Will There Be a Recession in 2024?
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- čas přidán 14. 06. 2024
- 2024 is shaping up to be a turbulent year in the stock market. With a recession on the cards (thanks to persistent inflation and high interest rates), investors are more than ever wondering how to invest their money and build their wealth
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★ ★ CONTENTS ★ ★
0:00 Is a 2024 Recession Likely?
1:05 Pay Down the Bad Debt
2:25 Passive Investing in 2024?
4:45 Checking the Fault Points
7:20 Pricing Power is Crucial
9:15 The Emotion Check
My Podcast: / theyounginvestorspodcast
Brandon van der Kolk is authorised to provide general financial product advice in Australia and is an Authorised Representative (Number 1305795) of Guideway Financial Services Pty Ltd, AFSL Number 420367. Any advice is general & does not consider your financial situation, needs or objectives so consider whether it's appropriate for you. Read Brandon's Financial Services Guide available from guideway.com.au/NewMoney.pdf. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future investment returns.
Contact email: hello@newmoney.contact
Note: I do not have the ability to answer all emails, but know that each email is read. If enquiring about sponsorship, New Money is currently only seeking sponsorship from established brands.
Hey guys! Enrolment for our brand new 6-week program is live! First cohort is strictly limited to 100 people, so if you're interested, sign up today. I'm excited to get to meet some of you! :)
newmoney.education/
*Note: Unfortunately we are currently unable to offer this product in Australia. We should have this fixed up soon, Aussies!
Nice video mate. Unrelated question: I used DCF model to calculate the value of some companies but the result almost always close to their P/B and their historical price rarely hit my calculated intrinsic value, let alone the margin of safety. Can you give me some advices? Thanks mate
Thanks for the money wisdom, moneynerd.
Thanks for another sound video mate. Do you have a rough estimated timeline for opening your course up for Australians?
I foresee a recession lasting 2-3 years, and if inflation continues to surge, the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates soon. Inflation is causing various issues worldwide, such as food shortages, scarcities of diesel and heating fuel, and significant spikes in housing prices, leading to a potential financial market crash. This global downturn could have long-lasting repercussions. Given the current inflation rate of approximately 9%, my main worry is how to optimize my savings and retirement fund, which has remained stagnant at around $300,000, yielding almost no gains for quite some time.
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this is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
Appreciate this recommendation, hopefully I can get some insight to where the market is headed and strategies to beat the downtrend with when I hear back from Melissa.
Recession is often the result of external factors, and it appears that the United States is losing its grip as a federal reserve currency. With a decreasing ability to control inflation and a reduction in stocks and oil trading, it seems that a new multilateral world order is on the horizon.
The best course of action if you lack market knowledge is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance. Speaking with a consultant helped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since January, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic. I believe that is the most effective way to enter the business at the moment.
The best course of action if you lack market knowledge is to ask a consultant or investing coach for guidance or assistance. Speaking with a consultant helped me stay afloat in the market and grow my portfolio to about 65% since January, even though I know it sounds obvious or generic. I believe that is the most effective way to enter the business at the moment.
@@hunter-bourke21 I've been thinking about going that route. I have a lot of stocks that I have maintained, but they are beginning to lose value, so I'm not sure if I should hold onto them or sell them. I feel hiring your investment coach would make it easier to restructure my portfolio.
*Gertrude Margaret Quinto* has an online presence; just conduct a straightforward search for her name on the internet.
Appreciate this recommendation, hopefully I can get some insight to where the market is headed and strategies to beat the downtrend with when I hear back from gertrude
If you are properly prepared and knowledgeable, every crash/collapse/inflation or recession gives an equal market opportunity. I've seen folks amass up to $800,000 throughout crises and even do it with ease in a terrible economy. Without a doubt, someone has become enormously wealthy as a result of the crash.
Starting early is simply the best way of getting ahead to build wealth , investing remains a priority . I learnt from my last year's experience , I am able to build a suitable life because I invested early ahead this time.
Quite true! You don't necessarily need to be a flawless investor; all you need to do is seek advice from an expert. I began investing in 2016 and pulled a profit of roughly $370k the following year despite having no prior investment knowledge.
Impressive yield. Things I love to hear! I like to stick it out on my own, but many false predictions lately.. Who is this person you use in particular? Vanguard Advisors take forever to pick up, I am not cut for that.
I've shuffled through investment coaches and yes, they can be positively impactful to an individual's portfolio, but do your due diligence to find a coach with grit, one that withstood the 08' crash. For me, Carol Vivian Constable turned out to be better and smarter than all the advisors I ever worked with till date, I’ve never met anyone with as much conviction.
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
We can't ignore the potential impact on portfolios. Bonds are often considered a safe haven, and if they eventually crumble, investors like me might scramble. I’ve been investing for 11 yrs and my 1m portfolio has never been this depleted, how i do hedge this?
In fact, markets have been incorrectly priced in such a way that the fed has to pivot six times over the last two years, according to Deutsche Bank, which sounded cautious about this seventh time. This show why pointers from finance-managers are essential
A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I needed a good boost to stay afloat, hence I engaged the services of a true market strategist to help rejuvenate my 700k portfolio and boost performance and returns by 40% in a little over four years.
Please can u leave the info of your lnvestment advsior here? I’m in dire need for one.
I'm being guided by by Natalie Marie Tuttle who is widely recognized for competence and expertise in the financial market. Sh has a thorough understanding of portfolio diversification and is regarded as an authority in this field.
Credits goes to " Lisa Angelique Abel" one of the finest portfolio managers in the field. She's widely recognized; you should take a look at her work.
The stock market is a way to hedge against inflation. Most notably amidst recession, investors need to understand where and how to allocate funds to hedge against inflation and still make profits.
An obvious way to invest for a recession is to buy shares in businesses that are likely to experience steady demand even in a downturn. Typically, those are consumer staples, utilities, and healthcare companies, but off course such decisions cannot be made by an average Joe, a financial advisr is important in making this decisions
I agree Such considerations can certainly have a role when I think about whether I ought to buy into a share. But I never purchase purely on that basis, i always have to seek the advice of my financial planner who has helped me gain $985k in a well-diversified portfolio that has experienced exponential growth
Please can you leave the info of your invstment analyst here? I need such luck
Her name is “Vivian Carol Gioia” can't divulge much. Most likely, the internet should have her basic info, you can research if you like
I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an email shortly.
*Deserves all attention. wealth is attainable, do this.*
Growing money is proficiency, saving money is behavior and Making money is action.
Failure to take good actions on your finance, lncome will remain stable while expenditures rise. The rich acquire fortune cause they seek the aid of finance-pro(s) to achieve their financiaI goaIs.
I obtained massive growth in my finance (amount is confidentiaI) by varying into a lot with the aid of my finance pro. hereby making my financiaI goals a reality.
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*Rebecca Martin Watson*
Amazing content! I have been following your videos for sometime now, consistently kicking down Wall Street doors for two years now, I have over $320k in stocks. Currently, my portfolio is down by 15%. Wondering if they're any short term opportunities I can invest in.
Safest approach is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown. its important to seek the guidance of an expert
How can I participate in this? I sincerely aspire to establish a secure financlal future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
Depends on your finances . 1000$ in Amazon AMS20T is 4000 Amazon AMS20T if it goes to 50% of ath in 2024 thats a 600% gain. If it goes equal to ath . Its a 1200% gain.
Economists have predicted 5 out of the last 2 recessions
Haha true that. Have you listened to much of Ray Dalio or Howard Marks’ material on this? Happy new year!
If the question is “Do you think that interest rates need to stay high to encourage bond buyers to finance govt debt?”
Then I would answer that 5% is only marginally above the long run US average. I can see rates coming down slightly but there is no current urgency. US economy seems very strong.
In terms of UK / US / EU debt, I expect Financial Repression expertly described by Gillian Tett 58 mins into this video
czcams.com/video/uceg-XlYBrc/video.htmlsi=sSEYPNPdEw7KlBK5
us treasury bond yield curve is inverted for a long time. the question is not "if" but "when". democrats kicked the can down the road for a long time but eventually there will be a recession. this is not about bad government or bad economy but a normal cycle. in normal cases there should be a recession sooner but politicians and FED postponed it as hard as they could. they want to postpone it until the election. however look at the 2008 crisis, George Bush couldn't postpone it until a certain point.
@@14MCDLXXXVIII88I think this is a very fair point. The inverted yield curve normally is a strong predictor of recession. You would have a clearer view of the US than me. Istm that there are 2 competing views that
1 inflation was transitory caused by covid 19 supply chain bottlenecks
2 inflation was caused by Covid 19 subsidies and IRA pump priming on demand side
Most probably a combination of both.
For the former, the curve did not invert because of money supply growth but rather supply side contraction that is now righting itself and the Fed should be able to lower short term rates.
In the latter, the low long term rates are a prediction that money supply is too restrictive, a recession is coming and Fed will need to respond by cutting rates to stimulate economy.
Is the money supply too restrictive?
Personally I’ve no idea but economy seems strong, non farm payrolls seem strong, globalisation is being replaced with geopolitical tensions, onshoring, net zero transition.
It feels trite to mention after the horrific death toll of the pandemic but feels like Labour is also in a strong bargaining position.
Personal view is world needs to readjust to 5% interest rates
lol
Im betting Amazon AMS20T will perform well, it havent had a cycle yet and they have a strong community on both, and Amazon AMS20T update will make rollup fees even lower. Just my 2 cents. Great video goodvibes
“2024 is most likely to be the recession” you’ve literally said this since 2020 since I’ve subbed
Yeah it’s crazy to think that’s it’s only in 2023/24 that we’re finally seeing the interest rates that we should have seen all along. An interesting learning experience for sure. That’s the saying right? The markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. Anyway, happy new year! Cheers for subscribing since 2020!!
@@NewMoneyCZcams the issue is the information is superficial and in generalties and the titles and thumbnails are total douche/clickbait moves. You also keep recycling info(basic info)
Been stacking a lot of Amazon AMS20T and cash after DCAing a bit this year. Will buy more at least around the November December lows and below
To enhance our long-term investment mix, my partner and I are introducing a range of stocks and ETFs. We've committed $220k initially, with a particular emphasis on inflation-protected bonds and businesses demonstrating robust cash flows. I see potential for enduring growth in the current market, yet I'm also keen to explore strategies for generating short-term gains.
You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst.
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
“Leila Simoes Pinto’’ You can easily look her up, she has years of financiaI market experience.
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.
its been hard 2 buy any asset for the past year+ but rational voices like yourself have been my reason for Amazon AMS20T
You’re making Indians look bad
I’m mostly in cash and waiting for this market to re-level on the reality of our situation. Or are there any ways I can avoid a crunch and maximize my savings of $550k? I know election years are positive for the stock market about 90% of the time.
you'll be waiting a long time, trade the chart! learn how to create a basket of securities like an expert or seek guidance from an expert
referral please .... much more info needed
very much appreciated, just inputted Theresa Leigh Detrick on the internet, spotted her consulting page ranked top and was able to schedule a call session. Ive seen commentaries about advisors but not one looks this phenomenal
If you had 550k u would'nt ask that question
You should make a content on how to earn 6 figures in monthly profits cos I've been reading about investors making up as much and I'd really love to know how to such substantial profit in this current market.
that requires a fair amount of research and good market timing.
Buy index funds if you wanna be safe, though you are probably be better off just going to Vanguard or something for that
if you are a total beginner you can start by investing in some ETFs which are basically a cluster of companies, those are the safest bets out there
@@CastilloBrood If you don’t mind, how exactly does this work ? and how profitable have you been ? I would love more info about her services.
@@CastilloBrood I just looked up this person out on her website of curiosity, surprisingly she seems really proficient, I thought this was just some overrated BS, I appreciate this
Does the stock market appear to be improving, or is this merely the typical temporary manipulation of the market to draw in new investors? Right now, I have $500k left over from the sale of my house, and I'm wondering whether there are any better investments than stocks to make.
AGREED! Having the right plan is invaluable, my portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market and recently hit 100% rise from early last year. I and my CFP are working on a 7 figure ballpark goal, tho this could take till Q1 2024.
@georgeh That's a double up in two years! seeing a lot of news on the rally, investors will make tons of profit with the right picks. would you mind disclosing info of this person guiding you please? my problem is I do not trust my guts in today's mkt
She goes by 'Heather Lee Larioni'. I choose to delegate my excesses to her because of her great expertise. I suggest you look her up. To be honest, almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finances, but so glad I did!!!
I appreciate this share. I set up a call with her and I am keen on getting to talk to her particularly. Lady looks really great though even with the exams and other stuff.
Depends where do you live. However, right now is everycthing better than stock market. Rather buy bonds or go for platinum, gold. Only stocks that can make sense right now is the value stock with decent PE and dividends. IMHO dont do shit like SP500 of some big fund ( you will loose money ), here is the thing stock will never crash like it would due to money from helicopter policy ( we saw that from 2019-2021 ) - simply put, if you do not want to loose money go for high dividend stocks of companies that you know and study, understand. go for the equity share in companies non traded on stock market, go for land and housing, go for physical comodities ( silver, gold, platinum, paladium )
When you see everyone even your postman to talk about SP500 and stock, than you know that shit will happen ( it was same story with bitcoin and gold, here and there, you are simply put too late when everybody talks about investing into something )
I just want my money to keep outgrowing the inflation rate. That is why I'm looking for companies now to put in $300k for a start. Just don't know strategies to employ in buying stocks to invest in
Chose quality stocks and follow them up. If you're not one for such complexities, hire a wealth manager to grow your money. I use the latter. Pulled in more than $46k in the last two months alone.
a good number of people discredit the effectiveness of financial advisors/experts, but over the past 10years, I’ve had one consistently restructure and diversify my portfolio/expenses and I’ve made over $3million in gains… might not be a lot but my portfolio can stand the test of time
Opting for an inves-tment advisr is currently the optimal approach for navigating the stock market, particularly for those nearing retirement. I've been consulting with a coach for a while, and my portfolio has surged by 85% since 2022
Please can you leave the info of your lnvestment advsor here? I’m in dire need for one
Her name is “Vivian Louise Dehoff” can't divulge much. Most likely, the internet should have her basic info, you can research if you like
Video is really awesome...and informative..thanks for sharing
This video is beyond amazing. wealth has no shortcuts but they're ways to go about it.
"If nothing is done on your finance, Income will relatively be unchanged." Wealth is attained through Pro aid, that's why the Rich seek aid of finance Pro(s) to attain wealth but claim to attain it themselves
“Don’t lay your eggs in a basket.” I attained wealth by varying options with the aid of my finance pro. and so far
have attained so-much in my finances.
sear ch the full name below, If you care to attain wealth
Sea rch her name
Isabelle Chloe Scott
Amazing video and thank you for sharing this video
i’ve been hearing about this “recession” since 2021
Yup, I’ve been hearing this from him since 2020. You can bet he doesn’t sell any of his investments at all. If you think the stock market is gonna drop by 50% you’d sell and buy in at the end of the recession and go for the 100% gains. But he ain’t gonna do it because we are all clueless
There was a recesion 2020 , and this recession yes its going to hit this year because of the rate hikes its a normal process just a lot of people are super bearish since 2021 because we thought the Fed was going to stop the stimulus but it did not and produced the inflation that we are seeing.
Haven't we had a recession at the end of 2022?
AAPL -26%
MSFT -34%
META -76%
GOOG -42%
It’s crazy that we’ve had to wait literally years for the macro environment to play catch up. The power of kicking the can down the road, I suppose.
@@ts8206 You could say that about any time.
Love the balance sheet graphics !
Glad you like them!
You could invest in stocks, start a side business, or focus on advancing your career. It's important to set goals and make a plan. Remember, wealth can mean different things to different people,One thing i can say that helped me in life to reach my first million was starting early, i got curious and informed i became open to passive income, investments in equities , etfs and the likes. also sought help to handle my portfolio which was my foundation. i'm ever grateful to Emily Lois Parker my FA.
That’s some good values. sounds like you got something going for you
I looked up Emily Lois Parker on the internet out of curiosity; she has a strong résumé
I started investing when I was 37, mostly through sweat equity. I just turned 42 and this last month was the first time that my passive income broke $100k for the month. This is solid advice! DO IT!
Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web because this is equally important to me, and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.
Got to love these youtube chancers, always looking to fleece the viewer! ;-)
damn i love this guy!!
Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia is still following this very informative content cheers Frank 😊
I'm hoping to retire this year Sep at 55 on my birthday and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, I decided to stay on the sideline for awhile, now I’m worried with the numerous bank failures as of late, am I better off reinvesting my savings in the stock market or do I wait?
Its unclear which stocks and sectors will lead the market in the next uptrend. It is advisable to diversify while retaining 70-80% in secure investments. you should consider financial advisory
@warner962 I'm looking to give stocks another shot after staying on the sidelines since the pandemic. I have $5 million from the sale of some fo my Bel-Air properties and was advised to diversify between stocks and bonds, since they can help hedge against inflation, but can't tell which is safer at this point, or am I better off just holding cash?
Thanks for sharing. searched for her full name and her website popped up. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her
Thanks a lot🙏 i really appreciate. Was amazing speaking with Martha
At the very least, I now grasp the concept of leverage. Creating wealth and financial freedom isn't as tough as many people believe. Building wealth and remaining financially stable indefinitely is a lot easier with the appropriate information. Participating in financial programs and products is the only true approach to make a high income and remain affluent indefinitely.
Starting early is simply the best way of getting ahead to build wealth , investing remains a priority . I learnt from my last year's experience , I am able to build a suitable life because I invested early ahead this time .
We have been on a recession since the beginning of 2022, but big media and governments all over the world didn’t want to admit it. We need to be wise and use our brains. Knowledge is power and I’d like all the family to be powerful! Just purchased some AM
Impressive dividend! AM has positive cash flow but maybe not enough for their dividend? Current and quick ratios are not great either. Free cash flow yield is 21% (last 4 qtrs) but that's not super amazing in that industry.
Getting tired of all those recession predictions. Just like the big 2023 recession. 2023 was a really great time to be fearfull, passive, and to miss out on big gains. Keep it up.
Could you talk about exchange rate risk when investing in the US stock market from another country? Maybe Australian dollar is more or less stable against the US dollar. From where I am from, Japanese yen has depreciated something like 40% in the past year or two.
The unfortunate thing with CZcams financial influencers is that they were predicting 2022 was to be a recession... and then 2023... now it's going to be in 2024.
The variables suggesting a recession may be well understood, but the cause of each recession is unique and not understood (until afterwards!!!).
The second step is very good, and the graphics are nice too. If you add sound effects to them, the video will become even better. Right now, it feels a bit boring. Anyway, the content is valuable
Like your hacks. I would like you to do a video how we can sell a put option with a broker from the view point of investor in Australia. Perhaps which brokers can offer us this kind of facility. Thanks.
I think it's best to see the economy like the weather. So far since 2023 so much bla bla and stress because of this recession that supposed to happen, so far it didn't happen and could only harm the investors who stress out and do stupid things. At times like these I consider to disconnect from all news and I did , incl economic news, I still listen to your channel from time to time but consider stopping, too
These tactics are SO BORING which means they're too legit to quit. Nicely done my guy. I have double majors in finance and econ with portfolio performance to back it up and this guys spitting facts.
me with barely anything to posibly ivest watching this: 🤔
heheheh
(on a serious note tho i like learning and watching educational videos)
A better course of action would be to just have a well-diversified portfolio that is ready for any scenario rather than attempting to forecast and prognosticate whether or not we are entering a recession. According to Bloomberg, some people have been doing this by averaging 15% every seven weeks.
Got it, will make the same bet against recession as 2023.
It is always good to have a financial plan. I work with a professional planner and fixed-income strategist in NY. The fixed income portion of your portfolio won't simply serve as a buffer to the volatility of the equity portion of your portfolio, but will provide legitimate income.
People downplay planners role, until burnt by their mistakes. I remember just after my layoff early 2020 amidst covid outbreak, I needed to stay afloat, hence researched for license-fiduciary advisors. Thankfully, I came across someone of practical knowledge, and decades of experience.
Agreed, instead of panic or being indecisive, I simply adopted the service of a financial planner early 2020 amid covid-outbreak, and so far, I've attained my most significant financial milestone of over $650k after a couple 100,000 invested.
I can understand the wisdom behind working with a professional manager because I’m completely aware of the psychological effects of wrong investments.
How can I get in touch with Chris Ryan Stewart?
This is useful information, I copied his full name and pasted it into my browser, his website popped up immediately and his qualifications are excellent, thanks for sharing.
One thing I would say about your carnival cruise lines example is that as your customer deposit goes up, so do your liabilities
In every crisis, there is an opportunity," as the saying goes. The 2024 recession, while challenging, presents unique avenues to amass wealth. First, it's essential to remember Warren Buffet's advice: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful." During recessions, assets often undervalue. By investing wisely in stocks, real estate, or businesses during this downturn, you position yourself for significant returns during the economic recovery.
Everyone is uneasy due to the continuous wars in the Middle East. To get assistance with your portfOlio, you ought to speak with an FA.
Opting for an invest-ment advisr is currently the optimal approach for navigating the stock market, particularly for those nearing retirement. I've been consulting with a coach for a while, and my portfOlio has surged by 45% since Q2.
Great video! I'm just starting to learn about the stock market, and I really appreciate how clearly and succinctly you explain everything. 😊
Hey Brandon, in order to buy US stocks you need to convert AUD into USD. Do you exchange money when the conversion rate is good and then wait for a stock to be ‘on sale’ to buy? In other words do you have money already converted to USD waiting for an opportunity or do you just convert when a company is ‘on sale’?
Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Goes balls deep on S&P 500 CZcamsr advice 😂
Oh, definitely no advice on what happens to the S&P, that’s anyone’s guess! I definitely don’t claim to know what the stock market will do haha
Interest rates are not that high. The fed has hinted that there will be 3 rate cuts in 2024 and this will cause the opposite of recession as money floods into stocks from the bond market.
Every year: “next year there will be a recession”
I aspire to be as confident as people in finance confidently predicting a recession every year.
Hahaha - it’s true. Making predictions is a losers game! Just have to prepare ourselves for any eventuality
step 1: have money - step 2: ??? - step 3: profit
I completely agree, The first $100k was the toughest, and I didn't really start seriously investing until I was 30 back in 1998. Today, I'm 55 and have a decent $3.2M
nest egg, thanks to the careful supervision of my CFP.
After learning all of this, my only regret is not starting earlier when I was 25. It may not seem like much but those extra 5 years are the most important.
My loan variable rate is 9.01% paying it down would be stupid when I make 37% on stock market.
Would be great if these bots could be sorted out. Great video BTW.
As an australian I'd love to see tips on how to get into the US or other international markets and how others do it, tax implications etc.
I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for license advisors and came across someone of due diligence she helped a lot to grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to approx $850k
So you could contact to try less
Brother, can you put $TSLA through these filters?
Thanks for the video. Great work.
Was this not the same chat as Jan 2023??? Who knows what’s ahead. I was able to pick a few bargains up from companies in the S&P though.
Gotta love the recession guessing game. Where nothing happens if you guess wrong...haha
Huge Amazon AMS20T holder here and slowly building my Ada and Ckb bags
Give me few stock names good for long term Investment
secret step 6: start hoard commodities (gold, oil, etc.) or bonds (or eurobonds) before and through the recession. sell the tech stocks in early March 2024. when prices hit bottom; sell the bonds and commodities and buy stocks. we small investors can do this but no portfolio manager can do that without getting fired. worst case scenario: a recession doesn't happen and you gain small amount of money with golds and bonds, best case scenario you become rich through a recession. just like in Dhando Investor book; heads, I win, tails I don't lose much.
Blk swan event coming 🇺🇸!!!!
Hate to break it to you, but the opportunity was in 2022 buddy.
the once in a lifetime opportunity that never comes around in 5-7years? Yeah sure lol
You mean 2020?
What's the best thing to do with your money when recession kicks in? Just hold cash until the crash is over? Buy bonds?
Brandon. Content is becoming very repetitive and general. Any chance of doing deep dive in to the evolution (success and fall) of exemplary companies (new/old)? How these businesses thrive in the face of competition, role of management quality, impact of headwinds/tailwinds and downfall etc
If most economists are saying there will be a recession this year then there will not be a recession this year.
I think the holiday earnings will be bad. This could kill some optimism
GET READY FOR THE RECESSION GUYS LETS MA KE A VIDEO ABOUT IT
493 of the S&P 500 companies have already been down for 2-years, almost a record, with all growth in 2023 from the magnificent seven. This is down longer than average and will probably recover in 2024, balancing out any drop in performance of the magnificent seven to some degree. If a diversified portfolio is also balanced with non-USA assets this will further mitigate any drop, as much of the globe including UK and emerging markets are ready for a positive reversion to mean.
If someone is good enough to time the marketet, I doubt they are not making youtube videos.
Ive had the feeling BTC would be going to 3k as well. Clearing out all my Alts going into BTC and AMS23D only, maybe a little BNB.
which group of people run the Fed and create inflation?
Just a note: Apple Hardware is well worth the money 😏 ...which might be something important when considering to actually invest in the company.
Wasn't this supposed to happen in 2022....And 2023?
This is great, sensible information as always. But ignore it, because the play this year is bitcoin.
More people need ro invest in the blue chips here. Im around 90% between BTC and AMS23D combined. Good advice Lark thanks!
Giant meteor 2024
If everyone is expecting a recession why is the S&P at an all time high? Would it be advisable to gradually sell now and buy back later?
You can but nothing is certain. Cant guess how deep it will be. The trend holding up the index is AI. Its still very much alive. So no.
Just like the recession you predicted in 2022 and 2023
I definitely don't predict economic events... that would be very foolish.
History shows us that a recession always hapoens when nobody predicts it and everything looks fine until a huge event happens.
when ever recessions are predicted historicly the stock market smashes records and people at the top do everything in their power to make sure it does not happen. If I were a betting man, I would put ny money on the rich guys at the top doing everything to make sure they don't loose money.
Ray Dalio is a Chinese real estate investor he needs the Chinese real estate market and export economy to do well. The problem is the Evergrande & Country Garden bankruptcy will ruin China.
I believe Amazon AMS20T will conservatively hit $5.00 by 2025. Thats a 20x return from its current price with very little downside. Im buying all I can.
2023 was most likely recession as well which never happened. Now all experts have rolled forward their ideas!
Amazon AMS20T isnt shooting for US companies. They are building something far more sophisticated than Solana.
Im only hearing soft in the mainstream media and no one is talking about the yield curve
Powell said rates will be lowered 3 times in 2024......
Im waiting on AMS23D dont like buying after its already pumped, still buying btc
Myself during this Bear Market only trying to focus on BTC, AMS23D, ETH, SOL, MATIC. not losing sight of BNB and GALA. 🇨🇦
The Market have been suffering over the past month, with all the three indexes recording losses in recent weeks. My $400,000 portfolio is down by approximately 20%, any recommendations to scale up my returns before retirement will be highly appreciated.
You said the same for 2023 recession and we all know how it ended up😂
India’s Nifty next 50 is a better bet!
So in short youre saying we still have more time to buy at Amazon AMS20T discounted prices.
This kind of titles is misleading. Those principles are good in every environment and besides… every year is predicted to be a recession year by someone somewhere
Yes please. I would love a video that does a deep dive on the Amazon AMS20T project
Im staying in Amazon AMS20T till after ETFs being approved and will move into alts after that...
You’re giving us all this wonderful advice, but I have one question for you. How much money have you made personally from investing? just a ballpark number.
If China, the German economy, UBS after being forced to buy Credit Suisse’s toxic “assets” and the rest of the world goes to hell in a hand basket, the capital flight to the US stock and bond market will be like a tsunami.
Nice work. I’ve been on the Amazon AMS20T train for a while, never sold as they are always building.
Truly love your candidness, I DCAed today again for BTC AMS23D and ETH
Stop with the recession vids… not getting old, been old
I DCAd into XRP and AMS23D even though I told myself I was going to wait until I get paid but I couldnt resist, these prices are too good to wait!