Please someone should help here... I lost $8,400 on live trade, I thought live trade is the same as demo trade because I was winning with my demo account. Please this is quite annoying and disappointing, what should I do please.
Yes it's totally true... Am glad I got recommended to Mrs Helena Crouse. She is the best broker. I was skeptical about her at first but after I got paid, I always invest over and over again.
One thing I am sure of is that with the sermons I have been receiving from Mrs. Helena Crouse on market fundamentals, there is no way I am not a professional.
As soon as fed begins to cut rates you will have to move out from the stock market. No need to wait until yeilds flatten, which is a result of the fed move.
So WHO is Buying the ~$14 Trillion in Treasuries next year in 2024 ? $10 Trillion DEBT renewing and another $3-$4 Trillion current account deficits ? Is it just me or WHERE is that demand coming from with the Fed back into off balance sheet purchases/QE and rebooting inflation/Higher rates all over again ?
When fed rates will move to 2.5% because of some credit event, everyone will be rushing into treasuries to lock in some yeild. Regarding the years to come, real rates will stay negative meaning inflation will stay higher than T-bills. That's the only way to finance the deficits. Otherwise, you have a default on US debt that leads to worldwide chaos.😅
I disagree with the notion that the mountain of HYSA money will go into bonds and not into equities. Some of it might, but there are so many cheap small cap and mid cap companies out there at under 15 PE that are worth buying it's ridiculous.
The problem with small caps is that they are suffering refinancing themselves with these levels of high rates. As long as rates are kept high they will suffer. Once rates come down to 3% you sell your long term treasuries with some 10% to 15% gain depending on duration and you start buying the small cap index. The longer rates are kept high because of a sticky CPI the more painful it will be for mid and small caps and the more the recession will hit hard. I think it's a win-win strategy for long term treasury holders.
Predicting market movements is extremely difficult in reality. It requires the investor to be right twice: Essentially why individuals engage service of experts who provide proper strategies to navigate the markets
Agreed, which is exactly the reason I stopped taking advise from CZcamsrs; in the long run, I only end up with a jumbled collection of stocks and bonds. Whereas all I needed to earn over $350k in less than three years was guidance from a true market strategist.
in my case Fergus Waylen has assisted me in doing that effectively, I'm not an expert so I lack experience in investment strategies, I work and my consultant handles the rest....
Fergus waylen has to be the best mentor I've met. He's copy-trading has been the best because I hop on it with $3k and I'm up with $35k in profit. He's insights, information and versatility in the market is superb
@@joesmith3590 could you elaborate? The entire bond market just moved on the premises of inflation slowdown, hence, the trade. Learned that in finance classes at Yale.
For years everybody was complaining that their pension funds don't yield more than 2% and when you need the money it is always in recession and now you can get a risk free bond at 4 to 5%. This is crazy. "2+2=FISH" quote makes total sense now 😅
A prediction of the yield curve de-inverting in early 2024, is to say a total economic implosion is starting now. That's what it would take for the Fed to cut 200bps in the first half of 2024.
I am not a bear and this rally has been very nice to my portfolio. But, we are far from a soft landing. The yield curve has not even uninverted yet... There has never been a time in history where it was inverted as deep and as long as it has been without a bad recession. Let me also mention that M2 money supply growth is at its lowest point since the Great Depression. Rate cuts are bearish not bullish.
Currently 75 percent equities/bonds,20 percent cash,5 percent short position.Post normalization of the yield curve I will go 25 percent equities,50 percent cash,25 percent short.
@@drscopeify You made some great points. For now, I’ll play the odds which are batting 1.000 since the 50’s. I still think hard landing but we’ll find out.
Please someone should help here... I lost $8,400 on live trade, I thought live trade is the same as demo trade because I was winning with my demo account. Please this is quite annoying and disappointing, what should I do please.
I'll advice you should stop trading on your own if you keep losing and start trading with Mrs Helena Crouse
Yes it's totally true... Am glad I got recommended to Mrs Helena Crouse. She is the best broker. I was skeptical about her at first but after I got paid, I always invest over and over again.
One thing I am sure of is that with the sermons I have been receiving from Mrs. Helena Crouse on market fundamentals, there is no way I am not a professional.
Please how can I get through to her
SCAM
Mike Wilson just said "first 2 weeks of December will probably be bad" ....... lolo
LOL
Gotta do the opposite as him, he's always wrong.
We are going for a spark recession 😅
When the inverted yield goes positive again that’s when the clock starts.Double down on short positions.
As soon as fed begins to cut rates you will have to move out from the stock market. No need to wait until yeilds flatten, which is a result of the fed move.
is he wearing the same jakcket as the last interview ?
Gotta save money somewhere lol
@@BrandonClark-StocksPassports that's when you know recession is coming
Admit you were wrong, Gundlach! You lost people tons of money this year with your BS
He’s been a bear overall but he never said to short stocks. Id give him a B-.
Gundlach takes both sides of a economic issue and then says he called it months later.
Get this man on something bro cannot chill out😭
Bears howling in pain and agony today lol
this man just said that he expects yield to go UP with all the debt and deficits the government is running. NICE forecas Bro@
So WHO is Buying the ~$14 Trillion in Treasuries next year in 2024 ?
$10 Trillion DEBT renewing and another $3-$4 Trillion current account deficits ? Is it just me or WHERE is that demand coming from with the Fed back into off balance sheet purchases/QE and rebooting inflation/Higher rates all over again ?
I think you are confusing macro and micro. Ride the wave, take gains, and move to Dubai.
When fed rates will move to 2.5% because of some credit event, everyone will be rushing into treasuries to lock in some yeild.
Regarding the years to come, real rates will stay negative meaning inflation will stay higher than T-bills. That's the only way to finance the deficits. Otherwise, you have a default on US debt that leads to worldwide chaos.😅
@@SamTenkan it’s funny how most Americans don’t understand this scam around them to begin with. Fundamentally, you are spot on.
I disagree with the notion that the mountain of HYSA money will go into bonds and not into equities. Some of it might, but there are so many cheap small cap and mid cap companies out there at under 15 PE that are worth buying it's ridiculous.
The problem with small caps is that they are suffering refinancing themselves with these levels of high rates. As long as rates are kept high they will suffer. Once rates come down to 3% you sell your long term treasuries with some 10% to 15% gain depending on duration and you start buying the small cap index. The longer rates are kept high because of a sticky CPI the more painful it will be for mid and small caps and the more the recession will hit hard. I think it's a win-win strategy for long term treasury holders.
@@SamTenkan Rates are already coming down though. For instance mortgage rates are already down to 6% range just on the anticipation of cuts.
Predicting market movements is extremely difficult in reality. It requires the investor to be right twice: Essentially why individuals engage service of experts who provide proper strategies to navigate the markets
Agreed, which is exactly the reason I stopped taking advise from CZcamsrs; in the long run, I only end up with a jumbled collection of stocks and bonds. Whereas all I needed to earn over $350k in less than three years was guidance from a true market strategist.
in my case Fergus Waylen has assisted me in doing that effectively, I'm not an expert so I lack experience in investment strategies, I work and my consultant handles the rest....
Fergus waylen has to be the best mentor I've met. He's copy-trading has been the best because I hop on it with $3k and I'm up with $35k in profit. He's insights, information and versatility in the market is superb
I am surprised that this name is being mentioned here, I stumbled upon some of his clients testimonies on CNBC news last week..
Amazing to see others trading with Fergus Waylen, I am currently on my 5th trade with him and my portfolio has grown tremendously.
Bond guys says buy bonds. Dude is like Peter Schiff anymore just a salesman
Sounds like you didn’t load up on TMF in mid October.
@@krage17 lol. Truly stupid comment. Anything is good if you trade it leveraged and pick a timeframe.
@@joesmith3590 i see. Clearly missed out. Well , you were just told to go buy some more. You are welcome.
@@krage17 lol sure kid stick to WSB with the lies.
@@joesmith3590 could you elaborate? The entire bond market just moved on the premises of inflation slowdown, hence, the trade. Learned that in finance classes at Yale.
Jeffery has been so wrong….
He's been repeating the same mantra now for 15 years ...... "money's gonna go in to bonds, not stock!...."
For years everybody was complaining that their pension funds don't yield more than 2% and when you need the money it is always in recession and now you can get a risk free bond at 4 to 5%. This is crazy. "2+2=FISH" quote makes total sense now 😅
He looks beaten down. Wow
badly
I feel his voice is trembling, is it illusional?
Its always like that
It is just a trait of being an introvert.
A prediction of the yield curve de-inverting in early 2024, is to say a total economic implosion is starting now. That's what it would take for the Fed to cut 200bps in the first half of 2024.
By then it would be too late.Like trying to stop a moving oil tanker.Once the inertia starts it take a lot of energy and time to stop it.Same applies.
Well yeah...a HARD landing is imminent. There's no ignoring it.
SOFT LANDING !!!!!
BULLS WIN !!!!
GOODBYE BEARS !!!!
I am not a bear and this rally has been very nice to my portfolio. But, we are far from a soft landing. The yield curve has not even uninverted yet... There has never been a time in history where it was inverted as deep and as long as it has been without a bad recession. Let me also mention that M2 money supply growth is at its lowest point since the Great Depression. Rate cuts are bearish not bullish.
100 percent right.We will be going to recession.Once the inverted yield goes positive the countdown starts.We will a late 70s or worse recession.
Currently 75 percent equities/bonds,20 percent cash,5 percent short position.Post normalization of the yield curve I will go 25 percent equities,50 percent cash,25 percent short.
@@chrism-pt4mj Smart man
@@drscopeify You made some great points. For now, I’ll play the odds which are batting 1.000 since the 50’s. I still think hard landing but we’ll find out.