Things Are About to Get Absolutely Crazy… (SP500 Breaks Down)
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- čas přidán 9. 09. 2024
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DISCLAIMER: This video is for entertainment purposes only. We are not financial advisers, and you should do your own research and go through your own thought process before investing in a position. Trading is risky; best of luck!
I think it'll be a bad idea to invest anything right until the stock market divergence between the S&P 500 and GDP shrinks. In the meantime just trade the charts and take advantage of the drops.
The Buffet Indicator is currently 195%. Warren Buffet does not see much worth buying "unless things change" AKA stocks are clearly over-valued and will inevitably correct.
Am I an idiot for thinking we need a painful drawdown to keep a healthy market.
The VIX spiked above 65 this week.
VIX normally spikes like that in market bottoms, so it's a weird world right now
@@dantheman909 I think it usually tops before the market bottoms, like an early indicator
Insane, right??
@@dantheman909 it left a bottom august 05th
Had no money for the spike 😢
Holding stock, buying etfs and alts
The unusual reason for the spike in vix was the carry trade in yen that was 20 trillion. Many people were liquidated when japan did a surprise rate hike. But this might have been just a warning shot that something far worse is coming so much risk exposure out there. Im happy to hold bond etfs and gold which should preform very well during rate cuts. Then when crash looks likely too happy and euphoria is over that soft landing wont work ill sit on cash and buy puts on the S&P500
Japan only increased rates by 0.25% and US hasnt cut rates yet. You think theres more people that havent dropped the carry trade yet?
Me personally i think the markets got plenty room to go down, and ill be buying SPY leaps when i feel its dropped a good amount.
@@blueknightcraze6766and they raised it from zero, so Japan is at 0.25 and US is over 5%. So carry trade continues. I’m doing it now. Everyone in the world invests in US stocks.
The macro picture is so awful there's no way I can see the bull market continuing.
The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
What's so awful?
The fact that everyone EXPECTING a recession is good for the market , I don’t see it dropping
Show us the war vs market chart
Sure, we can do that in a future episode (geopolitical risk index has risen a bit but nothing too alarming)
This artificial holding up is gonna tank hard. HARD. Greedy ones will hurt the most.
I’m just holding what I got and saving cash for the massive drop coming. Gonna be shopping spree.
I think this vol spike may turn out to be just the appetizer - a shot across the bow. You see this with other rate cutting cycles, where there is an initial spike right around the end of the rate plateau and as the cuts are about to start. But, as the rate cut cycle gets underway, we eventually see the main spike, which likely corresponds to capitulation and weak hands being washed out of their positions after HODL'ing for as long as they could, and as the economic slow down really starts to bite and put broader strain on the financial system.
With it being an election year this is normal for this type of correction… historically speaking, sp500 is only gonna go up..
Just hold efts and wait 10 years
I love a good eft
Just started investing into 6 ETFs 2 days ago and will continue growing each one, you got any good advice when investing into ETFs?
Pick one, not six@@Dxriz1
@@Dxriz1 Yes. After buying, forget you bought it.
@@Dxriz1 i just drop 500$ every month, i usualy dont look at the price but if it is down the same day i sometimes pu 650$ but if it is up like 8% i usually wait for next day to invest when its down a bit...
next unemployment rate report will show us was it a weather problem or a crash xD
I think the Fed has made it pretty clear that an emergency rate cut is not on the table right now. So some further pressure may be needed to change their mind. It won't prevent a recession from playing out though.
Yes, a sustained bounce may be difficult without that type of development.
Super quality content from Game of Trades! Love the channel and the analysis, did not skip a video in the last 2 years. Keep up with the great work!
What do you think about investors just not wanting to hold cash?
Huh? Who doesn’t want to hold cash right now that it’s paying a decent 5%?
I see future rate cuts, potentially quantitative easing along with the election subsiding boosting the economy and then sometime next year inflationary pressures alongside expensive pricing for living catching up with everyone therefore igniting a recession. The way things have been going with current macroeconomic conditions isn't looking pretty. What are your thoughts?
I yolo'd some MNST puts and made a ton this week, gonna use those gains to buy subscription to GoT, well worth it
your macro analysis is the best on yt. just don't touch btc.
What about bitcoin pls can you do a video on that my friend appreciate everything you do ❤
Take some profits then T-Bill and chill.
So....yes stocks (and by extension crypto) could peak at another all-time-high next summer before capitulating into huge sell off into a recession.
If CPI / PPI is anything but perfect next week it’ll be a bloodbath 😅
AJ Monte thinks we're likely heading to the Covid 2020 lows. Any thoughts?
Very possible that we reach those level at the heart of the next recession.
😳OMG! That is 61%drop.
Great video.
Clear and excellent information.
Thank you
Excellent market analsys as always on GOT! Keep up the good work!
Every single metric before a heavy recession or worse is currently triggered or even at historical record levels, except for one:
Fed raising rates.
They'll raise rates, we'll have a 10% improvement temporarily, and then we'll head directly into a crash.
The Fed has never fixed anything.
So they are sitting it out unless the S&P500 breaks through the downtrend channel (shown at 7min 50sec). Most of their trades were removed during July and what trades they have now are "tilted towards a recession".
Keeping an eye on TLT now
I love watching this pretending I understand any of it
sell in the relief, get the profit, buy back in the bottom. At least in theory lol 😅
1:25
It also could go higher like it did in the 90’s
🙂 This is wonderful, I've subscribed. I am curious, what do you use for your motion graphics? I would love to use it for my other tutorials. thanks for sharing!
SVIX trade had to be quick
trump said he doesnt want bad economy, he wants it to happen fast before he is elected
This will truly be epic and historic
New ATH.
no soft exit
for boomers
Hi can do a charts on BTC thxs🎉
Excellent thanks
Thanks dear
Sahm rules?
Energy’s decline is expected, given the shift towards renewable energy sources.
Time to cash out and run, this stocks market is manipulated by fed and wall street big funds....
Thanks bro, made good enough of profit. Love your video 3xETF 🎉
New ath incoming.
Left to right always higher over time... there will always be a rescue operation...
Also constant inflation of the monetary supply so of course its always will go up. ..
We would be scraping the BTC off the $2k level if it happens.
cant wait.
Wheather?
the vix is messed up due to 0dte
Wasn't Powell has been signaling a rate cut during his last speech?
Sounds like a Bull market atleast untill Election day ;)
I definitely think we are heading into a recession, so I think your caution is very smart!
My two cents: The AI bubble began to pop with the Crowdstrike disaster. You can see it with this market correction. You can see it in the technical damage done to the semiconductor stocks charts. Trends breaking down everywhere. I think the market will rally to near ATHs but will fizzle out at some point and just grind sideways until another bear catalyst shows up. What happened to the VIX has never happened before though and it has already fallen significantly. So another big selloff in the next month or two seems unlikely.
btc chart plz
this nation seems heading to war
Arent you opening a door to a soft lending?
A melt up has always been on the table from the insane money printing.
soft landing with 35T debt and ww3?😂
still don't get it why is everyone expecting a recession?
Did you watch the video or pause it and head straight too the comments?
I think we need it.We need a personal reset from our current life style ! We need to change ,grow ,develop personaly and spiritualy!
Cause prices are up and spending is up, but buying is down, if that makes sense.
People spend more on general stuff, food gas and amenities, people are buying less for themselves like household white ware, cars ECT, that's how recession starts, things get to expensive through trade, world wide conflicts disrupting shipping routes
Told ya that bull run is over. Slowly for now, but let's wait few more months.
imagine the goverment + fed let the inflation goes so high, that the national debt will be nothing. the possible inflation of asset esp the stock market longterm!
You need to look at countries like Argentina, Venezuela, or Zimbabwe to understand exactly why hyper inflation is really REALLY bad.
Thank you sir 🙏