1. Introduction to Statistics

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  • čas přidán 24. 05. 2024
  • *NOTE: This video was recorded in Fall 2017. The rest of the lectures were recorded in Fall 2016, but video of Lecture 1 was not available.
    MIT 18.650 Statistics for Applications, Fall 2016
    View the complete course: ocw.mit.edu/18-650F16
    Instructor: Philippe Rigollet
    In this lecture, Prof. Rigollet talked about the importance of the mathematical theory behind statistical methods and built a mathematical model to understand the accuracy of the statistical procedure.
    License: Creative Commons BY-NC-SA
    More information at ocw.mit.edu/terms
    More courses at ocw.mit.edu

Komentáře • 503

  • @kepstein8888
    @kepstein8888 Před 6 lety +1352

    A statistics class focused on understanding statistics, not just scribbling equations. Very refreshing.

    • @ModeratelyAmused
      @ModeratelyAmused Před 4 lety +15

      He probably agrees with Mark Twain. I know I do.

    • @taylorsmurphy
      @taylorsmurphy Před 4 lety +2

      "k, epstein." Haha. If I didn't notice this I would have posted a serious reply.

    • @Trazynn
      @Trazynn Před 3 lety

      @@ModeratelyAmused Twain gets quoted later on in this series. Data sins.

    • @Mfm-zr1cf
      @Mfm-zr1cf Před 3 lety

      @@ModeratelyAmused c
      C
      S
      S
      C
      S
      Z
      Z
      Z
      C
      Z
      S
      .
      Ve2e2ws

    • @saubaral
      @saubaral Před 3 lety +8

      he he. 5 more lectures and you will realize how wrong you are :P

  • @nirbhay_raghav
    @nirbhay_raghav Před rokem +38

    A good professor gets down to the level of a student and stops assuming things. A great professor gets down to the level of the weakest (new to the field) student in the class and makes them feel that they are not alone. And he is an excellent professor. Thank you MIT.

  • @kaylar1981
    @kaylar1981 Před 3 lety +632

    List of lectures (for some reason, lecture 10 doesn't exist so I re-ordered the numbering, which is why there's actually only 23 videos)
    Lecture 1: Part 1 - Intro to Statistics
    Lecture 2: Part 2 - Intro to Statistics
    Lecture 3: Parametric Inference
    Lecture 4: Parametric Inference and Likelihood of Estimation
    Lecture 5: Maximum of Likelihood Estimation
    Lecture 6: Maximum Likelihood of Estimation and Methods of Moments
    Lecture 7: Part 1 - Parametric Hypothesis Testing
    Lecture 8: Part 2 - Parametric Hypothesis Testing
    Lecture 9: Part 3 - Parametric Hypothesis Testing
    Lecture 10: Parametric Hypothesis Testing and Testing Goodness of Fit
    Lecture 11: Testing Goodness of Fit
    Lecture 12: Part 1 - Regression
    Lecture 14: Part 2 - Regression
    Lecture 15: Part 3 - Regression
    Lesson 16: Part 1 - Bayesian Statistics
    Lesson 17: Part 2 - Bayesian Statistics
    Lesson 18: Part 1 - Principal Component Analysis
    Lesson 19: Part 2 - Principal Component Analysis
    Lesson 20: Part 1 - Generalized Linear Models
    Lesson 21: Part 2 - Generalized Linear Models
    Lesson 22: Part 3 - Generalized Linear Models
    Lesson 23: Part 4 - Generalized Linear Models
    Good luck with your studies~

  • @salahuddinahmed4364
    @salahuddinahmed4364 Před 6 měsíci +22

    i am listening this course again because i am now PhD student. To refresh basics is a vital step. thank u MIT

    • @inanedreamz673
      @inanedreamz673 Před 2 měsíci

      Me too, my department's stats course was a complete nightmare - Bayesian modeling in R with zero fundamentals

  • @salahuddinahmed4364
    @salahuddinahmed4364 Před 10 měsíci +29

    In bachelor class I fail in statistics unexpectedly. Now after 15 yrs I listen this like I am in university again. ❤

  • @chTomokz
    @chTomokz Před rokem +14

    I got moved and rocked. Thanks for uploading!! Watching from Tokyo, Japan. (In my shabby apartment room. I am a low income Tokyo city's resident.)
    As Dr.Regollet mentioned, Statistics is,
    z=a+b
    For me,
    Let,
    Live=Audiences+Performers
    also, z^=a^+b^ is an equation of a circle.
    Life^=Your heartbeat^ + My heartbeat^
    Each square means that A heartbeat consists of movement of two ventricles.
    The kiss brings me to enter my body, mind and soul. This lecture has given me a new life.
    How wonderful! Thank you for inspiring me. I've so refreshed!

  • @nomad4k
    @nomad4k Před měsícem +1

    I am extremely grateful for this entire series. Thank you. I keep revisiting every time I forget a concept or need to brush up. Having taught in a classroom myself, and having gotten many thanks and compliments from my students over the years, I can tell that he has that same attitude that I learned to embrace - making sure that students understand the concepts and do not just blindly memorize equations. I used to teach computer science (data structures, algorithms and oop languages) at Steven’s inst. in Hoboken.

  • @gokcezora2575
    @gokcezora2575 Před 6 lety +473

    "Statistics is about replacing expectations with averages. That is what all of statistics is about."

  • @ZacharyXAE
    @ZacharyXAE Před 5 lety +530

    Actual math lecture starts at 13:20

    • @AliRaza-rm1qq
      @AliRaza-rm1qq Před 4 lety +34

      You are awesome. You saved my 13 minutes

    • @Pidamoussouma
      @Pidamoussouma Před 4 lety

      Thank youuuu...

    • @Mallick7
      @Mallick7 Před 4 lety

      Thank you very much. Saved 3 mins

    • @Trazynn
      @Trazynn Před 3 lety +20

      I'm 52 minutes in and he still hasn't actually started on anything.

    • @user-sb9xp7nl9l
      @user-sb9xp7nl9l Před 3 lety

      thank you !!!

  • @Unknowledgeable1
    @Unknowledgeable1 Před 3 lety +38

    10:20 prerequisites
    14:50 explanation of the scientific process a bit before this. On the collection of data --> hypothesis, which will then be proven or disproven by more data

  • @chenmatt4467
    @chenmatt4467 Před 2 lety +4

    i like the way he prepares to introduce a topic. very thoughtful and enjoyable.

  • @kaykwanu
    @kaykwanu Před 2 měsíci +1

    🎯 Key Takeaways for quick navigation:
    00:29 *📚 The course "Fundamentals of Statistics" (formerly "Statistics for Applications") aims to provide an introductory understanding of statistics, focusing on theoretical guarantees and mathematical principles.*
    01:54 *📊 The course emphasizes building error bars and understanding how to choose between statistical estimators, providing a foundation for making predictions and interpreting data.*
    04:21 *🎓 The course prepares students for more advanced topics like machine learning, emphasizing the statistical fundamentals necessary for understanding algorithms and data-driven decision-making.*
    05:19 *📝 Homework assignments are due weekly, with the best 10 out of 11 counted toward the final grade, comprising 30% of the total.*
    08:11 *📚 Two midterms will be held in class, with only the better score of the two counted, contributing to 30% of the final grade.*
    09:35 *🕒 The final exam will be three hours long, accounting for 40% of the total grade, allowing notes but not textbooks.*
    12:00 *📄 Lecture slides and other materials will be posted on Stellar, providing resources for students to study and review outside of class.*
    13:27 *📊 Statistics plays a crucial role in interpreting scientific studies and making informed decisions based on data, highlighting the importance of understanding statistical concepts in various fields.*
    17:43 *🧮 Statistical tools are essential for distinguishing meaningful results from random fluctuations, addressing issues like p-hacking and ensuring the reliability of scientific findings.*
    20:36 *🌊 Building dikes in the Netherlands in the 10th century showcased an early application of statistics, using data on previous floods to inform dike construction.*
    21:04 *💼 Statistics plays a crucial role in determining insurance premiums, with calculations based on the expected cost of insurance claims.*
    21:59 *💊 Clinical trials exemplify statistical success stories, with rigorous testing protocols required by the FDA to evaluate the effectiveness of new drugs.*
    23:25 *🧬 Genetic studies, like those investigating Alzheimer's disease, rely on statistics to analyze large datasets and identify associations between genes and diseases.*
    25:20 *🎲 Understanding and taming randomness is essential in statistics, enabling decision-making based on data analysis.*
    26:13 *📊 Statistical concepts like average, fair premium, quantifying chance, and significance are fundamental for interpreting data and making informed decisions.*
    28:10 *🔢 Statistics involves finding basic numbers from data, unlike probability where basic numbers are given, allowing for the estimation of parameters from data.*
    32:50 *📉 Statisticians simplify complex models to estimate parameters accurately, understanding that model errors may occur but are necessary for data analysis.*
    37:40 *🤝 Good modeling in statistics requires choosing plausible simple models based on domain knowledge, emphasizing the importance of understanding the problem domain.*
    39:27 *🎲 Statistics involves describing outcomes based on known truths or distributions, enabling predictions or data generation.*
    40:25 *📊 Statistics involves reversing the process of probability, moving from data to infer the truth or distribution that generated it.*
    41:51 *📈 Statistical analysis focuses on predicting average outcomes or macro properties of datasets, not exact individual outcomes.*
    43:39 *📉 In statistics, data is used to estimate parameters like effectiveness or proportion, incorporating error margins for uncertainty.*
    45:32 *🧰 The course emphasizes understanding statistical methods mathematically, with a focus on modeling assumptions and their implications.*
    47:54 *🎓 The course offers an applied statistical perspective, focusing on building estimators within specific modeling frameworks rather than data analysis or software implementation.*
    49:49 *🤔 Statistical thinking involves framing questions, hypotheses, and variables in a way that allows for quantifiable analysis and inference.*
    53:34 *📋 Statistical experiments involve observing samples from populations, estimating parameters, and making inferences about the population based on sample data.*
    01:03:28 *📊 Accuracy in an estimator refers to its stability and proximity to the true value being estimated.*
    01:04:25 *🎯 The volatility of an estimator can impact its effectiveness; stable estimators offer consistent results over various samples.*
    01:05:20 *📈 Statistical modeling involves making assumptions about observed data, such as assuming randomness and independence.*
    01:06:17 *📊 Bernoulli distribution is commonly used to model random variables with two possible outcomes, making it useful for binary data.*
    01:14:45 *💡 In statistics, expectations are often replaced by averages to simplify calculations, a key concept for estimation.*
    Made with HARPA AI

  • @bretztheman
    @bretztheman Před 2 lety +18

    this guy knows his stuff. i enjoyed his class very much. Fair grader too, not tough, but fair.

  • @daya512523
    @daya512523 Před 5 lety +50

    Loved that you captured your audience with the "kissing Statue" in relation to stats..... very engaging :) since statistics in a Phd program is so painful lol

  • @AbhishekVerma-iz2hl
    @AbhishekVerma-iz2hl Před 5 lety +37

    "Randomness is a big rug in which we sweep everything, we don't understand." Leap of faith.
    51:12 - because Real-time observation feels better.

  • @mkos1111
    @mkos1111 Před 6 lety +164

    Awesome video. Using it to get ahead for fall! Thank you for providing this to the public. In the age of the internet, knowledge is as cheap as the wifi!

    • @trumbongtoi5
      @trumbongtoi5 Před 5 lety +30

      material is as cheap as the wifi, not knowledge !

    • @irwinjones3960
      @irwinjones3960 Před 3 lety +3

      Both should be free

    • @GoToMan
      @GoToMan Před rokem +3

      @@irwinjones3960 They are quasi-public goods, they won't be provided by the free market and taxpayers won't be willing to pay for them.

  • @Thesportynerd16
    @Thesportynerd16 Před 6 lety +26

    This class sounds amazing, best of two mid terms damn

  • @vinegar10able
    @vinegar10able Před 2 lety +14

    This course is excellent, so much needed in the modern world.

  • @hxxzxtf
    @hxxzxtf Před 4 měsíci

    🎯 Key Takeaways for quick navigation:
    00:29 📚 *The course, 18.650, titled "Fundamentals of Statistics," aims to cover statistical concepts, emphasizing theoretical guarantees, and their application to real-life situations.*
    01:54 🧮 *Mathematical equations will be used extensively, focusing on theoretical understanding, estimation, and the construction of error bars in statistical thinking.*
    03:23 🌐 *The course aims to equip students with the ability to formulate statistical problems mathematically, choose appropriate methods for specific questions, and understand the limitations of statistical methods.*
    04:51 📚 *The course prepares students for more advanced statistical and machine learning classes, emphasizing both algorithmic and statistical components.*
    05:19 📅 *The class schedule includes lectures on Tuesdays and Thursdays, with mandatory problem-solving recitations on Wednesdays.*
    06:17 📝 *Weekly homework, consisting of 11 problem sets, contributes to 30% of the final grade. PDF files are required for submission, and late homework is accepted within 24 hours, no questions asked.*
    08:39 📚 *Two midterms, on October 3 and November 7, account for 30% of the final grade, with only the better score considered. Midterms are closed-book and closed-notes.*
    09:35 📘 *The final exam, lasting three hours, counts for 40% of the grade and allows notes but not books.*
    12:29 📖 *No required textbook for the course, with lecture slides, video lectures, and problems provided. Recommended reading includes "All of Statistics" by Wasserman.*
    13:55 📊 *Studying statistics is essential due to its prevalence in news, scientific studies, and fields like machine learning. Critical evaluation of studies and understanding statistical processes are emphasized.*
    17:43 📉 *Awareness of statistical issues, like p-hacking, is crucial to discern the reliability of scientific studies and avoid misinterpretation of statistical findings.*
    19:07 📊 *Statistics is essential for making decisions based on data, even when faced with uncertainty or incomplete information.*
    20:36 🌊 *Historical example: Statistics played a crucial role in determining the height of dikes in the Netherlands to protect against floods by analyzing past flood data.*
    21:31 💰 *Statistics is widely used in insurance to set premiums based on the expected cost of coverage, considering probabilities of events like iPhone damage.*
    22:29 🧪 *Clinical trials rely on statistics to determine the effectiveness of new drugs, addressing challenges like sample size, placebo effects, and significance.*
    23:25 🧬 *Genetics studies, like those related to Alzheimer's disease, involve statistical modeling to analyze large datasets and answer important questions.*
    24:50 📉 *Statistics helps understand and manage randomness in data, providing insights into floods, insurance, clinical trials, and genetics.*
    26:13 🎲 *Probability is the study of randomness, and it forms the basis for understanding and describing uncertain events in statistics.*
    28:39 🎲 *Probability often deals with well-defined scenarios, while statistics involves estimating parameters and building models based on observed data.*
    32:50 📊 *Statistics aims to simplify complex processes into models with a few parameters, allowing for parameter estimation from observed data.*
    37:40 🔄 *Good modeling in statistics involves choosing plausible simple models while considering domain knowledge, even though there might be model errors.*
    38:37 🌐 *Understanding the problem you're working on is crucial, involving aspects like sociology, biology, and engineering.*
    39:27 🎲 *Probability starts with known parameters, describing expected outcomes, while statistics works backward to infer truth from observed data.*
    41:51 📊 *Probability deals with known parameters, predicting averages and macro properties, while statistics deals with observed data, making inferences about underlying parameters.*
    42:46 🔍 *Statistics involves making predictions based on limited data, incorporating uncertainties and potential errors.*
    44:08 🧮 *The course focuses on understanding the mathematical foundations of statistical methods, emphasizing modeling assumptions like independence and identical distribution (IID).*
    45:32 📉 *The course does not extensively cover data analysis but rather provides a mathematical toolbox for statistical methods.*
    46:00 💻 *Mention of statistical software like R and Python, with an upcoming course on computational statistics using R.*
    47:54 📚 *The course challenges students with advanced statistical concepts, promising valuable learning despite potential difficulty.*
    50:15 📊 *Reference to a study on kissing couples, highlighting the importance of statistical thinking in framing and analyzing questions.*
    54:33 📈 *Estimating an unknown parameter (p) involves collecting data (n couples) and calculating the proportion (p hat), emphasizing the importance of sample size for reliable estimates.*
    58:12 🤔 *Statistical conclusions vary based on confidence levels. Choosing a threshold, e.g., 72%, is arbitrary and depends on study design and confidence desired.*
    59:36 🎲 *Estimators and estimates differ. Estimators, being random variables, focus on accuracy, balancing volatility (variance) and proximity to the true value (bias).*
    01:02:29 📏 *Accuracy of an estimator is measured by variance (volatility), aiming for stability over different samples. Bias assesses how close the estimator's average is to the true value.*
    01:05:20 🤔 *Modeling assumptions are crucial. In a study on couples kissing, assumptions include couples being independent, each having a Bernoulli-distributed turning preference, and parameters being the same across couples.*
    01:08:35 🧠 *Homogeneous population assumption simplifies modeling, stating conclusions about the overall population rather than individual differences.*
    01:13:47 📊 *In statistics, replace expectations with averages. The estimate for the standard deviation (sigma) involves replacing expectations with averages to compute a sample estimate.*
    Made with HARPA AI

  • @p0intblAnkwaziT
    @p0intblAnkwaziT Před 3 lety +8

    Hi, relative to undergraduate curriculum, would this be considered Intermediate Statistics / Statistics II, following an intro-level college stats class? Thanks!

    • @mitocw
      @mitocw  Před 3 lety +6

      Yes, it would be. See the Math Major Roadmaps for details: math.mit.edu/academics/undergrad/roadmaps.php. Best wishes on your studies!

  • @playlisthitmaker9913
    @playlisthitmaker9913 Před 9 měsíci +18

    This course should be the standard for every statistics across all levels in education. My current statistics course in community colleg is structured ineffectively and goes straight into the math. While this applies a lot more real word situations & lore that makes the class exciting.

  • @nathanilsaenz8178
    @nathanilsaenz8178 Před 2 lety +13

    I took stats last year, it was tough! Luckily my school used Lumen which helped a lot! It had practice problems so you can know what you do wrong, so u can go back and work on it before going on to your official home work. I was able to get an A but it was tough and had to put a lot of extra time aside dedicated just to my homework etc because i am very very bad at math. The lumen program really helped a lot

    • @Owmjir
      @Owmjir Před 9 měsíci +1

      Can you please tell me what exactly is a lumen program?

  • @ChristianSpokenWordofGod
    @ChristianSpokenWordofGod Před 3 lety +41

    I wish this was available when I was an undergrad. I would have came to OCW for every single friggin course. But glad its available now, certainly helps with grad school.

    • @kinqmav226
      @kinqmav226 Před 3 lety

      I hated taken statistics as an undergrad

  • @lightfootwind4068
    @lightfootwind4068 Před 2 lety +80

    I had to take a stats class as a requirement for my Admin Justice major..after I took this class and achieved in it just by sheer trying hard and studying..I was able to get an A and decided to try science and engineering courses and I did pretty good because I got Fs in HS when I took them. So I thought I'd settle for a career with less education requirement after HS--20 years later I'm a software engineer for a major telahealth company. I'd never would expect this--I thought I'd be a cop

    • @carsonfleetwood572
      @carsonfleetwood572 Před 2 lety +30

      The expectation that I was "bad at math" led me away from pursuing a STEM degree when I graduated high-school. Ten years later I discovered that I was not bad at math, I was just a lazy student and that I might need to put in effort. I hate to think how many people are in the same boat.

    • @Divockorigi759
      @Divockorigi759 Před 2 lety +2

      I'm sure you'd become a good cop, too.

    • @abdlatif5116
      @abdlatif5116 Před 2 lety +1

      @@carsonfleetwood572 yeaaa same. I dont know why i hate math back then

    • @bigchonkerraccoon5046
      @bigchonkerraccoon5046 Před 2 lety

      What was it like deciding to pursue your software job? Did you ever have doubts or fears of being stuck in a “sit all day at a computer” job?

    • @lightfootwind4068
      @lightfootwind4068 Před 2 lety +4

      @@bigchonkerraccoon5046 I decided to pursue a software engineering career bc to me it was like solving a math/physics problem (you have to enjoy solving problems). I do have doubts like "am I an impostor sitting here designing a piece of software for thousands of ppl to use ?"
      Sitting all day at a computer not that bad if you are so focused on solving a puzzle. The time goes really fast--obviously I took breaks when needed and lift weights a lot helps. Sounds crazy but many software engineers I know are into working out and body building to balance the hours of sitting.

  • @CypherSpectre
    @CypherSpectre Před 5 lety +15

    Instruction begins at 13:22

  • @nl7247
    @nl7247 Před 3 lety +4

    Statistics is replacing expectations with average. Thank you

  • @almaisakinudungsalsabila9590

    (1) Introduction to Statistics
    1. Intro
    2. Prerequisites
    3. Why Should you Study Statistics
    4. The Salmon Experiment
    5. The History of Statistics
    6. Why Statisctis
    7. Randomness
    8. Real Randomness
    9. Good Modeling
    10. Probability vs Statistics
    11. Course Objectives
    12. Statistics

  • @anassheashaey
    @anassheashaey Před 3 lety +5

    What Software does Prof. Rigollet use to make these slides?
    I guess it's RMarkdown but can someone confirm?

    • @not_ever
      @not_ever Před 2 lety +4

      Looks like Latex with Beamer package.

  • @planejamentomorungaba8941

    👏👏👏congratulations from Brazil for the class !

  • @deepm5047
    @deepm5047 Před 6 lety +2

    Where is the video he was planning to post on Stellar for the statistical table?

  • @jasonyonglinwu868
    @jasonyonglinwu868 Před 4 lety +9

    Came for the Bayesian statistics lecture, stayed for the whole class. Great lectures! thank you

    • @AVtrails
      @AVtrails Před 4 lety +1

      You are like me.. Also into pyMC3?

  • @brainstormingsharing1309
    @brainstormingsharing1309 Před 3 lety +4

    Absolutely well done and definitely keep it up!!! 👍👍👍👍👍

  • @BantamJJ
    @BantamJJ Před 6 lety +1

    Thank you for posting !

  • @pl9742
    @pl9742 Před 4 lety +6

    Excellent proclamation! : 36:00 There is no randomness. Randomness is a big rug, underwhich we sweep everything we don't understand.

    • @JoshuaStorm-zi1wy
      @JoshuaStorm-zi1wy Před rokem

      That's mind blowing.

    • @IVVIIVVII
      @IVVIIVVII Před 5 měsíci +1

      Not really. The classification of dropping your iphone as a non-random occurrence is dangerously naïve considering is just proves the person making the claim has no true understanding of what randomness is. Literally at the quantum level the uncertainly rule prevails. Therefore Everything we do a random mathematical computation of XOR.

  • @theamazingjonad9716
    @theamazingjonad9716 Před 4 lety +25

    "Statistics is about replacing expectations with averages ... everytimes you see an expectation you replace it by an average" this resume all this lecture.

    • @4sername
      @4sername Před 3 lety +4

      this resume all this lecture . . . what?

  • @MultiCreasey
    @MultiCreasey Před 5 lety +51

    If Philippe speaks too quickly for you don't forget you can slow down the speed in the settings. I found 0.75 worked for me.

    • @vikas6024
      @vikas6024 Před 4 lety +12

      1.5x worked for me

    • @stephenrose4582
      @stephenrose4582 Před 2 lety

      When Philippe said that he has a tendency to speak too fast, he wasn't kidding was he?

  • @yyx8200
    @yyx8200 Před 2 lety +3

    What courses would be beneficial for applied economics and econometrics students? Thanks in advance!

  • @abhishekshah5961
    @abhishekshah5961 Před 4 lety +24

    25:13 toin coss. well i guess his brain needs a playback speed of 0.75. love these lectures

  • @TheRandomgigi
    @TheRandomgigi Před 3 lety +1

    is this course applicable for lab analysis of data using statistical methods ? im a physics student wondering if this is worth the time to learn

  • @ParadiceAlo
    @ParadiceAlo Před 9 měsíci

    it depends on the side we sleep on, take average of a persons sleeping side, there will be a natural tilt already because of that. also right hand gives more control and balance.

  • @FrancescoBazzani
    @FrancescoBazzani Před 2 lety +1

    Statistics is replacing expectation with averages: frame it, get a tattoo, I don't care...
    I'm sold.

  • @veeraiahpalanivel1273
    @veeraiahpalanivel1273 Před 6 lety +35

    Course starts on 13:23...

  • @lahaale5840
    @lahaale5840 Před 6 lety +31

    Could you provide the solutions to the assignments and recitation materials?

  • @Zaj88
    @Zaj88 Před rokem

    At 30:00 - It doesn't matter wether you go with with Alice or Bob. They should be getting the same amount of money, as the number of dots greater than or equal to 3 has 4/6 sides of the dice covered (3, 4, 5 and 6 -> 4/6 -> 2/3). Am I mistaken?

  • @YechielLabunskiy
    @YechielLabunskiy Před 6 lety +20

    Could you add Lecture 10 and 16 from this year (2017)?

    • @gasserma
      @gasserma Před 5 lety +8

      If I am reading the tea leaves correctly, those lectures are the in class exams, so no real material is missing.

  • @lovely_liability8081
    @lovely_liability8081 Před 2 lety +4

    This is the statistics class we actually wanted to take but didn't get.

  • @samtj3524
    @samtj3524 Před 2 lety +4

    PERSONAL NOTES
    1. Say p = 60% from n samples. How many samples would it guarantee that p > 50%? We need a model for this. The goal for our model is that the density must be as narrow as possible (least possible volatility), and the value that we're looking for is as close as it is likely to be. Assumptions: random (good way to model lack of infos, otherwise non-math wouldd suffice), i.i.d,

  • @Divockorigi759
    @Divockorigi759 Před 2 lety

    Not a single dislike. This video bring my faith to humanity back.

  • @bathtub_farter
    @bathtub_farter Před 4 lety +1

    can anyone please provide the links to the extra videos he said he'll be uploading. Like the Gaussian Distribution one up on stellar. I searched stellar MIT but couldn't find it.

    • @mitocw
      @mitocw  Před 4 lety +2

      The Stellar course management system has been developed to support delivery of classes to students at MIT. Note that access to most Stellar class Web sites is limited to class participants. Any materials we do have available for the course can be found on MIT OpenCourseWare at: ocw.mit.edu/18-650F16. On a quick check, it doesn't look like these extra videos were given to MIT OpenCourseWare.

  • @parthchoksi9632
    @parthchoksi9632 Před 3 lety +1

    Where can the problem set of 30 questions that he mentioned be found?

  • @fica4561
    @fica4561 Před 2 lety +7

    I am taking MBA, the statistics lessons is very useful. Thank you for sharing

  • @AJ-et3vf
    @AJ-et3vf Před 2 lety

    awesome video. thank you!

  • @anirudh425
    @anirudh425 Před 2 lety

    Wow , feels nice to hear a statistics lecture from an MIT professor peeping from ceiling

  • @gochaslearningspace8816
    @gochaslearningspace8816 Před 3 lety +7

    I'm just wondering whether 67.5 is correct. I may be missing something, but as far as I run my R code, it says 73.866. Did I miss something ?
    Below is my code and results.
    --
    (base) demo@ubuntu:~/SelfStudy/MIT-OCSW/18.650-Fundamental-of-Statistics$ ./1_1hour12mins.R
    [1] 73.86667
    [1] 73.86667
    (base) demo@ubuntu:~/SelfStudy/MIT-OCSW/18.650-Fundamental-of-Statistics$ cat 1_1hour12mins.R
    #! /usr/bin/env Rscript
    x

    • @JiorgosKarapanagos
      @JiorgosKarapanagos Před 2 lety

      got the same result, i tried 34 instead of 134 just in case that was the typo, much closer not the one tough

  • @cihant5438
    @cihant5438 Před 5 lety +23

    25:10 it is NOT a toin coss

  • @ujjwalk.4925
    @ujjwalk.4925 Před 3 lety

    @59:25, what do we mean by confidence and how can one compute it?

  • @ARIZABEST
    @ARIZABEST Před 9 měsíci

    Is there a change to get access to the mandatory lessons? Thanks for sharing the course!

  • @tedoymisojos
    @tedoymisojos Před 5 lety

    Thanks for sharing this

  • @iraterman3212
    @iraterman3212 Před 5 lety

    We cannot see the the top portion of the blackboard. Who filmed this? I hope it gets fixed in the next videos.

    • @klumpytheklown3798
      @klumpytheklown3798 Před 4 lety

      No shit. I'm interested in the *information* not the *informer*. This is a pet peeve I have with a lot of lecture vids. It should be common sense, like using portrait versus landscape mode when videoing. Come on, videographers, think about the end user of your product.

  • @chilling00000
    @chilling00000 Před 6 lety +7

    Please record mathematical statistics 18.655, thanks!

  • @spiritualpeace3653
    @spiritualpeace3653 Před 2 lety

    Hello sir, can I copy paste your videos for teaching and learning purpose on CZcams? Have any copyright issues?

    • @mitocw
      @mitocw  Před 2 lety +3

      Yes, you are welcome to use our videos for teaching and learning purposes on CZcams as long as you follow our Creative Commons license NC-BY-SA: ocw.mit.edu/terms/#cc. Best wishes on your teaching!

  • @WaayoArag.
    @WaayoArag. Před 3 lety +2

    Is there any one one who can help me which book or slides this course is based on? It would be very great, thank you.

    • @mitocw
      @mitocw  Před 3 lety +3

      This course doesn't have a text listed, but in case this helps, the previous version taught by Peter Kempthorne used J.A. Rice: Mathematical Statistics and Data Analysis. Duxbury Press, 2006. www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0534399428/ref=nosim/mitopencourse-20. Good luck with your studies!

  • @saulcharapaqui6787
    @saulcharapaqui6787 Před 2 lety

    1:14:30
    Omg I must say this class is a delight specially the sigma part. I was so surprised. Maybe it is something simple but it wasnt for me because I always Just use the equation.

  • @maxonthetrack
    @maxonthetrack Před 5 lety +7

    Thank you Liam Neeson

  • @frederickhofmann843
    @frederickhofmann843 Před rokem

    really like the lecturer, god bless!

  • @m-meier
    @m-meier Před 6 lety +18

    please post the course for introduction to probability! :D thank you for the videos btw!

    • @atrijitdas1704
      @atrijitdas1704 Před 4 lety +11

      czcams.com/play/PL2SOU6wwxB0uwwH80KTQ6ht66KWxbzTIo.html
      This is a good one from Harvard

    • @anthonylangston23
      @anthonylangston23 Před 2 lety +1

      @@atrijitdas1704 thank you!

  • @dimitargueorguiev9088

    The lecturer is awesome.

  • @mohdmaaz3926
    @mohdmaaz3926 Před 3 lety

    Is this course a prerequisite for machine learning?

  • @abhishekravindra4008
    @abhishekravindra4008 Před 5 lety +1

    Please record your introductry number theory lectures

  • @georgeshibley9529
    @georgeshibley9529 Před 5 lety +16

    "randomness is a big rug under which we sweep everything we don't understand"
    I fucks with this

    • @tompopus
      @tompopus Před 2 lety

      I've always believed that with the right amount of data and analysis, nothing is really random 🤷🏾‍♂️

  • @pl9742
    @pl9742 Před 4 lety

    So, "estimate" is the same thing with "expectation"?

  • @abdulrahmanashraf8938
    @abdulrahmanashraf8938 Před 5 lety +3

    13:20 course start

  • @user-xv6hm8sm7d
    @user-xv6hm8sm7d Před 4 lety +1

    1:10:29
    X_i follows gaussian(or normal) distribution

  • @ixPeekABooBix
    @ixPeekABooBix Před 2 lety +20

    Lecture aside, I just wanna say that the course structure of 30% assignments, 2x 15% midterms and a 40% Final is very smart.
    Looks like grading is more focused on learning throughout the semester to engage the students.
    Courses with 50% Final and 2x 25% midterms or similar does not do anything to help students learn in the long term. Great class structure

    • @theademara
      @theademara Před 2 lety +1

      I agree!

    • @Espectador666
      @Espectador666 Před rokem +4

      in my country the final is 100% of your grade and you need to pass two midterms to be allowed to have a go at the final. Such an insane system my country has lol

  • @shubhamranjan9495
    @shubhamranjan9495 Před 5 lety +22

    "Biased" is the word that u were looking for :)

  • @anynamecanbeuse
    @anynamecanbeuse Před 5 lety

    truly a great intro to statistics. by the way, the variance estimator of gaussian is a biased one, I think [1/(N-1)] ∑(xi - µ)^2 would be a better choice

  • @xsli2876
    @xsli2876 Před 3 lety +1

    Anybody knows what the corresponding textbook is? Thank you very much!

    • @mitocw
      @mitocw  Před 3 lety +3

      The course does not seem to have a textbook listed. View the complete course at: ocw.mit.edu/18-650F16. Best wishes on your studies!

  • @Coorsgood10
    @Coorsgood10 Před 6 lety +108

    13:25

  • @Tomahawk1999
    @Tomahawk1999 Před 5 lety +26

    as long as your expectations are average about life, you will do fine with statistics.

  • @zhuyixue4979
    @zhuyixue4979 Před 6 lety +15

    "Statistics is about replacing expectations with averages."

  • @hanyanglee9018
    @hanyanglee9018 Před 2 lety

    Are the samples really independent? The 2 59s, they probably impacted.

  • @lukexu1010
    @lukexu1010 Před 2 lety +2

    Why is it such a common spoonerism that he says "toin coss" instead of coin toss @25:16? I have the exact same issue when giving a lesson!

  • @elenaanele4841
    @elenaanele4841 Před 5 lety +3

    Maybe it is posible put subtitles spanish, gracias.

  • @mofa6936
    @mofa6936 Před 4 lety +14

    53:24 I guess that's what everyone feels after talking so quick for a long time :D

  • @ayushupadhyay801
    @ayushupadhyay801 Před 3 lety

    At 23:00 why would reusing data for different questions lead to wrongful conclusion ?

  • @salauddinali8679
    @salauddinali8679 Před 5 lety +3

    Could someone please illustrate how the 7 has the most high probability for the problem at 31:00
    Chose a number between 2 and 12
    Win 100$ if you chose the sum of the 2 dice.
    I didn't quite understand how its 7

    • @salauddinali8679
      @salauddinali8679 Před 5 lety +1

      Nevermind. I understood.
      Most numbers add upto 7

    • @mochhisyamtanzil9741
      @mochhisyamtanzil9741 Před 4 lety

      i also confused at fist and then i realize 7 has the most combination than other numbers

    • @kategraham5167
      @kategraham5167 Před 3 lety +2

      There are 36 ways to get a total.
      Only one way to get a total of 2, which is double 1.
      But there are six ways to get a total of 7, which is the maximum number of ways for any particular total, and so this is the most likely total.

  • @MCRuCr
    @MCRuCr Před 2 lety

    MIT is King. Period.

  • @WojciechowskaAnna
    @WojciechowskaAnna Před 3 lety

    I love his sense of humor - the flashmob lol

  • @phupv56
    @phupv56 Před 6 lety

    Thank you

  • @pablo_brianese
    @pablo_brianese Před 5 lety +6

    Starts at 13:20

  • @segnisami3757
    @segnisami3757 Před 6 lety

    thank you

  • @benjaminrigsby1606
    @benjaminrigsby1606 Před 6 lety +35

    It's a "toin coss"!

  • @vtdr
    @vtdr Před 5 lety +2

    Can we find the solutions for the problem sets?

    • @mitocw
      @mitocw  Před 5 lety +4

      Sorry, the instructor did not give solutions to the problem sets. Maybe some kind soul has them posted somewhere.

  • @theafricanliberationagency4652

    Is this the same as introduction to statistics for economists???

  • @anassheashaey
    @anassheashaey Před 5 lety +20

    Gotta read that article on kissing so I can better understand statistics...

  • @alterguy4327
    @alterguy4327 Před 2 lety +1

    Going through a tough time, I hope things get better

  • @AriaHarmony
    @AriaHarmony Před 9 měsíci

    38:33 I feel this is the best ad for people thinking of becoming a statistician, you get to play in everybody's backyard! AND grill them for information in their field! It's like exclusive access that you're paid to have 🤣

  • @user-js8bb9tg6x
    @user-js8bb9tg6x Před měsícem

    thank you so much
    Frrom FPT university in VIet Nam with love

  • @TriPham-sn9jj
    @TriPham-sn9jj Před rokem +1

    The government should sponsor Edx format to keep accessible education for everyone because it costs less to raise education level of children than to have large labor force waiting for social security

    • @jasonmaguire7552
      @jasonmaguire7552 Před 8 měsíci

      The average person cannot learn valuable skills from this type of lecture. MIT grads have great careers because they're smart to begin with. They aren't made smart by these lectures.

  • @maroctech761
    @maroctech761 Před 4 lety

    Statistics are about knowing the distribution of the entire poppulation given the distribution of one dataset