5 Volcanoes Which Could Erupt in 2024; 2 are in Iceland

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  • čas přidán 19. 06. 2024
  • As the new year approaches, you might be wondering which volcanoes around the planet could erupt in the new year (2024). In this video, I will outline 5 volcanoes which in the opinion of a volcanologist (GeologyHub) have the potential to erupt in the next 12 months. Two of these volcanoes are in Iceland, which are Reykjanes and Fagradalsfjall.
    Note: This video's thumbnail image displays the Fagradalsfjall's August 2022 eruption.
    If you would like to support this channel, consider using one of the following links:
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    Google Earth imagery used in this video: ©Google & Data Providers
    This video is protected under "fair use". If you see an image and/or video which is your own in this video, and/or think my discussion of a scientific paper (and/or discussion/mentioning of the data/information within a scientific paper) does not fall under the fair use doctrine, and wish for it to be censored or removed, contact me by email at geologyhubyt@gmail.com and I will make the necessary changes.
    Sources/Citations:
    [1] PVMBG (Pusat Vulkanologi dan Mitigasi Bencana Geologi)
    [2] Vedur.is / Iceland Met Office
    [3] NASA Worldview, EOSDIS Worldview, (Satellite imagery: Terra / MODIS), (Thermal signatures: Terra / MODIS, NOAA-20 / VIIRS, Aqua / MODIS), at worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/
    [4] U.S. Geological Survey
    [4] Alaska Volcano Observatory
    0:00 Volcanic Eruptions
    0:41 Reykjanes
    2:03 Fagradalsfjall
    2:48 Iwo Jima
    3:45 Rinjani
    4:13 Sinabung

Komentáře • 100

  • @kenbrady119
    @kenbrady119 Před 5 měsíci +127

    I also predict with 100% accuracy that Mount Cinnabon will erupt glazed sugar with a dusting of cinnamon ash.

  • @digitaldreamer5481
    @digitaldreamer5481 Před 5 měsíci +11

    Out of all these volcanoes, I found Iwo Jima to be the most interesting because of where it’s erupting, being almost similar to the volcano off the coast of Tonga last year on January 15th 2022. 🤔

  • @tigersharkzh
    @tigersharkzh Před 5 měsíci +21

    I like these prediction videos you do at the end of each year. I just thought of another yearly video you could do that would probably interest a lot of us. A video looking at the past year's eruptions that surprised the professionals or happened with little to no prior warning signs.

    • @donaldduck830
      @donaldduck830 Před 5 měsíci +1

      Both are interesting: Successful predictions and surprises. We can learn from both to, in the future, better save the lives of residents.

  • @carltuckerson7718
    @carltuckerson7718 Před 5 měsíci +19

    Hey there - thanks so much for your work and dedication to this channel. You're on my everyday watch list and I really, really appreciate everything. I'm a geo in real life and this is such a great, informative channel. I consider it my geo-news daily. Thanks man. Keep it up and I wish you the most explosive 2024 (safe and away from people)!

  • @mattjohnson6916
    @mattjohnson6916 Před 5 měsíci +3

    Since you mentioned Iwo Jima, I would love it if you talked about another volcano connected to a World War II battlefield and discussed Vesuvius' March, 1944 eruption in the midst of the Italian Campaign and the destruction of Allied aircraft it caused at the nearby Pompeii Airfield.

  • @Jeo81
    @Jeo81 Před 5 měsíci +9

    Thanks for the daily uploads!

  • @jacobcharters6614
    @jacobcharters6614 Před 5 měsíci +3

    I’m betting Katla is a sleeper to erupt again though it’s been having seismic unrest the past decade or so now since it is over due for an eruption

  • @xwiick
    @xwiick Před 5 měsíci +8

    Thanks for all of your hard work man!

  • @Ronin4614
    @Ronin4614 Před 5 měsíci +2

    Appreciate the 2024 predictions. Thank you for sharing your knowledge and experience with us through the best videos in this genre. Have a very safe and Happy 2024.

  • @TheSpaceEnthusiast-vl6wx
    @TheSpaceEnthusiast-vl6wx Před 5 měsíci +14

    Thanks as always! I am honestly curious about whether or not Mount Rinjani's summit cone (The peak that reaches 3,726 meters) will erupt again. I am also curious about how much volume has been added to Mount Sinabung's edifice!

    • @Vesuviusisking
      @Vesuviusisking Před 5 měsíci +3

      Rinjani is one of the most active volcanoes

    • @bouteilledeau1463
      @bouteilledeau1463 Před 5 měsíci

      ​@@Vesuviusisking Mostly by Barujari cone inside Samalas's caldera. The real Rinjani hasn't erupted in a long time.

    • @Vesuviusisking
      @Vesuviusisking Před 5 měsíci

      @@bouteilledeau1463 so mount rinjani is mount samalas

  • @chimknee
    @chimknee Před 5 měsíci

    Thanks. Happy New Year.🎉

  • @StoneWolf2077
    @StoneWolf2077 Před 5 měsíci +3

    Love your videos. I'm always learning something new. Any thoughts on the possibility of Mt. Saint Helen's erupting or showing signs of activity.

    • @andrewdias478
      @andrewdias478 Před 5 měsíci +1

      He made a video a few months ago about St. Helens during an EQ swarm. St. Helen's is building up for another eruption in the near future but it's still 10-20 years away roughly. It will probably be activity similar to what happened in 2006-2008

  • @timmygro3688
    @timmygro3688 Před 5 měsíci +3

    Is Iwo Jima still the most likely volcano to produce the next VEI 7 eruption or have those odds decreased?

  • @plathanosthegrape5569
    @plathanosthegrape5569 Před 5 měsíci +3

    In my opinion Colima could erupt too because it's been 7 years since it last erupted and that volcano used to be active all the time.

  • @matthewk8379
    @matthewk8379 Před 5 měsíci +3

    Hello! I was wondering if you could do a video on the Cranberry Island Volcano in Maine? Thanks and love your videos!

  • @jasperschepens1650
    @jasperschepens1650 Před 5 měsíci

    Would you consider covering mount Kelud in 2024? I'm very curious about it's history.

  • @mrvwbug4423
    @mrvwbug4423 Před 5 měsíci

    Well, I guess on the upside, as long as Sinabung is erupting it's making it less likely that another supervolcano eruption could happen at Toba, if it shares Toba's magma chamber.

  • @ganndeber1621
    @ganndeber1621 Před 5 měsíci +1

    Another excellent video, very informative. Thank you

  • @erfquake1
    @erfquake1 Před 5 měsíci

    Thank you for the intriguing predictions! Could you venture any predictions for the volcanoes most likely (or least-unlikely) to erupt along the Cascades? I assume it's probably Mt. St Helens and Hood in 1st and 2nd, but is Baker or Three Sisters in contention? Is Long Valley a wild card?

  • @dafidrosydan9719
    @dafidrosydan9719 Před 5 měsíci +1

    I tought sinabung had enterd it long dormancy period again since the volcano has been quiet for some time now. Back than it always apper on tv news because it erupt so frequently

    • @Dragrath1
      @Dragrath1 Před 5 měsíci

      It had been a few years yeah though the really concerning bit IMO is that its most recent eruptive sequences in the 21st century have seen its magma composition shift from andesite to dacite on the TAS diagram.
      And when factoring in its prior eruptive products the composition has overall been following the slope of the Toba curve on the TAS diagram.
      The higher viscosity of dacite might be why it took until now for the activity to resume since its much more difficult to get such a siliceous melt to flow. Also a bit concerning since dacite magma is strongly correlated to larger explosive eruptions so the longer it took to build up to an eruption the more concerning it will be.
      Do we know how much liquid melt is mobilized within its magma chamber? As he noted it does appear to be associated with the larger Toba volcanic complex to some degree so there could be a concerning amount of melt down there. I hope not but given the long quiescence prior to it waking up in the 2010's and the evidence for some kind of connection to the Toba complex based on its magma chemistry I can't help but have that little concern that no matter how statistically unlikely Sinabung might be the early stages of Toba's remobilization.
      The two colloquium seminar lectures on Nick Zentner's channel discussing the most recent super eruption of Taupo notably constrain that their were at least 3 chemically distinct sources of melt which had been separate prior to some likely tectonically induced geologically brief intense interval of convective mixing induced rapid crystal fractionalization within a time scale of several decades to centuries(at the very least less than 2 thousand years at the longest) prior to the cataclysmic eruption. What that would look like in a caldera complex is hard to say and while I don't think its likely the possibility exists that Sinabung might be part of the build up to the next ultraplinian eruptive sequence during the next millennia .

  • @markuserikssen
    @markuserikssen Před 5 měsíci +3

    Scientists in Iceland believe the volcano that erupted in Iceland about a week ago, may erupt again before the end of this year, or early January!

  • @GromKuba
    @GromKuba Před 5 měsíci

    Why not Piton de La Fournaise or Askja?

  • @brucekuehn4031
    @brucekuehn4031 Před 5 měsíci

    This reminds me a bit of brainiacs on TV trying to predict which football teams will advance through the playoffs. Accuracy varies widely!

  • @albertvanlingen7590
    @albertvanlingen7590 Před 5 měsíci

    Agree but to add South America is worryingly quiet...

  • @nick3805
    @nick3805 Před 5 měsíci +1

    I mean, a bunch of Icelandic Volcanoes could erupt. Reykjanes and Fagradalsfjall are the most likely, but Grimsvötn (which is still pronounced with 3 Syllabes, and not Grimsfoohn) and Hekla have been showing Unrest for the past Years too and statistically speaking are both long overdue at this point.

  • @Bosscheesemo
    @Bosscheesemo Před 5 měsíci +1

    How much did Mt Doom grow by between the forging of the One Ring and its destruction at the end of Return of the King?

  • @jacobsmith3409
    @jacobsmith3409 Před 5 měsíci

    I would predict one in the state of Alaska. Safe bet

  • @danielnaberhaus5337
    @danielnaberhaus5337 Před 5 měsíci +1

    Kileauea is ready to go any day.

  • @wendellcombs622
    @wendellcombs622 Před 5 měsíci

    What was your prophecy for 23 and how did it pan out?

  • @Off-roading1
    @Off-roading1 Před 5 měsíci +3

    Day 12 of asking for mount ascutney

  • @sarahsarah4337
    @sarahsarah4337 Před 5 měsíci

    we are going to iceland atvthe end of june 2024.. and I really wanna to go on helicopter if there is volcano eruption.. but I don’t know where there are .. We are going to reykavik and Vik

  • @Nickleplate765
    @Nickleplate765 Před 5 měsíci

    In the next 100 years I feel there will be an eruption that covers a significant part of this region. We are seeing a great surge of magma underneath the peninsula at the moment and movements of magma take time.

  • @danduzenski3597
    @danduzenski3597 Před 5 měsíci

    Vent, fissure. Not the same?

  • @maturanaccessvlog4424
    @maturanaccessvlog4424 Před 5 měsíci

    Um whar happend to the iwo jima new island

  • @Necrophite78
    @Necrophite78 Před 5 měsíci

    The prediction only goes for volcanoes that at his very moment are not in an eruptive episode right?
    1) Kilauea
    2) Reykjanes
    3) Taal
    4) Piton de la Fournaise (Reunion)
    5) Raung

  • @donaldduck830
    @donaldduck830 Před 5 měsíci

    Isn't Iwo Jima already erupting (of sorts). But a landrise of almost a meter per year is frightening. And based on the length of time since the last eruption and the extreme amount of total rise, I would expect that to be a very strong and explosive eruption that could affect global climate.
    I think we should make plans how to mitigate such events instead of worrying about magic CO2.

  • @matthewcoffey372
    @matthewcoffey372 Před 5 měsíci

    Need to throw in a wild card

  • @dani16161
    @dani16161 Před 5 měsíci +2

    No Grímsvötn again? :D
    Which of the following three volcanoes is most likely to erupt? Askja, Bardarbunga, Grímsvötn

  • @dlane5292
    @dlane5292 Před 5 měsíci

    Have you known volcanic region or non known region come to life that you didn't expect?

  • @TheRealRedAce
    @TheRealRedAce Před 5 měsíci

    I predict Rekyanes, Stromboli and Taal.

  • @austoncly3714
    @austoncly3714 Před 5 měsíci +1

    Campi volcano in Italy

  • @johnthomas2485
    @johnthomas2485 Před 5 měsíci

    Which Lower 48 volcanoes are most likely to erupt within a few years?

  • @gregs3597
    @gregs3597 Před 5 měsíci

    No Taal volcano in Phillipines?

  • @antonio39776
    @antonio39776 Před 5 měsíci

    How about Taal and campi flegrei?

    • @Vesuviusisking
      @Vesuviusisking Před 5 měsíci

      Campi flegrei won’t erupt anytime soon

    • @antonio39776
      @antonio39776 Před 5 měsíci

      @@Vesuviusisking I don't know how true it is and whether it's just a conspiracy, but lately I've seen that there is a lot of activity

  • @filipesiegrist
    @filipesiegrist Před 5 měsíci

    I always bet on Merapi to erupt.

  • @lukaswunsch8332
    @lukaswunsch8332 Před 5 měsíci

    I think Stromboli could erupt on the 1. January

  • @WorldThought2024
    @WorldThought2024 Před 5 měsíci +1

    White Island?

  • @SylviusTheMad
    @SylviusTheMad Před 5 měsíci

    It would be hilarious if Grimsvötn erupted in 2024, now that you've stopped predicting it.

  • @peterdore2572
    @peterdore2572 Před 5 měsíci

    Send-a-kun-gah-kin-gah-err.
    Forget Eyjafullopjakull 😅

  • @UTCM_April2024StudioTDTI
    @UTCM_April2024StudioTDTI Před 5 měsíci

    Next more him erupt return on 1986

  • @tonynicholson3328
    @tonynicholson3328 Před 5 měsíci

    Sinabung blosabung biggabaddaboom...

  • @robertmcnearny9222
    @robertmcnearny9222 Před 5 měsíci

    Don't forget Yellowstone! It's been overdue for 100,000 years.

  • @UTCM_April2024StudioTDTI
    @UTCM_April2024StudioTDTI Před 5 měsíci

    Last day of 1985

  • @mistysowards7365
    @mistysowards7365 Před 5 měsíci +1

    In the lower 48 states, I predict the most likely Volcano to erupt in 2024 is.......
    Mount St. Helens
    With a the most likely very surprising eruption being Clear Lake Volcano in California.

    • @Dranzerk8908
      @Dranzerk8908 Před 5 měsíci +5

      Highly unlikely. Mt st. helens isn't showing any unusual signs. And Clear Lake isn't even on the radar for one.

    • @TopOfAllWorlds
      @TopOfAllWorlds Před 5 měsíci +1

      ​@@Dranzerk8908 ok so which volcano in the lower 48 states is *most likely* to erupt then? He's not saying theres a good chance, just that the chance is the largest out of all the other volcanoes

    • @bw-leftturnracing7779
      @bw-leftturnracing7779 Před 5 měsíci +5

      I predict none of the lower 48 volcanoes will erupt in the next decade

  • @friedmac7146
    @friedmac7146 Před 5 měsíci

    But They Won't!!
    ....Just in case I'm Wrong. 😎

  • @worldraisemeorganisation6347

    czcams.com/video/xj152jaUrFU/video.html

  • @GorgonLinguini
    @GorgonLinguini Před 5 měsíci

    Or there could be no eruptions in Iceland in 2024.

  • @TheAverageGuy12
    @TheAverageGuy12 Před 5 měsíci +2

    I predict Mt Yasur will erupt in 2024!🔮..................😆

  • @Vesuviusisking
    @Vesuviusisking Před 5 měsíci

    I’m predicting St. Helens to erupt

  • @White.Elemant
    @White.Elemant Před 5 měsíci

    Please also make a list of 5 people that could win in lottery next year 😂