As Kashmir & Nagaland reach historic turns, here’s the bell curve of how India defeats insurgencies
Vložit
- čas přidán 24. 08. 2024
- #CutTheClutter
This week, Kashmir’s division into two UTs will be formal and a Naga peace ‘solution’ will materialize. In episode 301 of #CutTheClutter, Shekhar Gupta explains how India successfully fights, defeats and co-opts insurgencies by following a bell-curve doctrine.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Connect with ThePrint
» Subscribe to ThePrint : bit.ly/Subscrib...
» Like us on Facebook: / theprintindia
» Tweet us on Twitter: / theprintindia
» Follow us on Instagram: / theprintindia
» Find us on LinkedIn : / thep. .
» Subscribe to ThePrint on Telegram: t.me/ThePrintI...
We count on good people to pay for good journalism. Please subscribe to ThePrint here: theprint.in/subscribe/ This includes the link for subscription from overseas too.
Hindi isn't my mother tongue yet i speak it fluently. I have no connection with Punjabi yet punjabi songs and bhangra are my favourite. There's a state where my language is spoken and my culture is followed and i am at peace with that. Nation is not about why 'tera' and why not 'mera'. Its about 'na tera' and 'na mera' but 'hum sabka'. Thats how we stay together.
Respect 🙏
Totally Agree with you, "United We Stand-Divided We Fall" is the hard truth for every Indian State\ethnicity. জয় হিন্দ
best comment I have ever seen
What a brilliant comment. Kudos
@@skntrn5195 Kashmiris will soon WIN freedom from ILLEGAL occupation by INDIAN forces , salute to the bravery of kashmiri freedom fighters , burhan wani zindabad , adil dar zindabad.....
Indian govt to Shekhar Gupta - Jor Jor se bolke sbko scheme bta de 😂😂😂
Sir I am from Tamil nadu, I have been following u very long time since.people of Tamil nadu loved our unity in diversity,our democracy and our constitution.
In Tamil nadu some political party's are the responseble to that insurgency perticularly DMK, to there political presence in Tamil nadu to loot the government money.
I live in chennai and i have noticed that dmk uses language as tool to get votes and they have been successful so far. The media here never shows anything good about the govt. I feel its okay to critisize the govt everyone should but we should also appreciate somethings that they do irrespective of polical party.
@@binithtiwari2020 me too near by Chennai 😀😀😀😀
Agreed. I am sure my Tamil Bros and sis wouldnt really go against our country, we are all in this together. Yes some forces exist but we can fight em easily
Ashok Kumar and many other commented here.... I strongly disagree with you. Because of Dravidian party like DMK Tamilnadu is one of the developed states in India and the state is far ahead in many human development index. Your hatred against DMK is due to the caste you belongs, which has never accepted all human races are equal.
@@cpselvam1 no body is denying that.
Such a well organised and explained work sir. For a moment had the feeling of being in a classroom with eyes, ears, mind and soul all under the control of the professor who used to teach us Economics.
Thank you very much...and I dread economics!
For god sake please don’t justify killings - we Indians are not #communist.
These ways adopted because Indira Gandhi needed #cimmunist support and also because of other weak governments. Now any one involved in killings should be punished by court ruling.
Are you trying to save Yasmin Mallik and supporting him to become a minister ? I am sorry to say that he WILL get life imprisonment for killing an serving Indian air force officer.
As a right-winger i was skeptical of shekhar gupta but i admit i find his 'cut the clutter' episodes very interesting and informative.
Thank you very much...we try to be neither left nor right!....SG
ThePrint - you need to try better. Remember that if you have been reporting for decades you have also been under “watch” for decades. I don’t care about communists but pls pls pls don’t justify killers becoming ministers. Just ditch that idea and style.
@@ThePrintIndia Oh please Shekhar ji! You are stunningly right wing. Typical of liberals I guess... Wolves in sheep's clothing.
@@MihirMishraMe You don't understand the Insurgency issues in North East..
It is out of your lemon's capacity.
This is one of the best videos I have seen, we usually takes our unity in diversity granted but what we don't realize is that there are people who fought and gave their lives for it.
So we should cherish this and should understand what it actually means and should be proud of it, because it is important.
We all have differences and stays in different places but when someone from some reason of INDIA achieves something, even though personally we don't get anything from that, still we feel happy and feel kind of a satisfaction. If some goes one more step and says his achievement is achievement of nation we feel like we achieved something. Isn't that important?
Thank you very much indeed...these are very kind words.... SG
@@ThePrintIndia Really thanks for this video and I am waiting for the Nagaland video.
Is it possible to make a video on death of Sri Lal Bahadur Sashtri ji because I am really curious to know more about that piece of history too.
Quality content....hands down🙏🙏🙏
I am from Delhi but I am happy that NE politics and people are getting the attention they deserve in media. Hoping for the same for the South. :)
Very well said. They have been unjustly ignored ever since jawaharlal nehru left them to Ram Bharose during the 1962 war with china.
A episode on RCEP.
Being a Tamiliam, I am extremely saddened by some of my Tamil brothers comments here.
Jefferson Rajkumar I don’t understand the context or intent of your comment.
Wonderful video...Brilliant, and well-read SG shining through...This would easily rank amongst your best so far...What's even better is that you bring stories of NE to mainland (normally, NE is ignored by mainstream media and thinking), and the theory of bell curve of insurgencies...Incisive and very articulate...Loved it...
Thank you very much indeed....we must all work together to ensure NE never feels out if sight, out of mind.... SG
One of the best episodes of cut the clutter.
Being an Assamese and who stays in Kohima, I must say understanding of Shekhar Gupta about NE region actually better than its local counterparts. As a matter of fact today I understand why ULFA leadership is still breathing because Indian Army is actually very well equipped to neutralise them in no time!!!
It is just not the leadership only. The cadre too has been slowly but steadily turned away from these types of activities. SULFA(Surrendered ULFA) members have been offered lots of rehabilitation programmes in the past.
Ki koisa buji pua nai
Its called iron fist with velvet glove.
Thank you very much. That’s very kind of you... SG
suduvai
Sir great coverage waiting eagerly on your coverage of Naga issue. hoping and looking forward towards a lasting peace accord
Thursday, if not Wednesday! Thanks for writing in.... SG
This was such an amazing episode.
India should always have a big heart and not only accept our diversity but also appreciate, be proud of and celebrate it. We are not a land and culture of a few centuries but thousands upon thousands of years. There are bound to be regional differences.
But our resolve to stay united must never shake. That would keep us all safe from outsiders.
@Saad King I don't believe in you. Special status of Kashmir was revoked because it was providing shelter to jihadis and terrorist. We will not have that problem with Nagaland
@Saad King keep dreaming. Article 370 was responsible for everything bad in Kashmir. It is the reason because of which pandits were forced to leave their homes and they are happy with revocation. Ladakh is happy with revocation, Jammu is happy maybe some terrorist were having problem doesn't mean everyone is not happy with that. You want us to consult those who are ready to kill anyone in the name of jihad. Who are brainwashed by bigots and terrorist from Pakistan. No need to consult such people's. We were the one who gave them special status and we can take away that whenever situation will be bad. Anyways 370 was a temporary provision and it has to be removed
Thank you very much. You make a great point...SG
@Saad King I could say that you have the same fate as the 5 men murdered today by kashmiris but I won't. I don't wish any bad to you.
@@ThePrintIndia Love you SG! You are amazing! Keep up the good work!
Sir that's Hindu culture which shows large heartness..
Blood of every Indian is one.
@@asimdas1013 but unfortunately culture of acceptance had changed as some people have embraced monistic religion which has problem with Indian culture and every other religion other than itself... And on other hand we have these Communist atheist who hate all the religions and are destroying even the history..
@@asimdas1013 still if hindus wouldn't have been generous in 1947 then no other community could have survived here for so long and even prosper. Just look at ethnic mixture of all of our neighbours be it china,pak, srilanka etc you will find some level of superiority complex which has ultimately driven minority communities out but hindus are indeed very generous people
We have to protect this culture. We have to stop pakistani/rss propaganda
@@sayandbnath what propaganda truth is truth Hindus consider everybody as equal that's why we give everybody their space we have not imposed anything on anybody..
This video may go down as one of the best journalism report ever in the history of India.
Our choices in videos are pretty common I feel😂 I see you literally on every video with India keyword lol
He speaks sensible, gives news not drama
Boxer gupta mast aadmi ha
Thank you. That is very kind of you...your response inspires us to do even better...SG
@@ThePrintIndia your welcome, now just don't turn into your leftist biased mode, people can see when you are leaning and when you are neutral, keep making more videos like this, I am sure this series will become one of the best shows on CZcams. We really need great neutral reporting in India.
Like ur example of jagga daku, his white horse and other peetu, teelu..😂😂😂😂
Some foreigner who will be watching this show, will google for these jaggu daku, and peelu, teelu.😂😂😂😂
Yeah myself from southern India 😜😜
@@MrHitchfan 🤣🤣
We don't consider bangalore and karnataka as South India and Shekhar ji is more obsessed with that only.
Samba wamba pilu tilu was funny 😛🤣🤣🤣
British left the stage 70 years back but their performance is still aching our heart head and soul.
Best thing about CTC, couptaji speaks directly from his experience and not some 3rd party articles or research. One of the best episodes of CTC.
Thank you very much....these are very kind words...and I presume you mistyped my second name! Pls write again... SG
@@ThePrintIndia 🤣🤣🤣 ,I know and you know that he didn't mistype it.
@@ThePrintIndia I didn't misspell your name at all Sir. Waise Do you still stand by that story ?
I remember the previous video on mizoram insurgency and since I'm from Assam and most of my friends from all different states and most of the people didn't knew about those facts. And it changed their minds too. Thank you sir for again a truly incredible video
This is one of the best clut the clutter episodes. Top quality content.
But magsaysay went to an idiot , unfortunately 🤣
@@abhi-_- sooooo true. That biased negative ravish
@@abhi-_- That award is kind of given to activists and plus in some ways it has lobbying and western backing involved. Shekar gupta is not any kind of activist journalist, he more of a analyst , if you like his analysis or not but you can't deny his analysis are highly informative and engaging. I get bored watching rubbish kumar.
You are different from other journalist,
I'm a Naga and I stand with my forefathers, we forgive but not forget.
Is thre any NAGALAND army .?? M from Shillong.!!😇..!! Jzz a qtn u have Bangladeshi immigrants .?? we hve a lot hre ..!!
Be proud to be Naga , be proud to be Indian , we need to stand United and help each other
@@prajwalhegde3270 we nagas are not proud to be indian because we are indian not by will but by force.I'm a proud NAGA.
@@Dragon94560 you are mistaking , today nagaland has the largest church in Asia , that's the sign of prosperity , hate is easy to spread but love is what jesus taught hope you understand before it's too late
Center should believe in "Unity in Diversity "
Very informative, thank you Mr Gupta. I look forward to your talk on how the Kashmir problem might be solved.
Being a student of mathematics...I can say that you are misquoting the Bell Curve. Bell curve is not pattern as you have said...It is about the Average found in Nature.
You could say it's the distribution of violence over time and say the mean violence is normally distributed
This is the truth of the matter a few lakh people can't Trump a billion people who want to live together and are proud to be indian so many people laid down their lives when they look down from the heavens and see the country going strong iam sure they feel their sacrifice was worth it. We will never surrender we will remain together till the end of times! Jai Hind! 🇮🇳🇮🇳🇮🇳
By far this is the most perfect analysis and quality content.
Thank you very much indeed...,SG
Im proud to be a naga...😍😍😍
Hey bro do u want to separate from india?
Mr Modi will be remember like a legend. Believe it or not but MR Modi gave the right of 18 lakh refugees, schedule caste and schedule tribes in Jammu and Kashmir. Balmiki community of Kashmir will worship him like a legend.save my comment for future
Claps claps .. this is only possible via youtube.. claps again...
Perfect timing for CTC.
Very well put! Bell curve theory appears to be fitting in most cases as highlighted. However does it fit into the global situations where Muslims are in question. Kashmir appears to be a different ball game because of the religion factor as so aptly said, perhaps by a journalist for the first time. Most speak about other reasons only. Hope the beautiful Kashmir too finds its stability.
Why does this channel have only 390k subs, should be more than a mil.
Thank you very much. Indeed we want, and I think deserve many more subscribers. Please do spread the word. We are still relatively new to CZcams. However, every subscriber for us is invaluable, beginning with you! Pjs do keep writing.... SG
ThePrint but sometimes I don't like ur opinion
Because a lot of people prefer item songs over such content.the low subscribers is proof what kind of people live in an immatured democracy.
You should also tell all of them why Naga army was form in the first place. What forced the Nagas to fight against Indian army.
Brother where can I find this information?
@an 63 Nagas and Indian both submitted to the Simon commission. Nagaland and India both fought as friends against British empire, subhas chandra bose said," when India get independence, India will always remember the help and support Nagaland." however sadly, they along with Japanese lose against the British empire at the battle of Kohima. After that, Nagas declared independence independence on 14 August 19
47, one day ahead of India. Mahatma Gandhi the father of India said, Nagas deserve to get independence and said India will be friends with nagas, however he too sadly died. Then came first PM of India Nehru, who send India military into Nagaland to crush Nagas and put them under India, and the rise of insurgency came up. What Nagas can't forget is, Indian Army came to Nagaland, they rape, kill childrens and elders. Kill all able bodied, and tried to rape every women. Burn down almost all village.
@@ez30yearsago48 From where did nagas got there weapons and training for insurgency.
@Jancy Varghese you sound like British back in colonial times...
@Jancy Varghese Nagaland was never apart of India, Nagas voted 99.9% in the plebiscite to become independent. Nagas submitted to become independent once British leaves in simon commission.
Research a bit of history before commenting blindly.
Nagas declared on 14 August 1947 to become independent one day ahead of India.
Nagaland is a country with its own government (Federal Government of Nagaland) with its own parliament(Tatar Hoho) with its own standing Army(Naga Army) having its own constitution and Flag.
Nagas helped Indian National Army led by Subhas Chandra Bose when he reach Nagaland, and Subhas Chandra Bose promise when India gets Independent, he promise India and Nagaland would be friendly countries. Even the Father of Nation of India Mahatma Gandhi said, Nagas should be Independent. However the first PM of India Nehru sent Indian Military into Nagaland( a foreign country), then Nehru along with President of Myanmar ( back then Burma) divided Nagaland.
Then both Indian and Myanmar use divided and rule policies
On the Indian side, Nagaland was divided Arunachal Pradesh (2-3 districts), Assam(Areas bordering present Nagaland where Many Naga tribes are divided today), Manipur( 3-4 district) and The state of Nagaland.
On the Myanmar side, Nagaland is divided into 4 parts,
1. NAGA SELF ADMINISTERED ZONE
2. Some parts of Eastern Nagaland into Chin State.
3. Some parts of Eastern Nagaland to Kachin
4. And the rest into saigang region state.
The present state of Nagaland is but a tiny part of our Homeland.
Fun Fact: Nagaland state under India was the only state under external ministry till 1980s, but India government use intimidating and force the puppet Chief Minister of Nagaland to speak to United Nations to bring the puppet state of Nagaland from external to home ministry.
However, even today Nagaland still has flag, status and position in the Unrepresented people of United Nations and regularly in contact with United Nations and countries around the world.
9:29 bro you just said oil hope no American hears that.😂😂🤣🤣
Im such a fool why would Americans watch this video.
Well researched content.
Love the way you declutter complicated things. I get so much knowledge from watching you.
North east needs development and most of its insurgency is because of the failure of the central governments in not doing anything in curbing the illegal bangladeshi influx in the Northeastern region......
Bro I understand Bangladesh is rebelling us with this most of them don't accepting the facts of illegal immigration problem. Congress wants the votes illegal muslims votes & BJP wants hindu votes. It became hindu Muslim problem.
Because you are mentioning bell curve so many times.. I should mention bell curve doesn't peak in the middle .. its mean in the middle... the two right and left extremes would represent extreme insurgency on one end and extreme peace on the other end..
Cut the clutter is becoming my addiction...such well researched topics and beautiful narration...Mr Shekhar Gupta is by far the most neutral journalist of post 2014 India...
Thanks a lot! It's extremely informative.
'Samba, Tamba, Pilu, Tilu' - best dacoit names ever 😝
Indians have learnt this art from their beloved masters, the British.
Thank you brother. Thank god u r not in india
Yes, and just like Bangladesh... Baluchistan will be freed from Pakistan's illegal occupation.
If wishes were horses... Modi (you know when you swipe for Modi, you get the suggestion. MODIFIED) has lost Kashmir. Balochistan has not been CURFEWED yet. India has craving for annexing land. Just reach out for any recent history document. If facts to stand witness, the giant map would be left headless and without the left arm. RASHTERWAD KI AFFUNE TUMHARA ANTT AARRAM KAR CHUKKI, JANNAN.
@@SMayedAli It's necessary to neutralize Radical Islam followers. We will succeed for sure. Just like China doing in Xinjiang, India also needs to run a program like Chinese govt to break them mentally.
It's not about Modi, I support other parties. But, when it comes to tackle desert cult Islam - we're one.
Takeaway Points from this video By Mr. Gupta :
1. Be Proud of Indian Govt. - GoI has never allowed secession missions or insurgencies be it Khalistan, Naxalbari, Tamil Eelam, NE insurgency or Jihad in Kashmir to be successful.
2. Brute Force meets Gandhi's principles - Though Mahatma Gandhi is the Father of the nation and we urge citizens to be SSS (self-styled Satyagraha) and resolving to non-violent methods. However the Government of India won't shy away from dealing rogue elements with an iron fist when the time comes.
3. Bell Curve based on Hegel's critique of pure reason - The bell curve of India's victory over anti-state elements are somewhat similar to Hegel's theory of thesis and anti-thesis. Hegel stated, if the world is socialist oriented in a state of theis for equality and social welfare then the anti-thesis would replace it when capitalism would be the way creating a consumer based society.
4. Army vs IB - We all know the methods in which the authority works. Secrecy and withholding information. If Indian Army is the brawns who can flex their muscles and easily flush out enemies then the Intelligence Bureau is the brain which thinks of the future events before those actions take place. Which explains why the ULFA and Maoists are still somewhat active because the lack of a leader can cause reintegration to society a very difficult task.
5. Sovereignty and Independence are not the same thing: A brilliant example is the hallmark of a great video. Loved the way Mr. Gupta gives the eg. of Poland & USSR. Poland was a sovereign state yet was it truly independent? We all know Moscow was running the counties from the Iron Curtain.
Lastly: India can teach a lesson or two to China and post-broken up territories like Yugoslavia and USSR. The trick to defeat your enemy is not making them feel that you are their opponent by having a big heart and coming to the people's consensus.
I want Print to pin this comment . 😘💓
बहुत ही बढ़िया विश्लेषण। शिखरजी के विश्लेषण ज्यादातर अच्छे होते हैं लेकिन उनमें से भी सबसे अच्छों में से एक है। कश्मीर के बाद नागालैंड और पूर्वोत्तर के विद्रोही गुटों के बारे में जिज्ञासा थी। उसके बारे में बहुत ही विस्तार से, सूक्ष्मता से और बहुत ही संतुलन के साथ विश्लेषण किया है।
barun kumar: SG justifying killings - we Indians are not #communist.
SG is trying to save Yasmin Mallik and supporting him to become a minister ? I am sorry to say that he WILL get life imprisonment for killing an serving Indian air force officer.
Wonderfully crafted analysis. Incisive and insightful 👍🏼
Our state is mature. Thank you Mr Gupta for this lucid analysis
We are indians by circumstances... Not by choice. Every nation has the right to be independent.
Dumbass, if everyone follows that philosophy there would be thousands of nation's and thousands of wars. Don't pretend like Naga are all United lol, there is plenty of infighting and politics that will destroy your society without government provision and oversight.
These procedures had already been tried in Kashmir. For example, Yaseen Malik was allowed to turn a politician from a militant. But it didnt get us the desired results. He enjoyed money from both India and Pakistan which was unacceptable and there had to be a change made in political tactics in j and k.
am surprised how he still not covered RCEP, plz do it before its signed off sir.
19:42 guys in funny shades...😂😂😂 I just can't appreciate more SG...
A masterly exposition of bell curve theory, force, persuasion and concession an outstanding formula.
Nowhere on conventional media do we find such a well made analysis.
Quality and unbiased content...👍.But other journalists from this channel are extremely biased.
Everyday I watch your episode Sir, my knowledge increases by 100 times more. 😍😍😍
Cut the Clutter is an awesome place to be for all political nerds .
The only sane channel on political analysis. The lectures by Proff Gupta ( that is what I like to call them!) easy to understand for common person. Thankful to the Print & you to start this series.
Pakistan broke up into pieces because two parts were just too far apart separated by hostile country. Even a first year student of geopolitics can tell that they won't stay together for long.
You did not mention role of Ajit Doval in getting Lal Denga. Can you do a piece on that.
It's also called Gaussian curve.
Being I'm from Mizoram , I just want to comment on how IG police officer was killed during insurgency in Mizoram way back in 1975. I would say IG was killed unintentionally rather than deliberate attempt. Basically he had been plotted to kidnap but something went wrong this time and had been killed unintentionally. Well, Mizo Insurgency was very remarkable in Indian History because it was the first time that Indian government had conducted Airstrike to her Insurgency though it was not written in any page of Indian History book
Love and regards from Nagaland.
That’s not how bell curves work! No wonder he became a journalist. Mathematics weak hain
Let's give credit to the honorable PM and BJP government of solving it
Instead of politicizing this, let us celebrate this unity in diversity regardless of our voting preference :)
NAGALAND PEOPLE ARE EDUCATED AND REASONABLE. SPENDING A FRACTION OF WHAT SPENT IN KASHMIR IT WILL BE A HEAVEN .I HAD BEEN TO NAGALAND AND MET MR VAMUZO ' LEADER OF OPPOSITION.
AND MR CHISI THE FINANCE MINISTER THEN.THEY WERE NICE GENTLEMEN. NAGA HILLS ARE VERY BEAUTIFUL NO LESS THAN JAMMU AND KASHMIR.
Art 370 has nothing to do with 371. Please read the provisions. 370 was temporary and transitional. 371 is permanent and special. Please read the PDF of the constitution.
god , 99.99% of indian don't know these stuff ,nor are they ever told off.
they are busy on pety BJP politics
i feel enlightened !!
Sir, what do you have to say about Naga demand for separate Naga flag and constitution?
nagaland should b recognise as a new country in asia.
@A Google Userbecause Nagas were not Indian by birth dont you know that?
Excellent simplification of a complex issue! Hats Off!!
" Yun to raha hai dushman dore jhana hamara, kuch baat hai ki hasti mitti nahi hamari"
Democracy always wins, love and respect for our ancestors and political leadership, love you The Print. ❤
U deserve a Magsaysay!!!
Magsaysay is for Communist cunts. He deserves a little better.
@@akshaysinha1993 Well said.
@@akshaysinha1993 butt hurt bhakt spotted...😂
@@rembrantwithagrenade171 rice beg converted spotted 🤣🤣🤣🤣
That’s very kind of you. The affection of friends like you us the best reward we seek....thank you..SG
He is just a brilliant journalist.
Indeed he is.....
Just sometimes he looses his track or gets biased .
@@newsupdates3622 if ur taste is republic tv , you can hardly find anything more interesting than that
Me and my friends do a shot everytime he says clutter lol
Professor SG, you are without a doubt a wonderful guide in the area of International and strategic affairs. Bravo!
Somraj Bhattacharjee - For god sake please don’t justify killings - we Indians are not #communist.
SG is trying to save Yasmin Mallik and supporting him to become a minister ? I am sorry to say that he WILL get life imprisonment for killing an serving Indian air force officer.
As a BJP supporter the only person from the left i listen to and believe in is you sir.
Bell curve = Normal Distribution
Goosebumps when u said India is determined to keep itself together.
Great information about Naga.... waiting for your Naga episode.
Keep sharing.
PS-I have been reading Loksatta since childhood..u know it's Marathi Ver if Indian Express.
U may not be in Indian Express...
But Indian Express is still in You.
Top quality content, the only journalist in India worth listening to...... I look forward to making sense of future indian developments with shekhar gupta. Thank you sir ji
You forget to mention the names of Mr Ajit Kumar Doval and Mr Swaraj who persuaded Pu Laldenga to surrender and accept Indian constitution. Also, several other IB, MI people were involved.
No insurgent leader are kill, this is just to promote himself he has no idea of northeast insurgent
Your use of the statistical representation of a "Bell Curve", to describe the pattern of insurgency in India may not be strictly accurate. The concept of the "Bell Curve" in statistics is not used to represent the changing pattern of something - here insurgency - over time. It is rather the representation of the normal distribution of a feature like, height,weight or level of income in a population. Such features in a large population is distributed in the shape of a "Bell Curve" where the largest number of people are closer to the mean and the people with extremely low or high features at either end of the curve. Even though what you said about the natural course of insurgencies in India tend to peak and then fall, and hence is shaped like a "Bell Curve", statisticians will not be using that term for such events which are progressing in a temporal fashion rather than being a static function fixed at a particular time.
Factually incorrect. The Kandahar hijacking showed capitulation by the Indian government
Certainly the best and most well researched study on insurgency anywhere.
The problem with the bell curve theory here is, you can determine the peak only in hindsight.
Please have a podcast channel to publish Audio of cut the clutter
Sir you are explaining very well
Mr Gupta: "Bell Curve" model does not work here. The curve places random data as they distribute themselves within the bell shape: most in the middle, extremes at the two other ends. Typically, how scores in a standardized exam. distribute themselves: highest few at one end; lowest few at the other end, most falling in between. Your use of the model merely as a chronological process does not work. Surely you must have friends in economerics . Consult with them.
Most of these insurgencies are seeing final light(last leg of resolutions) only during past 5 years with serious efforts by Modi government. But this guy choose to be deliberately blindsided and silent on this!
Great episode. Great theory. It is known that the balance of power is overwhelmingly in favour of indian state, but what cements it , as Shekar says, is the strong will not to loose even inch and finally accomadate the enemy into the larger indian psyche.
Let me try and add to the theory, even in cases like kashmir the bell curve will work, with an exception that the peak will not slide down quickly but will be a plateau for some time, as long as the enemy foreign state is able to support. Once it weakens, the slide starts.
I have learned more about Indian post-independence history from watching National Interest and Cut The Clutter than I have from decades of mainstream news. Thank You.
Who is the mod for national interest?
RESPECT 🙋
VP Singh govt and Current Congress both are not useful for country
Yeah, ever since these Italian genes mixed with the Gandhi genes
Rarely found positive videos by Gupta ....👍👍👍
Great presentation and learning for a Newfie like me, who just only heard about Nagaland, but had no history and background. I will appreciate a full presentation of your speculations from various angles on Jammu & Kashmir.
11:00. IC 814 was another unfortunate capitulation
had bjp didn't handed over that terrorist (massod),then parliament and mumbai attack would not have taken place. Still today that guy is planning against india.
जय भोलेनाथ जय भोलेनाथ we handed the master mind then , that mistake still India is suffering. Only time will tell now if this decision was good or bad .
@जय भोलेनाथ जय भोलेनाथ u are a joker i guess. why are people celebrating baghdadi death. its because that is the fall of isis organization . terrorist are nothing without leaders . just like bjp is nothing without modi and congress is nothing without gandhi
I have been watching 'Cut The Clutter' since episode 1 and have never missed even a Single episode of Shekhar Gupta ji.Although sometimes I did have different viewpoints against his views but largely I have really liked his way of de cluttering the issue.
And this EPISODE has to be one of the best,if not the best in entire CTC history...
Indira Gandhi once said India want Nagaland not naga.
I thought I knew everything, but listening to you I know lots more . Your videos should be shown in school & colleges ❤️