3 ways to make better decisions -- by thinking like a computer | Tom Griffiths
Vložit
- čas přidán 22. 05. 2024
- If you ever struggle to make decisions, here's a talk for you. Cognitive scientist Tom Griffiths shows how we can apply the logic of computers to untangle tricky human problems, sharing three practical strategies for making better decisions -- on everything from finding a home to choosing which restaurant to go to tonight.
Check out more TED Talks: www.ted.com
The TED Talks channel features the best talks and performances from the TED Conference, where the world's leading thinkers and doers give the talk of their lives in 18 minutes (or less). Look for talks on Technology, Entertainment and Design -- plus science, business, global issues, the arts and more.
Follow TED on Twitter: / tedtalks
Like TED on Facebook: / ted
Subscribe to our channel: / ted - Věda a technologie
You cannot control the outcome, just processes. And as long you use the best process, you did your best!
You probably dont care but does someone know a way to get back into an Instagram account..?
I stupidly forgot the login password. I appreciate any tricks you can offer me
@Finnegan Eric instablaster =)
@Andrew Randall i really appreciate your reply. I got to the site through google and I'm trying it out atm.
I see it takes quite some time so I will reply here later when my account password hopefully is recovered.
@Andrew Randall it did the trick and I now got access to my account again. I'm so happy!
Thanks so much you really help me out!
@Finnegan Eric Happy to help =)
The three principles are:
1. 37 % 0:34 and 10:41
2. Explore/Exploit 3:42
3. Last accessed 6:17
Ain't to understand: what is the relationship among them.
These ideas are used in computer science and are all supposed to make it easier and quicker to decide or find something.
@@mrtnhrng
So which principle i need to use to choose which one is my life partner
the prince “Explore/exploit”, if you’re in an open position with some time. Maybe not “37%”, I feel like strictly waiting until you‘re at least 37 might lead to frustration. Honestly, if it’s not a bitter ex and you’re looking to choose soon, “last accessed” might be the way to go... but this might be a moment to think less like a computer, but to feel like a romantic ;)
@testing chanel: they are just part of a list of acquisitions in decision theory that come from other realms, chiefly computer science. They do not compose a structured system, and they are not "better than the rest". To see a fuller number, read the book (Algorithms to Live By, 2016)
What I found difficult in making decisions, particularly the complicated ones, is that we often do not know what all the game pieces are and the boundary of the gameboard.
You need some level of "let it go", or you never be satisfied, even if the decision was the best possible. It's about perception e accepting
Great talk.
As a Computer Scientist I too approach life problems with logic. However, having now read 37% of the greatest books on Psychology and Human Behaviour, I now just go with my gut.
Can you share the titles of some of those 37% books that you've read?
I'll save you some time. Just read these, especially "The Power of Now".
How to Win Friends & Influence People - Dale Carnegie
The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People - Stephen R. Covey
The Archetypes and the Collective Unconscious - Carl Jung
The Power of Now - Eckhart Tolle
12 Rules for Life: An Antidote to Chaos - Jordan B. Peterson
Sorry - "Psychology and Human Behaviour"?! Could not you read decision making textbooks, along if not instead?
Tim, yes "The Power of Now". Eckhart Tolle, Thich Nhat Hanh, Wayne Dyer, Deepak Chopra, Ram Dass, just to name a few authors off the top!!!
Tim thanks
Worth watching video.
The message given is:
Do your work effectively but optimize it, never do anything whatever gives you hard time to solve rather take your chances and let it go of other things and relax your mind.
The value of information increases the more opportunities you're going to have to use it. Holy cow, how simple yet I never thought of it explicitly like that.
I've had to go through that kind of dealing with perfectionism. Now I don't tend to get as mad when stuff goes less than perfect if I know I've done a good job.
Read the book "Algorithms to Live By" if you are interested in any of these. Highly recommended.
The speaker is one of the authors of the book
Ha when listening to this ...I was thinking Algorithms to live by
Thank you
thanks sir
Very insightful!
"You cannot control outcomes. You can control processes".
“When someone makes a decision, he is really diving into a strong current that will carry him to places he had never dreamed of when he first made the decision.” Paulo Coelho
finally someone that is giving real answers and not just a motivational speech :)
The Book “Algorithms to Live By” is absolutely _superb_ read it if you don’t want to be a “victim” of poor decision-making.
Thanks
I like the way he sounded natural in his presentation. Making use of less technical terms (like strategy in place of algorithm) to explain computer science principles in the simplest way.
I just love this channel so much.
Thank you
OMG! This talk was enlightening to me 🤩
That was a realy good talk
Ty so much .. u will never know how much u just helped me
Brilliant, it's a very good talk.
Great video. I learned a lot from watching it.
Great talk. Going with your gut all the time is not smart and I have seen people who run on emotion all the time causing not only harm to themselves but to others. The optimal solution is also bad since nothing is optimal in absolute terms. What is optimal for you now is most probably sub-optimal for someone else and actually sub-optimal for your later in life. The strategies for the possible and most practical is the best life has to offer. Everything in moderation and nothing to excess is a good time proven algorithm especially as you get older and have less time to waste. Best is the enemy of good enough. Having too many options is like having no option or being mathematically guaranteed to arrive at the worst option since you cannot be rational with information overload.
Again, this is a very good talk.
"You fail most of the time. But that's the best that you can do."
so cold . haha , that part tickled me
Great talk
Of course, basic logic should be applied to life decision. Or, put it the other way, bottom lines/basic requirements. When buying a house, your budget, value (housing price), school district (since people tends to like good school district), distance to work place, your taste of house style, neighborhood, locations, etc., always serve as a guideline. When going to restaurant, your health conditions will dictate first.
After/within all these logic/guidelines, human beings have something called feelings/mood. The important thing is that if you do not go with your feelings ever, you will most likely feel unhappy anyways.
I believe that this (feeling/mood/happiness) is something computer will really have tough time to catch up with, if ever, since it is really difficult to quantify, even statistically.
The topic is interesting.
👍
Algorithms to Live By is written by him and offers these types of solutions in various other areas of life.
Thanks
so amazing
Funny talk, thank you!
It's very good I injoy everything in this.
This is a good TED Talk
Awesome !!
Was a very informative talk
Exactly shat i needed
Our gut and intuition - PRICELESS
شكرا للمترجمين
I like this guy. He's clearly an introvert and that story about his wife was just so precious
haha , it really was
A random pile of paper is the best example of organised things in the order of how recently you've used it from top to bottom.Damn!
Fantastic
Liked the Explore/exploit strategy
good job
If I LOVE this video what else will I like?
(the Ted-ed How to manage time I also love) 💕
Does he have a book? Would love to read a more indepth version of this very small glimpse.
powerful.
Wow that got super deep
Apparently, this Ted Talk was really useful.
4:45, 6:28, 7:50, 8:57
The “last accessed” strategy doesn’t work w/ sentimental items you bring out rarely to feel intense emotion
You see, we humans have feelings, and we relate those feelings to our objects that we own, thats why it’s hard to choose which one to keep, for me it’s not just a matter of space or organizing
Author of one of the best books ever
I like this.
That is a good talk
The magic 8 ball works fine
Damn, I like it, I always trying to think like this
Big fan Tom
Gotta love how that food imaged was sourced by "Insatiable Munchies"
for computational decisicions you need data, previous best practices and council, sometimes both ways are good and it is even WURSCHT which you way you choose.
Brilliant👏
He isn't boring his optimal
PREACH ON BROTHER
what about follow your gut? Served me well so far
Good luck
Interesting points... "Just as being in motion is the test of life, so being stationary is the test of death and when a moving object stops it retrogrades. To stop means to fall. When a tree stops giving fruit it decays." ~ Baha'i Faith
The talk was great. I don't understand the 37%rule. But the explore-exploit trade-off was a good advice. And the last accessed principle was a bit obvious. The failing most of the time, and that's the best that people can do thing was a bit cold and a computer like.
lol , that part tickled me
I heard of a method to reduce your wardrobe by hanging all your clothes backwards, then only hang it normally after you wear it. After 1 year, remove all the clothing that’s still hanging backwards since it was unused through all the seasons.
Good
That's what im doing everyday, my mayjor is CS :))
Watching video about how to make better decisions
*Leave homework*
*only applies if you don't have big preferences or obvious priorities*
Brilliant! Next: ways to make better decisions - by thinking like an economist. Will probably be a lot longer.
"You can't control the outcomes, just the processes" :)))
I'm only 37% satisfied with this talk..
This talk is not even 3.7% of the book
The best time to watch a video about making better decisions is right now...
While I'm watching CZcams videos when I'm supposed to be doing homework.
37% happens to be 1/e. How is this optimal % derived?
Deciding on whether to watch this video till the end or not..
This talk makes sense because this guy actually is a robot.
The one AND ONLY formula
to subscribe to , to live by, to
learn in life is: " To every action there is an equal and
opposite reaction!" Making, obtaining massive wealth is
NOT success!
Peace and Love
What is the equal and opposite reaction to me taking a walk?
Maybe being rational is to admit that there is no flawless decision.
Nice
He hasn't learned to follow his heart in making his decisions. And he hasn't learned to make a decision without thinking about 100 possible alternatives that might be out there. Usually two or three alternatives pops into your mind when you are going to do something, and you go with one of them. You pick the alternative that makes you happy and/or what you feel like doing in the moment. Regarding buying a property or a flat, you decide what you want to buy and where you want to buy it, roughly. Then you just go looking at different one's until you come to the place where you feel at home (the feeling it like: Yes, this is it! I wanna live here. This is mine!). You just know that this is the right place for you to live. Off course it has to be within your means, therefore you don't go looking at those properties or flats you can't afford to buy. Keep looking until you just know it is the right place for you. Be confident that you will find it. Your thinking is important. It might take some time, but you will find it.
Your feelings will tell you what you want, if you learn how to listen to them. That is why it is recommended by many to: Follow you heart. What do I choose? Follow your heart. Just like you did when you chose your wife. I assume you followed your heart then, and not your intellect. This goes for almost anything else you have to choose from in life too. Trying to do it like a computer would do it will just make the decisions harder and it will take much more time than necessary. And I think it will more often than not be the wrong choice for you. Your feelings will tell you what you want.
Regarding choosing what items to keep if you don't have enough space for everything, this might be the best question you can ask yourself: Which items is it that I can not live without? And if you have space for more than that, ask yourself which items could I be needing the most in the future. And don't forget that items can be fixed and they can reappear as a totally new item if you are a creative thinker and a bit handy.
@Annie: in short, you have missed the point completely. For example, individual decisions are not collective decisions, or decisions for a community. And you miss the goal of efficiency. This is decision theory, and organizational theory, not the art of listening to hunches, which pertains to a parallel realm.
And, "recognizing hunches" is a subset of decision theory, it's part of it.
And, I really hope you are personally acquainted with him to make a statement such as, quote, «He hasn't learned to follow his heart in making his decisions»
37% rule has a flaw - it makes 2 assumptions:
1. you **don’t** have time to consider 100 houses.
2. you **do** have time to consider 37 houses.
So what if you have 1000 houses? then the rule has to be the 3.7% rule by necessity
wow
But... if you are on holidays, and don't explore, because you don't have much time there... does that not lessen your chance of learning something new/ developing your knowledge of the place? I know you could easily go to a bad restaurant etc... but isn't that what choice is all about?
Can anyone tell me the conclusion of this talk? I shut it off after 4:22 which is 37% of this video
Don’t think, just feel.
37% explore phase/exploit phase (eg. bb & older ppl eating, looking for room) think like computer and optimize ur decision
oooo fun
*I am learning now how trying to optimize decisions made in a busy adult life can be non-sustainably exhausting. Sure, taking some time upfront to optimize your habits is pretty effective, and sometimes your Average Joe gets so blatantly cheated on things that taking even a second to think about what you're doing can reap easy benefits, but many problems are both infrequently countered and infinitely complex, making the ideal solution... elusive?*
The voice of this cyborg is so articulated.
Magic conch says “37%”
Ohh, great
10:48
Does he relate to Andy Griffiths the writer?
rebooted computer, was thinking about this question exactly, open youtube, here is this video, what!?
Great... Now I know this and won't be able to unknow it!
However what cannot be unknown can be forgotten :-))
oh magic conch shell, what do we need to do?
this guys brain is HUUUGGEEE!!!
Wait till you read the book. Really incredible effort.
we are a living computer!!
He looks the same as CMilk86 youtuber
The number 37 and 73 are special for another reason that was once mentioned on The Big Bang....
Moment 37 is another
always pick B in multiple choice questions.
I think C is the most often answer.
As an educator, I can confirm that the best option selection in creating most modern-day standardized multiple choice tests is made using random number generators so that all the alternatives in a given exam paper have almost equal frequencies to be the correct choice.
@@saumitrachakravarty you really sound like a teacher
Your brain has two sides. The should I side and the should I not side.
Your heart contains similar cells to brain cells but is not divided.
Therefore it is never in conflict.
Don’t think. Focus on your heart, touch the area of your heart and ask the question.
There you will find the answer that is right for you.
Bilal Hassani my life
The decision to laugh politely seems to have been influenced before the talk.
Without failure, you wouldn't have the incentive to succeed.