Will The EU Collapse After The UK Leaves? - Brexit Explained
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- čas přidán 2. 08. 2018
- There are many people who believe that without the United Kingdom the European Union is in major trouble. So are they right, will the EU fall apart without the UK?
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why isn't your book on amazon anymore?
You know nothing
Stopped watching half way through because you cant give a yes or no answer
Not credible at All . . . EU will crumble down if UK outside the EU can trade with other countries and prosper, EU will be in trouble as other countries will exit the EU, for sure because they have no more countries to control, if UK prosper outside of the EU.
This EU game is more than 60 years in progress. In the years1944 this EU script plan was allready in progress.
Guys I really don't understand your analysis here, it's all nonsense.
The averages you show and talk about changing don't actually effect anything.
the EU average unemployment goes up after the UK leaves. Yes true. But the actual unemployment rate in every single member state won't change at all so it's really a non impact.
Also your point about growth is also just silly. The EU's average growth will be faster without the UK. True, but once again it won't actually effect the growth of each member nation (barring other effects like reduced trade). It's a useless comparison, just removing the UK from the EU average isn't an analysis of the potential damage Brexit could do. The EU economy will grow faster on average over time but will suffer a massive decrease in total GDP by the UK leaving.
The video didn't really present anything of substance to support any hypothesis of what will happen post Brexit just useless out of context statistics.
you are right. I thought the same.
I agree that it is not a very well thought out since the graphs he showed are what investors look at and I mean only the really big ones( and they will like all the changes in these graphs, since faster growth means faster growth of their investments, better employment rules for their companies so more profit goes to them, etc...). Smaller investors will just look at region bound graphs instead overall graphs. And also he assumes the agreements between UK and EU will stay the same. But this is most likely not the case in my opinion.
kalaz investors look at these statistics but the numbers in the video are based on today not based in any analysis of the impacts of Brexit. For the UK more than the EU just projecting current statistics as maintaining their trend is highly unlikely. If the pessimistic predictions for Brexit come true the UK unemployment rate isn't going to stay as is it will probably go up.
The whole concept of Brexit requires a deep analysis of hundreds of different industries for each of a number of different outcomes. The EU is currently putting out a large volume of preparedness statements that are informing EU businesses of the real tangible impacts of Brexit. The UK government is doing relatively little to inform British businesses and the public at large and I think the lack of information on the true impacts of Brexit will create an economic climate of absolute panic for UK businesses. I honestly think a no deal Brexit will be carnage at least in the short term.
@Sasha Kammakitz-Jen Brexit is an arrogant thing on the face of it. The idea that the UK will be better off alone despite the overwhelming evidence to the contrary is by definition pure arrogance.
This video wasn't very informative but it's hardly an extreme bias to see Brexit as an entirely arrogant movement rooted in nationalist idealism and British superiority.
All of the key Brexit talking points have evaporated there's no money for the NHS, there's no solution for the Irish border, the government is failing miserably to engage any meaningful nations on trade all the while claiming Brexit means Brexit and everything will be fine. It's all rooted in extreme arrogance, but the proof is in the pudding and we will all see for sure how great Brexit will be next year.
@Sasha Kammakitz-Jen every single member of the G8 except for Japan are members of a regional trade bloc, and Japan will be a member of TPP when it's ratified.
Every major economy in the world sees the benefits of these trade blocs.
EU immigration isn't a problem, they fill jobs that wouldn't otherwise be filled. Look at Japan they are struggling to get enough immigrants to fill the jobs in their country.
And the commonwealth? What's that got to do with anything? The UK Canada and Australia make up over 60% if the entire commonwealth economy, Canada is locked into CETA and Australia and NZ are already fucking blocking UK proposals to the WTO, they don't owe the UK any favours and won't be doing any.
This is literally the kind of arrogance I'm talking about. Oh commonwealth, oh G8, British empire, we're great, we can trade with the "rest of the world" who have tiny economies and no market for British goods and services.
A UK government paper puts the potential shrink of the economy at 8% under a WTO "no deal" Brexit. That's enough to knock the UK from the 5th largest economy in the world to the 7th. It'll make the global financial crisis look like a fond memory.
Who’s watching after the uk has left the European Union lol
the eu was giving back sovereignty to europeans, which they lost from americans and uk damaged that, i gues uk wants to be eternal slave.
Yeah I guess lol
@@arthurheidt6373 is this sarcastic lol? So being a free sovereign state and not run by unelected officials in Brussells means they are slaves 😂😂 EU military that no one wanted but is happening, EU interference in Ukraine causing a civil war...its a runaaay train that's coming off the rails. I just hope the Republic of Ireland wakes up soon!
@@Guinness1066 The EU is making a military so they don't have to rely so much on the US for defense, just saying
@@emperorpierogi9772 the EU wouldn't have to rely on the US if all the countries pulled their weight and kept to the 2%. Would be the same poor commitment in a EU army
It's too complex to know for sure. If the other EU nations are clever they will wait for Brexit to settle in for a few years. And possibly even wait a few years after another nation leaves. Before they make a decision. Science works. Brexit should be treated as an experiment to gather data.
Oh yes serious tax dogder terrority there keep plebs waiting 100 years or so and a compulsive patholigical liar might produce some unicorns
It will struggle once we stop our cash flowing in, if ever that happens. Personally I would stop the cash flow now and do a no deal and trade under WTO.
Jeffrey Holmes ..the actual bottom line contribution saved is 100 per person. Dream about taking that with you ‘personally’, the actual benefit of having trade negotiations done on behalf of the 28 nations alone is an an enormous benefit. And since uk democracy is so bad the other benefits of the eu laws in which brits actually had a big hand in drafting and protecting working rights far out ways the 100 u think will help to your personal economy. The cheap rate mobile calls, the higher standards required by the eu that again britain had asay so in.
Trouble is you think it is going to be better but the mucked up two party system that results in 1/3 of the voted party dictates to the rest of the nation.
Lets have the project fear remarks next.... truth is the British are insular and have become small island attitude of protectionism where in fact the government will keep you down, labour governments have a poor history of badly spending and tories have a reputation of privatizing everything
Kiss your NHS goodbye and see how much you have of that 100 left afterwards.
Try listening and conversing with people that live or work in the other 27 and maybe your fantasies can be seen outside of the uk and not rely on hope and belief but aims and facts. Not saying the EU cant be improved, but it runs like a government - all are elected to represent their country and vote ministers into top positions ... you don’t vote for any member to take a cabinet position, that is done from inside. The difference being with the EU is that has to be approved and accepted so the likes of Boris Johnson do not get put into minister of foreign affairs seats for the lols like May did.
@Spinler Muckflitt Many companies selling UK goods in the EU will gladly move over. They sell more to the EU than to the local market and much of the industry in the UK depends on half-products (parts) made in the EU. Would you say it's smarter to import parts from EU under tariffs, then export the majority of the products made back to the EU under tariffs? Or is it more economically sound to move production to the mainland and export the goods intended for the UK market under tariffs? The answer can be found in the number of companies that have already transfered some operations to the EU. Imagine what's going to happen once all those EU citizens living in the UK come back home because there's no agreements made about their rights as of yet. Oof your economy and the NHS are gonna love that.
Oh also, you have an agricultural deficit of 50%. 90% of your fruit and vegetables are imported. Much of your medicine is imported. I guess those sick "remoaners" can just die off huh?
As for the markets we can sell to...well, we just entered into an FTA with Japan so there's a whole new market we can dabble in. Be careful not to sink under all that pressure, we still have trouble figuring out where Atlantis used to be..
That's because you are a moron
You dont even put in that much. less than germany and france in total and per capita, way less than finland, netherlands, sweden etc. YES uk is a net contributor, but it's not the most important.
@@jauregui9614 exactly and they had the best deal in the EU they got to keep and create their own money they even got more control over their own borders, its absolutely ridiculous how greedy they got and now look at them... i think it will be better without the uk as all they do is moan and veto now that they are out we can start to move the eu in the right direction sure look at what germany did for the eu they bailed out countries like greece and portugal and what did the brits do absolutely nothing so good riddance
Congrats on your first 1000 subscribers.
Thank you so much :D
OP the UK gains a lot more from the EU - in the form of business, financial advantages, legal advantages and more so they receive more than they pay. It's been proven so many times over the last 3 years. Not to mention, all the grants awarded to Britain by the EU which will easily cancel out any change that was remaining. Add to this, the sheer number of Brits working in the EU and "stealing" their jobs by your words. You gain a lot more than you give.
Heck, even London became a big financial center once again due to the fact that they were the easiest English language access to the Single Market. Otherwise, they couldn't compete with NY, Tokyo, Beijing, Mumbai, Singapore and a dozen other financial centers with more opportunities and growth.
Also, just this question shows typical British ego. No the entire continent is not going to crumble because you left. It's not a damn hollywood movie where the Anglo's are the only capable ones. This is life. They were doing well before you came, they will do well after you leave.
3 years on and we have the fastest vaccine hand out rate in Europe and we have a growth of gdp that is the fastest it has been in over 100 year
@@maccapaccabrump9731 You started vaccinating without clearly testing if it was safe... And I double checked what you said aout the growth of gdp. It was at negative 9.8% in 2020 what are you talking about (the last fact probably doesn't have anything to do with brexit but just the virus but why are you making stuff up xD)
Sorry, for a moment i thought i was watching something from sky news.. you've basically made a video based on EU statistics, nothing more.
Barnier: "So shall we start with our opening statements then? I'lll go first : "the EU is built on four indissociable pillars - freedom of movement of goods, of services, of capital and of labour."
Davies : “Somone’s just written here ‘Have cake and eat it’…”
Can anyone explain how UK's financialized, resource exporting, unproductive, balloon economy can even compare to German economy?
Not at all. Germany is booming.
Then why are you in the UK?
+Peter Peterson
What kind of silly question is that?
There are many countries (and billions of people) way worse than UK.
Should they all come to UK because its better?
I merely asked a question because UK "economy" genuinely puzzles me.
Marko Kraguljac I wasn't asking you, Marko.
I was asking Melvin Beck who constantly comments in these videos about how wonderful Germany is in comparison to the UK.
I hope he moves there!
Try the weak euro for driving Germany's exports. Different story if they were trading under DM l bet .!
The UK never really fully embraced the EU and because of geography the people from the UK feel no sense of connection to the EU. Hence why when a bunch of bullshit is spouted about how the UK will be better without the EU people blindly voted for it. The problems in the UK are nothing to do with the EU. This video about averages literally means nothing, there are still poorer countries in eastern europe who are part of the EU.
The EU countries always considered the UK as the bad apple, the people on the mainland are very united in trade and travel. Without the UK voting against the other EU countries on things like one army ect this would only makes the EU stronger. Also if the UK picks a super soft Brexit then nothing will change except the UK will have no say in EU laws, and will have to pay more to stay in the single market than now. If the UK goes for a hard brexit then companies will leave and set up in the EU making it's economy stronger and the UK economy will stagnate for at least 20 years. The EU won't collapse anytime soon, and if anyone who voted Brexit had ever lived on the mainland they would understand why. The countries of the EU are becoming ever more interconnected to create ever lasting peace and growth for all, that seperating isn't logical. The UK can continue it's economic stagnation and the people can continue being so narrow minded because franky it seems like nobody else in the EU even cares. I'm certainly glad I left when I did.
What British ppl don’t realise is that Anglo Saxon means groups of people from Germany and Netherlands. There’s nothing British about Anglo Saxons. They are from Central Europe. Welsh ppl are very British though because they are descendants of actual pre Romano British ppl. Also many Scandinavians ended up settling in modern day England due to the viking age. So English ppl are very European. The UK was used by manufacturers as the gateway to the EU. So that’s why they opened up shop here. But Brexit changes all that and soon the uk will no longer be as competitive as before Brexit. Big mistake for the uk economically.
Honestly, I don't think it's geography, it has much more to do with culture and society. I think (and I don't mean to generalise here but) that people in the UK see the UK as a superior nation, the UK colonised half the world and the UK was always and is still one of the richest countries in the world. (I would also like to point out that a feeling of superiority isn't a bad thing, I think as a nation the UK is more assertive and that comes in part from feeling superior.)
Whereas, if you look at your neighbour Ireland, you will see quite the opposite. Ireland was always a poor country, it was colonised and it was always inferior to the UK and to most other western nations. Ireland is one of the most pro-EU nations in the EU, most people in Ireland would view joining the EU as a turning point in their history, a moment when the potential of Ireland was recognised and valued.
I think when the UK joined the EU it was the exact opposite, it was a realisation that the glory days were over, it was no longer the UK alone, but the UK and a band of other small (incapable of surviving on their own) countries. I guess that those feelings of resentment and sadness may have festered over the last 40yrs and inevitably lead to the UK leaving the EU.
Just my perspective.
It's a good summary. But Brexit is a much broader view than that. We're talking about years of austerity and continuous poverty throughout the Nation. While the rich sipped their EU kool-aid inside that London bubble, the poor resorted to food banks to survive, which is a humiliation for those who fell on difficult times. There was a lot of anger, and there still is, towards the government and the local council. When Remainers, who were usually the ones who benefited from The EU and enjoyed all the benefits, mentioned the economy to the poor, who had very few coin to count, there was anger and resentment.
So you have a protest vote for better or worse in that respect. What did those people have to lose by voting out? And the Remain camp said they would be poor, starving and dying. But they already were suffering.
Craig Brexit but the poor people in the UK are not poor because of the EU. The London bubble was created during Thatcher years with her dumb 'trickle' down policy. She made London a tax haven so the rich elite around the world would spend money there, look into how many properties sit empty in London for example. All the internal problems of the UK are nothing to do with the EU what so ever, the EU has no say in internal affairs, it is a collection of countries who vote for laws which apply to everyone, a law isn't passed without the vote of all. Protest voting for something you don't understand is not a smart idea. The poor will stay poor, and have it even worse because the UK economy will suffer and it's always the poor who suffer. Meanwhile the rich will stay rich and that's nothing to do with the EU. The UK government is a shambles right now, the country is divided. Maybe it's time Brits look at their own country before blaming others for their problems.
It's the same concept as India. Everyone said that we will break apart in the 15 years at most. Well despite all our squabbling we are still one and as every new generation grows up, that unity is just ingrained further. The Europeans are going through something similar - they have about the same size in landmass, half our population size and about a fifth in cultural/linguistic/ethnic differences. This coupled with a relatively richer lifestyle and you get a unified continent.
Almost the entirety of the younger generation are now used to traveling and working around Europe without hassle. They can't imagine border checks, visas, money conversions, etc within Europe. One or two more generations and that unity will be solid.
Very good - thanks for producing this video.
I am not sure if "rate of growth" is worth considering. Isnt it a variable that slows down after initial growth?
Brexit is going to be a lot tougher in england than it is on europe.
People are laughing at the eu misfortune but its going to be a lot tougher on england.
macker 33 ENGLAND is not Britain, and Britain as a whole voted to leave the EU
IF YOU REMAINERS NOT TRIED TO BLOCK UP THE BREXIT THING WOULD BE MUCH EASY.
No pain No gain.
Brian Randall . That is the spirit hhe
The EU is laughing at the english tards.
It is a very generic analysis. The loss of the City of London in terms of FX and settlement systems for everything from everyday payments to complex financial instruments is a significant issue. Whilst the UK was not in the Euro, London is the hub for all the finances of almost all EU banks and also the ECB needs for convertibility in bonds and liquidity. London is the world's largest FX market for example.
In terms of will it threaten the EU, I think it would be more interesting to look at the Euro19 and something called TARGET2. Germany is owed 960BN Euros mainly by Greece and Italy. Where your analysis is spot on is the other countries thinking of leaving - Italy has had nearly 20 years of stagnation due to the imbalances of the Euro as for Greece, well, enough has been written about them.
Plot twist: the UK collapsed instead.
No the EU won’t collapse, for a quite simple reason.
What can individual countries achieve alone? Against America, Russia, India, China?
If we didn’t have the EU, we would have no protection against our privacy, worse economies, less trade, as a unit of 27 countries we actually have the ability of influence and protect ourselves and not be left at the mercy of other giant economies.
UK has failed to realize that because of their former colonial history they think the reason why EU is powerful is because of Britain. That’s why they are in denial over the consequences to everyone of brexit.
Why would or should USA or Russia be enemies, why? The real danger zones are SA and China, SA too much money and SA too many people.
Its not enemies! I didn’t write that anywhere.
But together in the EU we can influence our own future.
Alone individual countries would just have to accept whatever the Big economies dictates or else they won’t do a deal.
Trade agreements is balanced when you have a more similar market.
Let’s take a example.
UK market is 50 million consumers they want a agreement with America America has 325,7 million consumers.
So America can demand a lot more than UK can.
gary jones this is so futile commenting with you.
You are drinking the coolaid instead of actually reading the treaties and laws.
EU does more for every individual in protecting your rights and create standards higher than any in your government would like.
I don’t care you are out.
The EU was becoming more like China every year which is why we wanted out... We're sick of supra-power command economies dominating us.
PrivateSi okay.
But you are still going to be dominated by Supra-power command economies.
The only difference is that inside the EU you actually had major influence over Trade. But out you have very little to say in regards to that.
The question should be, will the UK survive after Brexit
Not a chance, all the money and IQ is getting the fuck out before the property market collapses. A nation of penniless zombie fucks will sink like a shit atlantis no one will miss.
A rather dismal view. Amusing even, but hopefully overstated?
Seán O'Nilbud an Irish man telling us we are penniless, the irony! Aren't you going to thank us for all the money we invested in your mighty country? When will your country start paying some bills?
Scotland and NI will likely leave. It won't be the UK as we know it. England and Wales will be a hellhole
Seán O'Nilbud im english not welsh you thick mick! Don't worry France and Germany will pick up the bill for your incompetence!
I would suggest you also make a video what will/could happen when you leave. The consequence of crashing out with a no-deal scenario and the lack of trade deals you do not have. After all, seems a trade deal takes a lot of time to set up.
We do actually already have a video about that, called 'What will happen after a no deal'. I hope you like it.
TLDR News Saw it, basically the only logical answer would be the back stop deal without the limited time to implement a new deal to make the hard Brexiteers happy. With all the grief it imposes the way it looks now I truly think that is what will happen. Let the UK sort itself out. Maybe then they'll have an inkling what the EU does... Not happy about it but at least my country will have the benefit of observing the mess it will create first hand. Should be a warning to others.
its not all about money its also about the fabric of a nation the EU is post Christian and is being infiltrated by people who hate our lifestyle. also being a post Christian bloc spiritually they are bankrupt when you turn your back on Christian values your country is in bad trouble just look at countries that have not embraced the Christian gospel and the fall out to the nation . it was Christians following Jesus that brought about prison reform changed child labour laws stopped slavery and did so much to make this nation what it is. Do gooders who do not know Christ and try to do what they think is good without allowing God to work through them fail. This nation will fail if it does not again listen to what God is saying through is son Jesus Christ and seriously put it into action what he says about lifestyle and sin
James Gill when faith is the only thing you have to say, meh. To me any religion is destructive, which basically means, if you want to discuss anything you have to leave faith out of it. Where I live there is rule of law, not rules of faith.
Paul C A warning about what?
3:18 "Grate of Growth..." :p haha other than that though, just found this channel and I'm really enjoying it! Keep it up!
What will be the effects of leaving each EU agency and agreement? ECJ, ECHR, Euratom, airspace agreement? Etc.
When watching this video - remember the EU *≠* Europe countries
Well, this ageded well...😅...Brexit if anything has strengthened the EU. And on the other hand makes it all most impossible for other nations to leave. Whereas it might well end the UK.
It's still possible to leave as much as before 2016. The thing is, proposing that would make you look like a madman 😅
The book isn’t listed on Amazon
That's right, countries like Switzerland and Norway outside the EU that do really badly! What people don't seem to understand is that no country in the EU gets a good trade deal. The reason being that they have to accommodate the needs of the other 27 countries. Whereas, a country on their own can shape a deal that is good for them and them alone. Like America for instance.
Switzerland and Norway have small populations and do good for reasons you cant copy. Norway has Oil and Switzerland has a woirld wide known Banking sector and gets a lot of mony from high paying sky-tourism. Its like saying the Vatican is not in the EU and they have a lot of money per head .. letz leave the EU and do the same
Yes. The EU will fall apart because they have to make a new flag.
In the meantime the EU needs to wave a white one.
You know there are only twelve stars on the flag since a long time right???
Brexit certainly is a loss for the EU, but Britain was never commited anyways and the missing $ can easily be compensated. If brexit leads to reforms and a closer union of the remaining partners it is actually a good thing. Netherland leaving the EU would be a MUCH bigger threat. Even if brexit is sucessfull, that wouldn't stop the EU to reform to become more like Britain. And reen if it would ultimately dissolve current members would be winners since they can reap the benefits without taking the risk britain is taking
The German coalition government in its contract between the two parties involved has already committed to paying €3.5 billion more annually after brexit.
Super Billie Piper's Teeth EU hasnt accounted for 6.5 Billion yet, UK Budged deficit was about 50 billion euro last year. EU has lost 17% of its single market, the UK has lost 83% their market. Maybe you should be a little more concerned about the UK...
Spoken like a ham!
EU: You're tearing me apart, UK!! Oh, hi Mark.
Do you make all your graphics yourself?
Interesting video. I voted Leave but I've never wanted the EU to fail, on the contrary I want both our economy and peoples to prosper. I merely believe the best way to achieve this is to be separate entities.
With all of this talk of the UK crashing out, do you regret your decision? What relationship did you envision the UK having with the EU when you voted to leave? Just curious :)
Maria B Hi Maria, no I don't regret it at all. Now, as then I think the EU is utterly undemocratic and accountable to nobody but itself. From the moment Angela Merkel, whom I adore, said there would be no reopening of treaties (which would be needed to make the EU more democratic) my resolve was set.
I did think there would be more cooperation on all sides when looking forward but will wait to see what the final blueprint is before passing judgement.
Mark
Well... Looks like the eu27 will be more democratic than the eu28.
Winning 42.4% of the vote and getting 48.8% of the seats.
Head of government appointed by a monarch.
Having no written constitution.
HoL is the least problematic aspect.
Yeah, the average is going to improve.
Sibling Anon if you want to debate our political system or preferably ways we, the people can improve it, I am certainly up for that but is neither relevant to this thread nor my point.
We are discussing the EU. I believe it to be undemocratic and unaccountable and your interjection has done nothing to dissuade me of this. The EU has been created to be this way. It has not evolved through hundreds of years of precedent to be so.
Sibling Anon Further: with your strong sense of democracy and representation could you tell me how you think this is better:
EU idea of equality 1 MEP:
UK for every 875,289 ppl
Germany for every 838,789 ppl
Greece for every 526,786 ppl
Malta for every 70,227 ppl
Britain has been slowing Europe integration down. A European army would never happen if Britain was in it as they are always again it. One day we will see only voted politician at the EU. Things will change.
Paolo Barone as far as EU army goes for Ireland's view on it of course it will depend on what the army does how recruitment is processed it its conscription good luck with that no thanks
Paolo Barone with or without the U.K., an EU army maybe difficult to establish
Enjoy your homogenous Stormtrooper Army!
@@Isochest as I said we might take part but of course it will depend on what this army will be doing and how recruitment works
Brits have already been fighting with other eu forces and actually as a support role, that wont change in or out of the eu, and if in the eu, could still choose not to join its mass and keep its choice when their is a call to arms - uk is part of nato so that is likely a no brainer to join in and support
Britain did not join the shengan agreement or take the euro on so stop assuming Britain is ordered around by the eu, it has a veto vote.
Keep up the small island individual and insular attitude and the united kingdom will disunite and actually sink
Like your vids. Short, sharp and straight to the point. Oh and concise for thickies like me.
One important thing that EU nations already take steps to deal with Brexit, like reducing the budget in many program, while the UK still not sure what to do.
only thing i see happening in all this is the german motor industry being hit really hard if the EU don`t offer a better deal by march
Yes the finding will be less but the amount of things they will have to fund will be smaller. Brexit is something that will slow the EU down and give it stability which is what it needs it will also just downsize it a little making everything the same but smaller
Also it will remove some annoyances and bring to light some discussions that have to be had to make sure the whiners don't get too much power again. This will be good for the EU in the long run.
Yeah now Poland and other eastern countries are richer too so they shouldn't need as much investment
Also subsidies to agriculture which are way too high are being somewhat cut and the agricultural industry is being liberalized which should end up saving and making money.
You've admitted that the UK contributes more to the EU than it gets back . How come then remainers always complain that we will be screwed without EU financed projects in the UK ?
Not sure why this popped up in my feed. However, an update on the prediction made in this video, might be a good idea.
That did not age well
I'm watching it a year after you and evenmoreso. Nobody, but nobody is going to look at the UK and think, 'yes let's do that!'.
The EU says to UK: Bye-bye and don't forget to pay what you owe us and apropo trade deal, no cherry picking business here, you are the one leaving, NOT US!
a trade deal is cherry picking by definition
We owe you nothing nothing ..nothing at all......🤣
The UK is one of the biggest spenders in the EU, I hope you find out when we leave.
UK imports 48% of it's food. Most of it from the EU. Have fun without the free movement of goods and the trade deal :-)
The thing that I like is if the EU don't make a worthwhile deal with the UK they lose a huge market, we import 48% sounds good, the EU loses that market, whos crying now.
Speaking for the Netherlands: the only advocates I've heard, wanting a Dutch 'brexit', are part of a rather small (and shrinking) party; and I don't see any chance of any of the other core countries leaving unless UK does incredibly well (economically, socially and in convenience)
nobody here wants hard borders or remaking trade agreements (especially us Dutch folks), and even the convenience of a common currency is worth the large cost (switching back would also be a mayor and costly operation)
TL;DR fans of leaving the EU are a vocal minority outside the UK, with no real political or public support
You forgot to say how a crash of the UK economy would likely strengthen the EU.
This video shows us no sources and just states "facts" but without proving it
@@lr4109 debunking the left must be done
I actually laughed aloud when I saw the name of this video. would've been even more hilarious if the video had lasted 4 seconds: "no."
I'm glad a book like that is coming out. Should be really helpful
I’d like to know more about how cross border trade with the Channel Islands and Mann currently operates, given that they are not in the eu?
As if the EU only is about economics. UK get lost.
Remco Van Ek--- of course its not solely about economics, the EU is mostly about control of the rebels and get as much of their cash as we can.
With pleasure sooner the better
@macdougallargyll , don't worry. We'll cover the loses from the lack of UKs contributions with tariffs. Don't get me wrong, i have nothing against the UK and i really wish you guys never voted for Brexit, but such as it is the EU needs to punish you because it can't afford to have you have your cake and eat it too. You are either in and get all the wonderful benefits (of which there are many) or you are out and you pay to have the ones you want to keep.
Michael - the bliss of ignorance
Well said,
Yes the Union will collapse....the union of Scotland,England,Wales and Britain's last colony....Northern Ireland.
Kieran Greene we will finally get our Irish east Germany back
Soda King Good luck with the belligerent unionist population.
@@kethughes8266 ty were working on them ATM making some progress not a lot but some
Actually, we still have other colonies.. do your research before you insult one of the greatest nations on the planet thank you ;)
@@richarddawson2268 yes because being slave owners is something to be proud about in 2018
5:05 It might be a dangerous message for the EU, but it would also be a good message to some of the other countries, in particular those who are being adversely affected by being in the EU.
Very true, really like this point
Who is being adversely affected by being in the EU?
@@Nickbaldeagle02 All states being forced to accept foreign invaders or pay millions in fines.
In theory, France and Germany alone could be the only two countries left standing and still make for a significantly powerful trading block. Whether you still call it the EU or find another name is a detail. At more than $7 trillion in combined GDP, they would still be the third largest economy, after China and just above Japan, and more than double the UK. So yeah, the EU isn't going anywhere. As long as France and Germany stay together, every other country united with them -- Holland, Spain, Sweden, etc. -- is just icing on the cake.
Brexit is sinking the uk not the EU
@MsMissy even hard brexiteers are admitting that brexit is not going well. Be honest to yourself
We keep the lights on for Scotland!
It's the other way round 🤣
In the EU goods sent to England do not count as exports from the EU, but when England leaves those same goods would now count as exports. So yes, exports from the EU would seemingly increase after the UK leaves the EU, but it is technically a push. In fact, the amount of goods the UK purchases from the EU might go down a bit after they leave.
Yes
I love how the English people think they are so important. The UK was the only country not cooperating with the EU I think it's good they left. Just let them do their own thing on their island. Meanwhile we build an EU army.
There will be no EU army.
Let's hope so.
I think juncker said it the day after the referendum, "No" 😂😂😂
The point you make in this video concerning the message that Brexit can portray to other member states is very true and it is what many of us have been saying from the start. Putting politics aside, a UK-EU deal should be one of the easiest in history to establish because of how closely connected existing parameters are. The conflict however is solely due to political imagery, as it always has been. The situation at hand, for both the UK and the EU, is to determine what respective politicians value more: their political image or economical welfare.
There is also a serious misconception regarding those who claim that people who voted for Brexit did not vote for a "no deal Brexit". In reality, a "no deal Brexit" is the case of the UK reverting to WTO and that is, and always has been, the default position as a result of voting Leave. There was never a guarantee that a trade agreement would replace that scenario, albeit I'm sure everyone would agree that it would be a welcomed addition.
So long as political imagery is given precedence over economical welfare, neither side is going to reach an agreement with time to spare. The UK and the EU are both incredibly stubborn, and I suspect that this will remain the case right up until the very end when someone politicians will begin to bow to pressure.
GOtta love the "typo" at 0:32 - "Will the UK really be screwed after the UK leaves?".
LOL!!! Yes. The UK will be screwed after the UK leaves the EU.
Personally, I never really felt that the UK was a committed EU partner
What is not factored in, or even mentioned in the Podcast is the, as yet, unquantifiable extra expense that the U K will endure and the loss of high value labour especially in financial services if more move to Europe. These include 50 000 extra customs officers
Say cost of 50,000 a year, Their pensions when they retire.
The loss of prestige of your universities and drop in world rankings as E U funded research grants has dried up, and researchers follow the money. The correlation between rankings and foreign students cannot be overstated. The exclusion of tendering for E U and international infrastructural projects as a third country.
The cost to U K of trucks being parked up for hours on end, the delays in Europe at their customs. The loss of productivity due to lack of skilled foreign agricultural workers. Etc Etc.
All huge untangeable and unquantifiable.
I don't really see how the growth figures are relevant. Not saying they aren't, I just did not understand. Does anyone have a good answer?
0:20... a lot of people, should be revised to: a lot of Brexiteers :-).
The EU is a natural progression of European History. It will continue to thrive.
It has almost reached its zenith just like Nazi Germany did. The 3rd Reich designed the EU to replace itself. Isn't it time the EU became honest and called itself the 4th Reich. It is led by a country with no constitution, no freedom of speech, no free press and no referenda. Germany remains a nasty bossy entity that needs taking down!
What do you think britain should do with brexit I.e. hard brexit or soft brexit the deals and laws they should keep, change or get rid of all together it would be intresting to hear your opinion.
Hang on, the disadvantages that you mention for the EU are that the new calculations will give us different results! That's it! Sure, the numbers will show a higher average unemployment rate if the UK isn't included to pull that down a bit, but the number of actual unemployed people stays exactly the same! Who gives a flying monkey crap! Same thing with that average GDP per capita. Sure, the AVERAGE number may go down because of the new calculation, but nobody is actually earning less, are they? So who bloody cares.
Sure, we will have more trouble paying for large projects and that's exactly why we wanted the UK to stay. Not only to help, but also to profit from it. But guess what, we'll get those things done anyway. It may take a bit longer, but I doubt that anybody will even notice.
You know what, you guys go deal with no more access to that single market, not being included in the customs union and not living in a free trade area, and in the mean time the EU will deal with different numbers on our unchanged and exact same situation. Good luck.
This video and assessment is probably made by an optimistical English citizen. I'm sorry to dissapoint, but the EU has never been so united with Brexit. If EU would collapse, there would be a shift of balance in power overall in the world. Which USA, Russia and china wants. Russia could annex eastern european countries much easier without danger of trade embargos from the EU. USA, which England will become a puppet for after brexit, will want to divide and rule. And China could demand more in trade if every independent European country become rivals trying to get the best deals out of china. It's ironic really, how the patriotic English men will become the downfall of their own country they love, because I can only see England in decline after this. UK has hurt the EU with their departure since as a major European power they contributed a lot to the EU, but they hurt themselves a lot more by leaving it, and I wish their citizens the best of luck in the coming hard times.
Kitti Koen Why ENGLAND. Britain has four countries in it. You uneducated twits are truly pathetic
You just turned king of the wrong words.
Uneducated twits? Maybe it comes as a shock, but elsewhere in Europe, we don't learn about the different countries or provinces in UK. We learn about our own countries. I'm quite certain you wouldn't know about the minority issue in Germany, why Belgium has 3 language barriers, how many times France changed goverments since the great revolution, etc.. Unless you google it right now of course. To be frank, I know of Wales, Scotland and England. But I don't know the fourth country you mentioned, which is a surprise to me. Is northern Ireland considered Britain? And when I mention a Uk citizen, should i call them British or English (I don't even know if that matters, but apparently it does)? And last of all, apart from the english language, can someone as 'educated' as you speak any language besides English? Like German, French, Italian or Spanish? From my own experience, it seems that the average Uk citizen doesn't speak anything besides their own language.
Kitti Koen The whole Brexit thing is a very emotive subject.. weve all resorted to name calling. I don't fancy adding to it here! Just to say as a British citizen I've lived in Germany and Sweden and tried hard to learn both languages. Rare rare rare was the occasion anybody wanted to make polite conversation in their native language.. indeed.. as soon as they realised I was a native English speaker.. English was the language of choice.. but not MY choice.. I should point out. The main reason for the reply was just to point out that England, Scotland and Wales are all part of Britain. The UK includes Northern Ireland.
The Russians are coming, the Russians are coming, grab your children. Good grief...Everyone is treating Russia so bad they have reason to retaliate but why should they, they just want trade like any other state. “The most puzzling development in politics during the last decade is the apparent determination of Western European leaders to re-create the Soviet Union in Western Europe.” ― Mikhail Gorbachev
BREXIT MEANS BREXIT
okay byeeeeeee, we don't bother. at least if you were to ever come back you won't get ur opt outs anymore.
It depends if it starts a domino effect with Greece and Italy following. Even then it would carry on.
Thanks for the video, I like to know what products UK export to which country ?
Thanks 😀 that is a topic we might actually cover in an upcoming video
TLDR News thank you my friend.. I like to know what product UK export to which country? Especially used card and also like to what products are going to india ?
Prediction...After UK leave (at last!!) EU...amaybe around 2021-2022 we (europeans) will have a new treaty. For a more United union and more federaliist...Hope so and believe so...Some states may not want to follow but most will. EU is a State Continent and many of Europeans we want to live in Europe State as a whole at the regional nationalities. European citizen from Greek, Italian, France, Hungarian etc Region. Hope so.
Ioannis Petroulakis that great dream I wish Russia was part of it.
@Goat Man Check the comment section of his video about 'potential countries that may be the next to leave EU after Brexit'. What if your own government is inept and unreliable? Although that makes me understand more why the UK wants to leave... According to some of the comments, if true, without EU many European countries might just look like Latin America (like Argentina, cough, cough, one of the only countries that became a 'developing country' from a highly developed one). In this case, hopefully as one of the oldest working democracies and the founder of the Westminster parliamentary system, UK wasn't in that position. However, for those who live in a country whose national government is 'a joke' and 'skeptical' (which god, happens much more often than we think) they would really want institutions to 'oversee' their own national institutions. Drawing from the population of the entire EU the current EU institution isn't doing bad, comparably.
David Freeman The anwer is, in a nutshell, once we get the EU out of our faces, we can start sorting out our corrupt gov’t AND, the parasite remoaners. Sounds good to me.
Err no . Britain might
Harold Potsdamer We vote to leave the EU and now we are enemies to be destroyed you make our point for us sad really sad
Nope
Tbh, the way the attempts at having a deal are going - every offer being denied, not wanting us to successfully leave, etc - imo it shows why we needed to leave, even if it damages the economy, the UK public needs full control of that.
Do your unemployment numbers in the UK include the zero contract hours (which the EU bans btw)?
You seemed focused on the economics of Brexit, and nothing else. The Brits tend to be the smart ones, the common sense, fair ones. So when it comes to the political glue that holds the EU together, and the direction of policy, the UK is a shining light together with like minded allies that try to halt the EU’s plans. So this works in the EU’s favour, they can push through changes much more easily without opposition. However, for example many don’t want mass immigration, an EU army, an all powerful EU President, further expansion and integration. And without the UK, they either need some or all members to pay more. So the economy is an issue, yes. But its the politics and principles of sovereign nations that will tear the EU apart.
The Captain it's very foolish to focus solely on economic impact
when GB leaves more countries will follow
@martin corderoy The positive is all the EU provides and the people do not see as they take it for granted. They will look in surprise when the car industry leaves the country and say why?
Why would the European Union collapse without the UK? The member states are still better together than separately.
I never felt the importance of the UK in the Union anyway.
They were not in the Euro, they were not in Schengen space. They don’t block transportation geographically. Maybe the net contribution will be missed in the EU budget but it’s nothing alarming.
Actually, now that they went from partners to competitors it’s time to bring more jobs to mainland Europe by moving AIRBUS, MONETARY SERVICES, EASYJET, etc. to remaining member countries.
After the referendum, when the results where in, if I remember correctly Cameron was in the news saying something along the line; now that the people have spoken, a comission will have to sort out what a brexit means for the UK.
So my question would be, if one does not know or have a somewhat clear picture of the ramifications of a Brexit, isn't that a bit problematic for the referendum in general?
What Cameron said was pretty much that we know this vote was made without relevant information.
Shouldn't a comission had their saying before a vote took place to atleast give a semblance of an objective information source?
Magnus Sundqvist It wasn’t because the remoaners were convinced they were going to win, just like they’re convinced Britain will collapse when it leaves the EU. But they know best don’t they.
Comparing average growth rates across the EU with and without the UK isn't meaningful. The important question is how prosperous individual people are, which a large scale average is incapable of representing.
The U.K. Is in trouble,
Tim Hunt How did we manage before the EU ?
Oh yes I remember, we ruled half the globe and traded freely with every country.
@wishfix not in 1972 you didn't!
Eoin English oh yes I did lol
@wishfix you sure didn't! Most of your colonies had dumped you out by that stage- tired of being leached off and exploited. You love inviting yourself into other people's but cry and complain when they come to visit the motherland.... funny that isn't it;)
Eoin English I was only 7 yrs old in '72 if I was older then things might be alot different now lol
More like UK will collapse with North Ireland leaving due to border issue with EU and Scottland having another referendum both likely in case of a no deal Brexit.
Lol. Exactly what could happen. The SNP will wait for Brexit to fail and for ppl to suffer. Then demand a referendum on its independence. No more United Kingdom. Big price to pay.
Not when Northern Ireland are Unionists they won't. And on the issue with Scotland. It's down to Nicola Sturgeon to call for that referendum. But with Scotland backing the Union, i highly doubt we'll see it any time soon. But then again, i could be wrong. Politics is a daft game sometimes.
And the British government would give Sturgeon her referendum. It's entirely up to sturgeon at this point. She won't call one at the moment, because she'll lose. It's all about timing and if the Scottish people want to leave the United Kingdom and join another political Union in the European Union.
Just taking into consideration their share of the national debt should turn them off. Then add passports, currency and the like then make your guess on who would leave the UK.
"North Ireland" lol
This person has no idea about the UK!
This video is exactly the echo of some news in the British newspapers, when after a big storm on the "English" channel, they said in big uppercase : "Europe remains isolated" ! This was some 50 years ago... It seems no change in some people's mind frame has taken place since ! Sad but true... 😞
Explained very well.
Nothing will change except all the scaremongers will be out of a job!
I'm more interested in our sovereignty. Democracy has no price.
YES
The Disjoined Kingdom, for sure
Hope so !
All empires collapse and crash in the end.
GregAVFC, as a generalisation your comment may well hold water but it doesn't pass scrutiny. Being the clever old Country that Great Britain is/was, we turned our Empire into a Commonwealth. That's one of the reasons that makes me believe that the UK will prosper when freed from a rigid authoritarian organisation which is the EU.
Greg AVFC 69/70 Jones True; even the largest empires fade. UK nor EU will be an exception. The biggest question is, when?
Random R2DA Guard Panther it doesn't have features of an empire though
Not true, they evolve for better and worse. Brexit is a good thing for us Scandinavians for example
I'm still waiting for the collapse of China.
the right questin is "will UK colaps after brexit?"
Whenever I witness a young Brit talking in depth about politics I see a brighter, better future for the UK.
England and Wales need to get rid of their last vestiges of servile feudalism and anti-modernism before the UK is allowed to rejoin. Its institutions are outdated and they create out-dated politics.
I keep laughing these islanders really live in a parallel reality within their island believing than the UK is very important for the world. Sometimes one really feel sorry for them, because it is the media and a bunch of interested stakeholders fooling the people. When reality is quality of life in UK is really low, so many people working full-time just to earn enough to cover living expenses, people who can barely afford a shit house, have one of the highest levels of poverty in Europe but well that they believe the UK is one of the best countries in the world and are very important for the world
It's 2022, and it's clear that, no, the EU isn't collapsing, however the UK is.
It’s 2021
@@noid78787 I said 2022 because this comment was meant for future viewers so that they could know who’s collapsing and who’s not.
@@candyneige6609 I doubt either are gonna collapse unless the SNP gets a referendum which is unlikely and for the EU it isn’t in quite as much danger of dissolution as the UK but the dangers of Italy, Sweden and The Netherlands leaving The EU aren’t as unlikely as it may seem not to mention Poland and Hungary could be kicked out which could lead to the EU being scrapped
@@noid78787 Italy fears that if they left the EU, their country will once again split apart, and Sweden fears that if they left the EU, the northern parts of it’s country will break off from Sweden, as for the Netherlands, they fear that if they left the EU, Dutch Flanders will leave the Netherlands to join Belgium, so these 3 countries have no real intention of leaving the EU, as for Poland and Hungary though, they have little to no chance of being kicked out because there's no rule nowhere of kicking out a country out of the EU, and even if they did get knocked out, it’s a big win for independentist movements in Poland and Hungary because they can now get what they wanted as Poland and Hungary splits apart just like the UK did years earlier.
In conclusion, eurosceptic parties are just secretly independentist parties wanting their independence by leaving the EU first to promote independentism so that they could then get independence and then finally rejoin the EU.
@@candyneige6609 I said it was unlikely
I,am Brit and I have nodoubt the EU will survive the UK leaving but it is the first nail in the coffin for the EU unless they make serious reforms to the EU they will self destruct eventually
@@melvinbeck5047 3rd nail, not the first.
1. Countries withdraw their application to join the EU (Iceland, Switzerland)
2. Greece Debt Crises and lingering Portugal Debt Crises.
3. Brexit
4. Talks by several members states of leaving the EU (Netherlands, Sweden, Finland, Denmark, Germany, Italy, France)
We can only hope
What I am mostly interested about, is what happens with all the pension I paid in the uk for 10 years. How am I getting the money back. Am I getting in from the uk, will ot be added to my pension in my home country... am I getting any of it at all?
Point 1. If we have to pay £9billion a year for free trade, then it isn't free is it? And as we HAVE to pay that money, and as we can't be a member or trade without paying it, then it becomes a pretty expensive way of doing trade. It has been calculated that trading under WTO rules would be a lot cheaper than having to pay £9billion a year to Brussels. Point 2. There is no such thing as an EU grant or subsidy for the UK, for the simple reason that it is just a bit of our own money coming back to us. Net recipients of EU money receive grants and subsidies (from us and others), but we simply get a bit of our own money back. We really don't need Brussels telling us how to spend our money or how to run our country, or how powerful our vacuum cleaners are allowed to be. If you don't control your own laws, your own currency, and your own borders, then you aren't a free country, you are just a satellite taking orders from elsewhere. The EU is a political project founded on deception, and with the specific aim of becoming The United States of Europe, dominated by Germany, its most powerful 'region.' We were taken in on the back of a pack of lies, and have been kept in ever since by corrupt and deceitful politicians, who use smoke and mirrors to tell us that we are an independent sovereign nation, whereas in reality we are nothing more than a satellite of the EU. Malta has more proportionate voting power than the UK has.
Well said Alan, at last someone who can see beyond the rose tinted spectacles that most of the remainers seem to wear.
Alan Cadwallender - "A closer and close union" it says the first paragraph of the first page of the treaty of Rome from 1958. So everyone knew that the EU and its
predecessors were a political organisation from day one. It might be that British politician have lied about it to their voters, but this has nothing to do with the EU.
The EU includes a single market and a customs union and this is very different from a free trade treaty. To say it in simple terms the benefit of the EU single market and customs union amounts to about 100 billion pound per year for the UK. So a few billion to keep the institutions running that work for all 28 is one tenth of the benefit.
The UK depends on the EU for its exports as 48% are directly exports in the EU27 and 16% over EU trade treaties. This means that 64% of the exports depend on the EU. As the UK is leaving the export economy will get a negative supply shock that means that that good become less competitive as they are slower delivered, have move costs attached and a long paper trail. So business even Today start to replace suppliers from the UK with others in the EU 27 as they like it simple, in time with no added paper work.
A lot of businesses are only in the UK because they are part of the EU single market and customs union and the UK provided the easiest way. So they will stay in the EU single market and customs union if they have to leave in part or as a whole. They want to sell to the largest single market in the world.
@@smudgersmith4306I have to agree with you on this
yes you idiot but uk gets that money back 90% of that money gets back in funding you morone i am glad that you pricks englisht people is leaving ...
UK leaving the EU could well be a good thing for the EU, a good time to take stock and plan, the UK its bad leaving but only because the UK has been incompetent in handling the leaving of the EU, buy the way I'm Pro EU, but I am firm believer you make your bed you lie in it.
Peter Atkin . So you believe in Brexit and you are pro EU? How are these two things compatible?
No sorry, you do not necessarily believe in Brexit, but you are okay with the consequences elicited by any kind of Brexit. Are you sure?'
Dillon Blair am I the only one who can't understand how Britain leaving the EU is gonna benefit the EU ?
Soda King the benefit is that other countries might leave as well. Hopefully Sweden will be able to leave in the future.
fleetinga what I said was Benefit the EU other country's leaving will Benefit themselves but not the EU itself lmao
Depends on how seriously you see it.
I think If then Britain and Germany would have to leave the EU that might be an end.
Can you answer will UK be able to contribute to EU research and science projects if we leave the EU and what is impact on science for both sides
Prophethy: The EU will not survive ...with or without brexit!😎
It’s just nationalist pride talking. What Brexit has done is teach other EU countries what will happen if you choose to leave the EU. The chaos and mayhem in the UK has scared other EU member states to stay. Now the EU is very united and the UK is very divided. Brexit has thrown the uk into chaos and crippled the government in the uk. Whereas in the EU, they speak with one voice. So to sum it up, Brexit has made the EU stronger then ever because nobody wants to end up like the UK.
Inequality leads to secession John. Remember that.
Yeah right after Brexit, similar idiots started popping up in France, Netherlands and elsewhere. Now except for the AfD which got votes for another reason, the rest have disappeared.
Jan Schlossar
Instead of coming here and reaping our benefits. Why not ask your own government to adopt that same approach? No. Instead you moan to our governement.
Well you forget one ting. British citizens search and land jobs in the EU and they will be booted out in return. Considering the trade off - your economy will come off the worse, not to mention the severe weakening of your influence in Europe.
Mirrorwarrior >> the EU states are facilitating the citizenship applications for those who wish to stay, providing they have the means to support themselves.
I sincerely hope so.