Russia’s ‘theatrical’ nuclear weapons drills & Ukraine’s theory of victory | Ukraine: The Latest
Vložit
- čas přidán 21. 05. 2024
- Day 812. Today, further to the fast-evolving situation on the front lines, we reflect on how Ukraine might win the war, the ‘theatrical’ nuclear weapons drills being carried out by Moscow, and look deeper on the political fault-lines of Central and Eastern Europe.
Contributors:
Francis Dearnley (Assistant Comment Editor). @FrancisDearnley on X.
James Rothwell (Berlin Correspondent). @JamesERothwell on X.
Hamish De Bretton-Gordon (Former Tank Commander and Chemical Weapons Expert). @HamishDBG on X.
Dalibor Rohac (Senior Fellow AEI) @DaliborRohac on X.
'The villages near Kharkiv were recovering. Fleeing again, their people feel betrayed by the west - and I understand why' (Ada Wordsworth in The Guardian):
www.theguardian.com/commentis...
'A Theory of Victory for Ukraine' (Andriy Zagorodnyuk and Eliot A. Cohen, Foreign Affairs):
www.foreignaffairs.com/ukrain...
Putin targets German speakers in Russia in search for cannon fodder (The Telegraph):
www.telegraph.co.uk/world-new...
'The EU is failing Georgia, just as it failed Ukraine' (Dalibor Rohac in The Telegraph):
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024...
'Exclusive: Pentagon's Russian Oil Red Line Questioned' (Newsweek)
www.newsweek.com/pentagon-rus...
Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatest
Email: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.uk
Soo much blood on Mike Johnson's hands and on going. Invite him for a visit.
The blood is on B Johnson and V Nulands hands
@@mitchyoung93ok comrade.
@@mitchyoung93 What's the weather like in Petersburg?
@@midimusicforever Florida or Lenin Oblast
HE IS A PAID PROPAGANDIST AT 55 SAVUSHKINA ,,, R 200 per hour to send multiple propaganda on many websites - rus SLAVE AND pidoraz
I have a feeling this is not going to end well for anyone
This is definitely not going to end well for Russia
Being afraid is exactly what the Russians want. There is only a very small chance that they will ever use nuclear weapons. And that chance has not increased any lately. Even China doesn't want Russia to use nukes. If Russia used nukes, even "battlefield nukes", it would almost certainly bring the US into the war and that would be the end for Russia. Putin knows this. However Putin wants us to be afraid of him and to think that the chances of nuclear war are much higher than they actually are in order to prevent support for Ukraine. Fear is the real enemy. Slava Ukraini!
Being afraid is exactly what Putin wants. We can't give in to fear.
It's not going too well for Ukraine so far
@@arthurarthur6083 - why embarrass yourself, put some skin in the game ?
Nice to see that journalism still exists in this world, have been listening for many months.
Well produced and well presented, as usual. A very important subject that the world needs to take a whole lot more seriously.
Love satire
@@ishmaelharris3948 Non-sequitur of the week.
For real
No journalism here just pure propaganda
@@stephenglover1818 👈🤣🤣🤣🤣🤡
But this is old news about the Georgian law because the president has already vetoed it and it has gone back to parliament.
@marisabenson1222 their president does not have a majority. Those bringing this ruling are the ones that have more clout, and probably back handers from Russia.
"They are not an unstoppable juggernaut"
Lets go Francis!
But in essence they almost are! They have complete disregard for human life as their soldiers (the vast majority) are used as canon fodder. They've done an excellent job of copying and employing Britain's war strategy during the Great War (fill the trenches with those ddirty Commenweallth peoples) while the Officer Corps sips an "afternoon tea". The Germans were shocked to find so many Hindus and other tribal type peoples in those Allied trenches. So we must credit the Soviet Union with copying from the best (Johnny Bull, of course!).
but they are an unstoppable juggernaut, just like they were in 1944-45.
They are. They just are. It's undeniable.
@@yuglesstube I deny it. Lost half the territory they once held : stoppable and repulsable.
For God's sake USA, grow some!
As was the case before WW2, the US has internal conflicts that were resolved by external threats, namely the belligerence of the axis powers.
Why don't u go fight dumb dumb?
grow some what? lgbtq apples?
I suggest that the nuclear weapons are not stage props.
Having lived under the nuclear threat for 60 years, it is used for defence not attack.
GB is going down.
The UK is already ruined by politicians of the past 14 years, it can not get much worse.
I love the way the USA is the whipping boy for all of the military issues in Ukraine.
Thx guys
I want whatever your script writers are smoking 🚬
"Ngabe sesikhona" kubuza iNuclear War
Why were comments about the the 77 year old Russian scientist being sentenced being removed when it is already in the public domain?
In Ukraine, a grandmother 63 years old was sent to prison for 5 years because she congratulated Yuri Gagarin on Cosmonaut Day on her social networks.
With a straight face! Amazing!
If the countrys giving support dont act swiftly, then troops will have to be put on the grounds of ukriane.
Why?
Really?
The knitted hats on British Post Boxes remembering D day in Britain are fabulous 😍
Does anyone truthfully understand where and what happened at Chornobyl is within Ukraine?
Yes Minister (1980s Comedy/Documentary) had running jokes about the Foreign Office. 40 years later, nothing has changed.
The German speakers in Russia- were they trapped there after WW2 or did they move when the iron Curtain / Wall came down?
On May 22, Russian forces launched a series of strikes with drones and missiles on Ukrainian military facilities in the rear regions. During the day, explosions thundered in several cities, including Dnipro (Dnepropetrovsk) in the east of the country.
Footage from Russian reconnaissance UAV confirmed the successful results of the strike in Dnipro. The attack targeted the local Aviatorskoe airbase that hosted different Ukrainian aircraft. The local residents confirmed that the black smoke was raising from the airbase as a result of the attack.
The airfield was struck by Russian Iskander-M missile reportedly with cluster munition. The attack was coordinated by Orlan-10 reconnaissance UAV.
The analysis of the footage confirmed that the missile struck the parking lot of the disabled Yak-40 and the MiG-29 of the Ukrainian Air Force. The fire seen on the video confirmed the explosion of the fuel or ammunition of the MiG-29 fighter.
The depletion of Ukrainian air defense allows the Russian military to facilitate its strikes in the Ukrainian rear, including far from the frontlines. Russian reconnaissance UAVs face no obstacles coordinating the precision strikes on the strategically important facilities.
I would be guided by De Bretton Gordon. The use of nuclear weapons would unleash a different kind of war and be a step far for the west to tolerate. The capability of Ukraine to take them out is being monitored very carefully by the sound of things.
Apparently the FPV drones are quite good at taking out tanks. I wish the Ukrainian drone pilots luck.
The president of Georgia vetoed already
U think that that benefits u?😂😂😂
But the American Congress approved the aid package for Ukraine. Only weapons and ammunition. In fact, expired ammunition and discarding and deactivating it would be more expensive than storing it in Ukraine. They are not worried about lives
Veteran Combate👍👍👍👍👍👍🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇦🇺🇦💪
Russia exports oil and ukraine is hitting refineries that refine the oil into other products such as petroleum and diesel that they need for there military vehicles, by hitting these refineries they are limiting the russian military when diesel stores run low and not effecting the export of the raw oil product.
Ukraine and the West need to make widely publicly know its Theory of Victory
Kaja Kallas, in a public forum called for the breaking up of the Russian Federation - ( ''It is not a bad thing when a big power becomes much smaller'' ). She isn't the only significant political figure to 'let the cat out of the bag' regarding the Wests intentions towards Russia. Does the Telegraph agree with her sentiment ? If so, how do thet expect Russia to react to this barely disguised threat ?
the telegraph does not remember this clinical idiot Liz Truss, who was the first to threaten the use of nuclear weapons against Russia. "'The girl is a little out of her mind': Putin criticises Truss on nuclear weapons stance
Já não há paciência para aturar um tipo como o Putin!
SLAVA UKRAINI HEROYAM SLAVA 🇺🇦
Rubbish
Very true
LONDON (Reuters) -Russian physicist Anatoly Maslov was convicted of treason and sentenced to 14 years in a penal colony on Tuesday in the latest of several cases against experts working on the science underpinning Russia's development of hypersonic missiles.
White-haired Maslov, 77, stood in a glass box in the St Petersburg courtroom and listened attentively without showing emotion, as the judge read the verdict after a trial that was closed to the press. He had protested his innocence.
He's a traitor to his country...end of story !
@@samsungtap4183 He is a traitor to the rule of the Mafia Kremlin which has no legitimacy and is conducting a genocidal war in Ukraine - this is not the end of the story no less than the beginning
I am under impression USA will not allow any NATO weapons, this includes UK & France.
If true.....
Why?
I don't understand what America is doing to Ukraine 🇺🇦 by protecting enemy only fiew kilometres from Ukraine 🇺🇦 border.
It's called appeasement, which never works, it only makes the aggressor more brazen.
I dont think its America in general. Biden doesn't have the backbone, as he has shown time and time again.
By doing this they prolong the war and the debt of ukraine deepens, it seems like politicians in the US want this
America does not want its cities incinerated by those nuclear shovels the Russians have. Get it ? Those super quiet Russian submarines are loaded with them and patrolling both US coasts 24 h.
They CAN strike military targets in Russia, just not with non Ukrainian weaponry.
UK needs fall-out treatment centres
or a better foreign policy?
I just watch a computer simulation of a nuclear exchang betweem Nato and Russia....every country suffers but the UK ceases to exist. It's gone, no survivors and uninhabitable for a thousand yrs ?
@@aac74 do they have one that isnt from 1800s?
Excellent contributions from James Rothwell and Dalibor Rohac ... UTL is maintaining momentum while others are flagging ... mainstream coverage in Australia has almost disappeared. R (Australia)
Aaargh - Stop saying 'Nucular'!
Ukraine has been striking oil refineries, not oil drilling facilities. Thus, there would be no effect on global oil prices. In fact, the price of oil may actually decrease because it would force Russia to export more oil that she can't refine.
Also, if anybody representing the US government, (State Department, DOD, etc.) on official US government business is urging Ukraine to stop striking Russian refineries because it would hurt Biden's reelection bid, that person would be violating The Hatch Act. I don’t know how it works in the UK, but it's illegal to actively campaign for a political candidate while conducting official US government business.
Those laws don't apply to Democrats
They probably have shares in the oil companies so politicians want to stop the strikes and we all know politicians will only do what benefits their pockets.
It's NUCLEAR, not Newcuelar -
😂At the beginning of the conflict in Ukraine, the cost of one 155-mm projectile was about 2 thousand euros ($2,721). By the fall of 2023, the price of one ammunition had quadrupled to 8 thousand euros ($8,489.6
This is a lie from a troll. Look it up.
@@andyreznick look it up: operating and support costs for the M982 Excalibur - a GPS-guided 155-mm artillery shell supplied to Ukraine - nearly doubled between 2011 and 2022 to roughly $100,000 per shell, according to a Government Accountability Office report
@@andyreznick why nafo clowns so incredibly stupid?
Thanks once again for a very interesting, if not sobering podcast today. I am a Brit living in France, wanting to be European. However, I am reminded, once again of the lack of linked-up thinking amongst the sleepy Western Nations to the absolute need for united co-operation between all countries that are threatened by what certain other parts of this world are already collectively wanting and planning for - right now ! Our cherished democracies are under the greatest threat ever, the time for unity and joint action to protect our values has arrived. It seems so obvious to us individuals who watch events as they are being played out by growing numbers of authoritarian nations who are planning their moves. The Russian war in Ukraine is just one of the moves towards their ultimate goal. It is highly stressful to observe, like watching a class chessboard. The lack of urgency from our leaders, who are too afraid of paper tigers, to take the necessary decisions to at least acknowledge the need for an organised joint debate. I fear it is might already be too late to halt the change that is desired by power-hungry dictators and their blinded followers !
The first obvious step has to be : Give the Ukrainians the right to fight back and defend themselves how they wish and remove this unbelievable caveat to not fire back at their enemie's territory. The huge monies being spent to provide weaponry will be totally wasted if it cannot be used efficiently - and correctly !
Slava Ukraine !
The Ukraine needs The Telegraph listeners to volunteer for the Ukrainian army NOW.
No Ukraine needs russians to go home.
The Ukraine needs The Telegraph staff to volunteer for the Ukrainian army NOW.
@robertsteele474 get your cousins to leave ukraine and go home. Then the blood shed can stop.
Slava Ukraini!
I wonder if the USA restrictions on using supplied items outside of Ukrainian territory, will apply to F16 air to air missiles targeting Russian aircraft over Russian territory. If the USA does that, my faith in my government will reach a new low.
USA ran from Afghanistan. Scared off by a bunch of beards. US has never fought a real country. When US landed in Normandy, 80% German soldiers were busy fighting Russia. US can only fight weak/poor countries like Panama, Nicaragua, Vietnam (and even then they run, eventually).
If Russia lobs a nuke or two into some highly populated city in UK or USA, US cannot even retaliate. Look at the map. US/UK/EU pack 20 times more people in 1/3rd the land. Nuke exchange is terrible for US and UK.
And if China joins in (they do have a pact with Russia), then USA will be the way it used to be before white people invaded, killed 12+ Million native Americans to create USA in the first place.
Be thankful that US knows the facts, and doesn't want to fight Russia.
😅😅😅😅😅Really, that the thing 😅😅😅😅
Don't forget the can opener
The Russians have the R-37m ready for the F-16.
As the rules are now Ukraine will not be able to hit the fighters launching glide bombs from their border.
Jordan just retired their fleet of Challenger tanks, has there been any consideration to recondition these units for Ukrainian service?
I think they use different ammunition than every other tank, logistic nightmare.
Further escalation of this war is a very bad idea. Thats why crossing these red lines is a dangerous thing to do.
We poke the bear and the panda at our peril.
Orcsville is alive on here
No to Mark Rutter
keep the excellent reporting coming. great work
good useful important vital information
Bless Ukraine and Bless the AFU
My heart is breaking for the peaceful people of Ukraine.
May Ukraine have all defense systems to protect itself possible
May Ukraine retake all its land
saint javelin
#CrimeaIsUkraine
saint Himars
#WhatWeAreFightingfor
#Ukraine #War #Ctrl_Z
Here's what red-black banner of 'peaceful people of Ukraine' stands for en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Massacres_of_Poles_in_Volhynia_and_Eastern_Galicia
Saint The money ...
Bla bla bla...Ukraine is still holding Bakmut YEAH
From Konstaintynivka up to Sloviansk is THE defense line..belive thats what Russia want but imo thats almost IMPOSIBLE to take(if Ukraine have ammo etc)..to me it looks like they going for that..
theory of victory ?
That's a polite way of saying,
"delusional, speculative bullshit."
@@Llewellyn2844That awkward moment the West thought Russia was going to be like Afghanistan, then losing to Afghanistan.
They had like 30 + countries, the taliban were outnumbered 1000s to 1.
@@Llewellyn2844 More like - "reframing narrative to fit events".
@@seamuspadraigsanders431 Russia lost in Afghanistan even earlier.
@@frankshailes3205 What year was that ?
Ukraine could have won in 2022 if the west hadn't been so sluggish.
Crimea river.
crimeajewel
Ukraine's weapons production capabilities were lost in 2005 with the help of the West. the West intensively bought machine tools as scrap metal for pennies. The workshops where tanks and guns were produced were repurposed for warehouses of multinational Western companies. Russia is economically stronger
Too many don't want Ukraine to win.
won what? they could have taken Moscow, but still lose the war, there simply is not the logistics to defeat Russia. Although if they took Moscow then there would be no electricity or factories in Europe by now
Appreciate the Daily Telegraph's and some of their commentors (mostly Brits) Racial Hatred of all things Russian,keep it up.
Russia needs to abide by the UN and go home. USSR is history ,Putin needs to accept Russia is a tadpole in a big pond with a tiny GDP so the ending will be the same as Hitler. The free World is not interested in Russia it’s just another North Korea . Soon the USA will allow strikes on Russia so there will be a level playing field. Get used to eating with chop sticks.
Forbes today estimated Ukrainian mineral resources at 15 trillion dollars. This applies only to the territory of Donbass, Dnepropetrovsk and one other region, I forgot which one. If Ukrainian mineral resources are worth so much, the question begs to be asked: what is the value of Russian mineral resources, since Russia is the richest country in the world? The West has so far invested about $600 billion in the conflict in Ukraine, which is 26% of all dollars that are in the United States. If a person invests a quarter of his entire property in such an expensive project, costing more than seven times his entire property ($2.26 trillion), then it becomes clear that this person will not stop halfway. Therefore, world war is inevitable.
Listener from NZ. I have a question: We have seen a complete shift in warfare with homemade low cost drones using off-the-shelf components, I wondered if we can expect to to see homebuilt guided missiles? The longest range Qassam rocket's produced by Hamas which runs on just sugar and fertilizer have a range of about 16km, however these fire indiscriminately, now with Inertial Navigation Systems & GPS being so cheap it seems like a possibility.
new zeland zombie never been to Ukraine or Russia
There is no difference between theory and practice, in theory. (Yogi Berra).
When the history of this war is written, this podcast will prove to have been wildly incorrect for the most part.
A lot of Poland's success is due to proximity to Germany. Poland, like Mexico, has prospered from integration with a neighbouring economic giant.
Ukraine down to circa 20 - 22 million population. U.S. and UK assisted.
Ok comrade
More realistically about 30 million
Biden,Sullivan LIFT THOSE RESTRICTIONS NOW!!!!
Biden just read your message in the CZcams comments. Low I.q.
Sup bois
🇺🇸❤️🇺🇦 forever
Nauseating telegraph
President Salome Zourabichvilli has vetoed the divisive law that has sparked riots in Georgia. .Ms Zourabchvilli is an opponent of Irakli Kobakhidze the Prime Minister. The Russians are nervous because Georgia was granted EU candidacy in 2023.
I wish the protests luck.😺
it is truly sad to see so many people cheer on a lost war of lies.
Well said....voice of truth
Blames United States more then Russia 😂😂
Russian President Vladimir Putin signed on Thursday a decree allowing for the use of United States assets in Russia as compensation for Russian assets seized by the US. The measure was taken as Western allies moved to use assets frozen as part of sanctions against Russia to help Ukraine.
The assets liable to be liquidated by Russia include movable and immovable property and securities. The decree states that the Russian Government Commission on Control over Foreign Investments will be able to compile a list of assets to be used as compensation "taking into account the principle of proportionality."
People think EU is an amazing rich paradise, meanwhile we can barely afford rent and farmers are narrowly avoiding bankruptcy.
Dude, I can't read it. It's a radio program.
Plenty of money for the military as usual
@@dessmith7658 Exactly, just read the docu for CONELRAD. Set the AMP for 169 and downturn it to match the outgoing signal at 65 ocp per second. Done.
Guys there’s no video.
@@dessmith7658and politicians pockets, supporting companies they have shares in
The Ukrainian Armed Forces acknowledge that Kiev might have to agree to loss of territory in order to end the conflict in Russia, ABC reported citing commander of the 57th Ukrainian armed forces Brigade, Colonel Alexander Bakulin.
According to Bakulin, the current conflict will end with peace talks and a subsequent peace agreement, just like any other similar conflict. The TV channel notes that Bakulin seems ready to accept that Ukraine would have to agree to territorial concessions, like Finland did during the Soviet era.
"Yes, it lost some territories. But it still does exist as a country and Russia doesn't even look in that direction. We are in a similar position, but I hope we will not lose our land," the colonel said.
Bakunin added that the Ukrainian forces try to stabilize the situation at the frontline, but the Russian Army "continues to achieve constant success" in the Kharkov Region. He also noted that the situation for the Ukrainian forces remains "rather difficult", because fighting goes on, while the US military aid has still not been delivered.
Previously, Ukrainian commander-in-chief said that there is a threat of Russian forces circumventing the Ukrainian troops in the Kharkov Region. Kiev admits that the situation there is extremely tense.
Russia has repeatedly underscored that Western arms shipments and training of Ukrainian soldier only prolong the conflict and do not change the situation on the battlefield.
Yes theatrics because Putin is a real luvvie.
Always nice to see what the other side has to say. Been a hilarious listen.
Not as hilarious as the Russian army and Black Sea sunken fleet….
@@APW-ry2ok dear oh dear
Ukraine is winning again is it?
Ukraine will win good wishful thinking
Russia playing like Man City.
Whatever that means
@@dessmith7658 it means they cheat.
115 charges too at the Haag though in international criminal court
er okay thanks
@@anthonyhulse1248everyone cheats
Spoiler alert! Ukraine ain’t winning no war
I'm sorry but the US is not obligated to win this war for Ukraine. Unless Ukraine is formally part of the US and not a sovereign country anymore.
The US is not obligated to appease Putin and desert its friends either.
The US instigated it, as they do most all conflicts. They owe Ukraine, and need show some backbone at least.
The US needs Ukraine to win or they won't have enough allies to deal with China.
The US should honor its promise to protect Ukraine when they demanded Ukraine disarmed its nuclear arms.
@@evelbsstudio yes they should. At least the uk sort of is.
Is Putin trying to show that he has a bigger one than Kim?
Ukraine will win by creative tactics. Like forcing Russia out of Crimea, then moving up the Sea of Avoz coast to encircle Russia's Kherson region forces. Eventually Putin will be replaced as a Loser, then Russia will give up, as they did in Afghanistan.
I am not a military analyst...but what are the limitations of a combined arms war fare? Is it a magical bullet? How come the 50 contact group of NATO and its friends failed to implement it in the super duper counter offensive...
That’s easy not enough weapons where given by the free world F16s for example …..
Gutter news from a desperate nation
So if Georgia's Constitution prescribes a government that acts to subscribe to EU membership ,,,, is the Foreign Agents law unconstitutional?
So the war is horrible? o.k
well next time honour Minsk 2 Accords simple as that.
/test/
/test successful/
"Ukraine might WIN the war"... 🤣 😂 🤣
"Today, we reflect on how Ukraine might win the war."
What the hell are they smoking at the Telegraph??
Hopium
The propaganda here is helping no one. Be prepared for devastating consequences.
Was soll der scheiß?
Is that dude, Hamish… for real???
❤Ukrainian ❤
The majority of comments on here inform me how insane the West has become.....stupid is stupid does🤡🌎
Ukraine no chance of winning this war . Fact
.
😂😂😂
Slava ukraini
as part of Russia
theatrical is your most pathetic 'Journalism'. LOL someday I will give a free lecture on modern independent journalism.
Desperation in Ukraine, as cities are deserted because no one wants to die for the comedian, now that he has lost legitimacy as a democratic president!
Guys, there's no video.
Deleted
It's a podcast bruh
New european dictator! Zelensky.
Congratulations. Perpetual Power.
Yes, Following the Ukrainian constitution is clearly the same as not holding elections on a presidential whim.
I do wonder if he'd really go there over Ukraine. If US/UK were trying to take Moscow? Yes, absolutely he would If US/UK are trying to restore Ukraine to 1991 borders (and put their navies into the Black Sea)? Probably he would. If it were just NATO coming in to prevent Ukraine from complete loss; no, I don't think he would. However, I really don't see the point in finding out...
The point IS, Russia invaded Ukraine, the US and UK have signed the treaty of Minsk , that allows them to defend Ukraine, if Ukraine was attacked after giving up their nuclear weapons ( which Russia ALSO signed) So legally the US and the UK could give Russia an ultimatum to get OUT OF UKRAINE (within so many days)_ or else face military action from the US and UK ( with NATO ever present) The US already warned Russia that ANY USE of nuclear weapons, tactical or strategic, would bring down a world of hurt on Russia's military and Putin may be a dictator, but dictator's LOVE POWER, and Putin would lose all in a nuclear exchange.
@@abot5381 Didn't we call his bluff and we found out he wasn't bluffing!
It's not a bluff. Legally, Crimea and the other four Oblasts are part of Russia.
@@abot5381 - strangely enough, Western MSM don't discuss Western body bags or Ukrainian losses ?
@@badwolftx2139only in putins mind. Every nation including China does not recognise it as "legal"
Trust an AEI guy to blame "both sides" and Social Security -- and not Republicans driving up the deficit EVERY time they're in power.
Wake up francis
Go to sleep now Francis, close your eyes
Stop telling lies!
This comments section stinks of Ork
Controlled 🇷🇺
- that's because the new upgraded Ukrainian trenches come with full bathroom facilities ?
Normally it smells like morons and farts
The orks are genuinely terrified that their tinpot, bankrupt dictator will go too far and Nato will leave a big hole where ruzzia used to be.
Well I'm glad Zel isn't "theatrical" when begging everyone for money!