Survivor 46 Jury Scenarios
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- čas přidán 17. 05. 2024
- In this video, I run through each possible final 3 scenario for Survivor 45 and predict who would win in a jury vote.
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when you said "unless she just falls victim IN fire" I was like ohhh the fire in Liz's glasses isn't foreshadowing to her going into firemaking, it's foreshadowing to her falling into the fire.
Anyone would be stupid to put Liz in the fire making challenge bc she is such an easy beat at f3
@@stevenwayne21 maybe if she is really good at firemaking and immunity winner wants to use her to take out a bigger threat.
I'm mostly convinced it's a Kenzie vs Charlie vs Ben Final 3 with it being a 4-4 tie and Ben casting the tiebreaker vote for Kenzie to win.
It feels like all the pieces are falling into place for this to happen: Maria is being set up as the clear Final 5 boot, there's been foreshadowing to Liz going into and losing fire, we've gotten all these character scenes showing Ben and Kenzie's relationship and Charlie is getting such a great edit for a decoy winner.
I get your rational for Ben being set up as a vocal proponent for Kenzie's win but that really doesn't fit with Ben's character as he's been so soft-spoken and chill throughout.
☝️
100% agree.
And to add to it, I think I can predict how the jury will vote on this one:
Soda - Charlie
Tevin - Charlie
Hunter - Kenzie
Tiff - Kenzie
Venus - Kenzie
Q - Charlie
Maria - Charlie
Liz - Kenzie
Ben (tiebreaker) - Kenzie
4+1-4-0, Kenzie Wins
whats interesting to consider is in the most unlikely scenario where Charlie, Kenzie, and Maria make the final 3. looks like the exact same scenario could happen where Charlie would be a tie breaking vote for Maria. could be really interesting, it would mean that most likely maria needs to win immunity final 5 or find an idol
I'm puzzled that everyone is just assuming that Ben would vote Kenzie over Charlie in this scenario. Sure, I consider it is very possible, but Ben's closest ally is Charlie and they've shown to be very close.
@@nikolasmoore2252 it's due to the fact that we've had a lot of scenes between Kenzie and Ben, which will have to mean something, or they wouldn't have been shown.
I think you failed to realize that a potential ending is it ends in a tie vote between Charlie and Kenzie(they’re both playing good games and they’re the front runners in the edit) and BEN in the final 3 could make the final vote crowning between the 2 the sole survivor, I think this could happen because Ben is a supporting character and in the pre merge they emphasized Charlie’s relationship with him and in the post merge they emphasized Kenzies and Ben’s relationship, and he could be casting the deciding vote
This is more a theory of the edit than it is of a on paper theoretical
@@papiayuso I think this is more or less what everyone is speculating now, a Tie between Kenzie and Charlie with Ben being the deciding vote. I think it's because of how equally solid both of their edits have been so far and having their emotional packages featured not only in the same episode but at the same time shows how close they are.
This could be another Dom v Wendell situation: the Strategic swiftie vs the Social mermaid.
Of course, there is a possibility that if it is this combination that Charlie just wins by playing the better game, or Kenzie wins because they just like her more.
@@jiro110 I genuinely hope the ending I theorize happens just because it would be the cherry on top to a unpredictable wild season although a Q win would’ve been the best ending, I will still take the second tie ever in a final tribal council setting.
@@jiro110 there’s also a shot/clip in the latest promo and in NTOS you see the shot of Ben playing the air drums with the camera zooming out on him, looks extremely cinematic, that shot just reminds me of what they do for people in the final 3 that’s why I think it might be likely of Ben in the final 3 and along with that I think Kenzie and Charlie both make final tribal so I think it could happen
I honestly don't see how both Kenzie and Charlie make it to the end.
Your intonation is so similar to themeranianreview that it's actually scary
If Maria loses the F5 immunity challenge, I don't see her making it out of that tribal
Yes, and now that she knows no one is interested in voting out Charlie - I think she will campaign for a Kenzie vote out this time around. Which, would be an easy sell seeing that Kenzie has so many pals on the jury - Hunter, Venus, & Tiffany. Liz might think Kenzie would vote for her from the jury bench. Charlie might be thinking at this point that Maria has rubbed so many people the wrong way that she’s not *really* a threat at the end compared to Kenzie (similar to a Russell vs Natalie game or Russell vs Sandra game). Ben is the only one that I couldn’t see going for a Kenzie vote…and so perhaps it’s HIS influence that convinces them not to target Kenzie…or maybe he wins the next immunity and gives his necklace to her to keep her safe?
@@amberjulia123She needs to desperately search for the idol.
The previews for next week have a shot of Ben that’s the type of shot you only see when you are a F3 member. That’s why I think Ben will be at the end, along with Kenzie.
The reason they are playing up Ben and Kenzie’s relationship in the edit…I believe is for 1 of 3 reasons (or perhaps a combo of 2):
1) Ben wins the next immunity challenge (not the last one but the next to last one) and he hears that Kenzie is possibly the next vote out (perhaps it’s split between Kenzie and Maria) and so he gives his immunity necklace to Kenzie at Tribal…risking his life to ensure she stays. Maria goes home. Ben enters the F3 because he is kept safe by the next immunity challenge winner, or bc he wins it himself.
2) Ben actually wins the final immunity challenge and has to decide who is automatically safe and who goes to fire. Because he is an emotional player, and not a strategic one - he chooses Kenzie bc of her support of him throughout the game. It’s likely then that Charlie and Liz have to go to fire, as I assume Maria is gone at this point.
3) The F3 is Ben, Kenzie, and Charlie…The vote ties between Kenzie and Charlie, and therefore Ben has to decide the winner - and he chooses Kenzie bc of her kindness to him throughout the game. [Charlie would get votes from Maria, Soda, Tevin, and Tiff….Kenzie would get votes from Q, Hunter, Liz, and Venus]
Actually for the Ben Liz Maria me and my friend did this ftc scenario as the “worst outcome” and this is what we have came up with.
Soda-Liz or Maria
Tevin- Liz or Maria (depending on Liz’s ftc)
Hunter- Liz(if Kenzie isn’t their)
Venus-Liz
Tiffany-Maria
Q-Maria
Charlie-Maria
Kenzie-Maria
It’s alot closer than it might seem for Liz.
With how close Kenzie and Charlie's edits have been in terms of content I thought they would have a showdown in FTC so I had them there with Liz being the 0 vote Finalist.
However, seeing as she got a shot with fire being reflected in her glasses and the latest promo showing Ben air drumming very cinematic like, I actually think it's more possible that it's Kenzie/Charlie/Ben.
Right on the money I was thinking the exact same thing
Im just wondering why Jeff didnt hype this season up that much, its the best season of the new era by far and yet he chose to hype up 44 and 45 way more
Interesting that the show has two segments of Ben being comforted by Kenzie now wonder where Ben would be if Kenzie was not on this season
I think it’s:
Charlie, Kenzie, Ben
And it’s a 5-5 vote for Kenzie and Charlie. And Ben is the tie vote for Kenzie.
This cast seems extremely salty with each other not only after the season but during it as well so I fully expect the jury vote to come down to who likes whom more.
I think Tiff will vote for Kenzie because the justification for that was actually shown in the edit. She could think Kenzie made a bad move at final 9 but still respect her at the final 3. I think Kenzie's social positioning is impressive because she's had a fairly easy ride to the end despite being a bigger threat than some other people. Maybe the jurors will respect that even though she doesn't have many strategic moves. Charlie will definitely get votes though, possibly even leading to a tie where Ben breaks it for Kenzie
I think Ben has a better relationship with Charlie than with Kenzie because they were on the same page from the beginning of the game and almost always voting together so I think Ben respected Charlie’s game more because of that
My prediction is:
F3: Charlie, Kenzei and Ben
Results: second tie in Survivor history
Ben cast the sole vote for: Kenzei
agree!!
Do you all remember when they player Taylor Swift musik in the trailers for season 45, maybe that was a foreshadowing for a upcoming Charlie win in 46
My guess is a Kenzie vs Charlie vs Ben FTC.
Soda- Charlie
Tevin- Kenzie
Hunter- Kenzie
Tiffany- Kenzie
Venus- Charlie
Q- Charlie
Maria- Charlie
Liz- Kenzie
TIE VOTE
Ben- Kenzie
I think this is what's happening too, although I would swap Tevin and Q's votes
tevin would vote charlie
Personally, I think your 3rd likely sceneario-The Ben vs Charlie vs Kenzie Final 3, is most likely to happen. I think Charlie is the favorite to win the Final 4 immunity, and even if Kenzie wins…Why would she put Ben in fire? If she personally wants him out (which I don’t see why Kenzie would deliberately do that to Ben, who she is very close to) I can’t see her putting him in fire. Same for Charlie, who was shown to be close to Ben in the pre-merge. If Kenzie puts Ben in fire, and he goes, I can see that maybe shaking his faith in her. Not saying he’d be bitter or anything, but he might have respect for the person who takes him out too. Especially since he and Charlie have also had close relations all game.
As for the voting scenarios there. I truly do think it can could go to a tie. Tiffany I think respects Charlie more than Kenzie. Maria would vote for Charlie too. It’s hard to gauge with Soda and Tevin, since they got axed surprisingly early. But with Tevin’s aptitude for the game, I think he can swing Charlie’s way. Charlie could get Q’s vote, as I don’t think Q is very high on his former Yanu tribemates, and might vote Charlie for taking him out. Especially if Maria is fighting and vouching for Charlie.
Soda is the true swing vote in my eyes.
If Charlie puts Kenzie and Liz in fire, then I do think Liz definitely loses, and will probably vote for Kenzie. Maybe a little salty at Charlie. Hunter is highly respectful on Kenzie, so that’s a lock. Venus is a salty mistress who is angry at Charlie, and Kenzie WAS nice to her on her final day, so…Yeah. Another lock. Again, If Soda swings Kenzie’s way, I do think that’s where the tie comes from. But if she can’t, that means Kenzie loses to Charlie in a 5-3-0. But that tie happens, Ben will be forced to break the tie. And if that’s really how either Charlie or Kenzie loses the game, then I think that’s the best outcome anyone could ask for. For it to come down to SUCH a close thing.
I think secenario 5 (Maria, Kenzie, Charlie) is something I could see happening. I could see Ben going a big dramatic speech for Kenzie and Maria getting maybe 1 or 2 votes and the rest Kenzie.
I think you're wrong on Maria's win equity. She literally betrayed most of the jury. I think she loses in any situation
I would Root Kenzie, but still don’t know what she did that’ll give her credit. Like Charlie has the Maria move most likely and has made some strategic please and it’s been chilling in the middle. 1:10
I really think it’ll be Charlie Ben Kenzie and Ben breaks the tie for Kenzie
you are totally underestimating charlie and overestimating kenzie.
Charlie is underestimating himself. How exactly is he racking up votes
i can't imagine charlie losing to anyone besides maria. kenzie is tough competition, but overall charlie has played a more dominate game than kenzie. especially considering how many people have wanted to keep him in the game and work with him. it's those connections that will most likely give charlie the votes he needs
Thanks for this!
Why would Tevin be a locked Kenzie vote? I remember seeing him connect with Charlie but not Kenzie
Tevin is a locked Liz votes imo and Hunter too unless she’s at the end with Kenzie, they had no relationship with Charlie or Ben and their entire game was based on making relationships
Who’s gonna vote for who:
Kenzie: Q, Tiff, Soda, Hunter, Ben, Tevin, Venus
Charlie: Maria,
i think final three will be kenzie ben and charlie with liz going out at fire. i could see a tie between kenzie and charlie with ben breaking the tie and picking kenzie (bc of the panic attack stuff)
15:45 why do you think Tiff votes for Liz? She isn’t salty with Kenzie because Kenzie was also blindsided with her vote out
I think in scenario 3 Tevin and Tiff would both be swing votes too, could definitely see either voting Charlie instead of Kenzie
this is all highly taken with a grain of salt if u consider ben a winner contender based on edit😭
3 seasons later and people dont seem to understand what made the gabler edit what it is, bc he was given solid screentime and consistent strategic content just without toning down his quirks which made it seem like it wasn’t serious when it was
Scenario 2 is most likely to me.
Ben has less confessional than Banu. Safe to say he doesn't win
Putting aside the edit, how does Kenzie beat Maria? If Maria get to final 3, she should beat all. Problem is she is not getting there.
your #2 seems wildly unlikely. you mention that Maria and Charlie could be on a crash course and go out 5th and 4th. but that doesnt make much sense. yes, Kenzie making it and carrying Liz to F3 makes sense. Maria getting voted out 5th makes sense. but can you really picture Ben, who has done nothing, beating Charlie at fire?
I def think Maria having the best chance to get the most votes but don't think she'll make it..Charle and Makenzie have a very good chance and could go either way with these 2. I just don't see Ben or Liz getting any votes. Maybe Ben can get one or two
you really are undermining Charlie game. Yes I do think Kenzie win(even tho Charlie played a better game) but the fact that he's been dictating the votes for majority of the game I can see it being very close. Probably a 5-3 Kenzie win or 4-4 draw with Kenzie receiving the last vote.
Liz will prolly be the first contestant to get zero votes during the game and at the end 😂
Not exactly. Sugar from Gabon did so
I love your content but what is with the Ben hype😭😭, there is literally no world where he gets any respect from the jury, let alone has any chance to win.