Predicting Who Will Be President in 2024... (Political Machine 2024)
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- čas přidán 1. 05. 2024
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"Tell me why you should be my VP"
"Bro if you pick me, New Hampshire is LOCKED DOWN"
"bet"
imagine New Hampshire went blue anyways.
I’m from new hampshire
@@ConnorBrunelle how was ted cruz's visit
Congrats Ted Cruz for doing one thing... New Hampshire
The man was on a MISSION. Must have personally visited every single voter in the state 😂
@@KingAnarchist that thought is HILARIOUS
This is why Cruz is not on the shortlist
“This could happen in real life” blue Kentucky, Ohio, and Iowa and Red New Hampshire 🤔🤔🤔🤔
yeah lol as an Iowa democrat Iowa will turn blue when pigs fly
Yeah Ohio not gonna vote Biden. I should know
@@evanwillett1635probably my first experience of Iowa politics is at a Hawkeye game the governor came out and the entire stadium booed him!
Honestly, outside of Kentucky I see this being a what if dems won 2004 map
@@oscarhess1376 which governor? The current one is a woman
If Kentucky votes for Biden, I'll eat my hat. I dont own a hat, but I'll buy one so i can eat it
if ohio votes biden I'll eat my shoe. Im an ohioan and I bet my shoe on it forsho
Kentucky voted for Beshear thoughZ
@@theacroway2056and Vermont voted for Scott
@@defaultusername1145 Scott is a very different Republican than MAGA folk. He's a libertarian basically, while Beshear is a centrist akin to mainstream democrats
@@theacroway2056 the point is governor elections are much different than presidential
“It doesn’t seem that crazy or far fetched” 😂 bro has not looked at any polling lol
Polling has consistently underestimated the Democrats for the past few years.
@@rangergaming8316 umm… that may single handedly be the most incorrect statement I’ve ever heard💀 Trump over performed in the last two elections by so much. Look at Wisconsin and Michigan’s polling vs voting last two cycles
@@willcampbell2485look at NY polling. Biden was over projected by 6 points last election.
@@willcampbell2485 what on earth are u talking about, a democrat just swung an alabama district 25 points left, polling has DEFINITELY underestimated democrats, just not to the point seen in the video
@@nolananderson6139every poll in the last two ejecting had trump losing by a lot
Blue Kentucky is actually insane
yea he didnt say but this is the play test version
“Not crazy or far fetched”
Kentucky being 26+ points for trump in 2020 lol
They do have a democratic governor so anything can happen🤷♂️
I'm saying this only to point out that a 20 point swing isn't impossible,
Indiana
2004 George Bush - 20.38%
2008 Barack Obama - 1.03%
A 21.41% Swing
Obviously this isn't high enough to flip Kentucky, and there were some extraordinary circumstances in 2008. But still 4 years is a long time
@@baileyduggan3659 As you said there were many extraordinary circumstances in 2008 and Obama was impressively popular at that time. It was basically every star alignment for that to happen since Indiana then went 11% for Romeny and then 20% for Trump in 2016 and 17% for Trump in 2020.
the comments will be fair and balanced in this video
I’m always impressed by how neutral Drew’s comments section can actually be. Even on divisive issues like this.
This is a no spin channel
@@KingAnarchistSwitzerland is the spirit animal of this entire channel
@@gs-8279 Yes
Why does the likes button just say "twenty"
Man i clicked this accidentaly and ended up watching the entire video while at the start thinking 'oh this video again' turns out It's new
Ohio and Iowa blue, Georgia and New Hampshire red, blue North Carolina? Cursed.
New Hampshire does have a lot of Libertarians though.
@@octaviusmorlock I said cursed already my dude, no need to double down
LOL
Not to mention trump supporting environmental protection...
Georgia was red for a long time, I’m not sure why it’s cursed
On the state level, North Carolina really isn't a swing state anymore. It never really was anyways. Obama was the only Democrat to win since Carter's first run. And neither won the state in their second.
I suppose it has the "potential" to swing and to some that makes it one.
I think the reason why it’s viewed as a swing state is because it had enough democrats to have elected a democrat as it’s governor.
I have a feeling people will be saying the same about Georgia in the 2020’s and 2030’s. The urban growth patterns of the NC cities are similar to that of Atlanta, but you never know which is why we have the elections.
NC was very close in 2020.
No I disagree. NC is a swing state in my opinion. Democrats can win NC in the near-future
I am so done with this country if trump wins
The only reason why Biden did so good in this was because Cruz stayed in NH the whole time. One side had 2 people traveling everywhere compared to the other side with only 1.
That’s why this game isn’t that accurate like they say it is.
@@williamlambert5929nobody says this game is accurate it's just a game.
Well I mean it's also the priorities all favored Biden too
Womp Womp
should have used the philippine revolution flag.... to see if drew survives.
Yep
He already had it backwards on accident lol he fixed it as to not draw controversy
It's incorrectly displayed now. The red is always on the right when displayed vertically, even if that means that when you rotate it, red is on top.
@@NeuzieGuys, Drew Durnil's cam is always MIRRORED.
@@stargazer-elite the Philippine revolutionary flag is different. It has three Ks in it, hence the controversy
As someone who lives in Ohio ain't no way our state will vote blue ever again
u sure?
@@jonathankimkful YES
same bro... I live in SE OH... and we are SOLID red. Not going back either 💪
Look at what is going on in America. How are you liking 5 dollars a gallon and all illegal terrorists pouring through illegal in the US? @@jonathankimkful
Everyone I know in Ohio is leaning blue
I Voted For Drew As The President
He's 29..
he’s Californian so no >:(
@@germancat429 no he comes from Alabama but lives in California
@@CenixNenix1 ik but i consider anyone who lives in California willingly a dirty Californian
@@CenixNenix1 We have never had a president from alabama
“Doesn’t see that far fetched” Blue Kentucky
for those who dont understand mithocondria is the powerhouse of a cell
Edit:
Damn 24 likes
For those who dont understand dru wu is the father of this channel
the most important thing i learned in school
Me feeling an absolute nerd since I knew what a Mitochondria is..😅
@@user-tb9hn8ih8dYeah the powerhouse of the cell :P
@@user-tb9hn8ih8dyou aint a nerd. Just a student who was not supplied with the education to pay taxes and only taught the mitochondria.
School has failed you all, mitochondria is a plural. The mitochrondrion is the powerhouse of the cell.
Bro didnt show the debate😢
I wonder if anyone looks into the comments really thinking this is a real prediction
It’s a simulation game designed to predict things like this designed with the actual system in mind and last two times he did it. It worked out pretty well. It predicted Trump would win it predicted Biden would win.
The Phillipine flag is incorrectly displayed.
When the Philippines flag hang vertically,the red side should be on the right as supposed to when rotated.
EXACTLY
It's probably the right way but the camera flips it
The camera is not flipped because the bracelet attached to mic arm is not flipped by looking at the letters
drew just supports phillipine going to war
No, it’s right. The blue supposed to be on the top. The triangle is on the top in this vertical position but when it’s in, it’s normal horizontal position. That means the blue is on top
I live in new hampshire the amount of trump 2024 signs i have seen around nashua is a lot
good
Great. NH might be in play.
I went to New Hampshire for the primary and I saw more Dean Phillips signs that Biden signs 😂
NH is probably like a mini Illinois where everything is controlled by Concord instead of Chicago
Please play more of this please or the new campaign trail
ted was so real for camping in NH
Now this is what I live for. PLEASE MORE!!! this is my favorite series you have no idea how happy i am
I mean, IRL Trump is ahead in the majority of swingstates, So I think it'll be way closer than in the simulation
I wish that the game could have a simulation with a third party. Specifically Bobby Kennedy... He probably won't win, but he could spoil some states!
He seems to be pulling a *lot* of moderate dem voters and even some of the never Trump repubs.
1:57 "Joe Biden is starting off in his home state"
Scranton, Pennsylvania: *am I a joke to you?*
He certainly seems to love the Delaware beaches more than the electric city lol
@@rsly2000 yep.
I know this is a joke, but a home state for a presidential candidate is the state they choose to file with.
In my personal opinion, I do not believe this will happen.
I have serious doubts Biden can win the vote anyhow except for some cheating
In your factual opinion
@@chillmemes5865 Yes
@@m00nx_boi_ what makes you think that? biden is *extremely* unpopular, and trump is attracting tens/hundreds of thousands of people in his rallies in the deep blue states of new jersey, new york, california, etc. the game is a randomizer, a simulator, not an accurate tell of reality
Play more Tropico 6!
Yes!
Petition to ask Drew to play Countryballs at war: (Day 4)
Yes 🙋♂️👨🦳
realistically Florida isn't expected to be competitive.
Na that's trending more Republican I think it will be Gavin newsom vs Ron desantis in 2028
@@58twrightgavin might lowkey have that in the bag though bcuz ron is way more right leaning for most places
@@58twright depends on how this election plays out. If Trump loses, which it's looking like he will, I think the GOP has a lot of soul searching to do, they took this Populist turn after both McCain and Romney got crushed and Trump did good in 2016. I think they'll finally realize that it wasn't really Trump's populism that won voters but Hillary being an awful candidate
@@notpigeonnuwu5158Not just that, but he's deeply uncharismatic and pretty unpopular outside Florida. That's why all republicans are rallying behind Trump, any other choice would ensure a democratic presidency until 2032
@@incompetence10881 I agree Hillary was not a good candidate I liked bill a whole lot better & Bernie would have been a much better candidate
When are you making another tropico 6 video?
“The blue wall is kind of beginning to fall”
It fell 7 years ago 💀
Could you do those battle royale games again like the Europe one and the North America one? I really like the civil wars especially because I love the creation of north and south/east and west variations of countries like that
Tbh it is not hugely surprising that NH became red, this is largely because NH is a swing state some of the time and has the first primary but this year they tried to take away our first primary which is NH state law. Also, I’m guessing his write in style campaign in protest of us going first didn’t largely help either.
Yes typically that'd be correct, but like you said, they're full of Libertarians, not conservatives, Trump is bad with libertarians, especially New England libertarians. There is a reason why that was Haley's 2nd best performing state. Hell there was a poll recently showing if it was a 2 way race between Trump and Kennedy he'd lose.
I think New Hampshire will flip soon, maybe not 2024, but soon
The whole country needs to be like us in Nebraska and Maine when allocating electoral votes imo
But then you have gerrymandering
0:11 like everybody predicted
Love this game please keep playing
Drew should make a video with a three way between Trump, Biden and RFK jr
"I like how his head is bobbing around while I'm touching him" is a crazy thing to say
Need to include RFK Jr though.
Also, Oregon is constantly said to be a "solid blue state" and a "democrat stronghold", but it never has been. Not once. Oregon has always been a solidly purple state, as the split politically is right down the center. On top of it, I would be inclined to believe what this game said: 41% of register voters here are Independents. So neither party. The first time Oregon has ever found it's votes in a presidential election beyond 3% in favor of one side or the other in it's history was 2020 when Joe got 56%. That's still minuscule. With the majority of Oregon's population being from out of state now however, I wouldn't be too surprised to see it go more dominantly in the favor of mainstream democrats unfortunately. I'd much prefer to see it stay as it's always been, which is very independent and centrist, where it goes both ways, AND also plenty into it's own direction (again being independent).
You simply have a different view of Oregon than I do presumably also as a resident.
It’s definitely lost being independent and centrist since the turn of the century. Calling it purple hasn’t been accurate since 2004. Now Democrats reliably win elections here.
We haven’t had anything other than a Dem governor since the 1982 election.
Dennis Richardson was the only Republican Secretary of State since 1985.
Thee hasn’t been a Republican Attorney General since 1993.
There hasn’t been a Republican Treasurer since 1993.
So Democrats have lost a statewide executive branch election exactly 1 time since 1993 that doesn’t seem very “purple” to me.
Republicans haven’t won a US Senate seat since 2002, haven’t held a majority of US House seats since 1954, haven’t won the electoral votes for President since 1984, haven’t had a majority in the Oregon House since 2006 or a majority in the Oregon Senate since 2002.
Your view of the state is stuck at minimum in the early 2000s and in reality even earlier than that.
The last time Oregon was within 10 points in a Presidential election was 2004. Last time they voted for a Republican President was Ronald Reagan. Similarly that's the last time they had a Republican Governor. Both State houses have been Democrat since 2012. So why again is it Purple?
@@incompetence10881 Are points the same as percent of the vote? If so, you got bad reporting, as it's been consistently within no more than 4% in favor of a presidential candidate until 2020 when it hit 6% (which still is a tiny margin). If you had taken the time to read my response to Tyler Daniels, you'd see me clearly explain how and why Oregon has always been purple, and how reliably voting in a particular party does not = a stronghold to that particular party, nor that the state is "solid blue" or "red".
@@TheCriminalViolin So that's just not correct, election results are super easy to find online, love to share a link but I believe Drew has them banned. 2020 was 56.5 - 40.4, 2016 was 50.1 - 39.1, 2012 was 54.2 - 42.2, 2008 was 56.8 - 40.4, and then finally actually competitive, 2004 was 51.4 - 47.2.
I agree just because a state reliably votes one way doesn't mean it's safe, but the points say it's safe
@@TheCriminalViolin that's just not correct. Election results are super easy to find online, would love to share them but links seem to be banned?
Well, they call Kentucky the bluegrass state, so maybe…
& KFC
louisiana mentioned WOOOO :D
your videos are so good
I wonder how it would have been if Cruz wasn’t bugged. Feel like that was a big handicap.
14:33 we be recreating the American Civilwar with this one
We’re just gonna put them in the boxing ring and see who wins. Now I would pay to see that.
I feel like the US is in such a high need to reform their electoral system. It is so massively out of date and has caused, just this century nearly every time, the person with less percent win the presidency, iirc
Age of history 3 is coming out
Idk if there's a European election simulator but with the incoming elections next month, I'd love to watch Drew try to sort all of that mess out in a game lol
That game might need some updating
Ted bugging out gives Drew an excuse to have a lazy day just do this video idea again.
Fun fact, you said that if you win a state you get the electoral votes from it but in actuality it comes down to the electoral voter people who actually decide to vote Democrat or Republican or Independent. And they can pick opposite or both options whether or not that party won that state. Just a little bit of info that you probably knew just didn’t say to keep it short but still wanted to point it out.
In most states there are laws against unfaithful legislators
Drew I’m only buying a plushie if it’s the Brazil ball one
Kentucky, Iowa, and Ohio seem pretty unrealistic here. Kentucky especially in the last election turned solid red immediately and stayed there lol
blue kentucky on a fed level is scary
Hi, You are here too
14 minutes ago is crazy
Who agrees that drew should stream coverage of the 2024 election.
Where’s Literally Anybody Else
If Illinois goes Red this year everyone's mind will be blown. 😆
One can dream...
I expected this to be pretty unrealistic but boy was I overestimating it
Roblox 2024 election simulator play it
I think this election could be more unpredictable than the 2016 one because of the war in Gaza. It seems that a portion of young voters that would have voted Blue will abstain because they don't want to support a *Jenna-side* , but we don't know if that portion will be big enough to make an impact and "give" the election to the Republicans. So, it's gonna be a mess.
Do you have a nono Germany plushie 😅
Ya lost me when Illinois wasn't immediately blue...
Why don't you provide the download link where is the download link you should really put a download link
Blue ohio and kentucky?
Ask matt groenings (spelling?) Guy that writes the Simpson's 😅
Where RFK Jr
Play new campaign trail
Play rise of nations on roblox again you played it on 2020 I think last time
Lets hope this doesnt happen im real life
That map is super far fetched lmao
Let's See What A POSSIBLE Election Will Be Like:
Blue: Ohio Iowa North Carolina And Kentucky
Red: New Hampshire And Texas
Red Texas is going to happen wdym
Texas is going to be red. The polls show Texas as like +9 for Trump and the polls always underestimate republicans.
Oh I hope you're right Drew...
Play new campaign trail, please drew, im beggin
Needs RFK jr in there
Laughed when it turned out student debt was the top issue in this simulation.
“Not very far fetched”: Purple Texas and blue Kentucky
Calling Biden sharp is hilarious
this is NOT happening irl 😭
well in neveada they are taking that away
Blue Kentucky is crazy :D
I can guarantee this wont be the outcome in November
Yeah, New Hampshire won't go red
I will hold you to this
@@roddbroward9876 New Hampshire has a much higher chance of going red than Ohio, Iowa, Kentucky or Florida to go blue.
@@roddbroward9876 or IA, OH, AZ, NC, KY, NV, MI, WI, PA going blue
geography's the best, my guy!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
As someone from Ohio, I think everyone should get seventeen votes and choose our seventeen electors
Blue Kentucky is a real outlier
Do this with other figures
oh geez loiu
se
Florida will never fall to Biden.
God save us all.... How did it come to this.... Again
Please do more UNIVERSIM PPPPPPLLLLLLLLEEEEEEEEEEAAAAAAAAAASSSSSSSSSSEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!
"Biden stamina: sleepy" KEK
where is rfk
Michigan is red.
Na I think Michigan & Wisconsin will go blue
@@58twright Polling shows that Trump leads by a lot in those two states and polls usually underestimate Trump. In 2020 polls underestimated trump by about 8% in Wisconsin, and he is leading in the polls by about 5% now, so there really is no chance for Biden there. Same with Michigan but it was less than 8%.
This game should keep into effect Biden's age, he is about at that age to where he should have already been retired.
Kentucky for Biden is insane.
I know that no one in the comments will dsiagree with naything mentioned!
What about Kennedy
W map