S&P 500 could hit 7,000 on AI hype by the end of 2025: Economist

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  • čas přidán 6. 09. 2024
  • The AI race has pushed the market to record highs this year, sparking investor concerns of a pullback. Capital Economics Group chief economist Neil Shearing joins Morning Brief to break down why he thinks there's more room for growth amid continued demand for the technology.
    "Normally, what happens during these big breakthrough technologies is that markets try to capture the benefits of that growth ahead of them actually crystallizing in the real economy. So you tend to get hype, you tend to get bubbles forming - we obviously had that in the dotcom boom. And our view is that the same thing is playing out with AI, and so there's a debate about whether or not we're in an AI bubble. How far does that have to inflate? If you look at history, it has a lot further to inflate, hence our view that the S&P 500 (^GSPC) is going all the way to 7,000 potentially by the end of next year," Shearing explains.
    He notes that a major difference between the AI boom and the dotcom boom lies in the fact that the hype and revenues generated by AI have occurred in established companies like the Magnificent Seven. In the dotcom boom, he explains, "a lot of it was about small, scrappy startups where the technology was being developed. So we've got large listed companies developing this technology and actually, it's generating revenue as well." As the hype around AI continues to build, Shearing believes that margins will continue to expand.
    How and when the AI bubble may burst, however, is a lot harder to predict: "We can start to think about how far it might inflate by looking at things like what do we think the future path of earnings in these companies might be, and what tends to happen to earnings multiples during bubbles. That can anchor a view as to how far this bubble might inflate." Shearing believes the S&P 500 has about another two years before the AI bubble pops, and its breaking point could be attributed to anything from an earnings miss to an economic downturn.
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Komentáře • 101

  • @auboisdaline
    @auboisdaline Před měsícem +697

    Honestly, this situation makes me uneasy, especially with the potential depression, not just a recession. I'm not sure about my $130K investment strategy given the economic uncertainty.

    • @buttrflyns
      @buttrflyns Před měsícem

      If you're not familiar with market investing tactics, you should get advice from a financial counselor.

    • @centollero
      @centollero Před měsícem

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    • @GraceKauffman
      @GraceKauffman Před měsícem

      I think could really use the expertise of an advisor like that.

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      @centollero Před měsícem

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  • @meli20a7
    @meli20a7 Před měsícem +334

    Bought NVDA66K after watching your video, super excited! 💰

    • @sankirthwagmare-ih8cs
      @sankirthwagmare-ih8cs Před měsícem

      crypto is risky thats why we should choose a project which already has good brand like Nvidia

    • @mrboss5095
      @mrboss5095 Před měsícem

      It will soon all over the news

    • @adarshkumar-zy1mj
      @adarshkumar-zy1mj Před měsícem

      Why everyone is talking about NVDA?

    • @kunalsoy7332
      @kunalsoy7332 Před měsícem

      Just read news about NVDA this morning. Presale is open right now

    • @Revivergaming09
      @Revivergaming09 Před měsícem

      Absolutely! NVDA is a winner! 💪

  • @GaryNicka
    @GaryNicka Před měsícem +553

    AI stocks will dominate 2024. Why I prefer NVIDIA is that they are better placed to maintain long-term- growth potential, and provide a platform for other AI -companies. I know someone who has made more than 200% from NVIDIA. I'll also take these other recommendations you made.

    • @AmithKaury
      @AmithKaury Před měsícem +2

      It’s important to -consult with a financial-advisor before making any investment decisions.

    • @kurtKking
      @kurtKking Před měsícem +2

      A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I re-member couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good -b00st to help my-business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve not-withstanding infla-tion, from $275k to $850k.

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      @donovantobs Před měsícem +2

      Please -can you leave the in-fo of your ln-vestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one.

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      @kurtKking Před měsícem +1

      Her name is 'GRISELDA - ELENA - JEMMOTT' She maintains an online presence. just make a simple search for her name online.

    • @kurtKking
      @kurtKking Před měsícem +2

      She's known as a 'GRISELDA _ELENA JEMMOTT_'. One of the finest portfolio managers in the field also widely recognized. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with and set up an appointment.
      .

  • @wonderfully_madeJake
    @wonderfully_madeJake Před měsícem +102

    Between S&P 500 and buying individual stocks, which is more profitable for short term profit say 1 or 2 years?

    • @user-zl5gn5lg6
      @user-zl5gn5lg6 Před měsícem +2

      Depends on the individual stock

    • @dannywalters958
      @dannywalters958 Před měsícem +4

      Definitely Individual Stocks. The potentials with them are way too big when compared to the S and Ps. The thing is you have make good research so you bet on the good ones, alternatively, you can use a good financial expert to help you out (that way you don't have to do the job and minimize risks). Made my first million few weeks back during the Nvidia rise, on the other hand, the S and Ps have had less than 30% increase in the past 3 years.

    • @devereauxjnr
      @devereauxjnr Před měsícem +1

      nice... this makes a lot of sense... how did you start? did you use an expert?.. how can I get one?...

    • @dannywalters958
      @dannywalters958 Před měsícem +3

      I don't really understand your first question. For the second, yes I did. You should start by looking out for those from credible firms and good track records. Also make sure the person is licensed. Personally, I use Michael, Allen Eckrich. He's good and you could also look him up too.

    • @hildredscali1754
      @hildredscali1754 Před měsícem +2

      thinking short term is a bad investing approach

  • @PHILIPTURNEL
    @PHILIPTURNEL Před měsícem +608

    I recently sold my long-term position and currently sitting on about 150k, do you think TSLA and Nvidia is a good buy right now or I have I missed out on a crucial buy period, any good stock recommendation on great performing stocks?

    • @AaliyahKhalid-kq9gl
      @AaliyahKhalid-kq9gl Před měsícem

      Palantir, ARM and Nvidia are all still good buy for now says my advisor, so i think you should speak with one too. This experts understand the market better...

    • @ElvisMarshall-xo2lw
      @ElvisMarshall-xo2lw Před měsícem

      Exactly, I used to undermine the efficiency of a financial advisor until my wife company assigned her an investment adviser back in 2020 and tbh, it’s been the best financial decision I’ve made.

    • @PHILIPTURNEL
      @PHILIPTURNEL Před měsícem

      @@ElvisMarshall-xo2lw This actually isn't the first time i am getting this suggestions, but finding a decent one has been challenging. Do you mind leaving some recommendations?

    • @ElvisMarshall-xo2lw
      @ElvisMarshall-xo2lw Před měsícem

      Well,I dont know if you are confortable trying finacial advisors recommended on comment sections but anyway, Svetlana Sarkisian Chowdhury is the licensed advisor I use and im just putting this out here because you asked. You can Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.

    • @PHILIPTURNEL
      @PHILIPTURNEL Před měsícem

      @@ElvisMarshall-xo2lw Glad for this conversation. It was easy to find Svetlana Sarkisian Chowdhury . Did my due diligence on her before scheduling a phone call with her. She seems proficient considering her résumé. Thanks for the tip

  • @Saraphan-u7b
    @Saraphan-u7b Před měsícem +380

    Thanks for the insights! Bought NVDA66K, predicting big returns! 📈

  • @jarethbanasiewicz
    @jarethbanasiewicz Před měsícem +290

    Thanks for sharing FET and NVDA66K. 💯

    • @Freefirelovergamez
      @Freefirelovergamez Před měsícem

      Thrilled about NVDA's potential! Happy to be part of this community and looking forward to gains!

    • @SartomTisso
      @SartomTisso Před měsícem

      Happy to invest in NVDA together!

    • @Mohanff-yt4dh
      @Mohanff-yt4dh Před měsícem

      Looking forward to NVDA's growth!

    • @AshokKumar-dx6sx
      @AshokKumar-dx6sx Před měsícem

      NVDA is a great investment choice!

    • @pathanjavedkhan2071
      @pathanjavedkhan2071 Před měsícem

      Feeling positive about NVDA's future. Holding strong and expecting great returns. Let's go NVDA!

  • @stuart2151
    @stuart2151 Před měsícem +11

    90% Bot comments
    10% Real comments

  • @Tehui1974
    @Tehui1974 Před měsícem +1

    Beware of the bubble. Make sure you diversify.

  • @emmanuelduckstein
    @emmanuelduckstein Před měsícem +2

    Thanks for the advice! Got NVDA66K, feeling bullish! 🚀

  • @adsillathompson
    @adsillathompson Před měsícem +1

    NVDA66K is still extremely undervalued

  • @Florahoang
    @Florahoang Před měsícem +1

    Your video convinced me to invest in NVDA66K, expecting 10x gains. Excited for listings!

  • @Bcv-j1y
    @Bcv-j1y Před měsícem

    I'm buying more NVDA right now. Not a bot, pure real invesment logic here. Thanks

  • @markfindlay8636
    @markfindlay8636 Před měsícem +3

    Non bot comment😂

  • @douglassmith9445
    @douglassmith9445 Před měsícem

    Considering the buffett indicator is flashing red signals right now, I would say this economist is most likely wrong. We’ll find out if the bubble pops over the next year or two.

  • @MatthewMS.
    @MatthewMS. Před měsícem

    It will. 💚🖤📈🇺🇸

  • @user-oj1id5mp7w
    @user-oj1id5mp7w Před měsícem

    no

  • @aamayacurryman1419
    @aamayacurryman1419 Před měsícem

    It could hit 12,000 or it could hit 4,000 .... Any more guesses 🤣

  • @EdED-gg6fr
    @EdED-gg6fr Před měsícem

    Could be, in theory it can😋 But it doesn't..... , It isn't even out of it's bear market🤥..., probably in the middle of it!🤨...Economist's work with theire gutfeeling, so always wrong😵‍💫.......

  • @twong6531
    @twong6531 Před měsícem

    it is a couple of days since the interview Neil should start looking for a new job since he is so bad at forecasting

  • @Bubba-q2b
    @Bubba-q2b Před měsícem

    I could be a millionaire by the end of next year.

  • @dazedhavoc
    @dazedhavoc Před měsícem

    Silly rabbit. Valuations don’t matter. 😂

  • @hitpat6179
    @hitpat6179 Před měsícem +1

    Why just 7,000... why not 33,333???
    It is... counterfeited fiat monopoly debt currency notes!!
    Yeah... its soooo real...lol...genius!!

  • @jw999
    @jw999 Před měsícem

    Sing Hallelujah!!