Belmont Stakes 2024 Early Handicapping Preview: Sierra Leone, Seize the Grey, Mystik Dan, Fierceness
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- čas přidán 21. 05. 2024
- In this horse racing handicapping video recorded on 5-22-24, Jarrod Horak previews the 2024 Belmont Stakes.
#belmontstakes possible field (as of 5-22-24) - Antiquarian, Batten Down, Dornoch, Fierceness, Honor Marie, Mystik Dan, Seize the Grey, Sierra Leone, The Wine Steward, Thorpedo Anna, Tuscan Gold
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#preakness 2024 final order of finish: 1st - Seize the Grey, 2nd - Mystik Dan, 3rd - Catching Freedom, 4th - Tuscan Gold, 5th - Just Steel, 6th - Uncle Heavy, 7th - Imagination, 8th - Mugatu. Morning line favorite Muth scratched.
Kentucky Derby 2024 final order of finish: Mystik Dan, Sierra Leone, Forever Young, Catching Freedom, T O Password, Resilience, Stronghold, Honor Marie, Endlessly, Dornoch, Track Phantom, West Saratoga, Domestic Product, Epic Ride, Fierceness, Society Man, Just Steel, Grand Mo the First, Just a Touch
The 2024 #kyderby was the 12th race at Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 4, and Mystik Dan nipped Sierra Leone by a nose, with Forever Young another nose back in third. Catching Freedom and T O Password completed the Super High 5.
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Jarrod, thanks for reminding horse players of the many unforeseen factors that can happen before and during a horse race! SIERRA LEONE's race in the 150th Kentucky Derby and IMAGINATION 's race in Preakness 149 illustrate some of the unforeseen and unanticipated factors! We horse players need to remember this and be kind with ourselves and public handicappers.
I appreciate the informed comment. These horses are not machines and there are a million ways to lose. There are legitimate excuses for below par performances and some fans could benefit from that knowledge.
Hopefully, the Belmont will be run on a fast track and all of the entrants get clean trips. Also looking forward to seeing Imagination back on a preferred fast track later this year.
Hello Jarrod Great Content as Usual....If You Ever Need Any Help With Anything...Research or Whatever it is I Will Help Just Let Me Know (Obviously Free of Charge)...LOVE Your Shirt/Jacket....What Does The T Shirt Say?...You Look Just Like My Doctor
Thank you very much. If I ever need anything, I will reach out to you. The shirt underneath my outside shirt says NYC and New York City. I was trying to match up my Belmont Stakes subject with subtle NY attire.
@@JarrodHorak You Look Fantastic...Enjoy
If Dornoch runs....could he be the Lemon Drop Kid of this race? Back in 1999 Lemon Drop Kid won at odds of around 29-1. LDK ran 5th in the Bluegrass - Dornoch ran 4th in the BG. LDK ran 9th in the Derby, Dornoch ran 10th in the Derby. Ya never know.
I remember Lemon Drop Kid. He was a good one. Dornoch has the pedigree to handle the distance, and he should be forwardly placed. I won't hold the Derby against him. The race flow was not to his liking and everyone does not run quality races in the 20-horse Derby. He is most effective when he gets out of the gate and attends the pace, and is allowed to get into a nice early-pressing rhythm.
Sierra Leone will be my top pick as he was in the Derby. His running style in a 20 horse field will always be a risky wager, but he was ultimately his own worst enemy down the stretch.
Sierra is the horse to beat in the Belmont. He has more advantages at Saratoga. Fresher than the Derby-Preakness winners, smaller field, and less traffic. Hopefully we can get a price or two behind him and knock out some of the more obvious paper contenders.
I wonder if SL will be going off at around 9-5?
@@roblegg3983 I can see him going off at 2-1 or 5/2 if Fierceness runs. I tossed Fierceness in the Derby and I'm tossing him again. Sierra Leone is taking this.
@@roblegg3983 It depends on the field size and if Mystik Dan goes. Derby winner would definitely take a decent amount of action. I would say less than 9-5 but higher than even money. We could meet in the middle and say 7-5.
No possibility of Catching Freedom?
Catching Freedom is not pointing to the Belmont Stakes, at least that is what his connections said after the Preakness. I am not sure what they are going to do next. My best guess would be a short break, followed by a summer campaign in races like the Haskell, Jim Dandy, or Travers.
JAROH C'MON THEM HORSE ALWAYS FDIND A WAY TO LOOSE THE RACE
Not quite sure what you are trying to say. Horses always find a way to lose a race? Which horses and which races are they losing? Some horses do not like to win and would rather hit the board. I try to identify those horses and key them underneath. Some horses are win types, and others will win or finish up the track. Some horses have valid excuses when they lose and others do not. Sometimes it is bad handicapping and I make a mistake and pick the wrong horse. That would be human error.
@@JarrodHorak JARAK ; RESPECT FOR YOUR TIME AND DEDICATION WITH THE RACES ! AM PROBEBLY CAN SAY THAT I TRUST YOUR HANDICAPPING OVER MANY OTHERS .LET ME SHARE THAT ON THE DERBY I WAS WAITING FOR THE DOUBLE WITH MISTIC DAN ; I SHOULD HAVE PLAY THE WINNER BUT WAS VERY UNFOCUS WITH THE EXCITEMENT AND EVERYTHING , I ALLSO LIKED AND PLAY W.LUKAS OTHER HORSE TO WIN SEPERATELY ,BUT I REMEMBER FIGURE OUT EARLY GRAY AT SOME POUINT EARLIER.{WILL CONTINUE CONVERSATION NEXT TIME )THANKS
@@donovanhoilett268 I thought Mystik Dan had a good shot turning for home in the Preakness but Seize the Grey had no intention of stopping, Nice efforts from both of those runners and hopefully they will meet again in the Belmont Stakes. It would be nice if we got a fast track so everyone has a fair shot and won't have excuses if they underperform.
@@JarrodHorak OH YEAH WATCH WHEN MYSTIK DAN WANTED TO GO INSIDE OF SIEIZE THE GREY BUT THE JOGKEY PULL HIM TO THE RIGHT AND THAT WHERE THE RACE WAS LOST {I REALISE THIS HORSE IS THE FRIESES HORSE IN A LONG WHILE AND THAT IS WHY I PLAY HIM TO WIN THERE )
@@donovanhoilett268 Nothing wrong Mystik Dan's effort in the Preakness. He has found consistency and McPeek has done a great job with him. I heard that he was energetic in a gallop yesterday and is continuing to hold his form throughout an ambitious campaign this year.