Is the Second India-China War Expected to Erupt in 2025? | Geopolitical Dialogue | UPSC Mains
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In this video, we explore the rising tensions between India and China and analyze the likelihood of a potential conflict in 2025. We delve into the geopolitical factors, border disputes, and strategic interests that could escalate the situation. Join us for an insightful discussion to understand the complexities and implications of this issue for UPSC Mains preparation.
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#INDIA #CHINA #WORLDWAR3 #WORLDAFFAIRS #INDIACHINAWAR #INDIACHINA #CHINAINDIA #WAR #GEOPOLITICS #INTERNATIONALRELATIONS #INTERNTIONALNEWS #GLOBALAFFAIRS
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India lost to china in 62 but no one taught us that India has won 2 wars with china in 1967 and 1987!
First you need to learn the difference between a 'war' and a 'skirmish'.
For example - balakot strike inside paxtan and their retaliation was a skirmish.
1971 Bangladesh independence war between India and paxtan was a war.
We didn't win any war against china! Stop fooling yourself.
In 1962 our military literally folded like a house of cards.
They didn't even put up a fight in most places. Most of our soldiers died while running back.
Chain of command was basically useless from the top.
That humiliation should be rememberes so we can better ourselves.
You need to read the history properly. As your knowledge about the Indian army is very shallow. The soldiers died while fighting not while running.
@@abhilash9918 you need to Google skirmish. Regardless, some call the 1962 war "an armed conflict" so let's not get into semantics. Point is we are always taught the defeatist history, how we were losers in the past. That's definitely not the case and it needs to be highlighted. Especially to the new generation.
@@raviraibhayana you're delusional.
Most of our casualties happened during a chaotic retreat.
There's whole procedure of how a military should retreat if the need arises.
The Chinese basically committed war crimes by shooting fleeing soldiers in the back.
We did put up fight in some places, for ex major shaitaan singh. Nd Chinese suffered massive casualties. How tf do you think Chinese were able to capture such a vast area in such a short amount of time?
Stop fooling yourself.
In 1967 there was a big conflict between India and China.China had more casualties and damage as India was more prepared.
I am waiting because this time india will pay with interest means in this time Tibetan also a Nation
You gonna lost annurachal pradesh this time
Xndm
@@Shradha.........1991971 Bangladesh came into existence now it's time for Tibet
@@gauravkumar505 that's why your foreigner minister squirting 🤡
@@gauravkumar505 we saw China already started making villages in 2021
It's true that present India is not 1962 India.
But the same logic is equally true for China too i.e., 1962 China & present China.
So India should be extra aggressive in dealing with any Chinese mis-adventure. India should be prepared always thinking that Indo-China war is imminent.
You should know about 2022 incidents.
U should have Substance and Salience for that. China is very powerful than us. They are a economic powerhouse, which is their biggest strength. Many industries run on Chinese raw material. Many of the big supply lines are Chinese controlled after USA..... What can we do??
中国是联合国常任理事国，中国经济总量世界第二，中国是多届奥林匹克运动会的奖牌和金牌总数的第一，中国有自己的空间站，有自建的弹射航空母舰，中国有自己的隐身战机，有几万公里的高铁和高速公路，有自己的光刻机和芯片，有占全世界百分之七十销量的大疆无人机，有华为有小米有比亚迪等高科技企业，有抖音有阿离巴巴有腾讯公司，请问印度有什么?印度自大是个病症需要去医院治疗才对，1962年的中国比印度要穷好多，那样依然轻松战胜印度，2023年的中国经济总量是印度的五倍，2023年中国军费开支是印度的3倍多，请问印度有什么能和中国比的?中国西部都是无人区域战略纵深很大，新德里距离中印边境300㎞距离，中国的超远火箭炮就可以打到新德里，看了我所说的这些事实希望印度人还是清醒一点不要过分自大，自大会被打死的，如果不想像英国殖民印度300年就对中国恭敬一些，免得挨揍。
*_"वक्त के फैसले कभी गलत नहीं होते.,बस सही साबित होने में वक्त लगता हैं..😊.!_*
जय हिन्द,,❤️🇮🇳
Ye aadmi sirf gappe marta hai...iska koi bhi analysis theek nahi...south mentality hai chhoti mentality...kuch bhi result nahi niklee gaa..mai isko saalo se sun raha hu...tab se mijee iska pata hai
China force Japan to awake from sleeping Buddha .
Sleeping Buddha is as useless as the awaken Buddha ..
Japan can grow in defence to a certain extent but it doesn't mean they will surpass USA and indian
Japan was never asleep despite losing in ww2, its territorial ambition remains
Has Japan have population to fight against anyone…. Their majority population are above 50 years… They are just a US puppet nothing else
@@jliang70 You again? You're either getting a bonus out of this or something that rhymes with it.
Japan lost in WW2 because it bit off more than it could chew in creating the Greater Asian Co-prosperity Sphere and everyone else balanced against it.
The Chinese seem to be following their Japanese masters to a T.
@@be12 Japan lost 1.7 million on its troop in China when China did not even have a half decent defense industry, and of 6 million JIA, 3 million dead or surrender in China.
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War b/w india and china is inevitable madam,India exactly knows the master mind behind it,so every move india makes is well thought of,analysed,made an assessment of its activities,and this is total objectivity and by same token ,or country is not interested in outcome,becoz our country knows it’s obligations that are ought to done to prepare a ground for war,if it gives signals of war.
Ye aadmi sirf gappe marta hai...iska koi bhi analysis theek nahi...south mentality hai chhoti mentality...kuch bhi result nahi niklee gaa..mai isko saalo se sun raha hu...tab se mijee iska pata hai
Loved it ❤ the whole discussion ❤
Your guest is very knowledgeable ❤
Ya , Abhijeet Iyer Mitra .. he is most hilliorios and knowledgeable person I know on internet 😅
Also a beef eater
An expert like him who underestimates the enemy is dangerous for our country as India need to prepare it's army by overestimating the enemy's power to win.
Army never works in the line of thinking of any and every defence experts on CZcams. It's just for people like us to get the hang of it and if you are a bit intelligent you can read between the lines to visualise a picture which is, if not the reality but close to it.
😮😊@@ajay262134
Overestimation leads to exhaustion,fear and anxiety..while he didn't really underestimated the enemies. He just put forwarded a certain part of the truth which is usually neglected
Ye ektarhan se satka hua hai 😂
Invite Adi Achint, expert on Indo china
Yes!! Aadi has deep knowledge n sources for China
No. He's a pseudo-intellectual
He's better qualified than Adi (Big fan) on the subject.
@@aman_9699 agree to disagree
We can't underestimate China but with our allies (US, AUSTRALIA,JAPAN etc those who hate China ) we can defeat China ... But 1 vs 1 me problem hoga ... Lekin war me kbhi 1 vs 1 nhi hota 😂😂... But it will be heavy loss for both India and China ... And only West and other countries will benefit from this war
😂😂 nobody is coming to our help in direct confrontation with China.
I think this time the Indian civil public also participate
China can beat UN in Korea after their own civil war, they can beat you again
@@shomikoto7558 You seem like the kind of person no right thinking person will help
Looking at Chinese demographics , do you feel that the little emperors would have that courage and inspiration to see a war through? Chinese have good tech and equipment advantage, just like Germany had during ww2 , there are many a factors beyond our imagination that play part during a war.
*"Proud to be an true Indian❤️❤️🇮🇳......!!*
Proud in What and what is true Indian
Proud to be false Pakistani🇵🇰
@@gofh5247 proud to be Hindu, and true Indian is Hindu. jai sriram
@@balakrishnasurat1239lol
Aur kuch alag bolne nahi ata? @@balakrishnasurat1239
He's far better than many of the teachers who teach political science and international affairs, as well as many professors when it comes to geopolitics. He's well qualified and has a good sense of it.
Indian made Arms should be sold to every countries which has issues with China. And also need to train them🙏🏽🇮🇳
Are you selling free-falling airplanes or ships with exploding toilets? How much is India’s annual weapons and equipment exports?
@@user-gb5qd6mp5x 2.6 billion dollars
@@user-gb5qd6mp5x Get out of here, yellow man
@@user-gb5qd6mp5xWell India's annual weapons export now is a record 5 billion USD and is continuously increasing. Can't say the same about Bhikharistan tho which is begging for atta
@adityamukherjee7038 The one thing you must do first
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Aapne ghabrana nai hai
The difference in military technology and power between India and China in 1962 is greater than it is today. Even though China has not fought a conventional unconventional war with India, China can easily defeat India in cyber and electronic warfare.😮🙀
You have been programmed like that?
It's a real shame you fell for that trap
Agreed we're decades behind China in most things but we still got the dreaded N option
Which buys us time to get on par
India has over a hundred nuclear weapons AND some great missiles including the Mach 25 Agni-5 that is hard to stop and K-4 missiles that can maneuver all the way till the target at hypersonic speeds - and better-trained troops vs. the Chinese and superior geographical advantages. American intelligence is near "real-time" and also available to India via the Quad 4 - and has been used in a major border skirmish with the Chinese, Indian forces were more nimble and capable due to it. The Indian Navy is capable of stopping oil trade that is a lifeline for China *until they build out infrastructure with the Russians* - so their electronic warfare capability is really NOT good enough to counter so many capabilities from Indian forces.
@@Shiv1971Indian navy is not strong enough to stop oil trade . The overall wealth, military capability and industrial strength are what winning the wars. India has no major advantage over China that is a fact.
Let's see what happens !
But there is no dearth of IT specialists in Bharat...& They are already responding to the Chinese nuisanced
One of very rare Indian with proper real world knowledge. 100% agree with you sir.
India have better military in 1962 & still in 2024
But political negligence of nehru is the main culprit 😢
Very informative and educational. Thanks both of you.🙏🙏👍
Really enjoyed the discussion... after long time the anchor is very knowledgeable..... sometimes I felt that the host had more depth ..❤❤❤
you felt that because the host has a very strong but limited worldview , but abhijit sir has a much wider worldview which makes him susceptible to changing things up or reconsider himself mid conversation , sure the host has a lot of knowledge but abhijit sir not only take his worldview from academia but he has seen a lot of things on ground too and he has many contacts
Great interaction between Abhijeet ji & Dipanwitaji
Are bhai! Stay ON the person who is Speaking!! Ye kaun Editor hai!
Nothing wrong
rightly said
Using reactor-grade plutonium with thermal bridges will allow India to build 500 nuclear bombs - even lower yield devices will be a deterrent. But skillful diplomacy and good communication guided by top-notch public relations specialists and negotiators and media barons/specialists will also go a long way to mitigate tensions and reduce the possibility of an accidental war. Behind the fine 'soft skills' or managing emotions - there must be a strong nuclear force with hard-to-stop missiles like the K-4 with maneuvering capability till its target and the Mach 25 Agni-5 missiles. Lots of nuclear warfare training (100 - 200 drills) and secure and nimble nuclear attack teams guided by decision support systems are a must...
47:10 but that is one of advantage. One can have stratergy for predictable capability. We always have surprise factor even in team sports with an unknown face for later stages.
Abhijeet's examples are just too funny and wild.
Vietnam khatranak hai 😂😂 US, CHINA dono ko Hara chuka hai 😂😂
Truth
It was worth watching.
I agree with every point made by sir. he explained everything in very simple and understandable way.
Specially everything that's need to be done in the next term like education is the key thing and the system needs to changed .
Very good podcast ❤
Highly valued content
The way Abhijeet gave the example was just hilarious😅😅
Interesting concepts. Nice to listen to AIM on civilizational politics. Thank you Madam.
Good to see a discussion on this important issue in Hindi.
Ma'am, kidney specialist is called a nephrologist😊
Enjoyed d discussion. He always explain very well
He was the same person who said Russia will never attack Ukraine.
So, think before you believe.
He is not prophet , when shuz not able save his kingdom after writing "art of war" than what you are expecting from world . No one predicting that Russian can survive US sanction but they still survived . Expect unexpected this part of nature .
@@ija5438 not true, there were experts like RSN Singh who analysed that sanction will not work on Russia and many who predicted that war will happen.
So, not true but yes, I agree that Abhijit has lots of knowledge that's why we listen to him. But, his predictions always go wrong.
It really hurts when sir said China ne hume jalil kiya 😞.
With the help of Nehru ji and his time Defence minister
What is summary of podcast.......I have a exam in few hours...
@@sandeepkumar-kh3yzwatch full video after your exam.
Arre bhai isko Sir kehna band kar. Aaj tak iski prediction theek nahi hui hai. Yehn 1962 ki baat kar raha hai, 1967 mein India ne haraya tha cheen ko, uski baat nahi karega. Yeh aadha lutyens ka banda hai.
Sach kadwa hota hai
49:00
I love your Hindi, Abhijit, I am proud of you. Supposedly others are Hindi speakers but they speak more in English. I like to hear all in one language, Hindi or English or any other.
Please add time stamp
Best analysis I ever watched on India China issues.
Yahi expert tha jo bol raha tha Russia will not attack Ukraine
हाँ भाई ये एक्सपर्ट है या एजेंट इसनें भारत की सभी तैयारियो को बेकार बताया और कह रहा है सब कुछ अमेरिका से खरीद कर उसकी तरह क्वाड बनाओ तो चीन से लड़ सकते हो
चाइना हमेशा ही भारत से केनेक्टेड था जब युरोप मे सभ्यता का विकाश भी नही हुआ था और ये बता रहे है कि चाइना किसी से केनेक्टेड नही था 🤔🤔🤔🤔
its just a prediction
Experts analysis and prediction krte hai.. aise to nehru ne 1960 se hindi cheeni bhai bhai kiya pr phr b china ne attack kia na 1962 mai.. toh wo b 🤡 hua phr toh..😂 most of world experts before russia Ukraine war was saying ki war nahi hoga.. kher i know why you want others to believe what is saying is nonsense.. 👏🏻
@@anupbhandari7052 actually he represent himself as he knows everything by his logic, that's why I comment
51:50
Please bring rhis sort of podcast regularly it is very informative
He is fantastic and right on pragmatic..
*"respect button for Indian culture,❤❤😊......!!*
A good analysis. Wish India Govt. learns from it
It will be devastating for development of whole world and peoples of south Asia.
Abhijit Iyer is among the best in geopolitics. I like his bold unorthodox thinking
he's a Samosa Geopolitical expert who was insisting Russia ill not attack Ukraine while Troops & equipment were being poured on Ukraine Border, same analysis was done By Stalin in1941 & Nehru in 1962
This is normal bro chill . Even CIA is wrong 1000s of time .
He said progozin Will Over Take Putin... 😂
He only tells probability
@@PRAVEEN05January Geopolitics is different from Lab experiment
When peoples lives are at stake
u can't give probability command to ur forces
@@ShivaYadav-uu7rl if u read and listen to former CIA they mentioned they clearly exaggerated (falsified) reports of power on USSR so u can't take every CIA assessment at face value
Very very nice ❤your knowledge is too good
My memoir Love of Life - A Miraculous Story! rewrite history of the world.
Not in 2025 but 2028 and 2030s
And ya 2025 might be an skirmishes big one
I think you are right
2028 and 2030 china will be super power
25 for Taiwan for sure😊
@@ashokporwal9827 yup and they will try to do something at lac
@@vishvanath3899 because Chinese
Thank you for finally saying the truth about the Sone ki chidiya 😢
I am ready 🇮🇳 Akanda Bharat
53:18 Before the 13th century there was no genocide that happened in India. The kalinga war did cause a lot of causualties but they were only in a few thousands...
First time Anchor is really knowledgeable.. catching up with him in every aspect..
She was right on last question
Very interesting... Thanks
Glad this video in Hindi 😅
Waiting for meme review with chavda sir😂
😂😂😂😂😂
We were about to witness the real AIM at 24:23 🤣🤣🤣
Confused instead of clarification of India and worldwide .
A good country will never start war,a clever one will engage in a war for some period of time..! Geopolitics is something beyond each individual thought.
what did Begalis called Etheopians, I am a Bengali myself and i really need to know
although i'm not a Bengali but i also need to know and i think the word he was referring to was generally used for africans in general and not ethiopians in specific ,i suspect it was something racist
India need more ship building yards and fighter jet building capibility.
Wanted to see him get interviewed by Prashant Dhawan
Bhuut kuxh sikhne ko mila thanks
Obsessed with him
Please Dhawan sir ko bulaiye🙏🙏
Maurya's were known for their best justice system.
Abhijit Iyer and Abhijit Chavda are great
50:29 edit
উচ্চ-স্তরের আলোচনা। খুব ভালো লেগেছে।
It will be biggest blunder for both country to go in war with each other
That’s what America and its allies want but india 🇮🇳 and China 🇨🇳 won’t go for a war as they understand the third party’s benefits if this war happens.
Bring Ankit Shah on your show.
bhak. he is a Pseudo expert
@@Charvak-Atheist Atheist hokar dusro ko Pseudo bol raha hai🤧kabhi inn janab ke purane tweets padh lena, tumhari biradri ka hi hai.
CORRECTION: In Bengali, Brahma Desh = Burma (Myanmar)
Hes talking about viking show nice
Abhjeet and his friends can make war like situation and win that too without participation
On a lighter note, God is Abhijit Chavda, Devil is Abhijit Mitra..😂😂...
But seriously, this guy is awesome except in finance & defence.
We will all have to do our bit to to win.
take his words with a pinch of salt, Abhijit Chavda is far better Geo political person than AIM can ever be. Koi prediction inka sahi nahi hua he😂😂 he was so much against India's self reliance in Jet Engines. US is ahead no doubt but UK was far more imperialistic Colonial super-power. US is UK - diplomacy hence it lost in vietnam and Afg. The my way or highway attitude of US aint helping it. Bdw US thought it defeated USSR rather Russia today is as powerful as USSR atleast militarily and Its a resource rich nation. More Global warming will open up Russia's ports in Northern region, yes its small population is a concern.
AC predicted Russia Ukr war and Middle East disturbance with pin point accuracy.
Abhijit Chavda just copies Peter Zeihan.
@@audreychen5363 partly every observer does look up to others, lets be very clear non in youtube are policy makers. They are observer at best.
Infact US have some of the best minds in policy making and Lex Friedman
is quite an insightful podcaster I mean poses right questions and his guests are some of the finest minds in US and Western hemisphere. I admire analysis across the globe
havent found Chinese ones yet atleast on CZcams neither the Russians
bring Abhijit Chavda, great speaker and expert on geopolitics
He's just a story teller, with fancy English dictionary, while Dr. Ankit Shah's prediction comes true
They had planned to capture arunachal pradesh in 2030. It is clearly indicated in there mukhpatra.. 😮
Source ?
@@Don_Killuminati it already clearly writen in there official documents.. It is known as five finger policy. Ladakh nepal sikkim bhutan and arunachal pradesh are according to them it is lower tibet.
Spend more on advanced technology
Not on the army numbers
Are you joking the ACE GEOPOLITICAL ANALISTS ARE SHRI BRAHMA CHALLANEY, SHRI MAROOF RAZA
India is the dominent power in Asia, the only country is able to consist challenge to the great Bahrat(India) is the great South Korea. Big love and full support to India❤
I'm watching and laughing 😂❤ please make more ❤️
Pls add english subtitles
Should we start making shelters to safeguard ourselves.
Speaking what ears like to listen
If India gets F35. It’s highly probable that our neighbour to the North would be insecure. It’s too powerful of a platform for our neighbours in the east. They need not become insecure. It will disturb some people tho who use our neighbour on the west to keep us “off- balance”. For the upcoming 3rd carrier we should seriously look into a squadron of F-35’s.
F 35 is likely to crash before it does anything
I have know Abhijit since last decade even before his Orissa Jail fiasco. Everything aside he is studious. In akhada we do Jutai , in intellectual circle we do case study. Abhijit has good memory and is hard working. Baki sab drama hai uska, all that gender and food and rich and all. Just to provoke pseudos.
It's Nuclear Suppliers Group
46:50 explanation of coordination in quad 😂😂😂😂😂
Love your videos Mam
Great session,.Dr please change the shade of your lamp, thanks. China dare not take Panga with Hindustan.
sincerely,Raja Azad Parmar Rajasthani. Los Angeles.
Host sounds like Rachana Ranade😅
Yaa she’s my financial expert
Sir, will India regain her 40000 sq kms territory encroached by chaina????❤❤❤
No War only friends
Unrealistic World view brother
AIM is great