That would explain the population declines of Japan and South Koreans where 80% of their population are urbanizes. And EU only keep it just above the water is because immigrants still want to have children. What will happen to Singaporean that are now 99% city dwellers and closing the doors on immigrants? How long before 60% of them become too old and too weak to both work AND SHOP?
@@purplelegsandthespiderette3929, hundreds of millions of cremations from 1,000+ crematoriums working 24/7 for the last few years plus burials all due to Covid death. Chinais now down to only400 million people.
@@purplelegsandthespiderette3929 Evergrande bankruptcy and near every other financial statement the last few years paints a very clear picture that China cooked ALL of the books. None of the official numbers should be believed.
@@dom91373 , I heard only 900 million left due to 1-Child-Policy, and about 400 million death by now due to Covid based on cremation worker’s calculation last year. By now another 100 million death?
China's population decline is not going to be long and slow. It's falling off a cliff. You touched on the gender Imbalance, but not the impact it's having. The 2.1 child ratio is based on the naturally accruing almost even gender balance, with a 5% allowance for infertility, or early mortality in girls born. Mess with the gender balance, and you have to adjust that 2.1 ratio. Current imbalance in China, depending on source is 15% to 20%. This is a result of the one child policy, therefore that imbalance is not spread out though the entire population, but concentrated in the vital under 40 demographic. China's woman need to have between 5 and 6 children each to maintain population. That's assuming that the gender imbalance doesn't get any bigger, and the birthrate any lower. Couple that with the fact that China's medium age is 37. This means that with few exceptions, anyone currently over the age of 40 will have died by 2060, and china will have less the 20% of the babies needed to replace them. Equals population crash in less then 40 years.
lmao keep dreaming 😂 haters gonna hate, but China's gonna keep rising no matter how many hate videos/articles these professional China-basher channels put out every year, month, week, and sometimes every day. That's the difference between people (countries) who spend their time improving themselves, vs people (countries) who spend their time hating others and master bating to the idea that others will collapse🤣
@@nadtz removal of the one child policy would naturally reduce the number of unreported births. In this, I agree with the video, and more so the OP, their population is gonna crash. The one child policy, while controversial, Most of the world didn't agree with it, had been in place too long; A decade, maybe 15 years of this policy would have been sufficient. After nearly two generations of this, it is now deeply ingrained in their culture. No one wants to have kids anymore As also mentioned, this isn't just a China problem however, Similar, though to a lesser degree, this is affecting Japan, the US, Europe, etc. I think, in general, the world population is at or near peak, and will begin decline, less stress on the planet's resources for sure
@@davidconner-shover51 I'm not disputing that their population crash is very likely to happen, just saying that most of the projections for when are based on the CCP's population numbers and there is reasonable doubt about those numbers. Not only are there supposedly unaccounted for women/girls but some also claim there are a decent percentage of 'fake' people being counted. By some estimates India has already been the most populous country in the world.
Not to mention that alleged "hard" limit of conceiving age women have in that culture, which is 26 or something like that. A landmark that's being missed by more and more women. But my sources are from CZcams, hence, not trustworthy and what I said could perfectly be pure BS 😅
A little stupid we are. First, mos people are not valuable economically and likely never will. Second, while I am not sure I even agree about infinite growth not being possible, we have not even TOUCHED anything outside of our home planet. This solar system would allow a LOT more growth, then there are others. 100 billion stars each in 100 billion galaxies. And that assumes we do not really start getting interesting with some of the physics people theoretize about. Try bother your brain with thinking at a time.
@@ThomasTomiczek A little rude you are and actually not even smart. Or maybe just didn't understand my comment. You talk about billions of galaxies when we can't even go to the moon again for decades. I'm talking about the current reality that won't change for another long decades and it's that we live on Earth. Believe it or not.
@@billweberx Well that's still just a theory and a very bold one - I don't know where you get your info about the resources but it might be true or might be not. And even if so, it can only happen if we first survive here and get to that point in time. You know many many species became extinct in the long history of the Earth...and that history is many order of magnitudes longer than the history of humanity..
I read an article that China's CCP government does not want the population to drop below 1 billion, strangely I read another article that Japan does not want to drop below 100 million. They seem to have their goal set even though they know their population is dropping.
And who will fight the Rich One Percent's foreign wars for them? People will cherish their lives and their children's lives especially if life is precious and rare. If life is plentiful and cheap, then poverty becomes an issue as too many mouths to feed with too few bowls of rice. No, people will STOP wanting to sacrifice their only child to the Alter of Wealth and Hubris.
I would further add that those born at the late end of the 1 child policy would not only be an "only child" but would also be an "only grandchild". These "only grandchild" are about to enter their 20's carrying 4 grandparents and will typically be marrying a peer who also carry 4 grandparents. So each couple of this generation will have 8 grandparents who will die during their lifetime. The replacement ratio should be closer to 8 per woman of this generation, and much worse if counting for the male "only grandchild" who will never marry due to gender imbalance.
The 1 child policy is no more, now it is like 3 child policy and teenagers are almost forced to get pregnant and give birth, even bribed in colleges for better school results if they get pregnant. And death rate - that relates mostly to elderly and frail ones, which is somewhat positive for China, not having to deal with such a massive problem as ageing society, as we are going to deal with. We also have a low birth rate but we enable elderly to survive to ever later age, which doubles the problem. Hence the usual replacement rate of 2.1 child doesn't necessarily need to apply to China.
Hmm. Its almost like CCP is fine if most of population disappears. The top 50m could plan on letting rest get Ebola super virus and then in year of lockdowns the 50m take over in a land full of still standing power plants and dams and fields w robo tractors .... The elite view majority as threat... Ignoring inbreeding one can do example, if 4 old teens in 1960 has 3 kids a couple this is 6, if in 1990 these 6 had 1 per couple this is 3, if in 2020 these 3 had 1.5, this OVERALL NOW leads to 1.5 children and 4 oldies and 9 working SO WORKING/NONWORKING IS 9/5.5 AND SOON will be 10 retired and just 4.5 workin and 0.75 kids soooo 4.5/10.75... Wow. So if nonworking take 20% of gdp income as support taxes go from 10% to 25%.. Wow.
Population drop is a lot more significant for Developed Nations Economies versus Developing Nations. Japan is a great example of asset depreciation and debt accumulation and the G7 will be the next in the coming decades. 1.4 Billion people with a National Debt of 3.8 Trillion versus Americas 330 million people with 34 Trillion in debts and on its to their Baby Boom retirement peak.
It makes me wonder if there isn't a point at which people start having more children again. What unforeseen factor may facilitate people having more children again? Will it be so much housing that the cost of living drops? Will the population drop so low that there is an economic and social collapse that brings back child labor, so it somehow goes back to agrarian thinking that more children equals more economic potential? Or something else? No trend line goes forever, growth always levels off eventually, and so will decline.
When the current civilization suffers a setback and is reset to a point where humans go back to or increases in the agrarian aspect where having more children is seen as a valuable labour resource and not merely an altruistic personal effort that is increasingly not worth the resources and effort
Can anyone show me a graph of a 20 year trend that actually continued for 150 years? Any graph any time in history from anywhere in the world, I'm waiting.
The problem will make itself felt much sooner than you think. In 15-20 years, the Chinese will reach retirement age in large numbers. Masses will fall out of production and become a burden for society. Either the state has to pay them a pension, or their families have to support them. In the second case, young people will be even less likely to allow themselves to have children.
Well the solution to this is the easier one, just like every other century in the history of the world, people will have to keep working. 99% of humans have had to work until they day they died.
If a high population is key to an economic powerhouse, then why isn’t India on top of the world with the highest population? Also, why is the US with 340 million in population which is only 1/4 of China’s is the largest economy?
@@npc2480 no large population leads to large economy but advanced economies have higher value per person which is clearly better for both the individual and collective so yes it’s easier to have a large economy with large population but also possible with a relatively smaller size.
This is an under-researched phenomenon world-wide. 'The Economist' reported on Asian women a few years ago. More and more were opting for careers, given higher education opportunities, not wanting to be baby machines keeping house for men.
The real problem with population decline is Government Waste and Spending and Debt. Seems that the rich may have to start to pay for the massive defense programs after all, from their own massive wealth rather than expecting people to work for decades at frozen wages and declining benefits. No, Government Debt will be a huge issue when fewer tax payers are around to pay taxes for the Rich One Percent that find ways to avoid taxes.
Perhaps, China’s ‘One Child Policy’ saved the world from a far greater tragedy. Just imagine, had not Deng Shio Ping had not come out with the ‘One Child Policy’ Chinese population would have increased exponentially to unbearable levels. It would have at this point reached about 2.5 billion. Obviously, China cannot support such a cohort of raw humanity. In such a situation the food problem would have become acute, where to find land for such a big population in China where most of the land is unsuitable for human habitation. Obviously, CCP would have to find other solutions and will be forced to invade their neighbors, Taiwan would have been invaded with no questions asked. Even India would not be spared. These activities would have the Western powers opting for a ‘nuclear war’ and fighting regional wars. The world must thank Deng Shio Ping and the CCP cadres who followed the ‘One Child Policy’ stringently. Had China’s runaway population scenario materialized there will be no question about population decreasing but increasing by leaps and bounds. The world was saved due to this historic folly of ‘social engineering’ by the CCP of China !
I don't agree with the idea that population decline is a bad thing. It means resources divided among fewer people. Workers have more wage leverage, farmers have more land, environmental issues are lessened. And, freedom requires a little bit of space, the more compact the population, the less freedom for the individual.
Less taxes, less production, more liability. Instead of 3 workers supporting 1 retired person, you have 1 worker to 1 retired person. Tough choices would have to be made. If you can come up with an economic system that can operate under such conditions, you'll get the Nobel.
The majority of those resources are divided by the CCP and a few large companies with ties to the CCP. Then there's the fact that 1 child gets to look forward to taking care of 2 parents and 4 grandparents. In an 'open market' type society you would be right, but the CCP controls the economy so lower population doesn't necessarily equal greater opportunity for the masses. Add in the fact that the government can arbitrarily decide to take what's your from you for any reason they can imagine if you do happen to do well and you end up with a lot of people not even trying in the first place.
@@pugilist102 you assume most of the older people are in some kind of social safety net. Half of China's population are semi-literate peasants and they're not going to get a pension.
china is not running on US lobbyist economy where each politician has their own interest and guard their own interest. CCP is already gangster to their own ppls. china is channeling their fund in tech seeing it a necessary to compete with US. they might challenge in domain where US dont, is to displace peoples jobs to be replace with AI. @@pugilist102
Counting virus deaths, the actual population may be under 1 billion. If the current virus is as bad as it seems, and the births likely drop under 6 million it is probably not unlikely to see decreases of 5 to 10 million per year for the next decade, with larger losses still to come.
I disagree with the One Child Policy being the main driver of population decline. Look at South Korea and Japan. Also, when I lived there, there are many attitudes that have developed that makes marriage and giving birth impractical.
@@ToneyCrimson Oh, I absolutely agree that the OCP made it worse. I just don't think that it is the main driver. I believe OCP is a significant driver though.
Even though China has a population decline, they don't have a shrinking workforce issue. Just look at their current high youth unemployment rate and unaffordable housing. Their population needs to decline so that the housing is more affordable and the job market is less competitive. This correction is natural and necessary.
The Chinese housing market is based on an insane belief that property retains its value over time, no matter if we are talking about crumbling, unfinished buildings in the middle of nowhere. The solution for the mass unemployment and housing issue is Chinese emigrating en masse to foreign countries due to China's inability to build a strong domestic market that many developing countries with a large population often have (ie. Philippines)
70% of the populations life savings reside in residential investment properties, they have enough excess unoccupied housing to occupy over a billion more people than they already have on a declining population. This basic balance discrepancy spells a horrific loss when the bubble pops. Not only will they have cheap properties, they will have nobody to ever fill them, maintain them or buy them.
I though that AI and robotics were eliminating the need for so many people…so aren’t they getting ahead of the problem? (Won’t need to pay a universal income to adults who won’t have jobs?)
Yet, the Population may have already started to decline 5 years earlier, but the Chinese didn't know it until the FACTS were staring them in the face. Seems that the CCP is less than forthright in it's own methods about factual analysis, much like Putin's Army and and supply and acquisition was less than honest. Seems that there is a "value" to presenting reality in it's most optimistic or favorable to one's own career's ambition. Not a whole lot different than the Corporate Culture of Schmoozing the Boss with platitudes.
Having a large population of mainly uneducated people(no offense), doesn't automatically mean you can have a strong economy. You need infrastructure, a skilled workforce and a functioning government. Africa could become an economic powerhouse, but due to corruption it won't happen for decades. Colonialism didn't help, but the corruption of African leaders is a bigger problem
@@billweberx really check summary video on china uncensored i believe documentation and all. its not surprising really when you considering the ccp has done everything it can to screw over it's people.
There's just one large problem with your presentation and projections: *The CCP's population was **_never_** 1.4 billion. They admitted about 10 years ago that the provinces had overcounted by about 200 million, largely because population-numbers determine CCP-officials' income. The CCP population peaked at around 1.1 billion in 2014, and is already moving below 1 billion.* The CCP's population will decline to 800 million by 2035. Paralleling that, the CCP's GDP has never been more than half the official GDP numbers (Premier Le Keqiang admitted that CCP's GDP numbers were "man made"): a mainland university recently determined that c. *964 million CCP-citizens (c. 88% of the population) are now trying to survive on ¥2000 (US $279) a month.* (The UN is a co-conspirator with the CCP in spreading fake numbers.)
The global ecological crisis from insane unnatural population and consumption growth which happened during 19-20 centuries is way worse than most people think. That is more important. Watch videos with William E. Rees, professor who studies the overshoot. We are on the overshoot-collapse trajectory. "Endless growth" is a s*icidal strategy in the long term. Economic system which requires endless growth including that of population, and creates panic every time the population starts going down, is insane in itself and leads to collapse. Population of all countries should decrease, as well as consumption. The only reason people don't understand it, is because they live in a delusional fantasy paradigm that growth should always continue
But who needs a population density of 200 people per square kilometer? Seems very dense and fraught with problems like the problem with ease of contagion spreading from airborne infections (CoVid-19). No, it's probably for the best in the long run, and Humanity looks for short term solutions and problems to apply it's energy to. The better approach to population and climate and resource management is to slow down the speed of reproduction. Women will want a career after college and express their individuality and freedom. Great. Then wham, all of a sudden, some women will want a family. Maybe too late for some biologically, maybe not, but it will SLOW DOWN the pace and numbers of people being born. It will also make children more of a desired expression of one's life's plan rather than the automatic event following sexual intercourse. I hope people will be prudent and practical and think before they commit parenthood recklessly. It's good for society and good for the ecology. Less and slower is NOT bad, it may actually be good in the long run. But it doesn't fit in Aggressive Government's plans to build up massive societies and massive defense systems rapidly. It's a person centric approach rather than an Ideological one.
No, it isn't. Please look into what a Demographic Loan is. Our populations naturally adjust to a stable level following a period of rapid development from a previous state to the current one.
Counting virus deaths, the actual population may be under 1 billion. If the current virus is as bad as it seems, and the births likely drop under 6 million it is probably not unlikely to see decreases of 5 to 10 million per year for the next decade, with larger losses still to come.
In an agricultural society children are cheap labour, in an urbanized country they are expensive pets.
That would explain the population declines of Japan and South Koreans where 80% of their population are urbanizes. And EU only keep it just above the water is because immigrants still want to have children.
What will happen to Singaporean that are now 99% city dwellers and closing the doors on immigrants? How long before 60% of them become too old and too weak to both work AND SHOP?
Their population is already far less than what they claim
What's your source
@@purplelegsandthespiderette3929, hundreds of millions of cremations from 1,000+ crematoriums working 24/7 for the last few years plus burials all due to Covid death. Chinais now down to only400 million people.
I agree with that. The one child policy came into effect at around 950mil they bump the number up for overseas investment
@@purplelegsandthespiderette3929 Evergrande bankruptcy and near every other financial statement the last few years paints a very clear picture that China cooked ALL of the books. None of the official numbers should be believed.
@@dom91373 , I heard only 900 million left due to 1-Child-Policy, and about 400 million death by now due to Covid based on cremation worker’s calculation last year. By now another 100 million death?
China's population decline is not going to be long and slow. It's falling off a cliff. You touched on the gender Imbalance, but not the impact it's having. The 2.1 child ratio is based on the naturally accruing almost even gender balance, with a 5% allowance for infertility, or early mortality in girls born. Mess with the gender balance, and you have to adjust that 2.1 ratio. Current imbalance in China, depending on source is 15% to 20%. This is a result of the one child policy, therefore that imbalance is not spread out though the entire population, but concentrated in the vital under 40 demographic. China's woman need to have between 5 and 6 children each to maintain population. That's assuming that the gender imbalance doesn't get any bigger, and the birthrate any lower. Couple that with the fact that China's medium age is 37. This means that with few exceptions, anyone currently over the age of 40 will have died by 2060, and china will have less the 20% of the babies needed to replace them. Equals population crash in less then 40 years.
lmao keep dreaming 😂
haters gonna hate, but China's gonna keep rising no matter how many hate videos/articles these professional China-basher channels put out every year, month, week, and sometimes every day.
That's the difference between people (countries) who spend their time improving themselves, vs people (countries) who spend their time hating others and master bating to the idea that others will collapse🤣
This also assumes the population numbers are accurate which is debatable.
@@nadtz removal of the one child policy would naturally reduce the number of unreported births.
In this, I agree with the video, and more so the OP, their population is gonna crash.
The one child policy, while controversial, Most of the world didn't agree with it, had been in place too long; A decade, maybe 15 years of this policy would have been sufficient.
After nearly two generations of this, it is now deeply ingrained in their culture. No one wants to have kids anymore
As also mentioned, this isn't just a China problem however, Similar, though to a lesser degree, this is affecting Japan, the US, Europe, etc.
I think, in general, the world population is at or near peak, and will begin decline, less stress on the planet's resources for sure
@@davidconner-shover51 I'm not disputing that their population crash is very likely to happen, just saying that most of the projections for when are based on the CCP's population numbers and there is reasonable doubt about those numbers. Not only are there supposedly unaccounted for women/girls but some also claim there are a decent percentage of 'fake' people being counted. By some estimates India has already been the most populous country in the world.
Not to mention that alleged "hard" limit of conceiving age women have in that culture, which is 26 or something like that. A landmark that's being missed by more and more women. But my sources are from CZcams, hence, not trustworthy and what I said could perfectly be pure BS 😅
Yeah but actually the Earth has enough people already, no need more - infinite growth is not possible and that would be the real catastrophy.
A little stupid we are. First, mos people are not valuable economically and likely never will. Second, while I am not sure I even agree about infinite growth not being possible, we have not even TOUCHED anything outside of our home planet. This solar system would allow a LOT more growth, then there are others. 100 billion stars each in 100 billion galaxies. And that assumes we do not really start getting interesting with some of the physics people theoretize about. Try bother your brain with thinking at a time.
@@ThomasTomiczek A little rude you are and actually not even smart. Or maybe just didn't understand my comment. You talk about billions of galaxies when we can't even go to the moon again for decades. I'm talking about the current reality that won't change for another long decades and it's that we live on Earth. Believe it or not.
Earth has plenty of resources that will get us to the stars eventually.
@@billweberx Well that's still just a theory and a very bold one - I don't know where you get your info about the resources but it might be true or might be not. And even if so, it can only happen if we first survive here and get to that point in time. You know many many species became extinct in the long history of the Earth...and that history is many order of magnitudes longer than the history of humanity..
@@Turbo_TechnoLogic I get my information from a much smarter man than myself -- Elon Musk.
I read an article that China's CCP government does not want the population to drop below 1 billion, strangely I read another article that Japan does not want to drop below 100 million. They seem to have their goal set even though they know their population is dropping.
And who will fight the Rich One Percent's foreign wars for them?
People will cherish their lives and their children's lives especially if life is precious and rare. If life is plentiful and cheap, then poverty becomes an issue as too many mouths to feed with too few bowls of rice. No, people will STOP wanting to sacrifice their only child to the Alter of Wealth and Hubris.
Excellent info, Thanks.
I would further add that those born at the late end of the 1 child policy would not only be an "only child" but would also be an "only grandchild". These "only grandchild" are about to enter their 20's carrying 4 grandparents and will typically be marrying a peer who also carry 4 grandparents. So each couple of this generation will have 8 grandparents who will die during their lifetime. The replacement ratio should be closer to 8 per woman of this generation, and much worse if counting for the male "only grandchild" who will never marry due to gender imbalance.
China's extremely fast urbanization is a huge factor here as well. People in cities have less kids.
This should be studied by the whole world. This is what happens when governments play god
It has been. Many time.
There is no god. These are just people making irrational decisions without appropriate data.
Depopulation is a problem in wealthy nations world wide. But for immigration the US would be shrinking.
0:17 How do you know the numbers you use are accurate?
The 1 child policy is no more, now it is like 3 child policy and teenagers are almost forced to get pregnant and give birth, even bribed in colleges for better school results if they get pregnant.
And death rate - that relates mostly to elderly and frail ones, which is somewhat positive for China, not having to deal with such a massive problem as ageing society, as we are going to deal with. We also have a low birth rate but we enable elderly to survive to ever later age, which doubles the problem. Hence the usual replacement rate of 2.1 child doesn't necessarily need to apply to China.
Hmm. Its almost like CCP is fine if most of population disappears. The top 50m could plan on letting rest get Ebola super virus and then in year of lockdowns the 50m take over in a land full of still standing power plants and dams and fields w robo tractors .... The elite view majority as threat... Ignoring inbreeding one can do example, if 4 old teens in 1960 has 3 kids a couple this is 6, if in 1990 these 6 had 1 per couple this is 3, if in 2020 these 3 had 1.5, this OVERALL NOW leads to 1.5 children and 4 oldies and 9 working SO WORKING/NONWORKING IS 9/5.5 AND SOON will be 10 retired and just 4.5 workin and 0.75 kids soooo 4.5/10.75... Wow. So if nonworking take 20% of gdp income as support taxes go from 10% to 25%.. Wow.
The logical question to ask is, who cares. Certainly not most of the Chinese, who are sick to death of how they're being treated by those in power.
Population drop is a lot more significant for Developed Nations Economies versus Developing Nations.
Japan is a great example of asset depreciation and debt accumulation and the G7 will be the next in the coming decades.
1.4 Billion people with a National Debt of 3.8 Trillion versus Americas 330 million people with 34 Trillion in debts and on its to their Baby Boom retirement peak.
It makes me wonder if there isn't a point at which people start having more children again. What unforeseen factor may facilitate people having more children again? Will it be so much housing that the cost of living drops? Will the population drop so low that there is an economic and social collapse that brings back child labor, so it somehow goes back to agrarian thinking that more children equals more economic potential? Or something else? No trend line goes forever, growth always levels off eventually, and so will decline.
I don't think any country has come back from the downward trend...Italy, Russia, Japan. People don't just start having more children.
When the current civilization suffers a setback and is reset to a point where humans go back to or increases in the agrarian aspect where having more children is seen as a valuable labour resource and not merely an altruistic personal effort that is increasingly not worth the resources and effort
Can anyone show me a graph of a 20 year trend that actually continued for 150 years? Any graph any time in history from anywhere in the world, I'm waiting.
The problem will make itself felt much sooner than you think. In 15-20 years, the Chinese will reach retirement age in large numbers. Masses will fall out of production and become a burden for society. Either the state has to pay them a pension, or their families have to support them. In the second case, young people will be even less likely to allow themselves to have children.
One child is not a „family“.😢
Well the solution to this is the easier one, just like every other century in the history of the world, people will have to keep working. 99% of humans have had to work until they day they died.
Better than nothing, but I had four . . . @@Claude_van
The problem is China can't rely on immigration to compensate. So their population will be only go down.
If a high population is key to an economic powerhouse, then why isn’t India on top of the world with the highest population? Also, why is the US with 340 million in population which is only 1/4 of China’s is the largest economy?
Depends on your productivity. Producing coconuts or rubber balls doesn’t make you rich.😢
India produce children so that they can fend for themselves, like begging on roads for the family
@@Claude_van so what you’re saying is population numbers are meaningless?
@@npc2480 Rich societies can survive population decline through automation and welfare. Poor societies won’t survive.
@@npc2480 no large population leads to large economy but advanced economies have higher value per person which is clearly better for both the individual and collective so yes it’s easier to have a large economy with large population but also possible with a relatively smaller size.
Even North Korea's population collapse.
they will be fine
Oh.. thank you. I'm so relieved.
This is an under-researched phenomenon world-wide. 'The Economist' reported on Asian women a few years ago.
More and more were opting for careers, given higher education opportunities, not wanting to be baby machines keeping house for men.
I would hate to be that 0.1 birth baby!
The real problem with population decline is Government Waste and Spending and Debt. Seems that the rich may have to start to pay for the massive defense programs after all, from their own massive wealth rather than expecting people to work for decades at frozen wages and declining benefits. No, Government Debt will be a huge issue when fewer tax payers are around to pay taxes for the Rich One Percent that find ways to avoid taxes.
Perhaps, China’s ‘One Child Policy’ saved the world from a far greater tragedy. Just imagine, had not Deng Shio Ping had not come out with the ‘One Child Policy’ Chinese population would have increased exponentially to unbearable levels. It would have at this point reached about 2.5 billion. Obviously, China cannot support such a cohort of raw humanity. In such a situation the food problem would have become acute, where to find land for such a big population in China where most of the land is unsuitable for human habitation.
Obviously, CCP would have to find other solutions and will be forced to invade their neighbors, Taiwan would have been invaded with no questions asked. Even India would not be spared. These activities would have the Western powers opting for a ‘nuclear war’ and fighting regional wars. The world must thank Deng Shio Ping and the CCP cadres who followed the ‘One Child Policy’ stringently. Had China’s runaway population scenario materialized there will be no question about population decreasing but increasing by leaps and bounds. The world was saved due to this historic folly of ‘social engineering’ by the CCP of China !
I don't agree with the idea that population decline is a bad thing. It means resources divided among fewer people. Workers have more wage leverage, farmers have more land, environmental issues are lessened. And, freedom requires a little bit of space, the more compact the population, the less freedom for the individual.
Less taxes, less production, more liability. Instead of 3 workers supporting 1 retired person, you have 1 worker to 1 retired person. Tough choices would have to be made. If you can come up with an economic system that can operate under such conditions, you'll get the Nobel.
@@pugilist102, so why are businesses, stores and restaurants closing in all the cities of China?
The majority of those resources are divided by the CCP and a few large companies with ties to the CCP. Then there's the fact that 1 child gets to look forward to taking care of 2 parents and 4 grandparents. In an 'open market' type society you would be right, but the CCP controls the economy so lower population doesn't necessarily equal greater opportunity for the masses. Add in the fact that the government can arbitrarily decide to take what's your from you for any reason they can imagine if you do happen to do well and you end up with a lot of people not even trying in the first place.
@@pugilist102 you assume most of the older people are in some kind of social safety net. Half of China's population are semi-literate peasants and they're not going to get a pension.
china is not running on US lobbyist economy where each politician has their own interest and guard their own interest. CCP is already gangster to their own ppls. china is channeling their fund in tech seeing it a necessary to compete with US. they might challenge in domain where US dont, is to displace peoples jobs to be replace with AI. @@pugilist102
Counting virus deaths, the actual population may be under 1 billion. If the current virus is as bad as it seems, and the births likely drop under 6 million it is probably not unlikely to see decreases of 5 to 10 million per year for the next decade, with larger losses still to come.
EXACTLY!
We need protection of all humans life from moment of conception.
China has about 1.256 Million not 1,4 Million!
South Korea have bigger problem
I disagree with the One Child Policy being the main driver of population decline. Look at South Korea and Japan. Also, when I lived there, there are many attitudes that have developed that makes marriage and giving birth impractical.
Its made worse by OCP, while Japans and Koreas population is declining is true, its not falling of a cliff like Chinas.
@@ToneyCrimson Oh, I absolutely agree that the OCP made it worse. I just don't think that it is the main driver. I believe OCP is a significant driver though.
Feudal society needs a comeback
Even though China has a population decline, they don't have a shrinking workforce issue. Just look at their current high youth unemployment rate and unaffordable housing. Their population needs to decline so that the housing is more affordable and the job market is less competitive. This correction is natural and necessary.
The Chinese housing market is based on an insane belief that property retains its value over time, no matter if we are talking about crumbling, unfinished buildings in the middle of nowhere. The solution for the mass unemployment and housing issue is Chinese emigrating en masse to foreign countries due to China's inability to build a strong domestic market that many developing countries with a large population often have (ie. Philippines)
70% of the populations life savings reside in residential investment properties, they have enough excess unoccupied housing to occupy over a billion more people than they already have on a declining population. This basic balance discrepancy spells a horrific loss when the bubble pops. Not only will they have cheap properties, they will have nobody to ever fill them, maintain them or buy them.
With all the deads due to covid population is in decline in China,
Want more news watch Jerry takes on China 🇨🇳
I though that AI and robotics were eliminating the need for so many people…so aren’t they getting ahead of the problem? (Won’t need to pay a universal income to adults who won’t have jobs?)
AI and robotics will maintain the Chinese economy and allow it to tax businesses who deploy them and pay for social services including UBI.
The True Thanos
So dogs will be finally saved ?
it's about the (lack of) money and job stability (money again..haha) primarily, and less about the 'one child' policy.
Yet, the Population may have already started to decline 5 years earlier, but the Chinese didn't know it until the FACTS were staring them in the face. Seems that the CCP is less than forthright in it's own methods about factual analysis, much like Putin's Army and and supply and acquisition was less than honest. Seems that there is a "value" to presenting reality in it's most optimistic or favorable to one's own career's ambition. Not a whole lot different than the Corporate Culture of Schmoozing the Boss with platitudes.
700 million people is still a lot.
😂😂😂😂😂 chinese bot 🤫
Eh, less than you think realy.
@@MeepChangeling that's double the current American population, lol
If half of them are retirees then it's just a lot of people but not a powerful nation.
@@3_smh_3I'm one of them and don't want to work.
You’d think Nigeria will for once take advantage of this if we had proper planning with the population growth.
Having a large population of mainly uneducated people(no offense), doesn't automatically mean you can have a strong economy. You need infrastructure, a skilled workforce and a functioning government. Africa could become an economic powerhouse, but due to corruption it won't happen for decades. Colonialism didn't help, but the corruption of African leaders is a bigger problem
China has been declining since 1949
💯
you say they lifted 700 million out of poverty. yet today almost 1 billion of there people live in poverty. great job there lmao.
False.
@@billweberx really check summary video on china uncensored i believe documentation and all. its not surprising really when you considering the ccp has done everything it can to screw over it's people.
The Pfizer juice has helped😅
Actually they used Chinese juice
@@Turbo_TechnoLogic yes, but no one would understand the allusion if he'd said Chinese juice.
@@cheriemartin3737 Yeah maybe, but still it's just not true
The unfortunate "alternative truth" at work here....
You play God and there are negative consequences !
Last time I checked one exists while the other doesn't. Can you guess which one?
@@wolfpackflt670 receipts for nonexistence, please. Even your DNA is coded. It may be self-replicating, but it didn't code itself.
@@cheriemartin3737, maybe go study abiogenesis instead of pretending to know what you are talking about?
Oh yh, that's too hard right?
There's no god. These are just people making irrational decisions.
Even a high school biology course would do. 😅. The readiness to believe in an invisible omnipotent being over science...
There's just one large problem with your presentation and projections: *The CCP's population was **_never_** 1.4 billion. They admitted about 10 years ago that the provinces had overcounted by about 200 million, largely because population-numbers determine CCP-officials' income. The CCP population peaked at around 1.1 billion in 2014, and is already moving below 1 billion.* The CCP's population will decline to 800 million by 2035. Paralleling that, the CCP's GDP has never been more than half the official GDP numbers (Premier Le Keqiang admitted that CCP's GDP numbers were "man made"): a mainland university recently determined that c. *964 million CCP-citizens (c. 88% of the population) are now trying to survive on ¥2000 (US $279) a month.* (The UN is a co-conspirator with the CCP in spreading fake numbers.)
The global ecological crisis from insane unnatural population and consumption growth which happened during 19-20 centuries is way worse than most people think. That is more important. Watch videos with William E. Rees, professor who studies the overshoot. We are on the overshoot-collapse trajectory. "Endless growth" is a s*icidal strategy in the long term. Economic system which requires endless growth including that of population, and creates panic every time the population starts going down, is insane in itself and leads to collapse. Population of all countries should decrease, as well as consumption. The only reason people don't understand it, is because they live in a delusional fantasy paradigm that growth should always continue
How many babies were left to die
Imagine how much quicker if they had a army of dorks thinking they were tree's of the different gender
But who needs a population density of 200 people per square kilometer? Seems very dense and fraught with problems like the problem with ease of contagion spreading from airborne infections (CoVid-19).
No, it's probably for the best in the long run, and Humanity looks for short term solutions and problems to apply it's energy to. The better approach to population and climate and resource management is to slow down the speed of reproduction.
Women will want a career after college and express their individuality and freedom. Great. Then wham, all of a sudden, some women will want a family. Maybe too late for some biologically, maybe not, but it will SLOW DOWN the pace and numbers of people being born. It will also make children more of a desired expression of one's life's plan rather than the automatic event following sexual intercourse. I hope people will be prudent and practical and think before they commit parenthood recklessly. It's good for society and good for the ecology.
Less and slower is NOT bad, it may actually be good in the long run. But it doesn't fit in Aggressive Government's plans to build up massive societies and massive defense systems rapidly. It's a person centric approach rather than an Ideological one.
get a better mic
Wow they managed the heck out of that population 😳
A declining population is a civilization killer. This is affecting many nations around the world and won't end well.
No, it isn't. Please look into what a Demographic Loan is. Our populations naturally adjust to a stable level following a period of rapid development from a previous state to the current one.
People don't know how or want to make love. The main issue is the have no idea of Prince
Importing unemployables with alien cultures is not an answer . . .
Super death : you going to reborn as a Chinese baby
Death : fine
A minute later
....
Super death : Girl ?
Death : Girl...
Counting virus deaths, the actual population may be under 1 billion. If the current virus is as bad as it seems, and the births likely drop under 6 million it is probably not unlikely to see decreases of 5 to 10 million per year for the next decade, with larger losses still to come.