I found this fascinating, but I believe it is flawed. The flawed premise is that you compared two contrasting methods as if they were the same. In the first visual test, you set the goal of making $100 profit, and worked the system until the goal was met and then you quit. Essentially, in this test, you "took the money and ran." Game over. However, in the simulated graphics you used different method, that is, you ran a set number of 1,000 games, which showed a loss at the end most of the time, but a profit at the start. Had you used the first method, that is, leaving the game with a profit, then your last examples would have to be set up to play out 1,000 games or stop with a profit. Had you quit your charted games with a profit, like your first game, then you would have left with 7 profited games and 3 losses on the first set, ALL 12 profited games on your second set, and 10 profited games and 2 losses on your third set. I'm not defending d"Alembert as a system, but I believe you compared apples to oranges here. Either run the first test 1,000 times like the last sets, or runt he last sets to stop with a profit like the first set.
I win ALL the time with the System and hit a win goal and stop OR take a loss I. E. I drop my bets when things get to crazy and climb back to profits . 😎
@@baccaratchismith How much do you usually take profit before hitting a stop loss? (Especially for TP = SL) Is your most sessions take profit or stop loss?
Great video. I 've found that if you switch your bet after two losses in a row while maintaining the D'Alembert bet count, you can catch streaks as they happen. Had you switched over to Banker while keeping the count, you could have caught the back end of that first loosing streak and made money, or made your one unit goal much quicker. I've tested this with play money on roulette red/black using a much lower bank roll , and using a win-goal model of one unit per session betting multiple sessions, and a 50 unit win per series starting with one unit bets. I haven't lost yet after multiple games. Takes between forty minutes to an hour to win 50 units, one unit at a time. Switching after two losses in a row may be the missing key to D'Alembert.
But if you must or really want to use a betting system, then NEVER pay for one.. just use the free ones , otherwise you'll get scammed out of your money.
The odds will determine win and loss ratio, but the amount of money lost won't necessarily be the exact same ratio since the betting amounts are different, isn't that right?
I don't recommend people gamble with a negative expectation, but for my friends that enjoy the recreational aspect of playing table games with even money propositions with low vigs...i do suggest this betting strategy and some similar ones such as the cancelation strategy. The ability to win slightly less decisions and still come up a winner is good, and I think it gives a casual player a decent chance to go home a winner from a day or couple of nights at a casino location. Casual players get value out of getting to come home a winner, as long as they understand that in the end the odds will prevail.
This is glorious, I've been looking for "how are betting odds calculated?" for a while now, and I think this has helped. Have you ever come across - Meyackentae Foundational Magic - (search on google )? It is a good exclusive guide for discovering how to use this method to finally win at betting without the headache. Ive heard some pretty good things about it and my m8 got great success with it.
An interesting idea although likely to more successful betting on the Dealer rather than the Player being that the probability I have found to be slightly more frequent. My suggestion is to make another Clip betting on the Dealer. In your clip the Dealer won 16 times, the Player won 12 times with 2 ties.
I have not put as much thought into this as Michael has however my initial thought here is that the simulations in his video are misleading. There is no rule that says you have to stop at exactly 1000 rounds regardless of whether you are up or down. Most of those simulations were in the red at 1000 rounds because most of them had majority losses towards the end of the 1000 rounds. If they had majority wins at the end of the 1000 rounds they finished with a profit. This doesn't prove anything. What we do see is that regardless of whether there was a profit or loss at round 1000, the vast majority of the simulations had points where a profit was reached much earlier on and the player could have chosen to quit while he was ahead and walked away a winner. Or started again with a one unit bet so his new (increased) bankroll will carry him beyond 1000 rounds until more wins are achieved. Please someone tell me if I'm wrong here? In my mind this is a flawless system because your winning bets are always going to be larger than your losing bets and if you play long enough your wins versus losses are always going to get closer and closer to 50/50. At which point you will win one unit for every pair of loss and win rounds. If your bankroll is large enough and your unit size and profit goal is small enough, and you have the discipline to reset every time you reach your profit goal, in my mind, you should always come out ahead. If I'm missing something, I sincerely hope somebody can explain it to me.
James R I don’t think there is anything being promoted in the video. The point was to show the house advantage at a 1000 shoes. It’s pure math taking a sample amount with certain variables. If anything it helps you make better decisions. A thousand sessions is a lot. Many things come into play asides numbers. Fatigue, doubt, mistakes ... sure you can put a stop loss to protect winnings... but it’s purely at your discretion. No system is absolute ... I don’t want to deter anyone from cliche remarks but there’s a reason casinos are still standing. What is needed is confidence and knowing your limitations... because that’s the only thing that will allow you to bet and allow you to grind back your money. Limitations aren’t necessarily monetary ... but limitations in the time, effort, and knowledge. Many gamblers will watch this and make comments based on what has already happened... hindsight is 20/20. Murphy’s law is quite apparent in bacc and you can use it to your advantage
You are right simulations cannot predict if you will loose or win .it is only for a certain way of betting like if you bet only on red for 1000 spins straight
I agree, I'm still convinced that despite the house odds, if you have a big enough bank roll and stop once you're ahead then more money can be won than lost despite the odds difference. This system allows you to lose more than winning and still be ahead sometimes
4181, I totally agree with your assessment. I am currently doing exactly what you described and have always gotten out of holes and hit my small profit goal and rest my bet to the minimum when achieved. I have had very fast profit goal wins and some that took hours, but it always came back and won. I know the math that I have about a 48% chance of winning red or black on a single zero wheel, but I wish I could determine the math of winning a little more than you lose every time and resetting your bets after small wins looks like. I think using this system with everything described gives you probably a 55-58% chance of a profit, combined with a 48% chance of winning is just enough to stay profitable in the long run I think..
I hope you can mathematically explain in equations and variables, or even excel like you did in basic strategy, and calculating house edge. It will be very interesting if you can do that for each betting systems.
The system was made for the banker bet, because unlike every other even money bet in the casino the banker bet WINS more than it loses. Yes we know about the commisions.
Would like to see D'alambert on the BANKER baccarat bet-the only even money bet where you are more likely to win than lose. Even with the commisions? Would love to see a million hand simulation.
I would like to know how many chops were there? How many time did it go from banker and player in a row.... on a RNG you will not win but real dealer you will. .. this is no way i would lose 10 straight times because i would have moved my bet to other banker as soon as I lose...
Great video thank you! Can you please explain to me, if i have a 250x bank roll, at what point should i “stop”? Say if i hit 20 consecutive losses and my bet size is 20x. Do i keep going until i run out?
Sir, how would be the betting mechanism for D’alembet if we play roulette with 2 dozen, I mean 65% winning probability? How many units should the bet increase when we lose and how many units should it decrease when we win?
Agresive press bet can cause u loss a lot of money.. u are not 100% win 2nd or 3rd bet .. but if u understand martingale method, that's the best way to play it.. I didn't say martingale can guarantee u win profit.. depends on ur playing style.
Go Up one unit when you lose Go down two unit when you win Or vice versa You shouldnt go up and down by equal units ... Please test d'alembert in this way and share the results ...
I'm baffled. If the goal is to win just one unit then 49% of the time you would win on the first roll. All the math would be the results of the 51% of the time you lose on the first bet which would need to be added to the 49%.. However this doesn't make any sense to me either.
The reason in the difference in win %ages is in the drawing strategies for both and the fact that banker's draw will depend on the player hand. Banker only drawing a third card when the player's draw IMPROVE his hand. It is similar in BJ, but here comes House's edge from the fact, that dealer acts after all, so player can bust first before dealer takes decision.
If you play on one banker or player on a RNG... you will lose. You have to play follow the winner. I guarantee you will win.... baccarat don't chop as much.... you have to move your bets...
if i start with 200 or 300$ and my goal is to win 50$ or 100$, then this system fails. If my goal is 100$ and i have 10k credit. there is way more easier and faster ways to get that goal
These old systems have many flaws... why don't you try something new... there are newer better systems out there... ya just have to know where to find them!
I’m looking for a system I had seen before. You bet 1-1-1-1-1. If you are down you go to 2-2-2-2-2. If you win you stick with 1-1-1-1-1.Does anyone know what it’s called?
I found this fascinating, but I believe it is flawed. The flawed premise is that you compared two contrasting methods as if they were the same. In the first visual test, you set the goal of making $100 profit, and worked the system until the goal was met and then you quit. Essentially, in this test, you "took the money and ran." Game over. However, in the simulated graphics you used different method, that is, you ran a set number of 1,000 games, which showed a loss at the end most of the time, but a profit at the start. Had you used the first method, that is, leaving the game with a profit, then your last examples would have to be set up to play out 1,000 games or stop with a profit. Had you quit your charted games with a profit, like your first game, then you would have left with 7 profited games and 3 losses on the first set, ALL 12 profited games on your second set, and 10 profited games and 2 losses on your third set. I'm not defending d"Alembert as a system, but I believe you compared apples to oranges here. Either run the first test 1,000 times like the last sets, or runt he last sets to stop with a profit like the first set.
lovely point
This guy is a shill😂
I win ALL the time with the System and hit a win goal and stop OR take a loss I. E. I drop my bets when things get to crazy and climb back to profits . 😎
@@baccaratchismith
How much do you usually take profit before hitting a stop loss?
(Especially for TP = SL)
Is your most sessions take profit or stop loss?
@@baccaratchismithplease tell about stop loss
This is very educational! All gamblers should go through your videos at least once, before even setting a foot in a casino.
Great video. I 've found that if you switch your bet after two losses in a row while maintaining the D'Alembert bet count, you can catch streaks as they happen. Had you switched over to Banker while keeping the count, you could have caught the back end of that first loosing streak and made money, or made your one unit goal much quicker. I've tested this with play money on roulette red/black using a much lower bank roll , and using a win-goal model of one unit per session betting multiple sessions, and a 50 unit win per series starting with one unit bets. I haven't lost yet after multiple games. Takes between forty minutes to an hour to win 50 units, one unit at a time. Switching after two losses in a row may be the missing key to D'Alembert.
You still win with this method?
Yes whenever you’re up and you wanna play it safe, you can always reset to your original 1 unit. Good luck 🍀.
Thanks Michael for summarizing in the end, that no betting system can win the house. And that nobody should ever pay for one. Very good tips.
But if you must or really want to use a betting system, then NEVER pay for one.. just use the free ones , otherwise you'll get scammed out of your money.
The odds will determine win and loss ratio, but the amount of money lost won't necessarily be the exact same ratio since the betting amounts are different, isn't that right?
I don't recommend people gamble with a negative expectation, but for my friends that enjoy the recreational aspect of playing table games with even money propositions with low vigs...i do suggest this betting strategy and some similar ones such as the cancelation strategy. The ability to win slightly less decisions and still come up a winner is good, and I think it gives a casual player a decent chance to go home a winner from a day or couple of nights at a casino location. Casual players get value out of getting to come home a winner, as long as they understand that in the end the odds will prevail.
The simulations are my favorite part! The math never lies.
wiz does talk in maths
This is glorious, I've been looking for "how are betting odds calculated?" for a while now, and I think this has helped. Have you ever come across - Meyackentae Foundational Magic - (search on google )?
It is a good exclusive guide for discovering how to use this method to finally win at betting without the headache. Ive heard some pretty good things about it and my m8 got great success with it.
An interesting idea although likely to more successful betting on the Dealer rather than the Player being that the probability I have found to be slightly more frequent. My suggestion is to make another Clip betting on the Dealer. In your clip the Dealer won 16 times, the Player won 12 times with 2 ties.
Always enjoy your videos, they are informative and most importantly HONEST. Please keep posting them, I also enjoy your Q & A's videos
i second this motion
I have not put as much thought into this as Michael has however my initial thought here is that the simulations in his video are misleading.
There is no rule that says you have to stop at exactly 1000 rounds regardless of whether you are up or down. Most of those simulations were in the red at 1000 rounds because most of them had majority losses towards the end of the 1000 rounds. If they had majority wins at the end of the 1000 rounds they finished with a profit. This doesn't prove anything.
What we do see is that regardless of whether there was a profit or loss at round 1000, the vast majority of the simulations had points where a profit was reached much earlier on and the player could have chosen to quit while he was ahead and walked away a winner. Or started again with a one unit bet so his new (increased) bankroll will carry him beyond 1000 rounds until more wins are achieved.
Please someone tell me if I'm wrong here?
In my mind this is a flawless system because your winning bets are always going to be larger than your losing bets and if you play long enough your wins versus losses are always going to get closer and closer to 50/50.
At which point you will win one unit for every pair of loss and win rounds.
If your bankroll is large enough and your unit size and profit goal is small enough, and you have the discipline to reset every time you reach your profit goal, in my mind, you should always come out ahead.
If I'm missing something, I sincerely hope somebody can explain it to me.
James R I don’t think there is anything being promoted in the video. The point was to show the house advantage at a 1000 shoes. It’s pure math taking a sample amount with certain variables. If anything it helps you make better decisions. A thousand sessions is a lot. Many things come into play asides numbers. Fatigue, doubt, mistakes ... sure you can put a stop loss to protect winnings... but it’s purely at your discretion. No system is absolute ... I don’t want to deter anyone from cliche remarks but there’s a reason casinos are still standing. What is needed is confidence and knowing your limitations... because that’s the only thing that will allow you to bet and allow you to grind back your money. Limitations aren’t necessarily monetary ... but limitations in the time, effort, and knowledge. Many gamblers will watch this and make comments based on what has already happened... hindsight is 20/20. Murphy’s law is quite apparent in bacc and you can use it to your advantage
You are right simulations cannot predict if you will loose or win .it is only for a certain way of betting like if you bet only on red for 1000 spins straight
I agree, I'm still convinced that despite the house odds, if you have a big enough bank roll and stop once you're ahead then more money can be won than lost despite the odds difference. This system allows you to lose more than winning and still be ahead sometimes
Yup the big bankroll you'll need to stay ahead and win!
4181, I totally agree with your assessment. I am currently doing exactly what you described and have always gotten out of holes and hit my small profit goal and rest my bet to the minimum when achieved. I have had very fast profit goal wins and some that took hours, but it always came back and won. I know the math that I have about a 48% chance of winning red or black on a single zero wheel, but I wish I could determine the math of winning a little more than you lose every time and resetting your bets after small wins looks like. I think using this system with everything described gives you probably a 55-58% chance of a profit, combined with a 48% chance of winning is just enough to stay profitable in the long run I think..
I hope you can mathematically explain in equations and variables, or even excel like you did in basic strategy, and calculating house edge. It will be very interesting if you can do that for each betting systems.
Another great vid. Thanks. I can't help but wonder how the simulations would look if you were betting on Banker rather than Player.
Or playing bpbp
that was my thought.
The system was made for the banker bet, because unlike every other even money bet in the casino the banker bet WINS more than it loses. Yes we know about the commisions.
Great to see the strategy in action! I'd be lost without this thorough example.
Hello
How about compare it with 2500 units like you did with the Labouchere with 2500 units?🤔
Would like to see D'alambert on the BANKER baccarat bet-the only even money bet where you are more likely to win than lose. Even with the commisions? Would love to see a million hand simulation.
Banker isn't even money due to commission.
Thank you for another amazing video, Mike. You are awesome! Keep it going :)
Bro, I LOVE d’alembert, i was down 4 hands but I’m up 5$. I can’t believe it.
Any amount of units that make probability 100%? 500, 1000, 1500 for example?
Boss now looks like Cave Man!
I would like to know how many chops were there? How many time did it go from banker and player in a row.... on a RNG you will not win but real dealer you will. .. this is no way i would lose 10 straight times because i would have moved my bet to other banker as soon as I lose...
Great video thank you!
Can you please explain to me, if i have a 250x bank roll, at what point should i “stop”? Say if i hit 20 consecutive losses and my bet size is 20x. Do i keep going until i run out?
Sir, how would be the betting mechanism for D’alembet if we play roulette with 2 dozen, I mean 65% winning probability? How many units should the bet increase when we lose and how many units should it decrease when we win?
why are you playing player when you recomend only playing banker if you play with your recomendation off the odds of banker.
probably because of the commission.
Please sir make a strategy on chamet betting game, i always loose thanks
can i use this system in blackjack?
I do!
what is the Probability winning goal reached if i have 700 units?
As long as it using agresive press bet.. it unless.. u better play with basic flat bet.
Agresive press bet can cause u loss a lot of money.. u are not 100% win 2nd or 3rd bet .. but if u understand martingale method, that's the best way to play it.. I didn't say martingale can guarantee u win profit.. depends on ur playing style.
What are the odd's the bird craps on his shirt?
1:1
the same odds he craps on the bird
Thank you very much for this☺
Go Up one unit when you lose
Go down two unit when you win
Or vice versa
You shouldnt go up and down by equal units ...
Please test d'alembert in this way and share the results ...
Could you make the new EZ Baccarat simulation game?
It works crash batting????????
Math never lie. Good video.
Excellent
I'm baffled. If the goal is to win just one unit then 49% of the time you would win on the first roll. All the math would be the results of the 51% of the time you lose on the first bet which would need to be added to the 49%.. However this doesn't make any sense to me either.
I'd love to see some D'Alembert crypto dice game strategies
Good advice
Great videos ty.
You had 12 Player wins V 16 Banker losses and yet achieved your target of winning $100. That's quite a success for D'Alembert 🎉
Thank you.
How does the banker play have a higher percentage to win? I was under the impression that it was 50/50. Thanks in advance
Complicated, but I believe it's less than a 1% edge
The reason in the difference in win %ages is in the drawing strategies for both and the fact that banker's draw will depend on the player hand. Banker only drawing a third card when the player's draw IMPROVE his hand. It is similar in BJ, but here comes House's edge from the fact, that dealer acts after all, so player can bust first before dealer takes decision.
If you play on one banker or player on a RNG... you will lose. You have to play follow the winner. I guarantee you will win.... baccarat don't chop as much.... you have to move your bets...
I have a green cheek Conure just like the one you have hahaha
if i start with 200 or 300$ and my goal is to win 50$ or 100$, then this system fails. If my goal is 100$ and i have 10k credit. there is way more easier and faster ways to get that goal
D'Alembert was a smart guy.
Thanks for the vídeo. Finally I've found one with some reasonable sense👌
Where would you best use on Craps?
Where's Scooby?
Make a expert advisor with it ,and share
I can help those scammers to answer your question: I've already earned enough, why don't let other people know. 😄
Sounds like you don't need the money I'm sure the casino appreciates it
So win, lose or draw?
What are the odds you will not be getting a haircut until 2023?
30 and 1.10
Looks like the bird wants to eat the pelican.
👍👍
I knew a guy like you in school. He also ended up with a bird on him in psycho hospital
I call BS mike how many shus did you have to play through to line up that banker streak mike how many?
Baccarat new Strategy: WinStar Casino Slot Machine ; How to find the best one slot machine ?
Take 2-3 unit every season....99% win
we lost agian
These old systems have many flaws... why don't you try something new... there are newer better systems out there... ya just have to know where to find them!
Where do you find them?
James R if you want to learn more about a person click on their picture
Probably among the worst system.. u should have place in Human factor in it.
Even on a Demo account the game is completely rigged !
Fake I'd valo se sawdhan
I’m looking for a system I had seen before. You bet 1-1-1-1-1. If you are down you go to 2-2-2-2-2. If you win you stick with 1-1-1-1-1.Does anyone know what it’s called?
If you lose you add on a unit but do not double. I.e 1x,2x, 3x etc rather that 1-2-4-8