Which Senior Tories Could Lose their Seats?
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- čas přidán 3. 07. 2024
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In this video, we’re going to have a look at exactly what to look out for on election night with each of the political parties, before moving on and having a look at which big Tory beasts to keep an eye on tonight
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“A portillo moment refers to any senior figure who unexpectedly loses their seat”
“We’re expecting a number of portillo moments”
🤯
Always expect the unexpected
Thank God this is the top comment. I needed to know that someone else heard that
Fingers crossed
Exactly right. The exit poll confirmed that the average swing was 11% but in some very safe seats it was a lot less (ie Liverpool where Tories had no votes to lose anyway) and in some marginals a lot more. Portillo knew an 18% swing was needed in Enfield Southgate to topple him so he was perfectly sanguine and indeed was one of the pundits on BBC Election Special. It was only when he got to his count and saw the nervous looks of the party workers that he started to sweat and then the absolutely unimaginable came to pass. THAT is the essence of ‘The Portillo Moment’
Certified portillo moment
The real question is who will gain Sunaks seat, Niko Omilana or Count Binface?
Please let it be binface
@@Mike-bh4bh Honestly, that would be the biggest political upset since Martin Bell
Hopefully a 30% turnout and 50% of them voting for Binface. Can't think of a better way to show the absolute disgust of the electorate than that (not that any of the elites currently in power or soon to be give a toss)
Imagine seeing binface sitting in the commons 😂
@@flamepillarrengoku
Would be fitting of the absolute clown show it is
Putting portaits up of 8 Tory leaders and then only discussing 3 of them :(
Yeah, I was expecting them to cover a lot more figures
kind of expected it cause its 9 minutes, still a little disappointed
Well, in fairness he did have a 2-minute commercial that he was in a hurry to get to. 🤣🤣
Thanks, comments like this make it easier to avoid wasting time on clickbait-y videos
i think they just discussed the most vulnerable besides the position of PM
Really hoping Jacob Rees Mogg gets kicked out 😅
He's probably the one guy that won't!
We're in his constituency and polling is currently pushing labour well ahead of him as it stands
It would be more surprising if he kept his seat. He's a dead man walking as far as this election goes.
Getting that moron out of power would be immensely satisfying. The fact he’s lasted as long as he has…
@@ThePrinceOrtmayer alot of MRP polls think he's done for
Come on Britain. Let's get the Tories into third place 💪🏻
Sorry that's too high!
ZERO SEATS
Behind anyone but Reform 😂😂😂
@@a.demifemiflapo5795 or green
This American is crossing my finger for y’all!
I'm in Sunak's constituency. My polling station was absolutely rammed at 9.30 with queues down the street. It's never been anything like that busy in the last 42 years. I expect he'll keep his seat but that 30k majority may be down to a couple of thousand.
No everyone's making there vote Count!
What?
Are you voting for him?
@@SuperMickyMc count binface mate
@@TheWebstaff’Their’ vote Count.
Recyclons dont accept inproper use of there/their.
get Rishi out - vote Count Binface
what happened to lord buckethead, is Count Binface his younger relative? ;D
@@MrLordLowbob Allegedly the Count has had to rebrand due to copyright issues surrounding the name Lord Buckethead
@@MrLordLowbobAccording to Count Binface; he had to change personas and drop Lord Buckethead after running afoul of the planet “Copyright”.
@@MrLordLowbobthere was an 80's cartoon who shared his name and asked him to change it.
@@Praevalidum did you watch Matt Parkers video as well or is that a real quote of him?
Sunak losing his seat would be AMAZING
❤❤
I want Sunak to lose his seat
Current predictions put that a little under 50/50
Your spelt "head" wrong.
I honestly don't know how anyone could vote for that man. He's an out-of-touch toff who has never done anything for the people of Ripon. Parachuted in by the Tories who are so disrespectful that they didn't even select a Yorkshire person for the seat.
@@Kj16V😂 no that ship's already sailed. Lost his head months ago
As a doctor, Im more interested in Hunt losing his seat. Otherwise even as a non cabinet minister, he'll worm his way onto the health and social care committee again
Please, please, PLEASE have Jacob Rees-Mogg lose his seat! I want to see that smug, entitled, arrogant smile he perpetually has on disappear from his face.
I'm reminded of a clip from QI.
Mogg was out canvassing accompanied by his nanny. When ridiculed for it, his response was something like 'you only mock because she is my nanny, you would not mock if I were accompanied by my valet'.
How can anyone so incredibly out of touch with how life actually works get elected?
I swear, too many people vote for the 'funny man' rather than a competent politician.
yeah and no more slouching in his seat like the lazy selfish mug he is
Jacob Rees-Mogg being removed by the Lib Dems would be a classic moment.
As an American, my fear is that Labour will forget how lucky they are and not immediately pass proportional representation and single transferable voting. Unlike in the USA they can do this by statute, while in the USA we'd have to amend the constitution to get rid of entrenched GOP minority rule. Starmer needs to remember this election's result were caused by a once in a century perfect alignment of the planets.
They have put forward plans to push back the parliaments summer break so they could be planning something to get done when they would be on holiday
Let's keep it simple, every Tory seat would be gone
Putting James Cleverly in the Braintree constituency is just taking the piss
Huh? He is the Braintree MP. Why is that talking the piss?
@MikeAG333 his name vs the name of the constituency
@@MikeAG333 He's James CLEVER-ly in BRAIN-tree constituency.
@@Dendarang It was the word "putting" which I was querying. He has been the Braintree MP for 9 years, so he hasn't been "put" anywhere.
This is our Bindependence Day! 👽
If we are expecting it, is it a portillo moment by that definition?
We might, but it depends on if the candidate expects it or not.
@@ThePageofVoidI think all the Tory's potentially have an incling
We're expecting a lot of Tory losses, but it would still be a Portillo moment if a popular-with-Tory-voters candidate lost in what's usually considered a safe seat, for instance.
I would qualify losing in any 'safe seat' a portillo moment
By election night, quite a few people realised Portillo's seat was in play. Back in January, lots of people thought 'the next election' would leave the Conservatives with a minority government.
Count Binface for the win in Richmond & Northallerton.
Sunak needs to get Binned! 🗑
Make your vote Count!
Well done for putting the “Chancellor” before the “Hunt” - many journalists have tripped up over that. Sometimes it felt like the Conservatives gave him ministries that begin with a ‘c’ purely as a joke 😂
If Mogg loses his seat it will go to show how bad people think they have been
Aussie here. We had a sitting Prime Minister lose his seat during an election (John Howard 2007). It was awesome 🎉
My best birthday present ever…
Tho damn it was good to see Abbott lose his seat too. Wish the UK would keep him.
It was a terrible day for our country and signalled the beginning of the era of incompetent politicians that is still occurring to this day.
@@bernardkealey6449 old toe knee ab butt
@@bernardkealey6449 Because your political class is so great now.🙄
@@marnuscoreyempanadaslooseb6760 True. These people are nuts.
Why wouldn't sunak want to lose his seat? He'd have to serve as an MP
Much less embarassing to win his seat and retire quietly in a year
No he doesn't, he can and will resign as an MP almost straight away so he can move his family to America. More than likely already booked his flight and school for his girls. He has made as much as he can from us, smash and grab.
Still gets his PM pension, retiring to the backbenches still gives him MP salary / expenses with little requirement to do anything
@@Iymarra He made 120 million doing nothing last year from his shares. And when he moves to America he'll make his yearly MP's salary just about every week from just being there. He'll lose money staying here as an MP.
I'm starting to get a little scared of these landslide predictions. Not because I wouldn't like to see the Tories kicked in the teeth, but because I fear so many people think it's a done deal and don't vote, and we end up with a hung Parliament
People should just use their votes building up smaller parties and independants that are purer for next elections
The main two parties are deeply immoral
Do you think it's useful to vote for pro Palestinian independents?@@KarakuraNinja
@@pyrogunslinger1877 yes
Will poor old Michael Portillo lose this epitaph and be replaced by a ‘Sunak moment’.
I think a Sunak moment would be going from Government to 3rd largest party. Or maybe a Macron
@@Septimus_ii Only if the copyright Asquith and George share has expired by now.
@@wildfire9280102 Years... It has!
I always thought a Portillo Moment was when you soiled yourself while eating a large Italian beef sandwich
Vote for eggs benedict - get breakfast done
I can not wait for tonights election coverage.
Hoping theres a few twists to make it more entertaining. Would be hilarious if many known politicians(for all parties) don't win their seats
@@calahoon22 Really, so you see this as mere entertainment. You want good MP's from Labour and the Lib Dems to lose so you can have a good laugh.
revolution wouldn't be televised lol
Hi Malaysians here,Where I Can find live coverage 2024 UK GE elections?
My immediate boss in Westminster some years back was Portillo’s principal private secretary in the 90s and headed his office for several years. He said that hands down he was the nicest politician he had ever worked for (and he had worked for many some of whom he was less than complimentary about)
I can believe that. I have met a few.
What the hell is with the spam bot comments 💀
What comments? The video has only been up for 20 minutes I don't see any spam bot comments
@@jtf5332 That’s exactly what a spam bot would say! J’accuse! 😂 /s
@@jtf5332 I reported them 🙄
@@jtf5332 There are, like, 2 comments praising this video about how good/artistic it is. Those profiles have nude profile pictures or something, so yeah, it's spam, but it's not as sensational as that comment is making it out to be.
@@jtf5332 there were two, you obviosly didn't see them. They are there everyday and always the first to post.
Turned out to be the best thing that ever happened to Portillo…He got a life and became a popular TV travel presenter.
When I was just outside the poll
I asked the electorate, what will it be
Will it be Labour ? Will it be Tory ?
Here’s what they said to me
Qué será, será
Whatever will be, will be
Two cheeks of the same arse you see
Qué será, será
What will be, will be
In Australia, sitting PM John Howard lost his seat in 2007.
Same happened in Canada with Kim Campbell in 1993, though she was only PM because Brian Mulroney resigned about 6 months prior and "fed her to the wolves"
My pants will be getting sticky tonight watching senior Tory after senior Tory losing their seats.
Revolting
@@Rampart.X Yes, they are.
Revolting....but relatable
Don't get too excited. The election has been characterised by antipathy towards the Tories but not really a strong feeling towards Labour. The Greens, the Lib Dems and (unfortunately) Reform are the parties that inspire passionate feelings.
It's possible that the landslide predictions overestimated the number of Labour voters and the results will be a lot less dramatic than most people expect. I certainly don't see the Tories winning another majority government but I'm also not 100% sure Labour will get that historic landslide victory. They're playing it very safe in a political climate where people are increasingly fed up with the status quo and want something very different.
If the historic wipeout does happen after all, celebrate it however you want. I'm just saying, part of me worries that too many people are going to take it as a given that Labour will win a landslide for that landslide to actually materialise.
Save your celebrations for after it's happened. I think there's a risk that people become so convinced a Labour victory is inevitable that it doesn't actually happen.
Every one in fishy rishi's constituency needs to make there vote Count!
Vote out to help out peeps, we can do it 🗳️🎉
There is irony in the statement "We are expecting a number of portillo moments"
A "Portillo moment" is when it's unexpected.
If the answer isn't "all of them because just look at the state of things" then we're doing it wrong.
Politics is pantomime for the media to play in for a captive audience.
America's birthday is a beautiful day indeed!
Christ, Hunt always looks like a possessed ventriloquist's dummy, doesn't he?
By definition, we are expecting and predicting these moments, therefore they arent Portillo moments. Rishi is possibly the ONLY major player who's loss would fit this definition of a Portillo moment, and even then, its already been prediceted enough times it may not count.
please kick out Rees-Mogg
Count Binface needs your vote! Make it count!
The Portillo moment never gets old!
The TL;DR Paradox: you are expecting something that is by definition unexpected 😂
4:02 perhaps the only example of the first-past-the-post system being a good voting system
Love to see the phrase "Portillo moment" replaced with "Sunak moment".
I'm gonna laugh so hard if rishi loses his seat
Wait... isn't that the guy who did the "Great Railway Journeys" series?
Indeed he is.
I hope lots and lots of them lose their seats. As for Sunak, I think he wants to lose, he's probably already booked his flight to the USA and already enrolled his kids in private school there.
I would genuinely not be suppriesed at this point if it turns out he has a large bet on himslef loosing.
If that`s the case, then it would be funny if he kept his seat and was prevented from leaving.
I want Torys to not even be the opposition, 4th place sounds like a good spot for them
no seats sounds better
@@alansharman3644 I agree, but we do have to be realistic here
@@flamepillarrengoku
Dream on
Count Binface beating Sunak would be unreal top tier banter.
He would NEVER live it down.
Proportional representation would be better. Pretty much every system is better than fptp
names in a hat would be better than fptp
Just restore the Kings power, Charles and William seem like OK chaps at least.
My friend's running against Sunak in Richmond - would be absolutely insane but he can do it! Go Tom!
Will Rishi Sunak become the first sitting PM to be defeated in his own constituency? This is kinda exciting.
Spoiler alert… Count Binface didn’t win 😓 Lettuce Truss got a slow clap though 😂
When Count Binface takes Sunak's seat, will he need to keep his bin on in parliament?
I'm desperately hoping got sunak, braverman, Badenock, Mordunt and Ress-mogg to lose their seats.
I'm disappointed that Exit Polls have the Tories winning triple digit seats. How can you vote for a party that has more Jeremy's than a 'corn' website.
If reform win seats, this country is dumber than I feared.
I'm particularly hopeful of Hunt losing - he just has one of those faces.
Its going to be the worst July 4th for the Tories since 1776.
Can two opposition parties go into coalition to take the official opposition role from the biggest opposition party??
I’d find Labour vs LibDem in government and opposition a fascinating possibility.
What would that dynamic look like?
who's here after the bastard named Jacob Rees-Mogg lost his seat?
How about we wait till tonight and we will know if he looses his seat
If they are expected, by definition they are not Portillo moments!
Is that even a remote possibility it will happen in British politic, the answer can be known after today. Just chill, and be patient.
What time do polls close?
American here: I assume that if Sunak loses his seat then he's out as PM?
If the party loses he’s not pm anymore…
♪ RISHI’S IN A BOX, IN A BOX
RISHI’S IN A BO-OX ♪
"Portillo Moment" is an understatement, is gonna be more like Game of Throne's "Red Wedding" lol🤗
Labour won or Conservatives Lost there is a huge difference that will be talked about and analysed for years.
its farage unhappy with snk as a pm
Vote for your interests. Thats all I will say today.
Remember your ID. I saw someone get turned away for not having it.
Zero Seats
Bye Rishi 👋
Yes he’s got no chance he alienated a lot of British migrants we could have given him a sympathy vote😅😂😂
That would brighten my day.
please do a part 2 of this after math results
Can anyone name all the companies listed at 6:09? I don't know all the names and would like to search them up
Does not matter all fixed all liars were screwed either way 😢
It's stupid that these top-level politicians have a seat. How can they run a party/country and serve their local constituency?
Did the editor of this video purposefully time the part of the script that said "run up" while Tony Blair was running up some stairs on purpose? If so, bravo!
Cleverly in Brain(tree) is an oxymoron. James Stupid is more appropriate
If he loose his SEAT he can always take a FIAT
As a Canadian, I should point out that we've had at least one Prime Minister lose his seat in a federal election. The Prime Minister was William Lyon Mackenzie King and the election was in the 1920s if I recall correctly. Another member of his party who had been re-elected stepped down from his newly won seat, forcing a by-election, and King ran in his place, successfully, restoring him to Parliament. (I assume the MP who stood down for him was amply rewarded for his trouble.) We've also had new leaders selected for parties when that new leader was not in Parliament and then the same thing happened: someone in a safe seat stepped down, the new Leader ran in his place, and then entered Parliament that way. The last such instance that comes to mind was Jean Chretien 30 odd years ago. I don't remember it being considered scandalous at the time.
Mel stride and IDS need to lose their seat
Personally I hope for a Braverman moment!
I wonder how many people will call in sick tomorrow due to staying up all night to watch the fun and games?
Of course he will people hate him ❤❤❤
I’m so excited for the results. I love general elections, it’s like Christmas for us political geeks.
Portilo moments are about to be known as Sunak moments.
The phrase "Portillo moment" must be replaced after this election. The replacement needs to keep someone the Tories would prefer we all forget in the public consciousness for a generation to come.
When watching a "Portillo Moment", it's worth remembering that the result is already known by the candidates (and their agents), it's only unknown to the general public. If that wasn't the case, the result would be declared before any recounts (usually asked for by the parties if the result is sufficiently close that errors could make a difference) rather than after.
Sunak would probably like to lose his seat so that he could emigrate to California straight away!
Now THAT'S a grimace LOL
20% of the vote and 7 seats, disgusting.
rishi's constituency contains the largest british army garrison in the world. will be very interesting to see what happens considering the scandal
All of them
Two weeks ago on his GBN show Portillo himself said that a 'Portillo Moment' has to be unexpected and that because the Tories were going to lose badly the only real Portillo moment would be for Sunak to lose. PM for PM.
At 1:12 the only thing missing from that picture is captions below each mugshot reading "Arrest Warrant Issued for charges of Treason."
Hello TLDR, could you do a video regarding France election?