AI Generated Videos Just Changed Hollywood Forever!
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- čas přidán 26. 06. 2024
- This AI video creator is both exciting and scary! Film industry will never be the same.
OpenAI Sora: openai.com/sora
My website ➡ tomantosfilms.com/
My filmmaking gear kit ➡ kit.co/TomAntos
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:57 Incredible examples
03:38 No more stock footage
04:25 AI Animation
06:05 Photoreal AI Video
06:50 Glitches
09:57 Human Faces
11:26 Historical AI Videos
13:04 AI for Filmmaking
14:22 Conclusion
#AIvideos #OpenAI #Sora
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Remember, in filmmaking there's no problems, just a lack of solutions!
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My name is Tom Antos. I am a film director and cinematographer with over 20 years experience in VFX & animation.
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The opinions expressed in this video were not influenced by or paid for by any outside individual or company. I use and test lots of products that are sent to me or that I buy myself. In the end, I only talk about the products that I find interesting. - Krátké a kreslené filmy
I have worked around 20 years in the VFX world at DreamWorks and Digital Domain, and while I am impressed with what is happening, what I see is a LONG way off from being usable in a production environment. Being in client meetings and production suites, this tech would need to be tweakable on the very granular level. Like for the Mammoth stuff, just as an example, you would need to be able to tell the AI to have the Mammoth trip over an obstacle on a specific frame, get up after 3 seconds, strain to achieve it. Also. have it march along to a piece of music, control its facial expressions on exact beats of the director's eye, and that is just the start. What I see now is a great previs tool to get you looks, or for someone in their home to get their feet wet messing around. I think once it gets to the level where its usable on a real production, the prompts and tweaks would require someone highly specialized to guide it. For stock footage, though, I could use it right now to swap for some of the shots I did in a few Marvel movies a while back that took a team of 10 people 2 months for a three second shot That is the impressive stuff to me.
Interesting take on it!
100% agree on it... also having seen some of the new tools being created that allow direction of specifics like you mentioned I think this will eventually happen. I've seen some great posts where reference footage is loaded of a person acting and then the AI simply replaces the person with an animated character that exactly copies the motion and acting.
@@TomAntos Yep, I have seen that as well. I think for some instances it would work. But if I remember correctly only one shot actually showed the feet of the replacement characters and that was because they were sliding around and not able to track perfectly to the ground. I remember many years ago we got a demo of some composting software that could completely remove the reflections of cameras, lights and crew from a shot. We were all blown away til we got it, tested it and saw it almost never worked the way you wanted and they picked the one shot that they finally got it to work on. I am sure this AI is a game changer, but my feeling is at the end of the day it will end up being a tool to help rather than a replacement in most cases. And hopefully, give the artists more time to spend on making shots amazing and saving them from the gruntwork that never allowed their work to truly shine.
What you're proposing isn't that far off. They already have directed AI painting using the equivalent of kindergarten drawings. If we just think about how this can be expanded upon for VFX and animation production all they really need is the equivalent of rig derived influence. It's not that much different than the chicken scratch, but it opens up timing and control, and would implement the influence over time. Beyond that any other discrepancies would likely be fixable with more traditional comp work.
remember the first time the iPhone 1 was presented and people went nuts when he did the swipe? in 10 years the AI technology will be perfect, and as you said one guy in a dark room will replace 50 -100 people (Ifear)
We are entering a very, very dangerous area with this crap. While you people think this is cute and nice, In the next 4-5 years, this BS will ELIMINATE Cinematographers, location scout managers, directors, editors and colorists with one scoop. I shoot commercials, Ad agencies will no longer need me or a crew to shoot a commercial. HELL, the clients (Nike, General motors, etc)will NOT need Ad agencies, when they get this technology. Nike can just say what they want and the Ai will give them the commercials they want. This is very disturbing. I'm talking millions of people's jobs and thousands of Ad agencies will go out of business with this BS. Wow...we're doomed.
yup that is how it can end up going. But I think those of us who learn to use AI to create more original and interesting work will simply create new demand and therefore new type of job as the creator/thinker.
@@TomAntos Perhaps you are correct, however, this is a very dangerous territory.
@@ezereactionandreviews only reason i started learning it parallelly with my current work. 10- 20 percent time a week, the earlier the better. i don't care if it wont last long just like other tools.
@@TomAntos That's not how the economy works.
No for two reason. 1) You can't copyright AI generated imagery (look it up) That means that I could use a GM commercial, frame for frame, for a sleazy used car lot and they would have no recourse. 2) Its' not specific enough. you can't really tweak anything much. 3) It cannot, and never has, generated any original ideas. It just finds the most probable answer, the most statistically likely answer, to any text or image query. As such, it spits out bland tropes. Good advertising is never bland tropes.
Nowadays anything on video or photographed cannot be assumed to be representative of anything in the material world, no matter how 'real' it looks. Photographs, film (and video) have been used for evidence, to varying degrees. In a way, providing a fairly reliable witness function, which is rapidly becoming no longer available. It has always been possible to mess around with the 'evidence'. However, it is now possible to mess around to such a degree that it removes the 'authority' of photographic representation. Whatever the companies that are developing this tech choose to do to try and mitigate that issue, it will not provide any sort of guarantee. That type of control is not available, due to the mixed motives involved in it's development and use.
Thanks for the hand gestures in the video so we know it was really you that filmed this talk!
haha don't worry my AI clone is still being worked on.
The writers on strike with studios reached and agreement that AI can't be used to write scripts for TV and cinema. Will cinematographers do the same?
AI cares not what writers, cinematographers and studios agree on.
@@davemenard5089This AI still not an AI, because it does nothing without a text prompt given to it. Just a tool. You don't call an AI the GPS which finds you the way to the destination.
Sadly, the SAG-AFTRA agreement caved on AI
thanks for the content Tom, I have been following your career for some time now. I study filmmaking as a hobby and it's just amazing how fast technology is changing the film industry... I played around with midjourney for a couple months and was just amazed at the stuff if created. Will you be doing any filmmaking workshops in Toronto in the near future ? thanks once again
I understand the excitement around this shiny new toy but I cannot help but feel the frustration at how we as “artists” have been so unceremoniously displaced by this. Potentially speaking. What’s the endgame here? When the generative AI can write a script from a prompt then generate video clips that you can edit together into a film and then have the AI do the Foley sound design and music? What the hell is the point?
I do think eventually AI will be able to do everything including writing the scripts but I don't think most people will enjoy those types of stories. I think in the end these will just be tools that might replace some jobs in the film industry but will still be used by humans to tell more human stories without the need for big productions to bring these stories to life.
@@TomAntos I am an Artist myself. Done storyboarding, and Concept art for Movies. AI has already replaced a lot of Artist jobs. And yes, Tom, at first, it would be a great tool for you, but very soon, AI will be writing very human scripts and very human like stories that you can not tell them apart. When a human production cost thousands of dollars per second of video,,, and AI cost pennies,,, no one will hire us humans !!! Most digital media out there are based on advertising and money. Like a video or ad or a commercial. The public, someone walking down the street who sees an ad on a billboard, or a video ad on the internet, wouldnt care if it was created by AI or a Human. In the digital field, i dont think humans will be able to compete with AI anymore, sadly ...Now, sure, you can make an Artistic Movie,, all made by humans, but who is going to come and pay you lots of money to see it when a million other people can just type in a few prompts and have to same result. We have gone from horse and buggy to the modern world, now it is AI !
I'm putting forward a solution: no AI generated content should be protected by copyright. Copyright is supposed to protect humans, not machines. So if a studio publishes an AI generated movie, anyone is allowed to immediately copy it. Same with music: if you generate music, it will be immediately uploaded in the free domain, and you won't be allowed to generate any royalty. Tech companies should be forced to watermark their content. Why is this needed? Because we have to protect human art. This AI generative models are possible only because we have created their training material. If artists can't compete with AI and stop innovating, we'll live in a dull world made by machines with no human feelings and creativity. There will be even be no more human training data! It sounds terrible.
The spaceman kinda looks like Chris Pratt, and the woman walking is kinda terrible…
But… my main thoughts are
What a sad boring world we are going to live in as humans…. No requirement for creation or achievement..
Just sit in your pants typing text prompts…
Shoot me now…
So you're saying we should unsubscribe and change career paths? Alright guess it was nice while it lasted
🤣 I guess. Or you can learn to use AI in filmmaking and get even more work.
all jobs that use computers will always be diplomatically intelligent commuters
@@TomAntos I'll just wait for you to put out an Ai generated masterpiece and just tell sora 2.0 to make 10 variations based on your work and upload that.
It's going to be amazing /s
This is crazy 😂
Yes. Adios.
The AI is still hallucinating. Has no control over proportions, size ratio between elements. In almost every clip I've sat and watched, there are things that disappear or don't make sense. I think it will be a wonderful tool, but in relation to something specific, we would like to be able to relate to whether something is poetry or authentic. I think we will see a combination in documentaries where you will write AI generated in the same way as when we write reconstruction. We need to help those who are not visual to understand what is real. We're still fascinated by art we can make ourselves and I think we'll also see an appreciation of what we can create ourselves - I think we'll still see puppet movies and real people interacting because ultimately we can better relate to it and the backstory. The Red Cross cannot make a film that is AI generated from a crisis from a specific location. A company that sells robots will still need to be trustworthy in relation to the product they sell and therefore cannot just ask an AI to do it. In other words, AI is a tool that can help with a vision - but is not going to replace filmmakers and artists who have a vision in their own head - that's what makes us unique like a fingerprint.
Holly molly! Everyone sell your camera now!!!
I don't know if it is just me but even "perfect" looking AI created people look .... creepy. Like they're dead inside. Dunno.
It's a noise floor that is disheartening for people just starting out because it seems so instant and free but it will still come down to human stories and creative ingenuity to stand out
question is from where is open ai getting these images , there sure is major reference from stuff that already exists. Does open ai have rights for it?
Good point. The reference images and videos used are also from the most dominant demographics out there.
So at this time, if you want to make AI content involving demographics from the less represented people, good luck.
The plagiarism machine is getting stronger.
Very!
it is clear to me that the AI is still thinking in flat 2D rather than in 3D. The biggest glitches are when parts of the subject has to rotate in 3D. Like hands that turn or rotate causes the AI to fail to understand that some fingers are in front of the others during the rotation. This is the same problem children have when learning to draw. Humans think in 3D and have to learn to draw in 2D. Here the AI is thinking in 2D because every image or video it has been trained on is in 2D. For an AI to think in 3D, it must be trained in 3D. Until an AI can move about in the world and physically interact with the 3D world, it will never think in 3D.
You are correct. The real problem is that it is mostly using pattern of 2D pixels associated with words and mindlessly mashing them together. It doesn't know anything about anything, any more than Excel knows about finance.
People don't get how this works. It works by storing videos in a latent space ( if you don't know what that is look it up) then references the latent space to create derivative variants by mixing and blending to various degrees as needed. The issue is the original source is always part of that latent space, and with the correct prompt a copyright infringing result can emerge. The retention of the copyrighted footage without the permission for compensation to the authors in the past would've been considered a violation of copyright because it is using it with the intent of unlimited reuse. This issue has not finished going through the courts yet, but I would recommend staying away from using it in professional situations unless you are positive of how and what the AI was trained on. The reason is if something is ever called into question, the footage is compared, and it is deemed infringement levels of identical. Then the AI footage user could be responsible for compensation for the infringemen. Remember just because something seems free doesn't mean it actually is. Be careful and I recommend waiting until the legalities are finalized unless one uses reputable AI sources. Currently OpenAI is being sued over these issues. So be wary before dragging yourself into it at a professional level.
The footage used to train Sora is licensed by Shutterstock. All legal. It's doesn't matter if you use copyrighted material or not. This stuff is here to stay and will get better and better by the day. Crying about copyright is irrelevant, just use copyright free stuff and train the AI. Problem solved. Time to look for other career paths.
@@aceyage Your argument shows a lack of understanding on how Stockfootage sight licenses work, and I guarantee unless Stutterstock is literally getting some kind of reoccurring annual fee what you're claiming is likely false. Even if OpenAI believes paying a one time license fee gives them this right, then they are also most likely wrong (I do not have all the details of Shutterstocks most recent licenses, but I've never dealt with any none public domain ones that allow for infringement redistribution, which is what a latent space is). Also please do not belittle a topic that you clearly do not understand, just because you desire your point to be correct. The courts will decide on this point, and if they stick with traditional examples of use-cases like this then OpenAI, and several other AI companies might see some hefty fines in the not so distant future.
@@billyoung9538 There is an official deal between them. Open AI didn’t just download videos they previously licensed and called it a day. Whether it's a one time payment or a permanent one, I don’t know.
@@aceyage okay, that may be the case, and if so then OpenAI is moving down a more legit path; however, there still are a lot of unanswered questions that need to be solved in the courts, and OpenAI hadn't been working in collaboration with a stock footage sight in the past. Now The question is did Shutterstock change their policy and properly inform their contributors of the situation, becuase Shutterstock is a distribution source for artists, and a change in policy like this could cause those artist to want to pull their footage from Shutterstock due to the clear threat to their lifes work. Do understand that Stockfootage distributors are middle men for those artists, and changing the contract in a artist unfriendly way without properly informing the artists while their work is out of their control is also a potential violation of contractual laws. Again this is a big, BIG issue that needs to be resolved in the courts. That said thank you for addressing this in a more civil and less belittling tone. This is just sharing information and thoughts to try and help others think about the potential ramifications.
@@billyoung9538 I think the ramifications are clear. The cat is out of the bag. Potential copyright cases aside, nobody's going to stop anyone of feeding their own works into an ML algorithm and have a platform that spits out and endless amount of videos. Companies have one goal: save as much money as possible to make money for upper management and cutting out artists or really any kind of work that can be automated is only going to help with that. The future is a world of abundance.
I lost my design job a few years back due to advancements in AI and have been out of work since then. Nowadays, I create CZcams videos where I eat spicy food, driven by a deep sense of despair.
Hello, bot
@@PierreNgo ???
Goodbye to my stock footage income
Yup the same thing happened to my job when animators started getting replaced by better tech in simulation and motion capture.
But these AI video clips have an artificial feel to them just like the pictures, they are good but when you go back to the real deal its a breath of fresh air. I think people will soon go back to the real thing, like every other technology that comes along people ditch the old and then regret it.
This stuff is still a baby. It will learn and grow EXPONENTIALLY in a short time. You can plot it's "current" learning curve and calculate where it will be in 5 years. I'm certain it will reach true perfect realism by then. I also suspect that full movies will be made from these and future models VERY soon. Yes, Hollywood "should" be terrified. The days of 200 and 300 million dollar blockbuster budgets will be over soon. That same movie could be on with 10 million and a total crew of 25 people. (prolly less)
Why are you certain? There is nothing to back your certainty. In the early 2000s people were certain that Moore's Law would continue with computer chips. It didn't.
Perfect breakdown 👏
Thanks!
All our jobs would be gone. Even yours Tom, cause anyone can easily have an idea. No Directors, Camera person, Actors, Models, Sound person, make up Artist, Porps, Locations, Video editors, Visual effects, computer animators, etc. the list goes on. ...for now, only hand models are needed lol. This is just the beginning, these AI computers are getting better exponentially, what ever you think that is not doing well today , it would be able to do it next year !!!
Relax. they are not getting better exponentially. They are reaching a limit that is predictable. Try reading an A.I. written "script". You will laugh (at the AI).
I agree, the versatility and inevitable abuse of AI is immense, the Matrix is getting closer.
It looks really good, and I think it will be a great tool for creators to easily and simply turn their ideas into a video.
However, what worries me is abuse, because there has always been abuse in everything that man has created. So here too, a video can appear in which Tom Antos (or me or anyone else) commits some crime, murder, and that can create a lot of trouble to prove innocence. In order to prevent such abuse, the government can impose the mandatory use of a digital ID for all online users, which would also mean endangering the privacy and freedom of users, ie the tyranny of the government (Orwell 1984).
Sometimes we get something fun and creative, but the price we will have to pay for it will be too high, think carefully about what it all means, because in the end it is always, always about abuse.
ps I wrote the above comment in the middle of your video, and after watching it to the end I see that you also mentioned the possibility of abuse in propaganda. Good thinking.
On "my job will be easier" I just roll on the floor of laugh. You will have no job.
.....in the best scenerio ("it's easier now") you will get reduced microscopic paycheck.
incredible tech, i wonder if you can feed it an image to render multiple videos with the same person
Not yet but Im sure that is coming.
I am producing a documentary and could use this 1000%. Even with current limitations I would be willing to pay thousands for access to this.
Why? An A.I. generated video doesn't actually "document" anything.
Recall me the scene from The Matrix Revolutions. When Agent Smith came to a corridor and lights progressively shutting off and darkness coming there........... That one: "Smith visiting The Oracle | The Matrix Revolutions"
It's was not so far away, as we see now........ Will have huge impact and a ripple effect to whole economics.
We can only hope they will replace repulsive self entitled actors in Hollywood😀🇬🇧
That's interesting, because most artists say that hands are the most difficult things to draw or paint.
True. I guess it's not much easier for AI
@@TomAntosaren't the similarities a bit freaky tho?
My answers is no. Here is why: don't forget that OTT channels are like a family with cinema camera manufacturers. If they use artificial intelligence instead of buying films from filmmakers, things may change. The cinema audience is aware of the actors, directors, etc. in the movie they watch. people wants to know actors or actresses social lifes and even their private life. What comes to your mind when you think of Tom Hanks? Or what about Steven Spielberg? At this point, artificial intelligence can never show a real actor and his director, but he is not real either. We do not value criticizing something that is not human-made. Does anyone here talk about the identity of the actor in the video or anything else private? No. From where? Because we can't put a value on it. Why then? Because the man in this video has never been captured before in a real war between two countries. For example... I mean, I personally want to know what the actor in a movie I watched went through in life before, and wouldn't all the audience want to know that? So grab that camera right now, gather the actors and shoot a movie, because I'm curious about what will come out!
They didn’t “release” it yet… not for the general public
Yup I say that in the video
Interesting but it must have some way to invisibly watermark every frame so that abuses can be quickly caught.
creativity always was connected with capability to do something (play an instrument, film, compose, write, take a creative photo etc etc)... now not anymore... anyone can deliver the result (music, film foto) ... and even the "idea" now only has to be vague... AI will do the rest... humans only need to decide: yes I like it, or no I don't.... is like tinder for (fake) artists...
Good video, Tom. It's got huge potential. Like all tools, it'll hopefully complement (vs replace) what we do. Great for pre-vis / pitching even today...
I agree! This tech is here and will only get better. We might as well learn to use it or get replaced
@@TomAntos The goal is to replace all but the ruling class, Tom. They are saying this out loud.
@@mamandapanda185 oh I know... but don't worry they won't succeed.
@@TomAntos The day it actually becomes usable, as opposed to a con artist's "demo", of very limited actual utility, based on stolen data, which is all we really have today, is the day we already will be replaced, if not by a machine than by the millions of people able to easily write prompts, which is not much harder than learning how to flip burgers at Mc Donalds. Thankfully, that day is much further away than what the con artists looking for VC capital would have you believe.
Waiting for the all-planet holographic AI video to be beamed down via satellite. Fasten your seatbelts…
Maybe it's already happening but we can't see it because we are part of the hologram 🤔
@@TomAntos Good point!
It will be like with the development from paintings, through photography and eventually to mobile phones with built-in cameras. Paintings were appreciated, admired and passed from one generation to the next. Photographs were taken at special occasions by few and then frequently watched by many, but more rarely went to an interested next generation. With the introduction of mobile phone cameras, photographs are being taken at every possible occasion by virtually everyone and then watched by few at few if any occasions. I seriously doubt these thousands (millions?) of photos will pass on to any future generation, or at least that anyone will care to watch a few of them more than once. My point? Inflation. The easier/cheaper it is to produce something, the less will it be valued. Add to that that what is produced is lacking a connection to a creative human being (thus being soul-less) and we will end up with an even more fake world full of fake content produced by anyone whose laziness does not prevent them from asking ChatGPT to create a screenplay that they will then provide to the movie generating AI. Given such a development, I predict myself to stop watching movies.
yup I think you are correct. Definitely the easier anything gets to achieve the more it cheapens it.
Yes, exactly that will happen. Look at photos (in the digital camera age) and the music production. Everything got so easy that recipients got overloaded. Photos get taken, shared on social media and will be forgotten soon. The human capacity for a meaningful media consumption is limited. Once you can create pictures, videos and music with some smart prompting everything will be so devaluated (through inflation) that it becomes meaningless and boring (sure there will be creative exceptions).
@@HaraldEngels Actually pro photographers still make money, some very good money. It was always very competitive and still is.
The problem is that the app doesn’t tracks the same face when creating a character. From scene to scene .
Certainly, there are many questions involved with copyright infringement and so forth. But just know as technology move forward and times change, they will become a moot point in 15 years this will be so adaptable, and so specifically usable that he will have taken over most of what we do in the film business. Locally I’m old enough and I will be retired before this takes over completely but I like going out and shooting stuff as do the people I work with. Studios will use this to get rid of Crews and Actor.’s, but low budget. Films will always be a thing, a niche thing, but A thing none the less.
I'm sorry but you have zero data to back this conclusion. Just plain old zero.
You cant stop this and i hate it even tough it is impressive
I truly understand this excitement from the business part of huge companies - they will make their money anyway but what about most of us as artists? I always have thought that we are doing it because we are like it, we are like the process of filmmaking as humans. because it's more than just filming you know it's like always - you starting from scratch, not knowing how things work and step by step progressively growing up as an artist and as a person Besides all of that on the go you are growing as a person with many other aspects in your life, etc it is all about overcoming, about pushing through and as a final result about self-improvement. but what I don't get about all the excitement about AI from people- what's the point then besides fast money? what is the value of these things if you can do in in a minute with one click.... idk
Technological progress never cared about the victims. If you can see the signs on the wall adjust today to the upcoming new reality.
Totally agree 😔 it’s not just about the result. We love the process… For many of us it’s a way of life, it’s art, it’s our expression or… was our expression
This is major, major, major breakthrough for movies pre-production. Storyboards are dead.
You fear the worst my friend, and I agree with you.
Hollywood won't be effected for a while. But that isn't where the majority of video jobs are. The little guy will get hit the hardest and the quickest. This is unfortunate but there are bigger threats to society such as automation in other industries that will affect the bottom 50% of earners massively.
OK, let's think of some random lower end video assignment - say a corporate for a lawn equipment company. With interviews and product shots How could you use Ai for that? The minute you start thinking about it, it makes no sense.
Yeah is not there yet, but it will be next month....the dead of cameras....
As a 3d designer I couldn’t solve today 1% of solutions using ai always random results not specific
This stuff still doesn't look real. And in my experience it's really hard to get specifically what you want with ai. Takes a lot of rewriting prompts. It might start to replace the bottom level of certain areas of the video market, but it's still pretty clearly animated so that limits the uses for now...
Great news for a shark movie
Yes! If it comes out so I can use it in time
We live in an adapt or die society now. We can all shout at the rain and swim upstream, but we'll die of exhaustion while others pass us by.
We live in a society where unelected global leaders are telling us that the future is NOT human & most of the population will become useless to the ruling class. If you aren't the ruling class--and I mean million/trillionaires--then you have to adapt to being useless to them. This whole "adapt, embrace change, use it as a tool" is dung. All you are doing is helping refine the tools the rulers will use to make you useless to them.
That's not true. And never was. Otherwise we would still leave in the far west (you're not good with a gun? adapt or die). Society has made rules to contrast slavery, economical exploitation and so on. AI needs badly to be ruled. Human values and worth has to be protected. In Dune AI machines are eventually banned. Maybe we shall be forced to do that too.
If that's not true, tell that to the coal industry.
@@jrsoldano1444 I tried, their ChatBot replied denying all allegations.
@@jrsoldano1444 I tried: their AI Chatbot replied denying all allegations.
I don't care about AI generating videos from scratch. I want different things. A long time ago I had no kids but I had hair and I got married. I want an AI to take my old wedding video and to change young me with me now - bald and old. Also to change the bridesmaids with my kids. I want to see how it will look like I was marrying today. Can that Sora do it?
Killing thousands jobs, AND some "AI" company will charge you A LOT for that. So, technically money will fly away from artists, photographers, animators and their families *to someone else pocket.* It's not free and cost millions in training....... But we have some time, while ai inference still cost a lot..... yet...
And, if it is not killing advanced studios etc, yet, thousands small studios all around the world will be affected harshly.
Might it's fun, interesting, but someone invested thousands in equipment, living from freelance, paying rent, taxes, and more sad that thousands concept artists and animators spend 10+ years to learn and get skills, spend huge amount of time on education (and tuition), and someone not related at all just came, scrub millions of images and animations for datasets for free AND "killed", litteraly someone who worked on it without paying anything...
F. AI......
Great video!! As for a question, do you think that many of us beginners that have already invested in camara gear should sell it as fast as possible ? Before the a.i becomes so accessible to every single person in this world? Ofcourse a good answer would be: it's always worthy to understand how to use and learn gear, such as lens, lighting, cameras etc. But being totally honest, do you really feel that I the near long run, all our material will not be needed anymore? Mayb.. only used in very super specific needs... I would say.. would love to hear from you.. Best regards
No I don't think you should sell your camera gear. I think AI generated videos and photos will be a great addition to any filmmaker who learns to use it. But original new work will still need to be created. You also have to keep in mind that AI can't really create anything completely new. All the AI images it creates are based on real work done by humans. AI simply looks at billions of references online and tries to copy and mix it etc to create something. While this will be helpful I don't think it will completely replace a filmmaker with a camera. I think some aspects of filmmaking will in a way get easier. Like I said in the video stock photos are already seeing a big drop in sales and I think similar thing will happen now to stock video.
You do realize that the dream scenario you painted about the way you would use this tech, means the end of all cameras, lenses and gear associated? I've seen your gear reviews. This would kill their jobs and yours at the same time. This isn't cool, this is endgame.
You can make the film before you actally make it. But the someone wil say make the film. why pay all those below the line workers and many above the line. Actos jobs will drastacally change they will be ananomous to the public becase what will be shoen is not them. Dead actors will be working. all this could be done by a few people. Maybe a creative lead for the story and for each of the depatments like set designing, lighting....
Good points
Filmmaking is dead. Within 10 years, the business as it's known today, studio, sets, workers.. all gone. And the same for the camera business.. High quality cameras in mobile phones will obliterate 99% the need for dedicated cameras, and bodies, lenses, accessories, in 10 years there's almost nothing left. It will be like a tsunami the moment this is out for the general public. What? Spending thousands and thousands and thousands on heavy gear and workers and travels and sets and crews for something that you can do better on a 10 seconds text prompt? and the same for writing, for music composition, for just about anything that involves creativity, the need for hardware and group work. In 10 years there is nothing left but memories and dust.. and it might actually be much sooner. And along with all this, reality and truth becomes irreversibly a thing of the past. We are happily, curiously and excitedly witnessing the tools of the demise of everything we used to use, do and believe in. It's all over.
They've been saying this since camcorders came out in the 1990s. Never happened. Never will
While I’m not crazy about generative AI, your headline is alarmist and unnecessary. I’m a VFX industry veteran and a lot of what I’m seeing here is far from perfect and not particularly easy to adjust.
destroyed my job but also made it easier for independent film makers to make movies. So in the end it's still a win.
Yup
When independent film makers will be able to make with AI their films as they want, so with full control, then AI will do that as well. Then you will have ChatGPT Films. And the replacement equation doesn't change. AI production will outnumber, copy and destroy human competition. If we let AI free, nobody is saved. Every time I think of AI the logical conclusion is dystopia.
@@TomAntos No. Not if you want to make a living.
i findi it harder to tell when the AI is trying to produce anything "Old" like vhs style or old historical style because those types of footage imply a lot of imperfections anyway. at least to me eye with the more high definition renderings even though they do have all the proper details in the scene there is something "plastic" about it and the movements are always off. but the fact that its already at this level, where it will be in 5 years is going to be insane
Who owns the IP on “your” digital creation!? If you don’t own the IP you’re just agreeing to be a digital slave for tech oligarchs.
No. They didn’t.
Tom, seriously, you don't know what Hollywood is or anything about how it works if you say this. You equally don't understand how economics work. Whatever anyone can do for $0 is worth $0. Also, why would I pay $20 a month for this AI service for stock footage "creation" (if it even is that little) write prompts, get weirdish results half the time, try again etc. when I can pay less than that for a stock footage site and just search for what I want, and get results that always look real because they are real.
This is only the first version. It's gonna get better. Also I've worked in Hollywood for over 25 years. The last film I worked on already used AI in some aspects of the production which meant those jobs were lost. When something becomes easier and cheaper to produce like video content than it makes the whole industry a lot more competitive. This has already happened in film industry as digital cameras made it easier for new filmmakers to enter the industry and compete. This has resulted in many below the line film jobs being lost of having their wages lowered.
@@TomAntos Fair enough. We use AI to speed up SOME roto for example (it doesn't always work well enough, and hand-roto is sometimes (I'd even say often) still needed. But these are narrow use cases, which hurt some jobs, but not as many as one might think. The use case of replacing real stock footage, which is abundant, fast cheap and of high quality, with generated AI stock footage, which costs more to obtain just in electricity, is one of many examples that are ridiculous. And again, there are hard limits to how much this can improve. It's based on techniques that are not infinite in their ability, not even close. And that's assuming that the law will continue to allow unauthorized use of "training data" that is illegally scraped off the internet without consent. I doubt that will continue to be legal in all territories. Already AI generated "content" cannot be copyrighted in the U.S. by the "creator"/prompt writer.
Tom, you sound depressed.... creativity will be outsourced to AI too ... sadly!!!!!
Don't worry. Im very happy.
Damn I'm getting sick of these clickbait titles! Can you just put together an authentic piece and not try to make us click in fear of losing our jobs? I mean, what an awful way to get attention! "Hey everyone, AI is here and you're going to be jobless!" Unsubbed, will look for other creators that don't need fear to get views. Peace out.
Perhaps watch the whole video before you say i click bait my video. I talk about AI and how it already replaced mant jobs. I used to work as an animator over 20 years ago and when the first mocap and simulation tech was appearing we used to joke that it wouldn't ever replace animators skills. Unfortunately many animators lost their jobs do to that tech. Now AI is doing the same thing to many other jobs.
@@TomAntos Okay, I get that - but why do you have to use scare tactics to get people to watch? Why does everything have to be a hook, or a pitch? Why be a panic merchant?? As technology advances, so do we, and early adopters have the best chances at adapting. Technology will always move at a speed that outpaces some, and not others. What I'm pissed about is this fear-mongering tactic of eliciting views by frakking with people's sense of security! Instead of fear tactics, why not "New AI creates amazing opportunities for animators!" Or "AI Generated Videos Give Smaller Creators the Hollywood Touch!" Does that make sense at all? If you aren't able to empathise, I get that too. But I'm still sticking to my guns on this.
I'm not the best the best at marketing youtube videos since I do this as a hobby. Sorry for upsetting you.
@@TomAntosYou are correct, Tom. It is going to put tons of artists out of a job starting with stock footage video creators. We have already seen the impact in photography and writing. These are simple facts. Nice analysis don't let one comment bother you. 💪
@@TomAntos Don't be bothered by a troll. Your analysis is spot on.
stock footage will be fine
That's what me and other animators used to think almost 20 years ago as new tech in simulation and motion capture started coming out. Until eventually it replaced most animation jobs.
@@TomAntos But getting stock footage of higher quality than any of these weird AI goopy thing is cheaper and faster than writing prompts. There is no reason to switch. Like just zero none.
DoorDash is always hiring
Hahaha