Geopolitical Risks 2024: War expansion in Europe and ME, Banking crisis
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- čas přidán 31. 05. 2024
- I had a discussion with Professor Tuomas Malinen, Associate Professor at the University of Helsinki, on the outlook for Geopolitics and risk in 2024.
📌 Contact Dr. Malinen: tuomas.malinen@gnseconomics.com
📌 Dr. Malinen's Twitter/X and thread on El Salvador: x.com/mtmalinen/status/173430...
📌 Dr. Malinen's Substack: gnseconomics.substack.com/
📌 Dr. Malinen's research service: gnseconomics.com/
00:00 Introduction
02:30 Potential expansion of Russia / Ukraine war in 2024
19:20 Outlook for Hungary and Turkey in case of conflict
21:40 Finland joining NATO as a key source of geopolitical risk
42:00 Risks in the Middle East
48:30 Banking risks in 2024
1:07:20 Reforms and outlook in El Salvador
Recorded on December 11th 2024
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I look forward to watching more of your channel!
Very interesting, thank you for sharing!
Excellent presentation. It has implications for any wandering investors!
An extremely informative talk. Thank you
The stuff on El Salvador was very informative, thanks for posting
Thanks. I have more content coming up on El Salvador on my blog 👍
Where can we find the report/list if banks that could survive a banking failure?
His clients have access to it
There's something about this guy I don't quite like. Sounds like the typical opinions of thise who are 'terminally online' and not living in the real world.
I've been following Malinen on Twitter. He's a legit analyst. No ideological nonsense, just pure facts
Impossible to understand the world in which we live without the spiritual trame..
For example: Israel is preparing for the dajjal. If you don’t know this, you understand nothing about the goals pursued by this state.
Which facts, can you make an example?
merci beaucoup
Excellent discussion! The Duran is another great channel for geopolitical analysis.
Nice interview .. thnks for sharing your view sir Tuomas
Thank you for this interview!
Cool but if you say Russia only respects power and then say to Poland that they shouldn't buy weapons then what the hell are we supposed to do? I'm Polish and i'll be spending time on new years with my Russian friends. We don't have any desire to fight on either side as regular people.
Russia respects a mutual understanding, not posturing or gearing for war.
If Poland made it clear they don't care to be NATOs slave, and also that they're willing to destroy their country if they're invaded or sanctioned by anyone, then they'd be left alone - but rearming and making aggressive comments about Russia makes them a threat, rather than a respectable entity.
This is why peace is present in central Asia between Russia and other ex-soviet countries; there's a mutual understanding and economic cooperation, without sanctions or nonsense, and without military gearing - and as a result there's no need for tension in the region - just peaceful trading and development on all sides.
@@greeneryfinancial All the Middle Asian, ex-USSR countries are slaves of Russia, living around 30-40% of the GDP/capita of Russia. They are also too small to do anything.
Poles have worked so hard to get where it is and would be foolish to throw it all away be getting into conflict with Russia or by obeying the dictates of Brussels/Washington D.C.
On migration, the biggest issue of our times, it also feels the same as Russia (truth be told, so do the great majority of the locals right across Europe and America, but our governments are betraying us).
Do you have any rental in New Zellande? Very sad what is happening, Evil people:( Thank you for this quality guess, info. US is bad but El Salvator safe, really😮
"Russia is never as strong, or as weak, as she may appear."
"Russia ... is the first army in the world"? Really??
Really...
Yeah I question that too. I think he meant specifically in a ground war.
Well, there’s no army with so such experience with modern warfare as the Russian army has. It’s also the army with the highest production capacity at this moment.
Did he see coming the war in Ukraine or Gaza?
Hungary and Slovakia might leave NATO together. Their neighbour, Austria, has never been a member.
I have heard different stories from Charkiv, it all depends on who you ask. I have talked to both military and private people.
Great content - thank you !
🙏
So that you two speaking in this Rsik forecast are aware, the observations of safety and progress that you see in El Salvador and every Latin country change from year to year. I've lived in Latin America half my life. Next year could bring a dictator or massive gang activity. These countries are no safer than European countries. The bad element from the Middle East is moving in here too.
Thanks for the informative discussion... As middle eastern national I do think that in the coming 20-30 years the arm conflict in our side of the Mediterranean sea will evolve to be a regional long wars, starting with civil wars like in Libya / Sudan / Syria. That is why following up interesting content like yours is important to secure a safe productive life to our children & grandchildren. Not essentially to immigrate cause all this wars is to control the most important lands on Earth which do belong to us. I thought before that Europe is a way out but basically they just ruined it, & for decades ahead. Latin America is exciting, but don't you think that the greatest danger in that area is the violent gangs that distribute all over the continent in different forms & shapes & can form a real threat to the communities as if they were active MILLITIAS. Where the notion of statehood is in real danger?
Thank you. I’d rather deal with pro business cartels than war and tyranny.
So Interesting, As you are reflecting one of the sides on your experience. That side we aren't exposed to & only with info from public media.@@TheWanderingInvestor
Definitely Ukraine is going to lose this war and Europeans too because rhey spent billions on a losing country that doesn't do anything for Europe either. So sad, such a wate of money!
It's so funny when NATO runs around with machine guns and plays tanks - Russia has 8 thousand tactical nuclear warheads in Europe... After 3 hours, Europe will simply disappear
But not Russia, correct? Amazing the reach of Russian trolls.
@@barneylehrer986 How afraid you are of truth - even strange....
The only thing Russia is good at is threatening people. They don't produce anything if value.
Whatever you say, comrade
7:35 then what exactly were Russian tanks and troops doing in kyiv in late Fab-March? How the horrors in Bucha fall into this claim? And the rockets and drones attacking all regions in ukraine till today? These are facts and sticking to Russian propaganda excusing their failures doesn't give points to someone who appears to be an "expert".
The Bucha massacre was done by Ukraine against Ukrainian civilians that received aid packages. That's why the victims had white patches on their arms, and why the dead bodies didn't show until several days after Russia had left the area. Also Ukraine never allowed outsiders to investigate.
You've fallen for propaganda.
Typical Russian propaganda that caters to his audience of "independent thinkers/Western doomers".
Google findings of the official French forensic experts on that. Then ask why Western media completely silenced any mention of it since those findings and including the findings.
Twit knows nothing of history.
Russia military via entering Germany will restore EU NoN Union by 2025. - Glow Ball adventures times, Paris Olimpics start of Muslim updates of smartness due to bad energi MiddleEast conditioning , toward EU living takeover
Very interesting interview. NATO should have been dismantled at the end of the Soviet Union. this interview shows the importance of the distribution of one's assets and of a plan B outside of risk areas
So Russia could go back to it's former "glory" or?
Well clearly the invasion of Ukraine shows why NATO is needed and why Finland and Sweden are begging to join it.
I like russia for investment
" the worst case would be 5 years of peace"
??? Whom the hell are u interviewing here?
Soooo, higher risk, buy btc and land
Typical Wandering Investor bullshit and Russian propaganda sales :))…When profit seeking people try to solve policital/social issues 😅