BGP in 2023

The BGP routing table can tell us a lot about the dyamics of the Internet. Not only is this related to the size of memory needed to store the routing tables, but the rates of growth can tell us about the dynamics of network growth and the relative level of network growth in IPv6 as compared to IPv4. The dynamics of network convergence can also tell us how the BGP routing infrastructure is coping with scaling pressures. In this presentation we will look closely at the BGP routing table across 2023, and make some prejections as to its likely size and dynamic properties in the coming five years.
Geoff Huston: Geoff Huston is the Chief Scientist at APNIC, the Regional Internet Registry for the Asia Pacific. Prior to this role he was the Chief Internet Architect at Telstra in Australia. He has served on the Internet Architecture Board and chaired a number of IETF Working Groups. His current research interests include routing, security and the DNS.
Speaker: Geoff Huston - APNIC

[@nodonk]

Excellent speaker with fantastic info! Thank you Geoff Huston and NANOG!

[@clarkgaylord]

Great talk, as always. The linearity of IPv6 growth isn't because of unhealthy (lack of) growth; it's because we are in the linear portion of the logistic growth. We are past the point of the exponential growth.
You're absolutely correct that most traffic for most hosts most of the time isn't going across the planet. But we still have the long tail ... and we must preserve the long tail to fight an overly monopolistic nature of the net

[@seabearpig]

Great talk, thank you!