"Win a Few Hundred Bucks a Day" Blackjack Strategy: Does It Work?
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- čas přidán 4. 02. 2020
- You’re not greedy, you just want to win a little and not get backed off. What are the odds you can walk out of the casino with a few hundred bucks tonight?
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Playing on your phone until you get a losing streak to reset your luck is some insane troll logic lol
Wow 😳 🤩 straight genius
@J Gav no it doesn't lol??? it doesn't make mathematical sense to do this - you literally said these are independent events, which means you understand that the probabilities are not effected. still might be living in a simulation though
@J Gav no it doesn't - the chance of you calling it right or wrong is always 50/50, (If i'm wrong correct me I don't mean to be rude, I just doon't see your pooint)
ok it makes sense it terms of "breaking the streak" but if your only goal is to win as many coin flips as you can in the casino - there's no point, as you don't effect the probability of winning the coin toss and it's always 50/50.
@J Gav I think the fact that you play on your phone *until* a certain streak happens kinda invalidates the math.
The casino would LOVE for you to come in every day.
Not if your ripping them off
🤣🤣🤣
If you lose, yes. If you win a lot, you'll get the tap on the shoulder at most casinos.
Not if you're a AP
If you play advantage, the casinos actively find ways to try to kick out out. They often don't even care how immoral the methods they take to kick people out are. I've heard of some pretty bad horror stories from advantage players. Which is why I like to stick to poker and play black jack occasionally at places I know I will never go to again.
In both Craps and Blackjack I’ve found that my banking stradegy is way more important than anything else. When I begin to win, i pocket (my buddy and I call it rat holing) my initial bank. If I keep winning I pocket black chips and continue to play with my winnings. When I lose whatever is in the rail or on the table, I leave. The hard part is not returning. I won’t until the next day. If I lose my initial bankroll right away, I’m done for that day.
Money management is very important, because winning streaks should be levered to the fullest extent possible, while minimizing bets on losing streaks.
So true
James Clary same principles used in stock trading. Some people initially risk 2% of total capital on 1 trade. If correct can sell some stock to pocket profit. If all the 2% lost get out of the trade altogether and reenter trade with an edge on another day.
Blackjack unlike high concentration games like poker, yiu can have a few drinks 50/50 and whatever!
Its soooo hard to leave...i've had one good shoe up 500 only to have 5 bad and loose it all.
Colin, you are by far the best and most reliable BJ advisor for ordinary players like me. Thanks!
Come again?
SPELL. BLACKJACK. OUT. ALWAYS.
What do you mean by that? 🤔
This man forgot to say no Diddy
You're always going to be up at some point. Not many people can just walk away. It's really hard to leave when your hot. That's why, alot of people end up losing.
Thats me. That’s why I quit long ago.
Wrong! You are NOT ALWAYS going to be up at some point! Approximately … (did you catch that secret word “Approximately?) … 52 Percent of the time you sit at a table you will never be “Up” from your initial “buy-In” amount. However - I do remember Benny Binions Horseshoe before there were table “Maximum” limits, when in theory if you had a big enough bankroll and started out with a $2 bet ( or a relatively low amount in relation to your starting bankroll ) that you in theory, could . The funny thing about that is I don’t remember any BJ player back then breaking the bank!
what about when you think your up, your just winning back the loses that you've lost in the past. so i think to myself im coming here just to try and withdraw money I've donated in the past
@@jjnguyen8809 haha. True. If you think like that, maybe you'll end up loosing even more lol.
Yesterday, yes I feel it
Blackjack fascinates me to no end. Good thing I've never played for money, because I have terrible impulse control. I don't think it would be a good thing for me to gamble money.
Don’t fall down that hole, i hated gambling until I was 21, went to a casino with a group of friends for his bday and ended up hitting a hot streak over a week. Needless to say overall I’m down massively to the casino and developed a life long addiction to blackjack. I only gamble for fun now with the hopes of making a couple hundred bucks per trip, I also try not to spend more than 1 to 1.5 hours in a casino anymore, quickest I left was after I went up $300 after 15 mins but the problem is besides the money, you get addicted to the adrenaline of playing blackjack so even though I was up and left my “addiction” wasn’t anywhere close to satisfied. You also get desensitized to gambling large amounts of money per hand, the chips really disassociate it from real money and next thing you know you’re playing $100-300 hands as a gambler and not an AP. The worst thing that can happen to a person that’s never gambled before is hitting big on their first trip.
Short answer: no.
Thank me later for saving 9 minutes of your life
I just need some bullshit in my life.
Winner of a video, I been tryin to find out about "beat the count card game" for a while now, and I think this has helped. Ever heard of - Tonvelyn Xiylijah Trick - (do a search on google )? It is a good exclusive guide for learning how to make fast money using this lotto system without the hard work. Ive heard some interesting things about it and my buddy after many years got excellent results with it.
Lovely video content! Excuse me for the intrusion, I would appreciate your opinion. Have you heard the talk about - Konenjamin Penrooklyn Solution (erm, check it on google should be there)? It is a good one off guide for finding your lucky day to cleverly win the lottery without the hard work. Ive heard some pretty good things about it and my best friend Jordan after many years got astronomical results with it.
lmao bots broken
Some people need to hear it though
I like to just burn cash in my backyard when I am feeling lucky
😭😭😭
Dang, I didn't even know this was an actual thing that other people thought about doing haha, love that you made an entire video about it! You rock Colin! Funnily, I had that same thought too before I really learned about card counting but quickly came to the same conclusion that odds don't care if it's the next day or the same day and don't therefore magically reset themselves :D If odds are against you and you're going to be losing more than you win, you will be losing more than you win regardless of how you split up those days by calendar date.
And even more broadly, the odds don't care how many people are playing, across however many tables, across the planet, on whatever days or all days or every second day. The odds are still the odds, and at the basic game, they are 50.5% in the casino's favor. In fact, the casino prefers more hands to be played, because the monetary size of the 0.5% is larger, and variance is reduced with every hand that's dealt.
@@silvermediastudio Perfectly said.
Today I was back counting and for the first time ! I had the count right counted about 3-4 decks. With a running 12 was to scared to bet more the 3x my bet however I am proud I had a good count. Bunch of high card started to come out !
But how about when it's 8 or 9 decks like I had last night
Divide your running count by 8/9 … not that hard lol 💀
@@pjpokerpete divide running count by total # of decks.
Finally! A new video! Great stuff, thank you!
Colin, your videos are awesome. Everything you teach is true, I love it. Love the money I’ve made since being a BJA member. Power to the players!
also, the perks! Last year was my first year. This year, I get 4 free nights in Bahamas, 1 cruise to Caribbean, 3 free nights at any Boyd Las Vegas casino every quarter.
how much $$ have your taking home so far.....
@@jjnguyen8809
I doubled a small bankroll.. 5k-10k
But I play poker a lot now.. NL holdem and PLO
im gonna try that strategy just to walk when im up 400.00
@@jjnguyen8809
Take my word for it man, through time and hours played the game changes.
I’ve gotten drilled at the bj table. But if you play right consistently you will win. Sometimes it feels like I’m being cheated lol
Depending on how much I put down I always walk away from the table when I reach 2x or sometimes push to 3x my money. I walk away everytime no questions asked. I started this at the beginning of 2023 and I've had about 70% positive days and am up for the year.
That is great but if you do that long enough you will eventually have sessions where from the moment you sit down you will lose 10 hands in a row. The odds are against you and eventually variance will catch up
@@ststst981 if I sit down with 10 hands worth of money I quit if I get down 5 hands. So I never lose more than half my money.
@@ststst981 statistically true, but the calculations for odds while obviously favoring the house, can still always land in the favor of the player. I'm trying to say that odds become house favored over more play obviously, so if he's not playing that much, he runs less hands, resulting in what could be a higher spread than 51/49 in an infinite vacuum. His portion of the vacuum, lets say 500 hands per year could be 30/70 if he's very lucky. If he plays an infinite amount of time, sure he'll lose a bit, but this isn't a vacuum.
@@OverAchieverStudios"sure he will lose A BIT..." =) when peasants ask you about probability, they never ask you words they say. They never want to know if they can win once, they want to know if they can have bad habit to spend money at casino for the rest of their lives.
Only answer is " you are cant" =) With strongest british accent.
You just cant read comments from army of players who wasnt lucky enough, because they are to busy at 12h a day job now, and cant write a comments.
Start channel on youtube "i double my money at casino every day" lets see how many episodes you will withstand)
One of your best videos so far. It’s naturally unintuitive because the casinos need it to be. If we walk in and out of the casino reminding ourselves of these facts, you might get a little more sleep that night (if you’re not busy coughing up the effects of second hand smoke).
There is one other aspect of this though. By not pushing wins and taking a smaller profit each day you can prolong the amount of time before you get banned as a card counter. As a floor supervisor in a Midwest casino, I only saw one card counter who was known as an advantage player but was still allowed to play. The reason management didn't stop him is because he played until he won 300 to 500 and then left. He would do this a couple of times each week. This literally went on for years.
Geez. Was it ho chunk in Wisconsin Dells by chance!? 😅
This is a great channel for telling you that gambling is a mugs game. Clever and appreciated!!
Some card counters flatbet during a negative shoe, waiting for the shuffle... but the card flow may never change, it can be another negative shoe for the card counter.... so it's best to just leave the game!
Change “win” to “lose” you got exactly the strategy the casino employs to make big money: let people spend a lot of time in your place, to allow the probability which is in the houses’s favour stack up and even out any potential big wins for people who got lucky.
This , yip 💯
Stopping while you are ahead is nothing more than a psychological tactic. If you never plant to play again, then good, You are a winning blackjack player. If you are a legit AP with a perfect game, you want to put in hours and hours... then put in more hours.
Great content. Very happy to have found your channel. Thank you!
Colin, I love your approach to BJ for all of us with varying levels of skills.
I know that I will never be a card counter, so I appreciate your attention to those of us
who are simply playing good basic strategy and doing the best that we can.
That's super dumb
Having played literally thousands of hands you will fail if you play basic strategy
@@tier1solutions28 ... how do u play then?
@@djquiksilva depends on the table and number of players. Splitting only works about 20% of the time playing heads up, for example
@@mqrkusbrand5494 @tier1solutions28 you guys are ridiculous. Nowhere did he say he wanted to beat a casino. He said he knew he would never dedicate to counting. Mastering basic strategy is next best thing to at least have a bit of drop in, drop out fun. The way OP worded his post it sounds like he follows this channel for fun. Do you think you're enlightening anybody here on anything they didn't already know? Sheesh.
thanks for the tips Petyr Baelish
Instead of everyday I've been coming about 2 to 3 times a week over the last 3 weeks. Up about 1500. About 500 bucks a week so digging it so far. I'm trying to win smart, not quick.
Sounds amazing! Now it's 3 months later, have you kept your discipline? How much wins have you got?
@@RealTwistedTwin I have! I've been only going twice a month now. Just won 1200 on Monday and last month 800. I know it's not much but it definitely helps with the bills
@@maruzencentral ah wait, would I have to learn to count cards for this?
@@maruzencentral yeah how's it going are using basic strategy or are you counting best of luck
@@maruzencentral I'm worried you completely missed the point of the video... are you still up?
A lot of that has to do with greed...after being up you want more and more and more....treat gambling as a business get in for 15-20 minutes and get out the longer you stay the greater the odds your gonna be in the hole
Love your vids and the membership. one day could you explain how to or when to spend your profits.
Personally, I wouldn’t spend any profits until I had won at least 50% of the bank roll I play at. It can feel good to buy a few nice things but it is important to build up your bankroll to play a bigger stakes game if that’s your goal.
My biggest win was on a $12.50 side bet straight. Won roughly $4300 on a 4 card straight. They eventually pulled that side bet from the casino.
Excellent video Collin! Nice
Also, in blackjack, you can leave the table when it’s no longer favorable and jump in on tables when they are favorable.
It's common courtesy to wait for a new shoe.
Doug styles - Not when you are advantage playing.
@@cloudstreets1396 Bosses tend to notice when you're jumping in when the shoe is running good. U cant jump in mid shoe at some tables either.
Doug styles - Bosses notice when your bet ramp is ridiculous. That is what I found they notice the most. Wonging in and out of low stakes tables doesn’t get noticed in my experience.
@@cloudstreets1396 True. I sometimes sit at the $10 tables and will fluctuate bets depending on my co-players play,and how the shoe is going. I dont go over $50 though at the low limit . Bosses always tend to linger around those tables.
This is 100% true, but, sometimes if Im on a few day losing streak, if I get up a couple hundred, early, I may leave just for the psychological feeling of leaving that building on a win. (Im still a red chipper a year in).
I actually did this today. Played 2 shoes and left.
How many hands do you play before you know it safe to bet? It could be +6 one hand then - the next.
@@TheBlaise123 Every hand at +1 or better is safe to bet. Even -1, briefly, is ok. For sure wong out at -2.
@@timsatterfield9752 you bet pre hand though how do you know its going to be +1 or better?
When you play a winning game of blackjack with a 1% advantage, it is like winning 101 hands and losing 99. You will be ahead by 2 hands out of every 200.
This means that you cannot avoid the losing hands as they will almost cancel out the winning hands. There is no way to avoid having the losing hands even though it can make you feel upset that have had a big losing session.
Oh just have to realise that your early days of blackjack may mean your results will dip below zero. In a worst case scenario, you may have to play for up to 1500 to 2000 hours before your results overall get over the line and start to become positive.
At the start of my bj play, I lost $7,000 on a red chip spread for 300 hours of play. I wondered if there was something I wasn’t doing right. Later I learned that 300 hours is not enough for the winning hands to balance out the losing hands.
I returned to the table and subsequently went on a winning streak of $40,000 and remained at this level of win for 100 hours. Then I went on a losing streak of $30,000 to be up only $3000.
I really had to sit back and take stock of what had occurred. Finally I realised that the $3000 dollars I was up at that point, was the normal ev for my bet spread at those hours so everything was actually on track!
@@geoffpearce889 If i Won $40,000 i would never go to Casino again. I never liked blackjack i only play Baccarat and Poker. Baccarat has a higher house edge but i can predict the patterns and bet bigger on Streaks.
Colin I finished reading your book about a week ago and of the 10 or so books I've read on blackjack your book is close to the top. This includes beating books from Rick Blaine, Max Rubin, Standford Wong, Ian Anderson, Arnold Snyder and Olaf Vancurra. its a very different book in that it assumes the reader knows the basics of card counting. Some of the stories were hilarious and shocking and it was a fun read and I have to admit towards the end it even had me in tears particularly on your philosophy on family and people being enjoyed and money being used. Well done. (and maybe at a bootcamp we can play some real money monopoly if you know what I'm saying)
Play till you’re on top and feel that’s it for the day. Don’t expect to come in to win millions. If you come in with 500 and up 1000, walk your butt out. Reset and come back later that day or tomm.
Thank's Michael for your amazing ideas and trading lessons🚮
Interesting shirt for a guy who takes casinos ;) love it
Thank you for everything Colin , I counted a whole 6deck shoe, ended count on zero. I definitely took a lot of advantage of the dealer during a game , thank you for showing me the basics of card counting
you are lying g
@@I4NI_ how am I lying when you don’t even know me or what I do. If you knew how to card count you’ll know that every deck’s count ends on zero
@@El_Castillo98 i started when I was in primary school, yes it ends on zero of course.
you didn't do what you said
therefore you are lying g
@@El_Castillo98 except they dont deal all 6 decks...
So a related question. CVData will tell you the range of probable results. So say the range is given at an upper end of 90 units (just pulled that out of thin air) given a set amount of time (and we all have time constraints) and you reach 90 units at some point in your play, though you have more time allocated to play. Since the statistics say you'e unlikely to win more and you're likely to "go backwards", would it make sense to end the session? It would seem the math would say that getting up at this point wouldn't "hurt".
It’s hard but knowing when to reap profits is a skill itself
Counting cards? I thought that's how you supposed to play.. now I'm really interested 🤔 Can I get information on bootcamp
Marty I recommend that you start with the website www.blackjackapprenticeship.com/
And go from there. Make sure that BJ is a good fit in your life before committing to a bootcamp. Good luck
Just beware if a casino has good security and a dealer who has been taught good game security, counters ALWAYS give themselves away. If u take them for a lot of money u run the chance of being banned from that casino and believe me, they share pics of you with other casinos
Hey Colin ! I enjoy watching the videos on this channel. One quick question : "For the math to work, do card counters wait to get in on a blackjack table to start playing only when a new shoe is started ? I guess if one gets inbetween, the math might not work. Am I right? Do lemme know.
You can only count if you know the count. You can either wait till a new shoe is started or be there already at the beginning of a new shoe and keep track till your ready to play then hop in mid shoe. There is no other way.
If you’re not greedy and can play online it’s very easy to win a couple of hands then call it a day just don’t get greedy get your 200-300 bucks and get out and do it the next day also you don’t necessarily Have to win 3 more times then your losses, You can lose 7 hands and still profit if those 7 hands are $10 bets then your 8th is a 100 dollar bet. You’ll lose more hands then you win but the profitable players win more when they’re winning and lose less when they’re losing… just my 2 cents been gambling profitably for 3 years now
I just did this 3 days in a row… made quite a big bank roll to support my future visits next week. I left each day once I had doubled my money.
I’ve been having some good luck doing 2 real simple things.
1- I printed out the basic strategy chart for my casino rules and brought it
2- I find a card counter, preferable a good one just by searching. Telltale signs are people who sit out and then join in wnd repeat… they bet min, then bet high…Then I copy their bets. Takes no skill and it’s been working good
Thats what iv been thinking, what if you can just spot a counter, and copy the bets lol
Probability doesn't change if you prolong it; however, leaving and taking breaks to put you in a better headspace might be beneficial to you not making stupid decisions, if you sway from your strategy due to tilt
Lol he is wrong, day 1 and 2 are independent events therefore day 1 (probability) doesn’t affect day 2’s probability. (1/4) + (1/4) = 2/8 = 1/4 as you can see it comes back to the same thing..
@@TheJayson07 That's what Im saying and that's what he's saying dumbass, haha.
I was actually thinking about doing this exactly. Thanks for slapping me in the face!
Very interesting point. Cool video.
The logic this video presents is you can't expect the next day to be the same as the first one because the likely hood of repeating a winning trend is not predictable. That being said, since each event is a separate event just as each card hand is a separate event, the probability that you will have a winning day is the same as it was the day before. If you are up a few hundred dollars at ANY point and walk away, it is the same opportunity any other day.
That's exactly what I think how would "LUCK" possibly know what streak you are on at any given time.
@@Julia-fc4mp There always seems to be this assumption that the law of averages will always work out over time but this is not always true since an individual is only going to experience a small sample size compared to what I assume are billions of games played at casinos around the world every day.
The law of averages is more likely to work through for the casino than the player because of the sheer number of trials. A single player is a small fraction of that.
Not a card counter or even a heavy gambler but bankroll management has been more important than anything else for my gambling trips. Chasing the goal of $300 a day is more likely to lead to losses than anything else.
@@NatashaEstrada would you share some bankroll management tips?
Best example ever with the coin flip. 👍👍
Colin, how often do you recommend going? I live in Reno,Nevada I was thinking maybe 4 days a week?
omg thanks so much Colin, you are life saver. No wonder I can win 10 times, but one time i lose all the profits and capital because to win 'hundred bucks' a day does not work at all! That's the dream for every gambler but reality is if you are not investor, you will lose all your money eventually (gambler's ruin).
What does every body need .
What does every body want..
at 1:40, how do you calculate that the odds of being ahead 3 tails is over 75%?
the distribution of the #head-tails is a Gaussian, so being ahead any number of tail (or head) is defenitly less that 50% (the area under the half of the bell shape Gaussian curve)
Its probably not talking about 3 flips in a row. Maybe a certain time for an average session you want to play while counting
I'm pretty educated on EV/fallacies etc. But gotta thank you for this one, the breakdown of how it is continuous over days made me feel stupid for not realising it intuitively.
Timing my man timing makes a world of difference!
Hi I've followed your content over the last few years and thanks to perfect strategy I've been doing OK, however as an aspiring card counted aren't I gonna be screwed against an auto shuffled, after every 3-4 hands the spent cards are returned into the pack therefore negating any count.....
Best Wishes
Neil
Yes, you will be screwed, which is why you shouldn't even be playing Blackjack. Why play a game where you could have a winning hand and end up turning it into a losing hand, such as hitting a hard 12 and busting, only to see the dealer turn over a 6 under his King? Just give Baccarat a try and see if you don't like the odds better. In Baccarat, the outcome of every hand is determined the moment the cards are cut at the beginning of the shoe. With a fair-sized bankroll (3 times table max) it is a cakewalk to turn a profit EVERY TIME.
The only reason that you count cards and play blackjack is because you can actually generate a positive EV. With the continuous shuffler you can't gain a significant EV because you don't have a useful history to work off of. And as far is the reply post about baccarat, that's ridiculous. You're operating on a negative EV, just like every other house game.
Hello interested when if ever will you develop your app for android a am willing to pay God bless
I bet min 100 a hand, max 1000 when i hit certain amount. I back off the moment i lose 2 hands in a row. Go for a smoke come back for a couple of round before calling it quit. Some day i make 1000, some day 20 to 30 grand.
also the side bet here in Florida is "the match" .....i play the match and I generally play 3 hands at the same time....between the bonus and my hands.....easy to make a couple of $100
Sure the only way to win over time is with positive expected value, but for those of us with no inclination for card counting, playing perfect basic strategy and trying to walk away with $100 a day is not a bad way to play. Many times you will win and will build up your bankroll to perhaps allow you to play longer before losing all your initial capital. Not everyone wants to be a professional player
I've been playing 30 years walk out up 90% of the time. It's all about control. Counting is not the only way to win. I'm also not trying to break the casino. My biggest win is 9k my biggest lose is 1k normally my stop loss is 500 dollars
How many times a month are you playing?
@@RealTwistedTwin I play 4 to 5 times a week
You are absolutely correct sir. Setting a win goal is one of the strongest tools when playing BJ. This analogy Collin is making does not apply. You are not playing one hand per session like a coin flip. Counters are so deep into their method they can’t see other strategies.
@@timothygillis6837 agree Timothy any tips for a newbie I only play on 10 dollar chips
@@timothygillis6837 what is your system
Your videos are the best, thank you
Beautiful video.
Collin, i know that in double deck the basic strategy is slightly different than it is or a regular 6 shoe deck. Is this true?
You have to count very precise. If after the first hand 5 aces are gone. Not only will the true count go down. It will go increasingly faster.
Since 1 ace out of 8 is higher with two decks
Then 1 ace out of 24.
Any APs in the central Indiana area looking for a partner, team addition, or startup? Real dealers were just voted in as legal here in Indiana this January.
Thanks for the Honesty, Tho.
The only other strategy to beat the casino is: Leaving at a winning streak and never EVER entering a casino again.
What if you quit everytime you get a pair of aces? Or if the count gets to negative 3 or worse? That way the deck resets when you come back.
If you quit every time you get aces then you're not playing perfectly to gain the advantage over the house. You still have a long run, overall advantage by playing negative counts, but depending on how often you play them your win percentage will vary.
Amazing....Elliott waves in that chart...
Exactly what i was thinking, since i studied elliott waves, i see them almost in any graph... and this makes me beilieve that the markets is more like a random walk.
@@nikos157 Elliott displays order in the universe.....nothing is random....difficulty is ..interpretation....mostly hind sight...occasional value in forecasting.....the Elliott gurus almost always wrong....
czcams.com/video/b-r1UJBga18/video.html
@@edstevens4439 count changes based on newly formed price action lol yea so many alternates but gives you enough ideas about what trend will occur over time
Chaos is a higher form of order in the markets. - Bill Williams
Beautiful explanation
that was a great video. thank you.
What are some tips, tricks, or philosophical nuggets of wisdom for mentally and/or emotionally dealing with seemingly endless negative counts. From table to table, and shoe to shoe, a near constant stream of negative numbers.
a concept that is so hard for the ploppy masses to understand...
Hi Colin, how are you? How do you see the online live blackjack game these days? Do you think it’s safe to apply your strategy and play daily?
I’ve gone into different casinos every day for about a month using nothing but basic strategy, would leave my atm card at home and only bring cash that I’ve already made from BJ, took home 3-400 cash every single day
i go to the casino, im a college student, and i just play to play. I enjoy playing and i bring around 50-100 and if i double my money, i go. every once and a while ill lose it in 3 minutes but sometimes ill get to 500-600. i enjoy playing and if i make the 100 last a couple hours im happy because i try playing with house money.
If you play with blackjack all you will ever get is play money.
If you treat it like a business then it will reward you handsomely.
Remember, other people pay huge taxes on their incomes, but as a winning blackjack player with a win rate of say, $50 an hour, who plays 25 hours a week, that’s a tax free income of $1250 per week. And if you can get away with a bigger bet spread, that could easily be 100 to $200 an hour winrate.
@@geoffpearce889 true
@@geoffpearce889 very true, a few days after I commented, i went to the casino started with 50 and left with 2k. cashed out and got a new PC for school :)
Toyota SAS whatd u Play
I've never been up a few hundred bucks a day ever haha
So practice makes perfect
I’m not the best at math but I can count to 21 lol blackjack fun. definitely get me better with numbers….. love the vid bro definitely informational have a better understanding of BJ now then I did keep it up🔥🔥🔥💯
Not to mention battling the psychological effects on a daily basis. If you are off one day you will eventually make a big mistake like not being able to walk away. The casino counts on this too.
the best way to fight this is to go to the casino extremely hungry. I hit the casino this year over 80 times winning a few hundred a time. I just got my win lose it was +26k
Do you restart the count when a new shoe of cards is delt?
Yes
Hey Colin, I got the example of flipping a coin wouldn't work over the long run due to EV, but what about if I go to a casino, I play perfect basic strategy, I count perfectly and use deviations, ¿in that case could I do it just few times a month and expect to leave the casino profitable every time I go? The thing is that for me going to a casino in the country where I live represents higher risks than Vegas or Atlantic City, and I don't like to be 8 hours a day sitting in a casino, is just not the lifestyle I want to live.
Any Advice on how to count cards when the casino and other players don’t show their cards? Casino was throwing cards to each player face down and almost players tucked their cards until the end making it to late for me to see what everyone had? Should I stop going to that casino lol??
Yes it works i was on a 2 and half year winning streak until they changed the rules to stop me from winning.
What rules?
I agree it works. I’ve won 8K in 5 consecutive days. Most recently 5K in one day.
Thank you for explaining that Colin. Even I was confused by the topic.
Colin, BTW, could you do, well, another video on advanced CCing systems? Could you please address the question that if you are a SD or DD player would it be worth it?
+EV to you.
Yes, I would say for single and double-deck games in particular, more advanced counting systems would be of greater advantage, more so than for shoe games, multi-level systems are more precise in calculating your edge(for betting purposes) and playing deviations, they value the cards more precisely, and in handheld pitch games they would add significant value, IF you can play it accurately.
I ran a lot of simulations evaluating card counting systems years ago. The end result is that for all the effort one would need to put in to become competent at a multi level count, you are only getting fractions of a percent increase in the edge you have over the game compare to sticking with Hilo.
You tire your brain out faster counting up the different values of the cards which means you are more likely to make mistakes.
Playing just with Hilo means you can concentrate on other important things like if there is any heat coming your way and whether or not you can get away with adding an extra chip to an already big bet.
Then if you can find a fast dealt game with good pen you will be golden. If you are worried you are not winning as much by not using a multi level count just play an extra shoe or two, because there really isn’t a big difference in win rates with all other factors being equal.
@@geoffpearce889 I agree. At first I wanted to play Wong Halves, then Uston APC, but I came to believe those systems were rather unwieldy and not worth the effort it would take to play them without making an excessive number of mistakes.
Personally, I find Zen(or is it Zen II) to be the perfect balance of many factors, ease of play is the most important, but also the strength of the system, how it can be used in many different games, multi-deck to single deck as well. I learned to play it almost effortlessly, but it did take a lot of practice and dedication. I would recommend it to anyone who wants to count cards as what I believe is the optimal system, but also let them know that it's not easy, it will take real time and effort to become proficient at it, but I believe it's worth it.
Finally, a guy that understands the laws of probability versus odds.
What's the difference between probability and odds? I"ve always thought they were the same thing
@@mydogskips2 They are indeed synonymous. Lucky versus odds maybe.
@@ryaninSartell They're not synonymous. Go back to college.
I've been playing blackjack online, £5 each hand and if I lose then I double up until I win, then reset to £5 each hand. So far it's working very well, how does this math add up?
what if you are looking at $300 as your "closed bank roll" some days you play for an 1 hour some days you play for 24 hours. But the next day you come back with your new bank roll looking to close at $300.
I done 500 in one day and guess what? I lose it the next 3 days with the same palsy style. Blackjack is a variance game, sometimes you win and sometimes you lose. Please don’t go back trying to make more money out of it.
Daily Roulette player here. And what I've experienced is I'm able to get a bankroll and a half before losing a bankroll. Some months I get 2 or 3 bankrolls before wiping out. But yes, the house edge will always show itself if you play enough. The right strategy could offset things in your favor but you will take some losses.
the key is knowing when to leave being up or down
Roulette has 0 skill.
Hey Colin great video with great info. I play perfect basic strategy and do not currently count cards, although I am looking to get into that. I think I must be on lucky variance here, as based on my 9th session in the past 2 weeks I have won each session so far and up a total of 25 units. I play $50 minimum tables, my buy is 400 units , am I just getting lucky? You mentioned the chance of bring x number of units decreases significantly day over day, so I am thinking must be positive variance for me.
youre getting lucky, the vaiance will even out soon and youll lose. start counting
Odds of being ahead 3 heads are 1/2^3 = 1/8 or 12.5%
So yes, you have a very good point. HOWEVER, I’ve been doing this. Now I keep a basic total and play off casino money. Walk in $150, leave $400-$750 pocket $500, and go back and do it again. It’s worked so far for me🤷🏼♂️
What % of casinos in the U.S have beatable rules nowadays?
Your average loosing streak at Black Jack is 4 hands in a row. Larger decks increase the loosing average to 5 hands. Doesn't matter. You just need to call it a day when you reach 8 loosing hands in a row. Just remember to always double or triple (if you want to money faster). Just be dissaplined that no matter when you win...start with minimum bet again and start over. It's worked for me 90 % of the time
Thank you
This is very true
This comment couldn’t be further from the truth, losing or winning 10 times in a row has nothing to do with the next hand, but the cards already played does affect it
Sorry you like feel that way
You don't understand. This is like the nightingale system, except...you start minimum bet and increase 2 to 3 times your there after. No matter when you win...place minimum bet again
I also heard that some blackjack variant games can also be beaten by card counting such as Spanish 21 and free bet blackjack. I want to ask is the negative variance lower in free bet due to the fact that the splits and double downs are free?
That's balanced out by the fact that it's a push if dealer gets 22.
i see, is sports betting the same or different? yes it's still probabilities but there is the human element in it (players evolving in matches, getting injured, getting the hot hand etc )
and that's way more predictable & consistent imo (i am an athlete so i see the patterns in games) but what are your thoughts?
When it comes to getting 2 aces: always split.
Ns
did this yesterday and got 10 for both
You explained the statistics of a coin flip pretty accurately. The intent is to have a coin that is a 52-48 lopsided coin. Given a massive timeline, your play will become so positive that you will have 0% chance of ruin. The objective is to play in a way that will get you to that massive timeline. Which means that being backed off... *EVEN ONCE* means that your play is not subtle enough to ever get to that massive timeline/theory of large numbers. I have played for roughly three years in Vegas without ever being backed off.
If you are ever backed off from playing, then you need to seriously take a look at how you are playing... Because if you do it right, you are never suspected of being a counter.
Hey Tyler, just wondering, how do you play so that you don't get backed off? Could you give me a few pointers?
@@randomperson6215 You need to play like you are a normal blackjack player, not a card counter. The BlackJack Apprentice teaches a betting method that is almost psychotic in nature, based on another CZcamsr who detailed his experiences as a BlackJack counter under BJA's tutelage. Watching those videos as a counter, two things were glaringly obvious.
1) BJA knows how to count cards
2) BJA does NOT know what subtle means. His bets would give him away every time.
The only people who would bet like he does when counting cards are card counters. I played for almost 3 years without ever getting backed off once.
Play like someone with a betting system. Place a base bet (1 unit) and play like your system says to play. If you win and the count still warrants a larger bet then raise your bet, Bet 2 units (Let it ride). If that wins and the count is still good, let it ride again. Then go back to base bet of 1 unit and pocket half your winnings.
Contrary to what BJA would recommend, this method will win money, especially in the long run because you will be able to play indefinitely.
My recommendation is to play no more than three shoes at a time. Start at the beginning of a shoe, or WONG IN when the count is good.
Playing from the start of a shoe is REALLY common, and watching a few hands is also OK too.
If it is busy, then look for a table with only 1 maybe 2 players and sit there. Or better yet, find a location with less action. Really late, and really early are two good times you can find empty tables. In Vegas, this is found at casinos downtown or off the strip. Play during the late morning and early afternoon. Three shoes tops.
Stick and Move as Apollo Creed taught Rocky.
I wish you well, no matter what system you use or how you bet. Sorry BJA, but I can't endorse your way of betting as I understand it.
@@tylerdurden639 Your edge isn't enough betting a 1-2 spread lmao. There's a reason he wins hundreds of thousands and you are likely negative
just started with the game a month ago, im about 12 hrs deep in online casino,but that hit n run kinda works for me sofar ... on average i made 16.5 units per hour in approx 40 sessions from 3minutes to 30 minutes
did i just got lucky? do i have to expect a 12 hr losing streak in the future?
This is good insight. Indo have a question though to challenge this. What if your bank roll and stop loss has been setup to support a fixed amount? Granted each playing session is independent of the last but if have a BR that's supports a fixed targeted exit, wouldn't perfect strategy combined with counting and proper risk management allow for that?
If you have a stop loss or targetted positive exit for your entire bankroll, that's a different story. His point is that setting a stop loss or profit goal for a single trip doesn't do anything if you're going to keep coming back. The math doesn't care about individual trips, only the sum of your expected EV over all days that you play.
Me- Honey....this guy on youtube says i should be getting 3 heads a day
Girlfrend- ur not that lucky
Ask for 5 may get one.
Underrated comment
get a new girl
the only way to consistently win in vegas is
own a casino
I disagree. I win at least 65% of the time provided I do the following:
@@tonypalombinijr2946 65% is pretty good. I get 100% with Baccarat. Not kidding.
Tax man does OK.
Love basic strategy I’ve been profiting well! actually I make back what my wife looses on the slots lol
I've been doing basic strategy on bj since 2020 lockdown, started with 100 and now at 5600. I know it doesn't sound alot but slow and steady wins the race. Not gambling every day, maybe every 3 days