🔮 Semi-Final 2 Running Order Prediction | Eurovision 2024
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- čas přidán 1. 06. 2024
- I make an attempted to predict the running order for the 2nd semi-final of Eurovision 2024. It's also a chance for us to discuss the songs and what stands out.
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Timestamps:
0:00 Intro
2:00 1st Half
6:31 2nd Half
Check out my other videos:
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• My Top 37 - Eurovision...
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• Top 44 Countries in Eu...
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Eurovision 2023 Grand Final Analysis: Part 1:
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Outro Screen Music:
Song: MBB - Feel Good (Vlog No Copyright Music)
Music provided by Vlog No Copyright Music.
Video Link: • MBB - Feel Good (Vlog No Copyright Music)
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Tommy... playing with magnets in the kitchen and not getting the fridge involved? I mean... man that's basic magnetomy
its the worst possible height and the lighting doesnt work 😭
Thanks Tom for all your content and efforts. Every year when Eurovision starts you are one of the first to go to. Interesting in debth analyses combined with personal favourites while always respecting all entries and artists❤
It would be a missed opportunity not to have San Marino with the song 11:11 placed in the 11th slot.
Genius
And also put them next to Spain remembering the country Megara is from
how didnt i think of that
I hope San Marino places 11th in Grand Final… and gets placed 11th to perform 😅 it has to happen, this is San Marino’s best entry ever!!
here from the future and the commenter about spain was right but the 10th spot killed me 😭😭😭
Ahhh...it's that moment of the year again when we all imagining stepping in the shoes of TV-producers!
Greece’s song is going to be filmed all in one shot with no camera changes or cuts. I’m really excited to see what it looks like live!! ❤❤👍
and it’s the first time this will ever be done at esc 👍
I am so excited
amazing video! one quick correction around 3:00, halo didn’t open the semi. they performed 13th in semi 1. i think you’re referring to when Teya&Salena opened last year during the final
Oh yea good point. I have no idea what I was thinking of there 🤔
Heyyy so I'm greek and here's what I know about our staging:
The whole thing will be filmed at once and it will feature Marina at all times, exactly like in her song Mantissa and things will be happening in the background like dances and stuff and the whole thing might depict a story! And I think they're also planning on using the 5-square shape of the scene and like put Marina in the middle and the dancers all around her, but I'm not too sure about that last part!
I think I read someone that Fokas said that he had a once in a lifetime prop
I am Greek too, and I think all the rumors about one shot filming are rubbish. And Fokas may will ruin the whole thing, he is passionate with boxes anyway, he will have Satti coming coming out from a dice probably
@@user-lr5yv7hj5k that will definitely not happen
Love your vids Tom.. I think there is a definite top 10 this year, and from 11th to 30th is a really even bunch of quality songs. Performance, staging, vocals and X Factor will be more important than ever. To qualify this year, you'll have to earn it ❤❤
Loved this video 🎉
♥️
I think Denmark will be an opener again this year - I feel like Austria is a bit too high energy to start off with, whereas Denmark is safe, inoffensive and decent quality.
I agree with Netherlands as a show closer.
And I do think they will put the automatic qualifiers further apart and probably have a consistent pattern for where they put them in both semis.
Gimlo thinks that, for the sake of fairness, all of the songs should be performed simultaneously! Surprised the EBU hasn't responded to Gimlo's job application yet 😌
😅
I do agree that Austria would probably be best energy-wise to open, BUT considering the music video, there's a non-zero chance it's gonna be not kid-friendly enough for that time of the night lol
Didn't Ronela opened her semi in 2022? I mean, we all know how that turned out, but...
Kaleen said the staging won't be as sexy as the MV and will focus more on the 'rave' aspect
@@Tollkirschenkindthey only started the whole “kid friendly opener” thing last year, so she was before that
@@KylieWilson ooh I didn't know that, thank you! Did they do it because of her then?
I agree with your prediction, mine is very similar 🙌
Not putting "before the party is over" second to last is a crimeee
😂
I want them to put Estonia on the last slot because it is basically a 90% automatic qualifier slot and the Netherlands don't need that, they will qualifier from every slot
Yea I get what you are saying but I don’t think they care about that. They want ratings
@@ESCTom yes i am just thinking about how to get Estonia qualifier for the final, cause i think it will be 50/50 :)
@@johannes_floehrThey've had plenty of time to practice, so I hope they have refined their vocals and choreo.
@@CoxaBranca agree, it will still be a mess because it has to be, but there is a lot of room for optimization
denmark 2021 :(
Seeing how they work the automatic qualifiers will be very interesting. In my ideal world all 3 of those songs would perform first to get the show under way properly before the competing semi-finalists performed. It would also make it clear who isn't actually competing, they'd be more of a warm-up. But then again they probably wouldn't want the largest audiences just watching the first 15 minutes and then switching off!
Bellissimo❤🧡💛💚💙
If the Nederlands keep the emotional ending, then the producers maybe won't want to end the show with a sad tone. My prediction will be either Norway or Estonia for the closing act.
It's impossible to keep the emotional ending. There's a strict 3min time limit
@@BabaRogaFan If they use the shortened emotional ending like they did in the music video, it is very well possible.
I'm already sad for all the artists who will be performing before the first break, as there are so many performances in the semi now. I know there will be changes to the voting system, but I'm not sure if that will help because I think most people will still only vote after they've seen all the performances.
Yeah, that is what I don't get about these changes. I mean, they tried it before, it didn't increase the overall votes a lot back then. The people who are fans who made up their mind before the show will be voting either way, but can start earlier now. But everyone who doesn't know the songs will wait until the end. But wiht 3 additional songs in each semi the recency effect for the later songs will increase.
The voting at the start is only for the final not the semi finals. And 16-17 song semifinals used to be the norm, I don't see it as a big deal
@@sav0001It's new that the automatic qualifiers will also perform their whole songs in the semis (so there were never as many performances before the voting process) while it's not new that the running order effected the televoting every single year immensly.
Since introducing the semis every single year the second half of every show got more votes than the first half, and there was never (!) a televoting winner before the first break. Tom often talked about those issues. There is a reason why the running order draw is such a big deal for the artists and the odds every year.
(idk if anyone informed you) But, as a Greek, I know that it’s almost sure that the innovative idea for the staging is that the whole performance will be shot with one camera. I mean that it doesn’t have to do with a prop (at least based on what we know so far)
My prediction for the running order, mainly concerned with creating an interesting set list with decent ebb and flow. I'm going with one major break between the two halves of the show, perhaps there'll be a shorter break halfway through each half. After noticing many similarities between Tom's and my predicted running orders for SF1, I'm amazed that there are far fewer similarities for SF2...
1. Switzerland: Nemo "The Code" # shouldn't be used up too soon in the show, but this song has "opener" written all over it ... I'd rather it swapped places with (my #1 fave) Estonia
2. Spain: Nebulossa "Zorra"
3. Austria: Kaleen "We Will Rave"
4. France: Slimane "Mon amour"
5. Albania: Besa "Titan"
[short break]
6. Greece: Marina Satti "Zari" # this segment is so hard to sequence, all five songs could go in any order here ... I don't envy the ESC producers for this task
7. Malta: Sarah Bonnici "Loop"
8. Czechia: Aiko "Pedestal"
9. Armenia: Ladaniva "Jako"
10. Denmark: Saba "Sand"
[interval]
11. Estonia: 5MIINUST & Puuluup "(nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi" # another one that would be a great show opener
12. Georgia: Nutsa Buzaladze "Firefighter"
13. Latvia: Dons "Hollow" # all right, let's dial down the energy with a couple of ballads...
14. Israel: Eden Golan "Hurricane"
15. San Marino: Megara "11:11" # ...and ramp up the energy again before the break!
[short break]
16. Italy: Angelina Mango "La noia" # I'm worried that the last segment of the show contains four stand-out fan favorites ... oh well
17. Norway: Gåte "Ulveham" # practice stage setup and teardown in a hurry between two other songs, because running order of the final isn't set yet
18. Netherlands: Joost Klein "Europapa" # don't want this to close the show because of its sad ending, but I'll gladly have it lead into the show closer
19. Belgium: Mustii "Before the Party's Over" # a bit too mellow-angry as a show closer for my taste, but it would finish the show on a strong note nonetheless
According to the rules suggested in a few other comments (add one point per place difference between predicted and actual running order, the best possible result would be 0 points for an exactly predicted running order), I've got 56 points. Managed to guess two countries' places in the running order exactly.
For fun (and because part of this prediction is guessing a sensible sequence of songs), I've also deducted points for two or more songs that I've guessed in the correct order (e.g. two songs in sequence = deduct one point, three songs in sequence = deduct two points, etc.) - with this model, the best possible result would be -17 points if the running order were predicted exactly as was announced. I've got two sets of two songs in the right order, so deduct 1 + 1 = 2 points. Makes a result of 54 for me. Not as good as my SF1 prediction, but nothing to complain about.
Austria would be a good opening song, but if they go all out on the outfits, I guess Czechia is a good opener too (which went all out on outfits in the Czech final😂), especially if she showed improvement during preparties. I have no idea when the running order is going to be announced, but I guess the producers are going to wait strategically if they can.
I fear that Denmark, Malta and Armenia are going to get the short end of the stick in the running order, which isn't going to help their qualification chances, if they are sandwiched between heavy hitters Switzerland, Austria and Greece plus likely qualifier Albania. Then there is also Malta which I don't rule out as it is likely going to be the best dance act. And that is just the first half😅
In the second half it is even harder to imagine San Marino and Latvia qualifying if they are in the same half as Belgium, Netherlands, Norway and Estonia, regardless of running order, sadly
IMO Armenia is a much more likely qualifier than Albania...
Czechia in the Death Slot, no...! Yeah, I know, the live show seen so far was a car crash, but I like the song very much and hope she has improved ;)
"Halo" from Austria 2022 was actually 13th in the running order, not 1st. Did you get confused with Austria 2023 opening the final?
They also could separate spain and san marino being 2 spanish songs
I thought Switzerland opening would be awesome with the first line of the song saying. Welcome to the show. Would need Slimane to split up that female run after if Nemo did open. Austria makes more sense for me too but I wouldn't be surprised if Switzerland did open either
I think the same that Austria will open the show and Netherlands will close, also Norway is at the same place in my prediction
Thematically, especially with the opening line, the Netherlands would make a great opener. Not for the whole thing, it's too extreme to be the first song, but maybe after the last break. I don't think it should close, the only other options to me are Georgia or Estonia, and I'd choose the latter... Welkom en Europa!
I'm gonna try constructing an entire running order, maybe I'll change my mind. But I'd love to take the messages into account and try telling a story. Probably not possible, but I'll see 😁
Netherlands drew second half so unfortunately they won't open the semifinal, or the final for that matter since Sweden has that spot.
@@RockiesSweden yeah, I was just playing around with what ifs. As I said, I wouldn't want them to open everything, I just think that the song would make a great opener :)
@@emdove I agree!
I suspect that they'll put Israel in between 2 very popular songs like Italy/Spain and the Netherlands, so that the excitement for those songs will overtake the potential booing.
When is going to publish the official one?
Probably within next 7 days
Austria didn't open with Halo, they weren't even in the first half that year 😅
I think San Marino and Spain will not be back-to-back, as they are both in Spanish! Furthermore, I trust that producers would give a better slot to Denmark this time, as it needs to shine after being given bad slots the previous years 😀
Thanks again for the video Tom 🙏🏻
yea Spain and San Marino def wont be. I only reviewed San Marino today, so i didnt realise it was in spanish too
@@ESCTomIt's almost as if the producers read both your comments and said, "Yeah, hold our beers, no one expects the Spanish interstition!" :)
Good job predicting which AQ go into which half for both the semifinals, by the way, Tom!
This year I porously avoid listening to ALL of the songs ( did a bad job tho - ve listened to most of them 😅) so I could be surprised
I think they'll put Joost first. To set a good atmosfere
It could also scare people. I am scared of this entry! 😂
I agree with the order of Estonia -> San Marino -> Norway. It's kinda what they did last year with putting Slovenia early in the 2nd half, then the more disappointing rock song and ended with the banger Australia. That's why I think Norway is a contender for closing but the Netherlands are probably late as well. Then we need a late ballad...so I think Norway, Netherlands and Israel might be among the last 3 acts. Latvia just isn't strong enough so I'm not expecting a good slot for them and belgium fits well in the early 2nd half.
Everything screams Albania deathslot once again but they're not always putting a ballad there so I also agree with Czechia as 2nd. Please. Albania deserves a good spot. Also Czechia is just a mess this year so I would be surprised if they get anything good. I still think Malta might open the show especially after the revamp. It's not weak and Austria isn't really the type of song I would expect to perform first. The rest is just whatever and heavilily depends on the first 3 and last 3 countries.
It they put Austria first again I’ll cry because that’s 3 years in a row that they’re put first in either the final or semi
2022?
@@craigsomer wait was halo not 2022?
@@logi-a But they didn’t open their semi?
@@craigsomer wow you’re correct, why did I think they opened in 2022. Weird, anyway thanks for the correction 😅 seems like I’m just an idiot
@@craigsomer I think I might’ve somehow mixed up 2022 and 2013 because they got similar results or something
I think Albania starts, keep in mind that it is a family event, putting Austria first is maybe 'too sexy' to start for kids hahaha. The Netherlands opening the second part, because the song starts with 'welcome.....' to end with that song is a bit odd 😜I would close with Belgium (last time fun 'before the party is over') 😄😄
MALAYSIA New Song Before Trending🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Steady Gang - (周星翅Chou Xing Chi )❤❤❤👍🏻
I am terrible at predicting running orders every year, so whatever i predict, i'm sure it will be the opposite. I think putting the AQs after ad breaks may be a good idea so hosts can clarify again that they are not taking part in the semi final and introduce them. When making my prediction I didn't include the AQs, so I am probably completely wrong -
1. Malta (I am starting to lean towards Austria more now)
2. Czechia
3. Denmark
4. Armenia
5. Albania
6. Greece
7. Switzerland
8. Austria
9. Latvia
10. San Marino
11. Netherlands
12. Israel
13. Norway
14. Georgia
15. Belgium
16. Estonia
I have a feeling that Greece will either open or close the semi
Halo didn't open, Austria opened the final last year though.
Titan . 🔥
My Semi-Final 2 Running Order Prediction. I will be using the Same scoring System I did for Semi-Final 1 except instead of starting with 18 Points I will be starting with 19 Points. Basically so the lowest it is theoretically possible to score is 0.
1. Austria 🇦🇹
2. Albania 🇦🇱
3. Switzerland🇨🇭
4. Greece 🇬🇷
5. Malta 🇲🇹
1st Break
6. Armenia 🇦🇲
7. France 🇫🇷
8. Czechia 🇨🇿
9. Denmark 🇩🇰
2nd Break
10. Belgium 🇧🇪
11. Norway 🇳🇴
12. Spain 🇪🇸
13. Israel 🇮🇱
14. Netherlands 🇳🇱
3rd Break
15. San Marino 🇸🇲
16. Italy 🇮🇹
17. Georgia 🇬🇪
18. Latvia 🇱🇻
19. Estonia 🇪🇪
I agree the First half is hard so I put Slimane 🇫🇷 in the First Half and I am using the Ad Breaks To my Advantage here. I agree Austria 🇦🇹 makes sense to open and If they Qualify and Draw the first half they could be opening 2 years in a row. I decided to Put Albania 🇦🇱 goes 2nd because its different but Similar. I put Switzerland🇨🇭3rd to break up all the Girls. Then I decided to Put Greece 🇬🇷 4th because there the only country Not Performing in English Before the 1st Break. Then I put Malta 🇲🇹 in 5th just before the Break because I think they have no shot so Im putting them in a bad slot. So then I put an Ad Break after Malta 🇲🇹 to try and break up some of the Girls also we have 3 Breaks so we are kind of due for a Break. So then I Put Armenia 🇦🇲 and France 🇫🇷 using France 🇫🇷 to break up the Girls then I had Denmark 🇩🇰 and Czechia 🇨🇿 left in the First half and I decided to put Czechia 🇨🇿 before Denmark 🇩🇰 To spit up Denmark 🇩🇰 and France 🇫🇷 then once the First half was over I put in a victory Ad Break also I had 3 ad Breaks to put In so It had to go somewhere. Than in the 2nd half there are a lot more variety. So I opened the 2nd Half with Belgium 🇧🇪 and Norway 🇳🇴 to split Norway 🇳🇴 and San Marino 🇸🇲. In 12th I decided I hadnt used enough Auto-Qualifiers so I put In Spain 🇪🇸 Because Italy 🇮🇹 would be to similar to Israel 🇮🇱 who are going 13th. Then in 14th I put the Netherlands 🇳🇱 I didnt want to close with them because If they put In the Emotional Ending I didnt want to end with it but I also didnt want to put anything after that because people may be emotional and also Im Evil so I put an ad Break while everyones feeling emotional. The downside to that is it might hurt the Netherlands 🇳🇱 a little bit not putting them at the end But also in 15th we have San Marino 🇸🇲 so It would be really Evil to put San Marino 🇸🇲 Right after the Netherlands 🇳🇱. I may be Evil for putting and Ad break after the Netherlands 🇳🇱 but Im not evil enough to put San Marino 🇸🇲 Right after the Netherlands 🇳🇱. Then Italy 🇮🇹 in 16th because I dindt want to be too nice to them because they Are also Auto-Qualified. Georgia 🇬🇪 comes 17th leaving Latvia 🇱🇻 or Estonia 🇪🇪 meaning I had to make a Choice between Closing the Show in English or Closing the Show with an Uptempo song. Intitally I chose for the Priority to be to close the show in English but then I decided. Latvia 🇱🇻 would be a great close so I put them 18th and Estonia 🇪🇪 19th. If Lithuania was in this semi aswell I may have Put all the Baltic nations together and put Estonia then Latvia then Lithuania but that doesnt matter.
We Agree that Austria 🇦🇹 should open, Malta 🇲🇹 and Netherlands 🇳🇱 should be last before a break and Italy 🇮🇹 should be 16th
I’d swap Albania and Poland. I think they would want someone with more general estetic between Greece and Switzerland. Putting Poland in the middle might be too much alternative dressed folks in a row.
I still think Mustii will go penultimate as a ‘Before the party is over’ troll move from EBU. If not here, than in the final. I do really like your pick of Georgia there to finish on a high energy note.
Poland is in the 1st semifinal, so you probably confused it with someone else...? ;)
@@florenna thank you
12 point from ❤CROATIA❤ 😊 ❤ 😊 ❤
My biggest problem with your running order is San Marino going after *, as people are gonna be talking about * even competing, San Marino is gonna be hitting the stage and end up getting left behind. Whichever delegation gets the spot after *, if it's borderline, is not qualifying. I'd rather have an automatic qualifier performing after *
Yep that makes sense, have an AQ after them and then also a break. so put maybe Spain after
Also Spain and San Marino need to be separated more
@@ESCTom I would avoid having an ad break after * for as long as possible, just keep feeding songs to people until their anger or shock fades away. An ad break too soon would see people just tuning out
Halo didn't open?
Netherlands as last would be amazing 😂
I just need san marino at 11 and belgium before netherlands who will obviously close the "party" lol
"As many sausages as they possibly can" 😂😂😂
Everyone thinks Austria will open cuz it's a bangar but a. Last year they opened the final b. I have a feeling the show won't be family friendly.
Which is why I think Czechia will actually open and Netherlands will close the show
Running order prediction:
1. Austria 🇦🇹
2. Greece 🇬🇷
3. Czechia 🇨🇿
4. France 🇫🇷
5. Malta 🇲🇹
6. Denmark 🇩🇰
7. Armenia 🇦🇲
8. Switzerland 🇨🇭
9. Albania 🇦🇱
10. Belgium 🇧🇪
11. San Marino 🇸🇲
12. Italy 🇮🇹
13. Estonia 🇪🇪
14. Israel 🇮🇱
15. Spain 🇪🇸
16. Latvia 🇱🇻
17. Norway 🇳🇴
18. Georgia 🇬🇪
19. The Netherlands 🇳🇱
We need the wild youth boys should do a song called tonight we will raveeee 😂😂 and open the semi. Sry don't no why my brain came up with that 😂
San Marino and Spain who both have Spanish songs should definitely be apart.
I'm also bothered by Belgium/Estonia when you can actually almost alternate genders in the second half. 12-14 and 16-18 would be three female singers in a row twice, so one of the two mentioned should be moved into one of those sections.
halo didnt open the semi. WTHIE did open the 2023 final
Yea I was mixing up halo with something else
Really safe to qualify: Greece, Switzerland, Austria, Belgium, Norway, Netherlands
Pretty likely to qualify: Denmark, Armenia, Estonia, Israel
Less likely to qualify: Czechia, Latvia, Georgia
Very little chance: Malta, Albania, San Marino
My personal ranking:
1.Norway
2.Belgium
3.Czechia
4.Netherlands
5.Switzerland
6.Israel
7.Latvia
8.San Marino
9.Austria
10.Greece
11.Estonia
12.Armenia
13.Albania
14.Denmark
15.Georgia
16.Malta
Very rough prediction 😂:
Austria
Albania
Czechia
France
Armenia
Malta
Denmark
Switzerland
Greece
Estonia
Georgia
Italy
Latvia
Norway
Israel
Spain
Belgium
San Marino
Netherlands
1. Austria 2. Albania
3. France 4. Armenia
5. Denmark
6. Swiss 7. Czechia
8. Greece 9. Malta
10. Latvia
11. San Marino 12. Italy
13. Estonia 14. Israel
15. Norway
16. Georgia 17. Belgium
18. Spain 19. Netherlands
Again presuming the same add breaks as in the video.
ALBANIA❤12is great is G R E A T❤
My ideal running order, without consideration for AQ's and commercial breaks:
1. Austria
2. Albania
3. Greece
4. Czechia
5. Switzerland
6. Malta
7. Denmark
8. Armenia
9. Latvia
10. San Marino
11. Israel
12. Netherlands
13. Georgia
14. Norway
15. Belgium
16. Estonia
Here is my full chosen running order for Semi Final 2 on 11th May :
1. ). 🇦🇹. Austria
2. ). 🇦🇱. Albania
3. ). 🇨🇿. Czechia
4. ). 🇫🇷. France
5. ). 🇦🇲. Armenia
6. ). 🇩🇰. Denmark
7. ). 🇲🇹. Malta
8. ). 🇨🇭. Switzerland
9. ). 🇬🇷. Greece
10. ). 🇪🇸. Spain
11. ). 🇪🇪. Estonia
12. ). 🇬🇪. Georgia
13. ). 🇧🇪. Belgium
14. ). 🇳🇴. Norway
15. ). 🇮🇹. Italy
16. ). 🇱🇻. Latvia
17. ). 🇸🇲. San Marino
18. ). 🇮🇱. Israel
19. ). 🇳🇱. Netherlands
Toujours ❤ALBANIA ❤
I made my prediction without the automatic finalists and this was it:
01 Austria
02 Czechia
03 Denmark
04 Switzerland
05 Greece
06 Malta
07 Albania
08 Armenia
09 Belgium
10 San Marino
11 Netherlands
12 Israel
13 Estonia
14 Georgia
15 Latvia
16 Norway
But if I was to include the automatic qualifiers:
01 Austria
02 Czechia
03 France
04 Greece
05 Albania
06 Malta
07 Switzerland
08 Denmark
09 Armenia
10 Spain
11 Belgium
12 San Marino
13 Netherlands
14 Israel
15 Italy
16 Estonia
17 Georgia
18 Latvia
19 Norway
I would’ve swapped Armenia and Albania
Georgia top 5
1. Malta
2. Armenia
3. Albania
4. France
5. Austria
--- ad ---
6. Switzerland
7. Denmark
8. Greece
9. Czechia
10. Latvia
--- ad ---
11. Norway
12. Spain
13. Israel
14. Estonia
15. Belgium
--- ad ---
16. San Marino
17. Italy
18. Georgia
19. Netherlands
My running order:
1. Austria
2. Armenia
3. Albania
4. France
5. Malta
6. Greece
7. Denmark
8. Switzerland
9. Czechia
10. Estonia
11. Israël
12. Italy
13. Latvia
14. San Marino
15. Georgia
16. Norway
17. Belgium
18. Spain
19. The Netherlands
Not “as many sausages as possible”, Tom! 😂 almost choked on my drink now.
🌭
Hoping that's all you choked on
My prediction:
FIRST HALF
1. Austria
2. Albania
3. Czechia
4. Armenia
5. FRANCE
6. Malta
7. Switzerland
8. Denmark
9. Greece
SECOND HALF
10. Latvia
11. SPAIN
12. San Marino
13. Israel
14. Estonia
15. Georgia
16. Norway
17. Belgium
18. ITALY
19. Netherlands
Georgia what????😂😂
I NEED LATVIA TO QUALIFY
My prediction : 1-Danemark 2-Malta 3-Czekia 4-Armenia 5-France 6-Albania 7-Austria 8-Switzerland 9-Grece 10-Spain 11-Latvia 12-Israel 13-Georgia 14-Estonia 15-Italia 16-Belgium 17-Norway 18-SanMarin 19-Netherlands
it's actually insane that both first halves of both semis are gonna be hard to make a running order for.
I think the best thing the producers could do with Israel's running order is put it right before an AQ (Spain would be a good one) and then an ad break. There are gonna be strong reactions from people (especially those who are seeing songs for the first time and may not have followed all the Eurovision related controversy) and I fear that could impact a following song's score. (example: in 2018 Serbia was right after the UK when the stage invader and some think their televote score took a hit as a result). I could be overthinking it but that's a huge concern I have.
ah yes, i see what you mean there
Alright, Gimlo's official predictions two and a half hours before the running order is announced:
Semi-Final 1
01. 🇨🇾
02. 🇱🇹
03. 🇩🇪
04. 🇷🇸
05. 🇵🇱
06. 🇺🇦
[Break]
07. 🇭🇷
08. 🇮🇪
09. 🇮🇸
10. 🇵🇹
11. 🇲🇩
12. 🇬🇧
[Break]
13. 🇸🇮
14. 🇸🇪
15. 🇦🇿
16. 🇱🇺
17. 🇦🇺
18. 🇫🇮
Semi-Final 2
01. 🇦🇹
02. 🇬🇷
03. 🇨🇿
04. 🇫🇷
05. 🇦🇱
06. 🇨🇭
[Break]
07. 🇦🇲
08. 🇩🇰
09. 🇲🇹
10. 🇪🇪
11. 🇮🇹
12. 🇳🇴
[Break]
13. 🇧🇪
14. 🇪🇸
15. 🇮🇱
16. 🇸🇲
17. 🇱🇻
18. 🇬🇪
19. 🇳🇱
The more Gimlo looks at this, the more wrong it looks :^/ Wanted to put each of the pre-qualifiers in a different third of each semi-final but now Gimlo is thinking that the producers might want to place them at more regular intervals to differentiate them from the votable entries to the public 🤔 Gimlo put Germany really early, felt bad about putting Serbia third again, but that's a big audience that might tune out after only three songs... Maybe Gimlo could swap Germany with Sweden? But feels bad to put Sweden so earlier after their bad final draw... Too much to think about for Gimlo! 🤯
1. Austria
2. Czechia
3. Albania
4. France
5. Denmark
6. Armenia
7. Malta
8. Switzerland
9. Greece
10. Latvia
11. San Marino
12. Spain
13. Israel
14. Estonia
15. Georgia
16. Norway
17. Belgium
18. Italy
19. The Netherlands
My Semi final 2 running order prediction
1.Czechia
2.Albania
3.France
4.Malta
5.Armenia
6.Austria
7.Greece
8.Denmark
9.Switzerland
10.Spain
11.Belgium
12.Norway
13.Latvia
14.Estonia
15.Israel
16.San Marino
17.Italy
18.Georgia
19.Netherlands
Greece are using a one shot camera as their staging, apparently they are gonna have a car on the stage, like Australia 2023
My prediction
1.AUT
2.ARM
3.CZE
4.ALB
5.DEN
6.MAL
7.SWI
8.GRE
9.LAT
10.EST
11.GEO
12.BEL
13.SM
14.ISR
15.NOR
16.NET
SEMI 2 PREDICTION:
1-Austria
2-Czech Republic
3-Denmark
4-Armenia
5-Switzerland
6-Albania
7-Malta
8-Greece
9-Estonia
10-Belgium
11-San Marino
12-Georgia
13-Latvia
14-Netherlands
15-Israel
16-Norway
my predicition before hearing anyone else's. I did forget to take into account the break + didnt think the AQ's would be numbered.
1. Austria
2. Denmark - although i do think thats harsh since they opened last year
3. Greece - gets a lotta nice slots and they r qualifying anyways
- France
4. Czechia
5. Albania
6. Switzerland
7. Armenia
8. Malta - they gotta be nice to Malta for once
9. Belgium
10. San marino
11. Israel.. its not right that they are here lets be real
12. Estonia
- Italy
13. Georgia
14. Latvia
- Spain
15. Norway
16. Netherlands - but i think Norway and Georgia could close too
My Prediction
1. 🇦🇹 Austria
2. 🇦🇱 Albania
3. 🇨🇭 Switzerland
4. 🇦🇲 Armenia
5. 🇨🇿 Czechia
6. 🇲🇹 Malta
7. 🇫🇷 France
8. 🇬🇷 Greece
9. 🇩🇰 Denmark
10. 🇪🇪 Estonia
11. 🇮🇹 Italy
12. 🇮🇱 Israel
13. 🇸🇲 San Marino
14. 🇬🇪 Georgia
15. 🇱🇻 Latvia
16. 🇪🇸 Spain
17. 🇳🇴 Norway
18. 🇧🇪 Belgium
19. 🇳🇱 Netherlands
My Semi Final 2 predictions
1 Austria
2 Czechia
3 Denmark
4 Switzerland
5 Greece
6 Albania
7 Malta
8 Armenia
9 Belgium
10 Estonia
11 San Marino
12 Latvia
13 Norway
14 Israel
15 Georgia
16 The Netherlands
Yeah I'm confident The Netherlands will close it
I got 4 right I take it 😂😂😂😂
Hey Tom, I completely trust you that this is so hard. So,let's play, part 2. My predicted running order:
1.Austria🇦🇹
2.Czechia🇨🇿
3.Albania🇦🇱
4.Greece🇬🇷
5.France🇨🇵
6.Denmark🇩🇰
7.Armenia🇦🇲
8.Malta🇲🇹
9.Switzerland🇨🇭
10.Spain🇪🇦
11.San Marino🇸🇲
12.Latvia🇱🇻
13.Belgium🇧🇪
14.Estonia🇪🇪
15.Italy🇮🇹
16.Norway🇳🇴
17.Israel🇮🇱
18.Georgia🇬🇪
19.The Netherlands🇳🇱
Eurovision 2024 Semi Final 1
1. United Kingdom
2. Poland
3. Cyprus
4. Serbia
5. Croatia
6. Ukraine
7. Lithuania
8. Ireland
9. Moldova
10. Azerbaijan
11. Sweden
12. Iceland
13. Finland
14. Germany
15. Slovenia
16. Australia
17. Portugal
18. Luxembourg
Eurovision 2024 Semi Final 2
1. Austria
2. Czechia
3. Spain
4. Denmark
5. Albania
6. Greece
7. Malta
8. France
9. Armenia
10. Switzerland
11. Norway
12. Israel
13. San Marino
14. Latvia
15. Italy
16. Estonia
17. Belgium
18. Georgia
19. The Netherlands
1. Austria
2. Albania
3. Czechia
4. France
5. Switzerland
BREAK
6. Greece
7. Denmark
8. Malta
9. Armenia
10. Belgium
BREAK
11. Italy
12. Latvia
13. San Marino
14. Israel
15. Spain
BREAK
16. Norway
17. Latvia
18. Georgia
19. Netherlands
You have Latvia twice and no Estonia
Malaysia New Song Before Trending 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Steady gang - ( 周星翅Chou xing chi )mv👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻❤
MY PREDICTION:
1. Austria
2. Albania
3. France
4. Denmark
5. Greece
6. Chechia
7. Armenia
8. Switzerland
9. Malta
10. Latvia
11. San Marino
12. Spain
13. Is
14. Estonia
15. Italy
16. Norway
17. Belgium
18. Georgia
19. Netherlands
Prediction without seeing yours Tom:
1. Austria
2. Greece
3. Switzerland
4. Albania
5. France
6. Czechia
7. Malta
8. Denmark
9. Armenia
10. Estonia
11. Latvia
12. San Marino
13. Italy
14. Netherlands
15. Israel
16. Spain
17. Belgium
18. Georgia
19. Norway
I agree Netherlands would also be a strong closer here. I can't really see anyone but Austria opening. It's very hard to predict without knowing what they'll do with the automatic qualifiers, because I've definitely built the others around them a bit.
Putting europapa at the end is quite deflating. That song lacks energy. I would totally go for Estonia or Belgium there.
Lacking energy?
1.Armenia
2. Spain
3. France
4. Albania
5. Austria
6. Greece
7. Czechia
8. Malta
9. Switzerland
10.Denmark
11. Italy
12. Georgia
13. San Marino
14. Estonia
15. Latvia
16. Norway
17. Israel
18. Belgium
19. Netherlands
1. Austria
2. Czechia
3. Greece
4. France
5. Armenia
6. Denmark
7. Switzerland
8. Albania
9. Malta
10. Latvia
11. San Marino
12. Spain
13. Estonia
14. Israel
15. Italy
16. Belgium
17. Georgia
18. Norway
19. The Netherlands