STRAIGHT FLUSH vs NUT FLUSH! [$611,000 Poker COOLER]
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- čas přidán 15. 05. 2023
- Mariano has likely just won the largest pot of his career as he flopped a king high straight flush against popular Hustler Casino Live regular ‘Andy Stacks’. Fortunately for Mariano, Andy has the one hand that is going to pay him the full double - an ace high flush.
Jonathan discusses how he believes that Mariano should bet on the flop in this multiway hand in a 4 bet pot as there are plenty of hands that would still call on the flop. Mariano makes a good bet on the turn, Jonathan thinks he should use a larger bet size now that we are on the turn as it is harder to extract a lot of value from 2 streets rather than 3.
Jonathan agrees that Mariano should slow play his straight flush on the turn in position when facing the raise from Andy. It is likely he is going to face a big bet on the river to which he can make a reasonable shove over the top.
This high stakes poker hand took place on the Hustler Casino Live Stream in Los Angeles, California. The players were playing a very big game with blinds at $100/$200. This poker hand starts with Mariano raising from under-the-gun with king ten of diamonds. Charles 3-bets from the button with 87hh to which Andy Stacks decides to cold call from the big blind with A4dd. Mariano opts for a 4-bet raising the price to $9,000 but this doesn’t deter either poker player as they both decide to call. The flop brings the QJ9ddd giving Andy Stacks the ace high flush but Mariano has flopped the nut flush. The flop surprisingly checks around. The turn brings the 3h and Andy checks once more. Mariano now knows he needs to start building a pot and decides on a bet of $8,000. Charles gets out of the way but Andy now springs into action with a check-raise to $35,000. Mariano decides to slow play and just call. The river is the 6d. Andy fires out an overbet of $120,000. Mariano doesn’t take much time in announcing all-in for $257,000 to which Andy Stacks pretty much snap calls leading to this huge $611,000 pot being pushed in Mariano’s direction.
Jonathan Little analyzes live poker hands from TV poker shows such as Poker After Dark, Hustler Casino Live, The Lodge Poker Club & PokerGO. He also analyzes popular poker vloggers such as Rampage Poker, Brad Owen, Jaman Burton, Ashley Sleeth, Wolfgang Poker and others!
You will also find many poker hands on this channel that contain some of the biggest names in the poker world such as; Daniel Negreanu, Phil Hellmuth, Phil Ivey, Doug Polk, Garrett Adelstein, Tom ‘Durrrr’ Dwan, Dan ‘Jungleman’ Cates, Fedor Holz & many more!
#mariano #hustlercasinolive #pokerstrategy
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Have you ever managed to get PAID with a straight flush? 🧐
I flopped one once too. I had J-7 of Clubs and the flop came in order 8-9-10 of Clubs. I think I would've gotten paid the max had a 4th Club not came on the turn cause my opponent had Pocket 10's for a flopped top set. Action slowed down when the 4th Club came cause he didn't have a Club.
Not live, but I was on the wrong side of the cooler a couple months ago. Only bright side was it was a short stack with like $30 left in front of him.
Yeah, I flopped the royal was JTdd and got called by KK.
rarely happens, I can't remember
In a home game tournament yes....at a casino...no
Marianos reaction is the best ever. Hope I get that someday.
Wesley omggg sound lol
Hats off to andy handling it like a pro
Andy fumbling with his chips after calling the river ...is the most emotion he's ever shown ..(I would have lost my sh$$T)
Andy got 3rd nuts. The 4th diamond should have alerted him since Marianno would not have pushed all-in only with diamond K. Andy's hand is a bluff catcher!
@@newzero1000 the way it was play pre you can practically never put him on any kT though
Im so glad that your channel is criminally underrated because that means there's a lot of players missing out on good advice, which gives me advice edge lol
bro he has a bigger following then the majority of poker youtubers besides the biggest vloggers
@@beanhoudini yeah but the wide majority of poker players don’t watch him, which is bueno for good players
RIP Legend Doyle!
Nice try
@@ob105
Rip Joe Rogan
@@ob105 nice try???
Couldn't agree more that the river sizing from Andy is a mistake. The 4-flush means all Andy's flush draws got there, so what bluffs does he have? You can't overpot it on the river with no bluffs: your opponent gets to play perfectly vs you.
I'd be wary seeing how two straight flushes are possible, especially if facing excessive aggression. On the river it's foldable once the 4th flush card hits, if you don't think they'd overplay a king high flush (as you'd expect most pros not to). But if you are solidly repping the A-high flush, and they are still reraising you (i.e. ignorant of your strength), there's something suspicious about that. A pro would be foolish to try to bluff you off that hand.
@@wilhelmraspe1846 Especially after Andy overbets the river and gets raised. Also if you figure them for King of diamonds, surely you must suspect they might have a 10 of diamonds in their hand too. Furthermore the straight hits two commonly played hands K10, and 108, it's not just some random straight flush possibility you can dismiss.
Exactly, way more likely probably 1million to 1 ratio that Mariano 4b with KTs than him running a reckless bluff on a 4d board with a Td blocker. The river sizing of Andy is humongous, which makes it impossible for Mariano to smell weakness and I think this is the only way Andy can get away with this hand: river 4th d and he leads huge
I love your technical terms... "the super duper nuts". 🤣🤣🤣
Glad you made this video, I thought when I saw the hand that Andy could have folded. Mariano is too good of a player to overvalue something or risk a bluff with the Kd. He's also capable of bluffing, but he's not Alan Keating, he's not bluffing that number of BBs on that board when his opponent has all the Axd hands. Its totally player dependant...Eric Persson/Alan Keating/Nik Airball...snap call. Mariano....I think you can fold.
I was asking the same thing. My question as Andy would be how many hands is Mariano honestly bluffing with here? I don't think he has any bluffs with the board and river like that.
What would Andy call with other than the Ad? There's two combinations of hands that beat yours on this board and not that many bluffs
@Shinu Chacko he has zero bluffs. None.
@@unish25 Yeah especially with how quick he goes all in, and with his raise being basically a min raise all in... I would say there's no way Mariano of all people is ever bluffing. This is always at least a straight flush
Maraino loving that andy is reaching for a big stack of 5k chips
This hand reminds me of when DNegs coolered Bryn Kennedy with quads over aces full. Andy and Bryn are good enough players in both spots I think to find those folds. I think sometimes even the best players fall into the trap of “what are the odds of blank happening” vs “what the hell could my opponent ever have as a bluff here”. He just always has it here. I’m not saying I could make this fold but I think if Andy took 30 sec to think he may have. Just like if Bryn used some time banks in the super high roller bowl. I seen players in the Main Event make ridiculous folds like this. In a parallel universe this is a video titled “Greatest fold in holdem history?”
Yeah the 4 bet made a bluff look plausible to A. This meant that M could have KD+Kx while KD+TD looked less plausible. With that in mind I would have called for sure. The 4th diamond on the river was crucial 😮
I see it in exactly the same way
Shouldn't Upswing be paying Nik Airball to NOT wear the patch?
I have lost the same exact way, same exact hands some day ago with my A high flush, except it was hearts not diamonds.
Do you think it is possible to get away here?
It is so unlikely to have an UTG 3/4bet with KT. Way more likely the UTG has a set or overpair, so ut should be a call always imo.
I don't know if I'm ever folding here (you are outright folding 100% against TdX otherwise) but I'm surprised he snap calls as it seems like a spot you need to consider if they actually ever bluff.
Yeah you clearly can’t fold all Ad hands here.
I wonder what a solver does? Does it call some AdX and fold other combos?
But yeah against some players I think this could just be a fold. You’re definitely only beating a bluff.
@@JohnSmith-nx7zj If I had to guess solver just mixes with all of them. I guess AKdd is a pure call in that it blocks the only value that makes sense but that means you double flatted with it pre-flop.
@@qazzaqstan makes sense.
This just happened to me last night at 1/2. I had ace high flush- called all in bet. Opponent had straight flush. I couldn't fold it- the odds of opponent having the straight flush are so minimal I had to call.
In real-time, I'm not a good enough player to consider folding this hand. I would think my opponent could be raising for value with a non-straight King-high flush. I am an idiot! But I'll try and apply my creaking brain anyway.
What's Andy's range? When he raises the turn, he can have lots of flushes, he can have a few sets, a few straights (especially with a diamond), and some bluffs which will pretty much all have Ace of diamonds, maybe King of Diamonds. The river makes all the bluffs come in, and the sets etc unblock Mariano having a diamond, so it's hard to find good bluffs for Andy when he makes that over-pot bet on the river. Maybe turning a low flush into a bluff, but overall I think that river bet is going to be very value-heavy.
So Andy has loads of Ace-high flushes to make this bet with. He also has K10diamonds, and sometimes 10-8 if that didn't fold preflop. Plus whatever bluffs he has, and any other King-high flushes if he's a maniac. MDF says Andy has to make this call most of the time, and he's getting great pot odds. Depending on how his range is constructed, he may have to fold some Ace-high flushes, and maybe there are some odd removal considerations, but this is basically a call if you're trying to be balanced.
On the other hand, we should presume that Mariano knew that we have very few bluffs when we make the river bet. If he knew we mostly have the Ace of Diamonds, and he raised anyway, what does that say? We also know that it's hard for Mariano to have any bluffs here. So exploitatively, maybe Andy is right that this is a fold.
Would atleast give it longer thought. The snap allin seems incredibly strong and although I wouldn't really consider K10 on the river the allin just screams it so I'd need to think about it, still probably call but I'm not sure what I'd expect him to be overplaying/bluffing with, Kd obviously but still doubtful play.
What makes this hand hard is Mariano 4b pre. But think about this: did he flat with 10d on turn to bluff Andy on the river given he 4bet which makes him 100 times harder to rep KT suite and 8T suited: just compare the likelihood of Mariano 4b with KT with that he rep KT, not even on the same magnitude. Also he is not on tilt based on the night. Should be a painful, but rightful fold. I know it’s hard, but Andy should not snap call at least.
It's such a terrible spot for Andy because you're getting tremendous pot odds to call, but Mariano knows that when he makes the play, so it screams straight flush. But, at that price, I'd still call just on the off chance Mariano is getting out of line. It's a sigh call though, not a call made with enthusiasm.
as you pointed out, I was thinking he played it like pocket Kings with Kd...only hand that feels like he is repping
Does KdKx not just call the river though? Does it need to bluff? TdTx seems the more obvious bluff.
Its like the video jonathan did @4 urs ago-woman who folded quads on the river w the str8 flush available…..alot of people said how could she do that?! She did & was probably right!
Even Mariano isnt that sick to try to bluff here with 10d10x i dont think . Especially bcs its so lil to call a shove bcs of effective stacks so i think it is safe to assume we can discount bluffs which leaves us vs str8 flushes only. Ofc its highly improbable but that is not how u make your decision bcs of small probability but line your opponent took.
Other than the fact andy has the 3rd nuts. The key factor is how much more the jam is on the river. Andy bets 120 into 97. 217k in pot and And then mo goes all in for 257k. For "only" a raise of 137k more, there is almost no way mariano is bluffing with such a small amount more on a shove. It has to be a nutted hand, even if mariano had a king high flush he would probably just call river knowing that he has the 4th nuts and that andy would never pay off a raise with a flush smaller than that as that would be essentially a 10high flush ( as q j are already on board) Tough spot but andys biggest mistake was not taking an extra.minute to think it thru..
Yes I have been paid by hitting a straight flush on line. When he had the eighth i nut flush I I nailed it there was no way you can look beyond that straight flush. I think I could have laid it down I've seen Mariano play a lot. It sucks to have to lay it down but nobody's going to put in a quarter-million dollars on King high flush just no way.
all in on the card game...
The River bet was not well thought out. Only hands with a Kd in them could ever consider calling, and that leaves only two hands KdK? and KdTd. That's it. A set is not calling, because of the four flush on board.
I can't imagine that TdT? shoves here as a bluff either, given the odds. It's screaming for a call, but that was a problem with the River bet size, it left it were bet - fold was not really optimal.
I'd rather see a check than a bet, as any hand with a K will likely bet, and only hands that beat you will call.
請問T是那一張牌？
What about the hand at the WSOP a good few years ago where one player hit quad aces on the river and splashed all his chips all in only to find out the ace on the river had in fact gave his opponent the Royal flush👀😳🥴😂😂😂
The snap All In call would give me pause. From Mariano: With 4 diamonds on the board and no paired board the A is strong. I dont snap if I have a set, I dont snap if I have the 10 Diamond. And I may pause before snapping with only the K diamond. Why do I snap All In? I am strong. Andy: I cant get away from my effective nut flush so I call and hope he has KK etc
I think a 3bet on the turn to around 2 2.5x is the best play by far given how deep stacks are, Potentionally 8 diamonds (Could be less if villian has a flush orAdX) and 12 board pairing cards on the river, with up to 20 cards that can slow down the action it would be a disater to not get value from a non nut flush which is always calling to that sizing and could very easily get scared if the board pairs or even worse if another diamond rolls off. The naked ace of diamonds is always calling that sizing and the turn is the only street to extract value and given the strength of calling the check raise I don't think expecting a bluff although possible is all that viable in heros position. If the villian does already have the nut flush it is an absolute disaster when the board pairs and hero dosent stack him. Even when a diamond rolls off if villain uses a reaseble size (around half pot) targeting Kx ans 10x of diamonds and hero comes over the top with a big bet folding really does become a potential option for villian with the only real hand that would take this line is pocket 10s with a diamond given the action pre and even so it would an insane bluff to run. FInally when it comes to sets, they are all continuing to 2-2.5x sizing and when the board pairs given that most villians will lead out afraid that flushes will check back it will be very easy to get stacks in. Even when the board doesn't pair it means hero can use a small one third sizing and still get more than value then flatting the check raise and betting when checked to on the river. May not be the most balanced line but its such a rare situation that you flop a straight flush its not all that relavant.
Even against an OMC I'd never fold the nut flush here. Against Mariano? Hell no.
It would a tough spot against an OMC. On the one hand you’d never expect them to be overvaluing worse or bluffing.
But on the other hand, what OMC would 4-bet KT or T8 preflop?
The edit @ 10:43 lmao, had to like the video
Odds of flopping the straight flush vs the odds that the opponent is just making a really bad play?
Second comment from Andy pretty much nails it. He shoulda thought about it before his action.
Andy should bet like 2/3 on the river because the only hand he can realistically get called by at that point is high flushes. Also if he ever gets raised all in like this. Better odds to fold. And yeah I agree I think his hand is a fold when Mariona snap goes all in. He clearly wasn’t thinking about the hand, had already made his decision before the river. Not something someone would do if they were bluffing with the 10 of diamonds. Also even like a super crusher like Jason Koon or Michael Addomo would never bluff for such a small amount in this spot. Because your opponent is getting incredible odds to call. Idk I think both players played this hand not so great. And these are probably the two best players that regularly play on hustler now. Also sick cooler, good for Mariona classy dude
Personally, I feel that both players majorly butchered the hand:
Flop: Mariano obviously has to bet; like he would with a huge part of his range. Anything between 1/4 and 2/3 pot sounds highy reasonable.
Turn: Andy represents either the NFD, maybe some sets, or some kind of Flush. Mariano might stay sticky with QJs; but, more realistically, he has either a set, some baby flush , or : the Nuts.
River: The 4th Diamond, as action killer card, absolutely should have saved a house worth of money: If he really believes that Mariano pays him out for his face-up Nutflush, then he can bet up to 40% pot. Or, he might just check, hoping to win after Mariano checking back; like he should with all hands that are not the Nuts. In any case, Mariano can about never bluff ( with a Set ? ) that he has KTdd; - if he bets or raises, he always has it, and we can rather safely fold.
Check-folding the river with the Ad is just absurd.
Mariano could easily be going for some thin value with Kd if Andy checks.
in terms of nuts Andy has the 2nd nuts, since KT and T8 share the T. Just like K-flush is the 2nd nuts despite losing to 7 different potential A-flushes combos but it's still called 2nd nuts because in multi-way pots it's the 2nd best hand possible
In terms of how many combos Andy's hand is losing to, it's actually a lot less than the usual "2nd Nuts.
"2nd nut flush" loses to 7 combos
"2nd nut straight" loses to 12 combos
Andy's hand loses to 2 combos
ATdd is also the nuts since it blocks both straight flushes. Although Andy obviously knows Mariano can’t have that in this case.
But if you did hold ATdd you can be certain you have the winning hand.
I'd love to know Mariano's bankroll and how much is staked here. If you believe the bankroll rule of 30 buy ins, he's supposed to have a bankroll of 7 mil. 🤔
There isn't a person here who would fold the A high flush. Thank you have a nice day.
Only had about 6 straight flushes and only 1 Royal. That’s over 8 years and lots of hands lol. N each time I never stacked anyone.
Same situation I was in. Was playing 5-5. I had A high flush he had s8 flush. I paid him off then he won high hand of the hour fml.
Just a couple days ago online, I Flopped an open ended straight flush, and Turned the straight flush, but I was on the bottom end and the other player had the top end. I was fortunate that I had lots of chips and they had hardly any lol
Would of made you 10k probably in my club
This is f***ing nuts!
this happen to me everyday in the 5 card pot limit omaha
I don’t think that you can bluff there with the ten or king of diamonds considering the stp
I've been the guy with the nut flush versus the guys nine high straight flush we caught ours on the turn 😔😔
i’ve been in a similar hand but on the lucky end of it haha. i had K7d and my friend had AJd and we’re playing heads up about 80-100bb’s deep (was awhile back so can’t remember exactly the stack depth) but the flop was As 8d 5d and the turn was the 6d so we both made our ace and king high flushes and the river was the 4d for the straight flush over ace high flush. shit was crazy
I\m sure you know that Mariano is a very bluffy player, generally when he reads his opponent's hand as not being able to stand up to the pressure... It IS something he would do with kings with the King of diamonds, blocking the straight flush, probably not with the ten of D alone though... tough spot to be in for andy,
In a side note, how much of a percentage of their bankroll do you think these players have on the table...
Sick High roller 1,0000 blinds deep poker....
The Td is a far better bluff than the Kd since it blocks both straight flushes and has less showdown value.
Also if you have Td your opponent might have the Kd which is a hand that is very likely to fold if you jam the river.
I took good advice from a smart guy
I found a gane i could best and i play it more frequently
That's not the nut flush, its the A-hi flush. The nut flush is the str8 slush.
I had a straight flush against the nut flush like 3 years ago. I won about 400 bucks :)
Happened at my table in the last tournament. 100% disgusting. Pure call against punter Mariano
What hands does Andy beat? He clearly didn’t even think through it and after the hand said he realized it was a bad call
I thought the nut flush is the best flush you can make, crazy how poker terms have change so much.
Anyone who claims they will fold with the "nut flush" is likely not being honest with themselves.
i floped straigt flush vs straight flush this is real pain....A2 vs 67
Love all your videos, but at least you could pronounce Mariano’s name correctly
How many players have a 4-bet K-10? No one that I know. crazy.
Yes, I have! The one time I flopped a straight flush in a casino, FOUR of us were all in after a blank turn card, and action was complete without me ever betting or raising.
I had 87 of clubs, flop T96 of clubs. A really interesting thing is that I knew what my hole cards were with 100% certainty, and knew that rechecking them might be a tell, but I couldn't stop myself from rechecking them. I figured that maybe my eyes had bugged out already, or some other physical tell was being emitted, so checking my cards might distract people from seeing that. Six of one, half dozen of another, hopefully they flopped large also or improve by the river, but we weren't all so deep that I needed to pile money in immediately, better to let people catch up a bit first. A lot of money went in of the flop, and the rest on the turn, with me just flatting every time it was on me.
Turn blank. RIver paired the ten, so I was hoping I'd won 1/4 of a $320K bad beat jackpot, but the wrong card had paired for that. Straight flush vs nut flush vs set vs unknown on flop. Neither the nut flush nor the guy who boated up were especially happy, but it was the guy who showed nothing and claimed nothing who disgustedly slammed his cards in the muck and said nothing.
Someone joked that maybe he mucked quads so nobody would get bad beat money, but that was I'm sure not the case with his share being $160K if he had it, and the table was already buzzing with everyone talking jackpot and warning each other not to muck anything.
I assumed stories of people mucking jackpot winners were just an urban legend type of thing. But I personally, years later, did see a guy next to me muck a hand that was half of a bad beat jackpot. I forget the amount, probably between 40-80K, definitely not huge like the 320K one. And it for sure was not intentional, just a guy living on Social Security not recognizing he should table his losing hand.
I didn't have time to say anything, and it might have disqualified it even if I had. He was likely unaware of the jackpot, or possibly thought it was too low a quads to qualify, or misread his hand. I never told him, or anyone at the table, because the likely result would be either everyone blaming me for not instantly intervening (which really wasn't possible, the cards were flashed and in the air before I could have said anything) or everyone thinking I'm a liar. No need to upset the guy for a simple mistake, no matter how expensive. I don't even remember who he was, couldn't pick him out of a police lineup, just a generic older unknown opponent in my memory now.
Ok deep stacked but calling a 40 bigs 4 bet with ace 4?
Thats the mistake here
This just happened to me and I didn’t find the fold
"Merry-Ano" "Maurriano" LOL... Pretend like you are saying Mario and just add a ano at the end. Simple.
In a casino cash game a couple years ago, I flopped an ace high flush into two players holding a king high flush and a straight flush!! I hit a higher straight flush on the river. Worst possible beat to put on anybody!! Since then, bad beats against me don't hurt at all. I've been inoculated!!
Wow, you talked more than the hand played out. Thankfully I can skip the parts where you spoke non stop
Mariano made an error snap going all in, it was suspicious, as the best normal flush hand he could have was 8 high flush
"Mariano has likely just won the largest pot of his career" Really???? So you haven't seen po with AA vs KK vs KK with over 500k for Mariano... Look at it.
Ugh. What a terrible spot for Andy.
I don't know if I could make the fold but I would be very very suspicious at that snap all in. Someone just snaps for over a hundred k that's really strange. I've watched a lot of poker over the years and I'm not sure I've ever seen that for that amount of money
And I agree It was absolutely a tell that he was so eager to get his money in the pot
K♦️ Q♦️ J♦️ 10♦️ 9♦️
Ah man this is disgusting
this video was good besides the annoying commentator
Tf is this title? Clearly not a “nut flush” if it’s against a straight flush?…
Everyone keeps getting this wrong and it’s infuriating… Mariano’s video about the hand has the same headline. The straight flush IS the nut flush so it should be “straight flush vs. ace-high flush.” Little explains it correctly in the video but still used the wrong headline.
@@joshnagel8819I would consider the ace high flush to be the nut flush. A straight flush is a different hand category altogether.
If you got to showdown on a paired board and your opposed flips over a full house and then you announced your hand as “the nut flush” everyone would assume you’d lost the hand.
If you then flipped over a straight flush that’s pretty much a slow roll.
Are you sure it is "wrong" if it gets you two typing?!?
@Jonathan Little - Poker Coaching Ha... fair enough. Might be petty but for some reason I have a pet peeve about vloggers who proclaim to have "flopped the nuts," when oftentimes it's the effective nuts as best, sometimes not close. To quote the great David Sklansky, "always know what the absolute nuts is at anytime ... and whether or not you have it." Crazy how often many players don't seem to know. Appreciate your content and sense of humor.
Every time I wonder how Mariano went from playing $1-3 to $100-200 in about four years.....I see a hand like this one. Flopping a straight flush vs an ace high flush with 1,500bb stacks???? Oh now I remember how Mariano moved up so quick.
Mariano runs lucky as sh#t first AA vs KK & KK and now this hand like the ol sang goes better to be lucky than good
The river was 30% bet to exactly get the two hands to call. There are very few players are ballsy to turn the hand into bluff hwre