Countdown to Stock Market Crash - Red Flags to Make You Sell NOW!
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- čas přidán 4. 11. 2023
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If the stock market crashes, I'll buy more stock on sale.
“It’s not about timing the stock market, it’s about time in the stock market” I need to get this tattooed on my chest.
YOU TWO are always an anchor to reality! Thank you for what you do! Bless you and your family! 🙂
The stock market is "certain" about one thing, that it's "uncertain". keep up all the great work, you guys are both informative and fun to watch.
Thank you guys!! Continue your great work.
You guys are always the calm in the storm of what's going on in the market. Thanks for another timely video!
Thank you for your continued support.. I know I can always count on your help when it comes to making it all make sense👍🏾👍🏾❤️❤️
Incredible points made here! Thank you for your consistency, thoughtfulness, and timeliness of each upload!
Love your channel!!!
You are both AWESOME!!!
Love it. This was a wonderful post that I had to share with my family. You have earned that glorious cup of coffee. Cheers!🎉
Thanks for the reminders 😊
Thanks yet again for a great video!
One thing I have learned in my many years investing: timing the market is a loser’s game, and patient investors make money off impatient investors..
I enjoy your content. I'm curious- do you prefer VTI or VOO as a base investment?
You guys are my beacon of stability. The financial industry is tireless in declaring sp500 and indexing investment outdated and how we need to put our assets under their management.
The industry has a bit of a conflict of interest 😆
Thank you for your content!! Loved the crazy family members analogy 😂
You’re very smart and diy minded…good on you. You also benefited from the greatest bull market in modern history in real estate and stocks as we all did. The tide has changed and we’re not yet adjusting our behaviors/expectations (consumption). Adjust before we are forced to adjust.
❤❤❤ another cracking video. It's reassuring that in conclusion is back to basic... it's time in the market that matters and stick to one's investment plan. Thanks so much for sharing your knowledge 😊
Thanks so much 👍🏽
People need to overcome their fear of the word "CRASH" Relax and look at it as an opportunity, not an omen.
Great insight! Have been investing in ETFs since last year, and watching the line going up and down, now I have less worries if I gonna lose money because thats just market behavior. All I need to do is leave the auto deposit on and not checking the accoint everyday.
Great video! I'm actually enjoying this sale of quality-priced securities. I do not worry about day-to-day fluctuations. I do keep some cash on hand for the really big corrections/mini-crashes so I can buy more shares. Other than that, all my investments are automated for the long game. Set it and forget it.
Checking in from the DMV
It's not about timing the stock market but time in the stock market! I love it
Excellent video Team
You guys have and will always be blessed! You are beautiful people very rare today! Always give God the Glory!
I'm gonna get some bonds and cds question will you cover gold investing?
I’ve learned staying in the course over the years and that’s helping growing my little wealth
For a second, I thought you all had posted early. Then I remembered that we're now an hour behind. 😆 Happy Sunday, everyone!
You two are perfect together! I hope you have a wonderful rich life and marriage forever!
They do 🙌🏼
Great information, thank you
Glad it was helpful!
Some brands are down huge amounts like Kering ( Gucci)… but they just borrow in the bond market for new brands to increase turnover
I grew up with some of these views and sometimes I have to do a self check to get over this way of thinking. I try and pass on a more open view about money with my grandson. Thank you for your content!
Do they have any videos showing thier full investment portfolio?
Great video! But this could be an opportunity to be contrarians and buy high quality dividend etf’s at a discount.
❤😊🎯💯 Thank you, Our Rich Journey!
Hi Amond & Kristina! (spelling - sorry)
Have you changed your stance on Bitcoin?
Another reason it's less likely to happen that way is because, despite how terrified everyone is and how they're predicting the crash, there is already an overwhelming amount of demand waiting to absorb it. As I will explain below, this prediction was not made in 2008, at least not by the general public. The other comment states that the ownership rate peaked in 2004. In the second quarter of 2020, we peaked, and now we are at the median level. It decreased by 3% between 2008 and 2012, and by the second quarter of 2020, it had declined from 68 to 65.
A stock market crash should only worry those closer to retirement. Otherwise people should just keep investing into voo or vti and chill
I FIRE'd last year, and am now committed to preserving my nest egg, which was developed from selling houses. No longer have any real estate in the US. Trying for the best capital appreciation while maintaining a 30 year horizon. Living in developing economies is a cornerstone of our success plan.
I'm a fan of your videos. The audio is a little low on this one.
I wish to ask what brand and model number of the radio on the bookshelf behind you 🤞
1:54 there's still a housing shortage with less people willing to sell...keeping their low interest mortgages.
Taylor Swift's eras tour saved the U.S. from recession. Love her!!!🤣🤩 Not worth mentioning that when mentioning how the economy behaves and the many factors?
Consistency is the key.
Factor 6 says it all: a handful of tech companies (‘the Magnificent Seven’) carry the indices while lots of companies are actually 20% or more from their highs. Look at the Russell 2000 as well: it’s negative for the year again after a horrendous 2022.
Alot of stocks I own have crashed! :) Why the homebuilders have not bottomed is beyond me. The stock market kind of has crashed but, only 1 or 2 sectors at a time. Not as a whole market though.
What is your take on investing in following ETFs, TQQQ, SPXL, URTY, SOXL?
Ok, I’ve got to ask: what’s the significance of the date 04.27.18 in the frame behind Amon?
Also, I appreciate that even as wealthy retired investors, you all support increased wages for employees where companies are thriving. To me, it shows an understanding of the longterm health of a company and the economy, rather than short term, and short lived, increase in profits.
My guess is thats when they retired.
@@MeltingRubberZ28No they retired in 08/2019. Amon + Christina what does it mean?
I totally relate to the family member showing up at Thanksgiving, talking all kinds of nonsense. The best thing for me to do at that point is to keep my mouth shut.
Apple back in 2011 was not as stable looking as it is now. I remember Steve Jobs was dying and eventually died. People were screaming that it could be the next Blackberry or Nokia phone collapse and that some innovation would replace it. It didn't look as rosy as it does now. A lot of times the riskiest assets provide the best returns and it is more important to know how much you need to put into a stock or investment that carries risks than it is about how rosy or risky it is. Because risk when it is decreasing in likelihood is where the returns are. Tesla too didn't look that great in 2013 even but it seemed possible and most electric cars had failed. It is about finding the stocks and companies that have depreciating risk. Panemics slowly get less risky. Wars eventually end. But the most appreciation happens when things look the most bleak when they really aren't.
I already skimmed off my stock market profits for the year during the summer highs. Now I will just lay back,....and not worry about 2024 until we get there. I always have 5 years of living expenses in cash to ride out any serious dips. No stress ,..no worries.
Have you worked out how much you have lost out by having 5 years living expenses held in cash compared to having it invested ,?
@@sarahann530he will find out in a few years
Smart
@@sarahann530 This is how I view it, too. However, had I not had 30% of my holdings in professionallly arranged, internationally diverse bond funds, that money wouldn't hve lost 20%. Better for a CD ladder in that case.
@@sarahann530 I know my cash is losing money to inflation,...but I sleep stress free every night It is still only a small percentage of my total portfolio,...so the rest is heavily invested .
Excellent observations, one thing I recommend is keeping an eye on China, they are facing a serious real estate and banking crisis that could drag the rest of the world economies downward. Also if they invade Taiwan, it will wreck havoc on supply chains for many industries and lead to American military involvement. Thank you again for another informative video.
So are you saying we should sell now ?
Thanks for your advice !! I'm selling all my portfolios.. before everything goes to hell 👍🏻
I thought we been crashing since 2021, with this year being the worst. What are we supposed to expect from a crash? A buying opportunity to buy stock at discount prices or does the word crash mean we headed to “0”. Maybe a just need a definition of market crash, all along I thought we been crash with periodic upticks here and there.
Interesting Thoughts🤔 Thanks Amon & Christina! 💝💝💝💝 Watching the signs. 💯🔥♥it! We all got that one family member SAY IT!!😂
In the past, crashes have always come AFTER the Fed stopped raising rates. Consumer debt at all-time highs. Mortgages at 20-yr high. Corporate debt refinance coming due in 2024 from 1.5% to 6%+. This is vaporware. 6% money market is just fine for now.
Even though prices are going up and buying power has gone down. The individuals 18-late 30s are spending. Retail sales are up 5%.
People are spending, however credit card debt went way up and savings went down across America in the 3rd qtr - continuing a multi quarter trend. Eventually the credit limit and the savings will run out.
Market had a bounce in the past few days. The third quarter numbers gave hope I guess
I agree
I think point 6 is everything. As you said Seen several others say that all other stocks/sectors are down on the year but the large tech companies are the only up and they account for a huge portion of the indexes. Not the safest but guess we have to ride it all out. Great info always 👍🏾
Taking early notes to the importance of sound asset diversification and risk management It can’t be overstated. I’ve been trying to grow my portfolio of $300K for sometime now, I would greatly appreciate any other suggestions.
I’m under pressure to grow my reserve that currently holds about $500k. I’m down by 20% already following the crash and I fear I could lose more.
GDP is up due to arms sales.
It has to do with the Fed. With rising interest rates, the fight to tackle inflation, the fed is expecting jobless claims to rise and people to stop buying at high rates. It will have a pull back, which is expected.
Market timing doesn't work. With a long-term view, the S&P 500 has always performed.
Reading from equity research firms recession are not on the horizon
Hi There
are you guys selling or holding
Time in the market beats timing the market so I'd assume that means they're holding
I don’t believe there will be a “crash”. Always adjustments and ups and downs, but no crash. Remember- patience is a virtue!
As a Federal employee, there still might be a Government shutdown. We're on a CR until Nov. 17th, so we can't rule that out.☹
High interest rates
Breathe. We are supposed to be calm adults, trust in the long term solvency of the market and stay the course.
That said, I have decided to cut a bunch of my losing bond funds, taking the losses to offset capital gains for tax management, and move some of that money to international CDs and real estate. We can get our residency in South America with bank investment and get 8.5% guaranteed. Helps on two fronts, and won't shrink the capital. Shifting a chunk of the holdings to building a casita in a dream location, which will give us a bolt hole to live, as wekk as capital preservation and potential income when we're not there.
The next decade is going to be a lost decade and those that don’t have 20 -30 years until retirement should be very careful in having all there investments in VTI/VOO add some percentage in VYM/SCHD because if the market drops 50% it may take more than a decade to recover. Japan has not recover from 1989 all time highs
We are in the USA in the mother of all bubbles in my opinion
So don’t sell?
Just buy more
If you think 2023 is wild, wait for election year.
No one can read the Stock market. People who tried to time the market are sitting on the sideline for years and has missed 500% gain.
2:37 The economy grew because of the Taylor Swift & Beyonce tours. Ticket sales, flights, & hotels added billions to the economy. Halloween spending was predicted to be $12B, and many have already started Chriatmas shopping...which all ADDS to inflation. Solution: shop small businesses which do not report to shareholders. 😊
Enlighten me. How does me doing my Christmas shopping add to inflation if I am not borrowing any money?
It has been heartbreaking to see how untethered profits have been from the average persons net worth and livelihood. It feels like a new gilded age. Things are booming as most people get poorer.
I really don't want 2029 to be a repeat of 1929.
It does feel like nothing has been learned, and the 21st century will be a repeat of the 20th.
The financial analysists are now saying the recession is coming next year, but they are usually not good at fortunetelling, I think there is a new normal developing in America and the rest of the World, many people will become less financially stable.
People know the stock market is forward looking. Once the fed starts cutting rates it will skyrocket.
The reason for no crash (yet):
1) Cooking the books
2) Nose dive enough for "pre-war" investors to gobble up low price stocks
3) Striking everywhere to lower the stocks
4) Purposely making confusion about the economy
5) Remember #2 and what is now going on
6) My prediction is that there will be a crash between August - October 2024
but I wouldn't be eager to invest just before the crash
But it’s impossible to know when the crash will occur 😀
Think outside the box instead. Don't let language or distance become an impediment to your overall happiness and decision to travel further away from your comfort zone back home in the U.S. It's a very BIG world out there, and indeed you have much better and affordable alternatives to Portugal as places to live such as Central America, Southeast Asia (Philippines) and Turkey to explore for much less money which would significantly improve your standard of living as well.
Quote:
If it's to be its up to me.
Don’t confuse everyone on the comments section.. what they are saying pick good sticks invest for a long term consistency… that’s it
When everything is Lehman Brothers, then nothing is Lehman Brothers.
👍
How old are U people?????
Like 40
❤
I disagree with this video. This is not the time to put money into the stock market and let it sit for years and years. Those days, and years, are over. The next few years will require investors to become more active and to trade their money from time to time, maybe every few months. You will need to become actively involved or you will get eaten and could go nowhere. That's the new market and new reality we are in and I am hearing this a lot from many prognosticators.
Love your channel! Our government has been lying about all of our economic numbers. We're entering an election cycle as usual. 😆 🤣 😂 😹 😆
I like your positivity but I think your wrong things look really bad now
The market is up because earnings are strong as in GDP. Although interests rates are higher than they have been, they are not high historically.
Only 5 banks failed this year. That’s been the trend for years. The only difference this year is the level of publicity.
In regards to wars, there are several wars going on every year. And the US typically has some level of involvement in them. Nothing new here.
Also, our companies are global. As time goes on US Political and economic factors have less of an impact.
Also, with 401Ks and pension funds, there are trillions essentially locked into the market thus providing support.
first 😁
Stock market already crashed last year
first here
THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT, THEIR COOKING THE BOOKS 📚
NOVEMBER 2023
Economy is booming because people are spending so much more.