Decoding Geopolitics with Dominik Presl
Decoding Geopolitics with Dominik Presl
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Why Invading Taiwan Is So Incredibly Difficult, Explained
In 1944, at the height of the Second World War, the United States military was preparing for an invasion of Taiwan. Its code name was Operation Causeway and Formosa, as the island was called at the time, was an important outpost of the Japanese imperial army.
The U.S. at the time had a standing force of more than 10 million soldiers, it had successfully pulled off the Normandy landing, the largest amphibious invasion in history and it had numerical and technological superiority over the Japanese.
But in the end, they decided to call off the invasion. Why? Because the world's most powerful military decided that it was just too difficult.
Today, we often talk about the Chinese invasion of Taiwan, whether they'll do it and what it might look like, but we often forget that doing so would mean pulling off one of the most difficult military operations in history. One that even the U.S. didn't want to go through and one that would be much much more complicated today, than it was back then.
So, why is it so hard?
zhlédnutí: 8 733

Video

'We're on a Path To War with China. We Just Haven't Realized It Yet.' | Ep. 30 Dmitri Alperovitch
zhlédnutí 3,9KPřed 12 hodinami
This is a conversation with Dmitri Alpetrovitch. Dmitri is a chairman of a think-tank called Silverado Policy Accelerator and an author of a new book World on the Brink: How America Can Beat China in the Race for the Twenty-First Century about how to win a cold war with China and prevent it from turning it into a hot one. We talked about who's winning the Cold War of the 21st century, why Taiwa...
Russia Is Running out of Men, Tanks and Time. Putin Has a Painful Decision to Make | #29 Dr. Shamiev
zhlédnutí 46KPřed 14 dny
➡️ PATREON: www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics This is a conversation with Kirill Shamiev. Kirill is a Fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations where he primarily focuses on the Russian military - and that's exactly what we talked about. We discussed what is the state of the Russian military today, two and a half years into the war, whether it is able to learn and improve, what was ...
Why India Fears War With China and Stays Friends With Russia| Ep. 28 Yusuf Unjhawala
zhlédnutí 4KPřed 21 dnem
➡️ PATREON: www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics This is a conversation with Yusuf Unjhawala - a defence analyst from a leading Indian think-tank the Takshashila Institution. In this interview, I wanted to better understand India's foreign policy and security challenges and how India actually sees the world from its own perspective. And so we talked about why India doesn't have allies, why it wa...
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zhlédnutí 959Před 21 dnem
Is North Korea Preparing for War?
Will North Koreans Fight in Ukraine?
zhlédnutí 1,8KPřed 21 dnem
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Why North Korea Is Preparing for War & North Korean-Russian Alliance | Ep. 27 Jean H. Lee
zhlédnutí 8KPřed 28 dny
➡️ PATREON: www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics Jean H. Lee is a journalist and foreign policy analyst renowned for her expertise in covering North Korea and Northeast Asian affairs. She is co-host of the award-winning Lazarus Heist podcast for the BBC World Service and a former Pyongyang bureau chief for the Associated Press news agency. Jean began reporting on the ground in North Korea in 200...
Why Russian Intelligence Services Failed in Ukraine?
zhlédnutí 14KPřed měsícem
Why Russian Intelligence Services Failed in Ukraine?
When Will Russia Run Out of Tanks?
zhlédnutí 15KPřed měsícem
When Will Russia Run Out of Tanks?
Jake Broe on Why This War Will End With Russian Collapse
zhlédnutí 160KPřed měsícem
Jake Broe on Why This War Will End With Russian Collapse
Jake Broe: Why Donald Trump Will Leave NATO and Abandon Ukraine
zhlédnutí 9KPřed měsícem
Jake Broe: Why Donald Trump Will Leave NATO and Abandon Ukraine
Russia's War Machine Is Peaking. Next Year, It Runs Out of Steam | Ep. 26 Dr. Jack Watling
zhlédnutí 150KPřed měsícem
➡️ PATREON: www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics Dr. Jack Watling is Senior Research Fellow for Land Warfare at the Royal United Services Institute. Jack works closely with the British military on the development of concepts of operation, assessments of the future operating environment, and conducts operational analysis of contemporary conflicts. In this conversation, we talked about two wars th...
Ben Hodges: Is NATO Ready for War with Russia?
zhlédnutí 46KPřed měsícem
Ben Hodges: Is NATO Ready for War with Russia?
Ben Hodges: Would Putin Use Nukes?
zhlédnutí 49KPřed měsícem
Ben Hodges: Would Putin Use Nukes?
Ben Hodges: We Shouldn't Fear Collapse of Putin's Regime
zhlédnutí 52KPřed měsícem
Ben Hodges: We Shouldn't Fear Collapse of Putin's Regime
'This War Will End With a Russian Collapse. Donald Trump Will Leave NATO.' | Ep. 25 Jake Broe
zhlédnutí 308KPřed měsícem
'This War Will End With a Russian Collapse. Donald Trump Will Leave NATO.' | Ep. 25 Jake Broe
"This Is Not Working Anymore": Ukraine's New Strategy For Victory | Ep. 24 Mykola Bielieskov
zhlédnutí 11KPřed 2 měsíci
"This Is Not Working Anymore": Ukraine's New Strategy For Victory | Ep. 24 Mykola Bielieskov
How Finland Joining NATO Checkmates Russia & Why Is It Ready For War | Ep. 23 Minna Ålander
zhlédnutí 24KPřed 2 měsíci
How Finland Joining NATO Checkmates Russia & Why Is It Ready For War | Ep. 23 Minna Ålander
Why Myanmar Rebels Are Winning Over A Military Junta & Why It Matters | Ep. 22 Thomas Van Linge
zhlédnutí 2,7KPřed 2 měsíci
Why Myanmar Rebels Are Winning Over A Military Junta & Why It Matters | Ep. 22 Thomas Van Linge
General Hodges on Retaking Crimea, NATO in Ukraine and Russian Collapse | Ep. 21 Gen. Ben Hodges
zhlédnutí 858KPřed 3 měsíci
General Hodges on Retaking Crimea, NATO in Ukraine and Russian Collapse | Ep. 21 Gen. Ben Hodges
This Is What Happens If Russia Invades The Baltics | Ep. 20 Lukas Milevski
zhlédnutí 58KPřed 3 měsíci
This Is What Happens If Russia Invades The Baltics | Ep. 20 Lukas Milevski
Can China Invade Taiwan and Defeat the U.S. Military? | Ep. 19 Brian Hart (CSIS)
zhlédnutí 33KPřed 3 měsíci
Can China Invade Taiwan and Defeat the U.S. Military? | Ep. 19 Brian Hart (CSIS)
CIA Officer on Outsmarting the Russians, Chinese Spies & War in Ukraine | Ep.18 David Gioe
zhlédnutí 43KPřed 3 měsíci
CIA Officer on Outsmarting the Russians, Chinese Spies & War in Ukraine | Ep.18 David Gioe
Putin's Growing Problems & Why Russia Is More Fragile Than It Seems | Ep. 17 Mark Galeotti
zhlédnutí 170KPřed 4 měsíci
Putin's Growing Problems & Why Russia Is More Fragile Than It Seems | Ep. 17 Mark Galeotti
Why Germany Won't Give Ukraine Taurus & Why It Fails To Fix Its Military | Ep. 16 Ulrike Franke
zhlédnutí 24KPřed 4 měsíci
Why Germany Won't Give Ukraine Taurus & Why It Fails To Fix Its Military | Ep. 16 Ulrike Franke
What Iran Really Wants and Why The U.S. Is Unable to Stop It | Ep. 15 Alex Vatanka
zhlédnutí 4,6KPřed 4 měsíci
What Iran Really Wants and Why The U.S. Is Unable to Stop It | Ep. 15 Alex Vatanka
General Ryan: This Is What A War With China Will Look Like | Ep. 14 General Mick Ryan
zhlédnutí 27KPřed 5 měsíci
General Ryan: This Is What A War With China Will Look Like | Ep. 14 General Mick Ryan
Why Hungary Supports Russia & Orban's Grand Strategy | Ep. 13 Szabolcs Panyi
zhlédnutí 13KPřed 5 měsíci
Why Hungary Supports Russia & Orban's Grand Strategy | Ep. 13 Szabolcs Panyi
Vlad Vexler on Navalny, War and the Future of Russia | Ep. 12 Vlad Vexler
zhlédnutí 40KPřed 5 měsíci
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Why Chinese Are Growing Anxious & The Danger of Declining China | Ep. 11 David Rennie (Drum Tower)
zhlédnutí 149KPřed 5 měsíci
Why Chinese Are Growing Anxious & The Danger of Declining China | Ep. 11 David Rennie (Drum Tower)

Komentáře

  • @xiangqiu2788
    @xiangqiu2788 Před 3 hodinami

    "We have allowed...", Chinese achieve what they achieved because you have allowed it. Just hear yourself. Racist much?!

  • @Cross-xm2fr
    @Cross-xm2fr Před 8 hodinami

    Theyll blockade, suicide to land

  • @leannevandekew1996
    @leannevandekew1996 Před 11 hodinami

    3 Gorges Bridge.

  • @andyyang5234
    @andyyang5234 Před 11 hodinami

    Every time such a discussion occurs, I always have to point out that there is a small archipelago about 50km offshore of Taiwan called Penghu, or the Pescadores. It's flat and difficult to defend, and outside of most artillery pieces that could be fired from the main island. There are existing naval and airport facilities on the island too. Taking Penghu would give PLA a nice staging point for an invasion that is much closer than the video suggests.

  • @danmoreman954
    @danmoreman954 Před 13 hodinami

    These war games grossly overestimate the logistical capacity of the PLA. Those soldiers would run out of food and ammunition long before they won

  • @ralphllivrah9551
    @ralphllivrah9551 Před 14 hodinami

    Russia has killed itself with incompetent military leadership. They make glaring mistakes. Mistakes so bad you scratch your head, just a lack of the most common military mistakes. It’s like they have never had any history,or basic fighting knowledge.

  • @marckenny3131
    @marckenny3131 Před 16 hodinami

    Thats hilarious 😂🤣😂 unbelievable stupidity

  • @aaron___6014
    @aaron___6014 Před 19 hodinami

    This is the guy who lied about 401k's. He must be an expert on everything.

  • @Nenad-qz7zo
    @Nenad-qz7zo Před 20 hodinami

    Historical aspect is very important in Russia- Ukraine war. That the inhabitants of East Ukraine consider themselves Russian is one of the root causes of the war. East Ukraine was illegally annexed to the then nascent Ukraine but the communist dictator Lenin and people still remember it.

  • @tonywyli
    @tonywyli Před dnem

    Stupid Content

  • @lu544
    @lu544 Před dnem

    I don't think China would have issues losing 1 or 2 million while trying to reach the island.

  • @travismosier4936
    @travismosier4936 Před dnem

    Damn!!! The attitude towards curruption in the Russian military and government is crazy!!! Corruption is just part of their culture.....results speak for themself. Lolol, how are Russian Leaders gonna hold their Soldiers to a standard, teach accountability, build cohesion, fight for eachother and instill trust when the whole damn chaim of command is corrupt (in more ways than one) and the poor russian private is just hoping his commanders havent purchased his plate carrier and plates from Temu, and pocketed the difference......until Russian society changes wont see much change in their military. That is wonderful for Nato!!! I understand curruption can happen anywhere but I am blessed and fortunate i served 20+ years in the US Army. I couldn't imagine having to serve in an organization or military like that. It was definitely not easy but at least when i served i didnt have to worry about not getting paid, worry about the quality of my equipment, or worry about others not doing thier job. I trusted the whole dang organization from top to bottom, left to right, and front to rear. Being able to have that trust as a Soldier is very underrated....especially in Russia it seems.

  • @LisaPavlou
    @LisaPavlou Před dnem

    Russia gains more territory then they won

  • @johncarveti8375
    @johncarveti8375 Před dnem

    What is stopping the ccp from building artificial land up to Taiwanese shore?

  • @duiveldoder
    @duiveldoder Před dnem

    Every time someone tells me:"I'm a prophet, I can look into the future, I know what's going to happen" I always just grins and ask myself:"then why don't you work as advisor to presidents ?" 😂

  • @davidmontaigne6911

    China's best chance of invading Taiwan successfully will be September-October this year. If you agree or if it's already happened by the time you see this, and you want a better understanding of the history that led here or what's likely to happen next, consider reading "Dragon's Prey: Will China Invade Taiwan in 2024?" or "Destined For War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?" or "The Chinese Invasion Threat: Taiwan's Defense and American Strategy in East Asia."

  • @user-uy9zm8sf2y
    @user-uy9zm8sf2y Před dnem

    So you guys take in every information this dude tells you without fact checking those information? We already knows how he lied about USA leading China on the technology front. Here the fact according to aspi"china leads in 34 out of 44 core technologies

  • @user-uy9zm8sf2y
    @user-uy9zm8sf2y Před dnem

    Clueless as usual. According to aspi, China leads in 34 out of 44 core technologies and what this dude said about space, maybe ask him why Boeing hasn't brought back those 2 stranded austronat?

  • @user-uy9zm8sf2y
    @user-uy9zm8sf2y Před dnem

    Lol how could usa win when USA is in debt and China hold those debt lol.

  • @krakhedd
    @krakhedd Před dnem

    You're doing good work Dominik. Keep it up

  • @krakhedd
    @krakhedd Před dnem

    It's virtually impossible - China's best bet is a blockade - however, China itself is highly susceptible to being blockaded - they're the world's largest importers of food & energy So while China is hoping to starve out Taiwan, which also enjoys huge defensive advantages, China will be getting starved out "China's Navy is so much bigger than America's" yeah by number of ships, not by tonnage, and let alone the deep water capabilities of each, and increasing tensions around the Red Sea, etc.....literally zero danger of an invasion attempt succeeding However, that's also NOT to say that China could not cause immense damage on their way down

  • @markanthony3275
    @markanthony3275 Před dnem

    This guy makes me laugh. Zelensky runs around organizing a path to negotiations through third parties, meanwhile Russia has him pinned to the mat. The loser never dictates the terms .

  • @markanthony3275
    @markanthony3275 Před dnem

    According to insider sources in Germany and Russia, so far Putin has lost between 60 and 63 thousand soldiers killed. Ukraine according to estimates has lost conservatively 600,000 dead and almost 1 million wounded . That is why some Ukrainians themselves, have organized against Zelensky and are sabotaging Military recruiter vehicles all over Ukraine ( video you can see for yourself on the Military Summary channel as of seven hours ago). Don't believe me...believe the videos.

  • @sifergy8412
    @sifergy8412 Před dnem

    I don’t mean to bash the US because they saved our acres in a big way during WW2 however to state that they successfully managed Dday the world’s largest wartime marine landing is stretching reality waaaaay to far it was the Royal Navy that organised and managed it (very well) obviously with our allies assisting. The reality is it was a joint effort with the logistics being done majority by RN! In Asia the US could have invaded Taiwan successfully but it would have been a potentially very costly operation and as it turns out ultimately pointless, they made the correct choice which saved countless US service mens lives as such I think they very solidly made the right decision

  • @ozumbabrian7346
    @ozumbabrian7346 Před dnem

    Useless Western ramblings

  • @orterves
    @orterves Před 2 dny

    They should probably just take them over through migration over decades

  • @seanlander9321
    @seanlander9321 Před 2 dny

    The main island of Taiwan is certainly difficult to invade, but the rest of it is within shouting distance of the Chinese coast, which is a dead set cinch to take over and hold, because what are the Americans and Taiwanese going to do, attack those islands when they’re occupied, and for what purpose? If the Chinese are going to take Taiwan, they’ll start with the nearby islands, then wait and see how the world responds.

    • @dturgis
      @dturgis Před dnem

      Would be play a lottery a day too late

  • @gawa88
    @gawa88 Před 2 dny

    I am a Taiwanese who has worked in China for two years. CCP is so corrupted. If they do try to mobilize a large scale blockade or invasion, their ships , jets, tanks… the equipment quality is highly questionable. Not that Taiwan is any where near the level of strong military, but the rotten core of PLA is our best safe guard

  • @Awesomes007
    @Awesomes007 Před 2 dny

    The US is dead f’ing serious about defending Taiwan.

  • @domino20
    @domino20 Před 2 dny

    Why is this necessary? China manufacturers products we need and no longer make for ourselves. The average person in the West doesn’t want war with China or over Ukraine or the Middle East. It’s just these warmongering neocons. To think that the major nuclear powers can resort to conventional warfare to settle their differences makes no sense. Wars become existential so how does it not end up in nuclear brinksmanship? The situation between China and Taiwan results from a civil war in China long ago that the Nationalists lost. It’s their own business not ours. Facilities to manufacture semiconductors could be built elsewhere. We certainly don’t want a nuclear war over it.

  • @rickrimington2760
    @rickrimington2760 Před 2 dny

    great video thanks , Also Chinese army is considered the most corrupt in the world , where offices can buy their rank and also be given rank by high up members of the CCP . for example , XI wife the army danser holds the rank of Major general, Mao su Tungs grand sun who is considered a slow learner and mentally handicapped holds the rank of General .

  • @ricky1231
    @ricky1231 Před 2 dny

    It’s not about the insertion of the soldiers onto Taiwan beaches- it’s the logistics of maintaining those troops given the temperamental cross strait weather !!!! This is a foolish idea to even attempt!!!!! 😅😅😅😅

  • @tonywyli
    @tonywyli Před 2 dny

    this guy is a idiot

  • @stevejobs5533
    @stevejobs5533 Před 2 dny

    Have you had a hair transplant?

  • @artbyty
    @artbyty Před 2 dny

    The silver lining of the Ukraine war may very well be that it has deterred China from invading Taiwan.

  • @SeanHogan_frijole
    @SeanHogan_frijole Před 2 dny

    Great presentation

  • @amunra5330
    @amunra5330 Před 2 dny

    The US is a falling Empire- and it knows it.

  • @kevincollins619
    @kevincollins619 Před 2 dny

    AGAIN

  • @artsseriouschannel
    @artsseriouschannel Před 2 dny

    Invasion vs Conquer. If the CCP wishes to bring Taiwan under its control, it does not need to invade Taiwan. Taiwan has about 26 million residents. Mainland China has about 1,000 million citizens. China does not need the Taiwanese people. China could kill nearly all of them without invading or using nuclear weapons. Normal military kinetic force, starvation and disease could eliminate nearly the total population within 6 months. What the CCP want is to bring the island or land mass of Taiwan under it's control. This would secure China's access to the broader Pacific Ocean. The US and it's allies could fairly easily block China's maritime access. The plan of the CCP is for China to become self sufficient. And be able to prevent the domination of its mainland by outside forces. This may be doable in about 10 years. By 2035. Plus : why would the West care about what happens to 1 billion mainland Chinese.?

  • @user-rp1bh5xv4i
    @user-rp1bh5xv4i Před 2 dny

    Frst, china co no want to start the war, but cooperate. Second, it is to unify Taiwan but not invade.

  • @jacobbirch8870
    @jacobbirch8870 Před 2 dny

    Never heard those weather notes before. Weather was huge impact on timing of Normandy Invasion. AND the Allies had the benefit of the Dieppe Raid as practice to learn from. No Dieppe for this invasion.

  • @Randy.Bobandy
    @Randy.Bobandy Před 2 dny

    Slava Ukraini 🇬🇧🇺🇦

  • @AB-le2ji
    @AB-le2ji Před 2 dny

    best podcast in CZcams

  • @Pindrop22
    @Pindrop22 Před 3 dny

    Nice video. According to recent studies by RAND, it seems that a naval blockade is a likely alternative to invasion. It would be interesting to see your analysis of such a scenario, especially vis a vis food security.

  • @ZxZ239
    @ZxZ239 Před 3 dny

    Taiwan is the new east Berlin might be the stupidest thing I ever heard.

    • @ericdane7769
      @ericdane7769 Před 23 hodinami

      That's because he didn't say that. Why would Taiwan be East Berlin? It's not communist. He said West Berlin, because it's risky and difficult to defend for the US, but very important.

  • @VeganCheeseburger
    @VeganCheeseburger Před 3 dny

    Thank you!

  • @DecodingGeopoliticsPodcast

    The video uses parts of my interview with Mark F. Cancian - you can find the whole interview about wargaming the Taiwan invasion here: czcams.com/video/nE61S9BpDek/video.htmlsi=ZSh6rHpsqASvO7os

  • @richardkut3976
    @richardkut3976 Před 3 dny

    Potato consumption is up in Russia, they can not afford more expensive food, sounds good to me.

  • @SamtheIrishexan
    @SamtheIrishexan Před 3 dny

    The thing is we may not have massive ground forces ammunition but we have enough bombs to at least halt any Russian advances with sea and air power alone. That would give us time to remp up. Luckily this has been a wake up call and production is increasing and the EU is setting uo its own military or trying. We have enough ammo to defend the baltics. The thing is we need cheap weapons not just expensive ones. Small fpv drones that dont cost as much as the switch blade. We also see it is unimaginably expensive to purchase ammunition because of the monopolies they have. It would be a good businessbto set up a factory to build 155 artillery rounds. Those facilities should be buikt around all allied countries to include the pacific for China. HIMARS ammo for example is slow to build. We would have to use the defense production act to turn factories into ammo factories. We need to build ships and planes quicker.

  • @grinishkin
    @grinishkin Před 3 dny

    They will feed you with shit, and you're gonna ask for more. Happy eating.