Why I WON'T Top Up To CPF Enhancement Retirement Sum (ERS)

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  • čas přidán 7. 09. 2024

Komentáře • 146

  • @KelvinLearnsInvesting
    @KelvinLearnsInvesting  Před 6 měsíci +1

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    • @marvelcomiks8078
      @marvelcomiks8078 Před 6 měsíci

      Foo Mee Har is a clown. Those who are 55 and above have reaped more benefits than those who are young and just starting out. Letting them continue while depriving the young of it, is definitely far from being fair. They should simply have stopped CPF SA shielding and the problem will be solved. Anyone takes out the money, not allowed to put it back again. Period. As for the liquidity issue, they should only allow withdrawals once per year from SA/RA. If need liquidity, transfer it to OA and cannot transfer back to RA/SA. Period. EVERYTHING SOLVED!
      My suspicion is the banks are draining funds and needing cash. And this is an attempt to bolster the banking reserves, by indirectly causing a pushing out effect. I could be wrong...and I hope I am. But if I am right, this is a very bad sign.

  • @Xamael666
    @Xamael666 Před 6 měsíci +9

    Yes, what alot of ppl don't realise is that CPF LIFE pays u back (on a monthly basis) whatever amount u used to join it at 65 1st....then from age 80++ onwards, those monthly payouts that u get is from the interest pooled from all members....
    Realistically, how many of us can live past 80? Plus once u KO after 80, yr beneficiaries won't get anything since the premium is used up already by then & the interest pooled is only meant for the CPF LIFE members
    IMO, I'll just meet FRS & invest the rest outside of CPF so that my beneficiaries will get at least get something

  • @bkoh1771
    @bkoh1771 Před 6 měsíci +21

    I think we have to localised it. Your studies are all in the States. USD has been depreciating against SGD. 3.1 in the 1970s to 1.3 now. Hence there is FX risk and if the States continues to borrow, USD depreciation will continue with this SG Govt continues to be prudent in comparison.

  • @lee1039
    @lee1039 Před 6 měsíci +15

    CPF Life payout is not guaranteed. What makes you so sure it won't change when you reach 65 years old?

  • @juznikon
    @juznikon Před 6 měsíci +4

    My idea is to at least meet FRS and then top up RA with about 80k from OA so that the monthly payout is slightly higher than without top up. Then invest the rest of the withdrawable amount from OA. That way i still have a mix of liquidity and slightly higher monthly payout. It's about not putting your eggs in one basket

  • @deano3580
    @deano3580 Před 6 měsíci +6

    For equity investments outside of CPF you need to say a few words about sequence of returns risk. That's where your stocks tank 40% on the day you retire and take a few years to recover. During that time any withdrawals can have such a bad effect on the portfolio that it's struggles to ever recover. Also S+P returns may average 10% but they are volatile and can be -30% one year and +25% the next. It takes a very strong mentality to stay the course , ride out the dips and not sell in a panic.

  • @Mew77778
    @Mew77778 Před 6 měsíci +21

    When old got so much money also can’t even travel and enjoy etc. just enjoy the moment and your current life. No one can predict the future. No need to save so much at the expense of suffering now

    • @Msiaboleh57
      @Msiaboleh57 Před 6 měsíci +3

      Agree with yor view.

    • @wjj7488
      @wjj7488 Před 6 měsíci

      $2-3k a month is considered as ‘a lot of $’ .😢

  • @LanceTeo-yr7qp
    @LanceTeo-yr7qp Před 6 měsíci +11

    Biggest issue with CPF Life is that it earns ZERO interest once the payout starts. The 6.9% yield calculation is wrong, when it is actually drawing from the principal sum, rather then actually generating a true yield.

    • @kennethlim886
      @kennethlim886 Před 6 měsíci

      See it as an annuity. CPFLife is not an investment.
      Instead of dividend yield, I guess you should see it as how we can extract maximum value from it instead of seeing it as an investment

  • @beedeebee179
    @beedeebee179 Před 6 měsíci +6

    Polices risk is huge. Government can change it any time. Increase the age for withdraw, age for retirement, amount required for to be in retirement account, reduced in interest rate, and the list goes on.
    If you did a quick math, to achieve the previous 1M65 goal, the biggest compounding interest comes from the last 10 years between 55 - 65.

    • @StickMan_Clara
      @StickMan_Clara Před 6 měsíci

      The government only changes according to the market fluctuation. Which I think is fair

    • @beedeebee179
      @beedeebee179 Před 6 měsíci +1

      @@StickMan_Clara Yea, of course, my point is, if you plan to locked your money somewhere, you should be certain about the return. I don't think you will want to lock always your money in a fixed deposit that promise 4% and 1 month later they changed to 1% because FED reduces ir, which deemed fair.

  • @munster1404
    @munster1404 Před 6 měsíci +6

    By the time I turn 65 years old, $4300 will be the new minimum wage. lol
    I work a low(er) wage manual job. Besides meeting ERS will be a challenge. I'm not sure even I could live until my late 60s.
    Physical, dangerous work and odd hours (from working shifts) all have a negative impact on longevity.

    • @k-xl5vo
      @k-xl5vo Před 3 měsíci

      So is there a better way to save up for retirement in your opinion? For those who have low wages it is harder. The only other one I can think of is Singapore savings bonds..

  • @koh-xj3qr
    @koh-xj3qr Před 14 dny +1

    i prefer top up ERS cause when we are old shouldn't bother anymore about the money, just steady pun pipi get monthly pay out that is good enough why still need to chasing high interest when u are old enough.

  • @lukeeong
    @lukeeong Před 6 měsíci +5

    you forgot to factor in the fact that equities have volatility. the returns are not a linear graph. it's spotty. what if there is a 70% crash along the way? this is retirement fix income, cannot have wild fluctuations right?

  • @greyzonee8242
    @greyzonee8242 Před 6 měsíci +4

    imagine...that amount of money being frozen in the ERS account at a stage where you are deteriorating. i believe that 3300$ will not be sufficient to survive on esp when your insurance premiums will max out and you health and mobility starts to wane. On the other hand , not many people are well versed in investments. the market doesnt guarantee 10% roi. it is so volatile. i believe adopting a middle road, use both methods.

  • @Humorousguy64
    @Humorousguy64 Před 6 měsíci +5

    Now dont think we need to stress for anything abt cpf.....gov might change policies again after voices from opp party in parliament

  • @chewkiatyong
    @chewkiatyong Před 6 měsíci +2

    now the strategy is to max out FRS during working years, to earn the 4% risk free... then when can draw out, leave only BRS so that you minimize 4% going to the 'common pool' from 55/65 yrs old onwards..
    4% of the final retirement amount at 55/65 yrs old is a big sum.. and to miss out on the 4% growth compounded over 15-20yrs (65 till 85yrs for example) is substantial..

  • @vijaypatwardhan70
    @vijaypatwardhan70 Před 2 měsíci

    Very nicely explained. Only one point I can add is that the CPF life interest is pooled after the age of 65 and not available. So the returns are good if you live beyond 85. If you die early, the returns are only around 2-3%

  • @ivanp9222
    @ivanp9222 Před 6 měsíci +4

    Don't be too greedy and comparing cpf to investment products is like comparing kopi c kosong to coke.

  • @kcchiew4247
    @kcchiew4247 Před 6 měsíci +9

    My RA is at ERS level now. Will use cash to top up ERS next year to 4xBRS. RA will be just for my old age basic income only.😀

    • @richardkhua1769
      @richardkhua1769 Před 6 měsíci

      Enjoy the fruits at age 65

    • @phairliu5289
      @phairliu5289 Před 6 měsíci +1

      but the thing is you wont know what will happen to singapore 10, 20 years later.

    • @kcchiew4247
      @kcchiew4247 Před 6 měsíci +1

      @@phairliu5289 Also won't know I will still alive for tomorrow. 😅

    • @Msiaboleh57
      @Msiaboleh57 Před 6 měsíci +1

      If u die after 65, all interests earn goes to the pool. Yor family will not recd a cent fr RA interests.

    • @kcchiew4247
      @kcchiew4247 Před 6 měsíci +1

      @leh57 I have no issue with that. My family won't rely on my CPF's interest to enjoy their life. Those live longer will continue to get annuity and might appreciate our "contribution".😅

  • @torrhthc4103
    @torrhthc4103 Před 6 měsíci +4

    Assume u know how to invest, many cannot, if can all will be warren buffet la. Only one warren so my advice is don’t act smart. N many will waste the money on women, etc etc. once no job n relax, temptation n will spend more

  • @denislim123
    @denislim123 Před 6 měsíci +2

    Computation doesn't factor in the effects of inflation and future purchasing power.

  • @waihengyong7165
    @waihengyong7165 Před 6 měsíci +1

    I think CPF LIFE should have enough to cover foods, shelter, utilities bills, transport, insurance premiums and healthcare. More than that, investment

  • @winstontoh6346
    @winstontoh6346 Před 4 měsíci

    For an investment portfolio, the worst scenario to occur is when drawing out money in a bear market. Imagine your portfolio is already down 20 to 30% and you still need to draw down your portfolio by 4% during that period, this will cause your portfolio to downsize even more and wipe out the compounded gains achieved earlier. Of course CPF LIFE monthly payments is fixed and need not worry about such Sequence of Returns risks inherent with any investment portfolio.

  • @bernardkoh1650
    @bernardkoh1650 Před 6 měsíci +2

    Cannot believe this CPF.. hv to take out as much cash as u can. Suka suka change policy

  • @SuperRambala
    @SuperRambala Před měsícem

    YOU ALL FORGET that this payout includes Principle. so at the end of you will not get your principle. so this return includes zero Principle.

  • @letgotothemoon8174
    @letgotothemoon8174 Před 6 měsíci +1

    FINALLY SOMEONE CLEAR UP THIS. DONT KNOW WHY SOME VERY HIGH LEVEL PPL KEEP ENCOURAGING OTHER TO PUMP THEIR MONET TO ERS (SA)

    • @cathhl2440
      @cathhl2440 Před 6 měsíci

      Who? It’s just an option isn’t it?

    • @letgotothemoon8174
      @letgotothemoon8174 Před 6 měsíci

      @@cathhl2440not important who but it’s our money don’t get into a situation you can not pull out the money when it’s urgent….

    • @wjj7488
      @wjj7488 Před 6 měsíci

      Because you have no 💰 to top up ?

  • @suivzmoi
    @suivzmoi Před 3 měsíci

    CPF is your basic safety net. that's all you need to know about what you should be doing with it. there are other things you will need like helmet, visors, gloves etc that the net will never be no matter how big it is.

  • @christopherlaw9184
    @christopherlaw9184 Před 6 měsíci +2

    Do you really think we can live that long? I seriously doubt so…. It would be a big bonus if I can live past 60. Quite a few people I know passed away in their 50s. Everyday is a gift 💝and blessing 🙏🏼 Live your best life now, do not just plan for the future.

    • @kennethlim886
      @kennethlim886 Před 6 měsíci

      Average Singaporean lifespan is 80 so not hard to live past 60.

    • @christopherlaw9184
      @christopherlaw9184 Před 6 měsíci

      @@kennethlim886 that’s what they all say until people you know start dying in their 50s

    • @gg-yl9ek
      @gg-yl9ek Před 3 měsíci

      You are influenced by your life experience. Not a good thing to see those you know die early. Thankful that those I know are still going well past 50s & 60s.

  • @yusufbest4475
    @yusufbest4475 Před 6 měsíci +1

    Dont worry next budget, something will change again and this will keep on changing until before we are 65.. maybe retirement age change to 80.. maybe 0% interest rate.. who knows

    • @jkalmon
      @jkalmon Před 6 měsíci

      From all your comments you just seem bitter. Obviously things like what you say won't happen. Just keep thinking like that to give excuses for not planning and mindlessly spending.

  • @schadenfreude6274
    @schadenfreude6274 Před 6 měsíci +21

    I had an Uncle who had been diligently topping up his CPF all his life. He trust in the system so much. Lived a relatively healthy life with the occasional indulgences had hoped to enjoy his Retirement. One fine day when before he reached his 65th Birthday, he suddenly had a Major Stroke and passed away not long after. In the end, all his hard work and savings all went down the drain. 🙂

    • @kdhebskh
      @kdhebskh Před 6 měsíci +8

      His cpf go to his family. He probably topping up his cpf to also enjoy tax relief

    • @user-iz2hz2sh6g
      @user-iz2hz2sh6g Před 6 měsíci +3

      Sorry about your uncle. But really, have you heard of anyone else who died just when they are hitting 65 yo?

    • @ongbookok9320
      @ongbookok9320 Před 6 měsíci +14

      He definitely leave a good legacy to his wife and kids.

    • @acs4410
      @acs4410 Před 6 měsíci

      @@user-iz2hz2sh6gmy cousin die early fifties and my Fren husband also die early fifties

    • @littledrummerboy9080
      @littledrummerboy9080 Před 6 měsíci +8

      I believe topping up CPF has nothing to do with your uncle dying at age 65. Besides, if someone who is not suicidal can predict his death, he is a prophet.

  • @Evansggg
    @Evansggg Před 6 měsíci +2

    Would it be better to invest in SG dividend paying stocks/REITs instead of the 4% drawdown from a portfolio. This is to avoid the volatility & currency risk from USD to SGD

  • @Desmonxxx
    @Desmonxxx Před měsícem

    Unless you have too much cash, upgrading from FRS to ERS is an absolute stupid.

  • @alvinlye3901
    @alvinlye3901 Před 6 měsíci +1

    Investments would have its risk too? Which is lesser risk?

  • @user-uh6bs7tp7e
    @user-uh6bs7tp7e Před 6 měsíci +1

    from 55 to 65. delaying the payout year...now people are talking about 70 for even higher payout.. I guess many peoples be worried they don't have the life to spend it, rather than worry how long can the money last in the account. I cannot believe the intelligence of my own people here anymore. fyi my late father passed away 64 from terminal illness😢 can still talk about higher payouts??

  • @jerryyap1516
    @jerryyap1516 Před 2 měsíci

    of course no. How many will die before you even enjoy the interest. Bear in mind unused interest will be forfeitted and distributed to the mass.

  • @ashleighwong2594
    @ashleighwong2594 Před 4 měsíci

    Should FRS or ERS depend on how much % is this to your total asset that generate income? Say if it is within 10% then ERS is ok but if above 25% stay FRS and do fort. Is this thought process a better way to decide if the first level of getting a safe fixed income is cleares

  • @Max_Ivanov_Pro
    @Max_Ivanov_Pro Před 6 měsíci +3

    CPF is not looking good

  • @theendtimesmarketpredictio4940
    @theendtimesmarketpredictio4940 Před 6 měsíci +1

    Y should not wait ..you do not have a long live like pap ...they are monster ...that live to a thousand years

  • @davidlim2259
    @davidlim2259 Před 4 měsíci

    Selection of Basic plan encompass an annuity premium payable of between 10% to 20% at time of buying CPF Life, is this taken into consideration in the yield?

  • @tedtan2754
    @tedtan2754 Před 6 měsíci

    should just do a version for non-savvy people who dont want to spend so much time thinking about it.

  • @JackOng-xb6xn
    @JackOng-xb6xn Před 6 měsíci +1

    Totally misleading, how is the yield 6.9%?

  • @steventay5834
    @steventay5834 Před 17 dny +1

    You are originally from Malaysia?

  • @cathhl2440
    @cathhl2440 Před 6 měsíci

    I just realized… interest from OA + FRS monthly payout = ERS monthly payout.
    😵‍💫 What if I itchy hand and spend everything in OA?!

  • @CatherineCarol
    @CatherineCarol Před měsícem

    Good video , I choose FRS and not ERS. 👍🏻

  • @alanlim7068
    @alanlim7068 Před 23 dny

    Just nice catch up what you explain playback speed set to 0.75%🤭

  • @user-iz2hz2sh6g
    @user-iz2hz2sh6g Před 6 měsíci +2

    Kevin is still young man 🎉

  • @user-uh6bs7tp7e
    @user-uh6bs7tp7e Před 6 měsíci +1

    then everyone should aim at even higher payout at age 90...more monthly cash....what the fish for so much money at that old age??

    • @alanlim7068
      @alanlim7068 Před 23 dny

      for their children, i only can think of🙄

  • @user-pb5yj9iq3p
    @user-pb5yj9iq3p Před 6 měsíci

    At time 09:42, Kelvin said that there are 2 cons for CPF Life:
    1. CPF Life or RA is illiquid: but it's not a fair comparison to private investment scenario as you would also be tied down to the private investment in order to give you the 5% to 9% in the illustration.
    2. CPF Life payout will go down in the future due to aging population and that the more affluent SG will likely reached the FRS and therefore less money to share amongst the members: I actually don't understand this logic. Moreover, what each member gets is tied to his/her individual funds in RA so why would the aging population affect the CPF Life payout. @kelvin Learns Investing, could you kindly elaborate on this point please?

    • @KelvinLearnsInvesting
      @KelvinLearnsInvesting  Před 6 měsíci +1

      1. Cash investment can be liquidated during emergencies
      2. By right more ppl means more funds to go around and be invested yes? But because the funds need to be liquid and be paid out, not every fund can be invested, but u still need to pay up 6%. In that case, you can end up in a situation where they are more members sharing the pool, hence lower payout

    • @user-pb5yj9iq3p
      @user-pb5yj9iq3p Před 6 měsíci +1

      @@KelvinLearnsInvesting thanks for your explanation. I don't quite agree with your point. Cpf is on an individual account basis and not a pooled basis (like those in Europe). So technically what you explained shouldn't apply.

  • @peterlow3654
    @peterlow3654 Před 6 měsíci +1

    In 2025, if you are 55 and go for ERS of $426K, you will get $3,3K and not $4.4.

  • @theyixman
    @theyixman Před 6 měsíci

    Bro, how about vol risk and sequence risk. You got model if your equity port is made in 1999?

  • @MrBluehorizonsugar
    @MrBluehorizonsugar Před 5 měsíci

    Your investment is 5-9%, then no need to compare lah. CPF only pays 4% lah. Meaningless

  • @meiyinli7409
    @meiyinli7409 Před měsícem

    how much monthly contribution is needed in SA to hit FRS at age 55

  • @wjj7488
    @wjj7488 Před 6 měsíci

    Singaporeans on average live till 80s .
    Some will live till 50s and many 80s /90s .
    I am happy to leave the legacy to my family if I can’t make it .

  • @FoodieWarrior
    @FoodieWarrior Před 6 měsíci

    I’m leaning towards BRS and pledging my property. 🤔

  • @eawtan
    @eawtan Před 6 měsíci

    The CPF changes will only take effect on 2025. With the current feedback and comments, will there be more tweaks/updates coming this year? 🐾🐾🐾🐾

    • @user-iz2hz2sh6g
      @user-iz2hz2sh6g Před 6 měsíci

      It’s anyone’s guess

    • @tanhakkoon
      @tanhakkoon Před 6 měsíci

      If there is a General Election this year, then good chance.

  • @peipengloy1377
    @peipengloy1377 Před 5 měsíci

    Thats apple to oranges what ! comparing RA 4 percent vs 10 percent assumed market return ?! risk free must compare likewise ma.....ok ok....CPF not actually risk free....there is policy (change) risk

  • @eugeneteo9664
    @eugeneteo9664 Před 6 měsíci +1

    by 70 the LC can still stand or not ?enjoy early while still possible.

  • @user-uh6bs7tp7e
    @user-uh6bs7tp7e Před 6 měsíci

    for the rest of our life ..Brother. you talk like berry easy. most of us oredy 55 or 60+. . how many more years(day$) can count oredy still want to deplay the paydate?? Ho Say Boh?

  • @alipromo53
    @alipromo53 Před 6 měsíci +1

    Crazy top up for ERS at the end goes to Dependent

    • @wjj7488
      @wjj7488 Před 6 měsíci

      Hate your family ?
      It is fine to leave something for them .

    • @johnng5315
      @johnng5315 Před 3 měsíci

      @@wjj7488goes to gov if left u alone

  • @nanxi4335
    @nanxi4335 Před 4 měsíci

    I am 63 now. Should I withdraw my cpf at 65 or better to wait till 70?

    • @ericcsn
      @ericcsn Před 3 měsíci +2

      I hate it when the analysis is half past six. If you run the spreadsheet, you will know. The best deal is 4 x ERS and go with Basic plan. There is no way as a 65 years old retiree you want to take a risk with your life savings dabbling with investments.

  • @kiansengkoh386
    @kiansengkoh386 Před 6 měsíci

    I want return that double every year plus compounded.

  • @sunyinghong5134
    @sunyinghong5134 Před 6 měsíci

    Kelvin, is it true that cpf life earns zero interest once the payout starts?

  • @Farmersyoungseniors
    @Farmersyoungseniors Před 6 měsíci

    Isn’t the 6.9% yield already included in the $4400 ?

  • @tanhakkoon
    @tanhakkoon Před 6 měsíci

    Then just by BRK shares and let Warren Buffet invest (> 15%) for us for free ?

    • @KelvinLearnsInvesting
      @KelvinLearnsInvesting  Před 6 měsíci

      Warren Buffett not gonna be around forever

    • @johnlim6900
      @johnlim6900 Před 5 měsíci

      I just bought BRK after earnings and huge Cash stockpile 160B+ warren doesnt know what to do NOW...lost me one tbousand on volitility trading , got out cut loss with gains in Others. Be carefulnwhst you see orvwhat you wish for. On thr other gand. If yoi got a 30 - Year investment horizon, your BKR should be safe abd enjoy 1,000% RETURNS

  • @Humorousguy64
    @Humorousguy64 Před 3 měsíci

    They ( gov) just know how to talk....our lives under God's hand ...struggling lives old for what ?

  • @bernardkoh1650
    @bernardkoh1650 Před 6 měsíci +2

    Imagine.. work and work.. then he change.. 60-65 take CPF. 70-75 take CPF life.. all delay by 5-10 yrs.. because.. all living till 90/95.. 😮😮😮

  • @tnylau
    @tnylau Před 6 měsíci +3

    All Singaporeans must take heed of pap Government as they always shifting the goalpost at the expense of interest of the citizens as more and more foreigners to replace Singaporeans.

    • @CalvinK-the_old_fogey
      @CalvinK-the_old_fogey Před 6 měsíci

      Why do you say ‘replace’? You mean Singaporeans go missing? Migrate? Or not having children? Or unwilling to do low paying jobs?

  • @Clc760
    @Clc760 Před 6 měsíci

    CPF Board has to use the skillfuture to send their staff to upgrade their skills so that the welfare of Singaporeans can be better served.

  • @MARS-ob7eg
    @MARS-ob7eg Před 6 měsíci

    How come u said drop to $500 after 85?? How your math?? Tot the payout is the same as last withdrawal from the common pool???

    • @KelvinLearnsInvesting
      @KelvinLearnsInvesting  Před 6 měsíci

      Factor in inflation, the purchasing power drops

    • @MARS-ob7eg
      @MARS-ob7eg Před 6 měsíci

      U mean after 85 , the initial $3300 draw is only valued at $500 worth????😮

    • @MARS-ob7eg
      @MARS-ob7eg Před 6 měsíci +1

      Any question will be, what if other investment goes south which is also possible, instead of 7% average gained, it can be minus 7% or more.

  • @masher1042
    @masher1042 Před 6 měsíci

    I am more concerned about not dying than dying young. Also, i don't think you want to be concerned about market volatilities and depreciating USD in your 80s or later. So I am more inclined towards the escalating plan.

  • @lpfong2538
    @lpfong2538 Před 5 měsíci

    By the time you retire, the cost of living will be 4 to 5 times higher. You will retire is misery and your family will suffer.

  • @lktan224
    @lktan224 Před 6 měsíci +2

    ERS your moneys is safe. Investment at your own risk ⚠️.

  • @alanlim7068
    @alanlim7068 Před 23 dny

    i need to pause and rewind your video, you are too fast😂

  • @tpunclelee
    @tpunclelee Před 6 měsíci

    Hongkong is

  • @flowercolourful4718
    @flowercolourful4718 Před 6 měsíci

    If you delay getting your mthly payouts fm 65 to 68 or 70, you only rec a higher payout mthly for each deferred year, not for the rest of your life! So, for example, if you delay to 68, then at age 68, 69 and 70, you will rec a higher payout mthly than should you choose to rec it at age 65.

  • @WWK186
    @WWK186 Před 6 měsíci

    Really have to find an elixir to live long life if want to profit from CPF life.😂

    • @gg-yl9ek
      @gg-yl9ek Před 3 měsíci

      My target is to live healthy and well past 80s... the longer the better! 😊✌🙏

    • @jackkunasagaran5646
      @jackkunasagaran5646 Před měsícem

      this also u want to profit ah ?

  • @fin788
    @fin788 Před 6 měsíci

    First

  • @R6ex
    @R6ex Před 6 měsíci

    2% Escalating plan payout increase is pathetic!