(EViews10):Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test, Stationarity

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  • čas přidán 11. 09. 2024
  • This hands-on tutorial teaches how to perform the augmented Dickey-Fuller Test for stationarity in EViews. If the series are not stationary, no inferences or forecasting can be made from such regressions. Stationary is a mandatory requirement in time-series analysis. This hands-on tutorial teaches how to perform the augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test in EViews10. Here is the link to the detailed tutorial on this topic:
    cruncheconomet......
    Here is the link to the ex21-1.wf1 dataset (EViews file) used for this tutorial (endeavour to have a Google account for easy accessibility): drive.google.c...
    Follow up with soft-notes and updates from CrunchEconometrix:
    Website: cruncheconometr...
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Komentáře • 317

  • @CrunchEconometrix
    @CrunchEconometrix  Před 6 lety +18

    CZcams recently changed the way my content will be monetised. My channel now needs 1,000 subscribers. So it would be amazing if you show your support by both watching my videos and subscribing to my channel if you haven’t done so already. Monetising my videos allows me to invest back into the channel with some new equipment so this small gesture from you will be extremely huge for me. Many thanks for your support….CrunchEconometrix loves to teach, help me stay online.

    • @isaacmaison1799
      @isaacmaison1799 Před 5 lety +1

      Great tutorial! You must be a very good lecturer

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety +1

      @@isaacmaison1799 I'm humbled by your positive feedback, Isaac...gracias!

    • @rozianabaharin9222
      @rozianabaharin9222 Před 4 lety

      hi.. can you please assist me with the data? i have requested to access the file. pleas help me with this. tq

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      @@rozianabaharin9222 Hi Roziana, kindly bear with me. Dofiles are now available for a token payment from my website. I have put up a Community notification since August regarding this and also stated the reason. Thanks for your understanding. May I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

    • @abuhuraira1262
      @abuhuraira1262 Před 3 lety

      Hi, your Chanel is very informative, please guide about FMOLS and DOLS models too. thanks

  • @normanrumutsa7364
    @normanrumutsa7364 Před 8 měsíci +1

    I love how you make this simple! You are the best. God bless you

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 8 měsíci

      I'm encouraged by your positive feedback...deeply appreciated! 🥰🙏

  • @frost852
    @frost852 Před 4 lety +2

    I will be able to finally finish my degree and confidently go for a job interview through this channel. I am doing my final year project with so much ease. Thank you so much CrunchEconometrix. I will donate to you if i get a job.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Thanks Peo, for the encouraging feedback. Deeply appreciated! Please may I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

    • @frost852
      @frost852 Před 4 lety +2

      @@CrunchEconometrix I am in Gaborone Botswana, studying Statistics and Economics in the University of Botswana. You have been a great guardian throughout my study. God bless You! 🙏

  • @bernadette2712
    @bernadette2712 Před 4 lety +3

    Thank you so much for all these explanations, I am studying time series and your videos are the BEST I have found in CZcams. I follow you from Panama 💜

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety +1

      I'm humbled by your encouraging feedback, Bernadette. Thanks!!! 💕 💕 💕

  • @TheAftershockX
    @TheAftershockX Před 4 lety +6

    Really helped me for my thesis, thanks for the informative content!

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Thanks for the encouraging feedback, Hish, deeply appreciated! Please may I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

    • @TheAftershockX
      @TheAftershockX Před 4 lety +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix I'm watching from the UK!

  • @elvitd6704
    @elvitd6704 Před rokem +1

    I left many comments on your tutorials but every time I watch a new one, I cannot help it I want to thank you! Happy New Year!

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před rokem

      Thanks, EUA for your encouraging words can feedback. Wishing you the best of Year 2023!❤️

  • @sonuga
    @sonuga Před 5 lety +3

    My econometrics lecturer in Buckingham university just told me about your channel....Great video. Thanks so mch!

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety +4

      What?!?!?! Babaniji, u're kidding right???...wow!!! thanks!!! awesome! (dancing...)

    • @sonuga
      @sonuga Před 5 lety

      @@CrunchEconometrix Dr Gurcharan Singh....I was struggling with some concepts so he told me to check out your videos that they'll be helpful. And they've truly been. Thanks so much 👍

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      U just made my day end so graciously well with this feedback. Thanks Babaniji and I'll be glad if you can tell others too! 💕 😊

  • @JaphethJev
    @JaphethJev Před 2 lety +1

    Thanks prof. you have delivered it. Excellent delivery.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 2 lety

      Awwww, thanks Japheth for the encouraging feedback. Deeply appreciated! 🥰🙏

  • @desage7116
    @desage7116 Před 3 lety +1

    You are wonderful ma, and God Almighty increase your knowledge

  • @sunnyolamide1142
    @sunnyolamide1142 Před rokem +1

    You are awesome!
    You should really write a book or create a course on Data Analysis in the future, you are the best!

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před rokem

      Maybe one day, Sir... thanks for your encouraging words. Deeply appreciated!🙏🥰

  • @pintamendy8207
    @pintamendy8207 Před 2 lety +1

    You Video has been the best so far I wish it was r software

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 2 lety +1

      Pinta, I appreciate your encouraging feedback. I'm upgrading my R proficiency before I start creating the videos. Hopefully, before the year runs out.

  • @statisticsboy3990
    @statisticsboy3990 Před 3 lety +1

    a very interesting and simple way for learning an ADF test.

  • @yassinyahia2453
    @yassinyahia2453 Před 5 lety +1

    Thnx very much, Dr. structured and straight forward

  • @joshualim2059
    @joshualim2059 Před 3 lety +1

    You're a great teacher!

  • @Yasin-bq5pn
    @Yasin-bq5pn Před 5 lety +1

    easy to understand and straight-forward. thank you.

  • @iliyadaniliya2755
    @iliyadaniliya2755 Před 10 měsíci +1

    this is very useful for my research..

  • @iqbalhussain7268
    @iqbalhussain7268 Před 2 lety

    excellent presentation

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 2 lety

      Thanks, Mr. Hussain for the encouraging feedback. Deeply appreciated! 🙏

  • @morrisayaamensah2082
    @morrisayaamensah2082 Před 2 lety +1

    thank you for the explanation

  • @rsveena1792
    @rsveena1792 Před 4 lety +1

    Thank you so much... you made it so simple and clear

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Glad to be of help, Veena! Please may I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

    • @rsveena1792
      @rsveena1792 Před 4 lety +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix Im from India

  • @calebjacobs4607
    @calebjacobs4607 Před 3 lety +1

    really helpful. God bless you

  • @ikwujesongeorge4904
    @ikwujesongeorge4904 Před 3 lety +1

    George from Nigeria. Your videos has really helped me. This is my first time using eview. Am carrying out a research on the impact of petroleum sector revenue on economic growth. Please am a bit confused on what test to conduct .

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety

      Hi George, thanks for the encouraging feedback. Deeply appreciated. Watch my EViews videos, follow the guides and analyse your data alongside.

  • @rafikharkati3049
    @rafikharkati3049 Před 4 lety

    Your efforts are very much appreciated Dr. ^^

  • @vyha7593
    @vyha7593 Před 3 lety +1

    Really love your videos!

  • @maleeshaherath3506
    @maleeshaherath3506 Před 8 měsíci +1

    Thank you so much ❤

  • @hbkim5077
    @hbkim5077 Před 11 měsíci +1

    Thank you so much.

  • @immaculatelum5102
    @immaculatelum5102 Před 3 lety +1

    Thanks for teaching ma

  • @obednanabuadi1250
    @obednanabuadi1250 Před 2 lety +1

    God bless you.

  • @elrufaiahmad2999
    @elrufaiahmad2999 Před 5 lety +1

    thanks for the tutorials Dr.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      U're welcome, Elrufai...may I know where you are reaching me from?

    • @elrufaiahmad2999
      @elrufaiahmad2999 Před 5 lety

      @@CrunchEconometrix from Malaysia

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      @@elrufaiahmad2999 Awesome! Kindly share my YT Channel link with your Malaysian students and academic community. Thanks!

  • @CrunchEconometrix
    @CrunchEconometrix  Před 6 lety

    Hi Rina, I'm not quite clear about what you want to do. Is it stationarity test? If so, you have to include at least "constant"... and if it's still not stationary try it with "constant and trend".

  • @sherzadshahab9628
    @sherzadshahab9628 Před 3 lety +1

    Thanks a lot, Great job.

  • @user-us5nu5vj7d
    @user-us5nu5vj7d Před 11 měsíci +1

    Wooow!! Thanks alot

  • @marveeakanorok6922
    @marveeakanorok6922 Před 4 lety

    Good afternoon Dr Adeleye,
    Hope this mail meets you well.
    I am happy to be your student having gone through your econometrix tutorial on youtube. I need clarity on differenced series
    Let's assume that a series becomes stationary at 2nd difference which means that regressing with initial values will turn out spurious results.
    How do you then run regression at 2nd difference for the same series?
    thanks
    Akan Orok

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Hi Akan, thanks for following my video tutorials. Use only I(1) series. Not I(2).

  • @lucynwobi771
    @lucynwobi771 Před 2 lety +1

    Thanks Prof for the derailed explanation. Please trend vs trend and and intercept; which is preferred for unitroot test ?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 2 lety +1

      Hi Lucy, start with INTERCEPT only and if still nonstationary use INTERCEPT+TREND...works most of the time.

  • @dreammatter1734
    @dreammatter1734 Před 4 lety

    Hands down the clearest, most informative, and overall best eViews tutorial. You're a great teacher, thank you very much for creating this content. Liked, subscribed.
    I have one question though. If I want to run a VAR on 4 variables, and my Real GDP is stationary at 1st difference, it means I need to transform my variable to, say... Real GDP Growth, to be able to run a VAR, right?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety +1

      Thanks DM for the positive feedback and remark on my video...and I am also humbled by your like and subscription, deeply appreciated! You need not transform real GDP into real GDP growth unless you intend estimating a growth model.

    • @dreammatter1734
      @dreammatter1734 Před 4 lety

      @@CrunchEconometrix So what if my variables are non-stationary at Level, but are stationary at 1st difference? Can I still run a VAR with these raw variables? Or I
      must do something else beforehand? Thank you very much for your feedback!

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety +1

      @@dreammatter1734 Kindly watch my videos on VAR estimation. Procedures are explained. Information is not contained in any one video so attempt to watch all. Thanks.

    • @dreammatter1734
      @dreammatter1734 Před 4 lety +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix Thank you very much for your reply :)

  • @drdotman5511
    @drdotman5511 Před 5 lety +1

    Good job. Very selfless of you

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      Thanks for the kind words and positive feedback on my videos, Dortman. Deeply appreciated! 💕 May I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

  • @krishnachaithanya6509
    @krishnachaithanya6509 Před rokem +1

    Hello professor, i found your video now. It was clear and crisp. I have one query. If any variable is passing ADF with intercept but fails without intercept what is the inference we can draw. Can we still consider the series as stationary ?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před rokem

      Hi Krishna, I'd advise you perform the ADF test with intercept.

  • @akaninyeneorok6690
    @akaninyeneorok6690 Před 4 lety

    Good afternoon Dr Adeleye,

    Hope this mail meets you well. Thank you for your series which is very helpful to me.
    I am happy to be your student having gone through your econometrix tutorial on youtube. I need clarity on differenced series.
    Let's assume that a series becomes stationary at 2nd difference which means that regressing with initial values will turn out spurious results.
    How do you then run regression at 2nd difference for the same series? thanks

  • @Simthjohnson-z5o
    @Simthjohnson-z5o Před 3 lety +1

    Madam, thanks so much for your videos. I am in love with them. I do not know if you have an video you did for testing unit root using KPSS?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety +1

      Thanks for the positive feedback, Gabriel. Appreciated! You can check other online resources for KPSS URT, thanks.

    • @Simthjohnson-z5o
      @Simthjohnson-z5o Před 3 lety +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix thanks so much

  • @ikwujesongeorge4904
    @ikwujesongeorge4904 Před 3 lety

    Am carrying out a research on the impact of petroleum sector revenue on economic growth and my results is show me that oil rent has a negative and insignificant relationship to GDP

  • @xpattv
    @xpattv Před 4 lety +1

    Hi there! Thank you for your video , i am a fan of your video tutorials. I have a question, in my research paper i used raw data for testing Unit root, Johansen conintegration and Granger Causalty but later i used log form for VECM estimation. The question is would there be any problem if i conduct my analysis this way? The problem is i get unit root when i use log data in one of my variable in first difference. My second question is what is the difference between Pairwise granger and VAR granger causality test ? are they same? can i use VAR granger test instead of Pairwise granger? Thanks in advance!

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Hi Ali, thanks for the encouraging feedback. Deeply appreciated! It is advisable to use the form of the variables for analysis for the preliminary tests. I will also advice you read up on the causality tests to understand the one to adopt.

    • @xpattv
      @xpattv Před 4 lety +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix Thanks Professor for your response. To be clear, here the term form refers to the raw data right?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Form refers to how you used the variable in your regression. Log (transformed variable) or its raw (natural) form.

  • @valensnayigiziki3582
    @valensnayigiziki3582 Před 4 lety +1

    i like so much the method used to deliver this course. thanks so much. how can i find other movies.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Hi Valens, thanks for the positive feedback and kind remarks about my CZcams videos. Deeply appreciated! Kindly check through the 9 Playlists. Well sorted to guide you. Please may I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

  • @farrelcahyoabiputro8463
    @farrelcahyoabiputro8463 Před 3 lety +2

    Hi, I got a question. I also use AIC for testing unit root in my model, how many lag length is required for monthly data? Is there a rule of thumb? If not how to determine the max lag on this unit root test?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety

      Hi Farrel, kindly watch my video on "Optimal Lag Selection". Well explained. Thanks.

  • @musaalkali5406
    @musaalkali5406 Před 5 lety +1

    Thanks Dr. Your Tutorials help me a lot in understanding more about econometric analysis. Pls is it possible to find correlation analysis between one independent variable and five independent variables using time series analysis by Eviews?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      Hi Musa, thanks for the positive feedback on my videos. Humbly appreciated...and yes, you can do that in EViews.

  • @businessandeconomicstalk6676

    Please madam can you help me with the questions below:
    1. What if at first difference my data is significant can I do the regression analysis?
    2. How do I lag my data

  • @Waleedkhancooldevil93
    @Waleedkhancooldevil93 Před 3 lety +1

    Hats off to u for a good explanation. Mam i have a question: my pakistan exchange rate data series from 1987 to 2019 is stationary at second difference while the other variables are stationary at 1st difference. So what should i do now? Thanks in anticipation for ur kind response.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety

      Thanks Waheed, for the positive feedback. Deeply appreciated! Read about Toda-Yamamoto procedure and deploy it.

  • @erickprieto5094
    @erickprieto5094 Před 3 lety +1

    Just a comment, you looked at the graph of the logarithm of the first difference of the series already in log, not just the difference of the logarithm. It actually doesn't change by much but it's not exactly the same.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety +1

      Your comment is greatly appreciated, Erick! 🙏

    • @erickprieto5094
      @erickprieto5094 Před 3 lety

      @@CrunchEconometrix thank you for your response and your video!

  • @udokalu717
    @udokalu717 Před 3 lety +1

    This is great

  • @chrisalwis1626
    @chrisalwis1626 Před 4 lety

    - First Diff. and Intercept
    Null Hypothesis: D(LNPCE) has a unit root
    Exogenous: Constant
    Lag Length: 2 (Automatic - based on AIC, maxlag=8)

    t-Statistic Prob.*

    Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -3.288906 0.0185
    Test critical values: 1% level -3.510259
    5% level -2.896346
    10% level -2.585396
    in your video you say this has unit root and reject the Null. but later you say this is acceptable. pls. explain this

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Please understand this video. The level of series has a unit root. The 1st difference does not. I gave clear explanations in all cases. Kindly watch and take notes, thanks.

  • @sualehasultan6773
    @sualehasultan6773 Před 3 lety +1

    Thank you :)

  • @angelaujunwa9629
    @angelaujunwa9629 Před 2 lety +1

    Thank you so much for the amazing videos.
    I just subscribed to your channel.
    Could you please recommend a good and explanatory text book to read.
    Thank you.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 2 lety

      Thanks for your subscription, Angela. Deeply appreciated! My go-to textbooks are (1) Gujarati Basic Econometrics and (2) Woodridge Introductory Econometrics. You can never go wrong with those 2.

  • @abdirahmanyusuf8896
    @abdirahmanyusuf8896 Před 2 lety +1

    Thank you Dr. Please my data is a panel data and I have unbalanced please any video how to fix using eviews.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 2 lety

      Hi Abdirahman, using unbalanced panel is ok unless there are TOO many missing observations then you might need to drop those variables and replace with closer proxies.

  • @ukuk9162
    @ukuk9162 Před 6 lety

    OK,many thanks for your help

  • @nozarashi4142
    @nozarashi4142 Před 3 lety

    You mentioned in other videos that “VAR must be specified in levels, hence VAR in differences would be misspecified”. Does this mean stationarity doesn’t matter for VAR? Thanks for the videos, very much appreciated from Canada.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety

      Hi Bayo, I gave the references to the two schools of thought. I follow the first...thanks for the positive feedback. Appreciated.

  • @ruchigupta1418
    @ruchigupta1418 Před 4 lety +1

    Thank you so much your videos are really helpful. one should check stationarity after taking log of a series of without log? What is the benefit of taking log of a series

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety +1

      Hi Ruchi, read up on benefits of taking log of a variable. There are several resources online. Perform the ADF test on the form of the variable you intend using to run the analysis.

  • @agathalechnerdasilva9063
    @agathalechnerdasilva9063 Před 4 lety +3

    Hi! Thank you for the videos! I just want to understand one thing: I learned that when the series have a trend, sometimes I can turn it in a stationary one by calculating it´s first difference or logs. Therefore I though that testing the unit root in level, including trend and intercept should give the same result as testing the unit root in first difference including just the intercept (I mean that I excluded the trend because I´m using first difference). I´m right?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      You can either include/exclude trend when testing for a unit root.

    • @amrblue421
      @amrblue421 Před 3 lety

      There's no reason to include the trend in the first difference unit root test

  • @ukuk9162
    @ukuk9162 Před 6 lety +1

    thanks for your responce

  • @abdeelias3917
    @abdeelias3917 Před 3 lety +1

    please tell me that the idea behind test option with tend, intercept and both with trend and intercept !!!! is the variables all to be tested in intercept or in both with with software

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety

      Hi Abde, I often conduct with INTERCEPT and if still nonstationary, I include TREND.

  • @tjikarikandjii7281
    @tjikarikandjii7281 Před 6 lety

    Greetings Ngozi
    thank you so much for this video. it helped. kindly, show how to run a unit root test in eviews, using 8 variables as a group or so.
    kind regards,
    Tjikari

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 6 lety

      It's the same procedure, Tjikari. Test each series individually.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 6 lety

      ...and thanks for the kind remarks on my videos. Humbly appreciated! Kindly tell others too by sharing my video links....gracias!

    • @tjikarikandjii7281
      @tjikarikandjii7281 Před 6 lety

      cool, thanks

  • @zafa-3619
    @zafa-3619 Před 3 lety +1

    Please, I ask if i want to run cointegration, must all variables be stationary in I(1) for the three models(Constant/ constant & trend/ None)? and also for the residuals model it must be stationary for the three models(3-2-1)?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety +1

      Hi Zackaria, this video clearly explains how to conduct the stationary test using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller procedure. You may need to check other online resources if the information you require is not covered. Thanks.

  • @mkjoshi21
    @mkjoshi21 Před 5 lety +1

    Madam, Thank you very much for your prompt reply for my previous questions. I have a question on ADF test. My variables (dependent as well as independent) are showing unit root (i.e., non-stationary) in Level. However, they are showing as stationary in First difference as well as in the Second difference (for intercept and also intercept and trend) based on the p-value of 0.000. Then is my series is I(1) or I(2)? What should be the conclusion?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Hi Manoj, if you follow my explanations you can decipher the outcomes. I gave very clear explanations and interpretation of the ADF result. Thanks for watching and let me have the feedback.

  • @obednanabuadi1250
    @obednanabuadi1250 Před 2 lety +1

    Please how do we estimate a Linear Transfer Function in eviews?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 2 lety

      Hi Obed, never heard of that technique. You may want to check out other online resources.

  • @melinakharel4837
    @melinakharel4837 Před 4 lety

    madam, many papers has used p-values in making decision of rejecting null hypothesis... here we compare ADF t-statistic and critical value. so my confusion is should we not consider p-values for decision. and thank u soo much for sharing your knowledge.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Hi Melina, yes you can use the pvalues too...and thanks for the positive feedback and kind words, deeply appreciated! Please may I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

    • @melinakharel4837
      @melinakharel4837 Před 4 lety

      @@CrunchEconometrix thank u so much for your prompt response, i am from Nepal :-). your tutorials are so helpful and i suggest every researcher i know to follow this. one more confusion i have , My GDP is stationary at level with trend and intercept and also significant at 1st difference with both intercept and trend and intercept. someone suggested me better to make decision of rejecting hypothesis on intercept rather than trend and intercept. is that so?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      @@melinakharel4837 If stationary at level why take the 1st difference?

  • @leanderf.6009
    @leanderf.6009 Před 3 lety +1

    Great!

  • @amiabhijit1
    @amiabhijit1 Před 4 lety

    thanks for all of your videos.... but is there any video on PP Unit root test, for structural breaks in time series data ?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Hi Abhijit, PP test is not suitable when there is a break in the model.

    • @amiabhijit1
      @amiabhijit1 Před 4 lety

      @@CrunchEconometrix perron test for structural breaks??

  • @angelaadomokhai4388
    @angelaadomokhai4388 Před 3 lety +1

    please what can i do if one of my raw time series data is non stationary even after taking its first difference.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety

      Angela, you may have to change your estimation technique. Perhaps, use the Toda-Yamamoto technique. Check other online resources about the TY approach

    • @angelaadomokhai4388
      @angelaadomokhai4388 Před 3 lety

      @@CrunchEconometrix thank you so much for your response. So i changed my variables and they were all stationary at first difference I(1). Can i still use the ARDL model to estimate it?. Also, if i get an ECT of -1.3, considering it is more than 100% can i still say there is convergence? And finally, if one or two out of my four variables do not appear in the short run dynamics along with the ECM, what does this indicate and can i still interpret the other short run variables and use the results?

  • @fvc1612
    @fvc1612 Před 2 lety

    I have a question. Why didn't you use the "none" option in the ADF test for the differences of the variables?, and why should I have to use the max lenght of 8? My outcomes changes when I try with other maximum of lags

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 2 lety +1

      Hi Francisco, that Is because I want the CONSTANT to appear in the underlying equation. Use of lags is subject to several factors. I will refer you to watch my video on OPTIMAL LAGS.

  • @bunmiaugustina3323
    @bunmiaugustina3323 Před 5 lety +1

    Thanks all lot.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      U're welcome Bunmi...may I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

    • @bunmiaugustina3323
      @bunmiaugustina3323 Před 5 lety +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix Ado Ekiti, Ekiti State

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      @@bunmiaugustina3323 Awesome Bunmi! 💕 😊 Kindly share my CZcams Channel link with your friends and academic community. I need many 🇳🇬 to be aware of my Channel. They'll learn some useful analytical skills and tips. Thanks for sharing! 💕 😊

  • @anjunabeachball2894
    @anjunabeachball2894 Před 5 lety +1

    Hello
    I have a few questions. I am supposed to run a multiple linear regression. i'm an Eviews newbie.
    - Is the unit root test supposed to be done on all variables?
    - How do you proceed to the multiple linear regression after conducting the unit root tests?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety +1

      Hi Anj, stationarity test is a MUST in time series analysis to avoid spurious results. My videos on VAR and ARDL are on multivariate analysis, kindly watch them....and kindly share my videos with your friends and academic. Thanks! 💕 😊

  • @nikmatsyukur167
    @nikmatsyukur167 Před 5 lety +1

    hello Dr. Sorry for asking, to plot the series, is it we always need to choose Log Difference, or we can use 'Difference' only?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety +1

      Log difference is the growth rate of the series. Advisable to use the difference, although both plots look identical.

    • @nikmatsyukur167
      @nikmatsyukur167 Před 5 lety +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix all right, noted. thank you so much.

  • @durojayesolomon1981
    @durojayesolomon1981 Před rokem +1

    Hello MA, please how can I get eview software. I'm unable to get it

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před rokem

      Hi Durojaye, EViews is not an open source software. You will have to buy it and install.

    • @durojayesolomon1981
      @durojayesolomon1981 Před rokem +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix Thank you ma. May I know which other software I can use for ADF unit root test and panel regression that is free for student to use in their research project.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před rokem

      You can use R. It's an open source (i.e. FREE) and robust for econometrics research.

  • @saul-wv7fk
    @saul-wv7fk Před 4 lety

    What happens if the adf test rejects the null hypothesis with constant, and then rejects it with constant and trend?

  • @emirarefa
    @emirarefa Před 3 lety +1

    Hi mam!
    Thankyou for the explanation, I would like to ask. Is the intercept and trend in ADF test is affecting my model choice in ARDL model?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety +1

      Hi Emira, the ADF is to test for the presence of a unit root in a series. I'm not sure how that affects the ARDL model. Except that the outcome tells you whether using the ARDL approach is applicable or not.

    • @emirarefa
      @emirarefa Před 3 lety +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix ohh i see,
      Thank you mam

  • @kenechukwujohnpaul3661

    Hello Dr. Ngozi. Please do you have a video detailing the next step to take with the outcome of your unit root test? If yes, please could you forward me the link? i will very much appreciate it if you do. thanks

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      Hi Kenechukwu, my videos are sorted into 9 Playlists for easiness, please check through. It is not time-efficient sending links. Thanks.

  • @azizahr4878
    @azizahr4878 Před 2 lety +1

    Thank you for the videos. I have a question. How to determine the specification of the ADF test (intercept, intercept&trend, and none)?
    And in my case, I have 3 variables. Two variables are stationary in 1st diff with specification none (no intercept&trend). And one variable is stationary in 1st diff with specification intercept. So can I conclude that all the three variables are stasionary at 1st diff?
    Thanks in advance.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 2 lety

      Yes, Azizah...we will conclude that all the variables are stationary after 1st difference.

    • @azizahr4878
      @azizahr4878 Před 2 lety +1

      Thank you so much for your reply. Really helpfull.

  • @TheEnyoy
    @TheEnyoy Před 4 lety

    I find it very strange: If I use all options: "none", "intercept" and "trend & intercept" I get variables of the same order of integration.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Not strange at all. It happens sometimes depending on the variable used.

  • @khaledzubdeh1326
    @khaledzubdeh1326 Před 4 lety

    Hi, when I tested my data it came stationary in the first difference, but when make the estimation for the equation all of the variables are significant without converting the data to first difference, shall accept the model as its? or I must convert the data to first def. before applying the estimation? Thanks A lot.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Khaled, it is important to test for stationarity and the outcome directs subsequent procedures.

  • @kenechukwujohnpaul3661
    @kenechukwujohnpaul3661 Před 6 měsíci +1

    Pls how do i remedy a variable that is stationary at 2nd difference?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 6 měsíci

      Kenechukwu, to the best of my knowledge such variables cannot be remedied. I'll suggest you drop it and replace it with a closer proxy.

    • @kenechukwujohnpaul3661
      @kenechukwujohnpaul3661 Před 6 měsíci +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix thanks for your response. Pls, what closer proxy can one use for HDI (human development index)?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 6 měsíci

      Kenechukwu, as a researcher, you will have to do a search through the literature for this.

  • @khaledzubdeh1326
    @khaledzubdeh1326 Před 3 lety

    Hi Mam, hope you are okay, If variables are stationary in 1Dif. in PP test, and all stationary except one in DF test, can we accept PP alone, can we say that the data is stationary? thanks

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety

      Hi Khaled, yes you can. It shows that the stationary is evidenced from one of the tests.

  • @taviajesslyn6896
    @taviajesslyn6896 Před 4 lety

    Hi miss, I would to ask if is it compulsory to make the date become log? As like I already perform the test of ADF, PP, and Kpss in the first order.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety +1

      Hi Tavia, taking log of a series is at the discretion of the researcher. Find out more about this online. Please may I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

  • @chansayhao8705
    @chansayhao8705 Před 3 lety

    Good day, I try to find the stationarity of my data using ADF test, and I got my t statistic value lower than all test critical values without differencing it. Does this mean my data is stationary? Just out of curiosity because I've seen quite a lot of the samples got higher t statistic value than test critical value in non-differenced level, and got lower t statistic value than test critical value in 1st or above level differenced data. Thanks in advance.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety

      Hi Chan, this video is simple to understand and well-explained. I will encourage you to watch it again, jot down some points and align with your data. Best regards.

  • @samka847
    @samka847 Před 4 lety

    Hi ! i just discovered your channel thank you for this video :) i just want to ask you a question. there is this variable i'm working on, and when i do the ADF test with trend and intercept it shows that my serie is stationary and the p-value is 0.000 is it normal ? to be honest i started using eviews this week so i'm not familar with it yet.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Hi Sam, thanks for the positive feedback. I'll advice you to watch this video again and listen to my explanations. Read textbooks too. Understanding is very important. Please may I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

  • @nadianabilla7810
    @nadianabilla7810 Před 2 lety

    thanks for your explanation! by the way i'm a lil bit confused on how to conclude if a variable is stationary in 1st diff using the "none" specification, but it's stationary in level using "trend"? is the variable stationary in level or 1st difference?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 2 lety

      Nadia, once my variable is stationary by "none", OR "trend" I'm good to proceed with my estimation. All I do is to indicate what I did in my manuscript...case closed.

  • @hassanmahmood6584
    @hassanmahmood6584 Před 4 lety +2

    hi very informative video, however i have one question. One of my variables has a unit root and when differenced at the first level, the data is stationary. Do i have to do the same for all my variables before i run my OLS, or can i proceed with my regression with only 1 of the variable differenced

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      Yes Hassan, perform URT for all the variables. Please may I know from where (location) you are reaching me?

    • @hassanmahmood6584
      @hassanmahmood6584 Před 4 lety

      @@CrunchEconometrix I have one variable at I(1) and the rest are I(0). Is basic OLS sufficient or would you recommend another model?

    • @hassanmahmood6584
      @hassanmahmood6584 Před 4 lety +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix Thanks for your reply. I am from London and my course leader had recommended that the students use your channel for econometrics guides.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      @@hassanmahmood6584 No. Use ARDL.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 4 lety

      @@hassanmahmood6584 I'm wowed and humbled by his recommendation. God bless him greatly. May I know the Institution?

  • @bangladeshisoulsinuk4993
    @bangladeshisoulsinuk4993 Před 2 lety +1

    Hi, what about panel data??

  • @ukuk9162
    @ukuk9162 Před 6 lety

    First of all,Many thanks for your efforts,please i'm from algeria ,i would know how use the variables once you make a test of stationarity ,in your example lnpce is stationary at first difference with only constant if i run a regression i should use a new variable (lnpce-alpha d(lnpce)-constant) instead of lnpce,please i want more explanation ,
    or if i have another variable stationary in first difference constant and trend i have to run regression and make modification for the original variable to use it in regression???
    Many thanks

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 6 lety

      Hi Aziz, I'm sorry that I did not quite understand your query. However, how you use the variables depends on your estimation technique.

  • @kenechukwujohnpaul3661

    Dear Dr Ngozi, what criteria does one use to know whether to use intercept or trend and intercept in unit root test?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety +1

      All models should have the intercept. Include the trend only if you observe such in the series or if the trend coefficient is statistically significant.

  • @antarasaha428
    @antarasaha428 Před 5 lety

    Hello Teacher...I have a question...is it possible to conduct unit root test,if sample size is 10?If not, what should I do?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      Hi Antara, not at all. URT not applicable if time span < 15 years.

  • @khaledzubdeh1326
    @khaledzubdeh1326 Před 3 lety

    Hi Mam Again, thanks for your last answer to my question, I won ask. I am having 6 variables in my study, when I applied the unit root test, 5 of them are stationary on the first level, but the 6th one is stationary on 2nd level, Can I proceed within the regression model?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety

      Hi Khaled, kindly watch my video on the Bounds Cointegration Test. Thanks.

  • @helenvo5237
    @helenvo5237 Před 5 lety

    Thank you so much for this tutorial. Could I ask you some question? I have annual data (2003-2017) because quarterly data is difficult for me to select in some countries. I want to choose a suitable las length of the variables (Export/Import, REER, RealGDP and Trade Openness). So, I found that lag length 3 is appropriate for REER variable. When running ADF test, REER is non-stationary with lag length 3 and it is stationary with lad length 1. Could you give me some advice about my situation, please? Thanks for your help!

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      Hi Helen, the reviewer will query the number of observations. You have 15 years, using 3 lags reduces the number to 12. To estimate any TS regression you must have AT LEAST 30 years observations to avoid "small sample" bias.

    • @helenvo5237
      @helenvo5237 Před 5 lety +1

      @@CrunchEconometrix Thanks for your help!

  • @ighenry_ys1239
    @ighenry_ys1239 Před 3 lety

    Thank u for the video. I wanna ask if I already have all variable is I(1) or in the first difference. What method can I choose?

  • @sijioyetunji1897
    @sijioyetunji1897 Před 5 lety

    Good day ma.
    What do we do when the a particular variable is stationary at levels and first difference? Do we choose the one with the higher prob. value? Do we choose any one of the two? Do we choose the one with a higher ADF value?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety +1

      Hi Siji, it is advisable to use the variable at its point of stationarity (either level-stationary or first difference-stationary) to avoid over-differencing. Though, some researchers argue in favour of such practices perhaps due to the need to have all variables at first-difference.

  • @prince-uba
    @prince-uba Před 3 lety

    If the order of integration of variables where X is I(o), Y is I(1) & Z is I(2), what is the Appropriate Model for estimating the relationship among the variables.

  • @wisdomsimeon431
    @wisdomsimeon431 Před 4 lety +1

    God bless

  • @MohamedEsmailAlazraq
    @MohamedEsmailAlazraq Před 5 lety

    Thank u very much, i would like to inform u that the link to the raleted topic in ur blog in the description section isn't working.

  • @olaoluwaodimayo314
    @olaoluwaodimayo314 Před 5 lety

    hello Mrs Ngozi, if my variables are only stationary at second difference i. e I(2), is there an estimation technique that suites that peculiar situation?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      Hi Ola, that'll be the Toda Yamamoto approach which I've never used before. You may need to find out more about it online.

    • @olaoluwaodimayo314
      @olaoluwaodimayo314 Před 5 lety

      CrunchEconometrix thank you ma for replying. I'll check it out.

  • @henryhenry3172
    @henryhenry3172 Před 3 lety

    I wanna ask about the unit root test in second level difference, what is the best method are used? Are the method was use ARDL or VECM

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 3 lety

      Hi Henry, ARDL and VECM are not applicable. Use the Toda-Yamamoto technique.

    • @henryhenry3172
      @henryhenry3172 Před 3 lety

      @@CrunchEconometrix ok thank u

  • @sithuhan3976
    @sithuhan3976 Před 6 lety

    If the data is stationery at both level and first difference, can I used it as I(1) ? because I want to test Johenson test with other I(1) variables. Please answer teacher.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 6 lety +1

      Hi Sithu, since you have a combination of level and 1st difference variables then ARDL is the most applicable model. I have several videos on the ARDL procedure, watch them and you will know what to do.

  • @bellabae3661
    @bellabae3661 Před 5 lety

    Hi dear! I love this tutorial too. I did the equation estimation and realized my r-squared was less than the Durbin-Watson stat which indicate my series is stationary. However, performing ADF unit root test at 'use level' indicate there is a unit root in the series. I'm confused now, please assist me. Thanks

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety

      Hi Bella, you are missing the point. Stationarity test is what validates if your series has a unit root or not. R2>DW only informs that you have performed a spurious regression by engaging nonstationary variables in a regression. Hope this clarifies. Thanks.

    • @bellabae3661
      @bellabae3661 Před 5 lety

      @@CrunchEconometrix I see. Thanks very much for the clarification.

  • @zamokuhle1992
    @zamokuhle1992 Před 5 lety

    Thank you so much for this tutorial. must all the series be transformed to their natural log before you conduct the stationary tests?

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 5 lety +1

      Not at all, Zama. Their raw forms can be used only that log-transformations smoothen the series.

    • @abahbest2695
      @abahbest2695 Před 4 lety

      Yes

    • @abahbest2695
      @abahbest2695 Před 4 lety

      @@CrunchEconometrix what determines the choice of maximum lag when conducting unit root test

  • @rinalee485
    @rinalee485 Před 6 lety

    besides ADF is it possible to use PP? i assume many paper use ADF and PP. but my vaiables shows different number what i mean is that let's assume there is variable x : even with first difference still non-stationary with ADF test but same variables with PP test from the stationary it is statble. in that case can i just use pp to all my variable instead of ADF? or is it possible each variables takes different test equation : variable x with trend variable y with non etc. i guess many ppl also will be confused whether each variables can change under their situation or do we have to unify all ?
    thank you! with you help and video . I'v learned a lot nowadays . really appropriated

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 6 lety

      rina lee Very true, Rina you can use PP test in addition to ADF test... I do it often because just like you said it is very possible that variable Y may be nonstationary in ADF but stationary in PP, so it's good for researchers to report both results.

    • @CrunchEconometrix
      @CrunchEconometrix  Před 6 lety

      rina lee You are absolutely correct, Rina! That's the way to go... and make sure you state this clearly in your work so that any Reviewer will know what you did. Good job... keep me posted on the final results. Weldone!