The Future of Trucking
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- čas přidán 24. 04. 2017
- A look at the future of the vast trucking industry that's poised for significant automation in the coming years.
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Video by Bryce Plank and Robin West.
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The future of trucking: tcrn.ch/2f1cx2Z bit.ly/2pyRU2K
Script:
The semi-truck. Our modern lives are completely dependent on them. Look around you. Every object you see probably traveled on at least one big rig. Here in America, truckers make up 2% of the workforce. But with multiple game-changing technologies converging simultaneously - and the relentlessness of the hyper-competitive global marketplace - the industry will be revolutionized within the next two decades.
This is an examination of the future of trucking.
Before we get into the technology that will turn it all upside-down, we must first understand the way this extremely fragmented industry works now. To the numbers! There are about 3 million drivers for 2.5 million trucks in the US. Those trucks are owned by 532,000 carrier companies, but 90% of these fleets have fewer than six trucks-and half of all carriers are single individuals who own and operate their own rig. Then you have the middlemen, the freight brokers. These 13,000 companies play matchmaker between the manufacturers and wholesalers (who are trying to get their goods to market) and the retailers (who make the final sale to the consumer).
Because this industry is so splintered, there aren’t universal software systems tying it all together. In fact, 67% of shippers don’t use software at all and rely solely on paper records-in 2017!
This creates tremendous inefficiency. When every piece of information has to be communicated through human interactions, drivers are frequently forced to wait hours to book or pick-up a load. And sometimes they just don’t, an estimated 20% of trucks on the road are empty.
To solve these problems, investors are spending hundreds of millions of dollars on startups competing to develop the silver bullet, a software layer that can be used by every segment of the industry.
Another area ripe for modernization is how trucks are powered. Today, medium and heavy duty trucks account for 6% of the greenhouse gas emissions produced in America.
To their credit, companies like Walmart are looking to transition to fleets powered by cleaner natural gas, the bridge fuel America has embraced to transition to renewables.
That’s where Tesla comes in. Elon Musk, CEO of the electric car manufacturer, plans to unveil an electric-powered semi-truck in the next six months.
Battery range will be the biggest obstacle to the widespread adoption of electric trucks as Tesla’s pack will probably only have a 200-300 mile range. The other challenge will be having enough charging stations - and enough power available at each station - to support fleets of Tesla trucks.
The Nikola One attempts to overcome these limitations. This gorgeous, hydrogen fuel cell truck will have a range up to 1,200 miles. The young company plans to begin leasing their trucks by 2020 for about $6,000 a month - including the cost of fuel - but it will first need to build a network of about 400 charging stations throughout the country.
Cutting the emissions of semi-trucks is great for the environment, but the real cost-saving opportunity lies in cutting out the drivers.
It’s been more than a year now since six convoys of semi-autonomous “smart” trucks arrived at the Netherlands port city of Rotterdam after leaving factories from as far away as Sweden and Southern Germany.
That experiment relied on a system called platooning, a semi-autonomous feature allowing trucks to find each other, link up, and draft to cut down on wind drag, saving energy-just like in NASCAR or the Tour de France.
And in October, a self-driving truck completed the first commercial shipment by an autonomous vehicle, delivering a load of Budweiser more than 120 miles across Colorado. A human got the truck on the highway and engaged the autonomous system, then climbed out of the driver’s seat. That truck was made by Otto motors, which was recently acquired by Uber.
And dozens of massive, 240-ton trucks are already being used in Australian mines.
So that’s the near-future we’ll see in the next 10 years: fleets of driverless trucks. Some will be designed to be autonomous, while others will have the system installed later. Many will be electric, and nearly all will be connected to efficient networks that are not slowed down by frequent human input. - Auta a dopravní prostředky
I love truck driving. There's something that I love about waking up in my truck at 6 PM and driving 500-600 miles nightly. It's been a very enjoyable career. Seeing this job go away will crush me.
People who promotes this idea of driverless trucks don't work in the industry and clearly have no idea that it's more than just getting goods from point A to B.
that is all its about, its just all the useless nonsense in between that makes getting that product out a major pain. The 2 "P"'s need to be eliminated from the A to A and A to B delivery industry and those are paper and people.
The people behind it know what is needed to effect a paradigm shift. But just like any new technology it would go through baby steps before it accelerates. Eventually, new companies would come forth to address technological gaps that hinder full-blown adoption but like what the video mentions it would take a good 10-15 years before it reaches maturity. There are research labs worldwide that are developing solutions for the logistics industry and for as long as there's money coming in there's someone somewhere who will come up with something to make things more efficient and hopefully more profitable for stakeholders.
Landing a rover on Mars is a much more Herculean task. If there's will & money they will find a way but hey we're merely speculating so only the future can tell.
@Aaron Huyn That is the plan.
Agreed my man
There is no other career for us Truckers....it's a lifestyle not a job....a dream...not a paycheck....
+Matthew Clark
You are so right, but you as a Trucker can't live the "dream / lifestyle" without the paycheck... ;-)
10.4 come on!!!! Comment of the year
Over the years the dream has become a nightmare thanks to deregulation & greedy corp. owners. Let them hire the illegals & middle easterns. that;s all they're getting as applicants anyways.
It's a nightmare now,, at least when I came up we a Union,, The TEAMSTERS that stood with us & got good wages for us.. but that wasn't good for the gov. & companies so now truckers are underpaid 7 overworked.
Neither can the companies that make money off our paychecks ;)
Think before speaking , truckers are smarter then you think .
i 'was a truck mechanic for 40 yrs, good job, paid the bills... i know change is inevitable, can't stop it, the new generation of mechanics will be learning a whole new set of skills to keep these rigs moving..
Remove Farmers by mordern machines, remove drivers by driverless truck, remove workers by robotics. Who will buy your product? because people will have no jobs, so no money and no purchasing power.
Ashish Tiwari
It will be awhile before we can build enough of these machines to take over the market. We will have to plan for an age without these larbour jobs.
Ashish Tiwari what a always thought was stupid was the idea of only two extremes, either a driver, or a robot. why not add the technology to certain areas and keep some of the drivers, or what they may become, overwatchers. they will still have manual control if need be, and the truck can drive long stretches of boring road. Also with them not always manually driving, we could cut their wages a little bit to save on the cost
Ashish Tiwari why make robots that kill jobs, instead of robots that make thoes jobs better. like exo skeletons with construction workers. efficiency is brought up without cutting any workers. maybe put laws in place for completely cutting workers, it's not punishing progress if they can achieve the same goal with a certain mix of technology AND workers
Someone builds the machines, someone repairs the machines, someone programs the machines. A driverless vehicle would require someone there to take over in an emergency or system failure.
The biggest question is will they be able to produce enough of these vehicles fast enough to keep up with the supply and demand of the customers? Every year there are more and more big rigs added to the road to keep up. With that being said, where will you stage all of these vehicles when not on the road? There will be no use for the large truck stops and rest areas unless they beef up security tremendously. When truck stops and rest areas are full you often see trucks parked on the on and off ramps, side streets or any where they can. All those trucks will need to be replaced with robotics and placed in a safe secure location. Truckers have no where to park now. Where would you store these robots.
Make a truck that will:
-hook and unhook from trailers on its own
-lower landing legs on trailers
-fuel/recharge itself
-park itself
-adjust the tandems on its trailer so it won't be overweight on any axle
Then I'll be impressed.
Reese Hummel nice
Reese Hummel they will need to have an occupant in the vehicle at all times to make corrections who will still need to be paid so you might as well keep the driver
Crazyjj
Crazyjj lmao
Crazyjj. stupid
Electrician seems like the last job to be replaced by robots
That would be nurses.
if it was a movie then they would be the last humans to be replaced ...
robot electricians
Teachers
Some service, but never production, at least by modern standards.
As a Diesel Technician in Canada, what that trucking panel are explaining is completely true. Road conditions are harsh and with road salt being used so much wiring harnesses and other electricals typically dont last as long as they do down south in the US. Also it seems for now as well that automation in these harsh conditions could prove difficult to compute as the weather conditions change daily.
Not for nothing but this really scares me. We all have computers, mobile phones, tables, etc. And at some point & as it gets older... It crashes, freezes up & malfunctions. Also, I remember growing up & my younger adult years - refrigerators, stoves, ovens, washers and dryers, etc. would last forever. 10, 15, 20 years plus. Now you buy these equipments & they have electronics on them & they fail & need to be repaired within the 1st or 2nd year. And after 5 to 7 years (10 at most) you're replacing them. So with that said, I can see the crazy accidents happening already.
Whenever people talk about transition to new jobs they're talking about somebody that's 50 years old and younger
I lost my job at 57 years old making 130,000 a year no one wanted to invest in retraining me the best job I could get was Home Depot I thought it was on the tire when I was 62
randy zakem Yo brother and likewise. I lost mine at 56 after 22 years of commercial driving 18 years with one company. Not quite at the pay level as you but me and my family lived real comfortable. It's a shame where all of this is going, but at the end of the day remember what goes around comes around and I firmly believe that. I'm retired and now and loving it because of my investments I've been able to do that. Best wishes and God bless!
Trucking isn't just a temporary job, it's a career and a lifestyle
As a retired truck driver I can tell you there are definitely unforeseen challenges ahead for autonomous trucks, when things go wrong in big trucks they go wrong big.
Wanna know why big rigs crash it's either the tired drivers , your usual car , or small trucks
Future of Agriculture next? Vertical farms?
Haha, I hear you! Someone (maybe you, Horatio) asks for that video every time. I got you though, gimme a couple weeks to whip it up ;) I can feel that it's going to be a heavy lift...lots of info to digest!
The future of farms already exists in South Australia. It's an entirely indoor farm, no soil. The plants are grown with their roots inside tube of water that feed them the nutrients they need. The whole farm is self sustaining. :) Everything is recycled and the lighting is powered mostly by solar.
Whatever the future of agriculture it will have to be environmentally beneficial. Just 'less environmentally damaging' will not take us to a sustainable future. Systems like permaculture can do that and are economically much smarter, but don't lend themselves to industrial farming. That will be an interesting journey.
The ultimate factor is cost. How much does the end product cost to produce per ton with a hydroponic greenhouse or permaculture? That's what most customers really base their decisions on when at the grocery store.
I agree. However, if we are to have a sustainable future we certainly won't be doing things the way we do currently.
What happens to the economy when 3.5 million drivers are out of work. That's 3.5 million people not buying products. It's going to be messy
Well if people can agree on a guaranteed basic income, then those 3.5 million people will still be able to buy products and keep the economy from crashing hard.
yeah that's my point too. Nice cool technology and people think only about pros but the main winner will be huge deliver companies owning 100s of trucks. And the small companies under 10 trucks won't be even able to buy that technology which will be ofc expensive. So the winners will be large and rich companies, loser truckers and small companies.
Its called uh uh uh socialism! not a new idea man. Its inevitable. Jobs get taken, people have less money to spend on goods. Companies cant sell products because nobody has money since everything is automated. What other economic form is going to help fix that? not capitalism that's for sure.
save money now, will help when we are on welfare
Maybe not a bad idea. But savings run out quite quick when jobless.
Excellent article on the future or trucking
Great vid dude 👍🏻
And the robot trucks will do what when they breakdown or blow a tire? What will they do when chains are required or the road is closed? Will they know what to do when there's a detour? Do they sign for the load? pay the lumpers? Get the trailer washed out? Do they know where to park while waiting for the load to be ready? Do they know which door to back into to? Can they dolly down , disconnect and chock the wheels? If involved in a accident does it give insurance info? Do the robot trucks load and unload the car haulers, the tankers,the flatbed and the livestock? Will the robot trucks scale their own load? Will they go into weight stations and get a Dot inspection? Will the robot trucks swerve to miss hitting a dear? Will it read speed limit signs and pay tolls? Will it pull over for emergency vehicles. ect,ect
MR. B what will they do when someone pulls their 5th wheel handle and they drive off without their load attached. lol. i can see that happenening 100s of time a day.
Also; will the truck know when it's sensor are too dirty to function, and not take out a family car at 60-75 miles per hour, because it's sensors couldn't detect the small car(it just wasn't there according to the computer). What will the truck do when there is no road at all? A truck that is needed for a road construction, or are to travle down a small gravle road that does not exist on our GPS;s?
What about going into a skid or having a 4 wheeler cut you off and lock the brakes up would the auto system be able to recover and avoid the accident or just lock up the brakes? Causing a bigger accident
This is why it'll be a long time before there is no one in the truck. It will be required that there's someone there to monitor and do all of these things for at least the next 50-75 years. Until the technology is perfected and people with old ideas die off. Driving jobs will be replaced by something else. These trucks will need a lot of service and help for a long time, even without a driver.
Let's see if they can even make driverless trains first.
It will save 170 billion for the rich executives but cost the American economy billions more
Also you state that's plenty of time to retrain for new careers but I pose to you what exactly are those careers? They aren't out there for the majority and at some point we have to accept that not everyone is cut out to be an engineer, electrician, plumber etc etc and those people will still need jobs. At some point or another we are going to have to radically change the whole concept of our economy as technology is increasingly making human work forces obsolete. Truckers, office workers even traders on Wall Street will not be required and what do we do as a society then?
I laughed at the "new careers" part. As if the USA has ever pumped money into or even updated our education system to match that of a changing global market. I shouldve been learning coding in elementary not Christopher Columbus.
Not if you tax it and give for the ex-truckdrivers and invest on them to learn something else, investing in education brings more economical growth too...
of course Andreas, in an ideal world, however our education system is stuck in the wrong decade and with more cuts coming it's nonsensical to think theyd reinvest a dime into educating anyone.
@@renlysotherlover294 Yelp driver half of these guys out here are in their mid 40s to late 50s this system Won't be available for another 25-30 years . If you look at most of these drivers mental and physical health most will be dead within the next 25-30 years.
Thats so cool: stop at 1:21 and that is me dispatching my trucks!!!
I'm a driver and there are many other industries where that driver can work at the same or better wage. Most of us will probably move into shipping and receiving positions, basically setting up orders and receiving deliveries from those automated networks. The sheer volume increase because of the now extremely efficient delivery systems will create more jobs than it will eliminate.
What you say is very sensible (as opposed to many comments here). There will still be a need for people who understand trucking, they will just not be physically driving the trucks.
As an driver I would like to know about jobs. They have self driving carbin, forklift loaders, and semis. How are we supposed to work in future where most of good paying jobs are either over seas or performed by robotics?
Aaron Hartmann
Go to a library or use a phone and go on Khan Acedamey. Learn something new.
learning something new does not solve the issue. If they automate everything from cabs to semi trucks, that's 4 million jobs lost. How many office jobs will there be to cover everyone? That's the only thing not being replaced by machines.
Aaron Hartmann workers can also use robotics to their advantage. We could make manual labor a lot easier with exotic suits and at the same time cut the cost of labor with it. add some workers with 10 times the strength and some other robotics, humans could be better at being robots than robots lol. us humans are super adaptive so I don't see human labor going anywhere any time soon
There will be jobs. But if you're doing a job that can be easily automated in the future, look out for a new one. That's the best you can do. There will be a time when many people don't have a job until the market is being restructured.
why in the he'll do you think zuckerpain and billy bob gates want guarantee income for all. keep the masses quiet with more gimmees till they no longer need humans serving the mega wealthy. look past the end of your nose!
I don't care what anyone says, these auto trucks will not have instinct. I'm a truck driver and I know by experience that things are never the same. Imagine if you will, a loaded truck goes down a road with a certain load weighing a specific weight, with no wind no ice. Sure it's easy, but imagine that same road in the worst conditions with a different weight. The fact is computers can't feel and use instinct or judgement to plan their next move. If that was possible then they would have to be self learning, and if they are self learning then what do they need us for? The terminator....watch it...
When a tire blows out in a curve people will be killed..
Johnny Peeks when there is no driver people will also be killed cuz of the cars with the passengers in them
You have a great point but companies like swift will jump at the chance to buy autonomous trucks. Even if they're half as good as a human driver they still will be twice a good as a swift driver. (Thats a trucking inside joke)
Because thermostats and windsocks dont exist, and computers are things that cant be programmed outside of forward left and right?
Neural networks could easily take care of that problem. Computers are already able to "feel" by using sensors. While the first 5-10 years the AI won't be good enough to take over completely, afterwards it will be a much better driver than any person on earth. If you have data there is no instinct needed, predictions are enough and at those kinds of tasks, computers excel.
Neural network uses multiple instances to learn every time it fails so it is basically like how people learn something. The difference is that it can run at the same time on multiple instances so it can learn tens of thousand times faster. Basically, if you could learn what other people were learning at the same time you would cut the time exponentially.
The best part is that neural networks are only one of the solutions that are already developed and can be used right away. So I don't exactly understand what your point is.
Looks like real-life maximum overdrive is gonna happen
That was the craziest movie! Haha!!!
Best movie
I have always said the same thing
Cutting emissions is good for all of us, cutting drivers is irrational and greedy. Problem with "replacing drivers is", those trucks have cargo, and alot of stops to make. Youll still need a driver or someone to unload the cargo. It's not as simple as walking in a truck and picking what you want if you have a $10000 food delivery or medical equipment. It's packed on pallets and they need to be broken down. This idea that "technology will move forward and we'll just have to adapt", is folly for the nation at large and even the world.
Have you ever heard of lumpers and vendor direct billing
Its unavoidable get a new job or vote for andrew yang
" cutting drivers is irrational and greedy"
Why? If a machine can do the job better, why not?
Are you saying we should still use switchboards instead of iPhones?
Anyone in the industry that operates a commercial vehicle that provides an income for their family will oppose this movement. The industry's infrastructure alone will not embrace this innovation solely based on the logistics required to support the end-to-end maintenance footprint, which would entail a complete renovation of not just a carrier, but the entire transportation network of suppliers, distributors, receivers, and let's not forget the vast support chain of shops, truck stops, repair shops, maintenance activities...
I don't see this technology being feasible unless all parties have the funds to fire truckers and put all their eggs in A.I. vehicles.
Two decades? You're dreaming.
Richard Beers totally agreed!!!!!!!
It will take two decades for just one carrier to start making money of having one of their trucks fitted with that system. A truck driver starts to make money(if all goes perfectly well) as soon as the transport is completed. Salary is already factored in the price of the shipping and thus the investment isn't even the same.
Richard Beers LTL DELIVERIES,FROM WHSE' TO RESTAURANTS, OFFICE BLDG, STARBUCKS IN A BUSY SHOPPING CENTER, WHO WILL UNLOAD, CONSTRUCTION ON ROADS AND PARKING LOTS, ECT-WILL THEY HAVE ALL THE INFO WHEN THEY LEAVE THE TERMINAL? NOT TO MENTION DISASTERS, FWY SHUTDOWNS, POSTED ROADS.
Wrong. Anyone in the industry who doesn't want to put their lives on the line to haul people's junk will embrace this technology. I'd rather drive my truck from my house if I can. I'm home, safe warm and dry.
@@mojavedesert2610 Robots.
Optimus Prime wanna be Truck, this is Decepticon Propaganda.
Automic Electric trucking will put alot of people out of jobs, and only make the makers of these trucks rich and the owners of the company of Automic Trucks.
1. Truckers
2. Truck Stop Owners
3. Truck Stop Employees
4. Companies that make products for truck stops.
5. Food Carts, That truckers stop at.
5. Hotels, That truckers stay at.
6. Doctors that do Physicals for truck drivers.
7. Employees at Motor Vehicles that give out Commercial Licenses and Tests.
8. Trucking, Commercial Schools.
9. Prostitutes at truck stops "Funny But True" 😂
10. The list is Astronomical, It will have a lasting trickel effect on all Americans.
The Future is looking like Terminator, Rise Of The Machines 😞.
This is some serious thoughts guys.
Sure they may creat a few thousand jobs to make batteries and truck parts, bit eventually, They will replacs those jobs with Machines as well.
Dark world we live in..
EL EVO that cracked me the hell up😂 lot lizards losing their income😂 i dig that statement😉
@@bodee1945 coming soon adopt a lot lizard, for only 18 cents a day you can give these unemployed victims of technology a better life
Yes, when the world changes, people have to change with it.
Just like switch board operators and milkmen in the past, some jobs are going obsolete.
That's life, deal with it.
im telling you the day they replace drivers with tech will be the the day i become a land Pirate robbing trailers 🤷♂️
Pirates of the high mile
That would be before 2030. So get your cutlass and eye-patch in order.
What happens when someone hacks the system and unleash unmanned trucks?
So far, this is the only complaint I have seen in the comments that I found reasonable.
porterhouse74245 so so true because they hack everything else, nothing hack proof.
That would be fun to watch lol
Skynet!
It's is moved by bitcoin codding technique, it can't be hacked so soon...lol JK
3 x 3 automated cargo shipments? Watch as they all disappear. lol
I agree. Hackers will hack the "trucks" and drive them to a secluded area so they can steal their cargo. Why steal identities for $10 each on the dark web when you can steal a million dollars worth of unattended electronics (or anything else that's shipped) from a bunch of automated containers? As a bonus, they could have the Cartels load them with drugs and send them to the local crack house afterwards. I wonder who will be at fault? Right now, the DRIVER is responsible for his load....
I'll like to see a unmanned truck trying to fuel up or checking in at a shipper/reciever.
You know what I see. A whole lot of high jacking loads. By the time someone shows up to see what’s wrong the load will be gone.
Check in will probably be done via gps and transponder similar to EZ Pass. But Swift still wont be able to back it in the door!
@@stillwatching3255 You think these multi-billion dollar companies havent figured that one out yet? These things will be rolling safes.
there's a school in Arizona teaching people to operate trucks by remote control
It's gonna happen. They aren't going to stop because there is road blocks.
'A strong sense of denial!?'
No mate! A strong sense of reality!! The man spoke with territorial knowledge of conditions and experience.
The new designs will be a huge advantage as driver aides, against stress and fatigue.
Keep at it tho' cos I'd like to operate one those newly designed units.
I'd like to see the autonomous drive unit on the highways of Aotearoa(New Zealand)
especially the Napier - Toupo highway, we got some crazy wicked main roads and highways to test those truck and trailer units.
this is gonna knock so many people out of work i m not for this they should pull the plug how will people have money to buy anything lol
heesil77 agreed 👍
They don't care. It's the way the rich trickle down the wealth that split side economics work. OOPS!!! I meant Corporate Greed!
Just imagine if terrorists were able to hack into the autopilot system, it would be catastrofic
Sisu Saivosalmi they are allready driving the trucks nd working in all of u.s. meat plants they (the terrorist) do not need to be that high tec.
@@benroe3071 you want to eat plants, eat plants just don't call meat eaters terrorists
I used to drive and still have fond memories. Trucks are all the same and will be into the future, 10 wheels, a motor, and transmissions.
I have a hard time taking anybody serious that calls it a “Semie Truck”.
there are too many people on earth and they will all be needing job to survive. If things are going to be driverless then tell me, Who is to blame for poverty?
Idk who to blame but for some reson peope always blame me ☹
People who voted for people like trump and not people like Bernie sanders that's who.
SAYWHAT? Wait what is that sarcasm or r u really that dumb cause Bernie Sanders ran to make a universal income and a economy where people don't have to work so if anything Bernie Sanders is probably excited for this I don't have anything against Bernie he makes a point if automation takes over there will need to be a change in are economy and we might need to take aspect of socialism but your comment just was really dumb I hope you were being sarcastic
The Bilderberg Group are the ones who should be blamed. However most people don’t know of them and or what their true agenda is!
Elon musk and friends
Will the lot lizards be robots.
"I love you long time"...
@@dieseldog00 "I love you until my battery runs down...beep."
there will be no need for lot lizards, you fat bastards use Pornhub nowadays anyway.
czcams.com/video/G5i8QCNYk2c/video.html
@@markmayfield2228 czcams.com/video/G5i8QCNYk2c/video.html
Driverless truck. Who ties down the load? Who unloads the truck? Who checks the tie downs during shipping? Who tarps a load? Who gets the load permits for oversize loads? Who arranges for escorts? Who decides when the weather makes it unsafe to drive? Who takes care of breakdowns, flat tires, etc.? Who scales the load? Who deals with DOT inspections? etc. etc.
you will always need drivers, due to things that can go wrong like a load becoming loose, and you need someone at both ends of the load, driving is one part of the job, the other part is managing the load, however a feature that could drive the truck while the human only has to supervise would be so awesome for the driver.
I personally don't like the idea of a fully autonomous truck on the road with me. That is kinda scary.
It won't be. A human off site will be operating it via remote control. It will be far safer than a driver in the cab which has huge blind spots. High def cameras will cover all 360 degrees around the truck
That same human controlling 80,000 pounds from a remote control will become a terrorist and kill people on purpose.
can't wait to see you in Chicago traffic
amen
Can't wait to see someone hacked the system and wreak havoc on the roads
or faced idiots in Houston and Dallas LOL
porterhouse74245
Or the -59°F in the midwest.
or washington dc traffic
I was always told the problem with autonomous vehicles has been insurance companys. Once insurance companies are sold on the idea that these autonomous vehicles are safe you will see them on the road more. Until then what happens when an autonomous vehicle fails and injures or kills some one ?
Does your truck drive it self or do you drive it using GPS. I was was talking about self driving trucks.
These things played a part in Logan :(
We know! I looked for a clip/image but couldn't find one. Either the movie's too new or the Internet got scrubbed for copyright reasons.
And they were terribly played out. In real life, they would have slowed down and stopped when presented with oncoming traffic or different dangerous scenarios.
Logan is too new and too well preserved.
The 'accident' was purposeful and it might have been caused by one of the manned trucks. Autonomous ones were just a background.
Because technology is perfect and nothing ever goes wrong, and mechanical Parts only corrode because people, and weather conditions are always the same no matter what, but let's not forget that the typical small car driver is the most predictable person on the road.
it doesn't need to be perfect , just better than humans
In 2014 32675 people were killed in car crashes. When involved with a big truck crash the car is at fault more than 80% of the time.
How is this cutting down on emissions while it takes a lot more energy into producing Li batteries (mining + manufacturing) than a truck would produce in its lifetime? Soup sandwich it is.
Will the robot truckers be tanned af and shout racist slurs at other drivers tho?
COL (chuckle. out. loud.)
wtf LMAO
Ya and what about all the poor prostitutes at truck stops who will be put out of business?
Oh ya, what about all the kids riding with their parents heading off on vacation who are making the gesture at truckers hoping for them to honk their horns?
Only their left arms are tanned.
So, when the trucking system goes full auto...who gets the ticket if a glitch cause's a moving violation or an accident? How much revenue is lost by states no longer receiving fees from commercial drivers applications and testing. If there are no human commercial drivers, no need for commercial DMV offices, how many jobs lost there?
Seems like a lot of income tax lost. Sure folks might find new jobs, but good paying, decent benefits jobs are drying up faster than a puddle in Death Valley now...I see nothing but more of the same in the future
Again, this seems like ill conceived technology put to use only because it exists, with little or no concern for the negative impact on the majority of society, while benefiting the very few.
For all those robot truck proponents, I ask what's next? Would you allow your children to ride on an robot school bus?. It will come, the goal is to cut out the high cost of human drivers, (workers) everywhere. The rich who own the robot truck and bus companies don't care...their kids don't ride buses.
I embrace new tech that will benefit the common good, this is not one of them in it's current projection.
I'm old, and won't be around when this slow creep to automation of everything takes over, my concern is for future generations, what are we leading them into?
I'm no old but I agree with you 100 percent.
No more CSI or CSA points!!! Lol
I totally agree.. without human element.. what happens when the robo bus or truck goes rogue and cannot be stopped and it kills 1 or 100 people .. who will pay for that..
tesla unviels an electric semi and now we have all these 27 year old college kids making videos about trucking. The whole point of having a tractor/trailer setup is that if the tractor breaks down or if its going to a terminal where it can drop and hook it can move to a different trailer and get back on the road. It increases efficency. You can drop a loaded trailer off, hook up to a a different load and away you go, instead of waiting for the unit to be unloaded.
This is a great concept,new jobs are in the service industry of all the fleets,until that becomes autonomous too,the autonomous automobile needs to come with the truck
Learn new skills and adapt to another job? Yeah... not likely... there will not BE any other jobs to adapt and transition to... Anything a human can possibly dream up to make money a computer will be able to do better. The "learn new skills and find a different job" is a myth that we keep telling ourselves to try to make us feel better :)
If you think I'm wrong then all you have to do is tell me what job it is that you think a human can do that an advanced AI/robotic system will be unable to do.
Ian G
Comedy. Art. Culture. Visionary. Innovators. Entrepreneurs. Sports. Developers. Scientists.
There will be jobs that robots can do better but there are a lot where humans have an advantage.
An artificial intelligence would outclass humans in all the areas you just listed by many orders of magnitude. And even if it didn't you can't run an economy when everyone is trying to make a living on things like sports and arts. Those things are, by definition, areas where the market can support only a tiny fraction of a population.
I have a friend who insists that her job is immune to automation, or at least immune to it for the ten to twenty years she needs to worry about. She's a call girl.
But let's face it: we can't all be call girls.
The only way I can think of humans doing better than robots is by neural enhancements through genetic engineering.
We might cyborg up.
After the drivers,your job will be next on the list.
What have you got?
I hav been designing and installing automation systems for 35 and years made adamn good living and am now retired with plenty of money in the bank. If I want a little diversity I do consulting.
@@flyingdog1498 I realized you come back and forth in this video and do a whole lot of trolling You're Just a Nobody probably homeless or suicidal and depressed that likes to troll people
New technologies don't make jobs disappear, they make jobs change.
Automation sounds great, and it is great no doubt about it. If trucks become autonomous it means more work for the driver to maintain the automation plus the maintenance the trucks will demand. We will see a lot of drivers getting hired by these trucking companies itself to maintain these huge future fleets of trucks in the future.
someone on a forum said it perfectly...... truckers are the last group of people in an industry that have the power and ability to bring this country to its knees. part the trucks and watch big corp america squirm. they want to remove the power from the people. the steel workers had power, the air traffic controlers had power, the truckers are the last industry.
thankfully i work for a good company, a rare breed that almost treats drivers like family. its a rare thing these days.
I want to see more advanced solar, wind, and hydro technology come into play. I would also love to see more of a focus on our railways. We have railways stretching from coast to coast, and it's a shame that we haven't invented a clean, renewable rail system to transport goods. It would be better for the planet, get some of these trucks off our roads (cutting down # of accidents), would be able to transport more at once, and would create new jobs. Times are changing and automation is going to happen whether we like it or not. I also believe that automation will come at an even faster rate with 45 in office. His tax proposals stand to save corporations and the elite massive amounts of money...and we all know many would rather invest in automation than their employees.
Well said, Syla. 45 is a disaster for the worker. Love the idea of clean trains...perhaps an idea for a future vid.
Syla Rich
I would live any advancement in our trains. China is far ahead of US in many ways.
Trucks are used to move the trailers from train yards. Train yards have added capacity since I've been driving a truck. However for faster deliveries trucking is still faster. Our overnight,2 and 3 day services require trucks.
Syla Rich you do know that windmills are killing so many birds that it's unsustainable. Oh yeah and so is solar. So you're killing off the eco system you claim to want to protect. How's that for ironic
a better train system would probably work without gov. intervention
Yeah let's waste a load of money to put millions of people out of work and risk lives of everyday drivers! Even though we could focus on greater things like wind power and solar energy, but no let's focus on pointless self driving trucks.
robbie omeara they should still keep a guy in the autonomous truck for security and repair purposes but why would it risk lives or drivers? The reaction times of a computer are infinitely faster than humans
Horatio Huskisson well let’s see, terrorists with computers seems about like it.
All of sudden everyone is loving their job. Everyone is always complaining. Let's enjoy the job while we still have them :)
I've followed this for a while, and believe that (sadly) no matter what we think or want, the automation of this industry will happen to some degree. I drive a truck in the gas and oilfield industry, and realize that there is probably a time limit to this career. I'm not sure it's about to happen in a decade though, and many of the reasons for that are stated below. Sensors, radar, lidar, infrared and everything else which is used to drive a vehicle autonomously are only good in certain conditions... for the time being. Maybe there will be ways to resolve these issues in the future, but a lot of the truck industry does not operate in nice sunny conditions with blue skies and run on a clean highway. Sure a trailer moving from point A to B will be the first to go, but a lot of people seem to forget what else is done by a truck driver throughout their day.
My training, for example, was done making small deliveries to various stores which never took an entire load of product. You'd leave a skid here, or a few there, fill out paperwork, get back into the vehicle, and move to the next location. This isn't an easy thing to change. There are also a slew of industries which require not only a driver, but an operator. Your mobile crane operators, fuel tank drivers, log drivers, not to mention everything from a cement mixer, to hot oilers, and pressure vac trucks. I have yet to see hint of a vehicle that is about hand bomb anything in and out of itself either, or robots which are going to pack and move furniture.
If I were to give people advice as to where to work in the trucking industry I would say that it would be a good idea to find a section of it which does not just do line-haul or long-haul driving. You want to find a job which involves you doing part of the trucks work, whether it is operating a boom, running hoses and lines, etc.. To think that we're about 10-20 years away from robots taking care of all of that stuff is probably a little far fetched. It's moving, just not that fast.
the problem is what is going to happen to the driver? where will they work?
they will end up with a sub minimum wage job if they even work at all. their families will end up living in homeless shelters. i am a driver myself, i cant think of any other job that pays what i can make....... without taking on additional debt burden i cant afford.
one more thing, i dont have time to go to "college" i need to work RIGHT NOW, and im not talking about working part time and going to school.
i have a class A but drive dump truck. i can gross in excess of $1,200 in a week. where else am i going to find that?
a temporary service LOL. lucky if you gross $450 working for one of those bottom feeder corporate pigs.
I'm a truck driver myself in Australia I been driving for 17 years. I myself was worried what will I do next.
I'm still working full time and in my spare time I work on my plan B in the direct selling industry new technology, essential services and automatic payments.
It's different it has its challenges met a lot of like minded people and it's fun.
I'm doing it so my family still have a roof over our heads put food on our table and our kids have a better secure future.
Be safe on the roads.
Drivers will still be needed. Safety and efficiency. Fantastic.
Most older CURRENT truck drivers working today don't have to worry much about this. But younger drivers who just started or are currently in school that try to enter the work force as a driver 15 or 20 years from now, those will be the ones hit hard by the shift to autonomous.
Fewer workers needed will shift those workers to other already crowded fields. The race to lower wages is in full force.
Ultimately, fewer people will be born as they are not needed. As the population retracts; even fewer workers are needed for the jobs left to them as automation advances.
Viscous cycle.
Remember the movie I, Robot? They had some cool looking automated Truckers delivering the new robots.
What about security in remote areas? If there's a driver on board, it deters most petty criminals since hijacking a truck is a serious crime. But if no one is on board, it's essentially a free load of cargo rolling down the road, petty criminals will be more motivated to steal the goods since there will be no human cost.
This may happen eventually but not wth the current tech. Thats is a whole other level of trust by all.
The 3 million workers will need to be outsourced. There are all the truck stops, all the truck services, and other things that hinge on the driver being there. Lots of things need to happen, one major issue is our living arrangement as it is still needs to have people make money to buy the things the trucks bring you, less people making money, less need for the trucks in the first place. A universal income might work, if they people at the top of the food chain won't want to share much, they might just like you all to die off, as un needed eaters. With every new robot, one less human needed in the cogs.
Damn straight! What about all those stable workers if horses are replaced by machines?
I think there will still be Truck drivers for a while to come, but that they will reduce the number of Truck drivers who will start to act like shepherds for large autonomous convoys.
too right. a company is delivering 100 crates of beer to a pub/bar, how does a driverless vehicle unload those crates, bar staff wont do it because of insurance and health & safety, companies wont employ people to unload vehicles that belong to someone else.
Finton Stack exactly! Didn't a couple of elon's cars already kill people? One was it could not tell if it pass the trailer and drove under the second trailer because it didn't see the side skirting...
+bob10mm yeah, onr of those tesla's on autopilot turned into a white trailer apparently it mistook it for the bright sun and turned into it thinking it was a clear lane. autopilots cant see and process the data the way a human mind can. auto cars would only work if everycar was also on automatic, no drivers controlling the cars.
Just imagine the lawsuits that will occur when a driverless truck kills a family in their mini van.
Looking forward to the future of trucking and seeing driver demand increase!
what wil those truckers do?
titm1996 r
They will be fine
Get a new job! I support government programs for reeducation and requalification, but I don't think the government should ban progress to keep them employed.
Honestly? NOBODY REALLY CARES. Nobody gives a Damn about Truckers NOW.
They could become mep's in Brussels abd have the easy life !!!!
2:28 that is the ugliest rig I've ever seen in my life "gorgeous" lol
I agree and i thought the new Cascadias were ugly lol
They could just make our truck into hydrogen truck so we dont have to change looks.
I don't think we will be able to make that leap-frog jump quite yet, and I don't know if I want that to happen. Having the shipping containers at the size they are currently at makes the most sense with the road as it currently stands, and that jump from where it is currently to a fully-automated road, where no one is really driving (i could definitely see these little boxes with wheels functioning properly) would be a huge one that would have to take place all at once. This is because I just can't see those little box things being on the same road with humans trying to doge and avoid them while driving
I would love two way driving so while I sleep I'm still moving get to destination sooner. Need emergency exit in case of accidents can happen also they the jyro scope to keep from rolling over lane assist .
This is what I think. I have been a trucker for 14 years. This talk about atomasum trucks is not what we need right now. These tractor and trailers are carrying very heavy loads and letting robots drive them is not the right move. All these test runs are all set up in a controlled investment and the technologies isn't good enough right now. Let the 4 wheelers have it first so they can protect it. There's too much at stake if these robots drive these tractor and trailers if something goes wrong. More people will get hurt or even worries death. Finally this video is a propaganda video and it I trying to paint a rosy picture here. I have done some research about this subject and they are not telling you the truth on things. People please do your research be fore you think this is a good idea.
i'D LOVE TO SEE AN AUTOMATED TRUCK DELIVER MUD MOTORS DOWN A RAIN SOAKED OILFIELD ROAD IN ALBERTA..
I'd love to see it navigate Donner Pass 5 degrees south of chain-up weather in pissing down sleet and a flooded road. I'm one hundred percent sure that it can't. You know who can, though? Me. 20 miles/hour down the mountain, without touching the foot brake.
It's not only the drivers who will be out of work. Sooner or later shiper and resevers will to.
Amtrak just had a crash in Pennsylvania couple of days ago... Is the raill way system starting to fail?
I'll keep my 94 Kenworth. no thanks
More unemployed truckers? How is that going to make America great?
Decreased prices for consumer goods or increased government revenues.
WAHAHAHAHA... we've been listening to that theory for the last 30 years! All we got is low paying jobs and disappearing middle class!
All this automation does is to put the money in the hands of very few and lower life standards for the average American.
The decrease of prices is well established.
Increased government revenues depend on politics. The increased profits allows for increased taxation. Because of politics, that doesn’t necessarily happen.
Inequality has been rising in the last decades. Much of it can be attributed to outsourcing of jobs, automation, increased specialization of jobs, finance and decreased taxation on high revenues.
As automation increases, we should tax high revenues more (and I believe we’ve not been taxing them nearly enough already), not less.
well, america thats where capitalism wont work anymore. look at northern european countries, their people are better off than the us, why? cause they are going towards socialism more n more.
we are better in EU? lolol
That would be so cool and much better. Driverless trucks would be 100% alert and follow rules. It is not unmanned because there will be certain situations where a person will be needed such as a breakdown, refuel, shipping recording, etc. A few of those can be automated too in the future but I find it much better in the workers life to be more capable to be more technical and less labor of the road. Gives time to be more productive.
Bulk majority of accidents are due to inclement weather conditions creating adverse driving conditions. Try running an autonomous vehicle downhill on a turn in snowy weather with thousand foot drop if the truck goes off the road. Until such hurdles are tackled, the technology isn't ready.
What about employment
Well, some people will figure out alternatives like Phil Merc said but overall if technology and automation keeps advancing unemployment will be high for the truckers and everyone else.
As a new truck driver I am going to be protesting against a autonomous freight system just like a fighter jet would u be ok driving down the interstate and a container hauling explosive beside you and your family and not knowing if the vehicle is aware of you in it's blind spot I'm all for a clean burning truck but not a driverless truck some stuff needs to have the human element in place or it's not gonna be safe.....👎👎👎👎👎👎👎👎👎👎👎👎👎👎
I was pretty impressed with the Autonomously driven, Finding, then drafting the lead truck. That's where the future is firstly IMO, when Autonomous kinks are worked out for this easy first step of drafting
If anything happens to the trucking industry i would imagine it to be something like electric trains hauling freight across the u.s and local drivers using electrical box trucks to move smaller loads of freight. That to me sounds much more efficient than trying to make automated trucks that can fail in inclimate weather or have a slow response time due to technical error. I really don't see this being a viable option any time soon. Our technology while impressive is prone to many faults that in this case can result in many deaths. I do support the idea of using it as self driving on the freeway but with a driver behind the wheel at all times, but then again what keeps a driver alert is actually driving the truck so that would also be a safety hazard.
Why doesn't he have at least 1 million subscribers? Seriously subscribe!
There will always be jobs for us- horses in 1885
you have no idea how the trucking industry works.
Neither do you, Porky.
@@flyingdog1498 yes I do because my grandpa owned a trucking company. dad was a trucker and I am working on my CDL now. the trucking industry is the most important industry in any country. why? because name me 1 item that NEVER sees the inside of a truck and I bet you wont be able to do it.
if you were to stop all the trucks in a country for 3 days, the economy in that country would be far worse than the great depression or even germany after both world wars.
@@teacher555555 Why not get a real education? You see the trucking industry heading down the same road as Caboose on a railroad train, those used to be a thing and required people in them 40 years ago, or the "Fireman" the guy who shoveled the coal into a steam locomotive, yet you want to get a CDL? What does that take one maybe two weeks of study. Proof that truckers are fat lazy morons. if you grandfather owned a trucking company he would welcomer the new trucks or be left in the dust as the caboose was.
@@flyingdog1498 the caboose went out for the same reason as the fireman. because diesel trains were faster, haul more and because the west was no longer as wild as it once was. my grandpa owned it but he passion as was his other job was to be a commercial pilot for an airline. and truckers are some of the smartest people on the road not the stupidest as you claim to be. you have never been inside a truck or driven one so you don't know what it takes to drive them. the number 1 cause of trucks involved in accidents is NOT because of the trucker. its because the little car like yourself does not give the trucker the room he needs to stop safely when you cut him off. the car you drive weighs 5,000lbs at most. a max legal weight of a semi truck weighs 16 times what your car does so it needs at least 16 times the distance to stop.
I challenge you to go to a trucking school and see what it takes to be a trucker and see if they are still the morons that you think they are.
also you haven't named 1 item that has ever been on or inside a truck. trains and planes may deliver more freight or move it faster but try and name 1 time you have ever seen a train or plane unloading at the grocery store. bet you cant name that one either.
@@teacher555555 And Moron truck drivers will disappear to as they can be replaced by a smartphone.
The self-driving trailer will have to make up for the lack of tractor upfront the purpose of the tractor besides a driver is to have the trailer maneuver on a pivot more efficient than even a bus can. The only way a self-driving trailer can match the efficient tractor-trailer maneuvering is to in effect become a bus with multi steering axles
Can you imagine a self driving truck going into a maintenance shop for every check engine light it has Everytime. It will be in a shop three times a month
The US in 1890 had 36% of its workforce working on a farms, in 1950 that dropped to about 2%. this shows that countries can adapt to new situations when automating takes over.
+simhopp Yep, those most at risk are interestingly enough the middle class workforces.
+simhopp Another "job" would be to own the companies that make robots. I don't see robots owning other robots anytime soon.
simhopp
Venture capital
Ben Lawrence Yeah, look at Detroit.
Ben Lawrence There are a lot more poor americans than you realize. Many (including whites) are on food stamps (psssst that means many have a hard time finding food). hmmmm. . .I wonder if farming would have solved that problem. . .
Replace drivers with a Robot..? It's more likely Robots will be used like an auto-pilot on Aircraft..! There are too many variables that require a hands on approach,, so in most instances , a truck driver will be required to also be in the cab.
Electric Semi Trucks are 99% BS hype... the "pay load" is not viable when the battery weight "robs the profitable load".
Driverless Trucks "is the future", is also BS hype... so NO , a majority is "way off" into the next half of this Century...
Uber can't even get it right with self driving cars... imagine the RISK , with a loaded Semi & a computer driven error..??
Most driverless trucks today are "experimental" just wait for the "real world" accidents to slow this progress down...
"There are too many variables that require a hands on approach"
Not really. Driving depot to depot along highways is the simplest application of autonomous vehicles. We'll have self-driving trucks long before we'll have self-driving cars.
In fact, Volvo is testing driver-less (and in fact cabin-less) semis on public roads in Sweden right now.
Trucker is not a job for the future, sorry, but I'd start taking evening classes if i was a trucker.
Department of Transportation/Bureau of Logistics. The US will be a large monopolized distribution conglomerate.
I can see one of those trucks stuck in Chicago traffic with no one letting it over for an entire rush hour!!! 😅😅
The CDL must be abolished to bring the industry back
matthew anderson lmao but why it’s already plenty of cdl holders that drive like crazy why reduce the qualifications
seems to me that technology would replace college professors and university's before truck drivers
Think the biggest hurdle is going to be the mechanics or more likely Computer/Electronic technicians to fix them. There is already massive shortages Nationwide. I rolled into my local Cat dealership and was told I should put in an app because they needed mechanics bad.
As a trucker who really enjoys his work, and enjoys technology I think a balance MUST be struck between advances in technology and the socio-economic requirements of gainful employment in our society. Already as world population booms we struggle to find meaningful employment with a global sense of equality. The greater the population the greater the need arises for new jobs to be created. Eliminating jobs will eventually become a detriment in a capitalist economy as there will be a point somewhere that the incomes created by gainful employment will no longer sustain a capitalist framework. People need money to spend and autonomous technology will essentially remove the engine required to fuel capitalism. The framework will collapse. We are advancing technology at a far faster rate than we are creating an equal amount of jobs to those that are lost. All to often advances in technology are are implemented at the cost of human jobs, and it does NOT need to be this way. We also now know that the notion that autonomous driving is accident free to be a fallacy, as lives have already been lost to accidents in the beta testing phase of this technology. We can expect that as the technology becomes more widely used, so will the loss of lives to accidents. Historical scientific data collection and simple mathematics tells us this will be true. The trucking company executive was correct as we have not yet developed technology that can sufficiently detect hazardous conditions and correctly know how to mitigate for those unique and individual situations in every instance as they may occur. It is exceedingly easy for a truck to lose control in rainy, icy, snowy or windy conditions and each instance requires a different unique mitigation strategy depending on the environmental factors surronding each particular incident. It will take decades to fully understand and develop mitigation strategies that will be effective in every single instance. In areas with moderate climates and very generic road patterns this will be easier, and quicker to implement, and in areas with weather extremes and mountainous terrains this will be exceedingly difficult and take more time and much more complex, powerful and sophistcated software and hardware to accomplish. Just looking at the struggles Tesla is having in manufacturing their products tells us that while we are becoming more technologically advanced, implementation is still a huge hurdle we cannot always navigate successfully. We THINK we are "there", but it is proven that perhaps we are not as far along in terms of implementation. Simple technological gadgets that we have incorporated into our daily lives are brought on at a fast and furious pace, simply because they are easier to implement, and there are fewer risks to mitigate. Complex technologies that are required for larger ideas with far higher risk factors take much longer to implement than the technology sector is allowing for in their timelines. In essence creators and developers are racing ahead of where we are in reality. Yes, we have the technologies that form the basis of autonomous driving, no, we have not yet refined and fully developed those technologies to the point where it can be stated that they are safer in every possible instance and in every possible situation, nor that they will function appropriately or be cost effective in every sector of the bulk transportation industry.
Thanks for your comment and for your hard work keeping our economy moving!
LOGAN anyone?
Boycott all companies who go driverless
DDG's FamousLIPS im game
Agree
Monster MMilk 🤣🤣🤣🤣true no one to protect the Trialor
DDG's FamousLIPS Count me in!
Agree
What's the point of getting products from point A to point B if no one will buy your products if we have no jobs to make $
While I think there is going to be a place for it looking at road trains and so forth, as much as you can cut the driver out of the system I know you are going to be causing problems what happens when it does crash
I think you be more inclined to start moving from 48-53 foot trailers and scale back to 40 foot the only to reduce truck semi emissions is to increase haulage capacity and you can get that with 3-5 trailer 40 foot trailers averaging 120-200 foot of cargo space..