Ukraine turning into a ‘Forever War’
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- čas přidán 22. 03. 2023
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"They are about to find out why America has no universal healthcare"
Okay... This has to be my favorite quote of the week xD
That's a lie actually, if we did things more efficiently like the British we could have universal healthcare through taxes for a lot cheaper than we spend on private healthcare. Universal healthcare somehow being incredibly expensive (compared to most private plans) is a lie pushed by insurance companies to keep things from changing.
I once wrote this joke on a reddit thread once! "Russia's about to find out why we don't have healthcare" referring to how Putin miscalculated into thinking the US would stop fueling the war machine. I'm amazed to see Caspian indulging on this type of humor
I don't remember where I first heard it but this is a fairly old joke.
@@joelrebollar7055 Do you have anything to back that up? I'm not saying you are wrong but it's really difficult to compare healthcare from country to country because of so many things to factor in.
@@joelrebollar7055 How's that universal working out in Canada and others ??? It's fine for band aids tho...
"USA doesn't lose wars, it loses interest", nothing can be so true than this
Except for Vietnam and Afghanistan.
@@GM-xk1nw lost interest.
@@GM-xk1nw they loose interest to continue that one because of the lack of public support.
lost in afghanistan and maybe vietnam
Mokshama Varma The conventional view remains that the United States lost the Vietnam War because our opponent, North Vietnam, conquered the side we backed, South Vietnam, which surrendered in April 1975, I think you are wrong Mokshagna the world knows who won in this war and in Syria they never get Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad out of Syria remember?
I think people who are saying this is turning into a forever war have forgotten how long near peer conventional wars tend to be. The Korean war was 3 year. The Second World War was 6 years. We are slightly passed year one of this war. At this point it WWII, we are experiencing the Battle of Britain. It is far too early to tell what kind of war this will be, but there are few signs of turning into a frozen conflict. Russian casualties from the last three months are much higher than they were in the first six months of the war. Even going solely by visually confirmed losses. Russia is losing a handful of tanks daily. That's not a forever war. That's a hot war.
Except Russia will win in a Ukraine-Russia only war. No matter how long they supply the Ukraine, Russia has more of everything to keep this war of attrition going. The only way for America to secure a Ukraine victory or buyout would be for NATO boots on the ground intervention. But then that would be counter-intuitive to everyone because a open conflict between the two worlds nuclear superpowers would end in billions dead & earth destroyed.
It could last 5-7 years at max.
Thats about how much Russia would need to take over the country in worst case scenario.
The war that this current Russia-Ukraine one most reminds me of is the Iran-Iraq war of 1980-88. While 8 years certainly isn't forever, it is a very long time for a war that ultimately didn't really achieve anything other than eating men and materiel.
Did you watch the video?
It’s hilarious because in ww2 it took the Germans 2 weeks to capture the same amount of territory as the russians have right now. 6 months into Operation Barbarossa, they were already at moscow. And the russians right now cant advance more than 100km into ukraine after a year of fighting
The cost benefit of defending against an attack is not the drone vs. Anti air missle, but the drone vs. Cost of it's target.
"The United States doesn't lose wars, it loses interest." Very well said.
Vietnam war ?
@@nemzi8969 yes lost interest fighting’s guerrilla war never ends
Losing interests also means cant win the war just like nokor,vietnam,afghanistan,syria and iraq
@@archiearevalo5648 they won in Syria and Iraq, The war was won and Nation-Building was not their problem
@@braynzzthere7923 us and allies didnt overthrow syrian president assad because of russia. They won against isis with combined efforts from west allies and russia dude. You didnt know the stories behind war in syria
“They’re about to find out why America has no universal healthcare” may just be the hardest line I’ve ever heard.
They cant have it both ways.
Definitely a great line. Not exactly accurate though considering the US spends more on healthcare per person than any other country, by a large margin.
It would be a disaster. The more poor you are, the fatter you are in the US. The people paying into it would have no resources left for them
@@graham1034 yea. It’s really fuckin shitty. It’s a result of (in short) corruption on the part of politicians and the rich.
@@spencerstevens2175 there’s some truth to what you said but the fact of the matter is that if the federal govt consolidated healthcare, each individual would pay less that what they do now. I don’t have a source on hand but it may be of interest to you to google
One of the issues with "Frozen conflicts" and why the US doesn't have a stomach for them is based on proximity. All the "frozen conflicts" you mentioned vis-a-vis Russia are on Russia's borders. As such, there is a higher sense of urgency from the Russian government and it the people that agree with it. ie. Russia is, or can be perceived to be by the state, as under direct and immediate threat (hence to the "NATO expansion" casus belli for the "Special military operation".) Whereas you can't really sell that with the recent US' wars in places like Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, or more clandestine US ops in the global south... Closest in parallel the US maybe had to this historically was Cuba in 1962 or Mexico with the Zimmerman telegram in 1917... Both of which put the US on edge in similar to fashion to how Russia is acting today.
US have 10-15 times bigger military budget and this with the NATO aliances help give US better and easier way to fight in needed conflitsh far to US. Russia in other hand have different:L its moslty solo and they live in thoughts of ''we live behind the wall''. like romans, but its very different in other meanings.
What I think is too hard for US to stay away when there is too bloody conglict near the NATO borders. + there SWE and FIN gonna help as well as Denmark and Norway as scandinavian countries.
Stop justifying Russia's brutal invasion with NATO expansion. NATO expansion isn't an attack on Russia. It's a defense against Russia. If the Baltics weren't in NATO, they would've been first. To Putin, the fall of the USSR is the greatest geopolitical tragedy in history and one he clearly wishes to "remedy". But to Eastern Europe, it was a blessing that the USSR fell. They became free from communist oppression and gained their de-facto independence. That's why one by one they quickly joined NATO. So they wouldn't be under the Russian yoke ever again. All except Ukraine and White Russia, where Russia put a lot of effort into keeping these countries as puppet states. Just look at where Yanukovich fled when his own parliament ousted him. Not to Donbas or to Crimea... but to Russia.
Afghanistan was invaded for harbouring Al Quaida, Iraq was (initially) invaded for invading Kuwait, and then a second time because Bush wanted to finish what his pops started. Libya was a no-fly zone which was approved by the UN and they did little more than give the rebels a fighting chance and Ghadaffi was killed by Libyans, Syria was to fight ISIS (and if possible help overthrow an authoritarian dictator who refused to step down after he lost the elections, the same dictator who Russia helped stay in power by leveling cities (like Aleppo and Binnish) with the ground much like Russia is doing to Bakhmut now, and the same dictator who is now supporting Russia in the UN). Stop trying to portray Russia's behaviour as sensible. What Russia is doing to Ukraine now is what it did to Chechnya, Georgia, and Syria.
And to compare Ukraine with the Cuban missile crisis is ridiculous. Do you know what the range of nuclear-bearing missiles were back then? With missiles in Cuba, USSR would be able to hit the populated East Coast of the US whilst the US couldn't hit Russia's populated areas due to most of Eastern Europe being ruled by Russia. But the problem of "proximity" in regards to nuclear weapons has been moot for decades. Both the US and Russia can fire nuclear weapons targeting ANYWHERE ON THE FREAKING PLANET due to nuclear-armed submarines and ICBMs and a little thing called GPS. So Ukraine joining the EU (and/or NATO) isn't an increased risk to Russia at all. Because no-one is going to invade a nuclear-capable country.
Don't worry, America is very good at manufacturing consent. Propaganda machine goes brrrrr...
I think a lot of people are misinterpreting the “The United States doesn’t lose wars, it loses interest.” Quote. I think it’s a good description of HOW the U.S. loses wars, because as a superpower the nation isn’t likely to flat out lose in a traditional way, it’s more likely that the costs outweigh the benefits of winning a conflict. If caring about civilian casualties, financial cost, and manpower cost were not a factor the United States would probably have rolled through to its military goals in every conflict since WWII. But that didn’t happen because many of those wars had an end goal that wouldn’t justify a full mobilization. You win a war against a superpower by making it too expensive.
Yep; you'd think their populace would be more aware of it given that exact process is how their country exists right now.
The US caring about civilian casualties? You must be the most naive person on the internet.
@@NoOne24definitely cares more than countries like Russia. Not out of the kindness of its heart, mind you, but because of its more democratic nature. Any war crimes are a bad look for the ruling party which can lead to a loss in the next election as the opposition is gonna drum it up. Its allies are also democratic nations so if it conducts a huge number of visible war crimes then its allies' publics are gonna vote to leave their alliance.
Autocratic, nearly isolated regimes like Putin's Russia have no such issues.
Exactly, America’s military strength is blinding it from seeing its weaknesses.
Shirvan, I would invite you to critically examine continuing your support for Masterworks. There might be huge lawsuits coming up relating to CZcamsrs promoting financial investments and you don't wanna get entangled into that
Agreed. It is hard to win a lawsuit for advertising financial instruments but it is really expensive to fight the lawsuit.
Smells like a scam. Better stick with Scottish Royal Titles Sale.
@@TeoBlu 😁😁😁
Do they have jurisdiction over Azerbaijanis?
@@TeoBlu 😂 I liked that
"They're about to find out why America has no universal healthcare" & "The US... doesn't lose wars, it loses interest"
As an American, those lines hit right in the hard truths.
As an American also he sounds like a Liberal Democrat no?
@@jacksevert3099 Pretty much everyone wants better healthcare, also conservatives
eldar iskender yep and i think the people who dont want better healthcare have never seen better
For real tho
@@jacksevert3099 If you've watched his videos, you can tell that he doesn't lick Putin's boots. So, yeah, he isn't a Republican.
Russia is wrong to think they can outlast Ukraine. Firstly, their society is not in favour of or ready to die in large numbers for this cause. Conscripts from Russia to be sent in human wave attacks may have been tolerated (forcibly or otherwise) in the 40's, but not in the internet age. Secondly, if it looks like Ukraine will get overwhelmed they will be flooded with the best NATO hardware very quickly (as opposed to the current trickle).
They can and will. Ukraine is finito.
does this man wake up in the morning and come up with the best quotes I ever hear in my life cause I am just amazed at the quality and content of the video every time thank you for everything!
"In practical terms, the new [centralized database] system will allow Russia to raise an army of fighting-age poor people, minorities, criminals, political dissidents, and disenfranchised communities."
It seems to me that these are exactly the people you don't want running your army. Not if you intend for your existing government to last very long.
Let us train and arm everyone who might have a problem with the current regime. This will have no consequences down the line
the whole sentence sounds like nonsense. What does poor people mean? Poor people are attracted by salaries that are 5-10 times higher. What does minorities mean? There is no such division in Russia as in the USA. We do not pay attention to this. if you mean 'gender' and 'non-traditional relationships', then it is currently impossible to get such information, no one will say it. Criminals are indeed recruited in PMCs, but this is also optional and with certain criteria. And there is no point in recruiting an army of political dissidents at all, especially since the borders are open, they have all escaped/ can escape.
@@god_slayer-restart What are you talking about? I feel like you don't know what you're talking about. Russia has dozens of minorities across the land, from Uzbeks to Kazakhs to Tatars to Bashkir to Chechens to Jews to Sibirs and the list goes on and on. One of the original Stalinist tactics that Putin is following to the letter was to throw the minorities and the rural folk into the meat grinder first, because so long as people from Saint Petersburg, Moscow, and to an extent Yekaterinburg and Vladivostok aren't touched, then they won't be affecting anyone with the economic or political clout to be able to talk back or raise hell.
Sounds like the US Army.
Hey, It worked great in WW1! (...)
It has only been a year and everyone is calling it "forever war". Well most wars go about 4-5 years, it is just that modern attention spans now are akin to that of a goldfish.
Forever war can mean many things, a long territorial stalemate with some clashes like Syria, or Yemen. Also a long war with no peace and a low level of conflict like Afghanistan war during 2012-2020
To anyone who is a fan of Caspian Report or Geopolitics in general I would recommend a documentary series by the BBC called Holidays in the Danger Zone: Places That Don't Exist. It was made in 2005 and they visit all the places that Shirvan mentions. Transnistria, Nagorno-Karabach, South Ossetia & Abkhazia.
Thanks for the tip. Is this on streaming anywhere?
@@TravelWithMeGadget Yes. Simon Reeve has them on his CZcams channel.
czcams.com/video/_ykJaN0Q9PI/video.html
@@LulaJake oh that's awesome. Thanks for the info
Places that don't exist for europeans, South Ossetia Abkazia and others ones are very touristic places for Russians and other non europeans . When the West didn't ever mention, that doesn't means is unknown
Rule of thumb: If Russia says they are building something world-beating, they are not.
Yeah. We shouldn't underestimate the fact that they have nuclear weapons, that's the one serious thing Putin and his goons got going, but other than that, I think it has become pretty clear that Putin has been bluffing for a while now.
More like every country
@@AverageUsernames Whataboutism
@ keep sucking thumb
Nukes are world beaters.
I think you forgot to mention that whilst the US is the one country that's helping Ukraine the most, there's also UK, France, Germany, Poland, Canada, Australia, Sweden, Finland, Israel, Turkey, even Japan and many other countries are all helping Ukraine one way or another, from military equipment to shoes, vests, financial aid, etc. There are even companies like Amazon and many other helping with financing and logistics. That´s why Ukrainian soldiers are all well equipped and fed.
True! But none of us can rival the American aid.
and it's crazy,
I can't buy a bulletproof vest in Poland to defend from Ukrainian knifes on street but my country gives away arms to Ukraine for free 😂
after pandemic conditioning people are so brainless it's even hard to comprehend humans are able to do much
@@frida507 us aid is good, but lets not forget poland and germany and many other places taking in hubdtefs of thousands of refugees
@@TheSwedishHistorian
Germany seems like juat pretending to help TBH.
Overall since its in USA interest, the other countries seem to be laid back a little :/
Further you are from Moscow, the less threatening they seem to be :(
If US stops, Everyone is... Every country is peer pressured into supporting more.. Germany and France will be the first to Pull out.
That opening line about universal health really caught me off guard 😂💀 I wasn't expecting comedy on this channel
Your channel is very informative and well done. Thank you!
Rather disappointed you didn't mention that Ukraine is now mainly using systems like the German Gepard SPAAG system as well as teams of trucks with AA guns fitted on back them to take out the slow moving Iranian drones now a days. The Gepards are perfect for taking these things out as opposed to the missile systems mentioned.
It really felt like this was written last November. The concerns about Shahed drones and the worries about a massive Russian offensive seem like things we were worried about back then.
These are not their main systems don't delude yourself. The amount of anti air equipment provided by the west is nowhere near scalable enough to be the mainstay armament.
Tor, Buk, S300 and old soviet gun systems are the mainstay unless the west gets off it's ass and ups production by an order of magnitude
This video is a bit problematic IMO. First, the US isn’t the only supplier of weapons and aid to Ukraine. Europe has provided just as much as the US yet no mention of European aid. Second, for months already Ukraine has been shooting down drones with the German-made Gepard system, a vehicle that can send dual streams of 35mm rounds ripping into the sky to hit the drones. They are not using $100,000 missiles.
Third, the video doesn’t seem to describe the consequences of all the actions mentioned that Russia is undertaking. The video suggest that Russia could put up with even 10:1 (10 Russian losses to 1 Ukrainian loss) ratio of losses for a long time. Each round of mobilization will make the war less popular In Russia. You cannot use WW2 as an example of how much Russia is willing to lose in terms of people’s lives because WW2 they were fighting to preserve the existence of the country - so Ukraine today would be a better comparison to Russia in WW2. In addition, the video mentions that mobilization of the poor, minorities, and disenfranchised communities wouldn’t pose big problems for the Kremlin. But it will, certainly for the minority regions where approval for Moscow is lower than the rest of the country. This could lead to potential revolts.
@@error-xn7hn I think even though the Russian winter offensive was a failure it doesn't mean that Russia can't muster a larger offensive in the coming years. The video talks about a system which won't be ready for years to recruit people into the military and Russia has a much larger population, so it's still technically possible that the Russian military could outnumber the Ukrainians by over a million if this does turn out to be a forever war.
Also Russia doesn’t have a big supply of Shaheed drones either and production takes time. Shaheeds may be an effective weapon but Russia just doesn’t seem to be able to get them at the needed scale.
02:00 Gasprices in Europa are already back to normal (or got even lower) to prewar Prices.
07:00 Iranian Drones are not shot down by expensive missles. Ukraine says the, use Handweapons or they also Airdefence guns like German Gepard is usefull (Gepard uses only twelve bullets 35 mm for one target attack.). The Iranian drone is slow enough for guns.
It's funny how advertising works, because from repeatedly seeing the Masterworks ad I absolutely hate it.
I am not sure you are completely correct about the drones cost analysis. I have seen Ukraine use small crews using AA technical trucks. Using simple radar, mobility and numbers, to counter small drone strikes. I am sure its not enough to cover all strikes, but it is already widely used, and is expanding. So now the cost is looking more like the price of .50 or 20mm ammunition to take down shaheed drones. Thank you for the video Shirvan.
Germany sent Gepards to Ukraine, and those are AA gun. And even though using rockets to destroy Shahed might be “pricey”, but that saves more money in terms of the rebuilding energy infrastructure and humans life
@@spacemonkeylp The whole point is Russia can infinitely produce those drones while Ukraine cannot produce those AA systems.
@@DarthVantos Ukraine also have cheap drones, so this goes both ways.
@@DarthVantos .. I think you are right that they will need a new technology to get those drones down. It might be that Ukraine has to send their own cheap drones into Russia.
There are no any gun in calibre 20 mm on the theatre of war so far. There are 23 mm.
Majority of Iranian drones are taken down by MiG-29 and Su-27. Stories about machine guns taken same drones are just propaghanda s**t. And in that way destroyed drones have much more chances to hit non-military object.
You do now there’s more than 3 countries involved in this conflict right? It’s not just Russia, Iran and the US? For one thing Ukraine had a rather large role to play. For another there’s a lot of European countries offering considerable assistance to Ukraine. The likes of Poland and Estonia might even send personnel in the right circumstances
Only way Poland and Estonia send troops is if they know America has their back. Those countries are so weak they don’t do anything without knowing the US will defend them.
The US provides the majority of the security assistance to Ukraine, by a large margin. And according to Ukraine, it's still not enough.
US is also a global leader, and other countries tend to follow suit when the US acts. So if the US lost interest in funding the war in Ukraine, they would lose most of their security funding resulting in a massive material deficit and other NATO countries are quite likely to follow US precedent, compounding the problem.
Finland has sent military experts to teach and guide the ukrainian forces.
It's highly doubtful that countries like Germany and France would've done anything to help Ukraine without US leadership. If the US gave up on Ukraine tomorrow, would the rest of Europe really continue to do everything they could for Ukraine? I doubt it.
@@sleeplessdev7204 Really doubt the EU would just not fund Ukraine just because the US said so
“They are about to find out why American has no universal healthcare”
That one got me. 😂
That's because he knows emotional thinkers don't actually know what the US system is. It's tied to insurance. When the US is at full employment 80% of adults are insured and that covers their family. If you can't afford insurance or become unemployed you go on Medicaid. And hospitals cannot deny you care. That's something the 30-40 million illegal aliens know too well. It drives up insurance costs. Nothing is free. You either pay through taxes all the time or when you need it.
that meme has been floating around
I laughed hard
Got me too haha
I don't get it...🤨
Such good content! Thank you
This analysis is more relevant than ever with the failure of the Ukranian counteroffensive, Western fatigue, reports the US & Germany want to pressure Ukraine into negotiating with Russia.
Shahed drones don't have to be shot down by NASAMS or S-300. They can be shot down from anything, starting from WWII anti-aircraft guns to AK-47.
And this is also the reason why there are 30+ German Gepard systems in Ukraine, which Shirvan failed to mention.
You need all 30 to cover Kiev properly, because It has only about 5 km Range and you need to cover all directions
@@guillem998 They don't have to cover all of Kiev just the infrastructures that Russia might target.
@@patricebertrand1146 which is everything.
Big delusion
There are tons of videos how both sides trying to shot down a "staying still" drone with AK, wasting 1-2 magasines and failed, in one video operator is saying "keep wasting ammo, sucker"
And Shaheds are moving. And they're above so you need to count gravity.
Both, russian and ukrainian fighters hate this lie from corrupted paid experts like "how to shot down a drone". Because these fairy tales are excuse why soldiers don't have anti-drones rifles.
Shaheds are actually not that easy to deal with. They fly low and at low speeds, this makes them very hard to see with traditional AA radar. Anything low flying is basically uninterceptable by patriot PAC-2, since it relies on the ground radar to 'illuminate' targets (PAC-3 is not as bad in this regard). WWII guns also don't do well with low flying targets, and good luck trying to hit it with a rifle, anyone who has done trapshooting knows it is much harder that it looks.
Stinger missiles are probably the best counter, but it is not easy to cover a large area with those, and that is ukraine's current issue.
"Why the U.S. has no universal healthcare" . As an American, that hit hard
Its true tho.
Your citizen get ruined when they get sick. But your enemies also get ruined if you f*ck with the US.
That's a lie actually, if we did things more efficiently like the British we could have universal healthcare through taxes for a lot cheaper than we spend on private healthcare. Universal healthcare somehow being incredibly expensive (compared to most private plans) is a lie pushed by insurance companies to keep things from changing.
@@joelrebollar7055 doesn't the US have a way higher quality of healthcare compared to universal healthcare countries? And like way shorter waiting times too because doctors and surgeons get paid more which equates to more people wanting to become them. So we don't have to ration surgeries like some other countries do. More people to do the surgeries and whatnot.
@@joelrebollar7055 Yeah, healthcare spending per capita is the number that tells the true story. Perhaps because of unregulated insurance companies forcing hospitals to charge an insane amount of money.
I once wrote this joke on a reddit thread once! "Russia's about to find out why we don't have healthcare" referring to how Putin miscalculated into thinking the US would stop fueling the war machine. I'm amazed to see Caspian indulging on this type of humor
Excellent video! You should have 6 million subscribers. Wonderful narration, graphics and images.
1:25
"They're about to find out why America has no universal healthcare"🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣😂😂😂😂
I'm dead bro 😂😂😂😂😂🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
The no universal health care part totally got me lol
idem dito 😂
True :D
But money isn’t the reason US doesn’t have universal healthcare- after all, US spends the most on healthcare per capita.
Yep refused to spend money on healthcare.
@@Homer-OJ-Simpson iirc was it because of privatized healthcare system? Hospital and pharmacy want to gain as much profit as possible and people can do nothing about it
There is a joke from the GDR (old east Germany) and it goes like this
teacher: what is a capitalist?
student: a capitalist likes money, so he keeps his money locked up.
teacher: very good. now what is a communist?
student: a communist likes his people, so he keeps his people-
teacher: that's enough!
Russia might not be communist any more, but they sure "like" their people
Lmaoo 😮💨😅
This is somewhat meaningless really, anyone capable of doing harm to the state risks imprisonment and this is not restricted to Russia, I mean, look at Assange, look at how the Yanks persecuted him for exposing their crimes. Implying the Rus treat their people worse than the Westerners only prove how ignorant and bias one is, the truth is no gov gives 2 shit about their own people and would gladly lock them all up if the elites' interests are threatened
It’s hilarious because in ww2 it took the Germans 2 weeks to capture the same amount of territory as the russians. 6 months into Operation Barbarossa, they were already at moscow. And the russians right now cant advance more than 100km into ukraine after a year of fighting
They’re wannabe commies
@@UFCMania155 Yankeestan lost a 20 year war with a few thousand Taliban wearing sandals, armed with AKs and riding motorcycles 😅
A+ content as usual! Thank you for the effort you and your team put in.
A very good report/analysis, thx a lot👍
One main issue there is with the idea of this war turning into a forever war is that of how high intensity the conflict currently is. At it's current rate losses on both sides could easily surpass a million in just a few years. And as of right now it seems to be only getting more intense meaning it's very possible that a combined total of a million casualties could be reached before next year. By then the shear amount of losses for such little gain will be very hard to hide from the public and could start to see more people turning against the war.
about 16000 killed for russians and the same figure for ukraine according to kiev independent.
@@JL-tm3rc those numbers are way too low, US estimates about 120,000 casualties for the Ukrainians and the UK estimates about 175,000-200,000 casualties for the Russians, the numbers you have are about the casualty numbers for the war in Donbas from 2014-2022 before the invasion.
In WW2 Soviets lost at least 8M soldiers and even more civilians and it didn’t make them look for a settlement 🤷♂️ With the current rate of casualties they could run the war for decades 🤷♂️
@@janlanik2660 that was a defensive war, not a war of conquest. People are willing to lose a lot more to defend their home, but not so much when it's to take away someone else's home.
@@janlanik2660 That is true, however the desire to fight is also a factor, Russian morale in WW2 was signifyingly higher and a war for survival against an external threat. Russia is the invader this time around and thus needs to justify the war to it's people, which is why we hear crazy things about American bioweapon labs in Ukraine making supersoldiers to fight, or "combat mosquitoes" to spread disease. It remains to be seen, but I think if we see Russian casualties top 1 million, we'll start to see extreme unrest on the home front for the Russians. 1 million casualties is enough for everyone in Russia to know a casualty personally or know of one through someone else.
If anything, the risk of the US getting bored because of short sightedness and in fighting should encourage Europe to bolster its own capabilities in order to continue support for Ukraine with or without the US, because it the US loses interest, Europe still has to deal with an aggressive Russian state.
Its weird to live in Russia, being well informed and discover some crazy facts from Caspian Report 😂
'facts' ??
@@evbuzzi6749 Glaobal media create parallel reality for their greedy reason 😳
Interesting you showed T14s, and T15, because Russia is pulling put T55s and BTR-50s and BMP-1s from storage.
Yeah and Russian tactics are not sustainable.
Indeed and also replacement. Ukrainians are getting A education in UK and Russians just drink alkohol all the time
@@andrerothweiler9191 Why? What would be unsustainable in dragging next year T-34? :D
Hes on the payroll. And for some time already.
@@andrerothweiler9191 you must know nothing about how theyre fighting this war then
Yeah but let's not forget that the US aren't the only country supporting Ukraine. The western alliance that supports them dwarfs Russia both economically and militarily and while I certainly agree that shooting Shahed drones with high-tech missiles isn't a great long term solution, it's a solution that this alliance could theoretically afford.
Also, even if Russia can mobilize a lot more troops, it still needs to supply them and that might be tough given the lack of equipment it already suffers from in certain field. Add to that that these conscripts have proven completly useless aside from performing the most bascic kind of operations. They can barely hold a trench, they certainly aren't able to storm a city. This means even if Russia can inflict heavy losses on the Ukrainian and is unlikely to suffer a devastating defeat, I don't see how it can win the war. At most, it can hold the gains it already had, but even with Belarus joining the conflict I can't imagine Russia managing to take Kiev.
And so at some point, Russia will have to call it quits, because even if it can afford to continue the war, it still costs it a lot. As long as they understand that neither Ukraine nor its ally will give up, they will have to retreat even if they could have continued.
You misunderstand Russia's economy. When you subtract all the useless service sector nonsense it's actually larger than Germany's. Western leaders always fall into the GDP trap. It's far more nuanced than that and it's why Russia survived sanctions. They pull resources out of the ground and make things. Much of Western economies are people sitting in cubicles answering emails.
This global reshuffling happening right before our eyes has a lot of people whistling past the graveyard. We are led by idiots who are more concerned with bringing the gay pride flag to Africa.
Over time Russia's just going to bleed out, right you are... They're still making cars, but they're based on designs that are 80 years old. That's how primitive Russia will become. Except that there might be a Civil War there.
@@tunahxushi4669 A civil war would be good for Russia because the side that favors democracy will be the side that America and friends end up backing and then after some growing pains it will be a more pleasant country.
but why are western couintries spending their money on ukraine? it makes 0 sense. USA has huge benefit in helping Ukraine cause now they are selling gas to whole europe with much higher prices and on top of thath they are weakening their arch nemesis. Meanwhike country like germany has nothing against russia but now has to play more than double for gas and oil and they still are helping ukraine? wtf?
I'm glad someone had the patience to point out the problems with the arguments of this video. This is not going to be a forever war. Russia is either going to withstand the next couple years of economic challenges they face coupled with increasing military might of Ukraine or they will not.
Before this war started, I described playing as Russia as playing on "hard mode". Sure they had a lot of nukes, but are surrounded by enemies, have a terrible economy with almost no diversity outside of fossil fuels, and are poorly run. I still thought they'd win in Ukraine due to their sheer size and Ukraine being the poorest nation in Europe, but I was wrong. It is just further proof to me that playing as Russia really is playing on hard mode. This war has made it all the harder for them. If Russia even exists a few decades from now it'll be amazing. If they do win in Ukraine, it'll be the very definition of a Pyrrhic victory.
I guess we'll see how it goes, but I'm still of the opinion that we've got two years left in this war. Either Russia holds out and the world gets bored or Russia faces a military and economic collapse and loses.
This isnt WW2... sheer numbers don't mean what they used to mean. Throwing 500k under equipped and untrained conscripts into battle only means more bodies. Not necessarily significant gains
The statement that we use C-300, NASAMS, or other expensive weapons to shoot Shahed is wrong. Maybe it is used but in very rear cases. The main weapons against Shahed are machine guns and Gepards.
I'm a little skeptical of Russia's, for lack of a better term, "conscription score," system. Given how utterly corrupt the the Russian systems are, I expect a ton of bad data and pocketed contracts to plague it. Sure the idea seems effective on paper but the Russian system has shown itself time and again to be incappable of pulling it off.
And just because you "know" someone is able to be conscripted is very different than running a train all the way out to Siberia to pick them up. Logistics will still be an issue at that size
you heard about Graff and his company with links to Schwab
don't worry the tech is there.. they go digital because they fk up anything real machines aren't making mistakes
but it happens everywhere now
they gather our data to use it against us in future
The systems of the Russian government are really effective, try to read the articles about public services system 'Gosuslugi' and tax systems.
All it really needs to do is avoid drafting influential and economically important people, while grabbing everyone else, to be effective. I'm sure as all of their other initiatives it will run into many problems, and some corruption, but I think the concept is more simple than it appears.
The idea that it will be ready and effective in time to influence this conflict is absurd, and it’s concerning that Shirvan made it one of the central points of his video
Let me push back on some of the claims you made Shirvan, for the sake of broadening the discourse and offering alternatives or added information to your video:
1) On the Digital ID project that Russia is supposedly working on for 2024/2025: Who is to say this is something that will be successful, or implemented quickly enough--if at all? Russia is not like China, they do not have a centralized government with an Iron Fist like China's CCP top-down capitalist authoritarianism. IF Russia succeeds in creating this, it will run into issues that A) already one to two years away, which already is straining their economy and war efforts given the current trajectory of the war. B) logistical issues of implementing ANY widespread new technology across a large country and bad logistical implementation by members as well as non receptive populace (which only becomes worse the longer the war continues). Finally C) The longer Russia suffers economically and the popularity for the war drops in Russia, due to its military blunders and continued rift growing in the Kremlin, even MORE dissent will be sowed across Russia--even the criminals and bandits that were at first eager to join the Wagner PMC, before realizing they are expendable cannon fodder.
2) On the point of USA "losing interest" before Russia does: You omitted the SECOND crucial player--and arguably more serious to this conflict, aside from the USA: that is being EUROPE. Yes, the USA is supplying heavy weaponry and billions in aid, that is true, and America is known to be unpredictable with its "promises" of "continued unwavering support". However, unlike any other conflict that had the USA as a key backer, the Ukraine-Russian war has the virtual entirety of WESTERN EUROPE/EU backing Ukraine as THEIR shield and investment for their sovereignty and safety, while Ukraine is in direct conflict. Estonia, Latvia, Poland, Germany, UK, etc. All of these countries unanimously agreed to take GDP hits in order to fund, manufacture for, and supply Ukraine with heavy weaponry and defensive technology too, THEY are not going to LOSE INTEREST as USA could/might--because Europe's interest is SECURITY and there is no security if Ukraine loses--especially not when they already invested so much and staked so much on Ukraine winning, to a historically unprecedented level.
Hopefully those 2 points offered an objective rebuttal to those two claims made in the video, as I offered two counter-claims that is neither pro-Russian or pro-Ukrainian, but simply a fact of Russian logistical failure (as proven by this war) and the stake interest by EUROPE which is actively and economically invested in Ukraine JUST AS AMERICA, but unlike America, is also emotionally and future-thinking in their investment.
Aside from that, another great video Shirvan. I hope you make more videos on Ukraine-Russia war, as it seems there is too little from you on it.
Those are some great points you made. Especially about Caspian reflecting USA as the only and decisive player in support for Ukraine, but we really cannot underestimate the support from European countries. Me myself living in one of the Baltic countries, I can guarantee that people here will not lose interest in this conflict and will do everything possible to support Ukraine until the war is won.
Yeah as soon as he framed it as a US proxy war I knew it was going to be all the familiar tankie talking points :/
True. Imagine that the avarage russian has to register in another system. Their corruption level wiil be in its way to success.
From your Baltic perception I can totally see that. The more I learn about those countries the more I’m impressed with them in terms of rigor, values and standing up against evil. However, the more you move to the west, (except Britain), the more cozy the lifestyle is and the less threatened countries feel. I surely hope countries like Germany truly woke up this time. but let’s not forget how quickly both Macron and Scholz jumped on a plane last year to befriend Xi, knowingly annoying the USA. The EU could really be a global superpower, but to me it’s like that rich kid who never really got to work for their money, has high moral standards but doesn’t really act upon their big mouth and in the end bows to the next sugardaddy who will promise them a comfortable life
@@epicboy14 Thanks Eddie. And yes, the Baltic countries are also on board and have vested interest in the successful/positive militaristic result from Ukraine against Russia and Putin's regime.
Even Serbia, which is known to be very pro-Russian historically after the Kosovo/NATO incident, Serbia as a nation is also leaning towards Ukrainian support--at least on the political front (I know many individual Serbians who are still ardent Putin fanatics).
Europeans more than anyone know what it means to have their sovereign borders encroached on by Russia or drawn into conflict. Ask any Georgian or Chechen also, how they feel after their conflicts with Russia--and you will see why even "negotiating" or "concessions" on Putin's terms is a losing game.
However, now that the point of no return has been crossed by Europe (in terms of cutting off their gas supply) and investing military hardware, regardless of what the future now holds, Europe cannot afford to pull out now--regardless if USA eventually does.
"The United States, the lone superpower doesn't lose wars, it loses interest"
True statement
To be fair it’s matter of framing. Did the US lose a war? Yes Afghanistan due to a reducing amount of interest and support and financial was not viable.
Wars throughout history have had similar situations. From Roman failed expansion or long term hold of lands or the First Russian - Chechnya war.
No it also has lost and will lose wars, the comment is clever though.
JESUS is SON of ALMIGHTY GOD KABIR--- SAINT RAMPALJI MAHARAJ
Americans have an extremely difficult time even electing competent politicians, because we don't care enough to ensure politicians are even doing their jobs well. We SUCK as "the world's police & premier superpower."
USA be like: Oooh I'm gonna go check the fridge & see if there's anything good to eat!
Also USA: didn't you just check the fridge 5 minutes ago and see there was nothing in there?
USA: yes but maybe this time... oh wait, you're right nothing in here, back to watching tv it is then
*No counter offensive for several months*
Caspian Report: "Ukrainian war is turning into a forever war"
😂😂😂
Meanwhile, the Russian offensive is going so well, they call Bakhmut "the meat grinder".
@@nothere4089 they didn't
Thank you. Well done as always.
Rule of thumb: If Russia says they are building something world-beating, they ACTUALLY ARE!
Biggest myth: Most of the drones have been shot down by spasms and other cheap cannons mounted on trucks.
Spaags are never cheap, “cheap” cannons are also never cheap, AA guns are never cheap, and trucks are also very expensive. Gepard is very expensive, one Gepard will set you back $1.8 million so talking about one $1.8 million ammo taking down a $20k Iranian drone. There was a simple balloon recently this year that flew up 65,000 feet high up the sky so a Iranian drone could easily make it up way higher. It was reported that Iranian drones have an altitude of between 200,000 and 500,000 feet up the sky. USA and Western Europe is struggling to afford what it spends so therefore in the long term Russia is winning. Slava Rosiyi!
500,000 feet is nearly 95 miles, which is outer space. That is nonsense.
@@howtoappearincompletely9739 woosh
Russian military is doo-doo fart lmao
Uh no.
kinda cring
Witticism aside, the military budget, vast as it is, is only 3.4% of GDP. Healthcare is 18.3% of GDP. For comparison, healthcare is 11.1% of French GPD. The US could double the military budget and still fund universal healthcare if it wanted to. If.
This tho. As has been pointed out in numerous comments, it's a cute line but the reason isn't budget it's political will. Lots of money is flowing into private care propaganda and lobbying.
Lol no USA military budget is 4.5% of their GDP
@@widodoakrom3938 Your inaccuracy aside, do you really think that if it were that number, it would alter my point?
@@westrim wrong USA can't increase their military budget anymore it will cost USA debt to skyrocketing besides if the other countries accept yuan as new international currency it will destroy USA economy
This so much this, it's a meme and shouldn't really be repeated by people claiming to provide actual factual information like this channel because it's utterly false.
I wish the war ends and Peace 🕊️ will prevail. Amen.
Great informative video, thanks!
"US doesn't lose wars, it lose interest"
Thats a way to sugarcoat "Defeat"
@@saviorvx1883 hmm, is this English or some other language?
I disagree because the US fought several large scale wars since world war 2 more than any other country but remained the sole superpower. When the Soviet Union tried to do the same in Afghanistan 🇦🇫 in the 1980s, its entire system crumbled but the US had the Korean War, Vietnam war, Afghanistan and Iraq wars and yet its economy and force remains largely intact. Yes in the end the US lost many of these wars strategically not because of lack of resources like the Soviet Union in Afghanistan but because they lost interest and withdrew with their economy still functioning effectively.
you're wrong except Vietnam all were military wins but the political/ regime/governing side of things ,afterwards are another thing
7:08
You mentioned that it costs Ukraine up to 7X the cost of an Iranian Drone but this is the wrong metric.
It isn't the value of the attacking UAV that matters to the defender, it is the value of the assets protected. No army compares the price of the enemy’s bullets to the cost of their body armor.
And even that calculation was bullock. They don't use missiles against drones. The Ukrainians are fast learner and they already shot most of the drones despites the NASAM and Patriots having not yet arrived in Ukraine.
When deciding to shoot down yes. But if you look at it strategically. The side that can throw less money and force the other to spend more money, wins in the long run.
But reality is much more complicated than that of course.
Actually, all capable armies do. It's basic logistical arithmetics.
@@kingace6186, loss of public support, difficulty recruiting, training soldiers and paying death benefits is more costly than body armor.
@@sananguliyev4940, following this logic Hamas wouldn't Hamas be ruling Israel by now?
"Profitable" the US is deficit spending and then handing it to defense companies. We are printing $ and handing it to ourselves. This is wealth redistribution through inflation. Not profit.
It'd be awfully hard to fund a forever war without the Power of Siberia pipeline or key railbridges on the Resht-Astara rail line. It'd be a damn shame if something happened to them.
"The United States doesn't lose wars, it loses interest." Excellent quote and analysis! Thanks for sharing!
People forget America has been engaged in war for the last 35 years
@@jacksevert3099 Yes, but it lose interest in all these wars. Militarily, the US won all wars. It was the citizens and politicians who stopped it.
Huge cope. Loses interest just like someone gets tired of a board game they're losing.
@@cow_tools_ killing 1.2 million enemies at the cost of only 58k in Vietnam? Killing a million at just the cost of 7K in Iraq, Afghanistan and Syria combined? If that is losing, I do not want to win.
@@dartfather Hilarious! I suppose you play Call of Duty and think "winning" is your little KDR score. Everything you said doesn't matter. War is about outcome. America won all the battles, but still failed to win the war.
"They're about to find out why America has no Universal Healthcare"
Shirvan, you mad lad, you actually managed to sneak the meme in this. Beautifully executed
That's a lie actually, if we did things more efficiently like the British we could have universal healthcare through taxes for a lot cheaper than we spend on private healthcare. Universal healthcare somehow being incredibly expensive (compared to most private plans) is a lie pushed by insurance companies to keep things from changing.
The war in Ukraine is the result of the USA illegal invasion of Iraq.
The war in Iraq was illegal from international law.
But the USA insisted it was above such rules and it had a right to preemptively attack whoever it wanted.
Most of the world refused to go along with it (except Australia and Britain blindly following).
The problem?
Acting like you are above the law gives an excuse for others to break the rules as well.
"If President Bush believes that the US can go to war at any time against any nation, what moral or legal obligation could the American government raise if another country chose to do the same thing"
Which is the case in 2022, Russia invading Ukraine.
See video: How the Iraq war changed the world.
@@joelrebollar7055 in general America has very low taxes like if the USA taxed more companies and high incomes it can finance healthcare system easily with that taxmoney alone but instead over the past century it reduced taxes on high incomes in exchange for projects which were cancelled by next president but the tax didnt get rollback to the previous point.
US healthcare is tied to employment. Before Covid 80% of adults were insured and that covers their family. If you can't afford insurance then there is Medicaid. Hospitals also cannot deny care to anyone. Something 30-40 million illegal aliens know too well. It drives up insurance costs significantly. If you live in a country with a national system I recommend you build a wall and get honest about the state of your government run system because many are failing.
@@joelrebollar7055 yes, but that is not funny.
But yes, USA is the country in the world where the government spends the most per capita on health care, it just has the most inefficient system in the world to go with that spending.
@Gwain Saga Fan Channel
It doesn't need to rise taxes, it needs to spend the money it already has in a less stupid way, it already spends more per capita on healthcare than anyone else, the money is just going straight into the pockets of people that own healthcare institutions and insurance companies in USA.
"they're about to find out why America doesn't have universal health care" that was chilling
also a worn out trope - America spends trillions on healthcare
Wastes. *
@@EYDuff America spends trillions on healthcare, yet has the worst healthcare outcomes and the worst life expectancy in the developed world.
@@Volatile-Tortoise yeah exactly
War is about money because money means survival. This channel does a way better job at explaining underlying economic reasons for conflicts than all the emotional drama in the news, who point fingers and side with one side.
Dude, secret weapon, because they can communicate issues. That is some pretty low grow geopolitics. THEY ARE WORKING ON CENTRAL DATABASE TO TALK TO EACH OTHER. This is some pretty low brow analysis Caspian.
Yeah, you could say that Shahed drones are less expensive than AA missiles. But maybe it's more realistic to compare the cost of a Shahed to the price of three or four bursts from a Gepard, which is what usually takes down lawnmowers. Maybe also compare to the cost of century-old water cooled Maxim guns, which I've also seen manned as AA defense against drones. Perhaps the SAM-3 would be better compared to the cost of a Su-25, a Ka-52 or a Kalibr missile.
The problem is temporary. West and Ukraine work on effective way to deal with the drones. Actually Russian missiles are true risk. Most Iranian drones don't even reach the target, being taken out by cheap assets.
Blue chip art was my nickname in high school. My return was inevitable.
You missed it on this. The new weapons and training will put Ukraine at huge advantage.
Plus, sanctions are really biting now.
Russia will not be sble to continue the war to 2025 at most. Likely end this year.😊
Eh. Not to give the Russians too much credit, because I don't think they will be in any position to turn things around at this rate, but wars are a slog, it has already been a slog for the past year, and I figure it will continue to be, I don't think it will end this year. The soldiers will entrench themselves in positions that are difficult to dislodge, and so they will all just sit in their holes, trading artillery shots of various types for months and months on end. Won't last forever, of course not, but it will always be a slog.
Call me pessimistic but I feel you're being overly optimistic. This war seems destined to continue for years on end and likely well into this decade. The Ukrainians won't waver in the defence of their nation, but the Russian's are so stubborn they will do anything to ensure they don't lose the war, they will do literally anything to avoid losing face and that's concerning.
At the very least, I expect something big is going to happen this year.
@@RabbitShirak Shervan is great at geopolitical analysis. I would not trust his military analysis.
Apparently, he thinks that no movement of the lines is the same as stalemate. When one side is losing 5 to 7 times the men as the other, that is NOT a stalemate.
Ukraine is grinding Russia down, while training, equipping and preparing their counter-offensive, which will be a war of movement.
Russia fights like its WW1.
Ukraine will do modern warfare.
The Russian army will collapse in several regions, I expect.
Far from a "forever war".
Lithuanian Intelligence said Russia could fight for 2 more years. Russia has China...Russia can fight for a decade or so. Belarus will be dragged in eventually. This time a false flag by the russians (and not us) ;). Osama Ukraine Laden. Whats a war without lies right? Lol
I disagree with the contention that this will be a forever war. There's too much motivation on the Ukrainian side relative to the Russian one for that to happen. Russia made huge errors by torturing, deporting and abusing the civilians in the territory it occupies. The reaction in Ukraine is that they will fight to the last Ukrainian. This is the attitude amongst people who were previously pacifists. Russia's error turned pacifists into fanatics. Never abuse the civilians, there are tremendous costs and no benefits.
Wow. You didn't pay attention. Don't let your emotions lead you astray.
I second that, There is more on top of it: it would be unfair to say that only in the US the elites are getting tired of the war. In Russia, there is growing discontent with the government which can be seen from the public videos of the so-called "war correspondents, e.g. Igor "Strelkov" Girkin who in his recent video told Putin directly to "shut up and not humiliate the people of Russia". Russian regional elites are hastily creating their own PMCs of some sort as if preparing for a possible disintegration of Russia. And of course, never disregard Russian omnipresent corruption that can inhibit any "advanced" electronic system of mobilisation.
And Russia isn't acting like they even want the territory. Those terror tactics make occupation more difficult and levelling cities is leaving unusable rubble. At this point it seems like inflicting as much suffering as possible is Russia's win state.
Also who cares about manpower when they're rolling out tanks from the 50's. Their production capacity with a dead economy is not good enough to wage a "forever war'.
This is a particularly bad take, you're watching a geopolitics channel about greater national strategies and you think that some civilians being mishandled is going to have influence on how states act?
you realised that those ukrainians that have been taken to russia are russia descendants? these were the same people who voted victor yanukovych in the first place? im amazed with lack of general knowlegde from westerners.
"They're about to find out why America has no universal healthcare". CaspianReport has no chill when it comes to one liners 😀
Saying someone loses interest in fighting and not lose is stupid, because exactly the reason why someone loses interest is the possibility of losing. Its like saying i dont have interest fighting 5 guys in the same time. Because i am unbeatable or because i know my limits ?
The cost benefit ratio of shooting down a cheap drone with an expensive missile should include the value of the target the drone is after. If a $30k drone is heading towards a $50 million hospital, then a $100k missile sounds reasonable.
The real effect of cheap drones is to saturate and deplete an air defense. However, both sides can play that game.
Agreed. It is only a matter of time before the Ukrainians also jump into the drone game too.
And it will be really fun if Iran decide to supply these drones to Ukraine too
We wore them out when they brandished the hammer and sickle. What makes them think the outcome will be any different now when we spend even more of our budget on military ordinance?
Also it's not just a spend for the U.S. economy. Most of the systems they're sending or made in the United States, so it's money they're paying American companies which gets re-invested in the American economy.
Finally non propaganda report from the channel resubbing
“They’re about to find out why America has no universal healthcare” had me dead lmaoo you ain’t lying.
well America dont want to fall to socialism
and yes ik its not socialism but that is what Americans say
@@chadgaming8071 Yes Americans are stupid, they would rather spend all their money on bombs rather than to get universal healthcare.
@@chadgaming8071 socialism by definition is about social/public ownership of property. countries that are more capitalist than United States have better (often universal) healthcare system where the state regulates and often manages the health care system.
The point that matters is competent functioning of a system not the ideological fantasies associated with it.
That's a lie actually, if we did things more efficiently like the British we could have universal healthcare through taxes for a lot cheaper than we spend on private healthcare. Universal healthcare somehow being incredibly expensive (compared to most private plans) is a lie pushed by insurance companies to keep things from changing.
There is an important thing often missing in Air Defence price equation: not drone price alone BUT drone price AND the cost of a potentially destroyed target should be compared to Air Defence munition price. Not speaking about potentially injuring / dead because of a non-intercepted attack.
Согласен, зачем делать бронежилеты если пуля дешевле во много раз ?
Good point. The cost of NOT having the drone cause destructions is never factored in, although it should be.
noticed that too. he makes ridiculous arguments in this one. totally biased, unsubscribing from him
That's a useful metric when determining whether or not to shoot a drone down. But from an economic attrition perspective it all about the balance of costs between the sides.
If a drone is $20k, an interception costs $100k and the potential damage is $1m, it's inaccurate to say that the balance is $920k in favour of Ukraine. It may be money well spent by Ukraine (assuming no cheaper alternatives exist) but it's still a bad trade.
Video doesn't take one thing into account. Ukraine start making own versions of Iranian drones and they make already few spectacular boings.
The thing is Russija has made this mistake before, sending poor people and political dissidents to the front that is. Last time the boļševiks radicalized the army of people that that nothing to lose and saw it turn on Russija, I dont expect any different outcome this time.
The editing is great. What is the name of the editing software? The animation and stuff looks very good.
Whatever the situation now. I’m for the win for Ukraine and think the alliance should invest in Ukraine to break the stalemate.
then it will end in the fallout universe. for the Russian Federation, this is the problem of existence, they will use nuclear weapons if there is no other way out. and the government has nowhere to run.
Ukraine is destroyed and Sheevan is just bia ms in his reporting
@@god_slayer-restart total bs, nobody's going to invade russia, because nobody cares about that shithole. That apocalyptical rhetoric is aimed at impressionable westerners who don't understand anything about russian imperialism and fake bravado.
@@god_slayer-restart China wouldn’t allow it.
@@TheSteinbitt I hope
whoever is the attacker in a forever war always seems to lose. At least in every forever war I can think of
yeah like us invasion of vietnam and many others
the amount of brutality required to win one of those wars is pretty much impossible in the current global system. you will just get dog piled by everyone who is in utter disgust. We will see if attitudes change after we lose the last people who remember the great bloodletting of the second world war. I pray not
Are you thinking of any that don't involve the US?
@@hurgcat every one from that time is like 80 years old or older or dead. They're already insignificant in terms of their influence.
@Last Word yeah but their children remember. When the boomers go the last ties to the bloodshed of the 20th century go with them. more will be revealed on how it shakes out
"A soldier without a gun is no soldier but a man." - argument for a monetary strategy
Bro said “they’re about to find out why America doesn’t have universal health care”
WHY TF AM I SALUTING 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
"In practical terms, the new[centralized database] system will allow Russia to raise an army of fighting-age poor people, minorities, criminals, political dissidents, and disenfranchised communities." Yeah and giving them weapons is a very smart idea. I mean you can send them to war but you need a better armed army behind their backs in case you know they you know decide to revolt or something. Its not just as simple as arming undesirebles and sending them to frontline. If you giving them weapons you need to make sure you have another better armed army behind them.
this was my thought hearing that.
If Russia's Great Plan to win it's war of fascist conquest in Ukraine is based around manpower, I think they will find the cluster munitions has a way of dealing with most of those issues.
Russia can handle it. They are already winning.
@@yurichtube1162 how they can't even encircle bakmut
@@Hamburger2005 Uhh, Bakhmut is 70% taken and almost completely encircled. This is a war of attrition, no need to hurry up with an inevitable victory.
@@yurichtube1162 Is that why they are still trying to take Bahkmut? Winning seems to be a very slow thing for Russia, while losing tens of thousands of loyal orcs.
@@maghambor the total casualty rates of Russia during this entire war has been between the 14k-16k. It's a war of attrition, the goal is to inflict maximum damage on Ukraine. And it's going perfectly, close to 300k Ukranians KIA, and a very big number are MIA not to mention wounded. Russia is winning, going slow is the entire point. Russia doesn't mind giving up land if they can grind down the entire Ukraine army. Once finished, whole of Ukraine can be easily conquered. Nato will be kicked out, and Russia can force its will on Ukraine and whole of Europe. Nato won't save them. And the rate this is going, the war might end this year and if Joe Biden wishes to continue he will sent nato soldiers in to prolong it for another year. And once Donald Trump returns as president the war will end. America might even leave Europe, considering them a waste and just focus on China. (China is a whole different beast and topic, won't get into it).
"Russia is about to find out, why America has no universal healthcare"
Wow, this had me laugh SO LOUD at work
But it's a stolen saying.
Its going to be interesting to be a full war economy in our modern day
“The US doesn’t lose wars, it loses interest.”
Damn that’s dark.
And incorrect
@@tavernburner3066 that just your opinion
Mar 6, 2020 - As former U.S. Defence Secretary General Mattis put it, “The U.S. doesn't lose wars, it loses interest.”
It's the same thing. If you lose a war, you lose a war; lost too much manpower, economy, territory or intrest- its just the reason for a lost war.
That’s stupid. Don’t worry the Chinese will show us.
I'm wondering where they gonna find so many people in a rapidly aging country with accelerating emigration
This is so good I will watch it again.
I think you are not accounting for heavy sanctions here: it is true that the conflict is draining Russia of military materials, but the sanctions are making the war effort more and more unsustainable for them, especially in the light of complete lack of results on the front in more then a year.
Russia exports oil and gas to China and India, but the prices are so low that it barely makes any profit.
They've taken the whole coast line of Ukraine have you seen a map?
@@quartermaster1976 No, Ukraine still controls Odessa and it's coastline tf you talking about
@@Hamburger2005 Odessa is surrounded
@@quartermaster1976 how?
I think in this conflict you shouldn't exclusively focus on US contribution since EU NATO partners spend a roughly equal amount
He practically ignored the entire continent in his analysis. It almost borders on Russian propaganda that considers NATO to be a nothing more than a puppet of the US whenever it cries about "equal treatment" and dismisses the autonomy of millions of Europeans and their governments.
Thats a joke, EU contributions dwarfed by American
@@MarxAlex Not by percentage of their GDP though, the US only pays more because it can.
@@Sparx632 but which measurement would you expect the Ukrainian military to care more about -- percentage of another polity's GDP, or total amount of support their own polity received?
@@Sparx632 I don't think that really matters. What matters in this regard is raw numbers, not effort.
Wow! Informative...
Russia's winter offensive died in Vuldehar and Bahkmut. I have to disagree with your assessment this time around. But, as always, I appreciate Caspian Report!
Agreed. The talk of what Russia is preparing materiale wise is hand waved at. I don’t but they are making more munitions in the way claimed here.
Name one Russian source that claimed that there would ever be a "winter offensive", you heard that from the West.
So by default, it obviously failed.
Looolll...500k Ukrainian dead...russia is making a war of attrition, not conquest, and is winning by large numbers!
There hasn't been an offensive on either side.
The ruskies can barely hold their men together during an attack, I doubt they can get an offensive done.
Considering that very little negotiations have been held since the start I'd say that some one wants this war to go on till they're satisfied.
Shivran: Russia is preparing a never seen before system of intelligent mass conscription and is building huge industrial capabilities to win the war through sheer perseverance.
Reality: Russia is calling up tanks designed during ww2 (t-54/55s).
But seriously. I doubt Russia has enough competence to do things like that at this point. Till now, everything they did so far war quite a shit show. I'm also doubtfull this will change. Yust look at their series of disasters around Vuhledar, and then keep in mind that the commander responsible for that was actually awarded for it.
It is what is called a "Kakistocracy" aka. "the rule of the worst", since Putin values loyalty over actual performance.
Lately I've been questioning his integrity and moral stance. Feels like a large chunk of the video is kremlin propaganda
Ukraine has not only used missiles against the Shahed drones, but a lot of anti aircraft guns as well.
Especially the Gepard has been proven very effective against them, with 1-2 bursts of 3-4 rounds they can take down a drone. Their issue is of course a much shorter range compared to missiles. Rheinmetall is producing ammo again for them and even more interestingly the Skynex systems are already in Ukraine.
You are 100% right, they can shoot them down without missile sometimes. The only shocking thing is how much that Swiss anti-aircraft ammunition is. It's gotta be a couple thousand dollars a burst... at least.
@@tunahxushi4669 i have no info about the price but from a logistics and supply perspective its very much worth to use anti air guns against these drones instead of missiles.
@@tunahxushi4669 A couple grand or three is still cheaper than a missile.
What's the source on Skynex?
@@Firahun .. Absolutely, just saying AA ammo is not free that's all... Be better if the sites producing the drones could be targeted directly.
For some reason they always lose interest before "winning" wars lol. Look at Vietnam , Syria , Afghanistan and all.
1:26
"They're about to find out why America has no universal healthcare" 💀💀💀
This masterworks really sounds like a massive ponzi scheme.
Agree. If one doesn't outright own a thing and has it with them/has access to it (ie. land, property, etc.), it's dodgy in my book.
Bro Gas prices reached a lot higher than $5 dollars in California
That's cuz your state is greedy AF and taxes the piss out of petrol. Even if the oil companies charged nothing at all gas would still go for nearly $3 bucks in Cali.
@@Matt_from_Florida Of course floridaman does not understand the excise duty on gas. You guys deny the existence of climate change.
every thing will be expensive as hell in CA even if world will be peaceful
Good report. I do have to question the sensibility of Russia desire to add undesirables to its army ranks. The Roman army did this as well, and eventually saw multiple rebellions. I see now Wagner is having issues recruiting prison. Even an undesirable isn't stupid
Nobody shoot the drones with NASAMS. We use Gepard for this.
Rasha will be able to wage war untill their hard currency and gold reserves run out; the rouble will turn into bolivar, and when the payments stop, the economy stops, and the army goes home by itself. Manpower is useful as long as they are willing to attack, and that is why the generals pushed Wagners at the threat of being skinned alive, because most mobilized are unable to go forward and just freeze under fire.
It seems Biden admin is getting support from the OG guy🤩
The Russians have no will of their own. Their only dream is to die for their leaders.
That doesn’t seem like the perfect system to avoid war fatigue. It sounds like the perfect way to get mutiny and insurgencies…