1 (and an extra himeko) in 135 pulls
e2 acheron is insane, because sparkle is so good for her, even at e0 she is slightly better than other nihility options in her team(beating the 115% to 160% dmg jump they give) so e2 is basically just giving you back that 45% additional dmg and then some
How does she pair with Bronya compared to sparkle?
@@chipham9837not as good cuz sp and its not great. Also, the nihility trace is insane because it’s not additive, it’s multiplicative so do the math
I understand your pain.. Bailu is my highest eidolon character (at E3) and I didn't select her on the standard banner so those are all from lost 50/50s.
She just won't leave me alone.
Edit: Wait I just got an idea (rare for me actually). They should make it so you can block a character from your pulls. No, it should be up to 3 characters you can block from your pulls!
3:20 I had similar pills, 30 pills just wanted a Gallagher and I got acheron Gepard and louachas e1
My first Acheron is on 80 pity but I won the 50/50, my second and third Acheron is on like their 10th pity or something. For lightcone, I got them in one pull 😅
Ouch sorry for the luck mate. I got her e2s1 in under 300 pulls. Lost one 50 to e2 himeko
Lost both the 50-50 and 75-25 at high pity (75-78 and LC 72), felt as gutted as you and had a similar logic for giving up on the LC (instead of Eidolons in this case), I'll be saving the guaranteed for Sam's LC instead.
I got a harmony icon on sparkle banner and it was my 3rd copy of Bronya 😂
I got her E2 after losing 2 50/50s and hitting hard pity multiple times. Very sad times. But she's really damn good!
Yea, my summon sessions were horrible as well. Lost 50-50 twice on my way to e2 s1 Acheron
5:05 In what world does a shield and a blackhole look similar my guy, the symbols are pretty distinctive my guy
my friends i have achieved e0s1 Acheron (s1 at 25 pity). I wish the best of luck to any pullers
Got acheron and her lc early - thought, “sweet! Im gonna go for e2! 😊” had to go to pity 3 times, lost to a bailu and a WELT (UGH) now back to grinding gems like a peasant before the banner ends so i can get my damned e2
I'm hoping I win my first 50/50 in star rail on this banner X)
My hopes are really not that high
I got acheron and her lc only with 38 pull, hsr really give me blessing in this banner. Probably be unlucky for the next banner
I like seeing pity number
E2 with fire mc is pretty good
I need her lc so bad! Wish I could just buy stellar jades TwT.
Nice pulls Moga!
You can
@@thunderchief7256 and guess what. I really did can! (Have her lc in 30 pulls win 50/50!) Thank yuuu
Wish I could have shown my last 10 pull for her LC. Not sure the likelihood or rarity of the pull is, but I not only got the LC itself, but 2 more copies as well. So got her LC 3 times in 1 pull.
lol the number of times he's had much better luck then me, and how he always rages.
I couldve lost my 50/50s but some how i got her in 30 pulls and got her weapon in 15. Ngl though I almost forgot about welt and cleched ny cheecks so hard 💀
Should've added the fart soundboard part in the end of the video as well smh
I'm so confused with your Avatar not matching with your low pitch voice.
But somehow it felt natural some minutes later
My Archeron is doing 120k-170k max damage so far, relics are all at 0 w terrible substats. Traces are maxed and I have her light cone. Team was Aventurine, black swan and ruan mei …I am going to try her w silver wolf and Kafka tonight n see 🥹
I pulled for Luocha because i needed a good healer but Archeron is LITERALLY my favorite character. Sobbing
I did 100 pulls and got E0 Acheron, her lightcone and Clara's lightcone. Acheron came home early only 20 pulls. lost the 75/25 to Clara's lightcone but next 10 pull I got her lightcone
I won my 50/50 ok acheron and then made a 10 pull on the wepon banner i got her sig weapon 2 times very lucky tho her lc is useless on every other character.
I get the feeling. I've been real bad being consistent playing star rail because I haven't won the 50/50 since 1.0. Genuinely I have lost 6 50/50s in a row and only one was at 45 or lower, I follow the standard of almost every character arriving at 77-80. I had guarantee on Black Swan so I tried for her cone, second bronya cone came out at 76 rolls. If my math is right, my account has had a 1.5% chance of losing this many times in a row. My friends watched me roll my E3 Bailu when Acheron's banner arrived and were kind enough (or horrified enough) to all gift me rolls to pity. I, however, don't play this game as a job. So for that alone, I really hope your luck turns around and you get blessed your next banners my guy. With some of Aventurine's gambling luck maybe we'll all feel better on the next banner...right? - a fellow gacha masochist
itto moment
I'm supply pass only and I had saved about 290 pulls for her. I got her and S1 (won both). Then, I deciddd to be a bit crazy and try to get her E2. I GOT TWO OF HER IN 110 PULLS. I won both 50/50s
Man I did not get to waich it live
My Star Rail lucky is so trash and i have lost almost all my 50/50s and now thankfully i got bronya pity 20 and dont have to farm as much as if she was late pity. I hope i get acheron bc honestly she is so cool and does so much damage
I never lose in lc banner since danil 1st banner, hehe
Yeahhh, got luocha and Acheron on my 6th reroll, let’s Gooo!! Oh wait, no nihility light cones, hmm what to do🤔should I roll on the light cone banner?
I got her 20 sum pity and I don’t have enough to get her but oh well
Acheron was my first time going full whale on a character, of course my luck is trash and I had to use 450 pulls for E2S1 💀, it’s definitely worth though for me, she hit 6 Million in simulated universe
Wanted 1 Gallagher and did 50 pulls for it, got E16 Pela :/
managed to win 50/50 got her at 79 pity and her lightcone 27 pity
Lost my first lightcone 75/25 and got Acherons with the next single pull
Played since launch, never won a 50/50 never got a 5* before 80 pity. Theres for sure smth going on with strar rail's wish system
skipping acheron for aventurine, i hope i dont lose 50/50 😭
Got her with 8 pulls, her light cone 9. My fastest pull was Kafka and Topaz with 5 each. The gods smiled on me then hehe
Lost 50/50 to Clara after prefarming for Acheron and had a mental break...came back a few hours later and got her 3 pulls after
When I was pulling for argenti I lost my 50/50 to himeko.. he’s e2 with her lightcone and I’m f2p
90 pulls and got E1 and light cone, now trying to get E2 (I'm spending all the luck of my existance help)
I feel you moga besides these summons I’ve had a 30% win rate for 50/50’s. Thankfully this time got e2S1 in 229 pulls so 99% of gamblers win 😂
Acheron was motivated to take your pulls away '-'
Got the curse of welt for the e1 acheron
Spent over 100 wishes, no Mei yet.
Got Bronya to E1.
i just lost my first 5050 today getting my first bailu after playing from almost start
70 pity before I got her. 76 before I got E1. 71 pity for her cone. Not sure when I’ll get E2…
Gallagher needs e2 at minimum to be good. I got him and pela e6 kekw. Wait, all those warps and u only ended up with e1?!?! Crazy!!
I’ve lost everyone of my 50/50s since fu xuans banner and I really wanna win my 50/50 but every 50/50 I lose each time I give up hope I’m just gonna lose 50/50 every time hoping Acheron can break that but very doubtful tbh😭
I got E1 Gepard on Fuxuan's banner...
I won 50/50 on all my pulls for argenti, his light cone, ruan mei and blade and then i stop playing star rail. I played genshin and got c2 nahida withing 50 pulls. But i did spend almost 180 pulls just for c0 yelan tho.
I got bronya and her lightcone before acheron...( I already had both)...
I got my Acheron at 9 pity gl all!
LOST TO A BAILU S1😭😭
i won the 50/50 for her and got her LC on pity 16, got still like 90 wishes for Boothill 🤣
your playing gacha. your sanity was never a question. its long gone
I lost 50/50 and got Welt. Sadge
i lost my 50/50 for acheron and then also lost 50/50 on neuvillette cons in genshin so im watching this to calm myself down by the fact that some people went through the same stuff
I lost lc to gepard lc too lmao
BRO litterally yesterday i roll for acheron on my ftp main account and i actually got the 5 star and the nihility symbol popped up but it was welt. However, explain to me how 7 pity later i pull acheron 😎
Acheron is 7 letters
It took me 90 pull for E0S1
I got both Acheron and cone
As someone who has lost all his 50/50's and 75/25's soo far I feel your pain moga :')