The Next Stock Market Crash (How To Profit)
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- čas přidán 19. 05. 2024
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THE CHANCE OF A STOCK MARKET DROP:
-Stock Market Correction: A 10% - 19.9% Decline
First, normal volatility throughout the markets is extremely common; since 1920, the SP500 has (on average) seen a 5% pullback 3x per year.
Market Corrections are also fairly common - on average, a 10% correction happens every 16 months, and throughout the last 20 years, a 10% drop has happened 11 times.
-The Bear Market: A 20% - 39.9% Decline
According to data, this typically occurs every 7-10 years - and when this happens, stocks drop an average of 33% over a period of 363 days.
-The Stock Market Collapse: More than 40% Decline Throughout The Index
Throughout the last 120 years, this has only happened 4 times. Once in 1929, again during the 1970s, and again in 2009.
THE CHANCE OF A STOCK MARKET DROP IN 2024:
The economist John Hussman makes the argument that non-financial stocks are trading at levels that haven’t been seen since 1929 and 2001. Because of that, he believes that “These levels indicate the S&P 500 is likely to return around -5% annualized over the next 12 years.”
David Rosenberg also believes there’s truth to the claims that stocks are poised to fall, saying "Just like the clown at the circus who keeps blowing up the balloon, at some point, that balloon is going to pop." As he explains, “The S&P 500 is up 32% in the past 12 months while corporate profits rose just 4% in the fourth quarter, meaning that the vast majority of those gains clearly can't be attributed to improvements in earnings results.” Instead, the market is simply going higher for three main reasons: A better-than-feared economy, significant jumps in earnings estimates, and the expectations of lower rates - that’s it.
HOW TO PREPARE IN THE FUTURE:
- Keep a 3-6 Month Cash Savings
That way, you won’t need to sell investments to pay for your living expenses in the event you lose your job, your income slows down, or something unforeseen comes up while the market is low.
- Diversify your investments.
The more you spread out your money, the more you reduce your risk and volatility.
- Continue The Long Term Plan of DCA
Studies show that the best thing you can do is just stick to the plan, keep buying, and do nothing long-term. Historically, even though a bear market might temporarily lose you an average of 33% - a BULL MARKET has seen an average gain of 158%, and it lasts almost 5 times longer, at 1742 days.
- Don't Panic Sell
Over the last 20 years, a $10,000 investment in the SP500 would have grown to $64,000 if you just kept the money invested. However, if you missed the best 10 days (over 20 years) your return would diminish down to $29,000.
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- Keep Consistent Income
An cash fund could hold you over 3-6 months while, hopefully, the market recovers - but, if it doesn’t, you want to make sure you have some consistent income to either continue buying in or paying your living expenses so you don’t touch those investments and sell when you don’t have to.
- Only Invest Long Term
A few years is not long enough to ensure that you’ll actually make money, so - the shorter your investment timeframe is - the less likely you should be invested in something that could drop in price.
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First you say it took 25 years after 1929. At the end of the video you say no matter when you invest, after 20 years you have earned something... so what's true now?
@@hindubiok1959The 25 years is purely based on price and does not take into account dividends 😉
@@GrahamStephan
Thanks, that was important information for me. - As a German pensioner, I live off my dividends.
Banning redlining caused the 2008 housing collapse.
To profit, I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.
If you lack knowledge about market investing tactics, get advice from a financial counselor.
Agreed! this is why I work with one. My $520k portfolio is well-matched for every market season yielding 85% rise from early last year to date. I and my advsor are working on more figures for this year. IMO, financial advisors are the most sought-after professionals after doctors.
I could really use the expertise of this advsors.
Her name is 'MICHELE KATHERINE SINGH'. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked the name up and wrote her
up, to schedule a call. many thanks
Crashes and bubbles are persistent features of financial markets and are exacerbated by narratives. The narrative is always different but something’s don’t tend to change, most notably, returns after crashes are more often positive than negative and new paradigm bubbles tend to have disappointing returns.
Whenever the market has consecutive days in the red, it’s always good to stay the course. Honestly, my portfolio wouldn’t be where it is now if I had sat on the sidelines. Dollar cost averaging through the downturns got me to having almost ~1million in returns
Amen! This is the way!
Congrats! What are you investing in? Would you care to share?
I’ve still not recovered from the last few years dismal market 🤦🏼♂️
This is why it is also important to have a well diversified portfolio. Roughly half my portfolio is invested into technology/consumer discretionary/communication stocks and the other half is invested in healthcare/defensives/financials. This ‘balances’ my portfolio and makes it ‘all-weather proof’.
I was advised to diversify my portfolio among several assets such as stocks and bonds since this can protect my portfolio for retirement. I'm seeking to invest $200K across markets but don't know where to start.
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
I agree, having a brokerage advisor for investing is genius! Amidst the financial crisis in 2008, I was really having investing nightmare prior touching base with a advisor. In a nutshell, i've accrued over $2m with the help of my advisor from an initial $350k investment.
impressive gains! how can I get your advisor please, if you dont mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now
Laila artine kassardjian' is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.
The entire discourse surrounding "reverse" market crashes (in the stock and real estate markets) essentially argues that inflation is far from over and that we may actually encounter "hyperinflation" soon along with rising rates of poverty nationwide or a historical economic depression. These are the extreme circumstances that, in the majority of the cases I've seen, have resulted in reverse market crashes. Although I don't really see anything that drastic approaching, you never know.
Seek out reputable stocks with long-term growth prospects, then follow such stocks. I have discovered that making such excellent decisions requires a deep understanding of the market.
Stocks are pretty unstable at the moment, but if you do the right math, you should be just fine. Strategists have been aiding folks in recording gains over 550k just in a matter of months, so I think there are alot of wealth transfer in this downtime if you have someone who knows where to look like i do.
how did you handle it? I believe I require a pro after reading these comments
I'm grateful for this advice. Finding your coach wasn't too hard. I researched her well before arranging to speak with her on the phone. Considering her resume, she appears competent.
The only American who won't acknowledge this Administration's failed economic policies is Joe Biden. "Shrink-flation' is the least of our worries compared to rising rents and stagnant wages, but it is an undeniable indicator of how bad our inflation has gotten. I have $100k that i like to invest in a non-retirement account, any advice on that?
I think the next big thing will be A.I. For enduring growth akin to META, it's vital to avoid impulsive decisions driven by short-term fluctuations. Prioritize patience and a long-term perspective most importantly consider financial advisory for informed buying and selling decisions.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation from $275k to $850k.
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? I'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
Viviana Marisa Coelho is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. By looking her up online, you can quickly verify her level of experience. She is well knowledgeable about financial markets.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
Bro been saying this every year since 2020
Watch the video :) I'm not predicting anything, I'm giving people a way to prepare for something that's historically proven to happen on a regular basis.
AI Graham, is that you? 🤔
Did you watch those videos? Go back and watch any one of them, even from years ago - everything would still apply today. Don't just look at the title / thumbnails; those simply reach the widest audience. To distill the video down to a title is pretty shortsighted.
@@GrahamStephanGraham, you really don’t need to defend your position. The people who listen to you will listen to you, and those that think you’re clickbaiting will not. Regardless, I think you’ve provided enough quality content to not need to defend yourself in these comments!
@@GrahamStephan hey graham hows it going
What might be a CZcams video idea is to actually show an example of dollar cost averaging into a fund- actually demonstrate how that monthly investing purchases more of the fund's units during a fall. The maths of it all. Nobody covers this!
The value investing mindset that would inspire- making index investors *wish* for a market fall- would be the perfect antidote to market crash fears and mindless assets reallocation.
As always, this was a great video with very solid advice, Graham. Thank you!
Brian woke up and choose violence
"feminine little man with Napoleon complex"
I'm here for it
Saucy!!!
We love Brian around here lol.
The little guy will never recover
This is amazing. *“How to build wealth”*
The first step to building wealth is figuring out your goaIs and risk toIerance - either on your own or with the heIp of a financiaI pIanner, and foIIowing through with an inteIIigent pIan, you wiII gain financiaI growth over the years and enjoy the benefits of managing your money.
I am fortunate I made productive decisions that changed my finances (gathered over 1M in 2years) through my financiaI planner. Got my 2nd house in Feb, and hoping to retire soon. Give this a try and attain good-returns.
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Financial -Planner Rebecca Mart-Watson. (In full)..
Market highs can sometimes be followed by corrections, but predicting the timing and extent of it is challenging. I've heard some analysts talk about a 'massive' correction. It makes me wonder if it's time to adjust my $2M portfolios or maybe even consider some defensive investments.
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
Laila artine kassardjian' is the licensed coach I use. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.
I think most people want to try out a financial advisor but the amount of information on the internet is overwhelming
A well rounded portfolio should be a mixture of both categories. One way to minimize the anxiety out of stock market, is to make sure you keep a large cash cushion start now
Coming up with a headline housing market crash, RIP, …. and you still have the moral to say I’m not predicting anything. I don’t buy this argument
He’s been replying to comments saying “no I’m just stating other articles and spend time debunking!” Buddyy got the little/short man complex bad 😂
@@joshharris7902exactly 😂
My plan for the next crash is to keep dollar cost averaging and take advantage of those sale prices before the market goes back up again better than ever.
Market is not going back up ⬆️ again. It’s down trend for long time
@@meetethan1857markets always go back up brother
@@meetethan1857 Not possible. Look at M2 supply. It's gotta go somewhere.
From my observation and historical market pattern, there might be a bit of turbulence in the market coming up, but here's the deal: Trying to guess what's going to happen next is less important than spreading your bets when trading and thinking long term. It's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady...managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 432k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Francine Duguay, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
I haven't watched a Graham Stephan video in a while, but there's something so comforting and nostalgic about these videos. The editing is engaging and keeps the pace going, but I don't feel stressed and overstimulated like when I watch a lot of other educational channels recently.
I haven’t changed the editing style since 2018…soooo maybe I’ve gotta get with the times lol
Paid bot!
@@GrahamStephan no need to fix it if it ain't broke!
The Call-To-Action in the beginning was awesome....... and hilarious!
Hi Graham - you look better. Great video by the way. I think the influence of government are underestimated by far. When I studied the great recession of 1929, my conclusion was that FDR was the main problem. Printed money on all kind of projects and keeping up the inflation and taxed everything to the roof - keeping companies down under. People must be much better educated on how politics and finance works. For those who don't know, less politics is better for everything.
No more DCA if things are progressing and we are at the first step for new ATHs. Hopefully AWMTGPT was the right pick as you recommended earlier
There are a lot of people still forecasting a recession for 2024. The principles he’s discussing here are important to remember when it happens. He didn’t predict a market crash in the video, just gave some tried and true methods to get through it ok. For what it’s worth, I appreciate that since I tend to suffer from FOMO in this market. So a consistent reminder is awesome in my book. Thanks!
Who’s here after Brian’s video? 😂
@@Trd2020 haha. Brian is a legend after today!
Who’s Brian? What’s his channel?
@@pedrochinait3898was looking for awhile think this may be it?
People listening what they want to hear..
I think people are sleeping on AMX59K ecosystem.
SCAAAAMER DONT BELIEVE FAKE COIN
Can you do a video on commission only sales. There’s a lot of videos on paychecks with a consistent income but not on commission only sales
The Tax guy came for you bruv. Gotta clap back
I root the tax guy
I came here to see if anyone was talking about Brian calling him out 😂 I’m on Brian’s team though.
I hear it and was like 😮😮😮 the whole time.😂
@@daniward9008who TF is Brian
Brian is honest this guy is a click baiter only cares about his agenda
Graham, can you please cover the Real Estate shakeup with commissions rules being changed?
no hate at all.... love your work, you guys are legit. In your last video, you went low production, no script and no seo focused copy writing..... it was a beautiful thing. please do that more with topics like this :) respectfully the less polished stuff is on another level
Thank you! I had this pre-filmed (the sit down video was also filmed a few weeks ago), so sometimes I just randomly release them. Will certainly do more polished in the future !
@@GrahamStephan I guess my comment was a little confusing. was just trying to say that the video called taking as step back, was my all time favorite. the transparent long form podcast vibe made you feel very relatable. want more of those and of course your polished video are very well produced and great but I gravitate towards the more raw
@RobStuart noted!! Thank you!
Oops - typo in my first comment, meant un polished* in the future
Thank you for the great content graham, fully agree with the cash on the side for emergencies in or out of the market. It would be nice to hear more about other markets that act as a hedge. I will be trying to cover this soon.
"and people, for lack of a better word..." 😂
Timing the market is IMPOSSIBLE. While I myself have some dry powder for potential corrections, stay the course in a process and DCA. Wise guys always turn out to be fools.
with a few days left for the end of 2023 contribution limits, I just discovered Roth IRA should I use my savings to reach the limit or keep it in my savings account and just focus on 2024?
Prices will go up indefinitely.😅
Seriously though. Given the current market I just assume that a 30% market drop is coming and determine if I can survive it.
The hard part is making sure I can hold down a job and contribute during a down market. That's because things tend to be looking bad at that time.
A nice change from the usual monthly "Housing Market Is Crashing" vid.........
Not posting an April fools video was the new April fools joke you got me. 😅
Haha, yeah - everyone was doing it, became less "special" to do an April Fools video
@@GrahamStephan you were first on that train, really loved your April Fools videos way back :)
@@GrahamStephanUnfortunately none of the channels I watch regularly did one this year. Yours were always good and I enjoyed your fiancees April fools video too.
My favourite channel and FED monthly meeting. Till it's not.
So we’re going up, got it.
In other words I should not invest large sums of money in the S&P500 at the moment? Perhaps wait until mid/late 2025 and see what happens?
Deleting comments I see..
Yeah I saw that too
@@SlowNBroke lol there was one comment that was hilarious but he deleted it. It said “whats up Napoleon” 😂
@@fciolinonooo 😂😂😂😂
Hand volatility was 6/10. Much better than last video.
¡Ve a ver los videos de Larry Fred y agradéceme más tarde!!
The the crash was in 2022. The bull market started last year, and they last roughly 15 years with several corrections along the way.
Stephen i want more content on stock history and leave new tools to me
For your shared investing ideas, what do you think will be the next Apple/Microsoft in terms of growth, considering the current unpredictable market volatility?
Although the market isn't so stable, it isn't as bad as some people have made it look... In all honesty, as a beginner who knows next to nothing, I have made over 80k just in a couple of months... I'm a retiree, and I am using these extra resources to help pay for odds and ends that I want.
Hi Micheal Weebles, from my little experience, your profit margin is quite stunning for a beginner. How did you do it; what is your biggest holding; do you make use of spreadsheets? Thanks.
NO I don't. Spreadsheet has always seemed stressful, and of no relevance to me.. For my top holdings, I copy Kelly Marie Matwick's positions automatically in real-time... Look her up, she's good.
No one knows homie
What percent growth have you experienced?
I know I really shouldn't but I trim off some of my profits when I noticed that the stock market's coming close to correcting itself
Its impossible to tell exactly when but you can tell short term we will see our centuries “big one”
You need to make a response to Brian the tax guys video. With all due respect, I haven’t seen someone get roasted so bad in a very long time 😂
That’s definitely the best advice keep buying and no one likes a quitter
Depends on your finances . 1000$ in Solana is 4000 AMSCR11 if it goes to 50% of ath in 2024 thats a 600% gain. If it goes equal to ath . Its a 1200% gain.
The Greek crash was much worse than 1929 and people lost all their money. Stocks went to 0.
Would love to see a video on What your opinion on the recent Yotta changes?? They still have you listed as an investor so i assume your still in it. People seem to be leaving in droves if the reddit forum and reviews are anything to judge by. Your the reason i got into it years ago, and i dont want to leave but the recent chages are absolutely garbage!
when the shoeshine boy (Very big generic youtuber) knows the market is going to crash, get out.
I feel like too many people have invested in the market on long term 500 funds for retirement that they're not going to panic sell. We all listen to these videos and expect the ups and downs to happen with the forethought of staying the course.
So I don't think we'll see a dramatic 40% panic drop off in a fast week of plummeting. But I could certainly understand people panic selling their individual horse bets on dividend stocks like NVidia and just the tech industry in general. That would probably provoke a hard 20% correction. Worst case scenario would be a very long term Bear market of less than interest rate of returns.
Maybe I'm in the minority here, but I actually do trust the government when it comes to the economics of the stock market. I don't believe that they will let it fail without a fix. Especially in todays world connected economy. It would effect all Countries. A lot of lessons have been learned in the last several crashes and I trust that the governments of the world are better firemen and more prepared to put out that next inferno.
All US three averages are too steep, I am scared of getting in now. Do I wait for a pullback? and when? What can I do differently? Buying bonds is not for me, I reckon some people are making a killing with the bears? I cashed out early, now I have less than a 200k to get into the markets with. Any ideas?
Good way would be:
Learning how tax loss harvesting works
It's also important to note that Dollar Cost Average works IF you invest in a 'safe' company or quality index fund. No point DCA into a meme stock and hope that it will 🚀 to the moon when it's just a pump and dump. Deciding whether to cut your loss or to DCA is the true million-dollar question. Imho 😊
I am trying to avoid making any new buys at this point in other not to get sucked into a bear market trap.It's tough making money in stocks when institutional investors are the driving force behind the selling.. although I read an article of people that grossed profits up to $150k during this crash, what are the best stocks to buy now or put on a watchlist?
Graham, I have a question, I have a bit of cash saved up. but I still did not start investing. Now, I am all onboard with consistently investing even during downs and ups. However, as someone who has not invested anything yet, is it feasible to wait for the first actual market crash to start investing? as I can already foresee the discouragement in seeing your first investment of hard earned money crash..
Do your research and learn as much as you can about investing. I started august last year and everything was negative for the first couple months(everything’s up pretty good now). Learn some strategies on when to invest and what type of portfolio you wanna make. As for specifically current news, stock moe on CZcams is pretty good. He’s more experienced, gets into detail about stocks, and you can talk to him to look at a stock in the comment section since there isn’t many comments. Still don’t buy or sell anything unless you’re sure of it
Awesome video! I'd just like to point out an experience issue -- every time I move the video slightly forward or backward to review what you are saying (I've watched the whole video a couple of times now), I get hit with a 5 second ad several times with a bit of your video in between, then it soothes out... Not sure what this is as your other videos are not behaving this way. Thought you'd like to know because you are so thorough at delivering such a great informational experience! Thanks again, Graham!
Weird - I have no idea, could be something with CZcams?
So weird. He puts the ads where he wants them it’s not a CZcams thing it he love money thing.
CZcams has their own metrics for ad placements, irrespective of where the creators place them. Even my “non monetized” videos still show ads; that’s on CZcams.
Use the Brave Browser. Cuts out all that ad non-sense... At least for now. Sorry Graham. :)
Wow, really puts things into perspective! It's comforting to know that despite the ups and downs, the market has a way of bouncing back over time. Keeping that long-term view is key.
Hey Graham, the thing I enjoyed most about your video was the tap dancing monkeys!🎉😮😊
Haha thanks
Market goes up by Stairs amd Comes down by Elevator.
Let me sum it up. Just DCA in to total market ETF's, done.
If this were to happen, I wonder if investors are going to panic sell their Stocks
Perhaps - but that seems to be the case regardless
It's same to say that I know the winning numbers of a lottery, but don't know when it's gonna happen.
I don't think we are about to see a drop this next year, the smaller businesses has died out leaving the market open for the big boys, example is my own company, they just bought a lot of companies during covid and now I think their strategy is to hold for the next few years and get their numbers back to an equilibrium, so while the stocks might continue to fall they have a higher income and debt meaning they need to play it safe which will increase their market value
I sold my house in 2020 when you’ve predicted a housing crash. Now I can’t afford a home😢
It’s crashing now lol
Why did you sell in 2020?
Why would you listen to someone on youtube? The guy is all about clickbait?
Short far OTM S&P futures puts. Buy VIX futures as a hedge.
best investment vehicle ever is an affordable IUL insurance policy that maximizes the living benefits
A recession with this amount of consumer debt, the printing machine will be humming like crazy.
Right!? I def feel we are in troubled waters and the economy sucks. Everything is too expensive but when it does fall they will turn the printers on turbo mode
Hmm as a avg market junkie I’d say it’s a quarterly shift to breathe before going up again, kinda how btc pumps-> dumpsish to go higher (haven’t watched the video fully yet)
Do a video on dollar cost averaging vs lump sum investing.
In these uncertain times, it's more important than ever to have a solid understanding of how to manage your finances, invest wisely and navigate economic downturns. But my primary concern is how to grow my reserve of $240k which has been sitting duck since forever with zero to no gains, sure I'm all in on the long term game, but with my savings are lying waste to inflation and my portfolio losing gains everyday, I need a remedy.
If you need advice, consider speaking with a financial advisor. Don't get me wrong, you can do it on your own, but financial advisors have a lot more knowledge and expertise in this area.
you are completely right, Advisors have information and paths that are not disclosed to the public.. I profited $560k in 2023 under the tutelage of my Fiduciary-counselor. Am I selling? Absolutely not.. I am going to sit back and observe how this all plays out.
This is huge! think you can point me towards the direction of your advisor? been looking at advisory management myself.. seeking ways to invest and make more money with the uncertainty in the economy.
Amber Dawn Brummit is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for sharing, I must say, Amber appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive.
Good advice in general but a little cliche too. I think you need to have more than 3-6 months emergency funds right now, as much as you can afford it. Take some profits now, increase your cash % and be prepared to start buying again when the market start dropping. Short term gives you 4-5% right now and use it to prep for the next downturn. But heck this is just my $0.02 for you to to take with your eyes wide opened!
Graham!!!!, can you make a video explaining the new yotta bank 🏦 updates please 🙏 and thank you!!! I’m very confused about the new updates and I feel like a lot of other people are also getting confused 🫤 and wondering 🤔 about how the new system works and if you make a new video explaining how it works we would all greatly appreciate it!!! You’re the bestest!!! 🎉🎉🎉🎉
Graham… you were out here talking smack about Clear Value Tax?? That’s crazy cus he made an entire video on how you create clickbait. I watch both of you guys and I feel like y’all should just link….
Be better than the negativity. It’s 2024, Bro
I’m so confused. Never thought I ever said anything negative about him - I’ve even shouted him out in the past and cited some of his past videos.
Literally watched the likes climb as he said hit that like button 😂
It works!
More people need ro invest in the blue chips here. I'm around 90% between BTC and AMSCR11 combined. Good advice Lark thanks!
Consistent dollar cost averaging investing is the right path for me . . Every week ! No Stopping ! Even if it goes down, it will go up eventually. . Thanks for the video Grahm 🙌🏻
Well said!
✊
❤🔥
@@GrahamStephanGraham, Vanguard claims that lump sum investing outperforms dollar cost averaging. Do a video on this please. I have been dollar cost averaging but now I'm reconsidering. I still think dollar cost averaging is safer but if you do it over 15 years, 20 years, 30 years or 40 years, lump sum will outperform.
I wonder what the optimum 'dry powder' amount/function should be, like: "For every $X you save, put Y% in index ETF, and save rest as cash; for every 10% market falls from 10 year high, put W% of the Y cash balance into the market" kind of thing...
Prices can go up forever when your currency is being devalued forever.
You only lose if you realize your loss by selling... a quick fix, would be to not sell!
Buy and hold… stocks drop but always recover. Diversify and invest consistently. Don’t try to be too clever guessing tops or bottoms
Am a high risk investors but knowing when to taking profits, focus on SOUND FUNDAMENTAL stocks and portfolio REBALANCING is important.
I also believe once a stock fundamental is SOUND, they recover faster than other companies
I like your channel, but I kinda agree with the Tax guy who threw you under the bus today. Your videos are kinda click bate with extreme titles. Granted, yours are much more entertaining than his.
When stock markets crash, expected returns rise. I see a crash as a major opportunity to invest at a discount. If the thought of a potential stock market crash scares you, you probably have the wrong asset allocation in your portfolio
Brian on Clear Value Tax just destroyed this man. Best dis since Nas' "Ether"
That 20 year example you gave about buying in at the top right before a drop and still make money didn't take into account inflation.....you would lose in that case
Just stay in the market if you want to profit!
By quality companies with good management and good fundamentals and preferably companies that pay consistent dividends.
I feel like i'm the only non-bot in the comment section.
Either way this stock market pump feels too good to be true. Everything is so expensive and online is see so many people complaining about prices inflation etc. Im not too mad since my portfolio is doing well but there might need to be a pullback. (still bullish though)
We are still down after 2020 COVID crash😊
Hey Graham, I’m a young adult entering the working world and started to invest due to your videos, but quick question, from the start till now progression and the market has always been built on growth. With population slowing down, and the previous generation in fear of not enough workers do you speculate that stock markets won’t continue to grow upwards if our population isn’t also doing so?
You could look at Japan and it's fiscal policy and markets over the last couple decades for an example. I heard it hit the more retired than not inversion before others. Forgotten most of the pertinent info though
Housing crash since 2019. Options price 4500 or 6000 SP500 the same
May i update your website and create a blog in conjunction to what you upload in pure exchange of experience / adding to my portfolio / case study?
What if your retired and are fully invested and have no money monthly to keep adding money in a bear market?
These economists never talk about Free cash flow per share and buybacks. EVER! just earnings which never tell a full picture.
Pre pandemic : market crash after decades
Pandemic come: market crash every couple years
if you want to make money on a market crash just buy PUT contracts on stocks or index funds
Just when I start investing in the S&P 500 😓
If anyone’s ever read The Intelligent Investor you’ll know that all Graham does is condense those principles in a relatively short video as easy to digest as a prune…and people still complain in these comments…
I think it's higher for longer and maybe just maybe one cut b4 the election.....