Balaji - This country will win the future (and how they'll do it)

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  • čas přidán 6. 07. 2022
  • Watch the full interview with Balaji here: • Balaji Srinivasan | Th...
    Balaji, angel investor and technology enthusiast, explains why China and India will win the future and they'll replace in doing so. Balaji is the author of a brand new book, "The Network State," which outlines how to start an online digital revolution and the successor to typical nation states.
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Komentáře • 328

  • @tkppodcast
    @tkppodcast  Před 7 měsíci +8

    If you enjoyed this conversation, could you do us a favor and HIT that like button on the video! It helps us a lot. Share your favorite part of the convo below 👇

    • @petem9994
      @petem9994 Před 7 měsíci +1

      America incompetent has been the indolence of Americans, the influx of very lazy and ignorant illegals from latin america. china compentency is false egoistic pride rooted in revenge and hate that keep telling themselves they are here to rule the world. No one can rule the world through stupidity (british empire, USA, colonial powers, etc) and hate. Soft power and uplifting others as humans is the way to go.

  • @rnskfamily7672
    @rnskfamily7672 Před 5 měsíci +31

    There is whole another reason why india is going to shine. They are friends with everyone. They dont take sides, neutral policies, live and let live policies. They are non-west but not anti west

    • @amrit5679
      @amrit5679 Před měsícem +2

      ghanta

    • @AMPA33
      @AMPA33 Před 3 dny

      He said "Indians" in diaspora, not India. India is and will continue to be a S hole country, infact it will continue to get worse due to the unmanageable demographic situation. Also, you can't rule out the possibility of a civil war. The Indian state has been incapable in dealing with the faultlines within modern day India, or maybe they wish to promote these for electoral gains, that its going to be a huge implosion.

    • @leerockx357
      @leerockx357 Před 19 hodinami

      ​@@amrit5679understated pearl of wisdom.

  • @ThePreityEffect
    @ThePreityEffect Před rokem +106

    Brilliant talk by Balaji. He is spot on about India.

    • @shamsham1983
      @shamsham1983 Před rokem

      Brilliant talk my ass.. Indians are scammers everywhere. Balaji’s bet about a million dollar worth of bitcoin is supposed to be today. 90days is over so where is it?

  • @sunnyshangari5311
    @sunnyshangari5311 Před dnem +2

    Mr.Balaji you are right on not India but Indians !🇮🇳

  • @OrwellsHousecat
    @OrwellsHousecat Před rokem +6

    Fascinating! Thanks

  • @mth469
    @mth469 Před rokem +37

    All countries go through a high point and then decline. It's the circle of life because nothing lasts forever.

    • @mangopudding5979
      @mangopudding5979 Před 7 měsíci +2

      Not true, India's reign will last forever.

    • @chrisgali2243
      @chrisgali2243 Před 3 měsíci

      @@mangopudding5979 as long as we have people like you we are guaranteed to have our heads in the sand and keep losing lol

  • @benmaxinm
    @benmaxinm Před 8 měsíci +45

    Can most of us in the comments section agree we are highly incompetent to judge if what Balaji says is an accurate predictor of future trends? It seems that most comments below are based on feelings rather than clear measurable trends.

    • @benmaxinm
      @benmaxinm Před 8 měsíci +1

      Ohh 100%

    • @sabtaingopinath9652
      @sabtaingopinath9652 Před 7 měsíci

      It's ALWAYS based on feelings when it comes to Indians. Lol
      Not all. But damn the majority definitely.
      They don't know even know Modi is giving them lollipops to keep them 10 steps behind the West.

    • @paroxymal7688
      @paroxymal7688 Před 7 měsíci +1

      He said china 1st in a heartbeat which is fair enough so whatever else he is talking should be good enough too.

    • @prasvasu4217
      @prasvasu4217 Před 4 dny +1

      India is poised to grow at as steadily good rate, although it will upset both optimists and pessimists.
      - Why steady coz of their generally non-partisan views on global matters and emphasis on education and industry to feed a burgeoning population; also a generally non-hawkish foreign policy (unlike China).
      - Why not live up to expectations coz of it being an extremely noisy and chaotic democracy with several groups with vested interests; also the very diverse population with different viewpoints. Very hard to control. Also overall less than optimal policymaking, regulatory environment and polity.
      - Why will they do well in the future coz they're beginning to realize the importance of home grown companies and intellectual capital.
      You can look at indicators or historical facts across each of the points I discussed. India is a very imperfect country; but given a long time period they're poised to do well.

  • @kaushikvsmaniyan
    @kaushikvsmaniyan Před 7 měsíci +14

    10:32 - 11:29 - the missing piece in Balaji's commentary is the rapidly shrinking working age population of China & the increasing retiring population. That's a challenge that takes 2 decades plus to solve if detected on time but China seems to have left it too late. He could have addressed it directly at 16:05 - 16:08, 19:29 - 19:33 - true, I almost didn’t recognise the city I left for Europe when I returned for the first time after 8 years, and that was in 2012! Its evolved a couple of times more since then but at a tremendous cost. The loss of wetlands to buildings is the key cause of increasingly damaging & dangerous floods

    • @formyloveh
      @formyloveh Před 7 měsíci +1

      Population shrinkage is a problem but it isn’t as big as it is portrayed since China transitioning towards automation. More youth in the future means more unemployment and therefore more instability.

    • @kaushikvsmaniyan
      @kaushikvsmaniyan Před 7 měsíci +1

      @@formyloveh who will buy the goods the robots make?

    • @formyloveh
      @formyloveh Před 7 měsíci +2

      @@kaushikvsmaniyan definitely not jobless people.

    • @jliang70
      @jliang70 Před 7 měsíci

      @@kaushikvsmaniyan You. You buy goods based on quality and not necessarily who made it.

    • @kaushikvsmaniyan
      @kaushikvsmaniyan Před 7 měsíci

      @@jliang70 you completely miss the point. If couples have one child each, the population halves in a generation even if Healthcare is the best in the world & halves again in the following generation if that trend continues so the market size will do the same. Besides, the elderly buy far less. Do you see the problem now?

  • @abhishek0kb
    @abhishek0kb Před 7 měsíci +3

    Having Hasan minhaj mentioned in the video had me question your analysis till then.

  • @dogwoofwoof8154
    @dogwoofwoof8154 Před 2 lety +115

    Indians because I think they are very smart, specially in maths , Usa have 36% something indians in Nasa, most of the good doctors are indians, big company ceo's are indians etc

    • @PoshakDua
      @PoshakDua Před 2 lety +23

      All the smart ones move out of India so it creates a perception that Indians are smart.

    • @dogwoofwoof8154
      @dogwoofwoof8154 Před 2 lety +16

      @@PoshakDua that's not true brother not all the smart people moved out...in fact smart people population which are living in india is very very high compare to smart people population not living in india. It's just your misconception

    • @pppinto97
      @pppinto97 Před rokem +5

      @@PoshakDua Smart people get rewarded better in US or developed countries bcoz they are in lookout for talent

    • @sonil9878
      @sonil9878 Před rokem +4

      I believe capitalism in USA is a big reason behind why many talented indians have moved there in the recent decades, cuz apparently capitalism tends to be more rewarding for competent individuals. But times have changed since the liberalization of indian economy which started in 1990s, and even the current indian gov is tilting more towards capitalism. On top of these systematic changes, the mindset of the indian populace (specially that of the growing middle class) is adapting quickly with the rapidly changing 21st century global socioeconomic structure, as they've almost recovered from hundreds of years of colonial exploitation.

    • @eureka7747
      @eureka7747 Před 8 měsíci +3

      I know many smart people in India, and those who moved to US (possibly more in India than in US). Once you get a US education, you tend to stay put and find a job - academia or professional. But many Indians also don't go to the US for education after their undergrad. You will find a larger pool of "smart" Indians in India, compared to the ones who go to the US. Everyone who goes to US, is not the best and brightest btw.

  • @kks8142
    @kks8142 Před 6 dny

    Does anyone know the book that Balaji has read in this podcast ?

  • @SonumonPS
    @SonumonPS Před 7 měsíci +3

  • @najibyarzerachic
    @najibyarzerachic Před 7 měsíci +11

    Hasan Minhaj is not from Pakistan. He was born in the US but both his parent came from India.

    • @manh9105
      @manh9105 Před 7 měsíci +15

      He is a Pakistani ideologically

    • @siddarthshah1773
      @siddarthshah1773 Před 7 měsíci +6

      even pakistanis were indian hindus once before they got islamised nd dey asked for independence in the name of religion during 1947

    • @phoenixj1299
      @phoenixj1299 Před 7 měsíci

      Pakistan is an ideology and not a country

    • @onetwokaafour
      @onetwokaafour Před 3 měsíci

      Pakistan is not a country, its a mentality

    • @thendino1
      @thendino1 Před 5 dny

      @@siddarthshah1773
      Islam was trying to conquer INDIA and Islamize

  • @stiffmeistercharlie1758
    @stiffmeistercharlie1758 Před 2 lety +8

    Just letting you guys know the full episode this clip is from is not on the full episode playlist.
    Thanks for the great podcasts!

  • @narayansingh9407
    @narayansingh9407 Před 7 měsíci +1

    The fact is that that everyone has it's own theories about US China and India (maybe). Only the time will tell

  • @robertdepesci3418
    @robertdepesci3418 Před rokem +32

    I feel like balaji magnifies unimportant details to predict what he thinks is the important variable to support his thesis

    • @rahulvats95
      @rahulvats95 Před rokem

      US isn't going anywhere soon

    • @0xsunil
      @0xsunil Před rokem

      xD

    • @sloppyjoe5263
      @sloppyjoe5263 Před 8 měsíci +6

      ​@@rahulvats95he didn't say usa is going to become a third world underdeveloped country, he just said it will like the uk of today, still developed and rich but definitely not as powerful as China and India.

    • @sabtaingopinath9652
      @sabtaingopinath9652 Před 7 měsíci

      Yes absolutely... This is for feel good views.... Anyone who studies politics knows how weak India is now.

    • @vetiarvind
      @vetiarvind Před 7 měsíci +1

      @@sabtaingopinath9652 you have a strange definition of weak. lol it's growing at 7%+ year on year, and going to surpass Japan and Germany within a decade.

  • @theultimateshield5133
    @theultimateshield5133 Před 6 měsíci +4

    As an Indian i personally think China has better system in place we currently dont have that today we may look we are growing because we have leader in place forget wether he is good or bad for our social harmony, but our problem has always been what happens when they leave, people have always predicted after this person this guy will take over but in India it just doesnt happen.In India taking history into account the person you dont see coming (sometimes you dont even know existed) pulls up and takes power almost all of the time.

    • @0m13
      @0m13 Před 6 měsíci +1

      Better system in what sense? India is what Europe tries to be but has failed to be (they could barely hold the “union” together); it is orders of magnitude more diverse than China. How many languages are spoken in China? They cannot even handle a single ethnic minority like the Uighurs without brutalizing them. India while held back by colonialism, has never had civil wars or genocides despite so much diversity (every other large geographical entity has had it). Looking at the last 50 years alone is a very myopic view. Please tell me how the “system” is inferior!

    • @vaibhavyadav9912
      @vaibhavyadav9912 Před 5 měsíci +1

      @@0m13 Mostly right but India has had civil wars and genocides. That ofcourse depends if you count the converts not as a foreign population. The genocide of kashmiri Hindus and their exodus (7 times), the Malabar genocide, the Marijhapi massacre, the Christian Inquisition of Goa and many instances. Even the British colonialism of two centuries took lives around 60-70 million just because of Artificially created famines alone.
      But all these were between The native faith systems, collectively called hindus and Abrahamic faith systems. Mostly xtianity and i$lam, not Judaism though.
      But yes, historically (ancient) India or Bharat never had genocides or civil wars. Battles between the kings happened, yes sure but not with the people.

    • @laoxianmodi
      @laoxianmodi Před 2 hodinami

      @@0m13 India has suffered over 800 years of brutal invasions and colonisations. Many just think that the invasion is just 100 year by east India company and 100 year subsequently by British monarch. No that’s not true. Those who say this purposely want to contain this sentiment because of large Muslim population in India that can cause really serious problems. India has bloodily suffered 800 years of brutal invasions and Britain just gave a last touch to it and helped take it on a declining path including dividing the country and painful transfer of people and in the process it extracted almost everything from India..

  • @BlensonPaul
    @BlensonPaul Před 7 měsíci

    good analysis.

  • @Kayash_Kino
    @Kayash_Kino Před 2 lety +3

    this is a promo

  • @mrnoedahl
    @mrnoedahl Před 7 měsíci

    Very well spoken my hillbilly friend.

  • @prostabkundu8105
    @prostabkundu8105 Před rokem +25

    Spot on on India. But I guess Indian and American partnership will rule the world. A democratic free world on India and America.

    • @humzanafees9348
      @humzanafees9348 Před rokem

      Indians are heading towards an extremist Hindutva state 😂😂😂😂 there’s no chance they will be a super power

    • @Alok-The-Great
      @Alok-The-Great Před 7 měsíci

      Honestly most Indians in the US vote for Joe and love Dems. Dems hate India. How that will help us? Americans underestimate indian innovation of UPI, its one of example. Now think about the per capita income of 50k USD of 1.5 Billion people. Can you imagine that? That's what will gonna happen with India by 2040

    • @franknjamen3044
      @franknjamen3044 Před 7 měsíci

      Indians as puppet and America their master 😅

  • @prabhanshurajpoot7419
    @prabhanshurajpoot7419 Před rokem +1

    23:00 Hasan's parents are from Aligarh, UP, India.

  • @Nishandh_Mayiladan
    @Nishandh_Mayiladan Před 7 měsíci +4

    A feedback: I am not proficient in English, possibly its that, but Balaji's language is a bit hard for me to understand. It becomes very hard to make clarity about the content at times.

    • @narayansingh9407
      @narayansingh9407 Před 7 měsíci

      That's ok. He didn't say Indians will be masters of English. But it certainly is going to improve. We already have the 2nd largest English speaking population. Most of our schools today have most of subjects taught in English. It's obvious, with that much of population.

    • @alaypatel6050
      @alaypatel6050 Před 7 měsíci

      Subtitles

    • @anandsuralkar2947
      @anandsuralkar2947 Před 7 měsíci

      Soon we will have largest english speaking pop.

    • @blandingscastle3729
      @blandingscastle3729 Před 7 měsíci

      You need to familiarize yourself with American way of speaking. Your writing seems fine.

    • @mad_in_2020
      @mad_in_2020 Před 17 dny

      Balaji's speaking skills are not simple and plain english. If somebody is very smart in their field, it doesn't mean that they can communicate well.

  • @Advaitamanta
    @Advaitamanta Před rokem +51

    India's decade, Bharat's century

    • @humzanafees9348
      @humzanafees9348 Před rokem

      Indians are heading towards an extremist Hindutva state 😂😂😂😂 there’s no chance they will be a super power.

    • @boomergen
      @boomergen Před 8 měsíci +7

      Not gonna be so easy but hell yeah Indians need to Step Up anyway. Either Rule or get ruled

    • @sloppyjoe5263
      @sloppyjoe5263 Před 8 měsíci +4

      ​@@boomergenyup 200 years of colonialism has taught us that it's either get strong or be ruled

    • @sabtaingopinath9652
      @sabtaingopinath9652 Před 7 měsíci +4

      Indias debacle... Bharats destiny.

    • @mangopudding5979
      @mangopudding5979 Před 7 měsíci +1

      Bharat's millenium

  • @DaddyOactive
    @DaddyOactive Před 2 dny

    You forgot about Indians in pharmaceuticals

  • @ishaanrohmetra3447
    @ishaanrohmetra3447 Před 7 měsíci +1

    he is right, but if indian residing in india wants to prove him wrong( which he wont be upset if done), they need to step up in the field of technology and compete with west otherwise only indians residing outside india vs china will the scenario.
    hope people understand.
    nice convo btw

  • @lifewithashwin
    @lifewithashwin Před 7 měsíci

    Hasan minhaj is Indian! 23:00

  • @silver9266
    @silver9266 Před 5 měsíci +1

    Can someone elaborate what he meant by Indians, not India?

    • @ShubhamSahu0503
      @ShubhamSahu0503 Před 4 měsíci +2

      Indians worldwide meaning the diaspora. The diaspora will have to play their part to influence decision making in their respective countries in case of a Sino indian war, which by the way is inevitable. It will also help in countering influence and dependence of the world on china.

  • @vibzrulz
    @vibzrulz Před 2 lety +20

    This talk was all over the place. We call it "Raita faila diya in Hindi" without actually coming to a conclusion.

    • @bloodbathy
      @bloodbathy Před 2 lety

      You didn't understand the meaning of Indians? Indians are everywhere. Smart people in the western country will be Indians. China will indirectly compete with Indians not india. He is correct. Indian political class will still won't understand how to defeat China. China will be defeated by Indians but not from India.

    • @harshmishra2075
      @harshmishra2075 Před 7 měsíci

      It's not for birds brains.

  • @zccau2316
    @zccau2316 Před 2 dny +1

    Hasan Minhaj is from India lol. UP specificaly

  • @vishnu3281
    @vishnu3281 Před 5 dny

    Indians are escaping to USA and just imagine if the India manages to get hold off all those talented individuals??

  • @yasuynnuf1947
    @yasuynnuf1947 Před 5 dny

    Hassan Minhaj is an American Indian….Kumail Nanjiani is from Pakistan.

  • @AliSidTex
    @AliSidTex Před 6 měsíci +1

    China is too highly dependent on it's integration with Western economies. Which is the same dependency India (and Indians) are in. But the global economy's growth is going to be the African and Middle East economies. If you look at which high growth militarized country has the best access to these economies, it is probably Turkey. So I'm betting on Turkey. It also happens to be diversifying it's economy at break neck speed with an almost alarming disregard for inflation and quality of life, despite being a democracy. That's the kind of momentum that creates an empire. China and the US will however likely remain #1 and #2 for at least a few more decades. They really need to start trying to drag each other down for anything to change on that front.

  • @SMam81
    @SMam81 Před 2 lety +18

    Wow it's not a very clear talk. ...too much random information...come to the point

  • @parag1489
    @parag1489 Před 7 měsíci +1

    US will be just fine. The geographical advantage is unparallel.

  • @johndrake3472
    @johndrake3472 Před rokem +3

    Westerners delegating to others will be our downfall

    • @ZionistWorldOrder
      @ZionistWorldOrder Před 7 měsíci +1

      delegating? as if its happening voluntarily 😂

    • @johndrake3472
      @johndrake3472 Před 7 měsíci

      @@ZionistWorldOrder How would you delegate in an involuntary manner? Care to explain, I don’t think you can. By the way, maybe you should take a look around, your Zionist World Order is coming undone, we’ll see who gets the last 😂, it won’t be ZOG. 2 billion Muslims, 2 billion Christians and 15 million Jews - long odds, “friend”.

  • @thegreatestwriter
    @thegreatestwriter Před 2 lety +4

    1729.

    • @rajeshgoyal6671
      @rajeshgoyal6671 Před 2 lety

      @Whatsapp①⑨⓪⑨③①②③⓪③④ count me in

  • @anshuraj4277
    @anshuraj4277 Před 7 měsíci +2

    USA ain't gonna collapse 😅😂

  • @mangc_hing
    @mangc_hing Před 5 měsíci

    21:19 Now 5G Everywhere

  • @roopmukherjee3006
    @roopmukherjee3006 Před 6 měsíci +1

    I think Balaji's prediction can be rebutted by Kishore Mehbubani...a geopolitical expert residing in Singapore..

  • @chaitanyaagnihotri10dsn44
    @chaitanyaagnihotri10dsn44 Před 5 měsíci +1

    Because hes indian as well

  • @Leoq-zk6wt
    @Leoq-zk6wt Před 7 měsíci +4

    I actually think he is right about India like 90%, but I would say he is somewhere around 60% right about China, and, he is 100% right about the USA. tbh.

  • @brandonderrick006
    @brandonderrick006 Před rokem +25

    He’s brilliant but I believe the most successful Indians and Chinese are in America and do not see that changing.

    • @dway89
      @dway89 Před rokem +11

      I disagree. There is a big change coming and the world will see the biggest migration of diaspora back will be seen

    • @2KSnSLifestyle
      @2KSnSLifestyle Před 9 měsíci

      Not in manufacturing.

    • @rohanch07
      @rohanch07 Před 9 měsíci

      You're ignorant. Most successful Indians are still in India. Tata's, Mittals, Ambanis, Adanis and the likes. All the ISRO scientists who are able to execute Moon and Mars missions at fraction of costs.
      Indians in the US have climbed the corporate ladder but they will never ever succeed at high level in Media, Business and Science at the same rate. And when push comes to shove US govt will not hesitate sending them to Internment camps en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internment_of_Japanese_Americans

    • @higherbeingX
      @higherbeingX Před 8 měsíci

      I disagree

    • @brandonderrick006
      @brandonderrick006 Před 8 měsíci

      @@higherbeingX look at the companies…

  • @savvyn37
    @savvyn37 Před 2 dny

    He is not talking about elephant in the room

  • @SanatanMandirSamaj
    @SanatanMandirSamaj Před 7 měsíci +1

    So Much words So Less Essence

  • @chrisgali2243
    @chrisgali2243 Před 3 měsíci

    Here we go again - Indians saying "next superpower" - first it was 2000, then it became 2010 and then it was 2020 now it is 2040. SMH

  • @constantineandreu9377

    Hawaii C'mon😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

  • @biswajeet9826
    @biswajeet9826 Před 5 dny

    This is one thing that I've noticed that when western people speak about history they old go 200 or at max 400 years back while Indians and Chinese discuss history and even geopolitics they will go for thousands and for those well why should they
    "Duh... They are very new nation's and even the idea of nationhood is pretty new afterall"
    But ask that to a Indian guy especially because communism killed culture in china you will find them trying to findout about the past and associate with that and learn and they also focus on the rest of world as well
    But the west is extremely narrow minded in that sense that they just don't indulge anything from outside and that's a very bad idea cause knowledge shall be treated as knowledge irrespective where is it coming from
    I am not a good writer so I might not have put in good way!!

  • @_sayan_roy_
    @_sayan_roy_ Před 7 měsíci +4

    For that the social fabric of safety and illiberal values need to be maintained. Economy and that goes hand in hand. Country needs to be anti-Islam and inculcate similar minded and well invested law and order officials as well as population control bill to control the demographics. If demographics changes then all this direction would change. Present govt is doing that somewhat but nowhere close to enough.

  • @alexclarke4775
    @alexclarke4775 Před 2 lety +9

    The only real answer is India or a longshot EU like regional bloc in africa.

  • @moyndebs6759
    @moyndebs6759 Před 7 měsíci

    Many competitive programmers 💻 , doctors 🥼, engineers 🛠 are from China / India.

  • @lutaayam
    @lutaayam Před rokem

    Well said but wrong

  • @rudrakanti89
    @rudrakanti89 Před 6 dny +1

    INDIANS with LIQUIDITY will thrive as an International community similar to Parsis and Jews. INDIA will be the most powerful nuclear capable Islamic State!

  • @blackmcbain3145
    @blackmcbain3145 Před 2 lety +39

    It's starting to show that the Chinese model is unsustainable. It's a centralized empire model, which is undermined by ethnic warfare and political infrastructure cracks. The biggest handicap is the centralized finance model, which is starting to crumble under the weight of the population, chronic health issues in the population, and the government picking the winners and losers. Foreign direct investment is declining rapidly. As the economy starts to decline with waning demand, they would have to move to a venture model not dictated by the government. They aren't innovators outside of military technology, and their attempts at colonization is failing in Latin America and Africa. They are becoming the British empire of the 21st century.

    • @mrjackoldman
      @mrjackoldman Před 2 lety +8

      Haha, you wish you knew what you were talking about. Most of the things you have mentioned are far more true for the US than they are for China. One just has to get rid of one's confirmation biases and see things objectively for what they are

    • @melburn4596
      @melburn4596 Před 2 lety +6

      Your 100% right. Great analysis. I think its crazy that pepole think china can grow like that.
      Best case is that What happened to japan in the late 80s and 90s, will happen to china.

    • @melburn4596
      @melburn4596 Před 2 lety

      @@mrjackoldman china can’t even feed there population without American imports.

    • @rangodenalo6185
      @rangodenalo6185 Před 9 měsíci

      @@mrjackoldman massive cope

    • @shanwnt1657
      @shanwnt1657 Před 7 měsíci

      ​@@melburn4596 US is hardly infallible. Their credit rating has been downgraded while poverty, crime, drug abuse polarization and lack of civility is on the rise.

  • @vetiarvind
    @vetiarvind Před 7 měsíci +7

    I thought it was an interesting snippet. Balaji has a unique and deep take on the world. I think he's spot on about the US, China and India but I think he underestimates how fragile China's internal systems are. There's a lot of tension and people don't like Xi Jinping's defacto dictatorship. (i've spoken to several Chinese citizens who left the country about this subject). Centralized systems often go ahead fast but they topple quickly, case in point, the USSR. We saw how many Chinese cities had blackouts because China stopped importing Australian coal due to some petty squabble. India and USA while they're bogged down by democracy have safety valves built in and are more robust because of it. I'm putting my bet on India and USA being safe top 2 of 3. China while being formidable industrially right now could end up getting pegged down if they end up in wars.

    • @plendafuture7451
      @plendafuture7451 Před 7 měsíci

      China's internal system has fragility and strength. The Chinese were the first to come up with the imperial civil service back during the Han Dynasty period . Most modern system we have today is an evolution of that civil service system ( basically - bureaucracy) . That allowed for greater centralisation . Yet it allowed the provinces to have governors to act with great autonomy .
      It will be a fight for a balance between centralisation and decentralisation. Historically the balance have been more towards centralisation with room for decentralised maneuvers - which permitted great prosperity. China in a modern sense is a parallel of the Roman Empire .
      Even the US is an empire but for some reason americans don't like it . Caesar said - vene , vidi , vici - I came I saw i conquered . America today is - I came I saw i conquered i am sorry . US did what it had to do , it has no reason to be sorry . It can introspect but it should not be paralyzed to act . The US is a great nation .
      The xi jinping era signals too much centralisation but that doesn't mean the Chinese Mandarins are not aware of the issue . It's too early to know how strong the centralisation is .
      I would place a bet only around 2030 . From that point it will become clear if the Chinese have a card up their sleeves which they are holding close . If not it's India and the US .

  • @samarthbagwe1736
    @samarthbagwe1736 Před 7 měsíci +1

    International indians
    Wtf 😒
    He thinks a bunch of International people of a country will compete with another country

    • @ParthMansukhani
      @ParthMansukhani Před 2 měsíci

      This is literally what many Chinese immigrants in australia and middle easterners in Europe and America do.
      They play large roles in government of western countries to influence policies in favor of their homeland

  • @upvotecomment2110
    @upvotecomment2110 Před 2 lety +17

    often times people who declare a bet on the future
    Has skin in the game with the said Country
    I wonder how biased his take is... Like Ray Dalio. Ray Invested so much, can't speak against it. Turning a blind to the current events and choosing to stare at history instead.

  • @Alok-The-Great
    @Alok-The-Great Před 7 měsíci

    What you cant see or understand. Always hard to predicte. Well Bajaji is wrong about India.

  • @DHTex11
    @DHTex11 Před 2 lety +13

    Didn't The Americans in NYSE build China

    • @Sam-tz8ou
      @Sam-tz8ou Před 2 lety

      Was america not built on stolen money from other European colonies ?

    • @melburn4596
      @melburn4596 Před 2 lety

      Yep, American capital build modern china

  • @pragasanarchary2980
    @pragasanarchary2980 Před 7 měsíci

    fast forward to a year later dec2023 and guess what ,china is experiencing ever increasing economic turmoil not to mention declining population. You'd want to rethink your predictions. Probably there's worse to come, sanctions , wars , natural disasters, pandemics etc.

  • @jayanthlaxman9188
    @jayanthlaxman9188 Před 7 měsíci

    Whoever predicting things about india does not take into consideration few important elements. Like...
    By 2049 Indian population will add another 25 crore . Add to that the old undead ones because of better medical availability. So you could be staring at a 25 crore just starting -in -life youngsters and totally non productive sick population of the same size. Why no one is talking about this while predicting and painting rosy picture of the Indian future. We will be falling into the abyss by that time. GDP will certainly increase. In india it is the number game because of the population. Currently india produces 7 lakh tons of human excrement every day which is a handsome amount of 25 crore tons.
    Just putting things in perspective

  • @amvedin
    @amvedin Před 7 měsíci +2

    I am from India and I spent ten years of my life in the US. As matters stand, the US is exactly in the same spot politically as Great Britain was in 1939. It perished within seven years and lost its glory. The US has fought so many wars and printed so much currency that it is sinking under its weight. It can't fight its wars anymore because it doesn't have the money to do so. Inflation is rampant and by the end of 2024, the US will be at the beginning of a depression though a new term will be coined to describe it. The facade exists but the building is badly damaged and unlivable. Like all empires that were based on brute force and bloodshed, the US empire will be gone too. It is only a matter of a decade.

    • @cp3190
      @cp3190 Před 7 měsíci

      What kind of comparison is this ?
      The US has the most powerful army in the world.
      The US has the most important and powerful tech in the world.
      The world uses US tech and thats not going anywhere.
      People like you are delusional.

    • @willdanger6833
      @willdanger6833 Před 7 měsíci +2

      This is a delusional take

    • @0m13
      @0m13 Před 6 měsíci

      @@willdanger6833the homeless person taking a dump in San Francisco, the center of some of the wealthiest corporates on the planet, disagrees with you.

    • @willdanger6833
      @willdanger6833 Před 6 měsíci

      @@0m13 OK that doesnt mean the US is gonna collapse in a decade.

    • @sagoKarthik1980
      @sagoKarthik1980 Před 6 měsíci

      @@willdanger6833 It is the typical pride of indians coming out. Before achieving anything they will think of a hypothetical situation where India is going to be a superpower. I am Indian by the way. But I have woken up and smelt the coffee

  • @bobsinhav
    @bobsinhav Před 5 dny

    English is an Indian language

  • @amod
    @amod Před 7 měsíci +5

    Per Wikipedia, Hasan Minhaj is of Indian heritage, not Pakistani. You are a great thinker, Balaji, but I really hope this was a rare example of an inaccurate statement from you, cos I take your words super seriously. Thank you for your intellect!

    • @manh9105
      @manh9105 Před 7 měsíci +9

      Pakistan is an ideology. He is a Pakistani by ideology

    • @cyrusthegreat3081
      @cyrusthegreat3081 Před 7 měsíci

      Hasan is Pakistani by heart! These kind of people support rape as a tool for political settlement just because rapist belong to their religion!

    • @imacarguy4065
      @imacarguy4065 Před 7 měsíci +3

      Hasan is a pick me Indian and Pick me South Asian. He would still be a pick me if he was Pakistani.
      What even is Pakistani heritage? They're not like Bangladesh bro. I think Indian heritage should apply to all. India referring to the subcontinent instead of the country.

    • @phoenixj1299
      @phoenixj1299 Před 7 měsíci

      In terms of heritage, he is certainly Indian. Pakistan is a mindset that's all. Just like the left in the US.

    • @0m13
      @0m13 Před 6 měsíci

      Well the basic ideology of Pakistan is “not India”, they should have just named themselves that. In that sense, Hassan is the same. And he also admitted to lying and exaggerating most of his “stories”.

  • @arunsar7893
    @arunsar7893 Před 7 měsíci +4

    Hassan Minaj is NOT from Pakistan. He is from India. So many factual mistakes in his arguments.

    • @marshalLannes1769
      @marshalLannes1769 Před 7 měsíci

      Wanna be pakistani (but didn't move in 1947 because who wants to leave thier home unless forced to do so). This this true for most of UP.

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 Před 7 měsíci

      @@marshalLannes1769 Wannabe Pakistanis don't marry Hindu gujrati girls without converting them.

    • @imacarguy4065
      @imacarguy4065 Před 7 měsíci

      Buddy, it's not that serious. Hes talking broadly South Asia.

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 Před 7 měsíci

      @@imacarguy4065 I agree, getting Hassan Minhaj's country of origin wrong isn't that serious. I used it as an example(should have used something else probably) but my broader point was that the guy's thesis is very wrong cause it's built on a lot of wrong assumptions and factually wrong data.

  • @arunsar7893
    @arunsar7893 Před 7 měsíci +1

    The guy is clearly underestimating the US and overestimating China.

  • @sampotter4455
    @sampotter4455 Před rokem +2

    Still China? Without semiconductors from the West?

  • @viksjolt1
    @viksjolt1 Před 7 měsíci

    The thing about predictions is that they are "predictions", simply put they are assumptions and assumptions are never facts.
    Predictions are based on what you have seen and what you are seeing. For example from 1947 to 2013 there were 74 airports constructed in India. From 2014 to 2023 75 airports have been constructed, so if you take the pre 2014 no. Which averages 1 airport an year, somebody making a prediction would think the best India could do may be 3 airports a year(30 airports in 10 years) if they worked really hard. But as it turns out in the last 10 years India constructed 7-8 airports per year.

  • @madebyquackconcepts
    @madebyquackconcepts Před rokem +12

    "The Chinese state has executed phenomenally well" is a hilarious remark that I'm sure he didn't mean to imply what he implied.

    • @grievousrationality4664
      @grievousrationality4664 Před 7 měsíci +1

      Why not? R u aware of how big and diverse China is? Decades of peaceful and stable growth. Why not praise its government for credits due?having ideological and philosophical differences doesn’t let you take away from their achievements

    • @0m13
      @0m13 Před 6 měsíci

      Including Sparrows 😂

  • @harryabb7992
    @harryabb7992 Před 7 měsíci

    lol

  • @krishsangs6610
    @krishsangs6610 Před 7 měsíci

    Sorry Balaji but Bollywood is so much better than Hollywood. Id say Hollywood makes the most predictable canned tripe on the planet..

    • @ZionistWorldOrder
      @ZionistWorldOrder Před 7 měsíci

      😂😂😂😂 yeah bollywood is better just like indias space agency is better 😂😂

    • @userre85
      @userre85 Před 7 měsíci

      ​@@ZionistWorldOrderPaki, do they will make you strip at international airports.

  • @coastofkonkan
    @coastofkonkan Před 7 měsíci +2

    Its India's century. This right wing shift will be over sooner than later.

    • @userre85
      @userre85 Před 7 měsíci

      It's actually a left wing government. They're pro vegetarians.

  • @chrisgali2243
    @chrisgali2243 Před 3 měsíci

    Right of the top I'll give you a reason he is WRONG about the dominating countries by 2040. He named China and Indians (huh?). He is thoroughly forgetting history. History has only rewarded societies that enabled innovation. Countries which had ZERO innovation such as China and India - and just copy stuff WILL NEVER MAKE IT TO THE TOP. History will show, that when India innovated and all the world wanted its products it was at the top, and so was the UK and so is the US. Nothing in the current trend shows the China and India are innovating at world class level.

    • @pubgaf3356
      @pubgaf3356 Před 3 měsíci

      Lol,bro is delusional 🤡🤡🤣 US/ENGLAND HAD NO HISTORY THEY JUST CAME INTo POWER AFTER THE COLONIAL LOOT 🤦🏿‍♂️

  • @SrikarDurgi
    @SrikarDurgi Před rokem

    Hasan Minaj is Indian Origin Muslim :)

  • @samarthbagwe1736
    @samarthbagwe1736 Před 7 měsíci

    He thinks International indians are Smarter than indians living in india
    He knows nothing

  • @muhammadomer5301
    @muhammadomer5301 Před 2 lety +4

    China vs Indians
    Unique perspective
    But i think israel will be the dominant one

  • @user-el1rr6bw6m
    @user-el1rr6bw6m Před 7 měsíci

    India,talk more and boast

  • @mangalpal8921
    @mangalpal8921 Před 7 měsíci

    This guy is a right wing propagandaist.
    Projecting all of his bias and know nothing about India.
    Just lies..lies.lies

  • @netjac
    @netjac Před 2 lety +18

    100% Israel.

    • @tuna9919
      @tuna9919 Před 2 lety +4

      Lol

    • @nitreall
      @nitreall Před 2 lety +3

      Israelis are similar to Indians in many ways I think

    • @SrikanthIyerTheMariner
      @SrikanthIyerTheMariner Před 2 lety +7

      I think India and Israel will have each other's back .. plus while Israel has some of the smartest people .. there aren't enough of them to form a critical mass ...
      Judaism and Hinduism aren't proselytizing religions ..and can get along just fine.

    • @alexclarke4775
      @alexclarke4775 Před 2 lety +1

      Why Israel?

    • @anirudhtv
      @anirudhtv Před 2 lety +3

      Israel and India are brothers from other mothers bruh

  • @bonkersblock
    @bonkersblock Před 7 měsíci +2

    China coming out the dominant nation in 2040 is like saying China finally converted to democracy! 😂😂

    • @ZionistWorldOrder
      @ZionistWorldOrder Před 7 měsíci

      maybe one day they will..

    • @imacarguy4065
      @imacarguy4065 Před 7 měsíci

      ​@@ZionistWorldOrderThey can't.

    • @ZionistWorldOrder
      @ZionistWorldOrder Před 7 měsíci

      ​@@imacarguy4065they cant today.. but after the collapse and after the famine.. maybe.. who knows

    • @anandsuralkar2947
      @anandsuralkar2947 Před 7 měsíci

      India is carrying half of the world growth and its gonna increase in coming decade.
      So yes he is right india is gonna be the superpower

    • @ZionistWorldOrder
      @ZionistWorldOrder Před 7 měsíci

      @@anandsuralkar2947 india may starve or fall into civilwar faster than you can say cow dung at any time in coming years, india can barely carry its own "growth" nevermind the world. We laugh at indian news and i remember as a child discovering indian channel on our satellite dish and how we used to laugh and laugh watching old bollywood movies just to mock how bad they were, i cant imagine but one item in my household purchased from india the last 35 years and that is ink.

  • @rishisingh2989
    @rishisingh2989 Před 7 měsíci +1

    Someone pls tell Balaji that China is done, its economy is shrinking, demography is upside down , debt (internal) is all time high. The railway which u talk about so loudly is running at a loss and technically overrated. Chinese military is made out to be a overrated force by western academia. Development of Guangzhou and Shanghai or Beijing remains in the cost. China has lot of problems…. all this will keep China weak.

  • @swagv
    @swagv Před rokem

    Ugh. Balaji being the wannabe Jordan Peterson of crypto as usual.

  • @mikecamacho1934
    @mikecamacho1934 Před 7 měsíci +1

    It's not about the country anymore. It's about the planet. Stop this stupid tribalism.

  • @smilli6415
    @smilli6415 Před 10 měsíci

    SOUTH INDIA for sure (NOT INDIA) WATCH THE DIFFERENCE AND WATCH THE CEOS OF WORLLD

    • @ATEditz741
      @ATEditz741 Před 8 měsíci +1

      Micron CEO Twitter CEO (old) UK PM Mauritius PM

    • @rishisingh2989
      @rishisingh2989 Před 7 měsíci

      Here u go a regionalist bigot …. 25 years ago every south indian would travel north to work in public sector or Bank etc ….. they see little development and prosperity and feel bigotry comes out.

    • @shivas9600
      @shivas9600 Před 7 měsíci

      Ok rice bag

  • @samarthbagwe1736
    @samarthbagwe1736 Před 7 měsíci +3

    Balaji's theory is so selfish amd baseless
    It just based on his webs of thoughts and his mindset

  • @melburn4596
    @melburn4596 Před 2 lety +11

    Sorry your arguments are extremely weak.
    This century is American 🇺🇸.
    Look at demographics, natural resources, skilled labor.

    • @ranirathi3379
      @ranirathi3379 Před 2 lety +9

      this century is america gone autoimmune.

    • @melburn4596
      @melburn4596 Před 2 lety +2

      @@ranirathi3379 yeah, but who protects global trade, who has the worlds only reserve currency, who is the n.1 oil producer etc.
      Americans are always late to make bold big changes but when they do, watch out.
      I am also biased because i live here…😁

    • @PepsiFuture
      @PepsiFuture Před 2 lety +5

      his argument was 25min, yours was 5 words

    • @rahulreddy6541
      @rahulreddy6541 Před rokem

      @@melburn4596 its superpower in decline.

    • @manazpr
      @manazpr Před rokem +2

      Good luck😂😂😂

  • @teetamalangi635
    @teetamalangi635 Před 7 měsíci +2

    Balaji is so silly. Bangalore isn't cleaner than SF. Alot of things he talks w.r.t india are exactly the same as any other developing states. Malaysia, alone, exports more in high-tech exports than all of india....and Malaysia is 43x smaller than india. Yes, that's 4300% smaller!! (I am not talking about overall exports, but only high-tech exports). Ps, india is literally THE worst country in terms of communal rift, religious riots, ethnic conflicts etc. US is no way near close to it.
    India will become larger bc of its size...but thats about it. On per capita, india will remain far behind real heavy weights like US, China, EU, or Arab/Islamic World etc

  • @user-rq6cl6bh3o
    @user-rq6cl6bh3o Před 4 dny

    Indians in the west are pretty different from Indians in India. We are more aware, listen more and react less. 😅

  • @robertbaldwin5771
    @robertbaldwin5771 Před 3 dny

    Religion & culture will hamstring India.

  • @rahulvats95
    @rahulvats95 Před rokem +1

    US isn't going anywhere. I don't agree. China is good though. Indians we will see.

    • @humzanafees9348
      @humzanafees9348 Před rokem

      Indians are heading towards an extremist Hindutva state 😂😂😂😂 there’s no chance they will be a super power

  • @testahom4690
    @testahom4690 Před 8 měsíci +2

    By 2040, there wont be India but a bunch of countries given how Mr Modi is driving polarisation between North and South

    • @noface8020
      @noface8020 Před 8 měsíci +5

      Oh is that so, why do you say that, like can you give some examples of polarization.

    • @ATEditz741
      @ATEditz741 Před 8 měsíci +1

      Are you mad? Do you ever hear about state competing with each other? Totally rubbish🚮

    • @thusspokezarathustra1847
      @thusspokezarathustra1847 Před 8 měsíci +10

      Here comes the Rice Bag. India will be united as long as it is Hindu Majority.

    • @preethibhardwaj8400
      @preethibhardwaj8400 Před 7 měsíci +5

      On the contrary, India is today a more cohesive n stronger country that it has ever been n prosperity will push it more towards unity n nationalism !! U r completely wrong ! 😃

    • @arunjetli7909
      @arunjetli7909 Před 7 měsíci

      It is difficult for the western world to j derstand u I try in diversity

  • @shamsham1983
    @shamsham1983 Před rokem +2

    Israel