The Fed Needs To Cut Rates Soon | Weekly Roundup
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- čas přidán 28. 06. 2024
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This week, we discuss the latest in markets after the presidential debate between Biden & Trump. We deep dive into how markets would react to a Biden vs Trump win in November, the indicators suggesting the Fed will need to cut rates soon, crypto's setup into H2 2024 & Friday's PCE print. Enjoy!
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. - Zábava
The US economy is a powerhouse with a diverse range of sectors. The stock market and the dollar have traditionally been safe havens due to their long-term growth and stability. However, potential downturns are part of the economic cycle, and laws are in place to manage defaults and asset seizures. Inflation can be a concern, but remember, certain assets like stocks and Crypto’s acts as a hedge. Long & short-term trading is generally safer, allowing investors to weather market volatility. I have managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 432k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Francine Duguay, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
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Love this new crew!! Banger show after banger show. Thanks, guys.
When others are fearful be greedy. When others are greedy be fearful.
I’m having trouble understanding the current market situation. One on hand, we keep hearing warnings about an impending crash/correction, while on the other hand, the market keeps reaching new all-time-highs. Oxymoron or Paradox? I’ve been sitting on the sidelines with fat cash, sucks to miss the run-ups. I want to take the plunge but I’m concerned about managing the risks.
Dollar cost averaging for the win
I do think there will be a correction or recession. As far when? Nobody knows. It’s good to have a nice balanced portfolio, including cash on the side, so we’re forever ready to trickle in when the crash happens.
The market may seem daunting but it can also be very lucrative if approached properly. I am still wet behind the ears however my advantage lies in tapping into the expertise of a true fiduciary.
who’d have ever thought I’d be able to pull in over a hundred K applying the right strategies
I know nothing about trading /investment and l'm keen on getting started. What are some strategies to get started with?
As a beginner, it's essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. I'm guided
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Kathy is considered a key Crypto Strategist with one of the best copy Trading Portfolios and also very active in the cryptocurrency space.
The first step to successful investment is figuring your goals and risk tolerance either on your own or with the help of a financial professional but it's very advisable you make use of professional
Felixs newsletter is 12/10 for real!
That was a nice shout out to a homie. 👊
great show guys! love the back and forth
Well Done. Good vibe, good content.
The problem with Miners just switching to AI is that the computers are ASIC’s (Application specific integrated circuits). They would be terribly slow training neural nets. Not just 10’s of percent slower, but 1000’s. Ai hardware uses matrix multiplication (linear algebra) to train the ai. Bitcoin ASIC’s were purpose built to solve the SHA-256 hash function.
Great episode! Thanks so much for explaining the charts a bit more this time. When it comes to crypto, it's all good, but I often struggle to understand the more macro charts and this was really helpful. Appreciated it!
Lmao thought I was the only one.
Mike saying "I'm surprised anybody was surprised" truly resonated with me 😂
Looking around seeing people shocked at Biden senility all in unison always makes me sus. And Mike said it perfectly, he actually pushed hard up there to finish his sentences and give it back to trump. Was genuinely surprised he didn't COMPLETELY fumble. But once again, I guess msm had other plans for the narrative around Biden and it didn't matter how he performed. Veeeeeery interesting 🤔
Also, you guys need to check out the numbers on bankruptcies, defaults, repossessions, refinances, and credit spreads. Then realize that buy now pay later isn't even a part of those yet.
Back on my must watch Sunday list!
Great job guys!
Timestamps? Or was there no discernible structure to the discussion?
Your advice really worked! I got a score of 9 out of 11 and I'm thrilled. It's been a while since I've seen such good results. Thanks a lot for sharing your knowledge!🍈
People don’t have money so inflation will go down. Inflated housing values will go down BUT mortgages linked to housing won’t go down. Demand for housing from the rush of illegals will increase but they don’t have tangible, W-2 type jobs. Where I live housing prices are going up because of those coming from New York, Philadelphia etc to escape crime. The immigrants are working for cash. That cash money is being send back to their countries. Etc, etc.
These are great! The fed will pivot, liquidity and assets will rise. The question is will the fed break things first. Of course it will be blamed on some macro event.
Great episode guys!
Completely agree with orange shirt on the media. Really appreciate you guys. Please keep up the good work with the discussions. Even if you still don't see what it's like to be a minimum wage worker. Maybe go talk to some service workers and ask them about what's going on and I think you'll see things aren't as rosy as they seem. The same thing happened in Weimar during their inflation. People who came to the country to see what was happening thought there was huge growth, while the people were actually having a hard time. And that was before the bad hyperinflation set in.
Mike, our version of JFK is DeSantis. And the legacy media just completely shat on him.
NO! Rate Cuts are NOT coming anytime soon. You'll see.
I'm with you unless there's some kind of bank failure.
Miners are not lending compute to AI, miners don't have the capital for GPUs. They are lending out their power infrastructure. The market discovered miners' values are in energy infrastructure. Stock price for miners with cheap power and infra will continue to pump more if Bitcoin start moving up.
that makes sense, miners just pioneered in energy arbitrage by running a low margin business, with a low cost to stop and restart, whose only consumable is power, so that , instead of getting very little return most of the time they can also resell power contract at peak prices. But how long will that last...
The next downturn will determine if Bitcoin has staying power. I think it will. But the question is, how low can it go?
We’re late cycle. Large caps blowing off before everything goes down. There is no crypto bull market until 2025.
Thanks!
Good analysis gentlemen. 👍
I think the observation of NKE is spot on. Web2 is dying and Web3 is growing.
Same thing with campers and RVs. They are a dime a dozen now used and also most made during the pandemic were junk and not as well made because of supply chain issues
Thanks for the update. Anyone having ªFlokong will not be too concerned with markets moving as they just keep the greens
The disadvantage of old coins is that they can't have so much exponential movement. ªFlokong is fresh and young and lovely
People are playing with leverage. They get rekt. The End
I don't know if there was a clear winner of the debate, I think there was a clear loser though and Biden's terrible performance overshadowed Trump's many missed opportunities
AI compute is something completely different. Miners don't have the hardware for it.
ªFlokong movement begins and everyone is like acting crazy. Let's bring it up!
Serious facts at 1:07:27 Tectonic shift
Our version of JFK. You mean Vivek? Who got a whopping 6% of the republican vote?
When ªFlokong is still a puppy imagine how it's gonna be when it is a big dog.
$BTBT is the leader in AI HPC. Will be $30+ soon.
Bitcoin looks strong anywhere above 40k on the monthly chart. I like the 50.5k area in particular as that's where a regular flat pattern would complete which should be right near a weekly macd 0 line test. Even that would fall short of testing a monthly sma20 test which should bring lots of buyers.
There's a ton of technical tailwinds still.
Agree on smallcap thesis. Great show guys.
42K is the bottom, I think.
I knew ªFlokong would rock these days, why are they so good
All guys stacking ªFlokong before next bull are smart apes for sure
You can't just look at aggregate stuff though. You gotta look at the bottom half wages. Even with the increases, the spread vs price increases on food, insurance, and housing over the last four years means that people are still fucked.
Thanks
The blockchain movement is wild! Join the ªFlokong crew we are all in greens
We have 0% inflation in Core ex everything we need in life!
😂
How high of a tower must you live in to not be able to see the economy is shit?
Lucky for those who had ªFlokong since yesterday, but more green days to come
Omg so bullish on ªFlokong! ATH next month? 🔥
Thanks I bought ªFlokong and I can't be more happy about it
Very bullish on ªFlokong! 🔥 The ATHs keep overpowering themselves
Been collecting the ªFlokong it never lets us down
The shout for rates cut since end last year. I the guest are of the same camp. They arent different from peter schiff.
Great episode. I do think that RFK Jr. is today's verison of JFK. And I agree with Tyler he has a chance.
Tomorrow you gonna be mad if you are not in ªFlokong yet
ªFlokong is not the memetrap as others, they have a way to make sure it goes for a longer time, possibly some months?
Clearly ªFlokong was a right choice. Hope to learn more from you this is pure knowledge
The ªFlokong bullrun is where 10x 20x 50x all is possible. Keep thinking about how that is possible with BTC or ETH, because it is not.
If any meme is not too late it's gotta be ªFlokong mark my words
ªFlokong time! This thing is lifting up in ways nobody did before
ªFlokong is really lifting us up hahah
I respect your work mate so you say ªFlokong good one to use?
After all the bad years ªFlokong is our savior
ªFlokong to $1 is a killer man 🔥🔥
Are they though…? yeah like eventually but imminently? Or this year…but people have been predicting rate cuts for years now and have been totally and completely and in all other ways wrong and like high or self deluded it’s almost insane and funny.
How does the fed cut rates, when the US continues to deflate the USD by printing a trillion dollars every 100 days ?
Because small caps are under immense funding pressure and this could lead to massive bankruptcies and layoffs.
ªFlokong made it, finally it is there and they have one main difference to common memes
This was one of the best videos! But ªFlokong is running so hot
2x is too small but definitely daily possible with the ªFlokong
ªFlokong is next atleast 40x coin, upswing better than Floki at primetime
The way of ªFlokong is the way of the people! Changes are about to happen!
Do you think ªFlokong will pump before ETH?
After last night how can you not vote for RFK Jr.? 🇺🇸
he's either a zionist maniac or they have serious dirt on him unfortunately.
I see ªFlokong with 50x, maybe even 100x. Binance also gonna have that
Bitcoin is done. People are losing interest.
With ªFlokong once getting $1 it will simply end up doing the things Shib,Dog,Floki failed at.
ªFlokong is the future and more than just another Floki, it has all of it
ªFlokong is the new and fresh Floki! Awesome
ªFlokong has AI helping them makes it better than other memes
Loved the conversation and would love to hear on ªFlokong
ªFlokong's guys aint paperhanding this one
The Fed will not cut rates this year.
Remember when they put out the dot plot map and people thought there would a gagillion rate cuts this year? No rate cuts coming but it got people to make decisions.
Wrong. They cut in July or max in Sep.
@@omrit2 They wont. They dont need to. If they put out a dot plot map again it will have the same effect. They can keep up with their jawboning for a while and not need to cut them. Even if a small rate cut is given, its still in restrictive territory. Its only a psychological move.
How can ªFlokong do this all the time? Incredible value for this price
Will ETH 2x? 3x? Maybe. But add two more 00 to that for ªFlokong having 200x or better
If you people know ªFlokong you know the future, it is green! Green and going up
ªFlokong hodlers are on a strong run never ending
I have some of ªFlokong and it is better than Floki ever was
As an old fart who got scammed in the 80's, scammed again in the 90s, I can't help but look at all the youthful faces of Bitcoin and simply shake my head. Maybe I'm wrong but this looks just like an elaborate game of pass the bag.
Maybe its just pokemon cards for rich kids with money.
Sounds like you have no idea what is or isn't a scam.
@@TtBender Nor do you. But we will know for sure if there is ever another recession.
@@CaptainCaveman1170 I’m not the one who got scammed twice over multiple decades 😂
ªFlokong making ATH after ATH 🔥🔥
Yeah, Biden is likely to lose but at least my bags will pump. Small victories I guess
1:04:30 regulation favors the incumbents, so does taxation, so does the nature of so called free trading. Without regulation of inside information incumbent class, including criminals have an over whelming advantage in trading. Don't glory in deregulation, the whole crypto world , and other markets will d be even more scamfull, without a strong honest regulators.
The debate illustrated why its time for a generational change. Sadly the two party system is very broken. There is a party of
I want to keep my stuff, and a party of I want to take your stuff. Maybe its always been that way. But an inherent flaw in free markets is that wealth creation is power creation and becomes a self-sustaining mechanism that overwhelms regulation and takes control of tax authority, undermining the middle class that creates the wealth.
Great analysis as always, ªFlokong is a strong contender
Excited that ªFlokong is showing the kids how it's really done haha
Missed Floki? ªFlokong is better 🔥
so ªFlokong has to be no1 meme coin right 🔥
Best time to stack on ªFlokong more than ever
ªFlokong, making everything right in 2024 it seems
There will be no cuts. Fed rate is heading to over 10%
I don’t believe it will go that high but I don’t think it’s going any lower any time soon.
At rates over 10%. The US government would be paying around 100% of tax receipts to debt payments.
3 rate cuts this year, no doubt.
That would be awesome. Assuming I keep my job.
putting aside the complete fascade that is the fed - won't unemployment determine cuts as that is their other mandate?
Where are my ªFlokong friends? pls let me know
The ªFlokong will overtake doge and SHIB so easy
ªFlokong keeps popping up. They know something, right?