WATCH ME LIVE ► / ludwig follow me on twitter ► / ludwigahgren follow me on instagram ► / ludwigahgren join my subreddit ► / ludwigahgren edited by: / politesl #ludwig #jschlatt #dealornodeal
@@Limon4ik- hyuck let's pretend poor people don't exist so we can feel better about ourselves. if you think your mom saying "i love you" is worth more than 10k you're either rich or 12.
@@auto144p6 lmfao bruh why would you make mizkif duck and change the card instead of just telling ludwig the number to pick y'all are so confident about random conspiracies that u put 0 thought to
Yes but he was trying to point to the $100 (last burrito on the left. He was confused on which side. You can see him switch to point to the $10k burrito for a split second in the cut. When he points to the $0.01 burrito it also looks like he’s pointing to a bag but he’s trying his best to point at the burritos not bags.
@@Hankjmo There was a 1/16 chance that his original guess was $10000. This means that there was a 15/16 (94%) chance of the bag that was still up there had $10000. It makes sense to choose the opinion that has a 94% chance of having $10000.
Ludwig is so good with his bits! I don't know if it was pre-planned or if he thought of it on the fly after the first phone call and then decided to make a thing out of it on subsequent calls, but you can totally see him mute/hang on the second call. Completely willing to make himself the butt of the joke for the viewers, while simultaneously making a basic narrative arc people can get behind and root for. Pretty damn smooth.
It’s not the Monty hall problem. The MOST KEY part of the famous Monty hall problem is that the host knows where everything is and therefore, the host will always knowingly reveal a sheep and so switching gives you 2/3 chances of winning. But in deal or no deal, the cases are exposed randomly and the 10k case can be revealed in the process. There is no guarantee because of the randomness and so the odds remain 1/16.
When he was offered the 800 he had an expected value of 1600 or so based on the remaining choices, so he made the right move before even factoring in his mom (who definitely loves him I swear) Even when offered one grand, his expected value was still around 1500. However, when offered 2500, his expected value was at 2700 or so, and it would be a safe bet to take.
For reference, First offer: 6:37 Second offer: 9:10 Third offer: 14:26 There were two more offers after this but they were also really close to the expected value and I think Lud wanted to play it out to the end for the content anyway
I mean I'd say the deal should be lower considering you are guaranteed safety. The final offer of 5500 between 1,000 and 10,000 was the "right choice" though, only denied due to Lud's exceedingly high ego and belief the universe works for him. It payed off, sadly.
The change in the end was actually the mathematically correct decision. Edit: My bad, this is sadly not analogois to the "Monty Hall Problem". I would still recommend everybody to look this problem up, it is pretty interesting.
true. the chance of picking the $10 000 in the beginning is 1/16 or 6.25%, so the chance of picking the $10 000 in the end is 6.25% if you stay or 93.75% if you switch. Edit: this is wrong, see below
Technically it's not. This is not like Monty Hall problem, in which all the computations are based on the fact that the host eliminates the bags by knowing in advance. In this situation it's the same to keep or change since Ludwig chose randomly.
@@giuros_ isn’t it the same thing though? doesn’t matter if the host knows which bags to eliminate in this case, in the end it was still the same outcome with just two bags left and one of them containing the 10k.
Technically it's not. This is not like Monty Hall problem, in which all the computations are based on the fact that the host eliminates the bags by knowing in advance. In this situation it's the same to keep or change since Ludwig chose randomly.
Dude this video was so insane it made me like Ludwig so much more and he was already becoming one of my favorite CZcamsrs. Been watching all his vids. Thanks for switching over to the platform!!!
Mom knew the math, the odds are stacked that you need to swap there. The 8 bag was taken at a 1/16 chance of being the 10k while the 13 bag was selected 1/2.
mathmatically you should always switch at the end. In Simple terms when you first pick you have a 1/16 chance of picking right meaning theres a 6% chance you picked right. Leaving a 94% chance the 10k is on the board. If theres still the 10k left at the end that means theres a 94% chance its in the case you didnt choose.
this math doesn’t make sense. There’s a 1/16 chance that the 10k is in any of the bags at the start. As the numbers go off the board the probability changes for every bag. At the end there’s only two bags left so there’s still just a 50% chance for either to be right at that point. You can’t transfer the probability from the first guess cause that is no longer relevant
Ludwig is a character who maxed out charisma and luck.
He has to have a bad trait in order to max those stats hence the chest hole
But not height
Nah he’s just a character with a wife who has a boyfriend
I've always thought that he was like a 10 on charisma and a 7 on luck
And he didn’t load 100% so he has a hole in his chest
"You are a gambler Ludwig" that was like a movie dialogue.
"You're a wizard Harry."
@@John-wb4uv 😭😭😭😭
Exactly what i thought
Kenny Rogers
his mom saying i love you back is worth more than the 10k , feelsstrongman
No!? Do u know how many gummy bears you can buy with 10k
you could buy a new mom with 10k
no it aint you never been poor
This comment was wholesome but you guys came and ruined it all
@@Limon4ik- hyuck let's pretend poor people don't exist so we can feel better about ourselves. if you think your mom saying "i love you" is worth more than 10k you're either rich or 12.
Now we know why he’s so good at everything: he gets it from his mother
I think you misspelled, here I’ll fix it “Now we know why he’s so good at gambling” :)
I don't know about *everything,* I mean have you seen the ludlocke
Yes
Sureb ookok
I owe it all to my mother ~ Ludwig & Taehyung
Can we just appreciate the fact that Ludwig basically trusted what his mom said the entire show and won the $10K
It's an educational stream teaching kids to trust their moms
@@groses ik, I don't get why people are taking it seriously
@@groses was it?
Lud really does have the plot armor for these kind of things
@@simon9978h it was streamed live
@@rocketeditor no, really? 🤡
@@Kuroi_Kyoryu he was responding to someone else, hence why he tagged them in his reply. How stupid are you? 🤡🤡
@@jorgeatayde3485 chris D:
Ludwig has plot armor like game of thrones
"Subathon"
"Oh yeah, he still rich as hell" I love miz and lud.
lol no reply?
Only 1 reply?
Only 2 replies?
Only 3 replies?
Only 4 replies?
So he really wasn't lying when he said his mom is good at picking cases.
Lmfao
that is literally the smartest mom of all time
This litterly spoiled it
@@jtbunker2786 not at all
@@jtbunker2786 why would you scroll through the comments before watching? Comments will spoil things 100% of the time
@@MellonyBear i didnt this comment is on the screen when you click the video
@@jtbunker2786 next we're playing 'are you smarter than a 5th grader'. Your odds aren't very good but i wish you luck
I feel like Schlatt can make breathing funny
yes
well he did do the funny mic a lot in his smp days, that counts
He already has lmao
@@Slyuniform what
Dont say that on twitter or else people will throw a pity fit
The funniest part of this segment is that QT almost won 5k USD but ended up winning 1 dollar haha
Is there a vid of that
I don’t know how, but Lud wouldn’t be Lud if he wasn’t able to win the $10k.
it was staged. its why miz has to duck below the camera for 40 seconds before revealing. still entertaining i guess
@@auto144p6 it wasnt
@@Patrick-ny5bm oookay
@@auto144p6 lmfao bruh why would you make mizkif duck and change the card instead of just telling ludwig the number to pick y'all are so confident about random conspiracies that u put 0 thought to
@@auto144p6 Why would Miz just give 10k to Ludwig?
2:13 miskif points at the right bag when saying "it goes from 10000 dollars"
Yes but he was trying to point to the $100 (last burrito on the left. He was confused on which side. You can see him switch to point to the $10k burrito for a split second in the cut. When he points to the $0.01 burrito it also looks like he’s pointing to a bag but he’s trying his best to point at the burritos not bags.
@@jamietomas1550 I don’t care it’s still funny to blame Miz😂
@@jamietomas1550 2:21 he knows where the side with the penny is he wasn’t confused
@@lynked8866 uh you dumb bro? He got mixed up left and right
I knew in my heart when Ludwig's mother finally said "I love you, too" that he had won it all.
"I'm not fighting for the money I'm fighting for her to say i love you"
*"gonna take a while"*
the true winner was lud’s mom. she should go out and buy a lottery ticket lmao
fr sis got luck
It's always statistically better to switch at the end
@@gyroninjamodder but she also got so many low numbers and ended up picking the 3rd highest option out of like 20
@@gyroninjamodder please explain
@@Hankjmo There was a 1/16 chance that his original guess was $10000. This means that there was a 15/16 (94%) chance of the bag that was still up there had $10000. It makes sense to choose the opinion that has a 94% chance of having $10000.
Boys he just doesn’t miss
Probably the funniest joke of the video
Lud “bizou mama”
Esfand “Is that Cantonese?”
bisous maman*
Baguette
@@Igneeka so lud is french ?? cuz I am
@@martinrodrigues3278 His mom is (I think) and he does speak French pretty well
@@martinrodrigues3278 yeah his mom is French and lud is completely bilingual because of that even though he obviously didn’t grow up in France
@@spencerturner4490 completely?
Ludwig's hair makes up half of his height
Heh Yee
Haha, get it because he’s short
U have achieved
*_c o m e d y_*
Winner’s POV
Hi verified user
@@malachithompson5662 I think you mean cool mark
Stanz?
I meant the check mark
“We’re going to need to run some ads” “this whole thing is an ad” XD
when schlatt started crying 💀
Why are you crying?
@@Slyuniform you will never be successful
“Why?”
“Subathon”
“Oh yeah I forgot about that…. he’s still rich as hell”
I watched the video too! 🤯
No seriously though
@@AyKay69420 still funny, no need for the hate 💀 sounds like someone needs some time out of the house
I watched the video too! 🤯
No seriously though
"Well,you are a gambler,Ludwig" is probably the best advice his mom could give lol
Mom saying "I love you" back is worth more than the 10k. I Love you MOM!
Ludwig is so good with his bits! I don't know if it was pre-planned or if he thought of it on the fly after the first phone call and then decided to make a thing out of it on subsequent calls, but you can totally see him mute/hang on the second call. Completely willing to make himself the butt of the joke for the viewers, while simultaneously making a basic narrative arc people can get behind and root for. Pretty damn smooth.
I think he just fat fingered the mute button
Ludwig and his mom are the perfect duo
Luwdig was the monty hall and his mom knew the right strat
It took one woman to topple probability by solving the Monty Hall problem after all
It’s not the Monty hall problem. The MOST KEY part of the famous Monty hall problem is that the host knows where everything is and therefore, the host will always knowingly reveal a sheep and so switching gives you 2/3 chances of winning. But in deal or no deal, the cases are exposed randomly and the 10k case can be revealed in the process. There is no guarantee because of the randomness and so the odds remain 1/16.
I wasn’t expecting him to win because he didnt clickbait how he won 10k
show was rigged
@@auto144p6 how
@@samf9693 look when he announces the last bag.
@@auto144p6 he ducked under the camera? Like he does everytime? Also why would they rig it FOR ludwig
@@cryed0 content?? holy shit youre 12
mizkif litterally pointed at the begining where the $10,000K dollars was lmaaaao. 2:13
Ludwig's Mom is so goated.
seeing mizzy go from smiling to concern at 22:55 has me crying
Ludwig's mom passed down her luck stat as if it was the "one for all" quirk
We got a big crowd tonigh: *switches to only schlatt smiling*
19:56 I'm an actual child for finding this funny lol
phat mizzy
Loving the tags lmao
Luds luck is so high
He maxed out luck and thiccness, beat the game, and is competent the side quests
This is a very poggers moment
I honestly thought this was a Mizkif video because of that intro
It is a OTK video
Who else thought at the end he would say,"Thats why you always listen to your mother."
My mom and I used to love watching deal or no deal and I haven’t seen a contestant have a game like this
When Schlatt is here you know its a good video
Ludwig really went and spoiled the other two rounds on the third bag lol
Ludwig knows how to involve everyone when he’s the guest on the show
21:30 most heartfelt moment for me
At the beginning when Miz said 10k he pointed at the 13 bag and I think Lud saw that too so he didn’t pick it until the end
Why does Esfand look like a CEO type of villain.
The cut to shlatt at the beggining is amazing
more exciting than 95% of all Deal or No Deal episodes lmao
Lud's mom is actually cracked
Ludwig got that dream luck
5:50 The Way He's All Standing is so awkward then the other guy says what are you doing? It's just so funny xd
Dude Ludwigs mom is crazy clutch
Now only if he had this kind of luck on his ludlockes
When he was offered the 800 he had an expected value of 1600 or so based on the remaining choices, so he made the right move before even factoring in his mom (who definitely loves him I swear)
Even when offered one grand, his expected value was still around 1500.
However, when offered 2500, his expected value was at 2700 or so, and it would be a safe bet to take.
For reference,
First offer: 6:37
Second offer: 9:10
Third offer: 14:26
There were two more offers after this but they were also really close to the expected value and I think Lud wanted to play it out to the end for the content anyway
I mean I'd say the deal should be lower considering you are guaranteed safety. The final offer of 5500 between 1,000 and 10,000 was the "right choice" though, only denied due to Lud's exceedingly high ego and belief the universe works for him. It payed off, sadly.
The 3900 offer was really good
@@thenightjackal dude it's a game show, of course he wants to make it more entertaining for the viewers
@@thenightjackal To be fair to Lud, the universe DOES seem to work for him.
For anyone that want's to know what his Spotify T-Shirt linked to, it's Baby it's Cold Outside in from his album A Very Mogul Christmas
Switching at the end was a power move cuz the odds of picking it correctly off the bat is 1/16 so basically a 15/16 chance the switch was correct
Yep, you are right! Indeed just a Monty Hall variation
The video is fire and it hasn't been out long enough to finish it yet
lud's got his priorities straight with those hashtags
16:37 sounds like the darth vader “I lied”
I feel like getting a gamble addiction and investing my winnings into Schlatts oil business
This has to be the most insane game show in history
So nice to see Esfand and Asmond united doing more than WoW content, respect 👏
"love you"
"bye"
💀
I love the emotions behind some of his choices
"You are a w̶i̶z̶a̶r̶d̶ ̶H̶a̶r̶r̶y̶ gambler Ludwig"
-Obama
I don't know why but at 14:33 when everyone was clapping just seeing Shaltt not paying any attention at all on his phone made laugh my a** off
Mom single handedly carried the team
Mother knows best.
mizkif literally pointed to it in the beginning when saying 10k lolll
"Was that uhhhh, Cantonese?" fucking Esfand, always a gem
the glasses on miz look so bad that it's gone full circle. what a handsome boi
This man was born for content
Wait... Where's the bald Canadian guy from America's Got Talent?!?
ok
this was actually the best game of deal or no deal I've ever seen
This man really posting at 2:00am
this is ludwigs world we’re just living it
My heart almost flew out of my chest when he chose 13
I already knew he'd win the $10.000 before I even watched. No way this guy would lose and still call it "The Greatest Game of Deal or No Deal"
Moms make the best decisions.
The Spotify code on his shirt takes you to his rendition of "baby, it's cold outside" featuring QTCinderella.
Just thought I would let you guys know.
For once Miz actually looks clean!
The change in the end was actually the mathematically correct decision.
Edit: My bad, this is sadly not analogois to the "Monty Hall Problem". I would still recommend everybody to look this problem up, it is pretty interesting.
Was looking for this comment
Monty Hall problem 🤯
true. the chance of picking the $10 000 in the beginning is 1/16 or 6.25%, so the chance of picking the $10 000 in the end is 6.25% if you stay or 93.75% if you switch. Edit: this is wrong, see below
Technically it's not. This is not like Monty Hall problem, in which all the computations are based on the fact that the host eliminates the bags by knowing in advance. In this situation it's the same to keep or change since Ludwig chose randomly.
@@giuros_ isn’t it the same thing though? doesn’t matter if the host knows which bags to eliminate in this case, in the end it was still the same outcome with just two bags left and one of them containing the 10k.
His mom aced that Monty Hall Problem at the end!
This gives me so much nostalgia watching Deal or No Deal growing up. I would watch it on every cruise and have no idea what they're doing.
His mom actually chose the mathematically/statistically best answer (to switch bags)
yep, the monty hall problem.
Technically it's not. This is not like Monty Hall problem, in which all the computations are based on the fact that the host eliminates the bags by knowing in advance. In this situation it's the same to keep or change since Ludwig chose randomly.
Yeah this is not the same as the monty hall problem
I didnt actually know how people play this until around 13:00 😂😂😂
Lmfaoooo, "She said it back, it was just muted"
The dramatic structure on this is so tight.
I've trying for like a soild chuck of time to scan that code on luds shirt I just can't dude but I need to know what it is
I think it's the Spotify to his own Christmas album
Ludwig has the prowess of three entire gamers
Hahahaha, "Connections spotty"
The ending is a great showing of the Monty Hall problem in action!
No. Your comment tells me you watched a video about the Monty Hall problem without understanding the theory behind it.
Not how the problem works
the reason why this video is great is the 2 minutes without lud... like finally some peace and quiet
Dude this video was so insane it made me like Ludwig so much more and he was already becoming one of my favorite CZcamsrs. Been watching all his vids. Thanks for switching over to the platform!!!
Yo I love how it all came together. His mom is the real lucky charm.
Mom knew the math, the odds are stacked that you need to swap there. The 8 bag was taken at a 1/16 chance of being the 10k while the 13 bag was selected 1/2.
That isnt how statistics work.
if this wasn't scripted that's crazy lmaoo
Considering QT won a dollar and shlatt won I forget but it was like 100 dollars I’d say it’s not scripted. Insane ass luck tho
This is the same man who won Alpharads Mario Party CPU gambling
every penny should go to ludwig’s mom
mathmatically you should always switch at the end. In Simple terms when you first pick you have a 1/16 chance of picking right meaning theres a 6% chance you picked right. Leaving a 94% chance the 10k is on the board. If theres still the 10k left at the end that means theres a 94% chance its in the case you didnt choose.
Yeah literally, there is a maths problem that’s this but smaller
@@hamoiq908 the 3 door ?
ludwig's mom is so smart
this math doesn’t make sense. There’s a 1/16 chance that the 10k is in any of the bags at the start. As the numbers go off the board the probability changes for every bag. At the end there’s only two bags left so there’s still just a 50% chance for either to be right at that point. You can’t transfer the probability from the first guess cause that is no longer relevant
No