![Kevin Bracker](/img/default-banner.jpg)
- 137
- 4 459 572
Kevin Bracker
Registrace 1. 08. 2009
Finance videos for undergraduate level corporate finance and investments classes. Most videos are now arranged in Playlists. Like what you see? Consider enrolling at Pittsburg State University!
Returns Standard Deviation and Correlation Changes over Time
Kevin Bracker's Substack Video on Expected Returns, Standard Deviation and Correlation and how they change over time. This connects to kevinbracker.substack.com/ and the Diversification vs. Diworsification post (releasing at 2:00 AM CST on Wednesday, June 15th). The idea is to look at how we estimate historical returns, standard deviations, and correlations over the previous 5 years and then see how they change (see the substack column) in the future. Note that this is NOT a random sample and the conclusions should be taken as VERY preliminary.
zhlédnutí: 987
Video
Valuation Models for Cummins and Toro
zhlédnutí 677Před 2 lety
This video walks through a quick overview of some valuation models, mainly just discussing how to tweak the inputs from our base assumptions to YOUR assumptions.
BS Option Pricing Model Spreadsheet Tutorial
zhlédnutí 4,2KPřed 2 lety
This video walks through a spreadsheet file for the BS OPM. Note that you can download this spreadsheet and pdf files used in this video at kevinbracker.substack.com/p/black-scholes-option-pricing-model. This will save me emailing copies to people, so please use this approach if possible.
Random Returns on Individual Stocks
zhlédnutí 467Před 2 lety
This video ties into my Substack Post (kevinbracker.substack.com) for the 11/17/2021 titled "Hindsight Bias, The Matthew Effect, and Randomness" which looks a bit at decision making and understanding the difference between process and result. You can have a good process and get a bad result or a bad process and get a good result. Investing is a noisy process and you need to watch out for "resul...
Monte Carlo Spreadsheet Example
zhlédnutí 1,2KPřed 2 lety
This video ties in with my Substack page (kevinbracker.substack.com) in which I pick a topic (or sometimes more than one) to talk about each week. Since Substack recently added Excel embeds, I am putting in a few Excel-based posts into the mix. This one looks at creating a Monte Carlo simulation approach to retirement planning.
Amortization Table in Excel Intro
zhlédnutí 646Před 3 lety
This video provides an overview of setting up an amortization table in Excel. In addition to creating the amortization table, it talks about the importance of cell references vs. numbers in the formulas, absolute vs. relative cell references, and introduces an =IF statement to count the years.
What is a Gamma Squeeze
zhlédnutí 2,8KPřed 3 lety
This video explains the concept of a gamma squeeze where out-of-the-money call options create an incentive for market makers to buy the underlying stock. If the volume of call options is high enough, this can create a situation where more buying volume by market makers raises the stock price and creates an upward cycle (at least temporarily) in the stock price. The terms gamma and delta are ins...
Four Stock Security Portfolio
zhlédnutí 1,2KPřed 3 lety
This video walks through the process for looking at expected return and standard deviation on a 4-stock portfolio. In addition, a little bit of development of standard deviation and expected return formulas are discussed along with a brief mention of diversification.
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Digging through the 10K Continued
zhlédnutí 708Před 3 lety
We continue to work through the 10K to identify relevant material impacting Chipotle's ability to generate free cash flows and, in turn, their valuation.
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Looking at the Conference Call Transcript Part One
zhlédnutí 425Před 3 lety
This video looks over the Q2 2020 Earnings Conference Call Transcript for Chipotle, focusing on the management commentary regarding overall strategy and quarterly results.
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Digging Into the 10K Part Four
zhlédnutí 484Před 3 lety
This video continues our Chipotle Valuation Analysis Series by continuing to Dig Into the 10K. Here we are looking at some financial data for Chipotle such as growth in revenue (both overall and same store sales), plans for opening new stores, expense items, stock buybacks, and liquidity issues. You also get to see my 1st grade attempts to write on a pdf file (apologies to first graders everywh...
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Digging Through the 10K Part Three
zhlédnutí 389Před 4 lety
This video completes our walk through of the Risk Factors from Chipotle's 2019 10K. Some of these are meaningful and often overlooked. For example, the risk of complications from growth are something that people often underestimate as, in general, higher growth is seen as a positive. Other things, such as higher input costs, are significant, but often less significant than anticipated (assuming...
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Digging Into the 10K Part Two
zhlédnutí 368Před 4 lety
In this video, I walk through some of the risk factors Chipotle breaks out in their 10K including food safety, cyber security, industry competition, cost of leases, and labor markets. Some of these are things that you would think of with Chipotle, but some are things investors may not have been considering.
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Digging Into the 10K Part One
zhlédnutí 526Před 4 lety
This is the first of a few videos that dig into the 10K for Chipotle. This portion of the series will likely be a few videos. In this one, we are focusing on the business description. While I'm sure most people are aware of what Chipotle is, reading through the business description will pull out a few more issues to think about What is their competition like? Is Chipotle a technology company? W...
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Building the Model Part Five
zhlédnutí 758Před 4 lety
This video continues our walkthrough of Valuation Analysis using Chipotle as an example. This is part 5 of 5 on "Building the Model", but we still have a few to go in the series as we go through the 10K in more detail, look at Conference Call transcripts, tweak the model, discuss value drivers, etc. If you are finding this video series worthwhile, please like, subscribe, or leave a positive com...
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Building the Model Part 4
zhlédnutí 749Před 4 lety
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Building the Model Part 4
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Building the Model Part 3
zhlédnutí 906Před 4 lety
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Building the Model Part 3
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Building the Model Part 2
zhlédnutí 1,1KPřed 4 lety
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Building the Model Part 2
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Building the Model Part I
zhlédnutí 1,8KPřed 4 lety
Chipotle Valuation Analysis Building the Model Part I
Chipotle Valuation Example An Intro to the 10K
zhlédnutí 1,1KPřed 4 lety
Chipotle Valuation Example An Intro to the 10K
Chipotle Valuation Series Introduction Video 1
zhlédnutí 1,1KPřed 4 lety
Chipotle Valuation Series Introduction Video 1
COVID 19 and Stock Valuation Intermediate
zhlédnutí 735Před 4 lety
COVID 19 and Stock Valuation Intermediate
COVID 19 and Stock Market Reaction Simplified Model
zhlédnutí 425Před 4 lety
COVID 19 and Stock Market Reaction Simplified Model
Estimating St Deviation and Correlation
zhlédnutí 363Před 4 lety
Estimating St Deviation and Correlation
Convertible Bond as Bond Plus Call Options
zhlédnutí 1,5KPřed 4 lety
Convertible Bond as Bond Plus Call Options
Introduction to Convertible Bonds Terminology
zhlédnutí 491Před 4 lety
Introduction to Convertible Bonds Terminology
You are the best
Your channel is the best place to learn about trading. Thanks for your valuable work!
You're welcome!
Very helpful lesson!
Mine won't turn off with shift c
Thank you so very much! I never knew how to use these types of calculators. I would always work the math our by hand and use a simple calculator. I appreciate and have learned how to use this calculator that is now required for my Business Finance class.
You're welcome and I'm glad you found the video helpful.
This was increidbly helpful for making time value of money problems so simple.
Hi, Really loved this. Thanks. I want to calculate the options price on a future date, well before the expiry date. Say, I have purchased an option, which will expire on June 27, 2024. I want to calculate its price on May 30, 2024. Could you please help? If you can upload a video, it will be even better. Thanks.
Send me an email (kevinbracker1@gmail.com) requesting the BS Option Pricing Model spreadsheet and take a look at my BS Option Pricing Model spreadsheet (czcams.com/video/i0sGAds8ztI/video.html). I'll get you the spreadsheet.
Amazing explanation. Thank you so much for sharing this valuable video.
Great refresher!Many thanks
Very helpful just got my calculator and was extremely lost. Thank you 🙏🏽
Thank you so much for this. 3-20-24
Perfect!
So true all wrote , wanted help with calculations and jn2024 finding it so useful. Shift button use now understood was struggling so much before to get correct answers. God bless you
Even in 2024, this is still relevant and so clear. Thank you so much!
I agree. Just bought my HP and I've been banging my head trying to work it out. Set at 2dp was seriously bad. What happened to the good old days when you got a manual with every product. Sound like cutting every cost every where, called greed. Thanks Kevin
Man this is super helpful!!! Thank you so much!!! God bless you!!!
Thank you. This is more helpful to do my calculation.
Did you ever know that you’re my heeeeeeeero!? You’re financially everything I wish … I could be! Thanks a bunch.
Okay, that made me LITERALLY LOL. Thanks!
writing on monday my semester test and this was helpful,thanks
Just incredible - thank you so much!! <3
Great Video!
Super helpful
Very helpful!!
Brilliant teaching, perfect speed for my old brain thank you so very much.
Is the book still available? The site does not let you create an account to download.. ;(
The book should still be available, but I don't know if it is downloadable (it's better in the online format due to embedded youtube videos, etc. anyway). You can find it here -- pressbooks.pub/businessfinanceessentials/. Pressbooks changed their terms right as I retired and it would cost more to make it available to download (it was free and now it would be $400 per year). You can download a copy from here -- digitalcommons.pittstate.edu/oer-business/1/ (Click on download)
this video is an absolute life saver. Taking classes here in Denver in 2023, and this is exactly what I needed.
You're welcome. I'm always amazed that these videos I developed for my classes got such traction and have been effective for as long as they have.
Thank you
You're welcome
your 11 years ago video is helping me in 2024!! thankyou!
You're welcome!
Well explained, thank you Sir
Thank you!
Very well taught, I thought it was difficult after learning it in university but after watching your videos it feels like a joke. Thank you!!
Means a lot...Thank you!
I had the same impression, these time I just learned to be approved. But never forgot which it was important.
It is unclear where does the volatility comes from. I believe it is calculated from the market value of the option contract.
Volatility refers to the volatility of the underlying stock (or other asset) that the option is based on. For example, if I was buying a call option on TSLA, it would be the volatility of Tesla that I would use. The key though is that it is based on implied volatility (which may be very different than past volatility). There are multiple reasons (including earnings announcements between the time the option is purchased and expires) where implied volatility is your "best guess" as to what the actual volatility will be. That said, it is often close to what it has been over the past few weeks.
2024 ❤
Hi Kevin, very interesting. Thanks for the video. One question, why does the strike have to be the conversion price of 22.22 and not the market conversion price of 37.11 (= 1670 market price of bond / 45 shares)?
Jonas -- Here is a link that discusses convertible bonds and the strike price -- www.fe.training/free-resources/financial-markets/convertible-bond/#:~:text=The%20strike%20price%20is%20the,close%20to%20the%20expiry%20date. The idea is that (like the strike price of a call option on a stock), the convertible strike is based on the difference between the convertible's par value divided by the number of shares which you can exchange the bond for at maturity.
@@kevinbracker Appreciate the response! It makes sense that the conversion price at maturity should be the strike of the option.
Where does the 10 year deferral period a factor in the solution ?
Thank you very very much for your quick response. My headache eased immediately ! Why is the calculator set at 2 in the first instance ? And I did state in my last sentence , that the 5% interest was compounded semi-annualy. Was that taken into account in the response and would the figures change ? Thanks again. Bracker is best !
The periods per year sets the compounding (that was setting it to 2 Periods per year for semi-annual compounding). In the last segment, we changed it to 12 P/YR to reflect monthly compounding). The 10-year deferral period allowed the $300,000 we paid for the annuity to compound for 10 years (or 20 semi-annual periods) before beginning to calculate the payments). Note that you need to change BOTH the N (N = years time compounding periods per year) and the P/YR to properly get the calculator to adjust).
Just to let you know that you opened my eyes to the ease of use of the 10b11+ calculator. However I do have a deferred annuity problem with semiannual compounded interest that I would want resolved by the keys to this calculator. It is this : Marc has $300k with which to purchase an ordinary annuity delivering monthly payments for 20 years, after a 10 year period of deferral. What monthly payment will he receive if the undistributed funds earn 5% compounded semiannually ? Bracker is best.
Not sure if I completely follow the question, but based on my impression, he is buying a 30-year semi-annual cash flow stream with $0 distributed in the first 10 years (earning 5% semi-annually) and then over the last 20 years he receives $X monthly (not clear whether this is compounded monthly or semi-annually). So here is the logic: Solve for the FV of the $300K first ==> Set calc to 2 P/Y, 20 N, 5 I/YR, -300000 PV, 0 PMT and SOLVE for FV ==> $491,584.93 Next, solve for PMT (using 5% compounded monthly) ==> Set calc to 12 P/Y, 240 N, 5 I/YR, -491,584.93 PV, 0 FV and SOLVE for PMT ==> $3,244.24.
It really is, I wish there were many more videos like this by Kevin, on the HP10ll. More videos on the different functions would be awesome!!!!
當時差點說三道四
mnn
Dear Mr Bracker, You are a total legend ! Thank you from Australia.
The most practical one compare to other explanation and examples
You're amazing thank you
One of the best.. so well-explained .Thank you!
You're welcome!
Next week exams here I come 😅 Thank you !!!!!
Hi, may I ask why are we comparing the price we buy the futures at vs the price it closed at? That seems to be for speculation purposes rather than hedging.. please correct me if I am wrong ... i.e. is hedging with futures about the hedging of the current spot vs futures price OR spot movement vs future price movement?
The futures price is to take delivery of the underlying asset at a price locked in today. This can be used for either speculation or hedging.
@@kevinbracker thanks, for the example in the video, I noted that the futures price at expiry is not equal to the spot of fuel (futures price aug is $2.89, spot of fuel is $3.25). Why would that be so…? since futures at expiry would normally be priced at the spot
@@WeiHanCheng You have two "moving" prices (futures prices will adjust to spot prices as the futures gets closer to expiration), so that at the moment of expiration they should be "almost" equal (there might be slight discrepancies based on costs of liquidating the hedge). However, we don't see the prices of each at expiration in this example. More importantly, you are comparing retail prices at the pump to wholesale prices for the actual gasoline which will account for differences due to taxes, profits, etc.
👏👏👏
Very helpful video, thank you! I came here to find out when you adjust the N and P/YR, and you answered it exactly. Thanks!
This video is the best in showing how to use HP10BII.
Still very helpful in 2023 🤝🏽
Thank you
THANKS!!! my calculator would not work as it should have, this video helped me alot!!