Breakthrough Junior Challenge 2020 || Probability Theory: Frequentist Vs. Bayesian

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  • čas přidán 5. 09. 2024
  • This video discusses Probability Theory and the fundamental divide between the Bayesian and Frequentist interpretation of probability. It also discusses how these interpretations of probability effect statistical inference.
    Frequentist probability and inference is commonly taught at the advanced high school or college level, but Bayesian probability and inference is rarely taught in anything other than graduate-level classes, if at all.
    If you have any questions, please ask away, or do some research of your own!
    -Adam Pierce
    |Music|
    Half Mystery by Kevin MacLeod
    Link: incompetech.fi...
    License: creativecommons...
    |Sources/Good Reading Material|
    blog.efpsa.org/...
    towardsdatasci...
    www.ncbi.nlm.n...
    statisticalsup...
    ejwagenmakers.c...
    |Image of Dice|
    commons.wikime...
    |Cool Article Using Bayesian Belief Networks|
    www.nature.com...
    #breakthroughjuniorchallenge

Komentáře • 18

  • @andrews9719
    @andrews9719 Před 2 lety +15

    I’ve been watching videos on Frequentism vs Bayesian stats, and I have to say, this short video did more to explain the difference between the two than other videos that were much longer. Great job.

  • @joshmoore1292
    @joshmoore1292 Před 11 měsíci +4

    Really good explanation. I have a masters in analytics and i can honestly say ive never heard this defined in such a clear way. Well played!

  • @gustav.bgidon.skonig6727
    @gustav.bgidon.skonig6727 Před měsícem

    I swear i watched hour lomg discussions on frequentist vs basian statistics. You made me understand the difference in 2 minutes where their long ass videos did not help at all ... keep it up

  • @ZombieMagnum
    @ZombieMagnum Před 2 lety +5

    I think this video managed to explain why frequentists use pvalues and confidence intervals which I was really struggling to grasp.
    thank you!

    • @amante2443
      @amante2443 Před 2 lety

      Is that the red bit around 1:40? That's where he explains and shows in red, "observed data" against a blue, "artificially generated 'data' assuming our hypothesis is false"?
      If so, would the p-value be a numerical value of that red bit and the confidence interval be the variance or width of that red bit? If not, then I'm still really struggling.

  • @EffectiveMuscle
    @EffectiveMuscle Před 3 měsíci

    Very well explained. I like your style

  • @dacianbonta2840
    @dacianbonta2840 Před 15 dny

    going down that rabbit hole of bayesian and frequentist.
    but as bayesian, how do you even know the shapes of your alternative distributions? and AoC is coming for both' lunches
    bottom line, if you scratch a bayesian hard enough, a frequentist will bleed. And surely vice versa.

  • @emotionalmindedstate
    @emotionalmindedstate Před 4 měsíci

    You have 1 million of bushels of sand. 200 000 of them containing red sand. What frequentist and Bayesian probability of finding a red sand bushel you have if you can take only 10 attempts, 100 attempts, 1000 attempts, 100000 attempts, 200000 attempts?

  • @EdoardoMarcora
    @EdoardoMarcora Před rokem

    Brilliant!

  • @brezl8
    @brezl8 Před 6 měsíci

    great!

  • @sarahclementine1414
    @sarahclementine1414 Před 3 měsíci

    Wow I thought I had my video on 2x speed 😆

  • @wadegruber2119
    @wadegruber2119 Před 3 lety

    Nice vid! Thanks

  • @redangrybird7564
    @redangrybird7564 Před 3 lety +3

    Why did you stop making stats videos?
    Thanks, take care

    • @adampierce3212
      @adampierce3212  Před 3 lety +6

      This video was for a specific scholarship competition. However, I will likely be posting videos for similar projects in the future.

    • @redangrybird7564
      @redangrybird7564 Před 3 lety +2

      @@adampierce3212 ok all good ✌😀

  • @ailurophile4341
    @ailurophile4341 Před 2 lety +3

    Bro you're too fast. Calm down.

    • @katharina5442
      @katharina5442 Před 5 měsíci +1

      looks like this video had to be less than 3 mins short? but watching it on 0.75x speed helped me to follow

    • @jacobvandijk6525
      @jacobvandijk6525 Před 29 dny

      The empathy of smart people with less smart people is usually not very big; the more so at a younger age.