I was 6 years old and living in Hornell NY .The Almond Dam is just west of my hometown and is at significantly higher elevation than the valley below.It was constructed by the Army Corps of Engineers after a devastating flood in the 1930s After several days of torrential rain the dam was near the top.I recall the local authorities going door to door warning people if they hear the sirens blaring ,go to higher ground because the dam failed.Well it held up and the town was spared being completely wiped out. I know a helicopter crashed, killing all aboard in a nearby town. My aunts basement had enough water in it to float her pool table.The water behind the dam was deep enough to cause a picnic table from the park at the dam site to get stuck all the way up a telephone pole entangled in wires.Thats about 60 feet high.
The main thing that saved Pittsburgh from a major flood was the controversial Kinzua Dam on the Allegheny River, which came within 3 feet of overtopping. The Allegheny and upper Ohio rivers did see moderate flooding which would have been MUCH worse, potentially rivaling the devastation of 1936. The controversy stemmed from the Federal Government taking Seneca Tribal land for the upstream reservoir, requiring the relocation of several cemeteries and other lands the Seneca People considered sacred.
I would think that a professor of climatology with a PhD would know that a '100 year' rain event has nothing to do with time. It simply means that in any given year, over a geographic area, that level of rain has a 1% chance of happening (and this is a very ballpark estimate derived from observational data). The fact that it occurs in one year has absolutely no bearing on it occurring the very next year. A '10 year' event has a 10% chance of happening. A '1000 year' event has a 0.1% chance. It is a very misunderstood concept, but a university professor should know this. I'm sure he does but it feeds the climate narrative - something else I'm sure he is well aware of. From the State of MN DNR website: One of the more misleading phrases used in meteorology and hydrology is 100-year storm. The phrase implies that an intense rainstorm dubbed as an 100-year event, dropped rainfall totals heretofore unseen for 100 years, and not to be experienced again for another century. This is a logical, but incorrect conclusion to draw from the phrase. More precisely worded, a 100-year storm drops rainfall totals that have a one percent probability of occurring at that location in any year. Encountering a 100-year storm on one day does nothing to change the probability of receiving the same amount of precipitation the very next day. A better way to describe these unusual events is to refer to a one percent probability storm. However, the momentum created by repeated usage over time will assure that 100-year storm will remain in the public and scientific lexicon. Intense rainfall events are often geographically isolated. Therefore, increased population density, improved precipitation monitoring networks, and radar-based precipitation estimation have increased the likelihood of capturing (measuring) heavy rain events. Also, improved communication allows for faster and more complete transfer of weather information. When the neighboring county is walloped by a 100-year storm, we hear about it quickly. Invariably we will vicariously "experience" the event and wonder why 100-year storms seem to be occurring every other week!
My father was the dam tender at Indian Rock Dam in West York Pa during Agni’s and Eloise. I believe people forget about Eloise which flooded many counties in southern Pa. Steve Young who is the dam tender now worked for my dad. The dam is where I grew up and I can tell you first hand about government waste… climate change doesn’t exist!
Wow! Jay Christopher,grew up watching him,along with John Foster,if I remember correctly? If I saw JC,I’d ask for his autograph.A treasure for the good ol, days. Remember at 11:00 right before the news, It’s 11:00 Do you know where your children are? Lol.
I'm 80 lived and worked near the Schuylkill River in Bala Cynwyd/Manayunk with relatives in the Reading area too in 1972. I don't know which was worse, the deluge of rain/flooding in 1972 from a freak storm or the deluge of Bull I just heard from the Climate change tree huggers here on this video. Can you imagine the hysteria if an Agnes type storm got stalled again by a cold front???!? 🤣🤣🤣
So anytime between now, and never we are going to get another one! It's an uncertain certainty!!! Brilliant!!!🤣🤣🤣 But wait, they've gone from once in a thousand years, to once in ten!!! That means we've missed four since!!!🤣🤣🤣 One thing is certain though, no matter what the weather does next, it will be blamed on climate change!!!🤣🤣🤣 Every day was sunny and seventy before 1900!!!🤣🤣🤣
I was 6 years old and living in Hornell NY .The Almond Dam is just west of my hometown and is at significantly higher elevation than the valley below.It was constructed by the Army Corps of Engineers after a devastating flood in the 1930s After several days of torrential rain the dam was near the top.I recall the local authorities going door to door warning people if they hear the sirens blaring ,go to higher ground because the dam failed.Well it held up and the town was spared being completely wiped out. I know a helicopter crashed, killing all aboard in a nearby town. My aunts basement had enough water in it to float her pool table.The water behind the dam was deep enough to cause a picnic table from the park at the dam site to get stuck all the way up a telephone pole entangled in wires.Thats about 60 feet high.
Grew up in Pittston I was 7 years old never seen anything like it again 57 years old now hope I never do.
Yes, I was 8 yrs old but I remember it well. I lived in a small town north of Harrisburg.
I was living in camp Hill Pa during Agnes. I will never forget that flooding. Hopefully I will never see something like that again.
The main thing that saved Pittsburgh from a major flood was the controversial Kinzua Dam on the Allegheny River, which came within 3 feet of overtopping. The Allegheny and upper Ohio rivers did see moderate flooding which would have been MUCH worse, potentially rivaling the devastation of 1936.
The controversy stemmed from the Federal Government taking Seneca Tribal land for the upstream reservoir, requiring the relocation of several cemeteries and other lands the Seneca People considered sacred.
I would think that a professor of climatology with a PhD would know that a '100 year' rain event has nothing to do with time. It simply means that in any given year, over a geographic area, that level of rain has a 1% chance of happening (and this is a very ballpark estimate derived from observational data). The fact that it occurs in one year has absolutely no bearing on it occurring the very next year. A '10 year' event has a 10% chance of happening. A '1000 year' event has a 0.1% chance. It is a very misunderstood concept, but a university professor should know this. I'm sure he does but it feeds the climate narrative - something else I'm sure he is well aware of.
From the State of MN DNR website:
One of the more misleading phrases used in meteorology and hydrology is 100-year storm. The phrase implies that an intense rainstorm dubbed as an 100-year event, dropped rainfall totals heretofore unseen for 100 years, and not to be experienced again for another century. This is a logical, but incorrect conclusion to draw from the phrase. More precisely worded, a 100-year storm drops rainfall totals that have a one percent probability of occurring at that location in any year. Encountering a 100-year storm on one day does nothing to change the probability of receiving the same amount of precipitation the very next day.
A better way to describe these unusual events is to refer to a one percent probability storm. However, the momentum created by repeated usage over time will assure that 100-year storm will remain in the public and scientific lexicon.
Intense rainfall events are often geographically isolated. Therefore, increased population density, improved precipitation monitoring networks, and radar-based precipitation estimation have increased the likelihood of capturing (measuring) heavy rain events. Also, improved communication allows for faster and more complete transfer of weather information. When the neighboring county is walloped by a 100-year storm, we hear about it quickly. Invariably we will vicariously "experience" the event and wonder why 100-year storms seem to be occurring every other week!
But it’s climate change 😂
My father was the dam tender at Indian Rock Dam in West York Pa during Agni’s and Eloise. I believe people forget about Eloise which flooded many counties in southern Pa. Steve Young who is the dam tender now worked for my dad. The dam is where I grew up and I can tell you first hand about government waste… climate change doesn’t exist!
Looks like last week's events that hit the northeast.
Also,if I remember correctly? I believe JC use to fill in once in awhile,for Dialing for dollars.
Wow! Jay Christopher,grew up watching him,along with John Foster,if I remember correctly? If I saw JC,I’d ask for his autograph.A treasure for the good ol, days. Remember at 11:00 right before the news, It’s 11:00 Do you know where your children are? Lol.
I miss Uncle Ted.
I wat there uscg
I'm 80 lived and worked near the Schuylkill River in Bala Cynwyd/Manayunk with relatives in the Reading area too in 1972. I don't know which was worse, the deluge of rain/flooding in 1972 from a freak storm or the deluge of Bull I just heard from the Climate change tree huggers here on this video. Can you imagine the hysteria if an Agnes type storm got stalled again by a cold front???!? 🤣🤣🤣
So anytime between now, and never we are going to get another one!
It's an uncertain certainty!!!
Brilliant!!!🤣🤣🤣
But wait, they've gone from once in a thousand years, to once in ten!!!
That means we've missed four since!!!🤣🤣🤣
One thing is certain though, no matter what the weather does next, it will be blamed on climate change!!!🤣🤣🤣
Every day was sunny and seventy before 1900!!!🤣🤣🤣