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Of course! Thank you so much for watching despite the technical difficulties. Think it may be time to invest in a wireless hotspot and a better laptop

Don't be scared, still plenty of time before we come to a cut and dried solution. You can count on us to give you our best educated guess at what model data communicates to us

They are! Need to troubleshoot why that is, before we attempt another livestream via my laptop. Sincere apologies for the slew of technical difficulties

He's a Dad, and that's why hear his baby.

Haha yes, my son was "excited" to hear me talking weather.

AWWWWW, MY HEART,❤❤❤​@@WxCenterNazario

Let's not start drawing comparisons just yet especially since we don't have an active storm to track quite yet. We do have a few favorable analogs to maybe compare steering and large-scale weather patterns for forecast sake

These were precisely my thoughts when reviewing all of today's data lol... said aloud to myself "how do I brief this"

The historic track looks very familiar to what some of our ensemble members are doing

@user-jc4pf2xs5c Boy, do I remember Hurricane Elena! She covered Eisenhower Blvd. in Upper Tampa Bay with tons of sand and destroyed a beautiful house boat moored on the Bay. She was a mean one that refused to leave.

Hm not sure why, was using the same mic and audio settings as when I'm home

Thank you! Internet resilience at its finest!

Not sure why, used the same mic and audio settings we use at home

Florida most definitely needs to be monitoring trends and progression. Even if this feature does not fully develop, if the current solutions become the real end result we're in for some excessive rainfall

I did my best! Feel bad for any new viewers coming in or those returning who haven't watched in a while. But thanks so much for standing by regardless

@WxCenterNazario Well... anyone who works with computers, etc. in the slightest understands, believe me!

Much appreciated Travis!

And they're all echoing the stall now. Likely indicates we need to watch the overall steering pattern closely, more so than the feature itself

Absolutely, but as of now the conditions aren’t favorable until it gets off of Florida

@@RyDawg11 actually, surprisingly I looked at the conditions in the gulf and there’s low shear and abundant moisture and the anticyclone that it’ll be under will help it breathe so I’m curious if the favorable conditions will persist

In extreme theory, yes. But there are so many other variables that come into play when determining a realistic ceiling for a situation like this. We can break those down when I'm back in the home wxcenter

Very welcome, thank you so much for watching

Hello there :)

Combo of this initial swath of very dry air and then potential land interaction are the big factors Wind shear and moisture will be fairly optimal once it goes beyond the lesser Antilles.

More than likely meant to say Pacific, but naturally used to saying Atlantic

The standard gripe of all states it seems, our roads nearby are falling apart as well

@@WxCenterNazario I keep changing my front hub bearings on my sports car roads are so bad is horrible how hard my car hits them potholes daily

We'll have to wait and see if we get further organization from it first. But it appears at most you'll see increased rainfall, nothing near a direct hit

It's a variety of variables actually pertaining to storm surge. Naturally, intensity of the storm plays a role. The lower the center pressure, the greater the rising of the water nearest to the storms center. Then you factor in wind speeds, direction towards the coast whether it's pushing more water further inland/offshore. Forward speed of a storm plays a large role as well. You can take a fast moving storm like Hurricane Charley, to where storm surge was not nearly as much of an issue and flip the script to a hurricane Ian, where we realized 16 feet of surge in some areas of SW FL. Same angle of approach, same intensity, same overall depth, but the sizing, water loading, and the speed of Ian was vastly different than Charley.

Thank you!

9😅​@@WxCenterNazario

Goodnight as well

We should be okay! Monitoring now to see if this area has any sort of chance to become anything really concerning

@@WxCenterNazario ok just be careful. You're my favorite meteorologist. I will continue to pray for you.

Happy to have you, beyond this first system there are upstream disturbances that could influence your weather a lot more

Very happy to hear you solely rely on my content :) gives me a friendly reminder of those counting on me which means I need to be on top of my game

It will wobble back and forth this time of year. Typically it begins to retrograde eastward further into the Atlantic as we transition to the hottest point of the summer season and head towards Fall. This is also due to the intensity of our jet stream over North America bringing down stronger relative pushes of cold air to try and erode the western side of it.

Wait a few more days. I'm in South Miami..too.

In reality, we should have already been at least generally prepared from the start of the hurricane season. In terms of last minute items or prep work, definitely give it more time. We haven't seen any additional organization quite yet, once we do we'll get vastly more information together than we know now, so it's safe to keep your foot on the brakes at the moment :)

Hey hey! Thanks so much for leaving a comment, always happy to hear from you!

Nailed it! This means a lot, thank you! Never one to rely on clickbait, there's no need

Very welcome

Ikr🤦🏾‍♀️🤷🏾‍♀️

Sorry you couldn't make it! There will be plenty more coming. And I agree, I've been seeing posts/media either downcasting it far too much or ultimately projecting a "hurricane" for someone. Far too early to be that concrete so we need to stick with what we know at the moment and watch hour-by-hour

No need to apologize! Thank you for leaving a comment regardless

Hey there!

If you're planning a trip as we enter the peak of hurricane season, we naturally run the risk of encountering tropical activity. It does seem August is going to attempt to perk up pretty quickly, not solely based on what we're following now but signals beyond the Aug 9-11th time frame. I would politely suggest you take a look at the flexibility you have in your cruise dates :) can't really forecast what could physically be on the tropical game board at the end of August, but its a safe assumption we may have some action on the map somewhere given the historical timing (end of August, early September being our absolute PEAK of hurricane season). Stand by on rescheduling, perhaps call to see if you can adjust dates, and watch for updates as best you can

Hope you caught yesterday's segment!