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Art my Friend!! Very well done and articulated. I love deep thinking about things like this … you definitely may be on to something.

Not sure the computer is the Anti-Christ but it sure seems like the computer will accelerate the coming of one... Better load the fridge with the good stuff just in case. 🍺🍻😈💀☠👹👺👽🤖

Interesting show Art. Going to watch it again after I have digested everything you told us. Will be passing this on to a couple of religious friends to get their input 😂.

The Irish side of my family is doing alright. My three first cousins have nine children between them. The English side, however... I am the second youngest at 56. The youngest is my four-month-old son who I had through surrogacy. Every other relative I know is over 70, except for some step relatives.

Recently a Chinese cancer treatment drug was approved by US. It cost $150 on import but resold to US patients at $3,500. So it means for each dose sold, the GDP of US has increased by $3,000 🤣🤣🤣

17% of US GDP is Health care whereas in China it's 6% and BTW Chinese life expectancy is higher than people in US. Exorbitant residential rents also contribute in ballooning US Gdp

‼️👍👍🇧🇷🇷🇺🇮🇳🇨🇳🇿🇦➕️👏👏✌️

Keep on dreaming!

I think you need to do a lot more research on this topic, because many of the things you say are inaccurate or downright wrong. First, China is NOT facing the problems that Japan faced in the 1990s. The Japanese economy went into a long stagnation not because the US decided to pull manufacturing out of Japan in the 1980s and switch it to China. By the 1970s and 1980s, Japanese manufacturing was concentrated in the hands of Japanese, not American, corporations. Honda and Toyota were beating the Detroit car companies hands down in the US market, Japanese electronics companies such a Matsushita and Sony were producing better TVs, Hi-Fi sound systems, radios and CD players. Sony was one of the most innovative companies on earth, coming up with the Sony Walkman and the idea of ear phones. Most US manufacturers could not hold a candle to Japan. There was a huge wave of US protectionist sentiment against the Japanese. Their economy tanked because of 2 main issues. There was a huge housing bubble that the government did not control, leading for example to the real estate occupied by the Imperial Palace in Tokyo to be valued as being worth more than the whole state of California. When the economy started to weaken in 1989-1990, property prices dipped and many home buyers found that they had loans which were more than the equity of their holdings. This led to belt tightening by the Japanese people, who cut back on a lot of consumer spending, which led to worsening economic cycles. It was a vicious cycle. Unlike in the US, which allowed for brief but very brutal recessions, the Japanese companies tried to hold on to workers, and were encouraged to do so by the government. This led to bloated companies which became loss making enterprises for years. Japanese salaries stagnated. At the same time, the banks could not clean up their balance sheets by writing off bad loans, since most of these loans related to the housing bubble. Both banks and companies ended up being zombie corporations for years. Another reason for Japan's economic malaise was as a result of the Plaza Accords, which the Reagan administration forced on Japan's government. This was an agreement for the Japanese to peg the Yen at a certain value against the greenback, leading to their currency being over-valued. The Plaza Accords meant that Japan could no longer export its way out of the inflation it found itself in at the end of the 1980s. Then there was the rise of Korea, which started to produce cheaper cars, cheaper electronics, etc. Korean competition from companies like Samsung, Hyundai, etc., led to Japanese consumer products and cars facing another serious Asian competitor. Over the years, the Korean manufacturers proved themselves to be a lot more innovative and nimble than the Japanese. China today is in a different place than Japan was in the 1990s. It does not yet have a property bubble; one was indeed building up, but the Chinese government has burst it in the most ruthless fashion that I have ever seen. Large property companies like Evergrande had built housing which they sold at sky-high prices, as the sales policies encouraged speculation in real estate. These companies' business strategy was to borrow huge sums of money, then build and sell luxury housing units to speculators and reap huge profits out of this. In 2021, the Chinese government stepped in, because they saw that the strategy was actually leading to a market bubble, while pricing the ordinary man in the street out of a home. Because banks in China are state-owned, and must follow state policies, the government was able to instruct the banks to stop rolling over loans to Evergrande and a few other large property developers. This sent these companies, especially Evergrande which borrowed on a grand scale, into a financial tailspin, where they could not repay bonds and other loans. The government then demanded that these companies use whatever income they recovered from home sales to finish their projects, so that people could move into their apartments. This further meant that bond holders and shareholders (very many of them foreign speculators and investors) got burnt, but home buyers still got their units. Evergrande was allowed to go into liquidation, its management arrested, and the property bubble nipped in the bud. There was also a new policy, which restricted the amount of loans to property companies, on the basis that houses are built to be lived in, not speculated on. This was a controlled implosion of the property sector. The reason for this was, first, to curb the bubble that was building, but also in response to US trade restrictions, second, to divert loans away from the property sector to the high tech manufacturing sector. You also mentioned about provincial government debt. This debt was incurred in the 2000s to build out China's infrastructure, and because the connectivity has raised overall productivity, even third and fourth tier cities have prospered. There is no problem on the whole with servicing of this debt. In any case, the debt was incurred in RMB, the Chinese currency, and the creditors are China's largest, state-owned banks. It really is paying from one hand to the other. It is true that some of the debt had to be restructured, mainly as a result of the sudden high interest rate resulting from the US and Western inflation in recent years, but this was done with a view to spreading the debt out over a longer period to keep interest rates affordable for provincial and city governments. China's trade surplus with the world in 2023 was around USD 850 billion. It is flush with cash to inject liquidity into its banking system in a way that no Western country except for the US is able to do. The US can do so by printing US dollars, and it had done so for many years, but this ability is curbed recently because of the inflation which has eaten into the economy. Chinese provinces can afford to repay their current debt, because the economy as a whole has been growing, and local government income from tax and investments have increased over the years. China's economy is already larger than the US' when you take the more accurate measure of GDP by the purchasing power parity method. US$1 does not buy the same amount of goods in the US as it does in China. Applying the PPP method, China has an economy which is estimated at around US$30 trillion, which makes it considerably larger than than US' US$24-25 trillion. It is true that China's demographic numbers show that its population has decreased. This was due to the draconian one child policy, but that has been reversed, and couples are allowed now to have 3 children. Most of the urban dwellers will stop at 2, but even with the rate of decrease of 2 million per year, the estimated number of people that China will have in 100 years, will still be around 1.2 billion. Still, depopulation is a real concern. But your point about social security, etc., might not be applicable to China. The reason is this - the growth of China has been extremely fast. It has stepped into the threshold of a reasonably rich nation (2023 per capita income was around US$13,000) from almost universal poverty in around 40 years, or a little over 2 generations. This means that productivity rise has been massive. Given the lower level of consumption that the older generation is used to, they would be relatively less of a burden in retirement than an equivalent retiree in the West. China has moved up the value-added chain, and does not only manufacture toys and cheap tat anymore, but electric vehicles, communications equipment, drones, the entire solar and windpower ecosystem, batteries, etc. Last year, it beat Japan into becoming the largest car exporter on Earth. While trade with the US has gone down, this is because the Chinese have been going to Mexico to assemble finished goods and them have them exported from Mexico into the US, to bypass US tariffs. You need to check out the trade figures between China and Mexico, to better understand this phenomenon. And it is not just Mexico. The Chinese are among the largest investors in Vietnamese manufacturing. The largest mobile phone seller in Africa, a potential market of a billion people, is Chinese. It designs mobile phones specifically for the African market in China, manufactures the components there, and then exports these components to be assembled in Africa. Meanwhile, Chinese labour is being steadily replaced by automation - China is the largest market for, and the biggest manufacturer of, mid-end robotic systems. The Chinese growth story is NOT at an end. Last year, China's GDP growth was 5.2%, while that of the US was less than half of that at 2.5%. At this rate, China is looking to overtake the US in dollar GDP terms by about 2035-2036.

Of course, their official GDP figures will at some point surpass the US's. Their actual GDP? Not even close.

Although i dont agree with your conclusion but all the points you brought up were very objective and convincing!

Great show Art! You're the only person I know who can make economics or biological science interesting 🤗 It's hard to get my head around these massive numbers in economic debt though.

My family is definately shrinking; and I couldn't care less.

There is one aspect of demographics that I have not seen many CZcamsrs comment upon. I agree that China's demographics will mean that her population will decrease this century. And most commentators say that this will be catastrophic for China's economy. However, how does a population actually help a nation's economy? It is that a high population usually gives you a large labour force to produce economic output. China will combat her demographic decline by utilising the labour of other countries in the process of setting up factories and farms in other countries, especially in the Global South, and employing local labour. So there will be economic output on account but not using Chinese citizen's labour. The British Empire ruled the world at one point, even though it had a tiny native population. The other thing is that China used to implement the one child policy which was discontinued las decade. However if needed, it could try to have a reverse policy. It would be harder to pull off for sure. But it could do things like giving increasing tax breaks for the more children you have, all the way to providing free housing for larger families as the state owns many properties and "ghost citites". The Chinese State will own many more properties before the property bust is over as it says it will not bail out property developers. And who owns the distressed properties eventually, the State of course. Also, China has instigated the mass production of robots and y 2025 she hopes to make robots commonplace in society. This also ameliorates the effect of demographic decline. So you see, China has problems for sure, but demographics can be solved with many tools.

This guy definitely bought the story that China meticulously crafted for them. A narrative that China want others to believe is that China is not to be feared, and its growth is slowing down as the US continue growing. This is how and what China wants to portray itself to the West But in reality, China is not playing "China's growth will slow down, and the US will continue to grow' In reality, China is playing "we'll pull the rug under your feet" game. How do China do this? By putting together 2 strategies: 1) Make USD irrelevant through BRICS 2) Produces everything cheaper and better than the US. As you know, Janet Yellen recently visited China for the umpteenth time. This time with a clear plead.. slow down your production, it is killing the US companies. Meaning, point #2 (China produces everything better and cheaper) is already impacting the US economy.. Or just listen to what Elon said.. "If we don't impose tariff on Chinese EV, Western EV companies WILL collapse". So yes, China's growth will be a single digit from here on. But the US will soon experience a double whammy. Its USD will have less users (hence hyper inflation and less loans to grow the US economy) and its products has less buyers (e.g. BYD is literary killing Tesla). So the US & EU economy will shrink (negative growth) just as China continue its single digit expansion. That's how China's plan to surpass the US and EU collectively.

Just give you a timely different perspective for reference if you are interested . See: “China Is Still Risig: Don't Underestimate The World's Second-Biggest Economy" by Nicholas R. Lardy in Foreign Affairs (latest edition).

China's perspective on it's own economics czcams.com/video/yzQBLn2f3oY/video.htmlsi=rjlze9AXnVEBBfCk

The Gdp of USA is growing fast because of inflation, while in China they have experienced deflation for the past 3 years, that is why USA seems to growth fast in Gdp measurement, but China is slowly moving to a reasonable inflation rate, and for sure China Gdp will overtake the USA Gdp by 2040 or even before (2038)

When a monkey is mimicking what it sees and hears then pretending it knows about China.

After they blowed up Pearl Harbor I have been pretty distrustful of them. 😞

gdp is a trash measurement

When it comes to most countries not accepting USD for trading and commercial use, you can print as much money you want but it will stay in the US causing inflation. And that bye bye.

The analysis you presented are largely false. Apple had to go back to China because all supply chains are in China and because India mfg are coming out with sub quality phones. Population ... America 350M+ in size while China is 1.3B+ in size but roughly same amount of land. Even with high immigration which the US government has to spend taxes on, the population is far from that China's. Your money being spent to feed and house these immigrants ( you must be a moron to love the idea) China is moving on to high tech fields they are either outsourcing labor intensive work to other countries or just use robotics in their manufacturing. There won't be a need for a very large labor force. Talking about the housing bubble, while US is bailing them out by using taxpayer's money. China allows them to go under thereby bringing the whole housing value down making them affordable to all. In China there are no homeless people while in America, homeless people are everywhere. See the difference? I could go on. Do more research before posting. Do not be a part of the propaganda machine. Americans need to know what is really going on.

This is over. There is no longer any way for China to surpass the United States GDP. The US is closer to doubling the Chinese GDP than they are catching up. China's productivity peaked back in 2014 and they have been faking it ever since then. The demographic changes they are going through are insurmountable. They are no longer the largest population. Estimates have their population down to 600M by 2100.

China's economy already overtook the US economy in 2017 by PPP which is the real measure of the economy adjusted for local crisis. As long as America's inflation rate outpaces China's real economic growth, America will always have the biggest nominal GDP. Today, the average Chinese is already living better than the average American. Chinese cities are cleaner, greener, more energetic and safer than American cities.

At 9:25, you claim that China's debt-to-GDP ratio is 360%. Out of curiosity, what's the source of that number? According to the IMF, China's debt-to-GDP ratio is at 77.1% as of 2022. (According to IMF also, as of 2022, Japan is at 261.29% and the US is at 121.38%). I'm not saying you're wrong, I'm just wondering if there's a more accurate data source than the IMF.

It’s great to be optimistic! But after you sober up, you should do some more of your own research instead of getting your info from MSM. Those ghost towns in China that you’re talking about is only half true and the other half is propaganda. You see, the Chinese have about 400 million people that are still living in rural area and are planning on moving those people in to urban areas across China in the next 5 years. That’s how the Chinese do things and if you look around in our cities across the US, we are doing the exact same thing for many years now. Anyways, all the best to you.

No especially when they keep raising the stakes with there paranoid control freak national security laws 😅!!!

China will never pass the GDP as long as US is printing more and more money. When China get close, we can print a few Trillions. Then it will take China a few more years to catch up. We can repeat this forever.... hahahahaha

Great show Art 😊. You taught me something new and you also brought back some memories. 😅

Very interesting episode, Art! Cheers!

I actually stayed to watch your show despite you talking about the orange guy 😂😂😂. Too bad my other friends wouldn't watch this. It might open up their minds about how similar these two are.

Great show Art! Don't agree about NATO though. Trump will let it die and let Putin wreak havoc in Eastern Europe. He's already blocking the aid to Ukraine now by strong-arming Congress - whereas Biden is trying to get the aid through.

Ozempic is just the latest creation of corrupt Big Pharma swamp..! NEVER get on something they say you can never get off..! Study functional medicine doctors (Dr. Mark Hyman, Dr. Dale Bredesen, others) that help to restore function, rather than diagnosing, managing, treating you with wacked out pharmaceuticals. Statins are another huge fraud perpetrated on mindless sheep... People, take charge of and own your health, continuously educate yourself, seek natural time tested remedies, exercise, lifestyle, nutrition, to restore health and balance in your body, mind, spirit..! Blessings from Phoenix..! 🏜

Obviously obesity is a result of being lazy, eat far too much and make all kinds of excuses why the fat is adding on. Solution is equally simple. Start moving. Eat less. Stop blaming things such as "hormones", "big bones" and all that BS and get in control of your own life. To make it easier for all the fat out there. You are disgusting being fat. You are in the way. You are slow. Plus often have bad hygiene.

So what happens when these people want to get off this medication? There is no easy path

i was eating a lot of olestra and lost weight but i had the violent terrible shits and made a lot of messes everywhere.

Well, I am always leery about these heuristic drug solutions. Well, drug X doesn't cure cancer but it puts hair on your chest, maybe we can market it to teens... Oh well, I wouldn't worry about the food industry. They are already on top of this, it's called "Shrinkflation". Joe Biden is already complaining about the smaller cookie and ice cream package sizes for the same old high prices!

I am on Ozempec 😂. Thankfully I am not having too many side effects. However, you are spot on about the food industry. I have cut down on eating fast food by 90% 😂😂😂. I am curious about your other two friends using Ozempec. Are they exercising?

Cheers Art!

Good show Art. However, I thought you were going to talk about the Taylor Swift, SF, NFL Woke Super Bowl and election conspiracy. Maybe you can do a part II... The peanut butter bars and beer were great!!

I have so many comments about this show. None of which I could write online 😂😂😂. Like your game idea. Where do you get such unique beer?😊

We need protection of all humans life from moment of conception.

Great acting Art! You're a natural zombie 😆

You make a crazy zombie 🧟‍♂️ 😮

Hi Art, you have a great content in the video. The vast majority of people do not realize that actually 4/5 of the countries in the world are already in sub replacement rates. I will just leave one thing I have been researching on my own since I am kinda of Geography nerd. The rate of 2.1 (per woman) is not actually enough to replace any population around the world if you run it long enough, especially as the age of bearing kids are growing older. I ran few calculus of the Canadian population and even in a ''non violent'' society as the Canadian they will be not able to replace themselves at certain point with this rate. The one that I found for Canada with the data available was 2.18 in a run of 80 years. Countries with poor infrastructure and higher violence rates will definitely need something over 2.3 to replace their population. In Brazil (my country) I got the rate of 2.34 for 100 years. We are way under that at 1.55 children per woman. Also a number more reliable for understanding this situation would be the births per 1000 inhabitants, anything under 16 per 1000 will be definitely shrinking at some point, if we disregard the immigration.

Happy New Year Art!! Good show. You made me watch the whole show to see what you were drinking. Nice tactic 😆. Well, my family needs to get to work... Anyway you can tell your family, (the same excuse I use), that you are irreplaceable!

Good show Art. I haven't put it on paper Yet, but I will say my family is shrinking. So surprised your family failed. You have such a large family right now. Since you still have young members you just might make it. You still could have a couple of kids of your own 😂 My feelings are the young generation don't want to have kids these days. Can't really blame them either.

Arthurrrrr Tamara Swearingen reaching out to say hi!! Loved the kitchen remodel!! You have not changed after all of these years!!

Quite impressive leadership skills. I bet you can fly with that cape too! Thanks for the shows this year. They're good to start the day with 🙂