Class 6: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Probability's Entrance!

Lesson 6: Probability's Entrance! We PROVE, and do not assume, probability can be a number. We PROVE probability is an objective matter of logic. We PROVE all probability is conditional. We PROVE the interpretation of probability is the certainty in a proposition given assumed evidence.
All questions will be answered in the following Monday's lecture.
Written lecture: www.wmbriggs.com/post/51635/
wmbriggs.substack.com/
Permanent class page: www.wmbriggs.com/class/

[@BCarli1395]

Thank you. All clear.

[@TheKqkk]

is this the basis of transibility?

[@peter-lk9lc]

Briggs, if you decided to rerecord this, it would be beneficial for the low-mathematics people if you read out the equations once you write them. The derivation of one phrase from the other is not always easy to see. Sometimes, I wonder if a newly derived line is just a reformulation of a previously written line.

[@WMB]

Good idea. Thanks for the tip. I was thinking I was taking too much time, and rushed through.

[@mosinnagant412]

Isn't "more plausible" a begging the question tautology? Aren't numbers entailed in the phrase?