3 Things You're Probably Not Doing To Crush Midstakes
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- čas přidán 3. 06. 2024
- Zoom Cash Games on PokerStars were for years the place where you could find the best players in the world playing everyday. In this video I show you how I was able to achieve high winrates in those games, and give you 3 tips to help you play better and make more money.
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#poker #pokerstrategy #pokercoaching #onlinepoker #pokermadesimple
Great stuff Saulo. Didn't know you started a channel. I snapped subscribed and will be sure to recommend to everyone I can. Congratz on also a fantastic editing and smooth music to make this a 10/10 video. Ty!
Some people in the comments got shocked with my calldowns vs recreationals and requested more information. I think that's fair since I am in fact recommending you make these types of calls in the video.
Here is the screenshot of the amount of bluffs recreationals have in this line: gyazo.com/3845be646d7aa1d2b9ffbb4674702ca7. It's from a software called H2N, the best one for studying population tendencies. What matters in the screenshot is the "40 weak". What this means is that, over the 2398 hands that recreationals went to showdown in this line, they showed up with a hand equal to low pair or worse 40% of the time. This means that any middle pair is enough to calldown in this line, considering that you will usually need only 25% equity or less to call on the river given how much is left behind. And more - not only its enough, its extremely profitable! If we imagine a 50bb river jam into a 100bb pot, then EV(call) = 40% X 150 - 60% X 50 => you win 150bbs (pot + bet) 40% of the time and lose 50bbs (your call) 60% of the time. EV(call) = 60 - 30 = 30bbs! You are winning 30bbs everytime you call.
Yes, you won't win all the time - in fact you will lose more than you will win (60% x 40%). But the times you win far compensate the times you lose. That's the magic of pot odds 😃
I don't recommend plays out of nowhere. What you will see me teaching, particularly when it's about recreational players, comes from a strategic gameplan I've crafter over 6 years of studying population tendencies. That's why I'm comfortable making these calls - because I've studied the behaviour of recreational players off the tables. And I do this by analyzing data over millions of hands. The screenshot above comes from a Database of over 150 million hands of cash games, from 50nl to High Stakes. Hope that clarifies the calls! GL everyone
No you don't get it... online poker is a scam
Phony bogus strategy...Keep the bs coming.
@@benjiswett1690 Or maybe you're just trash
In your calculation however you don’t take into account the bets on the previous streets, only the river bet. Would this increase or decrease EV? Flop call is usually good probably, but your middle pair is vulnerable by the river.
Could you perhaps show such a calculation?
@@aksa908 thanks for the feedback! The short answer is that all online poker is rigged
That's a nice graph well done
I couldn't cut it even though I used to love playing nl online.
Ironically getting coaching from a very good 1knl winner on stars was what caused me to step back because I realized the skill gap I would need to overcome was immense even though I was a decent winner at micro /
Incredible good job, Saulo!!! So much value, please keep it up, you explain things very very well, and clear and show very good examples! Some of the best coaching I’ve seen… maaaaa maaaaan 👍👍👍 10/10!
Thank you for the feedback mate
Omg Konstantin I really hope you are a scammer because if not then yikes your gonna lose alot of money pal
Hello and congrats for your work i wanted to ask you do you have the same opinion for the pool of GG poker because from 25-200 nl its seem to be really nitty in river spots and most of the times recreationals have it
love the content man, subscribed !
Salve, Saulo! Essa linha vs recreativos só vale pra spots 3betados? Ou devemos dar call down em any spot vs recs?
Outra coisa, nos estudos que tu fez havia algum tipo de distinção entre recreativos? Pq eu vejo que há recreativos que realmente são bem agressivos, abrindo 4x e coisas do tipo, mas os recreativos limpers eu raramente vejo esse tipo de linha mais over. Contra eles devo jogar diferente?
Obg pelos vídeos! Ajuda demais! Abração!
NICE VIDEO Saulo! I'd love to see more on how to exploit the recs. Keep up the good work!
Noted, you can expect such content in the future!
Parabensss Saulo!
Show de video!!
Quantos buy ins de variancia no NL200 zoom!
👊🏻
I just discovered your channel today. Your content is amazing. You are the only blogger I have found that actually explains strategy in a very sound way, In the first video I watched I realized I am a nit. Is all your content on CZcams or are you associated with a coaching site?
Gold. Thanks for the content Saulo.
Obrigado saulo, seu canal é o melhor que já vi de cash game. Pode fazer um video de como explorar recreational players? Abraço
Thank you for the great line, 'll try it!
I love cash game content, thank you!
sick re raise and bluff catch but u explain perfectly why u do that and I actually understand it so nice job and read you opponent :)
Nice vedio! Looking forward to more videos from you.
Superb video. Please more of this type of content.
Hey Saulo! I admire your work, and do follow your guidance. Let me ask you something though. If you play on GGPoker though, you would just rely on pure GTO? Because no HUD is allowed and GG stats are likely or sometimes even totally unreliable? Do you think that GTO still beat an 8 BB/100 rake NL200 pool?
Great vid 🔥
I find the click-raise bluff pattern interesting. I suspect it's because rec players' first instinct is to slowplay strong hands on the flop, then raise turn (which is why we need to overfold vs rec turn raises), which weakens their flop raising range.
Do you have population data that recs are too value heavy on turn raises?
Great stuff. Really nice to hear a crusher talk about the game. And yes, would love to hear more about the limping strategy. Congrats.
Will do soon, stay tuned!
Would love to see more content with HH review vs. recs
Gracias Saulo, yo no pensé que tenia jugadores rec en la nl1k
Good video with good info. Question say your quite new to poker an come in at the micro stakes. How do you figure out the recreational players say if your playing zoom an not cash tables?
If you are playing with a HUD then they are easy to spot. They would have a high VPIP and there is a massive number gap between their VPIP and PFR and they often have a low 3b% and aggression frequency. Other tells are not playing with a full stack.
nice Job, I love it
I would like to know why you limp TT UTG. Thanks Saulo. Great Video!!!
What mouse do you use in this video? Thanks
Great video but sometimes it's difficult to place whether they are a spew rec that clicks back the nuts or compete trash or a weaker reg, what I am trying to say is its hard to select these spots when your normal spots are reg or weak recs with decent hand ranges
The most important thing is to study player profiles off the tables to know what to do against people, even if you have little information. The most important data point against recreationals is their VPIP, as a quick and simple rule, the higher their VPIP the more you can call them down. Hope that helps!
@@saulocostapoker thx that's helpful
@@sudstahgaming oh brother it's all a scam
@@saulocostapokerShouldn't we consider the PFR as well instead of just looking at the Vpip? More specifically at the gap between PFR and Vpip? Like, a 40/5 rec should play significantly more passive postflop than a 40/30 rec, even though they have the same Vpip, they should require very different exploits. Or am I missing something?
@@keniffkeniff That doesnt have to be true, the 40/5 stats just means that he's more passive preflop. Alot of those guys amp up the aggression post flop because now they know you cant "3bet" their openings before the flop or whatever logic they use to be passive preflop. Basically the typical rec will slowplay to much and try steal the pot when he has nothing. You ofc need some kind of a hand to call down but the principle remains the same, the problem is though that we all have feelings and we dont like to lose money and feel like a fool. This is the hardest step to overcome if you wanna play poker for a living or make money. You have to be ok with losning some of these spots, because in the long run you print money on spots like these. Hope that helps clear it up abit, i am not on Saulo Costas lvl, but i play poker for a living and doing allright.
Sick conteúdo!
Hi Paulo, is the 5bb winrate captured before rakeback? And is it on Pokerstars (I'm assuming it is because a few of the regs shown in the HH play on it)? Just curious because a few different sites will often yeild different winrates due to rake, pool tendencies etc.
Yes, before rakeback on Pokerstars
High Quality!!!
can you share your thought on pool of ggpoker rush and cash 200 ?
Mr Saulo if we have a read that the fish is passive from another pot, lets say he checks to the river IP in a SRP with a gutter and has J high, would this read overpower the fact that fish are very aggro IP in 3BP when they min click back at the flop?
I don't remember the last time I adjusted to a fish based on showdown. Fish are unpredictable, I don't think you can argue that them showing down a weak hand means they will underbluff.
What I in fact do is adjust my strategy based on the fish VPIP. Fish with low VPIP do tend to bluff less, so vs those I might fold more. Hope that helps!
Thank you 😊
You're welcome 😊
nice video boss 🔥
You're so calm facing all those crazy bets. GGs
That's because I already know what I'm going to do. Studying off the tables is the most important thing
@@saulocostapoker I had your commentary going through my mind whilst I played 5/10 online last night. It helped me stay calm and win a few nice pots. Thanks for these vlogs. Looking forward to the next ones!
In the TT hand where you say that maybe QJ or QT would be a better bluff, how often would you take that line with those? I imagine that sometimes you are double barreling to get some folds or a more credible river bluff, especially if you c-bet 15% all the Kx are still there I think.
Yeah I agree won't get to the river super often with those. At the same time, you don't need too many bluffs in this line to begin with since value hands are limited
what VPIP/PFR did those recs have? 23/12 with a river bet of 25% is not the same
Salve Saulo, baita conteúdo. Fiquei curioso para essa estratégia de limp-4bet. Se não me engano já vi tu fazer isso em outros vídeos, como AA e KK, além do TT. É uma jogada que vejo muito com jogadores recreativos na NL10 e NL25 e em geral eles fazem isso com mãos fortes. Então quando adotam essa estratégia eu já espero que venham com um range forte.
Achei curioso vendo tu usar essa linha. Abraço!
Vou fazer um video em breve sobre essa linha, stay tuned!
Fish think that poker is *all about bluffing* so I agree with your point 3 massively.
Your english is super B!
Nice youtube channel, im following you !!
Constructive criticism: This should have been 2-3 videos; not only giving examples and a graph, but far more importantly, concepts and context.
For example, on the topic of playing a purely exploitative strategy against Recreationals:
1) They want to win single pots; not long-term / mathematically.
2) They do not understand what to do.
3) They are far too loose Preflop; results:
A) They have to call down lighter with marginal hands.
B) They have to over-bluff, as they rarely make a strong hand, with their range.
4) They especially love to bluff on paired boards, where they should play more conservatively.
5) They give sizing ( and timing ) tells, all the time; - more often than not, their bets are too small, especially on the turn.
- There is of course more to say; especially for individual hands. So: " You are not wrong. " - However, without more concrete explanations,
a lot of the video about exploiting Recs and bad Regs can become rather bad advice.
🤡🤡🤡
It's strange to count pot odds in this specific line. If you are decided you pay for stack and then losing on river 60% of the time, it means in total u lost ur stack 60% of the time, and win stack 40% which is obviously minus EV
Hey Saulo hope you are well. You said you never suffered with tilt (lucky bastard). In your years in poker have you seen someone with really bad tilt transition into having a really good mental game? Looking for some hope 😂
pretty surprising your data show rec's blasting off that much for flop raise, turn bet and river bet - will have to pay attention to this. my data base def shows quite a bit of value here, but there were some light flop raises taking place to. interesting stuff
If you are using small DBs, you won't be able to see proper range composition for these unique lines. Screenshot is from ~200M hand DB
@@saulocostapoker little bigger than mine ;P
Hi Saulo. Would you recommend the plays in this video to someone who is currently only playing microstakes?
Yes, absolutely! There is nothing about microstakes that would make the plays in this video worse. Recreationals bluff a lot at all stakes.
do you like using that Logitech MX Vertical mouse for poker? Is it really more ergonomic putting less stress on your wrist for using hours on end? Or would you recommend the standard flat mouse for multi hour online poker sessions? Thanks.
It would be nice if you could show counter examples of your exploits and actual stats on how often it works and doesn't work, instead of showing the same example 4 times as if it always worked and villain never hits when you call down with 66 on 3 overcards - it seems a little missleading to me
That's only fair. Check out pinned comment above. Hope that helps!
herman miller mirra 2 :)
O cara é monster
logitech vertical mouse xD. I use orthomouse, is amazing!.
Hope you don't mind a little humor:
You are a real gangster on the tables, but so likable in real life.
Just like Gus Fring in Breaking Bad. :D
J9 clubs very strange played....we dont block full houses, also block streets) but we jam....
has anyone ever said that you look like the former middleweight champ alex pereira
You are the first one
Muso 💜
Are those calldowns recemondend for MTT or just cashgames?
I haven't studied MTTs so can't speak much about it. That being said, since we are talking about recreational player behaviour, I wouldn't imagine that much changes. If I were to start playing MTTs tomorrow, I would make these calls
Saulo if we 3bet a fish preflop and don't have a hand do you not cbet? For instance Fish open 2.5x and we are in the SB with KTs. We 3bet to 11bb and fish calls. Flop comes A73tt and we have nothing. Do you just check flop here?
I think it's close. Recs float and raise a lot vs small bets, so this reduces the EV of low equity hands. At the same time if you check, they stab a bit too much so you get to the turn less often, which decreases the EV of checking a low equity hand. I generally go with my guts about that particular player, but checking hoping to get a check back and bluff turns is a fine approach imo.
conteúdo top mano segue o plano 💪
Отличная игра против любителей, молодец!
curious why you are using HM2 instead of HM3 ?
HEM3 is terrible bro 🤣
Lol love this line haha
7:00 can checkraise Ah7h
Game has huge rake so at long run house always wins
Some of these hands are pretty cool. Good info! Do you speak Spanish?
I do not unfortunately
Most of the time when fish click back they showdown with a weak top pair
what is that mouse?
So what solver are you using for open ranges? KEep playing like that youll be broke in no time
On the last hand, why don;t you even consider that they have an Ace?
8:30 call :)
Calling is probably okayish, but raising is better
@@saulocostapoker you spend more time in poker than me, yeah you have true 🧠
Is this even possible when 200z and 500z have like no fish?
Things have indeed changed in the past year or so, where recs migrated to GG Poker and Stars became reg infested by offering lots of rakeback. So achieving high winrates prerakeback is hard at the moment I would say. BUT, with 60%-70% rakeback (as you can get these days) it's very possible to achieve very good winrates post-rakeback
🚀🚀🚀🚀
Why you still using hm2 bro?
Lot better than hm3
@@ghjk5827 why is that if i may ask =)
Thank you genius for sharing your wisdom. Joy to see several Argentines like gabi_igna battling against you at those tables🔥
Who are you
Fico muito tridte de ver um cara como saulo migras e mostrar conteudos em ingles , mano primeiro o brasil depois os gringos acho que vem muito essa pegada do max mais vcs tem que consolidar o br primeiro de tudo man axo lindo o trabalho de vcs respeito o conhecumento de todos mais man apresentar condeudo em ingles pra quem nao é do meta game ou ou coisa assim é muito fuck repensem nesse aspecto por favor sou fan de vcs grindo nl 25 no bodog mais mans revejam
doing so well you needed to make this video, lol. The stupid play is a results orientated mind witnessing an exploit... tip two is a cry for people to stop being nits... got bored din't catch tip three
is that a black messiah vinyl??
Your gonna have regs spewing stacks to rec players left and right.
You don't 3bet some of the fish in your examples. You iso their BTN limps.
We need to reopen the asylum 😂
What was your reads though … and honestly clearly your a solid player ty for the footage but if your giving tips you have to be transparent to the viewers … seriously … those hands you did win … but with them lines taken and the light call down you have had to lose way more than won in those spots .. you can’t just call down every street with underpants that’s a losing strategy against any player .. I’m winning at 50 Nl and have attempted to play bigger and not succeeded … however I do know that calling down so light consistanty is -ev … and thank you for the footage I just don’t want viewers to think because your playing against a bad player you just keep calling down with multiple over cars because you have a pair … I do have a fundamentals sound approach .. I’m not a gto wizard but I play a theoretical strategy as far as range construction bet sizing continuation betting and board textures and the mathematical appropriate bluffing frequencies … and with the players who are bad I know they can end up on the river with tons of trash hands … but when they are going all in you have to know their stats .. their attempt to steal are they over bluffing and so off balance that you call down 75 percent of the hands and still be profitable .. we can’t just say I am playing a fish and I have pocket tens so I’m calling down no matter what .. that’s a losing strategy honestly just please give the viewer the thought as why this play is profitable for the specific recreational … blind followers can end up losing tons of money like this
Thank you for the feedback Vallaces. Check out pinned comment above. Let me know if that changed your mind!
dont spoil the beans too much on how to exploit recreationals for free :D
Te amo
Thanks for this video to make bad players play worse. Thanks
It takes a lot of arrogance and delusion to see that someone’s crushing one of the toughest pools in poker over 1.5mm hands and to still think you know more than them. I guess this is what happens when you give pearls to swine.
@@matta5749 this dude said pearls to swine 😂
@Matt A your pretty thick huh? All online poker is rigged... 😊
Skepticism towards some of those calls is only fair 😀 Check out pinned comment on the top for more information👊
@Matt A Here are the facts. Joe Bartholdi = 4.5 million in tournament earnings. Saulo Costa = $713
Another aggro Brazilian reg ok. Why play poker, just bet bet bet raise raise raise REDLINE GOOD WWSF 50%+ NICE
seu ingles é bom pa caralho achei que era gringo com nome de brazuca
« He’s is unlikely to have a flush because his heart combos are blocked by the board « ???? Tell yourself that every time a flush completes and see how that works out for you 😂
#FakeGraph
With regard to mental skills: working out, eating right and not partying every weekend also helps immensely.
Agree totally!
Anyone can selectively pick hands to make themselves look good. Only poker players than cant make a living playing poker try to coach.
3rd video and I already have a hater! That can only be a good sign 😎
yes, teaching 200 players and staking them and just earning if they earn is indeed how a scammer would act. you're such a joke, "jimmy". go hate real scammers, dude
Lol yeah, same for Doug Polk and other youtubers right?
😅what a donkey you are , there are a lot of winning players doing really good content.
4.77? Not that much
Too bad I couldn't impress you 😞 I will try harder next video 🙅♂
For context, neither LLinusLLove nor OTB_RedBaron won at higher than 5-6 BB/100 over comparable sample sizes. Quite simply you have no idea what you're talking about.
@@matta5749 they play higher stakes with less fishes
poker is now the scam that crypto and day trading used to be
Poker is a bullcrap game!
I want to see the 50%+ times where you decided to call or bluff river against block bet and was wrong and got stacked lol , good video though, I think the point you missed is a good 50% of the time you do this you will be wrong and get stacked.
Here for it