Who Will Be The Next Tory Leader?
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- Äas pĆidĂĄn 27. 06. 2024
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With a Labour win inevitable, senior Tory MPs are already jostling for position to replace Sunak after the election. So in this video, we'll breakdown the key figures in the race, their different brands of politics and their chances of success.
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1 - www.oddschecker.com/politics/...
2 - conservativehome.com/2024/04/...
3 - www.spectator.co.uk/article/b...
Whoever they have left
Yeah, this election throws any leadership predictions out the window because pretty much any potential leader is gonna lose their seat
Desperate enough to lead anything and everything, just to say they are a leader.
It'll be your turn soon, maybe that's what Rishi had in mind for National Service?
@@davidrobertson9174 I'm prepared for you to have your lettuce time before I step up
"My draft notice, came today. They're making me the Tory Party leader. I knew I should have volunteered for Afghanistan."
Last week: tory politicians caught betting on the date of the election
This week: nationwide "who will succeed Sunak" guessing game begins
Next week: tory politicians caught betting on Sunak's successor
Are you really a Tory if you never did insider trading?
"... and losing because they don't have any MPs after the election"
â @@Ramboost007 interview to be the next Tory leader
Interviewer: Do you have a criminal record ?
Interviewee: No
Interviewer: Donât worry, we will get you one.
Week after: Tories caught betting on whether they will be able to defeat Count Binface
Funny as this is, theyâd not be doing anything illegal by betting on his successor. After all, they donât know either.
If she is the front runner then the Tories really are in the toilet.
So much for being anti-woke when her only qualification is the color of her skin lol.
So much for being A N T I - W O K E when Her only qualification is her color.
Conservatives trying to be more popular amoung youth.
Leader prospect picks a fight with the most popular actor of the most popular tv show of the country.
XD
Aska Tory voter. I like Penny Mordant. Always
they have been since johnson.
Someone who lasts longer than lettuce?
That would be a turnip for the books!
Frozen British fish to appeal to Brexiteers.
ZERO SEATS
EVERYONE REPEATS
ZERO SEATS
Fingers crossed and I wonder who will succeed him
@@Tom_murray89 i think the only rational explanation is that the greens will inherit the Tory vote.
Like how is it even a question?
I think its rather obvious its gonna be Reform.
@@Tom_murray89 Reform
Based
Shut up please
Kemi: "We shouldn't bow to woke identity politics"
Also Kami: "OMG a white man told me, a black woman, to shut up. Can't he see that I'm protected from being criticized because I'm the only black woman in government đĄđĄđĄđĄđĄđ"
Most morally consistent Tory
Yeah i thought that too lol
"How dare you be racist and sexist?! THAT'S MY THING!"
@@justaguycalledjoshitâs even worse than that. Itâs more like âhow dare you levy legitimate criticism, thatâs racist and sexist which is my thingâ
The entire âIâm anti-woke, but Iâm going to use a woke argument to insulate myself from valid criticismâ gimmick she tried to pull wasnât lost on me either
When I hear "she's the donors favourite" you've immediately lost my vote. Good luck hiring another banker to lead, these lot won't see power again for another generation.
Hopefully when I am 70 if I am still around. (which is 20 years time)
Technically, a member of the Lords can be the leader of the party. So Dave would be the safest to lead it. I did not say the best.
We got you bro đ
Dave has near zero support among party membership. So if they have any say he has no shot. Then again sunak is current party leader despite their objections so who knows. But a cameron conservstive party will be completely destroyed by reform.
Cameron would do well in opposition tbh
The last thing a retired long term former Prime Minister would want is the humiliation of being leader of the opposition to a 430+ majority government. It's the same reason President Ford turned down Reagan's offer to be his running mate because why would you want to come back into politics after retirement into a role much lower than the one you previously held?
It'd be kinda nice to have Cameron back
Zero seats⊠zero seats⊠ZERO SEATS
Whoever they scrape off the bottom of the barrel?
Depending on how many seats they lose, they might have to scrape *through* the bottom of the barrel.
Can they replace him with Rees-Mog so the Tories can fall below 10%?
Nah, Mog will lose his seat
Rees Smug will lose his seat
Their party is irrelevant.
3:03 Hahaha. And she claims that sheâs âanti-wokeâ.
Yeah Iâm surprised so many conservatives praised her for that response. I guess talking like that is ok so long as youâre on the ârightâ team.
Right? That statement reeks of irony and hypocrisy
I instantly switch off as soon as someone says anything about "woke". At that point it's very clear that they're not interested in debate, but just fanning the flames
The "culture war" is a great distraction, stop killing Palestinian children or create some new oppressive anti trans laws?
â@@Wozza365 It's very transparent and cynical coming from someone who's argued that white privilege doesn't exist and Britain is not institutionally racist.
But _now_ she thinks the fact that she's a black woman in a position of power matters and should affect how people talk about and to her. Fucking disgraceful.
ZERO SEATS!!!
well, atleast hope less than libdems
@@tenshihinanawi4546 its close
I hope that there is at least some sort of opposition sufficient enough to hold any government to account
@@Henners1991 labour getting 45% votes, 80% seats, perfectly balanced /s
Badenoch is projected to lose her seat lol
wonderful
NW Essex resident here, I certainly won't be voting for her
No she isn't
I doubt she'll loose it, Saffron Walden is a very safe seat for the Conservatives and if there are any survivors this would indeed be one of them.
@@Da1Dez The polls show Labour in spitting distance. If people vote tactically she loses
"Juniority" has made staying subscribed to this channel worthwhile
Maybe so, but it is in fact a word in the dictionary.
The goal shouldn't be "Who is the next leader" It should be "Who is the party to replace them". 0 Seats.
Are these the same tory members that thought Boris Johnson was a good idea?
and lizzie lettuce
Bozzer was alright
@@arcan762 We'll pretend that was a joke.
@@arcan762 Do you know what, in comparison, he actually was hahaha
PSA for anyone in Portsmouth North: Donât vote Penny, for goodness sake!
0:26 really thought you were going to say they'd already started placing bets on it
Lolđ
They already did, we only have to wait someone finds it out đ
too late to replaced him the damage is done
Zero seats!
Well it seems Kier Starmer is taking over the roll as head conservative already.
I do agree that Starmer has moved the Labour Party so far to the right that it's indistinguishable from the Conservatives! That's why I'm proudly voting Liberal Democrats because they are to the left of Labour on many policies. My sister, who is a committed environmentalist, is voting Green đ We both want to see the end of the Conservatives but are very disappointed with Labour
Where's Suella Braverman? I knew that she has been desperately trying to make quite an impression, not even hiding her ambition of becoming the future Tory leader.
She's in danger of loosing her seat
Problem with those betting odds, they are based on nothing other than name recognition, rather than composition fo the likely remaining MP's. Badenoch likely to get blocked by parlimentery MP's, penny likely to lose their seat, farage if the remaining MP's are moderate is a no go. Swinging right is a very silly idea, their is no point, you cant out flank reform of culture war or anti imigrint sentiment, so basing yourself on that is asking for true extinction, why go for budget reform when you can vote for real reform. All you do is give them credibility by agreeing with everything they do.
There are very few moderate MPs left, Johnson had most of them kicked out of the party.
The betting odds will be taking that into account the best they can, but yes obviously many will be removed from the list this time next week and probably a few new names enter the list at ridiculous odds that could shorten after a few months.
The betting sites do alot more calculations than you đ€Šââïž thereâs millions at stake for them
â@@Minimmalmythicistthey're all extremely left wing
â@@Minimmalmythicistthey're all extremely left wing
Tory's days are over
I hope so
As a conservative myself, I hope this too.
Let's be honest. It is a for now sort of thing. I align with left wing politics but we are going to fuck up somewhere
Hopefully they'll go the way of the Whigs.
@@Hardcore_Remixer how can you still be a conservative? have you learned nothing?
Thereâs a phrase in the tip of my tongueâŠ
Bottom
Scraping and
BarrelâŠ
3:00 What she is saying there is "I should be immune from criticism because I am black."
I'm sorry but black people can have prejudices too and should be called out on them just the same as a white man should
Whats the point in worrying about what tories will be doing. They won't be in power for quite a while
Probably for opposition purposes to try holding Labour to some sort of standard.
Kemi reminds me of old Rishi tbh. Acts like they know what their doing but when in power are simplely not serious people.
David Tennant is such a gem.
Used to be
At least that's one doctor who you can still see when you need to
Liz Truss again why not. Can just get rid of her in a week if you have buyerâs remorse.
Ah yes, Kemi 'let's pick a fight with the Speaker of the House' Badenoch. No possible way that can backfire.
hearing mordaunt called palatable to the left nearly made me spit out my tea
Strange women distributing swords is no basis for representative government.
my Dad said something similar (he said the Tories in general are starting to lean left) and I also would've spit out my tea if I was drinking at the time
@@SirAntoniousBlock Thank you, Brave Sir Antonious. You win the internet.
For the benefit of anyone who didn't get the joke, Penny Mordaunt has been in government for a few years, which is relatively long considering the churn at the top of the Conservative party since 2016. But she became famous when she prominently carried a ceremonial sword during Charles's coronation last year. That is by far the thing she is best known for.
I may add in passing, a few months ago she joined the group of ministers who thought it wise in an election year to publicly voice dissatsfaction with Rishi Sunak. Private Eye published a cartoon showing the by now familiar image of a Prime Minister with numerous knives stuck in his back, and a sword too, with the caption "et tu, Penny?"
@@tulliusexmisc2191 đ And in _Monty Python and the Holy Grail_ Arthur claimed the right to be king because the lady of the lake had given him Excalibur but to his dismay he received push back from some peasants.
My local MP Steve Baker is trying to run the Tories... for some reason news outlets have decided he's Northern Irish. He's certainly not Irish!! He's the MP for Wycombe!! It's right next to London FFS!! He was head of the ERG who were a major part of Brexit so he may not be a household name but the politicians sure af know him. He did a better job of "running" Wycombe that I ever thought a politician would... but can he run the country? Totally different kettle of fish. I think the other politicians are scared of him though.
they probably have bets on it too
think we should all place a bet on the time of his resignation speech ?
17 seconds, "i did have a plan, however my plan now is to go to the us and make decisive action for myself"
Just look at when the betting odds change and bet for then
5th july
It will be when they inevitably lose the election
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Why would anyone vote for a party whose leaders are constantly quitting or getting kicked out of power
David Cameron, Theresa May, Boris Johnson , Liz Truss and now Rishi Sunak
Thatâs 5 in 8 years which is an absolute joke like genuinely who wants that much uncertainty
How are you going to say Kemiâs economic policies are moderate when she wants to break up the treasury and resurrect Thatcherism????
I wouldn't be surprised if Cameron came back to step in as Caretaker
I would have said Penny Mordaunt was their best bet but she won't be coming back after the election.
it's so hilariously ironic that Kemi Badenoch is so anti-immigrant when she's a child of IMMIGRANTS & anti-"woke" when it's this "wokism" that even gave her a political career without it she wouldn't be anywhere near important
Her reply to Tennant proved that she's only anti-indentity politics when her identity can't be used to shield her views from criticism. That's such a low, hypocritical move coming from someone like her.
2:27 a Scottish man telling a black woman to shut up is not racism, it's just an ideology towards the Toriesđđ
Kemi Badenoch has to be the griftiest grifter to ever grift
It will largely depend on who's able to keep their seat lol
Can't see the membership voting for an ethnic candidate after having Sunak thrust upon them after they went for Truss.
It doesn't matter.
BUT, it will be a person selected from the handful of tories who actually still have a seat.
Reliant that they keep their seat
I cant even begin to describe just how excited i am for ZERO SEATS đđ
In 4 years we have had 3 Tory leaders - one as oven ready meal, the other as Lettuce & last begore GE, as toast. So amongst whoever Tory gets a seat in parliament, there will be one leader - as a slice of bread leftover by GE voters for peageons to eat inside the UK parliament.
Hope this answers TDLR's asked question about 'who is going to be the next Tory leader?"
The ad read was brutal đ
Itâs mind boggling that 20% of the electorate would still vote for the Tories, even with tactical voting considered.
I dislike them but it's better than the other blues...
Some people will also vote for them BECAUSE they expect them to lose. Because they don't need to worry about the fallout of keeping this disastrous government in power, they don't have to worry about Conservative policies. Instead, they are more focused upon keeping Labour out of their constituency and propping up a potential Conservative opposition (which is no bad thing, as a Government without opposition is dangerous).
I'm saying this as a tradition Conservative voter, and this thought process has crossed my mind. (I didn't vote for them in the end. I voted for an Independent candidate, as the idea of voting for this absolute mess again was sickening and embarrassing. (I'm a postal voter.))
@@solsunman383 true, the MPâs of a specific area can bring about good change.
Please change your Graphs. What are those grey spots supposed to mean? It just looks weird and barely conveys any information
A Cat? A trained Chimpanzee?âŠâŠ you choose
The Briliant ad in the endđ€Łđ€Ł
Thanks
Weâre not even at the election and weâre talking about whoâs going to lead afterwards lol
Time stands for no man not even Rishi Rich
I think Penny Mordaunt should stop the Hate Politics and return the party to traditional Conservatism.
She won't get re elected
She is going to lose her seat
the problem is their membership is full of fairly wealthy old racists. So a return to anything ressembling sensible conservatism isnÂŽt going to happen any time soon.
She would be a decent opposition to Starmer too
When had conservatism not been "hate politics"?
Anyone who actually can tell the truth doesn't look like a puppet and surrounds themselves with corrupt colleagues would be a step in the right direction... đ€
The irony of Badenoch being âanti-wokeâ and then batting off Tennantâs legitimate criticism of her as the complaints of âa lefty white maleâ will not be lost on me.
My Dog is available.
Bold of you to assume there'll be a Tory party left đ
It's a toss up between Noddy and Kermit the frog. But they might be over qualified.
Should step down immediately đ
Hopefully nobody. They'll be history. Gone and not lamented. Cursed, rather, as the epitome of misrepresentation, constantly saying one thing and doing another.
Kemi would make a good Tory Leader.
0:21 For a second I really thought you were going to say "...that well known tory MPs have apparently already started betting on it." :D
How comes James Cleverly is never in any of these lists?
Because everyone thinks he is useless.
Thick.
â@@grahamtrave1709But isn't that a prerequisite for being a candidate?
Perhaps because the chart at 4:43 shows what the party membership thinks of that gaffe-prone counterexample to nominative determinism.
Doesn't it rather depend on who's left?
I have an old Volleyball the Tory Party can have for free, if they need a replacement for Sunak. They could draw a face on it. I assure you it will do a better job than their last 5 PMs.
Juniority. Thatâs a new one on me. I like it.
I'm really really hoping they come third now. It's not just the number of seats that matter if that happens. It means all kinds of public funds and TV coverage would have to go to Lib Dems instead of Tories and I would hope that it completely changes the debates being about "wokery" and "stop the boats" to actually getting stuff done. I have no interest in culture wars, I just want sensible debate and Tories in their current state will never give us that.
3rd place will make them irrelevant even in the next election and one would hope that in 5 years time they'll have replaced the current rotten lot and maybe we have some interesting new conservatives that create a reasonable debate.
Going from âIâm anti-wokeâ to âYou canât criticize me. Iâm black!â is kinda funny
Paddington Bear .
Always loved David Tennant, good on him
I find I don't care who they'll be. It's not as if they'll have a chance at forming government in the next decade or so.
Kemi is insufferable
I feel like I've seen this type of video 4 times in the past few months now lmao
Imagine if a more centre-right Tory party started campaigning on rejoining the EU/common market
Would have been funny if it weren't so sad.
Dream on
The irony is it was a Tory PM who took us into Europe, Ted Heath.
Sad about Ukraine but if it were to join the EU, if the EU wasn't doomed already, financing Ukraine would probably be the end of the EU.
Secondly UK is a member of the CPTPP trade bloc which legally is incompatible with EU membership.
The CPTPP doesn't require UK to give up it's fishing waters and is the future, especially for services.
â@@English_Dawn ONS data suggests that the CPTPP has done basically nothing in terms of economic growth, why do you consider it being the future then?
Basil Brush for P M
I am not sure the comparisons that are being made to the canadian election of '93 are really apt. It is true that in that election the conservatives had a catastrophic result, and ended up with 2 seats, while Reform got 52. That is not going to occur in the upcoming election. The conservatives are still going to have atleast 50-150 seats more than Reform UK.
Beggars are not choosers
Vote me to be Tory leader! I would do a job!
I have no idea who you are or what you stand for, but already trust you more on anything than Kemi.
Whilst the result is obvious from the polls, Iâm still not sure itâs right for a neutral news org to speculate on who will replace a party leader in an election week.
Mordaunt obviously.... let's see if she holds her seat though đŹ
2:19 Who the hell named himself "Lord True" lmao.
It's ironic that Kemi played the "I'm a minority" while pushing an amendment which negatively affects trans individuals.
Even though it's clear which party is going to win, the stakes are high in this election: we're choosing which party is going to be in opposition.
To be fair to Sunak, he was not the worst leader the Tories had. He inherited a very problematic party with a chequered history. HOWEVER... being comparatively better than your predecessors in the Tory party is a low bar to hit.
They've been doomed at least since Liz Truss and her six weeks of glory.
Tories are out - Sunak or later!
Kemi drew attention to Tennant's ethnicity, but he didn't mention hers. Tory donors however, ...
It don't matter! They're finished a week today! đđđđđđđđ Independence from the Cons! Vote them out!!
It will be Lord Cameron, that's why he was brought back!
They will all take them to the right and the dustbin of history
Imagine if Penny Mordaunt hangs on and someone like Badenoch loses her seat đ
Why are all of these tory contenders so utterly reprehensible? Is it just a race to the bottom for who can be meanest to minorities?
This is an interesting question. I'd put my money on Badenoch, but maybe the question should be "Will the next Tory leader be really relevant?"
Problem: we moved to the right and got wiped out | Solution: move further to the right
Well, if we got luck, they'll spend the next decade fighting with Reform UK over the far-right nutcases
Moving further to the right would have made sense before Reform established, now they might as well move left. Reasoning: Reform % similar to conservative and conservatives were shown to not to pursue right wing agenda so unappealing to the right.
Imagine thinking the party that increased government spending, increased taxes, legalised gay marriage and increased immigration by an order of magnitude have moved to the right. đ
@@jamiemobilerepairnow5968 but they spent that money on their donors and themselves, not the country or services. half the tory mps are gay anyway, they increased immigration so they could moan about it and blame labour. div
@@kanedNunable Unfortunately its worse than that. The covid lockdown cost over ÂŁ700 billion for a benefit of just over ÂŁ200 billion per million deaths. The highest projected deaths without lockdown was 500,000. All UK figures. (Using NHS NICE methodology). The only policy more stupid than covid lockdown is carbon net zero.
I would love to have Kemi in charge of the Tory Party. Last time out the Tory MP's gave us (the members) the choice between 'incompetent' (Truss) and 'insufferable' (Sunak). Which is why many grassroots Tories and younger Tory members didn't vote or put in a blank vote in the last leadership election. Another reason for that was that the two frontrunners among the Tory members at the time were Badenoch and Mordaunt (who both lost out in the semi finals). As Mordaunt is likely to lose her seat and Badenoch is a bit younger (so she can have time to reshape the party) I would opt for Badenoch. Patel is not on my list. She is a competent person to have in cabinet, but she hugely lacks the charisma to appeal to a wider audience.